Pitching attitudes versus OPS
Ok, first post ever here, and not real sure about the mechanics of this thing. So lets get this party started.
This question first came into my mind thinking "was George Brett actually good?". Seems like a three-tiered question to me: 1) obviously, yes, he was great, followed by 2) he was a Charlie Lau slap hitter at a corner spot who likes high batting averages followed by 3) yeah, he was pretty good. But, lets talk OPS+, the era players played in, and the big question:
How has pitching strategy affected OPS+ through the eras of baseball, and how does it affect the effectiveness of our analysis of OPS+, or other ways of evaluating players? The "pitch to contact" idea has obviously affected players lately, Greinke coming to mind first, and I wonder how much this affects things. Players have obviously valued high batting averages - I think in 1984 a player with a .335 average and a .336OBP would have been highly valued, over a Jack Clark type. I want to know how that has affected pitching. It almost feels like a deadball type era thing trying to come back - a pitcher is better off just throwing to the batter, and the batter gets forced to slap the ball, knowing he isn't going to get a walk from battling the pitcher back.Again, this is a post to discuss pitching, and how the approach has changed. Just thinking about the idea of J. R. Richard pitching against George Brett in 1980, and how attitudes toward the game have changed.
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so you're saying that in certain eras the pitcher would throw more strikes
vs. pitching around someone. pretty cool question, just hard to quantify I’d guess
I'm gonna need a whole lot more franklins if Franklin is our closer this year
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Feb 22, 2010 12:32 AM EST reply actions
I think it depends a lot on the pitcher
There are several types of pitchers out there. A few templates:
a) The guy that blows it by you (Lincecum)
b) The guy with pinpoint control (Greg Maddux)
c) The guy with one pitch that is just impossible to get lumber on (Mo Rivera)
d) The guy who NEEDS contact, and keeps the ball down (Piniero?)
You might argue there are more people in categories “c” and “d” these days. Lots of specialists these days, with all of the relievers. But I would suggest that each pitcher simply plays to his strengths, and probably doesn’t worry much about what kind of batter he is facing. People like Lincecum, Carpenter, Sabathia, and others don’t get fancy when they face a hitting machine like Ichiro. They just concentrate and throw their best stuff. Just my opinion though. Definitely a challenging subject for discussion…
A few questions:
- Have you read Ted Williams’ book on hitting, Lau’s book on hitting, the recent Gibson/Jackson book (60 ft. 6 inches, which covers both hitting and pitching and the battle between pitcher and hitter), and George Will’s Men at Work (the Ripken and Hershiser chapters)?
- Have you listened or read interviews of Gibson, Jim Palmer, Koufax, Satchel Paige, or Whitey Ford? Specifically when they are talking about pitching or hitting?
The above list pretty well covers any era post-WWII.
I think if you actually do some research on this that you’ll find that the attitudes toward hitting really haven’t changed all that much in any era. How those players are valued probably has, but that doesn’t mean that players and managers never understood the value of a walk prior to the book Moneyball or that pitchers haven’t ever understood the value of the strikeout and ground ball since. Look at the hitters like Ruth, Gehrig, Foxx, Mays, Mantle, and Aaron — they all played before a lot of the books on hitting came out and long before sabermetrics, but were high average, high OBP power hitters just like the best hitters we have today. I don’t really think that the pitching has much to do with it at all actually, save seasons like 1968 (the year of the pitcher). I would guess that the condition of the grounds and the precision of the height of the mound and bullpen mounds had a lot more to do with fluctuations than anything else.
The things that have really changed over the last 25 years or so are the diminished value placed on stolen bases since the 1980’s, and the weight training/steroids making power hitters out of previously light hitting position players like SS and 2B.
As far as Brett goes, he had one of the longest peaks of anyone in that era — from 1975 to 1985, he averaged a 148 OPS+. In that 10 year period (’75 to ’85), only Mike Schmidt (154) is in his class in terms of OPS+, nobody else (Mex, Clark, Garvey, Winfield, etc.) come within 10 points of 148. He also won a batting title at age 37, won an MVP, and presided over the only successful seasons in Kansas City baseball history. Talk about the face of a franchise, no Kansas City team has ever even made the PLAYOFFS without George Brett on the roster.
Can Colby round out our new MV3?
wow
I knew he was good, but not that good
I'm gonna need a whole lot more franklins if Franklin is our closer this year
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Feb 22, 2010 7:31 PM EST up reply actions
From wikipedia on George Brett:
Post baseball activities
Following the end of his baseball career, Brett became a vice president of the Royals and has worked as a part-time coach, as a special instructor in spring training, filling in as the batting coach, and as a minor league instructor dispatched to help prospects develop. He also runs a baseball equipment company, Brett Bros., with Bobby and, until his death, Ken Brett. He has also lent his name to a restaurant that failed on the Country Club Plaza.
In 1992, Brett married the former Leslie Davenport and they currently reside in the Kansas City suburb of Mission Hills, Kansas. The couple has three children: Jackson (named after the ballplayer’s father), Dylan (named for Bob Dylan), and Robin (named for fellow Hall of Famer Robin Yount of the Milwaukee Brewers).
Brett has also continued to raise money for ALS (amyotrophic lateral sclerosis), commonly known as Lou Gehrig’s Disease. Brett started to raise money for the Keith Worthington Chapter during his playing career in the mid 1980s.
Perhaps George is now best known for his infamous story about the time he shit his pants in Las Vegas. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SUdHMkE5Qdk&feature=related
Wonder how long that’s going to stay there?
RELEASE THE CENTIQUID!!!!
by Felonius_Monk on Feb 23, 2010 8:33 AM EST up reply actions
My only other comments
Fourstick’s reading list is excellent. I’ve read Gibby’s book as well as George Wills. Both were entertaining and informative.
Also, I peeked just to see who has the best single season OPS. Perhaps no surprise was that it was Mr. Barry Bonds. What DID shock me was the number. An OPS+ of 268, back in 2002. At the age of 37. Guess the roids were working overtime that year…
and he was also really, really good
I'm gonna need a whole lot more franklins if Franklin is our closer this year
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Feb 22, 2010 7:32 PM EST up reply actions
yeah, it's insane
but even players like Jeff Bagwell and Frank Thomas had seasons in the 200+ range, though nowhere close to Barry. What really sticks out to me is that .609 OBP in 2004. Are you freaking kidding me? I don’t care how many times he was intentionally walked, if you’re getting on base more than 6/10 times over an entire season, you’ve pretty much just made a mockery of the fundamental statistical principles underlying the game.
Sadly
I think he was really, really good that season, and not just because of the steroids, yet the steroid cloud will forever taint his accomplishments and it should. He chose to do them.
Can Colby round out our new MV3?
hopefully someone will find a formula that adjusts for steroids
like maybe 12% less home runs
I'm gonna need a whole lot more franklins if Franklin is our closer this year
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Feb 27, 2010 7:01 PM EST up reply actions

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