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Carpenter to the Yankees?

Ok, my redbird brothers and sisters.  Since its the offseason and we're all beginning to speculate just what moves the team will make to get better next year, I thought I would float an idea that's been brewing in my mind.  While many have suggested trading a piece like Colby Rasmus (bad idea), I think the Cardinals have another player who could bring a LOT of value under the right circumstances.  I'm referring to The Luggage, Mr. Chris Carpenter.

Star-divide

Now before you dismiss this idea as pure insanity, consider the following facts:

1) The Yankees are desperately trying to obtain a front-line starter this offseason.
2) The only premier free agent is Cliff Lee
3) Beyond Lee, the only starting pitcher getting a lot of attention is Zack Greinke (and he isn't going to NYC)

I'm guessing its more likely than not that Lee will sign with the Yankees.  BUT... if they fail to obtain him, they will be undoubtedly looking for trade partners.  And this is where the Cardinals fit in.  The beauty of this potential deal is that both teams can benefit from this possible trade.  Consider...

YANKEES PERSPECTIVE

They need an ace, and Chris Carpenter fits this mold.  Carpenter would be a #1 on better than half of the clubs in the Major Leagues (opinion, but I think a reasonable one).  His WHIP has been very strong the past two years, he has historically pitched well in playoff situations, and has solid peripherals.  Carpenter also has the benefit of two years pitching around 200 innings.  At this point, he is a comparatively low risk for injury, and appears to have fully recovered from Tommy John Surgery.  Adding Carpenter gives the Yankees a lineup of - Sabathia, Carpenter, Pettitte (likely), Burnett, and Vasquez.  Carpenter may not be at the same level as Lee, but he is in the ballpark.  Carpenter also has the option year available.  The Yankees potentially get Chris for two years ($15M a year).  This limits their risk, and gives them some payroll flexibility.

CARDINALS PERSPECTIVE

The Cards have holes to fill.  They want to upgrade at 2B and SS.  They also need to be capable of affording Albert Pujols.  And conveniently, the Yankees have several players that meet these needs.  Take a look at the Yankees AAA Afilliate, the Scranton Wilkes/Barre teamEduardo Nunez is a AAA all-star and would provide both offense and defense at that position.  They have a third baseman, Chad Tracy, who is old for a prospect, but also has an insane OPS, and could provide security behind David FreeseJustin Snyder is more of a AA player, but has played multiple positions and could provide an option at second base within the next year.  They've got a pitcher named Ivan Nova who posted a record of 12-3 last year, and looks poised to break-through next year.  And on the big club, they have Phil Hughes - very talented and very affordable.  (I also thought about mentioning Joba Chamberlain.  Maybe he just needs to get out of the big city and go somewhere he would be more comfortable?).

I have no idea if a deal could be arranged.  But it feels like there is an opportunity here.  Yes, it is largely contingent on whether the Yankees can pick up Cliff Lee.  But if they cannot, I think both clubs could benefit from this deal.  What do you folks think? 

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We need Carpenter more than we need the return that he would fetch

Which I don’t think would be that much

Of all sad words of tongue or pen; the saddest are these: 'It might have been!'

by mysterui on Nov 11, 2010 2:02 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

Oh yes, please....

…just trade my FAVORITE player to the one team I despise moore than anything else on earth, that would make me sooooo HAPPY…

:=8P

COW PIES for that idea!

@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@

My intense hatred of JASON MARQUIS keeps me warm and toasty at night. Believe!
:=8O

by The MooCow on Nov 12, 2010 9:26 AM EST up reply actions  

Did you just

Poop on my fanpost? No fresh hay for you! ;-)

by JWO on Nov 12, 2010 7:18 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

so you want to fill holes by creating even bigger holes?

aside from Carp, currently your rotation consist of:
- an Adam Wainwright who hopefully won’t need fixing any time soon,
- a rookie not too far removed from TJ surgery,
- a Kyle Lohse
- and ???

whatever you can get back for a mid 30s, multiple-times-broken-could-break-again-any-minute Chris Carpenter who commands a whole lot of money and now everyone thinks has a temper issue will not even begin to make up for the suitcase shaped crater you’ll create

also, out SS really doesn’t need upgrade, he needs to get his swing figured out

i wish you’d have picked a more descriptive title for this post, my heart sank when i saw it

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter

by d-dee on Nov 11, 2010 3:00 AM EST reply actions  

I had envisioned

Kyle McClellan taking a starter’s position. Resigning Westbrook would also become more of a priority. Remember, we’re talking $15M off the books, potentially.

And sorry about the post title. It did seem a bit provocative, but I hoped to get the attention of folks.

by JWO on Nov 11, 2010 12:20 PM EST up reply actions  

I think the best thing for the Cardinals to do is pretend the Yankees don't exist

that is the usual mode of operation, I didn’t read this

"I'm not aware of what I'm doing. It's only after a get acquainted period that I see what I've been about. I've no fears about making changes for the painting has a life of its own." -Jackson Pollock

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Nov 11, 2010 3:27 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

Thanks...

I’ll be sure to post in all of your messages, saying nothing positive and adding that I didn’t even read the post. Appreciate the objective criticism bud.

(sarcasm)

by JWO on Nov 11, 2010 12:21 PM EST up reply actions  

sorry, I just don't want to trade Carp to the Yanks, makes me want to vomit.

I did read your post, I was being funny and saying that we should pretend that the Yanks don’t exist, and that “I didn’t read this” was sort of an inside joke. I appreciate your hard work.

"I'm not aware of what I'm doing. It's only after a get acquainted period that I see what I've been about. I've no fears about making changes for the painting has a life of its own." -Jackson Pollock

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Nov 11, 2010 1:09 PM EST up reply actions  

my humor is easily misconstrued

just as I usually misconstrue other’s humor. I’m cursed.

"I'm not aware of what I'm doing. It's only after a get acquainted period that I see what I've been about. I've no fears about making changes for the painting has a life of its own." -Jackson Pollock

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Nov 11, 2010 1:10 PM EST up reply actions  

No problem

Appreciate the clarification. I don’t really want Carp to leave either. I just wanted to throw a curveball out there for discussion. No harm, no foul. ;-)

by JWO on Nov 11, 2010 1:47 PM EST up reply actions  

I have been an advocate for trading Chris Carpenter for awhile now

his salary is getting big and the chances of being worth it are terrifyingly slim. However, he is still considered an Ace and would fetch a good return (maybe not great). We get the benefit of added salary space and a good prospect. I would shop him.

If knowledge is the key, then just show me the lock.
Got the scrawny legs but I move just like Lou Brock.

by purple_haze on Nov 11, 2010 4:31 AM EST reply actions  

I agree about trading Carp, but the Yankees don't seem to have anything we want

If we were to trade Carp we would need a competent young starter and a good second baseman.

by vivaelpujols on Nov 11, 2010 5:42 AM EST up reply actions  

Ha

Hughes for carp would be shockingly hilarious. And Chad Tracy is not someone you trade for. He’s someone you wait for the other team to drop. He’s a veteran, not a prospect.

"Albert hits good pitches hard and bad pitches even harder. And when he gets in the batter's box, if you pray, then you start praying. And if you don't pray, you think about starting."--Brian Bannister

by VolsnCards5 on Nov 11, 2010 7:10 AM EST via mobile reply actions  

No, I looked it up

he was talking about that Chad Tracy.

I am the Batman .
@CodeeG

by CodyG on Nov 11, 2010 12:46 PM EST up reply actions  

I was shotgunning

I was just scanning the talent on the Scranton team. I threw Tracy in to fill out my list.
Yeah, he’s 30 years old. But he DID hit .365 last year, with an OPS of 1.051. You don’t think that’s impressive?

by JWO on Nov 11, 2010 1:51 PM EST up reply actions  

not that it's impressive, but he won't be someone we trade for.

like volsncards5 said, he’s a guy you pick up when available as FA on the cheap.
 IF we ever traded carp to the yankees and tracy was one of the returns, I would not be happy at all.

I am the Batman .
@CodeeG

by CodyG on Nov 11, 2010 1:57 PM EST up reply actions  

mlbtraderumors.com

has Chad Tracy as a FA already. Cot’s notes that he opted out of his yankee minor league contract in July and was signed by the Marlins on 8/5/10. Checking the Marlins transactions page, Chad declared free agency on 11/7/10

by ubeddie on Nov 11, 2010 8:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Nno

He played in the actual majors for awhile and hasn’t been productive since 2006. He’s simply not all that great and isn’t a guy you actively try to get via trade.

VivaElBirdos: Celebrating glorious mustaches since 2009

by redbirdnation8206 on Nov 14, 2010 12:25 PM EST up reply actions  

if we could grab Hughes for Carp, I would do it

If knowledge is the key, then just show me the lock.
Got the scrawny legs but I move just like Lou Brock.

by purple_haze on Nov 11, 2010 9:37 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah, that sounds like a baseball mogul trade

If Mo could pull it off, it would increase my confidence in him significantly.

Well the girls would turn the color of the avocado when he would drive down the street in his El Dorado... -the modern lovers

by SleepyCA on Nov 12, 2010 1:22 AM EST up reply actions  

oh i would do it as well

but that is such a win for us, it’s hilarious

"Albert hits good pitches hard and bad pitches even harder. And when he gets in the batter's box, if you pray, then you start praying. And if you don't pray, you think about starting."--Brian Bannister

by VolsnCards5 on Nov 14, 2010 7:11 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't know about this,

what exactly are you suggesting? Carp for who?
Although my confidence in Carp remaining an Ace or #1 starter is waning, I don’t think I’d be dealing him away.
His stock is still high and he could bring something decent our way but good starters are harder to find than four leaf clovers and 2nd basemen, not to mention all the time and money the Cardinals already have invested in Carp.
 Who would you suggest to fill Carp’s slot?
The Cards have holes for sure but they also have baggage. (Lohse, for one).
I’d rather try to package Lohse and Skip, and maybe a box lunch for a decent 2nd baseman.
 And since the Cards like to experiment (see Skip), why not see if Craig has what it takes to play a little hot corner in a pinch? With a little luck (well, maybe a lot of luck), he could at least suffice and still be a threat with the stick.
 With the “Albert Contract” thing being the factor that it is, it seems reasonable to expect the Cardinals to be weak somewhere….more than likely it’ll be around the horn and right field. There are too many to fix all at once while being on a tight budget.
 At least there’s hope that Freeze will be reliable next season, and hope that Ryan will see a shrink or a hypnotist or something and be convinced that it’s really 2009.
 But Skip and Miles just won’t cut it at 2nd. That’s just too weak.
With Freeze and Ryan playing the way they should, the left side of the infield looks great to me. I wouldn’t mind concentrating on 2nd base as a top priority and using Franklin, Lohse, Craig / Jay, Pagnozi and Stavanoha as a means of fixing it.
 Backup catcher might develop into a weakness, or cause Yadi to fall over, but Anderson may do ok.
All in all, it might be the best time to trade Carp or the worst time, depending on your outlook. Me? I’d keep him…..and I’d keep him from the Yankees.

Baseball is only a game. And the Grand Canyon is only a hole.

by Dave Pendleton on Nov 11, 2010 8:43 AM EST reply actions  

Lohse has an NTC

he’s not going anywhere

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter

by d-dee on Nov 11, 2010 9:33 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I forgot about that

but he may want to be traded if you tell him he’s going to the bull pen. Right now I think that’s where he’s best suited.

Baseball is only a game. And the Grand Canyon is only a hole.

by Dave Pendleton on Nov 13, 2010 9:59 PM EST up reply actions  

it opens a starter slot.

kind of …. addition by subtraction.
he wouldn’t be a better pitcher in the pen but the pen is a better place to put him, for now. I’d like to see him get his act together but I just don’t have any confidence in him as a starter at the moment. I think he should work his way out of the pen….maybe with an occasional spot start to check his progress. Give Hawksworth the ball and see if he can do a better job than Lohse.

Baseball is only a game. And the Grand Canyon is only a hole.

by Dave Pendleton on Nov 15, 2010 10:01 AM EST up reply actions  

who are we, the cubs?

10 mil in the bullpen? no, he needs to work and suffer through all of the starts we pay him for
and his last one in 2010 was actually very decent so i hope he can return back to being solid

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter

by d-dee on Nov 16, 2010 10:09 AM EST up reply actions  

i hope so too.

Baseball is only a game. And the Grand Canyon is only a hole.

by Dave Pendleton on Nov 16, 2010 11:36 AM EST up reply actions  

sigh

Kyle Lohse has a No-Trade Clause.

by BVHeck on Nov 14, 2010 5:38 PM EST up reply actions  

I just don't see much of this

There’s just no value in any of the guys you listed (save MAYBE Craig/Jay). There’s just no returns to be had with any of those guys. We likely couldn’t give them away. If we’re looking to upgrade via trade, we have to be realistic in what we have of value to other teams. That’s the trouble. We’re not swimming in depth anywhere.

by WyoCardsFan on Nov 11, 2010 10:13 AM EST up reply actions  

I'm not looking for that much...

just something better than Skip.

Baseball is only a game. And the Grand Canyon is only a hole.

by Dave Pendleton on Nov 11, 2010 7:29 PM EST up reply actions  

And I did say...

I’d throw in a box lunch!

Baseball is only a game. And the Grand Canyon is only a hole.

by Dave Pendleton on Nov 13, 2010 10:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Hm

I am not sure how I feel about this, but first of all I gotta say kudos for at least being imaginative with this “trade possibility” fanpost.
The Yankees do seem like one of few teams that might be willing to take on a player like Carpenter, with his pedigree, age, and contract. I will admit they have a few interesting pieces that might plug some holes, but as other posters have said I am not sure what to make of our rotation right now without Carp in 2011. Miller and Martinez are just too far away. We could sign Westbrook, hope Garcia continues his success, and hope Lohse bounces back a little, and then we’re still left wondering what to do about a fifth starter. So, it could possibly provide some stability, but it could also destabilize our rotation significantly. Maybe acquiring Joba would help, I dunno.
Thought-provoking, though! I like this kind of fanpost.

Albert Pujols does not have "down" years. He has "~6 WAR" years.

by mattybobo on Nov 11, 2010 9:52 AM EST reply actions  

seriously???

While the need to fill our middle infield would most likely be satisfied by the trade, our rotation would suffer that much more. Then you’d have Waino-Garcia-Lohse and two unknowns. One unknown is bad enough.

by zoomzoomj88 on Nov 11, 2010 9:54 AM EST reply actions  

CHRIS FUCKING CARPENTER DOES NOT APPROVE OF ALL THIS TRADE CHRIS CARPENTER TO THE YANKEES TALK!!!!!!!

I will now read the fan post.

Asshattery: it's an epidemic.
Second base….I’ve played second base, how hard can it be? -TLR
Also, Dave Concepcion.

by RiverRat on Nov 11, 2010 9:59 AM EST reply actions   4 recs

You want to trade Carp...

just as that awful contract he signed becomes reasonable?? Sheesh… Carp for prospects would guarantee a ticket out of town for the mang.

Screw you, you freakin stats nerd

by guayzimi on Nov 11, 2010 11:33 AM EST reply actions  

This trade would show Albert

1) We were serious about trading for him
2) We are positioning ourselves to be competitive for the next several years. Not “win now”
3) Would provide the team with more balance

I’m not suggesting we give up Carpenter for a song. The man has talent. But if Chris brought back an immediate starter and 2-3 high-end prospects, then it could make sense.

by JWO on Nov 11, 2010 12:25 PM EST up reply actions  

It'd also show Albert

that the Cards aren’t committed to keeping players to the end of their contract.

Who wants to sign a long-term deal after you’ve just traded away one of your longest-tenured players / faces of the franchise?

On with the (good) youth movement!

by aet15 on Nov 13, 2010 2:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Carp has been with the Cardinals for

Six Years. That’s it. He’s not Stan Musial.

by JWO on Nov 13, 2010 5:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Correction

Seven years. But two of those he didn’t really pitch at all.

by JWO on Nov 13, 2010 5:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Actually 8 seasons

he was originally signed after the 2002 season as a minor league free agent. He rehabbed all of 2003 so he’s missed three of the eight seasons he’s worn the BOB.

by ubeddie on Nov 13, 2010 6:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Why not just ask Albert

what he want’s us to do? (us=Cardinals)
I don’t mean that to sound like a smart ass, just some food for thought.
Should management make trades according to what it says to Albert?
I’m not saying they should or shouldn’t, just asking.
I totally get it that Albert is a once in a generation or more player, and he’d like to stay here. And that the Cardinals need to entice him to stay. But that’s the game of negotiating. It’s a cat and mouse thing. Who has the upper hand?
To me the questions are:
a) does Albert really want to stay a Cardinal?
and
b) does he have faith that the Cardinals org. will build a winning team around him?

Does Albert stay here for less than he can get elsewhere if he thinks the Cardinals will put it all together within 2 years? or will it have to be within 1, or immediately? Big Mac did something like that.
Does he really want to stay or is he in it for the money?
I tend to think he’s genuine when he says he’d like to stay, and he would for a little less than astronomical…unless he wants more money for charitable purposes. If he goes for the money and uses it for more charitable things, then I would applaud him even louder than I already do.
 On the other hand….right now I think the org. needs to prove its ability to make solid moves and decisions.
 Based on this season, I wouldn’t be feeling all that confident If I were Albert. This season had a lot of things go wrong injury wise but it had an equal amount of poor management from the top down to the field. It was a carnival.
 If the Cardinals want to show Albert that they’re going to move forward, they should start by letting Miles go, and do it yesterday. That would be a great good faith move.

Baseball is only a game. And the Grand Canyon is only a hole.

by Dave Pendleton on Nov 13, 2010 11:10 PM EST up reply actions  

you know what would be a solid move?

resigning Albert Pujols

"I still don’t understand what commercial is better than having me on tv" – Chris Carpenter

by d-dee on Nov 16, 2010 10:12 AM EST up reply actions  

no argument from me!

We could do that yesterday as well.
The sooner they could get that behind them the better. It’s almost like being handcuffed at the moment.
But as long as “what Albert thinks” matters then lets start with Miles. ANY reason to accomplish that is justifiable. It’s a good faith move to the fans also.

Baseball is only a game. And the Grand Canyon is only a hole.

by Dave Pendleton on Nov 16, 2010 11:45 AM EST up reply actions  

We traded Edmonds.

We traded Rolen.

I don’t know why Carp is untouchable.

"In 2035, 25 young men will be able to call themselves world champions. Some of those guys haven’t even been born yet. And some of them are Asian." -Mike Shannon

by Alxfritz on Nov 11, 2010 1:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Carp is good and worth the money...

those other guys were kind of broken down.

Screw you, you freakin stats nerd

by guayzimi on Nov 11, 2010 5:22 PM EST up reply actions  

so we should wait until they're too hurt to play to trade them?

that’s like trying to sell a house after it caught on fire.

I am the Batman .
@CodeeG

by CodyG on Nov 11, 2010 5:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Carp technically has...

only one year remaining on his deal (option for 2012). Every indication is he will be one of the top ten pitchers in the National League in 2011. His situation is in no way similar to JEd or Rolen.

Jimmy Ballgame for 2011 RFer!!!

by cardzfanbub on Nov 11, 2010 5:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Ok then

it’s more like the blue jays trying to trade Halladay then? They got a nice return for that.

I am the Batman .
@CodeeG

by CodyG on Nov 11, 2010 5:43 PM EST up reply actions  

The other guys turned out to still be plenty useful, though

They say that it's never too late, but you don't get any younger...

by Valatan on Nov 13, 2010 11:24 PM EST up reply actions  

my two concerns with trading carp is
  • would we get a fair enough return?
  • would we use the money that is now off the books on a FA (probably not Lee, but perhaps Kuroda would be a good replacement)

So what would constitute a good return IMO?

  • IF prospect
  • pitching prospect
  • pitching prospect

I am the Batman .
@CodeeG

by CodyG on Nov 11, 2010 12:38 PM EST reply actions  

Hard to call

The Yankees have money and a need for a top-end starter. They have talent that meets the Cardinals needs. And yes, the money saved from a Carpenter trade would definitely go to filling other holes.

Let me theorycraft for a moment. Cardinals trade Carpenter for say, Phil Hughes and Eduardo Nunez. We THEN use the money saved to work a trade with Florida for Dan Uggla (possibly moving low-cost players like Ryan, Schumaker, Jay, etc).

Bottom Line: I’m hoping the Cardinals front office shows some creativity this off-season. I’m concerned that we are locking ourselves into a model where we pay 4-5 guys about 70% of the team’s salary. And as a result, we never crack 90 wins and can’t compete beyond our division. But perhaps I’m going way off topic…

by JWO on Nov 11, 2010 2:03 PM EST up reply actions  

With a few less injuries this season

- especially to our pitching – we surely would’ve cracked 90 wins. Brad Penny was awesome until that injury. Sadly, that awesomeness only lasted 9 starts.

That’s without even improving the offense.

by spants on Nov 11, 2010 2:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Which puzzles me

The Cardinals seem to find and sign these #4 starters that are prone to injury. I wish for once they’d just sign somebody with a rubber arm who can throw 200 innings, while managing a decent WHIP and win/loss record.

by JWO on Nov 11, 2010 2:29 PM EST up reply actions  

All pitchers are injury-prone.

All of them. Penny was, if anything, less injury-prone than many.

Basically, random chaos is random.

And the Cardinals don’t want to pay for that guy which is why they return to the scrap heap. I’m sure the Lohse situation has made them even more gun-shy.

by spants on Nov 11, 2010 2:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Penny's innings did fluxuate

Here are the innings Brad Penny pitched since he entered the league:
2000 – 119 IP
2001 – 205 IP
2002 – 129 IP
2003 – 196 IP
2004 – 143 IP
2005 – 175 IP
2006 – 189 IP
2007 – 208 IP
2008 – 94 IP
2009 – 173 IP
2010 – 55 IP

In ten years, he cracked 200 innings twice. I didn’t research how many injuries and dings he accrued, but it looks to me like he missed some playing time here and there. Besides, Penny was no beast. His career ERA+ is 104. His career WHIP is 1.34. With that level of performance, we’d be better off with someone like Livan Hernandez (who only cost the Nationals $900K this year).

by JWO on Nov 11, 2010 3:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Actually an ERA+ of 100 (average)

for 180 innings is worth about $7M.

Penny changed his pitching style in STL and he was much better than average.

"What exactly is that thing? A pessimism meter?" - Bruce McCurdy

by hazel on Nov 11, 2010 4:55 PM EST up reply actions  

to a four year...

$40M+ deal?

Jimmy Ballgame for 2011 RFer!!!

by cardzfanbub on Nov 11, 2010 5:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Carp is not replaceable

He means too much to the rotation and to the rest of the rotation quite frankly. As far as trade value he does not have as much as you would think. He means more to us than to any other team for obvious reasons.

by jraz on Nov 11, 2010 2:52 PM EST reply actions  

Not sure I agree
As far as trade value he does not have as much as you would think.

Well, consider this comparable trade. The Phillies took Roy Oswalt, and gave the Astros JA Happ and two prospects (Anthony Gose and Jonathan Villar). Carp and Oswalt have similar WHIPs and are similar ages (33 vs. 35). The Phillies, like the Yankees are a team that had plenty of money, had prospects, and needed starting pitching to contend.

I don’t know if a Carp deal is smart – but I wouldn’t dismiss it without thinking about it.

by JWO on Nov 11, 2010 3:19 PM EST up reply actions  

You sure do like quoting pitcher WHIP a lot.

I suggest you use better stats than that when evaluating a player’s value.

I am the Batman .
@CodeeG

by CodyG on Nov 11, 2010 3:24 PM EST up reply actions  

saber stats are preferred

while I like the simple ones of FIP and xFIP, I recently have grown more fond of stats like tERA and SIERA.
Really it’s one thing to quote WHIP in fantasy leagues, but it’s another thing to quote it as an important stat.

So many things can affect a pitcher’s WHIP that are out of the pitcher’s control that it’s almost entirely useless to quote a player’s WHIP and get any sort of indication on that player’s value.

I am the Batman .
@CodeeG

by CodyG on Nov 11, 2010 3:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Ok...

I’m going to assume you’re arguing that Chris Carpenter is not comparable to Roy Oswalt. Because if you’re not, that means you’re just being argumentative and complaining about my choice of stats.

If we use FIP and xFIP as you requested, here is how they compare:
Carpenter (2010) – 3.69 FIP, 3.84 xFIP
Oswalt (2010) – 3.27 FIP, 3.45 xFIP

Of course, if we walk backwards and look at 2009, Carpenter crushes Oswalt in FIP and xFIP.

We could also look at WAR. If we ignore the years Carpenter lost to Tommy John, here is how Carp and Oswalt compare over the last five years they’ve pitched:

Carpenter: 24.5 WAR (2004-2006, 2009-2010)
Oswalt: 21.5 WAR (2006-2010)

We can look at tERA. Here’s the past five years for both players:
Carpenter: 3.57 (2004-2006, 2009-2010)
Oswalt: 3.73 (2006-2010)

Or we could look at ERA+ if you’re interested. Here are the past five years for both men (again, ruling out Carp’s Tommy John lost years).
Carpenter ERA+ = 144 (average over five years)
Oswalt ERA+ = 130 (average over five years)

So, yes Cody. I think that Carpenter is a comparable player to Oswalt. The fact that I didn’t “WHIP” out every statistic doesn’t make this statement false. Or do you disagree?

by JWO on Nov 11, 2010 3:54 PM EST up reply actions  

No I think they're fine comparisons

I was nitpicking your stat choice. Also nice pun sir at the end.

I am the Batman .
@CodeeG

by CodyG on Nov 11, 2010 4:02 PM EST up reply actions  

(bow)

I just wish I didn’t spend fifteen minutes working myself into a mini-frenzy for nothing. 8-P I need to switch to decaf.

by JWO on Nov 11, 2010 4:09 PM EST up reply actions  

FWIW, I was Impressed....

:=8)

But here’s the thing: Oswalt ain’t got no luggage in him.

My intense hatred of JASON MARQUIS keeps me warm and toasty at night. Believe!
:=8O

by The MooCow on Nov 12, 2010 9:30 AM EST up reply actions  

but he has his own bulldozer

Well the girls would turn the color of the avocado when he would drive down the street in his El Dorado... -the modern lovers

by SleepyCA on Nov 13, 2010 1:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Carp's injury history hurts his value

doesn’t it? Oswalt has not had shoulder and elbow issues as far as I know.

by jraz on Nov 11, 2010 3:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes, Oswalt has been healthy

But Carpenter has been healthy too, for the past two years. As spants stated above:

All pitchers are injury-prone.

by JWO on Nov 11, 2010 3:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes, but...

Carp’s got a freak nerve condition that, if it flares up again, will probably end his career.

by spants on Nov 11, 2010 4:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Oswalt has had back injuries the past 2 seasons.

Nobody knew if they were chronic or not.

In baseball the object is to go home! And to be safe! "I hope I'll be safe at home!"
-George Carlin (RIP)

by Taskmaster on Nov 11, 2010 5:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Not a bad idea

The Cards have gotten lucky with Carp’s health for the last 2 years. I am worried about testing our luck one more time. Hughes/Nunez/and another B-B+ prospect would work for me. Hughes would be going to the inferior league plus he is cost controlled and will hopefully continue to develop. Nunez can replace Ryan and actually provide offense at the shortstop position.

1.14.10, the day I went green.

by njnick on Nov 11, 2010 2:54 PM EST reply actions  

Carp for Hughes straight up would be a good trade for us.

"What exactly is that thing? A pessimism meter?" - Bruce McCurdy

by hazel on Nov 11, 2010 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

I think we could squeeze at least a minor leaguer from them too.

I think the Yankees would take Carp even if they get Lee. Think of their rotation Lee, C.C., Carp, Pettite, Vazquez/Burnett

Always late to the party

by Skips OCD on Nov 11, 2010 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

there is no indication the yankees would accept hughes for carp straight up is there?

Carp had a 3.84 xFIP and was worth 3.7 WAR last year….
Hughes had a 4.33 xFIP and was worth 2.4 WAR….

Carp is 35 and declining so the best guarantee is that he’ll be 4.00 xFIP
Hughes is 24 and improving so he’ll probably move up to 4.00 xFIP

Not to mention Carp is at $15 million and Hughes is at whatever his first arbitary meeting decides (between $1-$5 million im guessing…)

And Hughes has three more years of team control at a bargain price… Carp has a buyout of $1 million or pay him $15 million at 36 where he’ll surely get worse than 4.00 xFIP…

by stlcardsfan4 on Nov 11, 2010 10:02 PM EST up reply actions  

My point exactly.

"What exactly is that thing? A pessimism meter?" - Bruce McCurdy

by hazel on Nov 11, 2010 10:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Number of trade chips

We have a few obvious ones (Rasmus, Miller) that we need to keep…not trade. If we are thinking trade then we probably want to explore our reliever depth and sell high on Jay.

I think packaging of Motte or Boggs with Jay is our best bet. Maybe package Hamilton as DH. Would Motte/Jay/Ryan get Drew? Might be light…just thinking.

by jraz on Nov 11, 2010 2:56 PM EST reply actions  

What do you do for a closer?

Baseball is only a game. And the Grand Canyon is only a hole.

by Dave Pendleton on Nov 17, 2010 8:20 PM EST up reply actions  

question

for those not in favor of a trade what kind of performance do you see carp having the next few years?
considering age/injury risk and salary cost what kind of surplus do you see carp providing over other players who could be signed during FA?
How long do you think carp has before he declines into an average/ below average pitcher? and would you really be ok with having him once he is being overpaid?

I am the Batman .
@CodeeG

by CodyG on Nov 11, 2010 2:59 PM EST reply actions  

This is the best question because of Albert we really can't afford to overpay ANYONE
and would you really be ok with having him once he is being overpaid?

Always late to the party

by Skips OCD on Nov 11, 2010 3:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Doesn't this just apply to 2011?

I don’t see the Cards picking up the $15MM 2012 option, so next season will cost $16mm (salary plus buyout). Repeating 2010 would be a great payback for the money. Repeating 2009 would be awesome. A Penny-like season would suck. In the interest of not jinxing anything, I’ll refrain from projecting Carp’s 2011.

From what we hear, Carp does have a positive impact on the other starters acting like a second pitching coach. Hard to put a price on this. Also, I haven’t heard anything regarding how many more years Carp wants to pitch. He turns 36 in March.

by ubeddie on Nov 11, 2010 8:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Carp and Skip for Cano.

Done.

:D

A man can dream right?

In baseball the object is to go home! And to be safe! "I hope I'll be safe at home!"
-George Carlin (RIP)

by Taskmaster on Nov 11, 2010 5:09 PM EST reply actions  

nice

"I'm not aware of what I'm doing. It's only after a get acquainted period that I see what I've been about. I've no fears about making changes for the painting has a life of its own." -Jackson Pollock

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Nov 11, 2010 6:51 PM EST up reply actions  

Hilarious.

I vote the anti-Tony ticket:
Aggressiveness on the basepaths,
Patience at the plate.

by aNdrOss on Nov 11, 2010 10:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Funny anyway

VivaElBirdos: Celebrating glorious mustaches since 2009

by redbirdnation8206 on Nov 14, 2010 12:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Actually, this idea makes a fair amount of sense.

Carp, if healthy, is worth both his current contract and the option. Unfortunately, it will be difficult for the Cards to afford the option. By letting a team that can afford the option take Carpenter (and, of course give sufficient value in return), it works out well for both the Cards and Carp.

As a side thought, should the Cards find themselves out of commission come the Trade Deadline (heaven forbid), Carp would make an attractive trade piece, for the reasons listed above.

I vote the anti-Tony ticket:
Aggressiveness on the basepaths,
Patience at the plate.

by aNdrOss on Nov 11, 2010 10:08 PM EST reply actions  

NNNNOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!

:=8O

My intense hatred of JASON MARQUIS keeps me warm and toasty at night. Believe!
:=8O

by The MooCow on Nov 12, 2010 9:24 AM EST reply actions  

If I didn't know better

I’d think the idea of Carp to the Yankees puts you in a bad moo d

The player I would like least at #9 would be my sister’s cat, Captain Creamsicle. She does have a great work ethic and agility, but I’m really concerned that at 9 lbs., she’s too small to play safety in the NFL. She also bites way too often on play action and is easily distracted by someone waving string in the crowd. Lastly, her wonderlic score was pretty awful, answering "meow meow meow" for most of the questions- Dr. Brackish Okun

by mob16151 on Nov 12, 2010 10:01 AM EST up reply actions  

Does Carp to the Yankees

Put you in a bad moo’d?

The player I would like least at #9 would be my sister’s cat, Captain Creamsicle. She does have a great work ethic and agility, but I’m really concerned that at 9 lbs., she’s too small to play safety in the NFL. She also bites way too often on play action and is easily distracted by someone waving string in the crowd. Lastly, her wonderlic score was pretty awful, answering "meow meow meow" for most of the questions- Dr. Brackish Okun

by mob16151 on Nov 12, 2010 10:11 AM EST up reply actions  

ooops

Already said that.

The player I would like least at #9 would be my sister’s cat, Captain Creamsicle. She does have a great work ethic and agility, but I’m really concerned that at 9 lbs., she’s too small to play safety in the NFL. She also bites way too often on play action and is easily distracted by someone waving string in the crowd. Lastly, her wonderlic score was pretty awful, answering "meow meow meow" for most of the questions- Dr. Brackish Okun

by mob16151 on Nov 12, 2010 10:12 AM EST up reply actions  

wait, okay

so it appears that Carp to the Yankees puts you in a bad—get this— “mooooooooooooooooo-d”!

If knowledge is the key, then just show me the lock.
Got the scrawny legs but I move just like Lou Brock.

by purple_haze on Nov 12, 2010 12:33 PM EST up reply actions  

U guys are really milkin' it...

;=8)

My intense hatred of JASON MARQUIS keeps me warm and toasty at night. Believe!
:=8O

by The MooCow on Nov 12, 2010 1:22 PM EST up reply actions  

And Yes I Dispise that idea with all the hatred in my furry little cow heart!

:=8P

My intense hatred of JASON MARQUIS keeps me warm and toasty at night. Believe!
:=8O

by The MooCow on Nov 12, 2010 1:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Does it make you sick to your four stomachs?

Albert Pujols does not have "down" years. He has "~6 WAR" years.

by mattybobo on Nov 12, 2010 11:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Does it give you mad cow disease? ;-)

The player I would like least at #9 would be my sister’s cat, Captain Creamsicle. She does have a great work ethic and agility, but I’m really concerned that at 9 lbs., she’s too small to play safety in the NFL. She also bites way too often on play action and is easily distracted by someone waving string in the crowd. Lastly, her wonderlic score was pretty awful, answering "meow meow meow" for most of the questions- Dr. Brackish Okun

by mob16151 on Nov 13, 2010 12:47 AM EST up reply actions  

What if we give you a few cases

Of Red Bull? That should give a moocow wings, yes?

by JWO on Nov 13, 2010 5:43 PM EST up reply actions  

FWIW

I like the idea of giving Chad Tracy a minor league deal with a ST invite.

by Dave Barry on Nov 20, 2010 11:11 AM EST reply actions  

Chad Tracy

Signed in Japan if I remember correctly.

The player I would like least at #9 would be my sister’s cat, Captain Creamsicle. She does have a great work ethic and agility, but I’m really concerned that at 9 lbs., she’s too small to play safety in the NFL. She also bites way too often on play action and is easily distracted by someone waving string in the crowd. Lastly, her wonderlic score was pretty awful, answering "meow meow meow" for most of the questions- Dr. Brackish Okun

by mob16151 on Nov 21, 2010 7:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Wikipedia says

He’s on the Hiroshima Toyo Carp for the 2011 season.

by JWO on Nov 24, 2010 7:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Memorabilia for sale

A move like this would trigger a massive yard sale/bookburning to be held in my front yard. Why not just trade Yadi to the Cubs for a few prospects? Blasphemy!!!!!!!!

by AnkielsInTheOutfield on Dec 3, 2010 12:46 AM EST reply actions  

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