April 17th, Cardinals vs Dodgers Simulation + Contest

by Xeifrank on Apr 17, 2011 3:59 AM EDT

Last game of the series. The Cardinals are going for the sweep and the Dodgers are trying to pull a rabbit out of the hat in an attempt to contend this year (Bob Schaefer). The Cardinals offense has been amazing since their visit to the west coast. Maybe there is something in the local water that has woken up their bats? Vegas has the Cardinals as slight favorites to win Sunday's game, while the simulator pretty much has it as a toss up. I guess I need to program in the pH level of the water in to the simulation. Either way, this is also the last simulation here for a while. Sorry to clutter up your Fanpost section. See you the next time the Dodgers come to St Louis. Hopefully it won't be over 100 degrees with 110 percent humidity when that takes place. Cut us some slack and let us win a few games.

Today's Results... (Last simulation ran Sunday at 12:41 AM)

Vis Pitcher	Home Pitcher	Vegas Favorite	Vegas Win%	Vegas O/U	Sim Fave Win%	Sim O/U
Chris Carpenter	Chad Billingsley	STL	55.16%	7.5	50.09%	7.20

1 LAN 3-2	51 LAN 7-2	101 LAN 9-6
2 LAN 2-1	52 LAN 7-1	102 STL 11-4
3 LAN 4-3	53 STL 8-3	103 STL 9-8
4 STL 3-2	54 LAN 7-4	104 LAN 9-7
5 STL 2-1	55 STL 8-1	105 STL 11-0
6 STL 4-3	56 STL 7-6	106 LAN 10-4
7 LAN 3-1	57 STL 7-0	107 STL 10-7
8 LAN 1-0	58 LAN 7-5	108 STL 11-5
9 STL 4-2	59 STL 8-4	109 STL 12-3
10 LAN 5-4	60 LAN 7-0	110 STL 12-2
11 STL 3-1	61 LAN 8-2	111 LAN 10-5
12 LAN 4-2	62 STL 8-5	112 LAN 11-2
13 LAN 2-0	63 STL 9-2	113 LAN 10-0
14 LAN 4-1	64 STL 9-3	114 LAN 11-1
15 STL 5-3	65 LAN 8-3	115 STL 12-1
16 STL 5-4	66 STL 9-1	116 LAN 11-3
17 STL 4-1	67 LAN 8-1	117 STL 11-6
18 STL 2-0	68 LAN 8-7	118 STL 10-8
19 STL 5-2	69 STL 8-0	119 STL 12-5
20 STL 1-0	70 STL 9-4	120 STL 12-4
21 LAN 3-0	71 LAN 8-4	121 STL 11-7
22 LAN 5-3	72 STL 8-6	122 LAN 10-6
23 LAN 5-2	73 LAN 8-5	123 STL 10-9
24 STL 5-1	74 LAN 8-0	124 LAN 10-9
25 STL 3-0	75 STL 8-7	125 STL 13-2
26 LAN 6-5	76 LAN 9-2	126 STL 12-0
27 LAN 5-1	77 LAN 9-1	127 LAN 10-8
28 STL 6-3	78 STL 10-2	128 STL 13-3
29 LAN 4-0	79 STL 9-5	129 LAN 12-1
30 STL 6-2	80 STL 10-3	130 STL 12-6
31 STL 4-0	81 LAN 8-6	131 LAN 11-0
32 STL 6-4	82 LAN 9-3	132 LAN 11-4
33 STL 6-1	83 STL 10-1	133 LAN 11-5
34 STL 6-5	84 STL 9-0	134 STL 13-1
35 LAN 6-3	85 STL 10-4	135 LAN 11-6
36 LAN 6-4	86 STL 9-6	136 LAN 10-7
37 LAN 6-2	87 LAN 9-4	137 STL 13-4
38 LAN 6-1	88 STL 10-0	138 LAN 12-2
39 STL 7-2	89 LAN 10-2	139 LAN 12-3
40 STL 5-0	90 LAN 9-0	140 STL 13-5
41 LAN 5-0	91 STL 11-3	141 STL 11-8
42 STL 7-3	92 STL 10-5	142 LAN 12-4
43 STL 7-4	93 STL 11-2	143 STL 12-7
44 STL 7-1	94 LAN 9-8	144 LAN 12-0
45 LAN 7-6	95 STL 11-1	145 STL 14-1
46 STL 7-5	96 LAN 10-3	146 STL 13-0
47 STL 6-0	97 LAN 9-5	147 STL 14-2
48 STL 8-2	98 STL 9-7	148 LAN 11-7
49 LAN 6-0	99 LAN 10-1	149 LAN 12-5
50 LAN 7-3	100 STL 10-6	150 LAN 13-1

Contest Rules: Guess "over" or "under" on the five questions below. You must also give confidence points to each guess. The guess you have the most confidence in you give 5 points, then 4 points ... down to 1 point for the guess you have the least amount of confidence in. So you must have a guess of 5,4,3,2,1. If you get a guess correct you get the number of confidence points you wagered on that guess. A perfect score would be 5+4+3+2+1=15 points. The person with the most points for the day wins the number of confidence points they guessed correctly. If there is a tie then the following tie-breaker will be used (1. Guessing the correct team to win, 2. Closest to the score ranking in the table, 3. Person who submits their pick first). Over/Under points will not be shared. Points will be kept track of on a monthly basis then reset (with possibly a different contest type) at the end of the month. You can also win bonus points for correctly guessing the final score from the list of scores in the large table above. The nightly winner will be the person(s) with the most over/under points. If you guess the score correctly you get a bonus of whatever number the final score is in the table. Nobody has to guess the final score correctly to win points. If any player listed in an over/under question does not play then that question gets thrown out of the contest and fined $100.

Over/Under Questions:

A. Total runs scored in game: 7.5
B. Chad Billingsley strikeouts minus Chris Carpenter strikeouts: 1.5
C. Cardinals total bases: 14.5
D. Andre Ethier number of RBIs: 0.5
E. Cardinals runs minus Dodgers runs: 0.5

Sample Answer: 2AU 3BO, 5CO, 4DU, 1EU, #21 LAN 5-3

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by Xeifrank on Apr 17, 2011 4:00 AM EDT reply actions