I've been watching the standings the last few weeks, and begun to wonder if Albert really does have a shot at the triple crown. Based on numbers as of 13 August, he seems to have a good / great chance at winning the HR and RBI races. Reynolds is an unknown commodity who I believe will fade. Fielder is a great hitter, but playing for a team that is rapidly slipping from the standings and will likely have diminishing production.
Its the batting title that's elusive, and that's due to one man hitting for the Marlins. Albert appears to have broken out of his mini-slump and is again dominating. But Hanley Ramirez's numbers are SICK (not "ridiculous" - that title belongs to El Hombre). Here's the skinny on their past ten games:
Pujols: 39 AB, 15 Hits, .385 AVG (4 BBs, 5 SOs)
Ramirez: 46 AB, 19 Hits, .413 AVG (1 BB, 7 SOs)
I'm ignoring the other hitting statistics - for the purposes of this discussion, they're irrelevant. For my VEB bretheren, what do you think are the chances Albert overtakes Hanley? Give me a % guesstimate.
I'll start off with 35%. I don't think Pujols cools off. The problem is, Ramirez will stay north of .340 for the rest of the season. That will (sadly) be just enough to win the batting title.