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Six Six Six - A Numerical Repudiation of the Six Man Rotation

I'll never forget the story of how former Astros Owner Drayton McLane bought Roy Oswalt (pictured here) a new bulldozer as a reward for clinching the pennant by beating the Cardinals in 2005. Should there be a Cardinals parade next year in St. Louis, I expect Roy Oswalt to follow the Clydesdales in a bulldozer.

I've seen some commenters, here and elsewhere, discuss the idea of a six-man rotation should the Cardinals sign Roy Oswalt. What follows is a set of tables that should illustrate why this is a bad idea. The best way I can put the argument in simple terms is that a six man rotation gives fewer starts to better pitchers in exchange for worse pitchers. There's no real evidence that this keeps pitchers healthier but that is the argued advantage. There's some evidence that high pitch counts in individual games are dangerous to pitchers but less evidence that a high number of games are dangerous if the pitcher stays on their rotation.

The claims are difficult to refute because there is a lack of hard evidence since no team has had a six man rotation. What we can do is run the numbers on run prevention using projections like ZiPS to estimate pitcher talent and scale the number of innings each pitcher would get accordingly. So I admit that some of the claimed advantages of a six man rotation are difficult to refute but that is primarily because they can't be proven either. They are simply unfalsifiable. What I can show is that more innings to worse pitchers is a bad idea.

Star-divide

A few notes:

  • FIP is being calculated from peripherals in Dan Szymborski's ZiPS projection system using a 3.2 league modifier.
  • All starters are assumed to make 30 starts in a 5 man rotation with the remaining 12 starts going to a replacement pitcher (Lance Lynn in this case). Starters make 26 starts in a 6 man rotation with a replacement pitcher getting 6 starts.
  • The bullpen is considered to be used the same under both circumstances with a replacement level reliever (Kyle McClellan) picking up any additional innings created in these scenarios. You can simplify this consideration by assuming that the innings per start for both Oswalt & Westbrook are equivalent. If you do the run totals don't effectively change since Westbrook's FIP projects the same as a middle reliever and he bumps a better reliever out of the bullpen. Literally nothing changes in that scenario, I've simply chosen to project Westbrook for fewer IP/GS than Oswalt.
  • Innings per start are a combination of my judgment and ZiPS projected innings per start.

You can certainly argue with these caveats but, in order to get a six man rotation to be advantageous, you have to make some radically different assumptions about pitcher effectiveness and playing time.

The first scenario is if the Cardinals stick with a five man rotation and don't sign Oswalt (BO5 = Before Oswalt 5 Starters).

Player Innings - BO5 ZiPS FIP Runs Scored - BO50
Adam Wainwright 195 3.20 69
Chris Carpenter 210 3.45 80
Jaime Garcia 180 3.50 70
Kyle Lohse 180 4.20 84
Jake Westbrook 165 4.35 79
Roy Oswalt 0 3.65 0
Replacements (Lynn) 60 3.85 25

That is a total of 990 innings across 162 starts. We'll see later that 30 starts from a five man rotation that includes Roy Oswalt is going to pitch 15 additional innings in this hypothetical example but we'll assign those to Kyle McClellan our default middle reliever. Remember that when we're adding innings to the bullpen, it's likely that the good relievers are already pitching as frequently as they can so the lesser relievers will be taking on the additional starter's innings.

Player Innings - BO5 ZiPS FIP Runs Scored - BO50
Reliever (McClellan) 15 4.5 7

This set of starters will allow a total of 407 runs plus 7 runs coming from middle relief. That is 414 runs in a total of 1005 innings. Now lets look at the same set of starts if we put Roy Oswalt in and use a 6 man rotation. They will pitch 992 innings in this scenario and leave a middle reliever with 13 innings.

Player Innings - AO6 ZiPS FIP Runs Scored - AO6
Adam Wainwright 169 3.20 60
Chris Carpenter 182 3.45 69
Jaime Garcia 156 3.50 60
Kyle Lohse 156 4.20 72
Jake Westbrook 143 4.35 69
Roy Oswalt 156 3.65 63
Replacements (Lynn) 30 3.85 12
Reliever (McClellan) 13 4.50 6

That is a total of 411 runs allowed. So if you sign Roy Oswalt and play a six man rotation you are essentially paying his entire salary for a 3 run upgrade. That's a hefty rate for less than half a win. The last scenario is after an Oswalt signing with a 5 man rotation (Jake Westbrook fades quietly into the night) and the rotation will accumulate 1005 innings so there will not be any additional middle reliever innings to account for.

Player Innings - AO5 ZiPS FIP Runs Scored - AO5
Adam Wainwright 195 3.2 69
Chris Carpenter 210 3.45 80
Jaime Garcia 180 3.5 70
Kyle Lohse 180 4.2 84
Jake Westbrook 0 4.35 0
Roy Oswalt 180 3.65 73
Replacements (Lynn) 60 3.85 25

This rotation yields 401 runs over 1005 innings. This is essentially a swap of Jake Westbook and Roy Oswalt. So we're talking about a 13 run upgrade.

(4.35-3.65) / 9 * 180 = 1.4

Take out the rounding errors and what we're seeing is that Roy Oswalt is a little more than a 1 win upgrade over Jake Westbrook. A six man rotation is not demonstrably better than a five man rotation with this set of pitchers. Additionally, this set of pitchers is something of a best case scenario for advocates of a six man rotation since all of the pitchers are above replacement level. For those teams with pitchers below replacement level (or just with worse pitchers in general) the penalty is far heavier since the gap between their pitchers talent level is greater than that between Adam Wainwright/Chris Carpenter/Jaime Garcia and Jake Westbrook.

As I'm filing this earlier and will be out of town for the remainder of the weekend, I won't have a chance to update this post if there is an actual Oswalt signing. I hope this serves as a dampener, however, to the idea of a six man rotation. The burden of proof resides with you to give some logical rationale or concrete numbers as to why the Cardinals would benefit from more starters.

A quick plug for Future Redbirds: Tomorrow will feature a question and answer session from John Vuch. Make sure and stop by.

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well settles it then

so what in the heck is Mo up too?

from MLBtr

One of the two sides will have to get creative for Roy Oswalt to land with the Cardinals, says Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports. He says the team’s motives are unclear as well, noting that St. Louis recently checked in on Edwin Jackson.

looking as if rangers have a way ahead if they are serious … but would Oz starting and Harrison in bp be better than Harrison as sp?

More from Durrett, as he writes that Rangers pitcher Matt Harrison isn’t concerned about hearing Roy Oswalt’s name being connected to the club. Harrison would likely be bumped out of the rotation if Texas signs the veteran, but Harrison says that he’s okay with moving to the bullpen.

11 in 11' √
"2011 is dead. Long live 2012!." ... Az.

by I-Musial-ly-Am on Jan 29, 2012 7:34 AM EST reply actions  

Harrison is a team player

a good soldier.

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 29, 2012 12:49 PM EST up reply actions  

take note KMac

11 in 11' √
"2011 is dead. Long live 2012!." ... Az.

by I-Musial-ly-Am on Jan 29, 2012 1:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Hopefully, he'll be Baltimore's good soldier by the end of the day.

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 29, 2012 5:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Trade of KMac to Baltimoo...

…sends Westy to the ’pen and Oswalt to the 5th spot in the rotation…

2011 World Series Champions!
And that is NERTLERB!!!!!!!!!!
:=8D

by The MooCow on Jan 29, 2012 10:22 PM EST up reply actions  

So many numbers

so early in the morning.

flayed ones stealth mode

"Fleshling! Do not shoot! For I am one of you fleshy things. It is I. Your Uncle Stan. Can't you tell by the long strips of fleshy substances covered in bodily fluids? Trust me! I have fleeeeeeeeesh."

by mob16151 on Jan 29, 2012 8:04 AM EST reply actions  

Mozeliak.just threw cold water

On oswalt……said to espn.com “these are just rumors and nothing more.”

Too bad

by stanchar on Jan 29, 2012 8:16 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

/dreamkiller

flayed ones stealth mode

"Fleshling! Do not shoot! For I am one of you fleshy things. It is I. Your Uncle Stan. Can't you tell by the long strips of fleshy substances covered in bodily fluids? Trust me! I have fleeeeeeeeesh."

by mob16151 on Jan 29, 2012 8:55 AM EST up reply actions  

He must not have good health

"young man, when you throw a strike, Mr. Hornsby will let you know"

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Jan 29, 2012 1:14 PM EST via Android app up reply actions  

Nadal just forced Djokovic to a fifth set by sheer force of will

It’s on ESPN2 if anybody is interested.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 8:24 AM EST reply actions  

you are speaking to me from the future

Doesn’t start for 20 more minutes here

11 in 11' √
"2011 is dead. Long live 2012!." ... Az.

by I-Musial-ly-Am on Jan 29, 2012 8:40 AM EST up reply actions  

Heh

Didn’t meant to spoil it

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 8:51 AM EST up reply actions  

It's nice to see a visual breakdown even though I still feel like the main point should be self-evident

However, I assume those arguing in favor of a six man rotation would claim that maybe the extra rest would lead to better FIP/performance or better results, or however you want to phrase it. So they would mentally “adjust” the FIP numbers to be a little better for each pitcher due to the extra rest. I have no idea what kind of evidence there would be to support this, as I assume whatever evidence could be found would be prone to small sample pitfalls.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 8:53 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

A five-man rotation is the ultimate goal, and maybe...

… we would even attain that goal quicckly if, as the rumors suggest, we sign Oswalt tomorrow and then trade Westbrook (supposedly, for Brian Roberts).

by RedAllOver on Jan 29, 2012 9:12 AM EST reply actions  

intriguing

assuming roberts can, you know, get his brain functioning properly

by zeruko on Jan 29, 2012 12:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Also, what's being discussed is not so much a "6-man rotation" as it would be a "5-days-of-rest" rotation...

…I would like to see your numbers if you gave evrybody five days of rest and only started Westbook when needed to get that fifth day of rest.

by RedAllOver on Jan 29, 2012 9:25 AM EST reply actions  

What might be appropriate for this particular rotation (assuming we sign Oswalt)

is a month-by-month adjustment to maximize the benefits of the staff. Jason Powers wrote an article on this subject recently: http://www.upperdeckreport.com/news_article/show/114276?referrer_id=290721

Ad Maiorem Tortius Gloriam

by peppermartin on Jan 29, 2012 9:28 AM EST reply actions  

Interesting theory

I don’t know that I completely agree with much of it. The premise to use the 4 man rotation at the end of the year because those games “matter more” is completely bogus. A win in April = a win in September. Teams don’t get two wins for end of the year games. Also, jumping from a 6-starter month in July to a 4-starter month for the last two months of the year could be detrimental to pitchers accustomed to 5 days rest (jumping to 3 days rest.) Having a starter out of the pen may not be as good as relievers out of the pen – as usually starters have more pitches than relievers and work to establish pitches and see what is working that day. Were they to pitch an inning or two out of the pen, but the time they figure out what’s working they’d be out of the game.

by stlfan on Jan 29, 2012 10:01 AM EST up reply actions  

I personally go back and forth on the idea that late games and late innings "matter" more

My initial impression is always to agree with you—wins are wins no matter when they occur. A home run by our hitters or a strike out by our pitchers help us win no matter what inning. But I always come around to at least seeing the other point of view as somewhat logical. It’s the scarcity argument, basically. The season (or game) is more or less a closed system (obviously not quite in the case of extra innings or a tie-breaker game or something). I think there is something to the notion that, as we approach fewer remaining opportunities, the additional scoring or winning becomes more important somehow… but I have no idea how to put a value on that and make fair comparisons.

In the end I always end up agnostic on it.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 10:14 AM EST up reply actions  

It doesn't matter more. Of you win 95 in a row to start the season and another team loses 68 in a row

Then they finish with 94 straight wins and you finish with 67 straight losses, you still win the division. The only argument you can make is that teams improve at the trading deadline by identifying thier weaknesses and making trades to fix them, so it’s more important for you to be better after that trade deadline. That argument can be undercut then by the idea that being stronger before the other teams improve at the deadline means you can rack up more wins against them while they are weaker and easier to beat. It’s human to feel the games are more important but it’s untrue

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 10:34 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

See, this is so clearly logical to me

And anyway I think I didn’t do a very good job of arguing in favor of the other view point.

It’s not that the games really “matter” more. But I can’t get over the idea that the increasingly smaller opportunities mean… something. I’m really unsure of what to call that “something”, how to define it, how to treat it when evaluating baseball. I think there is a “there” there, but that’s about as far as I can get without someone smarter than me trying to make the case for it.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 10:36 AM EST up reply actions  

I'm not even talking about perception though

I am talking about simple math. The remaining opportunity to acquire something (wins or runs in this case) has to change the calculus somehow. Or so it seems to me. It’s not the same thing as planning ahead at the beginning of the season, that should all be pretty much context neutral because obviously we are not psychic.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 10:43 AM EST up reply actions  

I can appreciate this perspective.

Though I’m inclined to believe that there is an added psychological component to winning games late in the season. Last year’s Pirates and Red Sox spring to mind.

Ad Maiorem Tortius Gloriam

by peppermartin on Jan 29, 2012 10:45 AM EST up reply actions  

I think there probably is a psychological component, but that just wasn't really what I was talking about

I hope Buddhasinllegitimatechild didn’t think I was snarking on him or something. I absolutely agree that those things are real. But I am hesitant to make any assumptions about how that actually affects the players so I was just leaving that out of it.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 10:49 AM EST up reply actions  

I don't think you are snarking, and by the same token I hope WMT doesn't think I'm snarking at him below (in fact I don't think he was even arguing for WPa and LI, just prying for opinion)

I just don’t see what would make the value different. Yes I get that if you have theory games left winning twenty of them is valuable, especially if you need exactly 20 wins to clinch. But if you turn twenty losses into twenty wins earlier in the season then you already have those 20 wins you need to clinch and the other games don’t matter at all. Being human and feeling certain ways about winning and losing baseball games is the whole reason we watch, it’s a good thing. Goo thing or not, though, it doesn’t change the truth, all regular season wins have the same value

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 11:02 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

It's a fun debate to have no matter what

I think the psychological aspect also is (I guess obviously) what leads people to over-value this phenomenon.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 12:05 PM EST up reply actions  

2011 was pretty awesome

At this point I’m not rooting for a repeat of that kind of season. So much stress! I’d much rather just have the Cards steamroll the division. I was slowly becoming a more serious baseball fan during the first half of the 2000s and didn’t understand much of what was going on. I was also in college for most of it, part of that out of the country, so I was paying much less attention. So I have never really experienced a team like the 2004 or 2005 Cardinals as a serious, knowledgeable baseball fan. That sounds pretty fun to me.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 12:13 PM EST up reply actions  

2004 was fantastic, it also made 2006 more sweet

Because it felt like we finally got that championship we should have had the two years before and never got

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 12:24 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

watching the MV3 and Reggie Sanders play every day

might have been the highlight of my 2004 (and Larry Walker too)

I crawled the earth, but now I'm higher, 2010 watch it go to fire!

by First mammal to wear pants on Jan 29, 2012 6:33 PM EST up reply actions  

So you don't believe in LI, WPA, WAR for relievers based on leverage, or anything else

That differentiates the value of the first out in the game or the value of an out in a 10-0 blowout, from an out in the 9th inning of a tie game?

by Willie McGee's Twin on Jan 29, 2012 10:38 AM EST up reply actions  

Well, like I said I usually end up feeling agnostic about it

I think there’s something to it, I am just never quite sure who has the correct view on it.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 10:44 AM EST up reply actions  

Not the timing aspect

The value of performing when others haven’t? yes. Don’t get me wrong, if it’s 1-0 in the ninth, scoring two runs is a big deal, but I’d you score two runs and the other team scores 1 over the course of a game it doesn’t matter what inning it was in, it’s still a 2-1 final. If you find me a game where one team scores two and the other scores 1 and the one that scores 1 wins because of timing, then I give. I do however realize that scoring a couple of runs when it’s 1-0 is a bigger deal then when it’s 10-0. I believe clutch exists I just realize that as an “intangible” it isn’t tangible enough to evaluate and most people that claim they have some magical way to evaluate it are just pumping up a player that they like.(which I’m sure won’t get much arguement here) That’s more about performing in comparison to everyone on the field than what inning/game. A run is a run and a win is a win(with the exception of regular season vs playoff of course)

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 10:50 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

This has nothing to do with clutch.

It has to do with the fact with that wins in a playoff race are actually worth more than games earlier in the year. Just like an Astros win in Sept. last year is worthless. That’s because playoff odds change as the season goes along. Wins are not worth anything except for their value in getting a team into the playoffs – not recognizing this is what leads to the argument above.

by Willie McGee's Twin on Jan 29, 2012 10:59 AM EST up reply actions  

The Astros games at the end of the didnt matter because they didn't win enough total games, not because they were in September

If we lost in the first four months the way the Astros did then our games wouldn’t matter either, that’s not because games in September matter more or less (and if you haven’t noticed to make that argument you have to say that games later in the year matter more AND less depending on team, which, of course, is a contradiction) it’s because we realize that since they didn’t win enough in the early year just as valuable wins that winning late in the year won’t make up for it because the wins aren’t more valuable. Wins may be more or less difficult to attain because of team improved/worsened from trades or playing differently because they are in or out of it but difficulty of schedule/ weather/ injuries to your own or opposing teams also makes wins more or less difficult and they all have the same value.

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 11:11 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

You guys are just talking semantics

Playoff leverage changes as the season goes along, but when looking at it after the season (or before) wins are all worth the same.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 11:14 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

You are correct on this point as a general matter

But teams do act in accorandce with the value of their expected wins in the offseason. That is why the Astros aren’t signing big ticket FAs this offseason. Increasing team performance by five wins is worthless to them because they are not going to make the playoffs anyway. in this way we can see that team’s don’t value wins the same, even in the offseason.

by Willie McGee's Twin on Jan 29, 2012 11:31 AM EST up reply actions  

No I agree with that obviously

I mean to say wins are all worth the same for each team. So the Astros don’t value a win in September more than they do in April when planning for the season.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 11:34 AM EST up reply actions  

But there's a big difference between

that last marginal win that gets you into the playoffs and the one before it. You don’t know where that set point is in the preseseason, but you do at the trade deadline. So, teams will pay more for that middle reliever that supposedly puts them over the top at the trade deadline than they ever would in February.

They say that it's never too late, but you don't get any younger...

by Valatan on Jan 29, 2012 5:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Or in other words

your 90th win gives you a bigger increase in your season clinch probability than your first win does.

They say that it's never too late, but you don't get any younger...

by Valatan on Jan 29, 2012 5:43 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree with this 100%

But the question wasn’t 90th win vs 1st or even say, 60th. It was a question of if that 90th win coming from a win in August or September instead of a win in April or May makes it more important. I don’t think it does. If you win 89 games otherwise and you win one of game 16 of the season and game 155, winning game 155 instead of 16 to make it to 90 isn’t more important or benificial. Basically if you have to win x games of y games left to make the playoffs, winning those x games at a sooner point in the season doesn’t keep you from the playoffs because the wins are less important. I equated to my work earlier and mentioned homework but lets equate it to homework. If you have three days to do it then doing it on the last night if it’s not done is necessary to do it, on the first night its not necessary but it’s not because the first night is less important, it’s because you have two nights to not do the homework and one to do it. Basically you need to do the home work BY the third night, not ON the third night. Obviously you don’t know how many wins mean playoffs before a season as less than 90 can possibly get you there and more than 90 not. That said you will need a set number of wins(1 more than whomever you beat out) of 162 by the end of the season. So let’s say 90 because that’s the numbers lots of calculations find the most valuable. If you need to win 90 games and you have won 70 and it’s more than 90 games in the season, say 130 or whatever you want, then you need 20 more by the end of the season. However you only need those 20 wins because you let 20 games earlier be losses instead of wins not because the games are more important, just like letting the first two night be wasted rather than doing the homework on the first two nights doesn’t mean the last night is more important, it just means you haven’t done what you’ve needed yet. Winning so many games BY the end of the season is what is important, not winning games AT the end of the season. Every regular season game (with the exception of games that also equate to a win or loss for someone you are fighting for a playoff spot with because you are playing head to head) is equally important

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 6:34 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

So to sum it up in more detail

Wins in September aren’t worth more than wins in April, but 90th wins (and beyond) are worth more than 1st wins, regardless of when they happen.

Which means that teams should put more effort and invest more in the elements that will get them to the circa 90-win mark.

Cards fan in Middle East

by Shloz on Jan 30, 2012 4:07 AM EST up reply actions  

Exactly what

I was going to say after that comment.

by stlfan on Jan 29, 2012 2:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Not sure how to articulate this best but...

On April 1 a win means the same to every team. On sep 25 it means everything to some teams, and nothing to most.

What if the total amount of a value of a win for for the sum of all 30 team stays constant throughout the season, but the individual values for the teams fluctuate rapidly?

Squish.

by Squishmytomato on Jan 29, 2012 5:06 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

You'd have chaos!

Chaos, I tell you! Disaster of biblical proportions! Old Testament stuff, real wrath of GOBs type stuff…

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 29, 2012 5:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Cats and dogs living together!

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 7:38 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Rivers and seas boiling!

Forty years of darkness! Earthquakes, volcanoes…the dead rising from the grave! Human sacrifice…mass hysteria!

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 29, 2012 11:30 PM EST up reply actions  

???

were you at my house saturday night?

TLR is gone, long live the king

by sportsman on Jan 30, 2012 9:04 PM EST up reply actions  

I understand your point, it's not a difficult one to grasp, I just don't agree with it.

If the “value” of “wins” were disconnected from in-season playoff odds, I would agree with your point. But since I don’t agree that wins are disconnected from playoff odds, I can’t agree. And there is no contradiction to saying that games matter more or less later in the year depending on team, because again, playoff leverage/odds change for each team as the season progresses.

by Willie McGee's Twin on Jan 29, 2012 11:25 AM EST up reply actions  

Ok, I see what you are saying

I’m not a fan of it because of the value aspect, and I feel the rest is a much mental as anything, and I was just wanting to explain to bobo that it’s a subjective aspect, even when he analyzes it using numbers

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 11:33 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Because he said he feels like the wins mean more and he knows that there is math that agrees

I just wanted him to know that feeling like the wins mean more, I was letting him know that the feeling that the wins have more value because while the need is no greater as the same number of wins will send you to the playoffs, the need becomes more pressing if not already fulfilled. I was also trying to let him know that the math makes sense that say 1 win in 162 means less than 1 win in 30 because by isolating the late games (if you pick a late year day and go by that current situation) because by eliminating the earlier games you are naturally assigning their value as 0 and anything with positive value, such as a win, has more value than zero. That’s where the word mental in my response, as well as the whole discussion rooted from

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 11:56 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I think my wording caused a bit of confusion, too

When I said things like “I feel like they are worth more” the stuff you’re talking about is definitely involved—I am a human being and cannot become completely unemotional.

However, I was also using words like “feel” in order to (try to) convey my cognitive ambiguity. I sense that there is something to this argument about leverage and playoff probability increasing the value of wins and runs, etc. But that sense feels blurry sometimes do to my uncertainty about whether I’m looking at it logically, valuing things correctly, etc. That is what I was trying to get across.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 12:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah I think you were trying to say that need need becomes more pressing

For example, I’m in sales. I sell 100 phones a month usually. If I sell 20 by the middle of the month I suddenly become in danger of having trouble paying my mortgage in the near future. I don’t get payed more for selling the phones later in the month and my need to sell the other 80 phones doesn’t increase but it did suddenly become much more pressing because I haven’t already fulfilled that need. People are used to this feeling because we tend to procrastinate with school and work and have to rush to finish what they could have done before. Needless to say the feeling pertaining to a game like baseball is a lot more fun

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 12:23 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

OK. I would say...

that the reason why bobo feels that the wins “mean more” is because they actually do mean more, as a matter of fact and math. They “mean more” just like an out with the game tied in the ninth inning means more than an out in the 7th inning of a 10-0. It means more in the context of whether a team will win that game, just a like a win in September in the middle of a playoff race means more in improving a team’s playoff odds than a win by a 50-95 team does.

In other words, his intution is correct and he is valuing things correctly, using logic, etc.

by Willie McGee's Twin on Jan 29, 2012 12:49 PM EST up reply actions  

I think that this is the small sample size

vs. big picture argument.

In the example above, we were talking about games over the course of an entire season. One win in game one is equal to one win in game 162. If you lose game 1 and win game 162 in order to clinch, then you just clinch one game later in the year than you had a chance to earlier.

However, when you are looking at one at bat being more important than one other at bat – of course that matters at least slightly.

by stlfan on Jan 29, 2012 2:15 PM EST up reply actions  

IMO

Playoff leverage definitely changes as the season goes along, and games in September definitely have more of an impact on playoff odds than games in April.

However, none of that matters when you’re planning something preseason, because the only thing that matters is trying to get the most wins possible.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 10:40 AM EST up reply actions  

Just another example I am thinking of...I hate the annual MVP award argument that "this guy hit way better in September, and that makes him the MVP"

Part of that is that the people advocating this usually do a crappy job of assigning that extra “value”. That’s why they do things like say Ryan Howard is the MVP merely because he hit a lot better in a later month after playing pretty badly the rest of the year. Even if you award “bonus points” for the late season there’s no way it’s going to overcome the guy who really deserves it.

But for the purpose of over-all analysis I think these issues should at least be taken into account.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 10:47 AM EST up reply actions  

but when you're planning in-season, it has a huge impact

The Edwin Jackson/Rasmus trade wouldn’t have made much sense in April.

They say that it's never too late, but you don't get any younger...

by Valatan on Jan 29, 2012 5:45 PM EST up reply actions  

I wonder what the effect would be

If we had a couple of Japanese pitchers on the team. Guys lik Yu Darvish are used to fewer turns in the rotation. Maybe roster composition somehow needs to be considered in the Robot’s numbers, yes? Just a thought…

by JWO on Jan 29, 2012 10:10 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

As far as I can tell, the impetus for the six-man rotation

is not for health/performance benefits, it’s to accommodate Westbrook’s and Oswalt’s feelings that they both need to be starters. So proving that there’s not a performance benefit doesn’t really address the problem at hand. I don’t think anyone here thinks that taking away starts from Adam, Carp, Jaime, Roy, and Lohse, assuming they are healthy enough to take them, and then redistributing them to Westbrook, will make the team better (but I could be wrong about that).

by Willie McGee's Twin on Jan 29, 2012 10:33 AM EST reply actions  

I can see what you are saying, the problem with that thought is that if Oswalt being signed doesn't improve the team, why spend the money?

Especially if you have to try to creatively accommodate the situation. It’s not like your managing a store and the hiring manager threw something in your lap that you didn’t want. We should only choose to spend $5-8million dollars, including if you sign Oswalt, if the situation is desirable

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 10:38 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

You're*

Holy crap I’ve been bad about that lately

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 10:38 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

The way that signing Oswalt benefits the team is by

Pushing Westbrook out of the starting rotation. the six-man rotation is just an idea to protect Westbrook’s feelings from being hurt from such a move, as far as I can tell.

by Willie McGee's Twin on Jan 29, 2012 10:42 AM EST up reply actions  

Heh. It would result in a result. Awesome writing, bobo...

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 10:50 AM EST up reply actions  

Well, if that were true, why don't we always have a discussion

About instituting a six-man rotation whenever there was an opportunity to add a starting pitcher with better than an projected 83 ERA+ (or whatever Westbrook’s projection is)? Why weren’t we discussing instituting the six-man rotation with Lance Lynn or Shelby Miller?

by Willie McGee's Twin on Jan 29, 2012 10:55 AM EST up reply actions  

This

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 11:16 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I totally agree--was just playing devil's advocate

The main argument for using the six-man thing this year, to me anyway, should logically be about health. Wainwright’s surgery, Garcia’s youth (though I think that one is overblown), Carpenter’s age, etc.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 12:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes, I am saying that "logically" it's not about health at all.

If it were actually about health and the chance that having a 6-man rotation would improve team performance overall, then we (collectively, using our powers of logic) would have had the same “6-man rotation” discussion whether or not Oswalt was going to be signed, but we would have been discussing Lynn or Miller being the 6th man. After all, all of those health issues you mention (Waino’s surgery, Carp’s age, Jaime’s youth) still exist whether Oswalt is signed or not, and Lynn/Miller still have a higher zIPS projection than Westbrook.

So what I’m saying is that the real reason for the argument about the 6-man rotation has nothing to do with health concerns or increased aggregate performance – instead, it is a bogus rationale, based on notions of “fairness” to Westbrook, to account for his feelings that he should still be a starter, even if he’s not one of the top 5, to the overall detriment of the team’s performance.

Therefore — and getting back to my very first point on this topic — showing that the 6-man rotation is not a boon to team performance, as rb has ably done, does not solve the problem. Because the problem that needs solving is not health-related, the prolem is accounting for Westbrook’s and Oswalt’s respective needs to be starters.

by Willie McGee's Twin on Jan 29, 2012 1:04 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

It's amazing how the rumor of us signing Oswalt made me so ready to believe we had solved this problem already

I should probably have remained skeptical.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 3:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Are you arguing that Westbrook needs to be a starter?

Because I think that’s ridiculous. He was bad last year and his contract has nothing in it that says he needs to be in the rotation. Oswalt’s a 1.5 WAR upgrade over him, even over just 140-some innings.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 3:42 PM EST up reply actions  

I didn't take it that way, for what it's worth

I think it’s more the phenomenon where players are not always moved out of the starting role as easily as we would like. Westbrook probably doesn’t want to move to the bullpen, and the Cardinals probably don’t want to tell him that it’s his only option if they can help it.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 3:44 PM EST up reply actions  

But maybe we use it as leverage to move him to, say, Baltimore

Mo: “Jake, we’re in talks with Baltimore, they’d be willing to take you on as their #3 starter, as long as we pay 50% of your contract for 2012.”
JW: “I have a NTC, and I’m not going to go Baltimore. I’m not going anywhere.”
Mo: “Well, we’re also talking to them about KMac.”
JW: “Good, let him go play for one of the worst teams in the majors.”
Mo: “Fine, then, I’ll tell them they can have KMac for a bag of balls…”
JW: “Good.”
Mo: "…and you’ll be our long man and low-leverage/mop-up guy out of the ‘pen, once we sign Oswalt. We were just waiting to iron this situation out before announcing our deal with him.
JW: “Excell…wait, what?” I’m a starter, damn it, not a mop! I only came out of the ‘pen in the Series as a favor to Tony, I’m not a gobsdam reliever!"
Mo: “For this season, that’s exactly what you’ll be. Take it, or waive the NTC to go to Baltimore…”

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 29, 2012 5:32 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

In answer to your subject line question - no, of course not.

I’m saying the whole idea of a six man rotation (which I’m not in favor of) is some bs compromise to keep Westbrook in the rotation.

My opinion is that If we sign Oswalt and can’t trade Westbrook, just make WB the long-man. The 6 man rotation idea is dumb, IMO.

by Willie McGee's Twin on Jan 29, 2012 3:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Alright, yeah I agree with all of that

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 3:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Hey, his most noteworthy win came

when he pitched out of the bullpen, amirite?

Cards fan in Middle East

by Shloz on Jan 30, 2012 4:10 AM EST up reply actions  

also,

Greater rest in between starts = less chance of injury for a starter coming off injury (WW) and two coming off career highs in IP and scary injury histories (Garcia, Carp).

That’s the theory, anyway. No empirical evidence exists to support it, however.

by SouthsideCardsFan on Jan 29, 2012 1:20 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions  

When you sign a better pitcher

It’s a means to push your crappiest pitcher out of the rotation, and thus eliminate a near-automatic loss every 5 games.

by olddomination on Jan 29, 2012 11:16 AM EST up reply actions  

Right, so if we are making this argument then why are we not arguing against signing Oswalt at the same time

Again I agree with you but if what you are saying is true, then why even sign Oswalt?

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 11:17 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Yeah I definitely agree

those things are justifications.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 11:18 AM EST up reply actions  

6 man roatation idea to me

Assumes that oswalt would gave signed by now if hes not a big injury risk, and that waino will not be able to pitch a ton of innings this year

"young man, when you throw a strike, Mr. Hornsby will let you know"

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Jan 29, 2012 1:17 PM EST via Android app up reply actions  

If Westbrook feels he wants to be a starter

he should probably have acted on that feeling by not sucking in 2011.

Still bitching to contact.

by Felonius_Monk on Jan 29, 2012 3:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Winner Pitcher, Game 6, 2011 World Series.

The negative waves. Always with the negative waves...

Elation. Sadness. Mayhem. Champagne. Sleepless fury. Never been a night like it. - Joe Posnanski

by TBender on Jan 29, 2012 3:45 PM EST up reply actions  

3.58 BB, 9 innings, 2011 regular season

(I know you were being sarcastic)

my favorite words are goodbye and my favorite color is red

by mattyp on Jan 29, 2012 3:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Does anybody know Westbrook's GRiTS projection?

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 3:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Shrimp, with lots of butter

The negative waves. Always with the negative waves...

Elation. Sadness. Mayhem. Champagne. Sleepless fury. Never been a night like it. - Joe Posnanski

by TBender on Jan 29, 2012 3:50 PM EST up reply actions  

unfortunately, those innocent baby blues

rule out a high grit quotient

my favorite words are goodbye and my favorite color is red

by mattyp on Jan 29, 2012 3:51 PM EST up reply actions  

How do you measure difference between

healthy mediocre 5th starter and better alternative with suspect health?

by setitan on Jan 29, 2012 12:00 PM EST via Android app reply actions  

I wouldn't employ a six man rotation.....

But I have a gut feeling we’ll need 6 or 7 starters over the course of the season.

Carpenter is getting old, and threw a ton of innings last year.
Waino is coming back from injury, though I expect him to be fine, you never know.
It wouldn’t surprise me if Garcia missed some time this year.
Oswalt, if we sign him, is older and has some injury history.

You just never know, but I’d certainly rather have a solid 6th or 7th option available, then to just assume we won’t need them. Ideally we probably move either KMac or Westy, leaving the one not traded and Lynn as potential safety nets.

by Stanley1 on Jan 29, 2012 12:08 PM EST reply actions  

I think part of the issue with this is that we should prefer to spend less money on those #6 and #7 starters

Because their utility is such an unknown. We just don’t know for certain how useful they will be. We certainly don’t know for certain if employing an actual 6-man rotation would make us better, and it is also always up in the air just how much a team will have to rely on starting pitching depth due to normal causes (injuries, etc.). So it makes less sense, the thinking goes, to spend money on that depth when we don’t have to.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 12:15 PM EST up reply actions  

It's normally the case that any team, even one with 5 young healthy starters, uses 6-8 guys as starters over the course of the year.

Little nicks and scrapes here and there, a guy missing a start or two, etc. Things like that are typical.

Chief Economist of Tyler Greene Fanclub

by Cardinals645 on Jan 29, 2012 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

But anomalies happen, like the '04 cards

Amd even without the anomalies, how much do you want to pay a 6th starter, especially if he’s not a minor leaguer that you can send up and down and you have to waste a roster spot on him between injuries

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 4:10 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Yea, I'm not arguing for more starters or anything.

Just responding to this

But I have a gut feeling we’ll need 6 or 7 starters over the course of the season.

Chief Economist of Tyler Greene Fanclub

by Cardinals645 on Jan 29, 2012 11:43 PM EST up reply actions  

I might be the only one amused by this,

but here are the final standings in the Australian Baseball League:

TEAM		W	L	PCT	GB
Perth		34	11	.756	-
Melbourne	21	24	.467	13.0
Adelaide	20	25	.444	14.0
Sydney		20	25	.444	14.0
Brisbane	20	25	.444	14.0
Canberra	20	25	.444	14.0

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 12:11 PM EST reply actions  

Oi Oi Oi

The negative waves. Always with the negative waves...

Elation. Sadness. Mayhem. Champagne. Sleepless fury. Never been a night like it. - Joe Posnanski

by TBender on Jan 29, 2012 12:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Heh

Damn those Perth Heat! If Melbourne could just get one more good bat, just one long ball hitter, we’d be able to win some games. Maybe they should look into making deals with certain evil supernatural beings…

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 12:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Then Perth promptly got their asses handed to them in the Asia Series.

0-3, outscored 4 – 17

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 12:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Who did they play?

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 3:34 PM EST up reply actions  

It's a round-robin tourny

They played NPB Softbank Hawks, KBO Samsung Lions, and Uni-President Lions from Taiwan.

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 3:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Presumably Perth are an amateur team

and all those Asian teams will be professionals. I think I’ve heard once or twice that NPB is kinda AAA-ish standard, and I’d guess Korea is just a step or so down from that, but I bet the Aussie league is like short-season ball pretty much….

Still bitching to contact.

by Felonius_Monk on Jan 29, 2012 3:46 PM EST up reply actions  

MLB recognizes the Australian league as an official winter league.

They’re more-or-less a minor league and have a handful of players on major league 40-man rosters. But yeah, the level of competition really isn’t up to NPB or KBO levels.

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 3:50 PM EST up reply actions  

SSS.

55 games for a full season? That’s like the final standings after just April and May. Idk how they run things that way.

Chief Economist of Tyler Greene Fanclub

by Cardinals645 on Jan 29, 2012 12:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Have you ever seen how far most of those cities are from each other?

Camels can only move so fast.

Johnny Gomes could not be reached for comment
"There is not a better feeling in the whole world than knowing that you are the best team in both leagues."- Bob Forsch on winning the 1982 World Series.

by MaytheForschbewithyou on Jan 29, 2012 4:13 PM EST up reply actions  

That's so WEIRD

I wonder if it has anything to do with Perth being the only west coast team. Happy flights!

Ad Maiorem Tortius Gloriam

by peppermartin on Jan 29, 2012 1:34 PM EST up reply actions  

You Oswalt yet?

The negative waves. Always with the negative waves...

Elation. Sadness. Mayhem. Champagne. Sleepless fury. Never been a night like it. - Joe Posnanski

by TBender on Jan 29, 2012 12:17 PM EST reply actions  

What is this question?

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 12:31 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Seems like a perfectly reasonable question

are you, or are you not Oswalt yet?

Ad Maiorem Tortius Gloriam

by peppermartin on Jan 29, 2012 1:40 PM EST up reply actions  

is you is, or is you not ... my Oswalt-ients?!

11 in 11' √
"2011 is dead. Long live 2012!." ... Az.

by I-Musial-ly-Am on Jan 29, 2012 2:01 PM EST up reply actions  

* is you is or is you ain't . . .

/wallerese

i used to be disgusted, but now i try to be amused . . . - macmanus

by tom s. on Jan 29, 2012 2:59 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Not Fats Waller

Louis Jordan and Billy Austin. Love Joe Jackson’s version on Jumpin’ Jive.

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 29, 2012 5:38 PM EST up reply actions  

And I don't know who it was

Someone with superior tastes in food, undoubtedly.

Still not a werewolf.

by clank on Jan 29, 2012 2:12 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

it was just a strange comment to rec

i was assuming it was someone who read our interchange on the sea of tweets.

mumble mumble Peter Bourjos mumble mumble

by tehzachatak on Jan 29, 2012 2:46 PM EST up reply actions  

aha!

I figured it out.

Still not a werewolf.

by clank on Jan 29, 2012 2:18 PM EST up reply actions  

so what is the answer then?

11 in 11' √
"2011 is dead. Long live 2012!." ... Az.

by I-Musial-ly-Am on Jan 29, 2012 2:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Who am I to unmask his anonymity?

That’s his decision.
Do some sleuthery.

Still not a werewolf.

by clank on Jan 29, 2012 2:33 PM EST up reply actions  

of course

mumble mumble Peter Bourjos mumble mumble

by tehzachatak on Jan 29, 2012 2:46 PM EST up reply actions  

green

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 3:26 PM EST up reply actions  

It is the PD board but...

what is the noise with Adam Jones/Oriels ?

If you like baseball...you'll love my ROKU !!!

by Red Blazer on Jan 29, 2012 2:31 PM EST reply actions  

It is #Developing

Swing and a high drive to center field...GET UP BABY...GET UP BABY, GET UP...OH YEAH - Shannon, Gm 6

by OurSaviorAaronMiles on Jan 29, 2012 2:34 PM EST up reply actions  

It's my understanding that there is no specific Adam Jones noise.

Strauss tweeted that Cardinals fans need to pay attention to the Orioles and folks are theorizing what this means.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 2:35 PM EST up reply actions  

I believe any St. Louis Browns fans long ago stopped following the Orioles. And understandably so.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 2:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Why the Cards would go after Adam Jones

I don’t know. Unless they have plans to move Jay or Craig in some other trade?

I could imagine the O’s moving Jones, but he seems more like a July deadline deal.

by MdRedbirdFreak on Jan 29, 2012 3:23 PM EST up reply actions  

I think this was because of the ltr rumor

that he was taking a job with the o’s. Cause, you know, lots of people watch a team because of who has minor roles in the front office

by cardsfan_1986 on Jan 29, 2012 3:24 PM EST up reply actions  

He's probably not actually working off of any facts, just threw a dart at a map and that was where it landed

but Jay and Westbrook for Jones? I think I’d take it, Jones is projected for a .340 wOBA by James, Jay .328. Jay does have a fairly substantial fielding advantage according to UZR/150 though, -3.4 to 4.4 in their careers.

by cardinalswsbound on Jan 29, 2012 7:07 PM EST up reply actions  

so exciting!!!
joestrauss @jwills00 Check the P-D site in 60-90 minutes. 42 minutes ago · reply · retweet · favorite

Read more: http://www.stltoday.com/sports/baseball/professional/#ixzz1ksVaOP8c

If you like baseball...you'll love my ROKU !!!

by Red Blazer on Jan 29, 2012 2:43 PM EST reply actions  

..

mumble mumble Peter Bourjos mumble mumble

by tehzachatak on Jan 29, 2012 2:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Ahhh

That made me laugh

by mick311 on Jan 29, 2012 2:49 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

That is a very nice unicorn...

If you like baseball...you'll love my ROKU !!!

by Red Blazer on Jan 29, 2012 2:50 PM EST up reply actions  

I almost did a very bad thing with that unicorn and shaved eel cat...

I have to draw the line somewhere…

If you like baseball...you'll love my ROKU !!!

by Red Blazer on Jan 29, 2012 2:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Some background...

@MLBTalk123:

@JoeStrauss Do you have any news regarding O’s and Cards? Like any specific names or at least a clue?

@JoeStrauss:

@mlbtalk123 Yes. And yes. Thanks for asking.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 2:47 PM EST up reply actions  

How cute.

Strauss’s original tweet was about how Cardinals fans are going to start rooting for the Orioles or something like that. Fine, so that implies one or more Cards are going to the Orioles, obviously. So, perusing the Orioles roster for ‘holes’ they need to fill (and there are many), the biggest ones (or ‘most gaping’ I guess) seem to be:

1B – was Derrek Lee in 2011
3B – was Mark Reynolds in 2011 (-28 Fielding!)
P – Guthrie and Britton, then everyone else under 120 IP

We can’t help them at 1B, and I guess Westbrook or KMac or Lohse would be an upgrade. At 3B…well, it doesn’t seem likely, but David Freese’s value will never be higher than it is right now.

Nah, can’t be Freese…can it?

Dignan: On the run from Johnny Law... ain't no trip to Cleveland.

by lightbulb on Jan 29, 2012 3:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Unless they want

Cox or Carpenter?

O’s have lacked a big bat at 1B for a very long time, though I don’t know how we could help them unless we send them Craig or Matt Adams?

by MdRedbirdFreak on Jan 29, 2012 3:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Well...

If they were to try for Freese (or any other guy that could play third), Reynolds would move to first and be much less of a liability in the field for them.

But then who would we want in return? Jones is the name bandied about, but I’d love to have JJ Hardy (who signed an extension with the O’s in July 2011). We could move him to second, and Descalso could play third.

Okay, I’ll stop Baseball Moguling now…

Dignan: On the run from Johnny Law... ain't no trip to Cleveland.

by lightbulb on Jan 29, 2012 3:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Send 'em Hamilton!

:=8)

2011 World Series Champions!
And that is NERTLERB!!!!!!!!!!
:=8D

by The MooCow on Jan 29, 2012 10:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Hard to field while eating sunflower seeds

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 4:14 PM EST via mobile up reply actions   1 recs

Truf

Dignan: On the run from Johnny Law... ain't no trip to Cleveland.

by lightbulb on Jan 29, 2012 4:17 PM EST up reply actions  

12 to 32 minutes !!!

If you like baseball...you'll love my ROKU !!!

by Red Blazer on Jan 29, 2012 2:49 PM EST reply actions  

omg omg omg

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 2:52 PM EST up reply actions  

selig thinks that the expanded WC format

will be in play this year

the only thing i’m not a fan of in this is the play-in game. it takes away the drama of what we had last year. what happened in ‘11 probably would never happen again if the current format was kept, but i’d rather have that chance than a stupid play-in game.

by zoomzoomj88 on Jan 29, 2012 3:04 PM EST reply actions  

I don't like the second wildcard....

but it should make the division races better. I like the reward for winning a division, but it could be done with the one wildcard system as well.

by _rud_ on Jan 29, 2012 3:08 PM EST up reply actions  

I dislike any scheme that diminishes the importtance

Of regular season games. The idea that an 86-win team can beat a 90-win team in a single game playoff seems unfair and diminshes the losing team’s achievement in winning four more games in the regular season.

i used to be disgusted, but now i try to be amused . . . - macmanus

by tom s. on Jan 29, 2012 3:17 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

completely agree

Allowing the random chance of a single game to predominate over the achievements of an entire 162 game season is nonsense.

my favorite words are goodbye and my favorite color is red

by mattyp on Jan 29, 2012 3:20 PM EST up reply actions  

me double too

TLR is gone, long live the king

by sportsman on Jan 29, 2012 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

A couple of faults in your arguement.

The bullpen is considered to be used the same under both circumstances
This isn’t necessarily true.

So if you sign Roy Oswalt and play a six man rotation you are essentially paying his entire salary for a 3 run upgrade.
This is ignoring injury risk and the value of depth. How much does the analysis change if a starter misses more than a couple of starts.

Something I haven’t seen discussed, Oswalt would give us another option to use in the postseason. How much value would that provide?

Considering that Oswalt would get only ~$5M, it seems to be low risk high reward.

by _rud_ on Jan 29, 2012 3:05 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

your first point isn't really a fault, just an uncertainty.

Unless you’re suggesting that we can somehow know how the bullpen would be used, that uncertainty is dwarfed by the general uncertainty in assessing how oswalt will perform, how many innings he’ll throw, etc.

i used to be disgusted, but now i try to be amused . . . - macmanus

by tom s. on Jan 29, 2012 3:21 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I don't think you can assume that

Lance Lynn will be a 3.85 FIP replacement starting pitcher, on one hand, and assume that taking him out of the bullpen (where a 3.85 FIP starter would likely be much better than 3.85 FIP) doesn’t hurt the bullpen.

Anyway, back of the envelope calculation for one scenario (Carp is hurt in ST):

Scenario (Carp hurt in ST)          runs scored
Original scenario, math fixed:		416.8
No Oz, Lynn is Zambrano-ish:		434.8
No Oz, Lynn is Kyle Lohse-ish:		440.6
W/ Oz, Lynn is Zambrano-ish:		421.7
W/ Oz, Lynn is Kyle Lohse-ish:		426.9

I’ve uploaded the spreadsheet back-of-envelope here- feel free to pick it apart. I think it’s conservative, since I assumed that all of the BO5 IPs are preserved, minus carp, and gave uber-Lynn a very large number of innings (150, best case scenario). But worst-case, assuming only one SP injury (Carp) and Lynn is about the same pitcher as a starter as Kyle Lohse (I think that’s not terribly unreasonable), you could lose about 2.5 wins by not signing Oswalt.

Now, that isn’t “the answer”- in MLB, you have hundreds of independent “risks”, and since risk impact is expectation*consequence, the real world odds of carp being hurt is a huge factor. For something like this, you’d need to do a full study with a couple of hundred scenarios (carp hurt in ST, carp hurt in June, Westbrook hurt any time, AW not ready to start, AW + carp out, etc), plot a sensitivity analysis, and work out what the summed real value to the team is, from signing Oz. Gut feel, it probably really is closer to one win, but any cardinals fan who lived through 2007 should understand the “value of depth” in the pitching rotation on a visceral level.

’_rud_- welcome to VEB, and thanks for the critical thinking.

"Our son Dick was sitting in his high chair, and I looked at that money, and I knew I could never look my son in the face again, if I took that money" (to leave the Cardinals) -Stan Musial, 1946

by SleepyCA on Jan 29, 2012 10:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Of course, the real risk is that Lynn turns into Anthony Reyes.

in which case there’s another 1.5 wins, or so.

"Our son Dick was sitting in his high chair, and I looked at that money, and I knew I could never look my son in the face again, if I took that money" (to leave the Cardinals) -Stan Musial, 1946

by SleepyCA on Jan 29, 2012 10:17 PM EST up reply actions  

The post considers both injury risk and the value of depth.

The projected IP and GS totals are based on perceived injury risk. So is the assumption that a sixth starter will make starts. The “value of depth” is what the entire post drives at. Having six starters and employing a six-man rotation is not particularly valuable in terms of run prevention compared to a five-man rotation with Oswalt.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 3:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Cardinals shopping McClellan with Orioles most likely trade partner

per Strauss:

General manager John Mozeliak recently conceded the possibility exists of a trade involving McClellan but said he believes it more likely that the Florissant native will report with Cardinals pitchers and catchers to Jupiter, FL on Feb. 18.

The Cardinals have attempted to engage a number of clubs in talks for McClellan. The Baltimore Orioles have emerged as one of the most promising trade partners for McClellan, according to industry sources, as the Cardinals are seeking little more than salary relief.

Read more: http://www.stltoday.com/sports/baseball/professional/cardinal-beat/cards-seeking-match-for-mcclellan/article_d18cfa7e-4ab4-11e1-ba33-001a4bcf6878.html#ixzz1ksg5fZI4

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 3:25 PM EST reply actions  

just coming here to post this.

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 3:26 PM EST up reply actions  

makes no sense

if you get nothing, why sign him n the first place, like 2 weeks ago
unicorn on drugs?

TLR is gone, long live the king

by sportsman on Jan 29, 2012 5:24 PM EST up reply actions  

The were stuck with McClellan

when the offered him arb. The contract signed recently was just to avoid arb. I can only surmise the Cards misjudged the market for Oswalt and his desire to play for the Cards.

by jjray on Jan 29, 2012 10:31 PM EST up reply actions  

misjudged something

including offering kmac a spot in the first place
like miles, he would have just been a FA
sign him then if you want him, but
outside the arb process

TLR is gone, long live the king

by sportsman on Jan 30, 2012 9:06 PM EST up reply actions  

yawn

back to work

my favorite words are goodbye and my favorite color is red

by mattyp on Jan 29, 2012 3:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Hell yeah!

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 3:26 PM EST up reply actions  

and....

whoever guessed Strauss was talkin out his arse hole is a winner!

If you like baseball...you'll love my ROKU !!!

by Red Blazer on Jan 29, 2012 3:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Eh, this seems like something in the general vicinity of news.

Also, this is the first time in a while that a local guy has been out in front of a story like this.

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 3:36 PM EST up reply actions  

yay.

i used to be disgusted, but now i try to be amused . . . - macmanus

by tom s. on Jan 29, 2012 3:26 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

AZ and SD also expressed interest.

Makes direct connection to attempt to clear salary for “the right pitcher”.

Stupid Sexy Flanders!!!

by timmycardinals on Jan 29, 2012 3:27 PM EST up reply actions  

For McClellan's sake, I hope he winds up with San Diego or Arizona.

If he goes to the AL East and plays his home games at Camden Yards, he is going to get shelled. In San Diego, his style stands a better chance of working. I hope he winds up in the NL West.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 3:47 PM EST up reply actions  

as the Cardinals are seeking little more than salary relief.

THEN WHY DID WE SIGN HIM IN THE FIRST PLACE?!

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 3:27 PM EST up reply actions   5 recs

at the time maybe they didn't think they had a chance at Oswalt

now that they do, maybe this is just a salary dump to make more room in the budget for Oswalt (I hope)

my favorite words are goodbye and my favorite color is red

by mattyp on Jan 29, 2012 3:29 PM EST up reply actions  

k-mac just shouldn't have been signed, period.

even pre-oswalt, there were better pitchers readily available in the system to take his place for a fraction of the cost. oswalt or not, it never made any sense.

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 3:32 PM EST up reply actions  

I am no longer allowed to bitch about Skip or KMac, so

mumble, mutter, mumble…

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 3:34 PM EST up reply actions  

wut

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 3:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Translated:

I fart in your general direction, Skip and K-Mac.

by cardinalswsbound on Jan 29, 2012 7:14 PM EST up reply actions  

are they french?

TLR is gone, long live the king

by sportsman on Jan 29, 2012 9:15 PM EST up reply actions  

In this scenario

it would cardinalswsbound of whom you should be asking that question.

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 29, 2012 11:33 PM EST up reply actions  

I wish.

would love to A) own a castle and B) be able to drink wine and eat cheese all day.

by cardinalswsbound on Jan 29, 2012 11:40 PM EST up reply actions  

It makes me annoyed that we signed KMac personally

as I never truly believed (until this) that salary was the real stumbling block.

Still bitching to contact.

by Felonius_Monk on Jan 29, 2012 3:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes but like the Colby trade

Even the poor moves by Mozeliak work out extremely well and had some other reason behind them. Colby trade was because TLR stomped his foot and what was originally a cost controlled CF with upside for a reliever rental, a 3/4 starter rental, and three years of a good LOOGY that should be a starter turned into a WS win and 3 sandwich picks + a good LOOGY who should be a starter. While I don’t completely agree with the Kmac deal irregardless of Oswalt, it was a depth move so that we didn’t have to bank Sanchez’s health or sacrifice a starting prospect for a swing man, because even though we know he’s a cromulent middle reliever, the organization sees him as a possible set up man, swing man, or starter. Now that Oswalt can be affordable what would have been nothing could be a c or even b prospect that McClellan brings back depending on how badly just one other team may overvalue him. Usually those prospects are nothing or at best Skiperdoodle, but sometimes they turn out to be Mikel Cleto or David Freese. Stupendous luck on bad move + several good moves = success!

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 4:30 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

but

it was always kmac vs dry powder
dry powder can always be used before july

TLR is gone, long live the king

by sportsman on Jan 29, 2012 5:27 PM EST up reply actions  

so this is what that tweet referenced

if you want a laugh check out the post dispatch forums, they are going insane about a fake adam jones trade. people think we are trading wainwright for jones.

strauss is a very effective troll i’ll give him that.

by Wombat x on Jan 29, 2012 3:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Now, was that so difficult Straussypants?

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 3:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Looks like this was posted Saturday

First time I’ve seen it though.

Dignan: On the run from Johnny Law... ain't no trip to Cleveland.

by lightbulb on Jan 29, 2012 3:30 PM EST up reply actions  

from jon morosi (fox sports)
@jonmorosi Sources: #STLCards do not have a deal in place with Roy Oswalt — yet — but they are trying to clear money to make it work.

by zoomzoomj88 on Jan 29, 2012 3:31 PM EST up reply actions  

pretty much what we all expected

still annoying that we signed kmac in the first place.

if i am MO i say screw trying to get any kind of prospect out of it, seriously just give him away if someone else will pay him.

by Wombat x on Jan 29, 2012 3:33 PM EST up reply actions  

ok i misread the struass post

“seeking little more than salary relief” i read without the little more part

by Wombat x on Jan 29, 2012 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Seems like we'll get a C prospect or something.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 3:37 PM EST up reply actions  

we shouldn't get a lot out of the trade

but i don’t think the cards aim was to trade kmac for a lot in return anyway

by zoomzoomj88 on Jan 29, 2012 3:39 PM EST up reply actions  

No, it isn't.

It’s to clear his $2.5MM salary.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 3:40 PM EST up reply actions  

exactly.

it’s just a salary dump… to get oswalt.

by zoomzoomj88 on Jan 29, 2012 3:47 PM EST up reply actions  

With the O's luck

that C prospect will win a NL MVP 2 years from now.

by MdRedbirdFreak on Jan 29, 2012 4:11 PM EST up reply actions  

And if they can get something for McClellan

rather than just having let him go when he was still fairly cost controlled, then it’s gotta go down as a brilliant move by KMac.

by stlfan on Jan 29, 2012 3:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Maybe I'm missing something

If the Strauss report and Oswalt rumors help up, we’d essentially be putting Oz in the rotation and Westbrook into the pen? How is Westbrook an improvement over KMac in the pen? (Feel free to point to numbers that I clearly have not considered if that’s the case)

Cards, Colts, and Pacers - Baseball, football, and basketball or gambling, guns, and old cars?

by JPBarnett on Jan 29, 2012 3:30 PM EST reply actions  

Held* not help

Cards, Colts, and Pacers - Baseball, football, and basketball or gambling, guns, and old cars?

by JPBarnett on Jan 29, 2012 3:31 PM EST up reply actions  

westbrook has the ability to start if needed and he will be needed

a rotation with waino coming off TJ, carp coming off 300 innings or whatever, and oswalt is going to need a 6th starter atsome point in the year

by Wombat x on Jan 29, 2012 3:34 PM EST up reply actions  

seems like Lynn is at least as reliable and much, much cheaper.

Cards, Colts, and Pacers - Baseball, football, and basketball or gambling, guns, and old cars?

by JPBarnett on Jan 29, 2012 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

this.

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 3:37 PM EST up reply actions  

He is.

The Lohse and Westbrook signings are a lesson in giving good-sized salaries and multiple years to No. 4 starters.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 3:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Plus NTC's

which is the real kick in the balls of those contracts. Pay attention and learn Johnny Moz.

by jjray on Jan 29, 2012 10:35 PM EST up reply actions  

I guess what I'm getting at

is that Westbrook seems to me to be exactly the kind of starter that needs time to figure out his what his “best” pitch is. As mentioned above, by the time he figures that out, he’ll have cost us runs and be out of the game.

Cards, Colts, and Pacers - Baseball, football, and basketball or gambling, guns, and old cars?

by JPBarnett on Jan 29, 2012 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

It seemed to me that Westbrook actually wore out quickly in games

as opposed to starting out slow. I’m not so sure that he wouldn’t be better just throwing 2-3 innings at a time. SSS but last year he had a bit better ERA in his first two innings than he did in innings 3-5. Just not sure that I agree that he needs time to get his pitches right, necessarily.

by cardsfan_1986 on Jan 29, 2012 4:25 PM EST up reply actions  

isn't westbrook just a sinkerball guy?

I mean, he’d be retired if he didn’t get a 60 percent groundball rate. Is there a mystery about what he’s going to throw? It’s not like he’s got 4 plus pitches.

i used to be disgusted, but now i try to be amused . . . - macmanus

by tom s. on Jan 29, 2012 4:32 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

No, he's a sinkerballer thick and thin

Nit being worn out might take some sink away which hurts him, but added velocity may help make it harder to center his sinker therefor making it more effective even with less sink, it’s not like his sinker doesn’t sink well as it is, it’s the low velocity and throwing it too high that hurt him

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 4:35 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

There's more to consider than just whether Westbrook is an upgrade or lateral move compared to McClellan.

The Cardinals apparently need to clear salary to be able to afford Oswalt. Moving McClellan’s $2.5MM salary is going to be easier than moving Westbrook’s $8.5MM salary. Starters will typically see about a 0.50 ERA improvement if he moves from the rotation to the bullpen. Westbrook would likely be about as good as McCellan out of the bullpen, if not a bit better.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

That, too.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 3:37 PM EST up reply actions  

basically going off what bgh said...

it’s a hell of a lot easier to move k-mac’s 2.whatever million (with no NTC, to boot) than it will be to move westbrook’s $8M with a NTC.

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 3:36 PM EST up reply actions  

So it's best to look at this as more of a salary move than a baseball one?

Cards, Colts, and Pacers - Baseball, football, and basketball or gambling, guns, and old cars?

by JPBarnett on Jan 29, 2012 3:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Probably

Although, if it has a causal link with us signing Roy Oswalt, then I guess it’s an indirect baseball move.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 3:38 PM EST up reply actions  

I should have read your comment before posting.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 3:39 PM EST up reply actions  

It's intrinsically linked to signing Oswalt, IMO.

So, while trading McClellan is a strict salary dump, it is a salary dump with the corresponding baseball move of signing Oswalt.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 3:39 PM EST up reply actions  

i'm going to be really frustrated if we don't get oswalt because of this.

it sounds like if the cardinals had nontendered k-mac (which should have happened regardless), oswalt would be a cardinal right now.

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 3:41 PM EST up reply actions  

oh goodness, yes.

it even says that in the article.

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 3:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Won't lie

I never – ever – read Strauss articles. I just see his tweets and whatever people post here.

Cards, Colts, and Pacers - Baseball, football, and basketball or gambling, guns, and old cars?

by JPBarnett on Jan 29, 2012 3:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Westbrook isn't an improvement.

But KMac is tradeable and Westbrook isn’t.

Still bitching to contact.

by Felonius_Monk on Jan 29, 2012 3:52 PM EST up reply actions  

completely agree with this post, azru.

my buddy and i were talking about this same thing last night as he was pushing for a six man rotation and i told him he would be taking innings away from waino/carp and giving them to westy, which is just stupid. this post shows that perfectly.

also, sorry one of your least favorite tennis players won the aussie.

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 3:30 PM EST reply actions  

My favorite tennis player lost to him nonetheless.

I was pleased with the Azarenka win. Nice victory for her.

Beware: Velociraptors may be present.

by azruavatar on Jan 29, 2012 4:01 PM EST up reply actions  

it was a pretty epic match.

had i known it was still going to be going on at 7 i might have actually got out of bed. and i’ve never watched azarenka play. it shocks me that she’s the new #1 and i haven’t even watched her before.

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Heh

My wife and I wake up at 5 these days (her schedule shifts around). Anyway, I started watching the Djokovic/Nadal match before 6. It just kept going on, it was so awesome.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 7:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Joe Strauss' twitter

To me it’s like a bad B movie. By now I should know that He si what He is…he toys and flirts with us like the kid who is in the “it” cirlce only to disapoint us after checking in repeatedly..

I would compare it to a dolph lundgren movie..you know so rediculous but you just can’t turn it off..I used to stay up late on I think Thursdays a while back when theyd do B action movie nights and Usa as well.

Rzepczynski tough name to say, tough sinker to hit-Lance Berkman

by punchinjudy on Jan 29, 2012 3:32 PM EST reply actions  

Like "Showdown In Little Tokyo"???

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 3:37 PM EST up reply actions  

i wopuld even throw in

Lone wolf Mquaid with Norris…just really bad, but funny to watch especially when hes burried alive in his truck and drinks a beer then drives it out

Rzepczynski tough name to say, tough sinker to hit-Lance Berkman

by punchinjudy on Jan 29, 2012 3:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Never seen that one but sounds awesome

Aaaand I just imdb’d it, it looks awesome (and actually I might have seen part of it on TV ages ago as a kid, not sure). Anyway, Norris and Carradine, and some guy named Robert Beltran playing a character named “Kayo”??? Now I have to see this.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 3:53 PM EST up reply actions  

I loved that movie

I thought it was hilarious, and when (young) Robert Beltran appeared I was thinking..holy shit, Chakotay. It’s streaming on Netflix if you have that.

by leefyg on Jan 29, 2012 4:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Whoa, that's who that is???

Awesomer and awesomer.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 4:11 PM EST up reply actions  

I hereby resign my spot in the David Carradine fanclub

by mattyfrommo on Jan 29, 2012 4:17 PM EST via Android app up reply actions  

Robert Beltran is awesome

he played Raoul in Eating Raoul, he was Chakotay in Star Trek: Voyager, and he was in one of the funniest little sci-fi films, Night of the Comet.

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 29, 2012 5:57 PM EST up reply actions  

I no longer am ashamed to say

that once I gave Voyager a chance, I really did like a lot of what they did. Never watched the whole show or anything, but I started tuning into re-runs here and there some years ago and I enjoyed a lot of the episodes I saw. Some neat storylines. The Year Of Hell was memorable.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 7:45 PM EST up reply actions  

his lead ins

like the tweet with the cards and baltimore are terrible. just say what it is without making us wait for 2 hours or whatever it is.

by zoomzoomj88 on Jan 29, 2012 3:43 PM EST up reply actions  

thats where the B movie analogy comes in

just interesting enough to keep you watching, then a let down..like for instance if the Tag about Cards O’s was that one of the Cardinals broadcast staff or soemthing was the one leaving and it had nothing to do with players at all…we’d all be like really??

Rzepczynski tough name to say, tough sinker to hit-Lance Berkman

by punchinjudy on Jan 29, 2012 3:46 PM EST up reply actions  

you have never heard of B movies?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/B_movie

like there was Universal soldier one which was pretty good..two was ok, now there are 3 or 4..

Rzepczynski tough name to say, tough sinker to hit-Lance Berkman

by punchinjudy on Jan 29, 2012 3:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Another classic

I once saw it written that Conan: The Barbarian (the original) was the greatest B movie of all time.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 3:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Evil Dead

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 4:00 PM EST up reply actions  

It had Kurt Russell in it! John Carpenter directed it!

I would consider it a parody of B movies – it’s definitely not a “real” B movie.

by Willie McGee's Twin on Jan 29, 2012 4:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, I just wasn't really sure about the budget, stuff like that

Theoretically couldn’t a “real” actor appear in a B movie?

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 4:08 PM EST up reply actions  

i think so, i liken it to when

they make bad decisions and make sequels or whatever..

Rzepczynski tough name to say, tough sinker to hit-Lance Berkman

by punchinjudy on Jan 29, 2012 4:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Or maybe they just get to a point in their career

when, if they believe in the artistic merit of a certain project, they agree to do it for money.

(I stole that from George Burns)

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 7:47 PM EST up reply actions  

I think Joe Strauss twitter is like a really hot transvestite

It looks appealing from afar, but when you look underneath the surface it has a penis.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 3:48 PM EST up reply actions   4 recs

Eh, I'm not sure Straussicorn has one

Zing!

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 4:41 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I wouldn't want to offend any transvestites

who may be vivaelbirdos.com readers by comparing Strauss to them.

by jjray on Jan 29, 2012 10:40 PM EST up reply actions  

for shits and giggles...

we prolly have the depth at the major league and minor league levels to trade for Adam Jones.

Jay, Craig, Kmac, Cox for Jones and a few more from the O’s..

don’t know what the O’s would do with cox…(insert joke here ….or …ahem… cox ?)

If you like baseball...you'll love my ROKU !!!

by Red Blazer on Jan 29, 2012 3:38 PM EST reply actions  

I don't really want Adam Jones.

Jay is as good as him and under team control longer.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 3:40 PM EST up reply actions  

I should have read your comment before posting

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 3:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Better name material to work with too

I can’t wait to see the first “All Rise!” of the 2012 season..come on spring, hurry up.

by leefyg on Jan 29, 2012 4:12 PM EST up reply actions  

when he connects, Jones has a hell of a lot more power than Jay

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 5:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Interesting to think about

This is more of a tangential question, so apologies in advance for thread-jacking, but would anybody want Adam Jones to begin with? He seems about as good as Jon Jay, he just does it in a different way.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 3:40 PM EST up reply actions  

I suppose one could argue that Jay is more or less maxed out potential-wise, but Jones has room for improvement and is already about as good as Jay

Still, it would seem like a move that is more trouble than it’s worth, to me.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 3:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Don't know...

If you like baseball...you'll love my ROKU !!!

by Red Blazer on Jan 29, 2012 3:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Because OMG Adam Jones!

The negative waves. Always with the negative waves...

Elation. Sadness. Mayhem. Champagne. Sleepless fury. Never been a night like it. - Joe Posnanski

by TBender on Jan 29, 2012 3:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Soooo.....

…having 3 starting outfielders slugging at least .450 – .500 doesn’t interest you? Adam Jones has a lot moore pop than Jay, and while their overall WAR is about the same Jones is held back by his D – which he may be young enough to fix, especially in a new park. I like Jay, but I think he’s pretty much maxed out.

2011 World Series Champions!
And that is NERTLERB!!!!!!!!!!
:=8D

by The MooCow on Jan 29, 2012 10:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Plus the side-cowllateral of

…replacing KMac with Oswalt, if the whole point is to free up room for Oswalt. Of course, I’d feel a whole lot better about all this if I thought Adron Chambers was going to be the next Jon Jay, and was on the roster instead of Skip…

2011 World Series Champions!
And that is NERTLERB!!!!!!!!!!
:=8D

by The MooCow on Jan 29, 2012 10:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Jones really doesn't interest me

Minor upgrade over Jay and probably overpriced in prospect costs.

Still bitching to contact.

by Felonius_Monk on Jan 29, 2012 3:54 PM EST up reply actions  

one note

Projecting a 5-man rotation to pitch significantly more innings than a 6-man rotation seems wrong. One of the benefits of a 6-man rotation is the ability to have your starters go deeper into games.

by SouthsideCardsFan on Jan 29, 2012 4:16 PM EST via iPhone app reply actions  

Hmm..

Going by something azru mentioned in the post, there seems to be evidence that pitch counts in a game are more important than total innings pitched. Would the coaching staff alter their decisions on when to pull a starter based on the amount of people in the rotation, or would it stay the same?

by leefyg on Jan 29, 2012 4:19 PM EST up reply actions  

If we go into the season with Lohse as our #5, WB as the 6, Lynn as the 7, and Miller as the 8....

I’ll be a happy Cards’ fan. That’s the deepest rotation we’ve had in a long time.

Sign Roy O

by guayzimi on Jan 29, 2012 4:17 PM EST reply actions  

haha its so blatant

jonmorosi Jon Morosi
Kyle McClellan will make $2.5M this year. That is roughly the amount by which Roy Oswalt wants #STLCards to up their offer.

by Wombat x on Jan 29, 2012 4:34 PM EST reply actions  

turns out oswalt doesn't even want the money.

Just wants kyle off the team.

Oh, man, that’s hateful!

i used to be disgusted, but now i try to be amused . . . - macmanus

by tom s. on Jan 29, 2012 4:36 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

there's some prime Iowan property ripe for bulldozing in it for roy.

i used to be disgusted, but now i try to be amused . . . - macmanus

by tom s. on Jan 29, 2012 4:41 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Lots of big bucks in southern Iowa...

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 6:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Oswalt thinks McClellan

is the descendant of a union civil war general or least didn’t want to look at the name McClellan taped over a locker room stall before and after each game.

by jjray on Jan 29, 2012 10:45 PM EST up reply actions  

RESPECT

sacrifice one of your homegrown and I will be your SP.

by RasmustheRipper on Jan 29, 2012 4:55 PM EST up reply actions  

https://twitter.com/#!/JimBowdenESPNxm/status/163737108828266496

JIM BOWDEN
Source: Cardinals continue to work on a deal with Orioles which would result in enough payroll flexibility to sign Roy Oswalt…stay tuned

by prophetjohn on Jan 29, 2012 4:37 PM EST reply actions  

Never should've offered arb...

I was a proponent at the time b/c I thought he’d have trade value. Now it’s just getting in the way.

Sign Roy O

by guayzimi on Jan 29, 2012 4:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Take the Oswalt, drop the KMac

Stop busting Mo’s balls, DeWitt! Just give him the cash to do the deal. We can sort out the particulars later.

Ad Maiorem Tortius Gloriam

by peppermartin on Jan 29, 2012 4:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Oooooo

Trade skip mcclellan.

"young man, when you throw a strike, Mr. Hornsby will let you know"

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Jan 29, 2012 9:02 PM EST via Android app up reply actions  

http://twitter.com/jonmorosi/statuses/163738831395364864

#STLCards discussed deals with Oswalt in $7.5M range. Roy wants $10M. Hence desire to move McClellan. He makes – you guessed it – $2.5M.

by prophetjohn on Jan 29, 2012 4:43 PM EST reply actions  

i'm not too sure that $10MM is still a good deal

we’re talking about likely <2 WAR upgrade over westbrook. if westbrook’s salary could be moved, that’s another story, but i doubt that happens

by prophetjohn on Jan 29, 2012 4:45 PM EST up reply actions  

keep in mind that the average dollar per WAR figures

do not factor in the player actually being replaced. More often than not that player is above replacement level. So the dollar per WAR is going to be deflated.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 4:47 PM EST up reply actions  

but we're getting to the point where we're paying $18MM for a starter and a reliever

likely to total around 3 WAR. it’s not a huge overpay, but it’s not a bargain like it was at $5MM

by prophetjohn on Jan 29, 2012 4:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Westbrook is a sunk cost, so I don't know why we're talking about his salary

We’d be paying 10 million for a 1.5 win upgrade. Which is probably about market value. When you consider our position on the playoff curve, those wins are very important.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 4:51 PM EST up reply actions  

he's likely worth close to or equal his salary as a starter.

move him to the bullpen and his value drops significantly. i know it’s your job to disagree with everything i say, but the numbers are the numbers and $10MM is not market value for 1.5 WAR

by prophetjohn on Jan 29, 2012 4:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, see you apparently didn't read my post above

Because the “market value” that you’re talking about (5 million per WAR) is not calculated based on how much of an upgrade that player is. It’s calculated based on how much WAR that player projects to have.

Case in point, Rafael Furcal is likely a 1 WAR upgrade over Tyler Greene at short. But his 8 million dollar salary is still a bargain because you’re not paying for the upgrade, your paying for the player.

Oswalt projects to be a 3 WAR pitcher, so 10 million is absolutely a bargain in that respect. I’m not sure if the upgrade over Westbrook is smaller or larger than the average upgrade in free agency. But the average player being replaced is definitely not replacement level.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 5:04 PM EST up reply actions  

all right

i still have the opinion i expressed here, but i don’t really have any desire to discuss it with you. i think that $10MM makes this less clearly a bargain considering the construction of the team. my supporting claims are above

by prophetjohn on Jan 29, 2012 5:08 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree that it's less of a bargain at 10 mil vs. 5 mil

that’s obvious. As to your point about the 1.5 WAR upgrade, that’s fine if you look at it that way, but then you can’t use “market value”, because that is calculated with the assumption that every player being replaced is replacement level. And that’s definitely not true.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 5:10 PM EST up reply actions  

does it really matter though?

we’re not going to have any other place to use that money this season.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 4:50 PM EST up reply actions  

It all really boils down to the "it's not my money" argument.

Like pj said below, it’s no longer a clear bargain. If management is OK with it, then who am I to tell them no?

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 4:52 PM EST up reply actions  

It's not a bargain... but it's not a rip off either.

Not sure what else we would do with the money anyway. With a division that looks to be this close I would much rather pay the 10mil to help us get the division title instead of the wild card

by cardsfan_1986 on Jan 29, 2012 5:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Yea, I dont want Roy unless we can move Westy

Either. Its just not enough of an upgrade. I think the FO probably thought Kmac would have more trade value than he actually does…may have thought they had a deal made with Roy while banking in the fact they could just turn around and flip Kmac to someone and know they are realizing that may not be so easy without eating some of his salary.

by mick311 on Jan 29, 2012 4:52 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Trading Westbrook partially defeats the purpose of signing Oswalt...

which is to add depth. Oswalt is a 2 win upgrade over Westbrook, but Westbrook will get starts when someone else goes down. If WB is traded, then Lynn gets those starts, which is fine, but that shorts us a high leverage reliever. The biggest problem is that it brings Dickson very close to being a regular starter – just two injuries away.

Sign Roy O

by guayzimi on Jan 29, 2012 4:58 PM EST up reply actions  

I think the backup SP competition is going to be strong this year

because after the Super 2 deadline, I think Miller becomes a strong option. Besides him, there is alternate depth as well. That is not to say that Dickson won’t get a shot (or that Westbrook isn’t better than some of the options), but we have have a pretty good variety of options to try before Randy Keisler.

by RasmustheRipper on Jan 29, 2012 5:04 PM EST up reply actions  

I guess...

But my argument is that if signing Oswalt is just to add depth, than $10m seems way too high.

by mick311 on Jan 29, 2012 5:29 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Oswalt

has been sketchy the last few years, but at times he is still Roy. I’d rather give him the ball in a 7 game than Westy…Stats aside I just know that if both give their best I’d still go with Roy…but thats a lot of money

Rzepczynski tough name to say, tough sinker to hit-Lance Berkman

by punchinjudy on Jan 29, 2012 4:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Is this the part where I get to say "I told you so"

to all the people who claim that contracts like Skip Schumaker or Kyle McClellan don’t matter? Or how about to the people who said that DeWitt would just spend more money to make it happen because the Cardinals don’t have a salary ceiling?

I just want to know how we are keeping score.

Beware: Velociraptors may be present.

by azruavatar on Jan 29, 2012 7:58 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

I feel like

They had no intention initially to sign Oswalt. Now because of peer pressure they are stuck in a messy situation

by FlimtotheFlam on Jan 29, 2012 8:03 PM EST up reply actions  

Peer pressure?

What in the world are you talking about?

Beware: Velociraptors may be present.

by azruavatar on Jan 29, 2012 8:04 PM EST up reply actions  

meh.

however, they still never should have signed k-mac in the first place. and now the signing might end up costing them oswalt, who is a 1-2 win upgrade next year. and those are some big wins we’re talking about.

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 8:05 PM EST up reply actions  

In a vacuum, the KMac signing was lousy.

Just how damaging it might be is now thrown into sharp relief.

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 8:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Actually, it's azru's fault

Mo wandered over here one day, saw all the hatred from our fearless robot leader, and said, “Oh. Well, maybe I can make things up to him by trying to bring Oswalt in, anyway. It’ll be a helluva job convincing Bill to shell out another $5-10 million, and it may wind up making us look like fools, but anything to appease azruavatar.”

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 29, 2012 11:47 PM EST up reply actions  

who has said signing that dead weight didn't matter?

of course it matters!

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 9:19 PM EST up reply actions  

not me

i can sort of see skrappy, but kmac?

TLR is gone, long live the king

by sportsman on Jan 29, 2012 9:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Jay & Dirty D make Skippy obsolete don't they?

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 9:27 PM EST up reply actions  

there were several people saying "meh, he's the 25th

Or 24th player on the team."

i used to be disgusted, but now i try to be amused . . . - macmanus

by tom s. on Jan 29, 2012 9:35 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

morans, the lot of them

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 10:03 PM EST up reply actions  

The Cardinals are spending more money than their salary ceiling

Even if they trade KMac, Oswalt will bump salary up to 117 million, which is well above the 110 million you were saying was the hard ceiling for earlier.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 30, 2012 1:25 AM EST up reply actions  

do you think if Oswalt signs, Lohse or Westbrook may be more willing to waive their no trade....

nothing like going into a contract year and being a mop up reliever….

In teams of getting a decent payday in 2013 and beyond….

Starting for San Diego in 2012 > mop up role for the Cardinals in 2012

No?

by hockeyno93 on Jan 29, 2012 4:47 PM EST reply actions  

I'm sure they probably would be but

I don’t know that the FO wants to take the risk without knowing for sure first.

by mick311 on Jan 29, 2012 4:54 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

It's a bit overproduced

and I think the beats are too loose for the modern rap scene.

But what do I know.

Beware: Velociraptors may be present.

by azruavatar on Jan 29, 2012 8:00 PM EST up reply actions  

agreed on both

vocals are too low in the mix too, and this comes from someone who tends to like that- it doesn’t work with this kind of production. i will make no comment on the lyrics, but his flow, at least for most of this song, is waaaaay too sloppy. it’s just someone reciting words. there’s a couple bars that make it sound like he’s got the talent to sound better though. it does certainly sound like he could rap with some velocity if he wanted to, at least.

mumble mumble Peter Bourjos mumble mumble

by tehzachatak on Jan 29, 2012 8:11 PM EST up reply actions  

a lot of his stuff here:

Komo Beatz

i like some of his instrumentals a lot.

mumble mumble Peter Bourjos mumble mumble

by tehzachatak on Jan 29, 2012 8:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Here are the ZIPS projections

Westbrook: 4.52 ERA, 4.26 FIP, 4.40 average
Oswalt: 3.68 ERA, 3.61 FIP, 3.65 average

Over 140 innings, that’s a 1.3 WAR upgrade. Over 180 innings that’s a 2 WAR upgrade. So that’s the range we’re looking at.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 5:00 PM EST reply actions  

No

read my comment above in reply to pj.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 5:04 PM EST up reply actions  

$7.5 million is what we have to pay...

and he’s worth that (and probably more).

Sign Roy O

by guayzimi on Jan 29, 2012 5:13 PM EST up reply actions  

I thought we had to pay 10 million?

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 5:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Sorry I'm being confusing...

presumbly we’d keep KMac if we didn’t sign Oswalt, which would cost $2.5M. So Oswalt is $7.5M more to the budget.

Sign Roy O

by guayzimi on Jan 29, 2012 5:18 PM EST up reply actions  

right

and kmac’s pretty much replacement level and he’s definitely worse than sanchez, so we wouldn’t be losing any value.

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 29, 2012 5:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Oswalt has a bad back, but he's still a hell of a lot better than KMak, Bubbles & Westy

what have we learned Mo? don’t sign shitty pitchers! and especially don’t sign shitty pitchers no one else wants when you need to dump their sucky asses when you’re trying to sing a good pitcher you dumbass

learn it

love it

live it

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 5:14 PM EST reply actions  

Boggs is def expendable.

We are already going to prob see Sanchez start the year in Memphis….we have plenty of depth for the bullpen IMO:

Sanchez
Cleto
Reifer
Swaggerty
Kelly
Ottavino

by mick311 on Jan 29, 2012 5:32 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

If I'm not mistaken, Boggs will enter arbitration next year.

At which point, he becomes as expendable as McClellan is this year. No need to pay replacement-level relievers more than $500K.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 7:02 PM EST up reply actions  

I disagree with that

He got used even less than KMac at the end of the year. He didn’t get used for nearly a month at the end of the season. His location problems are pretty bad.

I did however like it when Boggs finally got put in for an inning and he was visibly pissed while he pitched. He mowed down the guys he saw that inning. Give me that Boggs but not the regular, throw the ball in the dirt 6 feet in front of the plate Boggs.

bollocks

by SecondHalfMatt on Jan 30, 2012 1:38 AM EST up reply actions  

boggs can strike people out

hence more valuable

TLR is gone, long live the king

by sportsman on Jan 30, 2012 9:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Well, you know he is Italian

horny bastards

Ad Maiorem Tortius Gloriam

by peppermartin on Jan 29, 2012 6:13 PM EST up reply actions  

ha, it's on youtube as well

I watched it the other day.

By and large, language is a tool for concealing the truth. - George Carlin

My Google+ Page |

by CarpIsMyManCrush on Jan 29, 2012 6:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh yeah. Forgot about sticky puck thing.

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 6:12 PM EST reply actions  

can't watch it.

nbc sports network is on the “premium” sports package on my cable. stupidest thing i’ve ever heard.

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 6:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Apparently they're just trading goals.

Elliot in now.

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 6:26 PM EST up reply actions  

i hate all star games that aren't mlb's. so it's fine.

the fact that i’m actually going to watch the pro bowl tonight disgusts me.

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 6:27 PM EST up reply actions  

2 against him already.

These goalies really have no chance.

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 6:27 PM EST up reply actions  

4 now.

There beating him like a rented goalie!

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 6:38 PM EST up reply actions  

is it officially called NBC sports now?

that’s why i couldn’t find Versus, huh.

mumble mumble Peter Bourjos mumble mumble

by tehzachatak on Jan 29, 2012 7:48 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah, since the first of the year

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 7:49 PM EST up reply actions  

The Blue Jackets get to host the next one?

Bah. The Blues haven’t had it since 88. The new arena hasn’t had one at all.

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 6:59 PM EST up reply actions  

fucking columbus?

"Alright, you caught me. I was wearing the clear heels"

-azruavatar

by stlcardinalsfang on Jan 29, 2012 7:00 PM EST up reply actions  

cow town USA baby!

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 9:20 PM EST up reply actions  

...

http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2012/01/cardinals-shopping-kyle-mcclellan.html

I love the part about the Cards’ asking price for Kmac being “too high.”

by Willie McGee's Twin on Jan 29, 2012 6:24 PM EST reply actions  

"Yeah, I don't think we can really do a bag of balls"

“How about just one?”

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 6:25 PM EST up reply actions  

The guy who got traded for a bag of balls in the minors

went on to kill himself or OD. Pretty much the same thing either way.

bollocks

by SecondHalfMatt on Jan 30, 2012 1:34 AM EST up reply actions  

This is true, of course,

but KMac’s value has to be miniscule at this point. Everyone knows the Cards are trying to unload him to get Oswalt. They have less leverage to pull off a trade than they did even a week or two ago. But Mo has surprised me before.

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 6:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh, sure. I just mean I can imagine the situation going downhill quickly.

Mo: I’ll take Dylan Bundy.
Duquette: Fuck off.
Mo: Ok, Schoop then, I guess.
Duquette: No way. Get lost.
Mo: How about Bundy’s older brother?
Duquette: No, dumbass.
Mo: Jesus, this is tough. How about Matusz? Is he still alive?
Duquette: Ok, I’ll give you Matusz’s corpse. And you pay $1MM of McClellan’s salary…
Mo: Thank you.

by Willie McGee's Twin on Jan 29, 2012 6:36 PM EST up reply actions  

If Dunc were still here

I’d bet he could do something interesting with that corpse.

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 29, 2012 7:18 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

I am so excited to play as this Cards team in MLB 12 The Show.

We seem to always be underrated, but think it will be remedied this year.

by cardinalswsbound on Jan 29, 2012 7:08 PM EST reply actions  

how much was 1 war worth in dollars this year?

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter
2011: Boog would've count 78

by d-dee on Jan 29, 2012 7:12 PM EST reply actions  

both

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter
2011: Boog would've count 78

by d-dee on Jan 29, 2012 7:23 PM EST up reply actions  

I believe this whole thing with KMac's salary and Oswalt

is what’s known as a “teachable moment” for Mo.

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

by a fink on Jan 29, 2012 7:13 PM EST reply actions  

10¢ on the dollar?

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 29, 2012 7:29 PM EST up reply actions  

he could still unload kmac for $800K if he cuts him in ST.

GM’s never do that, but it’s an option.

"Our son Dick was sitting in his high chair, and I looked at that money, and I knew I could never look my son in the face again, if I took that money" (to leave the Cardinals) -Stan Musial, 1946

by SleepyCA on Jan 29, 2012 8:16 PM EST up reply actions  

isn't that considered majorly bad etiquette or something?

i remember learning about this and being absolutely stunned it didn’t happen more often.

mumble mumble Peter Bourjos mumble mumble

by tehzachatak on Jan 29, 2012 8:20 PM EST up reply actions  

it's funny, since

from a game theory perspective, GM’s could gain a large amount of leverage by doing things like this on a regular basis, since it would strongly incentivize players to sign long-term deals to buy out arb years.

"Our son Dick was sitting in his high chair, and I looked at that money, and I knew I could never look my son in the face again, if I took that money" (to leave the Cardinals) -Stan Musial, 1946

by SleepyCA on Jan 29, 2012 8:33 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah, seriously

mumble mumble Peter Bourjos mumble mumble

by tehzachatak on Jan 29, 2012 8:34 PM EST up reply actions  

iirc, kmac is the cardinals union rep as well

so would that make it doubly awkward?

and we won the world series.

by YesWeOquendo on Jan 29, 2012 8:40 PM EST up reply actions  

always hard, choosing a new union rep

after the last guy was released with 45 days pay, in full accordance with rules the player’s union agreed to.

"Our son Dick was sitting in his high chair, and I looked at that money, and I knew I could never look my son in the face again, if I took that money" (to leave the Cardinals) -Stan Musial, 1946

by SleepyCA on Jan 29, 2012 9:04 PM EST up reply actions  

only if k-mac is well-liked personally.

If I were a starting pitcher and I realized I could either have kyle or eduardo sanchez taking over the sixth or the seventh from me, I’d be calling the orioles myself to see what they needed.

i used to be disgusted, but now i try to be amused . . . - macmanus

by tom s. on Jan 29, 2012 9:42 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

This

"young man, when you throw a strike, Mr. Hornsby will let you know"

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Jan 29, 2012 9:04 PM EST via Android app up reply actions  

now, mlb trade rumors says the orioles are looking

At bringing uehara back, which would require a trade from the rangers.

The rangers are also in on oswalt. And the cards need to move k-mac to afford oswalt. A trade for uehara would kill the demand for k-mac. Could get interesting.

i used to be disgusted, but now i try to be amused . . . - macmanus

by tom s. on Jan 29, 2012 7:27 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

Yeah, well..

the St. Louis Cardinals still won the 2011 World Series!

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

#HappySeason #SadOffSeason #ImFeelingBetterThough

by The Continental on Jan 29, 2012 7:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Got it

Kinsler and Profar to Cards
K-Mac to Rangers
Uehara to Orioles

by cardinalswsbound on Jan 29, 2012 7:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Seems fair to me

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 7:54 PM EST up reply actions  

I love how these jokes never get old.

Mix and match our crap players with the other team’s best player at our positions of need … and … PRESTO! Always funny.

Chief Economist of Tyler Greene Fanclub

by Cardinals645 on Jan 29, 2012 9:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Funny, or secret desires?

"IF CARDS CAN SIGN SUPPAN THEY CAN GIVE ME A HOME"

by Buddhasillegitimatechild38 on Jan 29, 2012 10:01 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Secret desires.

Chief Economist of Tyler Greene Fanclub

by Cardinals645 on Jan 29, 2012 11:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Hey

It works on MLB 11. How else do you think I ended up with an infield of Brett Lawrie, Dee Gordon, Kolten Wong, and…. Well Adam LaRoche but still!

by cardinalswsbound on Jan 29, 2012 11:48 PM EST up reply actions  

rangers are supposed to be meeting with oswalt tomorrow too

god its going to be… exasperating… if we lose out on oswalt because we just had to sign friggin kmac

by Wombat x on Jan 29, 2012 8:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Texas is Oz blocking us...

clever bastards..

If you like baseball...you'll love my ROKU !!!

by Red Blazer on Jan 29, 2012 8:32 PM EST up reply actions  

At least they can't...

wait for it….Cox-block us!

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 29, 2012 11:49 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

david freese tweets that matt holliday is flying

Kolten wong, ryan jackson, tilson, and matt adams in for a week “to hit and hang”

Holliday knows who’s going to be on the field with him two, three, four, five years from now.

i used to be disgusted, but now i try to be amused . . . - macmanus

by tom s. on Jan 29, 2012 7:38 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

a hit and hang?

I’m concerned.

Because Matheny

by WyoCardsFan on Jan 29, 2012 7:41 PM EST up reply actions  

presumably, batting practice.

“Now, matt, we’re going to practice now swinging. Okay? So, no matter what, I don’t want you to swing at this pitch. . . . No, you swung that time. Let’s try it again, and I want you to focus on not moving the bat, your hands, or your arms. . . . Now, can you tell me what went wrong there. . . . That’s right, you swung.”

i used to be disgusted, but now i try to be amused . . . - macmanus

by tom s. on Jan 29, 2012 7:46 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

*not swinging

i used to be disgusted, but now i try to be amused . . . - macmanus

by tom s. on Jan 29, 2012 7:47 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Is that like

a coors and a shot?

or

farmers fetus?

The negative waves. Always with the negative waves...

Elation. Sadness. Mayhem. Champagne. Sleepless fury. Never been a night like it. - Joe Posnanski

by TBender on Jan 29, 2012 8:27 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Radio commercial for FarmersFeedUs.org read by Holliday.

Sounds like he’s saying Farmers Fetus.

The negative waves. Always with the negative waves...

Elation. Sadness. Mayhem. Champagne. Sleepless fury. Never been a night like it. - Joe Posnanski

by TBender on Jan 29, 2012 8:35 PM EST up reply actions  

what? really?

go listen to Matt Holliday say “Farmers Feed Us”. i’m sure it’s on YouTube somewhere.

mumble mumble Peter Bourjos mumble mumble

by tehzachatak on Jan 29, 2012 8:35 PM EST up reply actions  

I haven't found it just yet

but I did find a “Who would win in a fight between Matt Holliday and Satan?” thread.

Still not a werewolf.

by clank on Jan 29, 2012 8:41 PM EST up reply actions  

did anyone else notice that they changed the domain name for that organization last year?

I doubt it was a coincidence.

"Baseball is like Church, many attend, few understand" - Wes Westrum

by scoot on Jan 29, 2012 8:49 PM EST up reply actions  

is that like coors and a shot?

By and large, language is a tool for concealing the truth. - George Carlin

My Google+ Page |

by CarpIsMyManCrush on Jan 29, 2012 8:38 PM EST up reply actions  

ah damn nexdef'd

i should really read closer

By and large, language is a tool for concealing the truth. - George Carlin

My Google+ Page |

by CarpIsMyManCrush on Jan 29, 2012 8:38 PM EST up reply actions  

He also knows how not to offend David Freese.

He didn’t invite Zack Cox…

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Jan 29, 2012 7:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Or Matt Carpenter.

Chief Economist of Tyler Greene Fanclub

by Cardinals645 on Jan 29, 2012 9:47 PM EST up reply actions  

They'll be in the next group

after this group leaves.

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 29, 2012 11:51 PM EST up reply actions  

I <3 Matt Holliday

"Baseball is like Church, many attend, few understand" - Wes Westrum

by scoot on Jan 29, 2012 8:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Matt Holiday rocks my socks off.

Who needs affection when you can have blind hatred?
Future Mrs. David Freese ♥
St. Louis Cardinals 2011 World Series Champions

by ClemsonGirl on Jan 29, 2012 8:19 PM EST up reply actions  

he's married young lady

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 9:23 PM EST up reply actions  

WHEN DID I GET MARRIED??

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 10:03 PM EST up reply actions  

CG, I mean

She can’t cheat on David with Matt (ala John Terry) because it will hurt our chances at repeating

SIGN ROYO

by Notorious PSC on Jan 29, 2012 10:05 PM EST up reply actions  

oh well yes then, we must keep peace within the clubhouse at all cost

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 10:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Oscar Taveras is PISSED.

“Tilson was just drafted! I hit over .380 last year! WTF?!?!?!?”

Chief Economist of Tyler Greene Fanclub

by Cardinals645 on Jan 29, 2012 9:48 PM EST up reply actions  

This is probably a language barrier thing

Of all sad words of tongue or pen; the saddest are these: 'It might have been!' -- Whittier
Twitter

by mysterui on Jan 29, 2012 9:57 PM EST up reply actions  

That actually occurred to me.

Here:
“¡Tilson fue redactado sólo! ¡Golpeé más de 0,380 el año pasado! ¡¿Que la foca?!

Chief Economist of Tyler Greene Fanclub

by Cardinals645 on Jan 29, 2012 11:36 PM EST up reply actions  

I would think Holliday would be a good teacher for Taveras....

Holliday has one of the most violent swings in baseball.

Haven’t seen Taveras yet but I hear he has a pretty violent swing.

If you like baseball...you'll love my ROKU !!!

by Red Blazer on Jan 29, 2012 10:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Moneyball was a horribly boring movie

and one of the worst scripts I’ve seen Aaron Sorkin associated with.

Beware: Velociraptors may be present.

by azruavatar on Jan 29, 2012 8:59 PM EST reply actions  

Still debating on whether i should invest the time

I suppose i will eventually

"young man, when you throw a strike, Mr. Hornsby will let you know"

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Jan 29, 2012 9:06 PM EST via Android app up reply actions  

I liked it as a character study.

2011 - Year of Our Berk

by spants on Jan 29, 2012 9:09 PM EST via Android app up reply actions  

I was surprised at how it portrayed Beane.

But I’m not sure I found it fulfilling in it’s exploration of his character.

Beware: Velociraptors may be present.

by azruavatar on Jan 29, 2012 10:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Nuh uh.

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 29, 2012 9:17 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I liked it

But maybe that’s because I wasn’t expecting a documentary on sabremetrics

by Cheeseballs on Jan 29, 2012 9:25 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

good thing Pitt is so sexy that it don't matter what's coming out of his mouth

amiright ladies?

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 9:26 PM EST up reply actions  

shahsparshahtotahperahwankalbloo.

/pikey

i used to be disgusted, but now i try to be amused . . . - macmanus

by tom s. on Jan 29, 2012 9:38 PM EST via mobile up reply actions   2 recs

that was such a great movie

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 10:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Nah, I liked it

Your opinion is wrong

Of all sad words of tongue or pen; the saddest are these: 'It might have been!' -- Whittier
Twitter

by mysterui on Jan 29, 2012 9:56 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

so's your face

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 10:04 PM EST up reply actions  

I thought the dialogue was borderline childish throughout the film.

They never resolved the Art Howe situation in a satisfying fashion to me. (I suppose the Hatteberg PH appearance was supposed to do so but it felt cheap and half-hearted.)

And the pacing was awful. For someone who has disagreed with me about movies before because of pacing, I can’t understand how you liked Moneyball.

Beware: Velociraptors may be present.

by azruavatar on Jan 29, 2012 10:24 PM EST up reply actions  

But Brad Pitt!

And Jonah Hill!

Of all sad words of tongue or pen; the saddest are these: 'It might have been!' -- Whittier
Twitter

by mysterui on Jan 29, 2012 10:28 PM EST up reply actions  

The Art Howe situation was weak.

2011 - Year of Our Berk

by spants on Jan 30, 2012 2:07 AM EST via Android app up reply actions  

Looked Pretty dull...

:=8P

2011 World Series Champions!
And that is NERTLERB!!!!!!!!!!
:=8D

by The MooCow on Jan 29, 2012 10:39 PM EST up reply actions  

In the past two days I've seen Driver and Moneyball

Maube not so easy to compare the two, but I much preferred Driver. Ok, mostly for the soundtrack. An also being really, really awesome. Wish I had seen it on the big screen.

my favorite words are goodbye and my favorite color is red

by mattyp on Jan 29, 2012 10:54 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Driver or Drive?

Of all sad words of tongue or pen; the saddest are these: 'It might have been!' -- Whittier
Twitter

by mysterui on Jan 29, 2012 11:26 PM EST up reply actions  

dive

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 11:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Drive

I, too, have a new found respect for phone commenters.

my favorite words are goodbye and my favorite color is red

by mattyp on Jan 29, 2012 11:44 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

At the end of Skip's deal, he'll have played on the Cardinals for 9 seasons

And won 4 World Series. He’ll be a true Cardinal, unlike that choker Mark McGwire

SIGN ROYO

by Notorious PSC on Jan 29, 2012 10:56 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

real winnar

"young man, when you throw a strike, Mr. Hornsby will let you know"

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Jan 29, 2012 10:58 PM EST up reply actions  

a true Cardinal

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 11:15 PM EST up reply actions  

the ghost of bo hart will be proud

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 11:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Brilliant post

As always. Nice job, azruavatar!

www.stlcardinalbaseball.com

by Ray DeRousse on Jan 29, 2012 11:19 PM EST reply actions  

I agree

I look forward to Sundays (for the post) almost as much as I look forward to Wednesdays (for rb’s twisted humor, insight, and self-deprecation as much as the inevitable huge move right after he posts)

my favorite words are goodbye and my favorite color is red

by mattyp on Jan 29, 2012 11:23 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

his knowledge about tomatoes saved my life

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 11:44 PM EST up reply actions  

why no comment more

"young man, when you throw a strike, Mr. Hornsby will let you know"

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Jan 29, 2012 11:27 PM EST reply actions  

maaaan, applying for a job you really REALLY want is super scary

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter
2011: Boog would've count 78

by d-dee on Jan 29, 2012 11:32 PM EST reply actions  

i don't know when this happened but

I LOVE IT

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter
2011: Boog would've count 78

by d-dee on Jan 29, 2012 11:45 PM EST up reply actions  

good luck!

o/

"I don't know, but it works. Doin it for Torty works... He brings us luck and we're gonna roll with it." Allen Craig

by pattimagee on Jan 29, 2012 11:49 PM EST up reply actions  

\o thanks, i already got to the second round

now I REALLY WANT IT

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter
2011: Boog would've count 78

by d-dee on Jan 29, 2012 11:49 PM EST up reply actions  

i was wondering why i hadn't heard back from you

what job are you trying to get?

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 11:50 PM EST up reply actions  

you haven't heard from me because i've been between doctors and my office the last two weeks

super sick

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter
2011: Boog would've count 78

by d-dee on Jan 29, 2012 11:51 PM EST up reply actions  

sorry, i should have said something

i just came so sudden

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter
2011: Boog would've count 78

by d-dee on Jan 29, 2012 11:52 PM EST up reply actions  

gdm is helping me find a car

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter
2011: Boog would've count 78

by d-dee on Jan 29, 2012 11:55 PM EST up reply actions  

no worries, i know you're dreading it which is why i asked, hope you feel better

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 29, 2012 11:57 PM EST up reply actions  

sounds super serious.

"I don't know, but it works. Doin it for Torty works... He brings us luck and we're gonna roll with it." Allen Craig

by pattimagee on Jan 29, 2012 11:59 PM EST up reply actions  

If they break up, it could tear VEB apart

Everyone will pick sides, and then we’ll have to have two Cardinals SBN blogs

SIGN ROYO

by Notorious PSC on Jan 30, 2012 12:00 AM EST up reply actions  

however......

twice the analysis!!!?

"I don't know, but it works. Doin it for Torty works... He brings us luck and we're gonna roll with it." Allen Craig

by pattimagee on Jan 30, 2012 12:03 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

o/

THE BATMAN|TOWEL BOY.|VP of TG Fanclub
Twitter|Google+|FREE TYLER GREENE!

by CodyG on Jan 30, 2012 12:04 AM EST up reply actions  

\o

Lets make this happen!

"I don't know, but it works. Doin it for Torty works... He brings us luck and we're gonna roll with it." Allen Craig

by pattimagee on Jan 30, 2012 12:12 AM EST up reply actions  

(cough) sb nation st louis (cough)

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter
2011: Boog would've count 78

by d-dee on Jan 30, 2012 12:05 AM EST up reply actions  

she can have full custody of Cody, i won't fight her on that

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 12:21 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I AM NOT THE BABY DADDY

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 12:29 AM EST up reply actions  

Someone here is

If it’s not you, then who is it?

SIGN ROYO

by Notorious PSC on Jan 30, 2012 12:31 AM EST up reply actions  

That's for Maury Povich to decide

my favorite words are goodbye and my favorite color is red

by mattyp on Jan 30, 2012 12:33 AM EST up reply actions  

he just did!

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 12:34 AM EST up reply actions  

fritz is always whipping it out, i'd start with him

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 12:33 AM EST up reply actions  

well, sure

but if there’s no tiny bow it rules him out

my favorite words are goodbye and my favorite color is red

by mattyp on Jan 30, 2012 12:35 AM EST up reply actions  

he hasn't won first prize

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 12:37 AM EST up reply actions  

hey

THE BATMAN|TOWEL BOY.|VP of TG Fanclub
Twitter|Google+|FREE TYLER GREENE!

by CodyG on Jan 30, 2012 12:22 AM EST up reply actions  

we were waiting for you to come back from class and she said "hey we should have a water baloon fight"

we got all wet from the water baloons and she was like “ooh I’m cold, let’s take off all our clothes, get under the covers to warm up” then you got back from your class and misheard her, when she said " wow that is big" she meant my collection of pokemon cards.

THE BATMAN|TOWEL BOY.|VP of TG Fanclub
Twitter|Google+|FREE TYLER GREENE!

by CodyG on Jan 30, 2012 12:31 AM EST up reply actions  

dear penthouse,

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 12:34 AM EST up reply actions  

surprisingly

I get this reference.

Still not a werewolf.

by clank on Jan 30, 2012 12:37 AM EST up reply actions  

I thought about letting it go

but I figured Rui would come by at some point, and say, “HOW DID NO ONE GET THIS” or similar.

Still not a werewolf.

by clank on Jan 30, 2012 12:40 AM EST up reply actions  

this account is useless in my hands

if I were less wise, I’d give you the password.

Still a werewolf.

by cIank on Jan 30, 2012 12:35 AM EST up reply actions  

I'm the most responsible person on this board!!

My resume includes being batman, and being the most powerful vice president ever.

THE BATMAN|TOWEL BOY.|VP of TG Fanclub
Twitter|Google+|FREE TYLER GREENE!

by CodyG on Jan 30, 2012 12:38 AM EST up reply actions  

why am I considering this

this is a terrible, terrible idea.

Still a werewolf.

by cIank on Jan 30, 2012 12:39 AM EST up reply actions  

i can see why you would think that considering the wording of her last sentence

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 12:00 AM EST up reply actions  

haha, missing a t has never been more uncomfortable

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter
2011: Boog would've count 78

by d-dee on Jan 30, 2012 12:01 AM EST up reply actions  

it paints me in a positive light so i'm good with it hahaha

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 12:04 AM EST up reply actions  

Yes, this.

Chief Economist of Tyler Greene Fanclub

by Cardinals645 on Jan 30, 2012 12:36 AM EST up reply actions  

MLB Fan Cave, eh?

Of all sad words of tongue or pen; the saddest are these: 'It might have been!' -- Whittier
Twitter

by mysterui on Jan 30, 2012 12:44 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

nah

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter
2011: Boog would've count 78

by d-dee on Jan 30, 2012 12:50 AM EST up reply actions  

just finished moneyball

regardless of it’s authenticity, I really enjoyed it.

Piss off Tony, get shipped to Canada.

by beer me on Jan 29, 2012 11:50 PM EST reply actions  

the movie.

Piss off Tony, get shipped to Canada.

by beer me on Jan 29, 2012 11:53 PM EST up reply actions  

the book is so much better

even without brad pitt

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter
2011: Boog would've count 78

by d-dee on Jan 29, 2012 11:53 PM EST up reply actions  

does the book mention the big three?

because that was completely skimmed over by the movie as part of there run.

Piss off Tony, get shipped to Canada.

by beer me on Jan 29, 2012 11:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Of course the book has way more detail than the movie

but Hudson, Mulder and Zito get pretty well glossed over. Mulder is mentioned exactly twice in a 280 page book. Stiil, I found both the book and movie to be enjoyable.

Beer and Baseball. Baseball and Beer. It's not hard to reevaluate your priorities when you only have two.

by PugetSoundCardsAddict on Jan 30, 2012 12:02 AM EST up reply actions  

i found the writing style a little too breezy

but it’s enjoyable as creative non-fiction.

it is what it is, not what we thought it'd be

by il rosso on Jan 30, 2012 12:05 AM EST up reply actions  

I agree

the book, probably better than anything, encapsulates how I approach baseball. It tells the story of a baseball revolution into the sabermetric age, led by a guy whose baseball failures seemed to be almost entirely related to personal, emotional character. It’s the perfect analogy for how I view baseball: a game, that can be distilled into mathematical science, but can never be uncoupled from the human aspect that has attended it from its beginnings.

my favorite words are goodbye and my favorite color is red

by mattyp on Jan 30, 2012 12:20 AM EST up reply actions  

So I converted to new FB today

It sucks, but this is my Cover Photo

SIGN ROYO

by Notorious PSC on Jan 30, 2012 12:02 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

si_mlb tweets:
Report: Rangers scheduled to meet with Oswalt

it is what it is, not what we thought it'd be

by il rosso on Jan 30, 2012 12:03 AM EST reply actions  

nexdef'd

by about half a day

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 30, 2012 12:04 AM EST up reply actions  

they just tweeted it...

damn si, being slow and shit.

it is what it is, not what we thought it'd be

by il rosso on Jan 30, 2012 12:05 AM EST up reply actions  

I heard yesterday it was supposed to be tomorrow

Cards are also trying to pawn of KMac to free salary for Royo, if you haven’t heard

SIGN ROYO

by Notorious PSC on Jan 30, 2012 12:04 AM EST up reply actions  

yeah, i heard that.

what a stupid 2.5 million.

it is what it is, not what we thought it'd be

by il rosso on Jan 30, 2012 12:06 AM EST up reply actions  

anyone know anything about signal boosting a rooftop antenna for a dtv converter box?

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 12:06 AM EST reply actions  

No.

BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

by a fink on Jan 30, 2012 12:30 AM EST up reply actions  

if not for your wine knowledge & Johnny Blue taste testing you'd be useless to me

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 12:33 AM EST up reply actions  

i don't know what noy is, is that like soy?

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 12:42 AM EST up reply actions  

you spelled bacon doughnut wrong

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 12:44 AM EST up reply actions  

word from the wise: coming in hungover (or still drunk) on Monday

gives you a low bar to top for the work week. By Wednesday your semi-adequate work will seem super-human to your boss. Just a tip. I do what I can.

my favorite words are goodbye and my favorite color is red

by mattyp on Jan 30, 2012 12:40 AM EST reply actions  

and just googling it showed that you asked for the apk file on google plus 12 days ago

consider rooting, it’s not as intimidating as you think (at least my experience with my phone), and you can always go back to the factory settings.

THE BATMAN|TOWEL BOY.|VP of TG Fanclub
Twitter|Google+|FREE TYLER GREENE!

by CodyG on Jan 30, 2012 12:55 AM EST up reply actions  

rooting sounds like something sexual

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 1:04 AM EST up reply actions  

i am so behind with you kids & your sex lingo it's hard to keep up

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 1:09 AM EST up reply actions  

not with the help of these little blue pills

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 1:13 AM EST up reply actions  

no

There is no greater sorrow than to recall in misery the time when we were happy

by gdm426 on Jan 30, 2012 1:54 AM EST up reply actions  

dulls the pain of the soul

for a night…. for some men…. hopefully over the age of 40

by RasmustheRipper on Jan 30, 2012 1:58 AM EST up reply actions  

why do it if you have no reason to

"young man, when you throw a strike, Mr. Hornsby will let you know"

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Jan 31, 2012 10:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Three great men: a King, a Priest, and a Rich man.

Between them stands a common sellsword. Each great man bids the sellsword, kill the other two. Who lives, and who dies?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rOzXsqoJhtE&feature=player_embedded

SIGN ROYO

by Notorious PSC on Jan 30, 2012 1:50 AM EST reply actions  

*will

Secretary of WAR and Defense of the Tyler Greene Fanclub.

by vivaelpujols on Jan 30, 2012 2:13 AM EST up reply actions  

So the King says, "need the broad? I hardly knew her!"

"I'll be deep in the cold, cold ground before I recognize Missoura!"

by mattybobo on Jan 30, 2012 7:32 AM EST up reply actions  

So looking forward to the new season

"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson

Sign Mark Prior!

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Jan 30, 2012 1:29 PM EST up reply actions  

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