Tony LaRussa: Actual W/L vs. Pythagorean W/L

Login
Sign Up
Google+

Viva El Birdos, a St. Louis Cardinals community

FanPost

PRESENTED BY

Tony LaRussa: Actual W/L vs. Pythagorean W/L

By mysterui on Aug 4 2009, 3:28p 25

Tweet Share 25 Comments

To preface this, the formula for Pythagorean W/L is 1/(1+((RunsAllowed/RunsScored)^1.63)). That's ugly in this format, I know

In today's discussion on VEB, we got into the topic on comparing actual W/L to the Pythagorean W/L of the team, based on runs scored and runs allowed. While it is impossible to know what this truly signifies, it is indeed a start and no worse a way to judge a manager than what the general baseball populace uses. With no further ado, here is the info from Tony's reign in St. Louis:

Year	Runs Scored	Runs Allowed	Wins	Losses	Pyth Wins	Pyth Losses	+/-
1996	759	706	88	74	86	76	2
1997	689	708	73	89	79	83	-6
1998	810	782	83	79	84	78	-1
1999	809	838	75	86	78	84	-3
2000	887	771	95	67	91	71	4
2001	814	684	93	69	94	68	-1
2002	787	648	97	65	95	67	2
2003	878	796	85	77	88	74	-3
2004	855	659	105	57	100	62	5
2005	805	634	100	62	98	64	2
2006	781	762	83	78	83	79	0
2007	725	829	78	84	71	91	7
2008	779	725	86	76	86	76	0
2009	473	438	58	50	58	50	0
Total	10851	9980	1199	1013	1192	1022	7

I'll try and do this with more managers that have been with their teams for awhile. I think that I'll start with Torre's Yankees and Cox's Braves. Like I said above, I don't even know if this information is statistically significant; I'm doing this purely for information's sake