Community Prospect Ranking #21??? (Run-off)
So there's one slot left. Jordan Swagerty and Mark Hamilton are too close to call, so they'll go head to head. One gets the slot, the other gets to be the "just missed" guy. Andiamo!
Jordan Swagerty
BRef (but there's nothing there yet, so here's his MiLB.com page with his fall league numbers, all 5 innings worth of them)
Here's one of them MLB video scouting reports for draft prospects from last year. These are pretty good, actually, if you are looking for a quick rundown on a bunch of draft prospects. I hope they do them again this year.
Swagerty has an elite arm with a fastball that can touch 96 and uses it in the 92-94 range. His best pitch is his curveball that might have been the best in the 2010 draft class. His changeup is a work in progress but has the makings of a potential average big league pitch.
He is only 6-foot-1 and 175 pounds so he has the body type of a reliever. In that role, Swagerty could quickly work his way through the system and contribute to the big league bullpen. I would like to see the Cardinals work him as a starter. That way he can build up some innings and get regular work.
The Future Redbirds post on Swagerty has a bunch of quotes from various sources, but I'll steal the Baseball America one:
Swagerty was a highly touted high school player out of Prestonwood Christian Academy in Plano, Texas. He was a 2007 Aflac All-American and a member of Team USA’s junior national team. Now a draft-eligible sophomore, the 6-foot-1, 175-pound righthander has been dynamite at the back end of the Sun Devils’ bullpen. His fastball sits in the 92-94 mph range and can get up to 96 when he’s amped up. But, that’s not his best pitch. Swagerty also throws a 84-86 mph curveball that grades out as a legit 70 on the 20-80 scale. It’s a true 12-6 hammer. Swagerty’s size concerns some scouts, but he can hold his velocity in back-to-back outings. He doesn’t quite profile as a big league closer, but should move quickly to the big leagues and reminds scouts of Angels set-up man Scot Shields.
From perfectgame.org
Not only has Swagerty’s performance stepped up from a year ago, when he went 4-1, 4.50 with four saves while being used in a variety of roles, but his stuff has taken a big leap forward. His fastball has been a steady 92-95 mph, up 2-3 mph, and he has complemented it with a nasty curve. He also has had an effective changeup with split-finger action. Though not overly physical in his 6-foot-1, 180-pound frame, Swagerty’s take-charge attitude and mentally-tough demeanor make him ideal to close. In addition, he has a good feel for pitching and can pound the strike zone with his three-pitch mix.
Sickels says
Grade C+: Another future middle reliever with some closer potential.
Mark Hamilton
From Future Redbirds frightening piece on 1B without Albert
At 26, Hamilton has had a hard time breaking into the big leagues. The near future doesn’t look any brighter for him with almost no shot at making the big club out of camp in ’11. From what we hear, he’s not very good defensively, and he lacks the versatility to make his best tool — his bat — an attribute that could benefit a bench role. He shows good plate discipline, and recognizing pitch types well with the ability to go the other way. Hamilton draws walks, and generates good leverage in his swing to produce plenty of doubles and long balls. He still hasn’t been able to figure out left-handed pitching, but does he ever rake against righties.
From The Cardinals Nation
Hamilton shows polish and maturity at the plate. The 26-year-old has good pitch recognition and is not afraid to go the other way. With a slight uppercut in his swing, he is able to get loft on the ball and drive it out of the ballpark.
Mark Hamilton isn't listed on Sickels.Hamilton, a left-handed hitter, struggles against lefty pitching. In 2010, he managed an OPS of only .615 against them in 71 at-bats. And he’s stuck playing first base behind some guy named Pujols. The former second-round pick turned 26 in July. But my word, can Hamilton pound righty pitching! Last season, he posted an OBP of .420, SLG of .690 vs. right-handers in 187 at-bats. And his overall OPS improved after the all-star break to 1.046 from a solid .840 before the break.
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+1
"Albert hits good pitches hard and bad pitches even harder. And when he gets in the batter's box, if you pray, then you start praying. And if you don't pray, you think about starting."--Brian Bannister
RIP Boog. FIRE TLR NOW
by VolsnCards5 on Mar 14, 2011 2:48 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
+1
Swagerty was rated similarly to Chance Ruffin and Cam Bedrosian in the 2010 draft – guys who are in the top tens of Detroit and LAA, and also seen as fast-moving relief arms. I don’t know why he (and Blair) are getting such little love here.
by Willie McGee's Twin on Mar 14, 2011 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions
My guess
is that Ruffin’s ranking in Detroits system has more to do with the lack of talent than his ability, as he has the ceiling of a setup man. Bedrosian’s still a bit of a question mark for others, but still has the ceiling of a #2 or 3 starter. The only big knock on him I’ve ever heard is his short stature possibly leading to less durability, but as a prep pitcher he never had any trouble maintaining his velocity deep into games.
by deadpullpitcher on Mar 14, 2011 5:50 PM EDT up reply actions
I've seen one comment from Mo that he'd get a chance to start
and I agree with the rationale (I guess). Starters are more valuable and the Org. might as well let his performance dictate if he can be a successful starter.
But I’d bet that Swagerty makes it to the majors as a reliever (same as Kelly).
I don’t think either guy is the next Roy Oswalt.
by Willie McGee's Twin on Mar 15, 2011 10:13 PM EDT up reply actions
I agree with the idea as well
RH reliever prospects are almost a dime a dozer, why shouldn’t we try to make one or two a starter?
Is there any college reliever that went on to have a successful career as a starter? because i’m having trouble thinking of one.
+1
"And a boring game for boring people. Did you ever watch golf on television? It's like watching flies FUCK. Think of the intellect it must take to draw pleasure from this activity: hitting a ball with a crooked stick and then WALKING AFTER IT" -George Carlin
by stlcardsfan4 on Mar 15, 2011 2:47 AM EDT up reply actions
+1
"I actually used about nine pitches--two different fastballs, two sliders, a curve, a changeup, knockdown, brushback, and hit-batsman" - Bob Gibson
by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on Mar 19, 2011 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions
+1
I like Kyle Lohse and Jon Jay
turn it up to '11
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Mar 14, 2011 7:09 PM EDT up reply actions
wow
this guy is getting the shaft
I like Kyle Lohse and Jon Jay
turn it up to '11
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Mar 15, 2011 1:36 PM EDT up reply actions
He didn't make my top 30 either.
Then again, Jim Callis isn’t exactly knocking down my door to ask for my opinion.
by deadpullpitcher on Mar 15, 2011 11:18 PM EDT up reply actions
yeah but he destroys righties
absolutely destroys
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Mar 15, 2011 11:22 PM EDT up reply actions
maybe if it were lefties that would make him more useful
but he’s 27 which means he’s peaked, he won’t be any better than he’ll be now most likely.
he has no position ( he’s apparently a bad fielder so LF/RF are his only two options)
he’s blocked by younger and more exciting talent, until he learns to be a competent MI, I’m not a fan of his.
He is pretty mooch insurance...
Mootual of Omaha coverage in case something catastrophic happens at first (like Albert leaving).
Detlef SCHREMPF!!!
+1
I swear by beard of Zeus we will get you on the prospect list.
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