Week of Deadline Rumor Thread
We are now about a week away from the non-waiver trading deadline. I thought it might be a good idea to make a hot-stove-like catch all thread to discuss trade ideas and rumors that come up in the next week. This way there can still be discussion over the smaller rumors that don't really need a fanpost.
I will start things off by discussing some things that I feel may help the team.
First I will go to a rumor that I really hope is not true:
I do not want to see this happen. It is reported that the deal has a 50-50 shot at happening. We could do enough without trading Wallace. Especially for two months of Holliday, who is reportedly very interested in resigning with a Californian team in the offseason. He would probably be a type A and net us an additional first round draft pick. And DeRosa could also be type A if he finishes strong the rest of the season. So that leaves us with a choice. 1-2 first round draft picks and keep Wallace or 2-3 first rounders and Holliday for two months. I would rather have a near major-league ready first round pick for next year and future years plus at least a type B compensatory pick for DeRosa in addition to our 1st rounder. Glaus might also net us something. So there could be some picks coming our way.
But basically the decision is Wallace under control for at least 6 years or Holliday for 2 months. I say no.
Here is the plan I think we should take in the coming week:
Inquire on Adam Dunn, if he does not come at the right price immediately, switch targets to Josh Willingham. Willingham would be a most likely cheap option and an improvement over Ankiel. The thing that concerns me with him is his low RBI total and BAw/RISP. 29 RBI's and a .194 BAw/RISP. He has 13 HR's and a .297 BA. He might fill well in the 2-hole. Moving Rasmus into a position to steal more bases which I think is very important.
If Adam Dunn can be had without Wallace or Darryl Jones, I'd say to do that. He'd be good protection for Pujols or good being protected by Pujols.
Some other options for offense:
If the Marlins become sellers, which I'm not sure is likely- Cody Ross or Jorge Cantu could be good options to improve our offense. Both have double digit HR totals and are batting for decent average.
Freddy Sanchez- 6.1 million this year and an 8 million club option next year. 2.4 WAR. +.300 hitter. Near .350 OBP and has 6 HR's and 34 RBI's. Could be a versatile infielder for us. Pirates likely to be willing to deal him.
Mark Teahen- Versatile defender, major improvement over Ankiel offensively.
If we aqcuire anyone to help on offense I could see any of these guys being likely targets.
Now, to replace the reason I can only watch 4 of every 5 Cards games; Todd Wellemeyer:
I'll start with the two that will likely not happen due to the cost:
Roy Halladay- I think we're about done with him.
Cliff Lee- The Indians would likely want too much than we have to offer due to his affordability and ability
More likely and cheaper options:
Doug Davis- he would be a nice addition to the back of our rotation. Last I heard about him was that the D-Backs would ask too much for him, but that may change in the next week, we'll see what happens.
Carl Pavano- An affordable option from the Indians. Has an ERA over 5 but a low FIP. Might be a guy worth getting. Definitely an improvement over Wellemeyer.
Zach Duke- I'm not sure if the Pirates would deal him to us or at all. He is into his arbitrations years and is making 2.2 million dollars this season. He has a low ERA at 3.38 and FIP 3.98. He is the best pitcher for the Pirates now, but who knows who they will deal. He's also left handed. May be too expensive, I'm not sure.
Kevin Correia- The best option in my mind. Probably pretty cheap. 4.34 ERA. 4.03 FIP. Sounds like a good, cheap option who is a big improvement over Wellemeyer.
I think the best options for us are Josh Willingham and Kevin Correia. They would kind of round off our team, completing the rotation, and helping out our ailing LF. Both affordable and affective improvements.
Send down Stavinoha for Willingham, DFA Wellemeyer for Correia, and call up Craig for Thurston or 13th pitcher (a lot of off days the rest of the year), and I like how our roster looks.
When it's all said and done, I would like our roster to look as follows.
Rotation: Carpenter, Wainwright, Pineiro, Lohse, Correia
Bull Pen: Thompson, McClellan, Miller, Reyes, Motte, Kinney, Franklin
Catchers: Molina, LaRue
Infielders: Pujols, Schumaker, Ryan, DeRosa, Lugo, Craig
Outfielders: Willingham, Rasmus, Ludwick, Ankiel
25th spot: one of our DL guys (Glaus, Greene) or Wellemeyer or minor league pitcher (Walters, Todd, Mortenson, Hawksworth)
And thats all I got.
6 recs |
198 comments
Comments
Holliday for Wallace...
is silly talk. If that deal is done there would have to be an agreement for an extension, and there’s no way Holliday and Scott Boras agree to that.
As for the first round draft pick, Wallace is way more valuable, and there’s a 50% we’d end up with a second rounder and a supplemental as picks 1-15 are protected. Best case scenario you get a pick in the late teens, and that won’t get you a Walrus.
by guayzimi on Jul 23, 2009 3:20 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
that is true
the only thing that makes sense, is that the front office has given up on Wallace’s ability to play a defensive position at the major league level. (Insert C. Duncan comment here)
"I will grow a mustache bigger than Wyatt Earp's if we keep winning," - Adam Wainwright
by Beware the Molinas on Jul 23, 2009 3:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
13th rounder got us a Pujols, ya never know.
But, yah I wouldn’t do it either.
by ADMDrayson on Jul 23, 2009 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
there are so many molinas now!
The first thing that a pitcher has to understand is that Albert is better than you.-- Jim Palmer
by ilrosso on Jul 24, 2009 2:04 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
[sig]
"But listen, and understand: more Molinas are out there. They can't be bargained with. They can't be reasoned with. They don't feel pity, or remorse, or fear." - THT
by Yadi2Second on Jul 24, 2009 2:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You can always run away from them though
by Merry CRasmus on Jul 24, 2009 2:42 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
they'll just pick you off
"But listen, and understand: more Molinas are out there. They can't be bargained with. They can't be reasoned with. They don't feel pity, or remorse, or fear." - THT
by Yadi2Second on Jul 25, 2009 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Right
I also see us needing to aquire more from Oakland than just Holliday for Wallace. A lower tier arm for one of their pitchers maybe, but this would be way to much for Holliday even with an extension.
by from First to Third on Jul 23, 2009 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you are going to sign Holliday
Then Jones becomes available too. Maybe that brings you something better pitching wise. The A’s are loaded in that respect. To me that is the only way this deal makes sense. I’m not saying I particularly like the trade even then. I’m just saying that Holliday for Wallace straight up makes absolutely zero sense to me. If you’re able to get young arms back from the A’s, then I guess I’d like to know the specifics.
by Merry CRasmus on Jul 23, 2009 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well I wasn't particularly saying we needed the extra pitching from them..
But I agree that Oakland has arms, and IF we trade Wallace, I feel more needs to come from Oaklands side.
by from First to Third on Jul 23, 2009 5:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
They may be ready to unload Gio Gonzalez
He has had a couple rough cups of coffee in the majors, and just got destroyed the other night. They’ve got Cahill, Anderson, Mazzaro, and Braden all 25 and under and all performing well at the highest level, to varying degrees. Outman did great, but is hurt for a long time. I still think he fits in their long term plan. Then they have Duchscherer starting a rehab too.
Gonzalez is still only 23 and racks up K’s at every level. This is your prototypical high ceiling/low floor guy, which we do not possess. Beane’s probably close to a breaking point with him, doesn’t have much of a need to wait on him while his value (potentially) diminishes further, and he clearly wants Wallace. I think there is an opportunity to extract a little value there, and potentially hit a long term home run yourself.
I don’t like the odds on Gonzalez enough to say he’s the guy I’d throw in Jones to get, but you may need to let Beane take another dip into the prospect pool for a B lister or a couple C+ types. I think they can use some outfielders. We have a few and they’ll appear to be blocked if we’re planning to sign Holliday.
All that being said, I’m not even sure I’d endorse the deal then. I don’t like Wallace for Holliday at all, and I don’t know that there is anything that could reasonably happen that would move me to neutral on a deal. At the very least, if Mo held out for better and took that kind of angle with the deal I’d dislike it less. Wallace for Holliday straight up is a disaster IMO. If you don’t have a ring in October, no one is going to feel very good about it.
by Merry CRasmus on Jul 24, 2009 4:02 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
you know, you may have something there
Not sure what their major league needs are (sadly, I think it might be middle infield). How’s about Wallace + Kozma for Gio & Holliday? I don’t like i much but it’s probably better than Holliday/Wallace straight-up. Maybe someone like Jay or Anderson, if he still has a shred of value, instead of Kozma…
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 24, 2009 6:19 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You had me until Adam Dunn.
The guy is just not that valuable and he is getting paid big money, and his team is reluctant to trade him. Why not shoot for one of his teammates (Willingham, Dukes, Kearns) who are cheaper and more valuable players who the team would likely be more interested in dealing? About Willingham, screw his RBI totals and RISP numbers (which are predictive of nothing), and look at his improved batting eye and power. Because this season looks to be a career year for Willingham, there are plenty of other players out there who we wouldn’t have to overpay for as well. We could free Matt Murton or pay Kearns remaining salary. I just can’t understand the attraction of Dunn compared to the other options.
Decrease runs scored?
Maybe.
Decrease winning? Never seen that proven.
-SFTU
by hazel on Jul 23, 2009 3:25 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'd only take Dunn if it was a steal
My first choice is Willingham
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 23, 2009 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Dunn's value can be underestimated
Terrible defender, but huge OBP guy to go with the HRs.
by wyld stallyns on Jul 23, 2009 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
When discussing Dunn, it is frequently claimed that he is not valuable due to defense
However, what gets left out of the consideration is that the Cardinals are already dealing with subpar LF defense (or at least had been before the soap opera began).
Duncan’s UZR/150 this season in LF has been -9.5. Dunn’s has been (an admittedly atrocious) -30.8.
However, as we know, UZR requires a significantly larger sample size than the 60-70 games involved in just this season. For his career in over 1000 games, Dunn’s LF UZR/150 is 12.1. Duncan’s is -8.7 over 250 LF games.
Even generously, Duncan has been worth no more than half a win per season more than Duncan defensively over the course of their careers in LF.
Through this point in the season, Dunn has posted 23.2 wRAA. Duncan has been worth 1.1. At the plate, over half a season, Dunn has been worth 2.2 wins more than Duncan already.
Extrapolate that over the next season and a half, taking into account that Duncan has declined over the course of the year and is likely suffering some injury effects, while Dunn has hit exactly 40 HR each of the last four seasons, demonstrating that what you see is what you get with this guy, and I think he looks like a pretty great target, especially with that reduced contract through next season.
Then imagine his career .383 OBP “protecting” Pujols in the lineup, or in front of him creating even more RBI opportunities.
by Huck Finn on Jul 23, 2009 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
*In the fourth paragraph:
that should be “Duncan has been worth no mroe than half a win per season more than Dunn”
dammit
by Huck Finn on Jul 23, 2009 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you read my post,
you’d see that I say other players will cost less and are more valuable.
Adam Dunn
wOBA .398
2009 UZR -32.1
Batting runs 22.9
Fielding runs -23.4
2009 WAR 0.8
Salary $8M ’09 $12M ’10
Hates America: Yes
Josh Willingham
wOBA .424
2009 UZR -5.5
Batting runs 19.8
Fielding runs -2.9
2009 WAR 2.2
Salary $2.925M ’09 Arbitration ’10
Hates America: No
Decrease runs scored?
Maybe.
Decrease winning? Never seen that proven.
-SFTU
by hazel on Jul 23, 2009 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hey, I completely agree.
I was just making two points.
First, Dunn has more value than is sometimes recognized, and his LF defense wouldn’t crush the Cards b/c 1) they have a great defensive CF and 2) they have been deailng with lousy LF defense all season.
Second, his -32.1 UZR for this season is often bantered around, but in order for it to be predictive, UZR requires a much larger sample size.
For the relative costs, though, I’m all for Willingham. Murton and Kearns, count me personally out.
by Huck Finn on Jul 23, 2009 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Here's my question:
To what extent is Dunn’s value salvaged by putting him along side a CFer with huge range, and batting him in front of the best hitter in baseball? Does a 400 OBP guy in front of Pujols equal something like a 450 OBP guy in front of an average #3 hitter?
by guayzimi on Jul 23, 2009 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i think less than people think. the actual number of OOZ plays made in the OF is pretty low over
the course of a season (I don’t know colby’s #s, but i’m guessing maybe 15 over the season). my suspicion is that having colby there would really only help dunn’s D by a couple runs. it might mean the difference between a 1.5 win season for dunn and a 2.0 win season for dunn.
the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus
by tom s. on Jul 23, 2009 5:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How will Colby
cover ground that falls in a LF’s zone? This is something I fail to understand.
by AWolfAtTheDoor on Jul 24, 2009 2:20 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There's no wall that keeps him from getting into left field
He could just cover more ground that Dunn would normally have to cover making Dunn’s job easier. Because Colby gets great jumps and has great speed.
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 24, 2009 2:30 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Like a boss.
that’s how.
"I usually don’t read other peoples sigs." -Cuttah
by Alxfritz on Jul 24, 2009 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions 3 recs
Boggs for Willingham?
Sound reasonable? I heard an unsubstantiated rumor that Mitch was pulled from his start tonight, and we’re just about ready to roll in to Nationals Park. Do we need to give up something else to make this deal?
by wyld stallyns on Jul 23, 2009 3:37 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't know
I was thinking Boggs would be a good trade piece for some of these deals. I think it would be interesting to see a player switch dugouts right before the game.
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 23, 2009 3:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i love that story about the guy who was traded between the two games of a doubleheader
They say that it's never too late, but you don't get any younger...
by Valatan on Jul 23, 2009 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ha, yeah
Of course, hope means being cut down on some street corner, as you run like mad, by a random bullet.
by prophetjohn on Jul 23, 2009 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Affirmative on that...
he’s a 3-4 win player under control for two more years after this. Seems like it would take less than wallace but considerably more than Boggs/Mortenson.
by guayzimi on Jul 23, 2009 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
On the Redbirds website
It says tonights started is TBD and its Boggs turn in the rotation so he could be getting called up or he could be getting traded, or he could be hurt or something.
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 23, 2009 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
We should rec this so it stays up for the next week
and can be used for rumor talk
by waino on Jul 23, 2009 3:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'd be okay with Boggs for Willingham...
but Wallace for Holliday is simply retarded…..especially if Boggs for WIllingham is a possibilty.
by The Ghost of Todd Burns on Jul 23, 2009 3:55 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Mark Buehrle just threw a perfect game
I wish we had him
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 23, 2009 4:17 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I think its stupid that Sanchez didn't get a perfect game
just because Uribe made an error.
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 23, 2009 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree...
maybe they should put an asterisk next to it in the record book
by The Ghost of Todd Burns on Jul 23, 2009 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, that's the definition
The perfect game is obviously mostly a pitcher’s accomplishment, but it’s a team accomplishment.
Also, to be honest, Sanchez got a lot of help from the ump behind the plate in that 9th inning. That strike zone was ridiculous. Not to say he couldn’t have gotten the 3 outs anyway, but if they used K-zone on some of those pitches, I don’t think they would have even been close.
by mtalken on Jul 23, 2009 8:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Albert Pujols for the entire Baltimore Orioles 25-man roster
"If on-base percentage is so important, then why don't they put it up on the scoreboard?" - Jeff Francouer
by jd is legend on Jul 23, 2009 4:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
McPhail, is that you?
Decrease runs scored?
Maybe.
Decrease winning? Never seen that proven.
-SFTU
by hazel on Jul 23, 2009 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Heh
"If on-base percentage is so important, then why don't they put it up on the scoreboard?" - Jeff Francouer
by jd is legend on Jul 23, 2009 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
no way. even if they made 100 % salary considerations, you can only play 9 at a time.
by ADMDrayson on Jul 23, 2009 5:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i dunno, having wieters and markakis and brian roberts and adam jones?
those are some great players.
the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus
by tom s. on Jul 23, 2009 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not to mention we still have Carp, Waino, Rasmus, Ludwick and Molina
"If on-base percentage is so important, then why don't they put it up on the scoreboard?" - Jeff Francouer
by jd is legend on Jul 23, 2009 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and we trade all the rest of the guys we can't play
to Ricciardi for Halladay. Let’s get this done STAT!
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Jul 23, 2009 7:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So basically what you're saying is
The entire Baltimore Orioles 25-man roster would be the medium to get a Pujols-for-Halladay deal done, plus we get some of Balty’s better players.
"If on-base percentage is so important, then why don't they put it up on the scoreboard?" - Jeff Francouer
by jd is legend on Jul 23, 2009 7:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Was the Duncan deal a preliminary move?
It has been said that the Jays want a young, MLB-ready SS in the Halladay deal.
For the Cards, that could really only be Brendan Ryan.
From MLBTR: Ricciardi told The Canadian Press that talks have become “a little bit more heated up.” He believes some teams are trying to make preliminary moves to acquire Halladay.
If Ryan were to go in a deal, the Cards would need Lugo to play SS in his absence.
This is obviously major speculation, but which other teams have been making deals that could be described in that manner? Sox dealing for 1B/DH depth doesn’t seem to free up any young talent that the Jays might want from their MLB club.
by Huck Finn on Jul 23, 2009 4:55 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
He said trying to make preliminary moves
He didn’t say they already have
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 23, 2009 5:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
if we put lugo back at SS, we are seriously fucked.
the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus
by tom s. on Jul 23, 2009 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Lugo can't play SS anymore
so that doesn’t help us at all, really.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 24, 2009 6:27 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
walrus/ryan for hanley!
do it mo!
Of course, hope means being cut down on some street corner, as you run like mad, by a random bullet.
by prophetjohn on Jul 23, 2009 5:26 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I could go for that..probably not going to happen, but you never know
by ADMDrayson on Jul 23, 2009 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
definitely not gonna happen
but a girl can dream!
Of course, hope means being cut down on some street corner, as you run like mad, by a random bullet.
by prophetjohn on Jul 23, 2009 5:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I voted 'no'
Wallace for two months of Holliday, as several above have pointed out, makes no sense unless you plan on this being “our year” and the last good chance for a title run.
As most of the roster, at least the most important parts, are signed/under teams control next year, that is patently not the case.
The other options…. I’m not sure. Halladay, sure, I’d love to have him but at the cost of how many of our top prospects? Dunn I’m not excited about, Willingham more so, if the price is not too high.
Overall, I’d rather see a move for a pitcher to take Welly’s place right now than another bat. Rick, despite his 2 1/2 month long slump, seems to be improving the last week, DeRosa has finally started to hit, Lugo should help against lefties…. I just think a pitcher that gives us a better than 25% chance of winning every fifth day is more valuable to the team right now. (Of course, if we could make Lohse/Piniero that pitcher by having a three-headed monster at the top of the rotation, I’d be OK with that too!)
by ArkansasTravs on Jul 23, 2009 5:42 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
No thanks to the Holliday-Wallace swap
Would love to hear what the Nats want for Willingham, though. Seriously, cough him up, Nats. It’s not like you’re doing anything worthwhile with him.
by mojowo11 on Jul 23, 2009 5:53 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
jones, tgreene, mulligan/etc
for willingham
Of course, hope means being cut down on some street corner, as you run like mad, by a random bullet.
by prophetjohn on Jul 23, 2009 6:11 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
one thing to remember about today's news regarding Holliday
Susan Slusser first reported the story here. and when ESPN 101 in the STL interviewed her today, she said the only reason the A’s & Cards are talking is because MO has previously said Walrus was not going to be traded. SFgate.com also blogs here noting how unhappy VEB is right now with Tony. interesting.
Buster Olney then ran with it, but didn’t really say anything we haven’t heard before.
i want to go back to what ms slusser said on the radio today & what LB said here two weeks ago about Walrus. up till now he’s not been on the market. the only logical reason the Cards would trade him is if they think he cannot play 3rd or LF. so now that MO is in talks with the A’s for Holliday, it’s not too big of a stretch to believe now the Cards do not think Walrus has a place on the Cards in the future. i’m honestly bummed about it. i had the visions of him, Colby & Albert in the heart of the order for many years to come. but if his D really is that bad, i guess the Cards almost have to trade him now while his value is high, so they can get the most for his services.
i just hope MO calls JP Ricciardi now that Walrus is on the block. that way he will be getting the most out of him. i know the team needs a big bat, but come on, it’s Roy F’ing Halladay.
FOR RENT
by gdm426 on Jul 23, 2009 6:59 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I have to wonder, ...
just how many good hitting 1B prospects do we need to send to Billy Beane before he figures out how to use one? We sent them Daric Barton, and now they want us to send them Wallace, as well? Come on, Billy. Develop your own, would ya?
by etp_stl on Jul 23, 2009 7:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oakland does pitchers....
not so much position players.
Maybe we ought to be trading Wallace for some of their pitching.
by mtalken on Jul 23, 2009 9:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would do Wallace for Anderson yesterday...
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 24, 2009 6:10 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
that thing about us being unhappy at TLR is such a joke
The writer’s comment is “One thing I’ve heard is that St. Louis residents don’t like the fact that La Russa never moved from the Bay Area. Guys, if you had your choice… never mind.”
Honestly? That’s why we’re bitter? Get over yourself, man. For one, many of us don’t even live in St. Louis, and those who do, after over a decade of him as our manager, that is not the reason they are sour. It’s because he comes out and makes comments like the ones quoted in the frickin article you CITED. Geez, some “journalists” out there need to learn a few lessons about making things up and acting like they’re fact.
On with the (good) youth movement!
by aet15 on Jul 23, 2009 7:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That wasn't a journalist's article,
it was a blog entry. They are allowed to present whatever rumors, inuendos, random BS, etc. that they wish. That criticism has been going on in this town for quite a while. I think it pretty well died with the World Series win, but he isn’t “making it up.” Miklasz, Gordon, and others have made that argument as to why some fans don’t accept LaRussa for a decade.
by etp_stl on Jul 23, 2009 7:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
well
“Vlae Kershner, who started in journalism as a $3-a-week highschool sports stringer at age 15, is SFGate.com’s news director. He grew up in the Chicago area as a fourth-generation Cubs fan but pretty much converted to the A’s after he moved West. If the two teams ever meet in the World Series he’ll root for … never mind, it’s the Cubs.”
Didn’t say “accomplished journalist,” but he still claims the title. And you’ll notice I put “journalists” in quotes . . . as in taking it with a grain of salt as it is.
But with that said, my point is that he makes that out to be the reason. And let’s face it, that’s not the reason. ESPECIALLY, and here is the point I was making, if he READ the post that HE cited.
On with the (good) youth movement!
by aet15 on Jul 23, 2009 9:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Who cares if it's a blog entry?
If you say something, you should back it up with specific instances. When has ANYONE on the site ever complained about La Russa’s place of residence?
The guys who don’t like La Russa think he is a shitty strategist, and makes stupid decisions with players.
I don’t care if your a journalist or you write for a blog that nobody ever reads. It’s not okay to make things up.
Derosa.
by vivaelpujols on Jul 24, 2009 1:09 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I never said anybody on this site said that.
I said that the post writers have been insinuating, or outright saying that for years now. So, he didn’t “make that up.” As aet15 points out, the guy does get snarky and present it such that he makes it “seem” like that’s one of the reasons, but he also doesn’t outright claim that’s the leading factor.
Blogs are editorials. You can insinuate whatever the hell you want in such items. It’s the difference between a journalist and an op-ed writer. The lines have gotten blurry, especially in sports, as so many writers blend from one into the other depending upon which article they’re writing. The only rules regard libelous statements that you might make, and those are decided in court rooms. If you choose to believe a guy is full of crap, then don’t read him. He’s under no obligation to you, or anyone else, for his editorials to be completely corroborated, as ALL editorials are opinion-based.
by etp_stl on Jul 24, 2009 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is it possible ...
that this immediate heating up of the Holliday trade talks is Mo’s way to placate LaRussa after the blowup over Duncan?
I know it sounds crazy, but Don Tony carries that kind of weight, as we all know. We also know that LaRussa has been clamoring for this player for two years. Just wondering if y’all think this is a real possibility beyond the baseball sense because of this.
by etp_stl on Jul 23, 2009 7:02 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
is it possible Mo is leveraging the Holliday trade
to get a deal ‘Dunn’ with the Nats?
by rlgosnell on Jul 23, 2009 7:39 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
For Zimmerman?
No longer patiently awaiting. Raz has arrived.
by RunninRedbird on Jul 23, 2009 7:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i'd do it
would the nats?
doubt it
Of course, hope means being cut down on some street corner, as you run like mad, by a random bullet.
by prophetjohn on Jul 23, 2009 8:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
They wouldn't
but I’ll keep dreaming…
No longer patiently awaiting. Raz has arrived.
by RunninRedbird on Jul 23, 2009 9:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I heard the Nats are looking for a terrible 5th starter
with a non-sinking sinker.
Derosa.
by vivaelpujols on Jul 24, 2009 1:10 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Three way trade
Welley to Nationals
Dunn to Giants
Cain/Lincecum to Cardinals
Everybody finally gets what they want!
Albert Pujols does not have "down" years. He has "~6 WAR" years.
by mattybobo on Jul 24, 2009 10:33 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's my guess
Not necessarily the Nats, and if the Nats, not necessarily Dunn, but the leveraging part, yeah
"If on-base percentage is so important, then why don't they put it up on the scoreboard?" - Jeff Francouer
by jd is legend on Jul 23, 2009 8:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
would you sell the farm
(i.e. empty more or less every meaningful prospect) for Dunn plus Zimmerman (Ryan)? I kinda feel like maybe I would….
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 24, 2009 6:08 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No
But I’d do for a double Zimmerman trade without question. Maybe they just throw in Kearns too, for the hell of it.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Jul 24, 2009 9:32 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
After reviewing the obligations to next year's team...
if the front office wants to keep payroll at 90M or so, there isn’t much room for a big acquisition.
There is currently 63.65M already dedicated to the players under contract for next year under the current roster (assuming .5M/player for the 13 players to make around league min). This does not include a salary bump to Ludwick through arb. This still leaves openings for a Corner OF, 3B, SP, SP, Loogy, Backup C, and a RP (assuming the position isn’t filled from the minors).
Assuming you spend 3M to fill the Loogy, Backup C, and RP positions, that leaves approximately 20M available to fill the Corner OF, 3B, SP, and SP openings.
By acquiring Holliday, you are basically using up all of the available money on just one of those openings (if you plan to re-sign) and removing our top prospect from the organization.
By keeping Wallace, he or Freese will be slotted to play 3B, removing 1 costly position that needs to be replaced. By acquiring Willingham and paying him approximately 4-5M to fill the corner OF spot, still leaves 15M to fill the remaining 2 SP spots. If one of those spots is filled from within (Garcia/Boggs/Mortenson), then that leaves 15M that can be spent on a top of the rotation arm (or Derosa is re-signed to play 3B and you have 10M to spend on that arm).
If you trade for Holliday, you lose Wallace and about 12-15M (if Holliday is re-signed) of the available 20M. Even if you fill 3B with Derosa (5 M?), you will have to fill the two rotation spots from within or with Ponson type players (I think we are all tired of that).
If you trade for Roy Halladay, you lose Wallace and 16M are gone from the available funds for next year. You would still need to fill 3B (Freese) and LF (4M FA/Mather/Craig/Stav) and then the final rotation spot from within.
If you stand pat, you keep Wallace and have the full 20M to spend at your leisure next season. You would have to fill 3B (Wallace/Freese), LF (Wallace/FA), SP (FA), SP (within). If the team knows Wallace can’t stick at third, he had better start shagging fly balls this season to prepare for next.
Mo should approach the trade deadline by reviewing these scenarios and determining which scenario puts the team in the best place to win this year AND in the years to follow.
My opinion is that by acquiring Willingham, the team puts itself in position to win this season and for the following years without costing itself in financial flexibility and prospects.
by Jumsy on Jul 23, 2009 8:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Willingham...
… could require Wallace. he’s on track to be a ~ 4.5 WAR player this year who can play all over the field and is under team control for a few more seasons. he won’t come cheap.
other than that, i’m in agreement with your analysis.
by kindred on Jul 24, 2009 6:00 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I reckon we can get him without Wallace
they’ve got a lot of outfielders. It will cost something significant. In a way, I’d rather trade for someone who’s NOT having a career year (“buy high” is rarely a good tenet in any walk of life), but I could stomach giving away at least one of our better pitching prospects, maybe someone like Craig or Jay, and maybe one more piece.
I could even see Jones for Willingham not being a bad move – Willingham/Rasmus/Ludwick looks like an everyday OF going forward for the next 2-3 years, so Jones becomes less of a necessity.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 24, 2009 6:07 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think we can actually
They have a lot of outfielders, as you said, so they’re not going to be interested in Jones who is our next best prospect. What they really need is a candidate for 1B long term, and Wallace qualifies for that. The other holes they have (middle infield, starting pitching, relief pitching) we either don’t have any depth at OR we don’t have any impact players. In one of those cases (middle infield) we don’t have either of those things.
I’d be shocked if they dealt us a guy who’s been no worse than a 2.5 WAR player over the last 3 seasons for a few C level prospects.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Jul 24, 2009 9:37 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
well
I’d have rather given up Wallace for a couple of years of WIllingham than for 2 months of Holliday :-(….
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 26, 2009 6:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
This I agree with
just not the conjecture that we could have gotten Willingham without giving up Wallace.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Jul 28, 2009 7:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
anybody have insight into the braves?
Idle thought on perusing rotoworld: kelly johnson just came off the dl. Has he been completely replaced? Does he still have a spot at 2b or LF? Is he on the block? Could be risky just off the DL. But maybe another name in the mix?
the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus
by tom s. on Jul 23, 2009 11:42 PM EDT via mobile reply actions 0 recs
He's kind of in bad standing with the organization
He was leadoff until they acquired McLouth, now he’s their #8 hitter. He didn’t respond to it too well.
"If on-base percentage is so important, then why don't they put it up on the scoreboard?" - Jeff Francouer
by jd is legend on Jul 24, 2009 12:13 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
how about that ankiel for johnson trade now...
yeah…i know it was ludwick…but alls well that ends well right?
by The Ghost of Todd Burns on Jul 24, 2009 12:42 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
there was some discussion that Yunel Escobar might have fallen out with Cox
I’d rather have him that Johnson. In fact, I’d probably trade something pretty significant for Yuni. He helps us right now, he’s versatile (could use him at 2B or even 3B, he’s got a good arm and is about an average SS) and he’s a leadoff hitter with a good OBP and a bit of pop who hits lefties well. I’d say he’d be the last major “piece” we need to be a pretty strong team this year, and he’s under team control going forward.
Of course, it probably takes something significant (maybe Jones + another good prospect) but I think he’s a quality player worth pursuing if there’s any chance he’s available.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 24, 2009 6:34 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah I like the Pavano idea
he’s cheap and his years in NY have clearly depressed his value. I think he’d work well with Duncan and could be a decent option for us as a cheap-ish 4th starter next year.
Correia, on the other hand, is all smoke and mirrors. I’ve nothing to back this up, but I think he’s probably been a bit lucky this year. I suppose if we got him for next to nothing (see: Khalil Greene trade) it’s worth a try, but he’s so cheap that I reckon it’d take something meaningful. I’d rather just give Boggs a run.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 24, 2009 6:14 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Correia projects for a mid-4's FIP
Then again his HR/FB’s have always been low, likely reflective of San Fran’s park. He’s probably not as good as that.
Derosa.
by vivaelpujols on Jul 24, 2009 6:24 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
probably a knee-jerk thing
but I just see him as a mediocre, back-of-the-rotation guy. I can’t see that one of our AAA guys couldn’t put up a sub-5 FIP. Heck, even Welly’s FIPing under 5 this year. I just don’t think Correia helps us much this year, or particularly going forward. I see Pavano as a possibly legit #3/4, and with Carp, Waino and Lohse I think he gives us a fine rotation next year. I think he’s probably going to end up being cheaper than Pineiro, too.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 24, 2009 6:37 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pineiro is a lot better than Pavano though
I wouldn’t mind trading for Pavano and re-signing both.
Derosa.
by vivaelpujols on Jul 24, 2009 6:55 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
but will he be next year?
I really can’t see how pineiro can sustain his current HR rate (I think the GB% is probably real), and I think his control (right now) is as good as it’ll ever be.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 24, 2009 8:57 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, ZIPS projects Pineiro to have an FIP about half a run better than Pavano
And he is younger.
Derosa.
by vivaelpujols on Jul 24, 2009 9:02 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
how much do you think pavano costs next year?
we might need an effective CHEAP (i.e. <$5m) 4th starter if we’re serious about extending Holliday.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 26, 2009 6:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
We aren't going to extend Holliday
The Yankees will have a hole next year, and they will blow us away. If they don’t, the Mets will. I can only hope the Met’s sign Holliday, so we can have their draft pick which is a lot higher than the Yankees.
F%#& Billy Beane. Actually... I kinda like Holliday
by vivaelpujols on Jul 27, 2009 5:15 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
They won't blow us away if we don't give them a chance to.
Holliday likes St. Louis and I think we do resign him.
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 27, 2009 1:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
We won't get their draft pick
They will probably be drafting in the top 15 correct?
Man, with this outfield, need to get rid of that Rasmus guy. :)
by Taskmaster on Jul 27, 2009 6:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
pretty good chance, yeah, they're on the cusp.
I still think there’s a good chance Holliday is back next year, VEP. Not that I especially want that (hey, it’d be nice but there’s probably better ways to spend the cash).
And you didn’t answer my question, VEP.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 28, 2009 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He's in San Diego this season
putting up a career high FIP — there’s a shock!
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Jul 24, 2009 9:40 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Carl Pavano + Cardinal Medical staff
= clear a spot on the DL train
Future Redbirds - tracking Cardinal prospects for Cardinal Nation
by azruavatar on Jul 24, 2009 8:01 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
CHOO CHOO!
all aboard for the Paletta Express!
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 24, 2009 8:58 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
does anyone else get the impression...
that Tony doesn’t give a damn if we trade Wallace (or the rest of the farm) because he doesn’t plan on being around after this season?
by The Ghost of Todd Burns on Jul 24, 2009 2:05 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
as we saw with the Duncan trade, I really don't think Mo and TLR are on the same page
or even in the same library. I don’t think he has any say on whether Wallace is traded or not.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 24, 2009 6:04 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I really, really think people need to stop evaluating players based on meaningless stats like RBIs and average w/RISP.
That should be, like, a rule of the site or something. PLEASE STOP.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 24, 2009 6:03 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I took that this way
“I don’t like Josh Willingham, but all his rate stats are awesome this year so I’m going to find some spot where he’s stuggling. Oh look! He hasn’t hit well with runners in scoring position this year and thus doesn’t have any RBI’s!”
Since he quotes OBP with Sanchez later on and the rest of is analysis uses rate stats, I just took it that he doesn’t like Willingham and needed some statistic to prove that he isn’t a good choice or something.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Jul 24, 2009 9:44 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Unless you believe in that mystical "Clutch" stat, then they might be relevant.
Of course the kid-in-me baseball lover says “clutch” is very real.
by ADMDrayson on Jul 24, 2009 10:07 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
close and late is a better
stat than average with risp, in my opinion. but i don’t believe in clutch, really. whatever.
The first thing that a pitcher has to understand is that Albert is better than you.-- Jim Palmer
by ilrosso on Jul 24, 2009 11:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How can you not believe in "clutch performances"?
In basketball look at Robert Horry (not a star, but clutch)…he doesn’t miss at the end of a game.
In football Joe Montana…thirty-one 4th quarter comeback wins (great player because he was clutch).
How does Baseball not aply. For pitching see Mariano Rivera…that guy is clutch.
by Schnurdog on Jul 30, 2009 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
while we're talking about nats outfielders
why not inquire about dukes. they have a super crowded outfield with dunn morgan willingham kearns and dukes i think dukes might be the cheapest of the lot has power defensive versatility and might have the highest ceiling considering dunn has reached his ceiling. I like career year willingham but he was not all that super in florida before this year. dukes might be the cheapest because of some percieved attitude issues anyone think pujols would keep him in his place?
by callmesir on Jul 24, 2009 9:45 AM EDT via mobile reply actions 0 recs
Perceived attitude problems?
Didn’t he smack his wife’s face against the hood of a car?
Decrease runs scored?
Maybe.
Decrease winning? Never seen that proven.
-SFTU
by hazel on Jul 24, 2009 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i can’t pretend i haven’t thought about doing that to my wife a few times… jk… guess i hadn’t heard that story but it doesn’t mean he isn’t a good ball player.
by callmesir on Jul 24, 2009 11:13 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
HAHAHA THAT'S REALLY FUNNY! HAHA SMACK YOUR WIFE INTO A CAR!!!
oh, wait, that’s not funny at all.
the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus
by tom s. on Jul 24, 2009 3:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
wtf, dude.
yay misogyny?
The first thing that a pitcher has to understand is that Albert is better than you.-- Jim Palmer
by ilrosso on Jul 24, 2009 11:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Holliday sounds like he's coming to STL
by ADMDrayson on Jul 24, 2009 11:45 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Fuck
Career .801 OPS when not at Coors. This blows.
jwilson
by taguchi on Jul 24, 2009 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
is it the coors factor
or just the home crowd factor?
I''m a Jenius!
If Adam Kennedy can make a MLB roster, anyone can!
by gibbons on Jul 25, 2009 10:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Both
And Holliday had progressively been better away from Coors, using his career road numbers is disingenuous.
F%#& Billy Beane. Actually... I kinda like Holliday
by vivaelpujols on Jul 26, 2009 2:55 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Have you ever taken this position before?
Future Redbirds - tracking Cardinal prospects for Cardinal Nation
by azruavatar on Jul 26, 2009 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is that a serious question?
F%#& Billy Beane. Actually... I kinda like Holliday
by vivaelpujols on Jul 27, 2009 5:15 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not a serious question.
You’ve come to this point on numerous occasions (and I agree with it). We’ll get your sarcasm meter tuned up yet.
Future Redbirds - tracking Cardinal prospects for Cardinal Nation
by azruavatar on Jul 27, 2009 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, I figured that
F%#& Billy Beane. Actually... I kinda like Holliday
by vivaelpujols on Jul 28, 2009 2:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Actually, this is a different position that the usual "don't use road numbers to value players!"
Holliday’s road numbers from 06-08…
2006: .280/333/.485
2007: .301/.374/.485
2008: .308/.405/.486
If you weight that 5,4,3, than you get a line of .299/.377/.485, which is significantly higher than his career road numbers. In fact, that translates to about a .380 wOBA, not including steals (which Holliday is actually pretty good at). And then you would have to park adjust that as he spends more of his road games in Petco and in San Fran than most other players.
So even if you are using his road numbers to value his contributions (which you still shouldn’t), he still comes out looking like an amazing hitter.
F%#& Billy Beane. Actually... I kinda like Holliday
by vivaelpujols on Jul 27, 2009 5:23 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would guess...
that if you factor in how many more balls would leave the park if he didn’t play so many road games in Dodger Stadium, Petco, and Pac Bell that he’s probably around a .300/.400/.500 guy with speed and great defense. He’s Nick Markakis with more steals.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Jul 28, 2009 7:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Quickest moot post?
I can’t believe we’ll be in the running for any major trades anymore. I would still like a pitcher to take Wellmeyer’s spot, but then again we only need 4 if make it to playoffs.
by ADMDrayson on Jul 24, 2009 1:49 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The disparity between StlToday readers
and VEB readers/posters is just hilarious. 70% of VEB readers were against a straight up Wallace for Holliday trade, Whle 67% of stltoday.com readers were supportive of trading wallace/mortenson/peterson for Holliday. Hopefully those STLTODAY-ers don’t find this site.
by The Ghost of Todd Burns on Jul 24, 2009 2:17 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I would guess
that 50% of the STLToday readers don’t know what WAR is and don’t know how to properly value prospects. They don’t follow baseball as closely as we do here at VEB and are more casual fans, so I doubt we’re going to see them here anyway.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Jul 24, 2009 3:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
They could come here
And yell at us that we don’t really like baseball because we have an advanced statistical understanding of the game, and that we don’t use our eyes, and other stat-hating cliches
Chlorophyll? More like borophyll!
by jd is legend on Jul 26, 2009 12:14 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wouldn't worry about them getting to you
I hear your mom’s basement is pretty secure.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 26, 2009 6:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There isn't much looking ahead over there
Everything is instant gratification. Short attention span theatre. A 0-12 weekend from Holliday would probably move their numbers down 30-40%. A 8-12 weekend would probably move ours up about 5-10%.
by Merry CRasmus on Jul 24, 2009 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
have SOME modesty guys
You are just talking baseball on a website afterall…
www.griffinandthegargoyles.com
www.myspace.com/griffinandthegargoyles
www.twitter.com/gatgstl
by jealousblues on Jul 27, 2009 3:18 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
To be fair
you have to learn sometime. VEB helped me learn some about stats and some about Cards history. I’m 18, so I had to learn sometime and teh internetz helped me.
by AWolfAtTheDoor on Jul 26, 2009 4:51 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Now what?
Here’s a question . . .
wouldn’t it be nice to do a little selling now?
I can’t help but think that Glaus has absolutely zero place in this roster this year now that LF is taken and obviously 1B is taken. Might be a good idea to look for an AL team that needs a DH and pick up a prospect or two.
And then there’s Wellemeyer, who I’d love to see us ditch for a bag of balls purely on the gut feeling that Boggs could be having a way better season than him.
But then going back to that Glaus idea, maybe Mo’s idea for next year is to sign Glaus to a 1 year re-proving deal. That way we’d have a year to find another 3B, and it would also give us a decent bat in the meantime.
Who knows, my mind is moving in circles after the deal today . . . and hey, Holliday steals a base!
On with the (good) youth movement!
by aet15 on Jul 24, 2009 7:22 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Well
If Glaus can’t play 3b anymore, which is looking more like a reality, there would be no point to resigning him. If he can play 3b, I am all for giving him a 1 year deal.
He would be more valuable to a team in the AL. I think that we can swing some sort of deal with the mariners for Jarrod Washburn maybe?
My avatar is 3 years into the future for sure...
by Taskmaster on Jul 24, 2009 9:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm sure he can play third again
I think it’s just a matter of recovering in time for this season.
If we could swing a deal with the M’s, that’d be great, but they’re miraculously still in contention, and I doubt they’d send one rental for another. Maybe Brendan Morrow . . . heh, I’m dreaming.
On with the (good) youth movement!
by aet15 on Jul 25, 2009 2:17 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Texas
I’d think they are the team that is in the greatest need for someone like Glaus this year. For the long term they have Smoak and Davis that they can turn to though, so I don’t know that they’d offer him arb. They might though. Seattle makes some sense too, and they may be more likely to keep him in a longer term plan.
Anyone that wants Glaus is looking for help for this year. You aren’t likely to get anything that can help the big club back from these guys. I think Glaus brings back only a prospect.
by Merry CRasmus on Jul 25, 2009 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It better be a good 1
I can hope for Neftali Perez…
Man, with this outfield, need to get rid of that Rasmus guy. :)
by Taskmaster on Jul 25, 2009 7:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Neftali Feliz?
Hispanic last name fail.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Jul 28, 2009 7:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I have a certain reliever for the indians on the brain perhaps
Man, with this outfield, need to get rid of that Rasmus guy. :)
by Taskmaster on Jul 29, 2009 1:07 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
there was a neftali perez who played quite recently
wasn’t he a utility IF backup guy? Played with the Tigers, maybe the Cubs for a year as well?
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 29, 2009 6:48 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
They just released Elias Rankings as of now
and Ludwick is ranked higher than Pujols along with several others
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 25, 2009 12:29 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
And Glaus is easily a type A
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 25, 2009 12:30 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
DeRosa 3 points away from Type A
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 25, 2009 12:30 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just look at this
It’s interesting
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 25, 2009 12:46 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
how does elias
come up with this? it’s interesting that albert is tied with carlos delgado.
The first thing that a pitcher has to understand is that Albert is better than you.-- Jim Palmer
by ilrosso on Jul 25, 2009 1:21 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not sure
I know that they compensate for DL time
so Glaus’s type A is just off of last years stats basically
the stat categories that figure into all of these are here
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 25, 2009 1:26 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I really wasted my time with this post
I could’ve just put the Holliday rumor part and called it a day
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 25, 2009 1:07 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
don't be so sure of that just yet....
a market could be brewing for Glaus…according to rosenthal
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/9848430/Red-Sox-may-renew-interest-in-A%27s-Cabrera
by The Ghost of Todd Burns on Jul 25, 2009 1:15 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I say we try to get one B prospect for him
He may be type A or B.
It would be better for us or whoever ends up with him for him to be a type B because I don’t think a team would be willing to give up a first rounder for Glaus.
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 25, 2009 1:20 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i'd love a B pitching prospect.
The first thing that a pitcher has to understand is that Albert is better than you.-- Jim Palmer
by ilrosso on Jul 25, 2009 1:21 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't see any way we offer him arb
so I’ll take a B prospect
by Merry CRasmus on Jul 25, 2009 1:48 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I can't believe that anyone would want glaus
The Giants and Braves are in the NL, so it’s hard to see them trading anything for a 3B who can’t throw (I guess he could play 1B for either of them but its hard to see him being a big upgrade for either). The Tigers have denied an interest. Texas are the only team I could imagine being interested.
I think we’re better off just trying to take the draft picks.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 26, 2009 6:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
We wouldn't get draft picks
First off, he’ll accept arb most likely so we wont get picks
If he somehow does accept arb, he could be a type A and I don’t think many teams would give up a first rounder for Glaus
So the only way we’d get picks is if Glaus was a type B and for some reason decline arb.
The poster formerly known as JoeyBombs.
by RasRoY on Jul 26, 2009 10:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If Glaus is a type A
likely someone gets him really cheap (like the Dodgers this year with O-Dog) because of the draft pick loss. Either that, or he signs with someone else who’s signed another Type A, and then we’ll only get the first round pick if his Elias is higher (otherwise I think we get a 2nd rounder, like Milwaukee did with Sabbathia).
Troy Glaus is not going to have to retire next year because no-one will sign him as a type A free agent, if he’s healthy. Someone will pick him up. If he’s injured, obviously we don’t offer arb (or do and then cut him in ST, which I believe you can do).
If he’s healthy and he accepts arb, we likely get a 3-4 win 3B for about $10m. I’d take that.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 28, 2009 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Trade Glaus?
Since we’re all in the trade mode now, would a trade of Glaus for Penny be something to consider?
....my quick smells like french toast...
by mstreeter06 on Jul 25, 2009 2:32 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I doubt the Red Sox would take Glaus for Penny
We would probably have to throw in a prospect, which I wouldn’t mind doing.
F%#& Billy Beane. Actually... I kinda like Holliday
by vivaelpujols on Jul 25, 2009 2:46 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would think ...
trading for 3 essential 1B in one month would seem to be overkill.
by etp_stl on Jul 25, 2009 11:28 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
speaking of that...
why the hell did they have duncan in LF in AAA last night?
by The Ghost of Todd Burns on Jul 25, 2009 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hmmm
In order to judge what we should receive for Glaus, I think we need to address what our biggest need is at the moment. I think either a back end starter or another bullpen guy would make sense. Would the Giants trade Sanchez for him even after the no hitter? Maybe Detroit would trade Porcello for him. I think this would be a great oppurtunity for replenish the farm system after Holliday has emptied most of it.
You know, thinking outside the box, maybe we could perhaps get lucky and take Kazmir from the Rays if they are so interested in unloading him? I’m sure Duncan can work some magic and get that arm working again.
Man, with this outfield, need to get rid of that Rasmus guy. :)
by Taskmaster on Jul 25, 2009 3:30 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'd have to imagine
If Kazmir is on the market, the cards wouldn’t be able to put the best package together for him. You may be under estimating his value a little, he was an all star last year.
I''m a Jenius!
If Adam Kennedy can make a MLB roster, anyone can!
by gibbons on Jul 25, 2009 10:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know
He’s in the first year of a 3 year 28 million dollar extension. He’s been progressively worse for the past 3 years, and he has been ineffective this year.
If the Rays really don’t want to foot the tab for him. We can trade them Glaus(maybe some cash) and a prospect or 2 for him. I’m probably being overly optimistic, but hey, worth a shot to at least check in on the price.
Man, with this outfield, need to get rid of that Rasmus guy. :)
by Taskmaster on Jul 26, 2009 12:31 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I suppose a better argument would be
is he enough of an upgrade to take on that salary.
I''m a Jenius!
If Adam Kennedy can make a MLB roster, anyone can!
by gibbons on Jul 26, 2009 12:38 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Kazmir's showing signs of an injury
velocity down. Just say no. Wouldn’t surprise me if he needs a TJ or something in the next 2 years…
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 26, 2009 6:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, he's Mark Mulder lite.
Decrease runs scored?
Maybe.
Decrease winning? Never seen that proven.
-SFTU
by hazel on Jul 26, 2009 7:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Glaus
It doesn’t seem like all too many teams are interested. If we trade him I think it’s for a bullpen guy. That’s got to be our weakest spot right now (besides Wellemeyer).
by flipthebird on Jul 25, 2009 11:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rosenthal says 4 teams
Rangers, Tigers, SF, and ATL are interested. Can we get some pitching from any of these teams
Looking for the link on FoxSports.com
Proud sponsor of the Official 2009 StL Cardinal theme song: Reason to Believe
by gocards62 on Jul 26, 2009 8:58 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would love Sanchez from the Giants
but he’s pretty much untouchable now with his no hitter fiasco.
The Rangers- Have a lot of young pitching talent, but probably won’t give any of it up for Glaus.
Braves-Same Story as above. Would love to have Jurrjens though.
Tigers-Ehhh, nobody we would want, unless they offered Porcello or Jackson, which is very unlikely.
Man, with this outfield, need to get rid of that Rasmus guy. :)
by Taskmaster on Jul 26, 2009 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Relievers
Are what I think we would be able to get for him. He is a half season rental and won’t command anywhere near the package we sent for Holliday. I think we’d be lucky to get a shut down reliever for him. He can’t play defense, and he hasn’t even established his hitting in the minors yet. His ceiling for two months is like an injured Jim Thome light (can’t play the field, and questions on if he’ll hit at all). I know if I were an American League team I wouldn’t be willing to give up very much for him.
by flipthebird on Jul 26, 2009 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Dude, you are totally over-valuing 2 months of injured Troy Glaus as a first baseman/DH
Guys like Jurrjens, Porcello, Jackson and Sanchez are so far away from the sort of haul that Glaus would bring it’s laughable. We could maybe get a marginal prospect from a contending team, that’s probably about it. Plus, Glaus has a no-trade clause so he’d have to OK any deal regardless who we trade him to.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 26, 2009 6:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
In order to judge what we should receive for Glaus, I think we need to address what our biggest need is at the moment. I think either a back end starter or another bullpen guy would make sense. Would the Giants trade Sanchez for him even after the no hitter?
Yes, Brian Sabean probably would trade several years of a cost-controlled, young, above average power pitcher for 2 months of a rehabbing third baseman who can’t throw the ball more than 30 feet.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 26, 2009 6:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You made your point above
Don’t see the point in saying it again, but thanks.
Who said he had to play 3rd? They already have a 3b. Travis ishikawa is a terrible 1b. Glaus can more than fill that position if he is able to hit.
Man, with this outfield, need to get rid of that Rasmus guy. :)
by Taskmaster on Jul 27, 2009 12:09 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wasn't piling on you
I was piling on Brian Sabean. Sorry if that came over the wrong way.
I was kinda making the point that he can’t play 3B.
Anyway, it’s moot because they got Garko instead. If Glaus hadn’t hurt his back, I’d have liked to see us trade him for the relief prospect the Indians got. Gotta believe a healthy-ish Glaus at 1B is as valuable as Ryan Garko…
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 28, 2009 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Dusty Baker? With my Rolen? It's more likely than you think.
From the link posted by gocards62 above.
Jays, Reds talking possible Rolen deal
The Reds and Blue Jays have had discussions within the past several days about a trade that would send Toronto third baseman Scott Rolen to Cincinnati, major league sources told FOXSports.com on Saturday.
As of late Saturday night, it wasn’t clear which players would go to Toronto in the proposed deal, although third baseman Edwin Encarnacion was expected to be among them. One source cautioned that the rigidity of the Reds’ payroll could stifle the deal.
Ugh. Scott Rolen back in the division with vengeance in his eyes. Sounds like they aren’t very far along with a deal, though.
I never would slip you Mickey! It is merely rhinoceros horn. This makes the champagna bubble.
by The Continental on Jul 26, 2009 12:00 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
CLE's PTBNL is now named
Jess Todd Goodbye, we hardly knew ya.
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by gocards62 on Jul 26, 2009 7:55 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
at least we've still got
Kinney.
Think about that for a second.
I''m a Jenius!
If Adam Kennedy can make a MLB roster, anyone can!
by gibbons on Jul 27, 2009 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's like having nothing to drink
but saying that we still have rottern 3 year old milk.
:)
Man, with this outfield, need to get rid of that Rasmus guy. :)
by Taskmaster on Jul 27, 2009 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Water water, everywhere,
but Jess Todd is gone forever and I’m going to DIEEEEEEEEE
15=/=25
by hazel on Jul 28, 2009 1:04 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Heath Bell
The Padres may now be shopping their closer Bell. What would it take to get this guy? I think he would solidify our 8th inning/closer role, but may cost a bit. MLBTR says the Pads would want a catcher to build on, maybe Bryan Anderson? What would it take to get him?
by flipthebird on Jul 28, 2009 8:33 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't think Anderson is worth much at this point
didn’t improve hugely last year and he’s had a serious injury this year.
I think it takes more to get Bell than we ought to pay, although I like him a lot. He’s a truly elite reliever. He’s the sort of guy I’d be happier giving a decent contract to than some of the “big name” RPs who’ve got huge contracts the last few years (Francisco Cordero, I’m looking at you…).
I’d wait and see where we are in a fortnight or so. If we’re back in first place, with a >60% shot at the post-season, I think you maybe look to add to the bullpen then.
Felonius Monk - bitching to contact since 2008
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 29, 2009 6:51 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Eh, Bells not that good
The only reason he’s been so dominating the past couple of years is by maintaning a ~5 HR/FB ball. Without evidence to the contrary, that it almost certainly a product of his home park. His K:BB’s are generally around 3.0, which is good, but not great. We would have to give up too much to get him.
F*** Billy Beane... actually, I kinda like Holliday
by vivaelpujols on Jul 29, 2009 11:06 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
fyi - he's given up one hr all year - at home.
he’s pitched ~40 innings so far.
i agree that he’s not someone we could swing. too many folks will be looking for a closer/setup type.
the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus
by tom s. on Jul 29, 2009 1:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Who then?
Who could be go get? Or is it even worth it to go and get someone? As of now, I don’t think our bullpen is good enough to carry us throughout the remainder of the season unscathed. I’ve heard Matt Capps mentioned in rumors as well, but the Pirates trading within the division is unlikely, and would carry a larger bounty than for other teams. I just feel like we need a LaTroy Hawkins to bridge the gap. McClellan has overachieved (statistically at least) as has Franklin (besides, he sucks), and Motte isn’t as solid as we’d all like.
Where is Russ Springer when you need him?
by flipthebird on Jul 29, 2009 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
none of these big name relievers are within our grasp.
we simply don’t have enough prospects to spend any more. you would have to really gut what remains or trade away our major league talent to get someone for the bullpen.
troy glaus was our biggest realistic trade chip but I think his back spasms are going to scare off somebody who might throw us a middle reliever for him. khalil greene has little to no value.
the only other thing to do would be to take a salary dump — make a list of the most expensive relievers in the game and see what other teams have relievers that cost a lot and have an upcoming expiring contract. but i don’t even think we have options there.
i think we go to the playoffs with the bullpen we have, not the bullpen we would like to have.
the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus
by tom s. on Jul 29, 2009 2:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I keep telling you all
MIKE ADAMS!!! Take a chance on a GOOD relief pitcher! He’s not a “brand name” but he’s a very good relief pitcher. Seriously. Go check his stats and tell me what’s wrong with him because he looks real good to me. I would have suggested Rafael Bettencourt, but the Rockies already got him. The big names require big things in return. I don’t think we have that to give unless they want to trade someone off of the ML roster.
I say Jarret Hoffpauir for Mike Adams. The Padres could use Hoffpauir, and I doubt we ever will, and Adams is into his second season of good work with the Padres. He’s good enough to take a chance on IMHO. I already had a post about this below. I’ll shut up now.
She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.
by jillsinmo on Jul 29, 2009 11:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Adams
I looked up his stuff. Seems to have been effective thus far this year, albeit, only over 19 innings. His LD% was only 6% and had a very low BABIP as a result. Very solid FIP, but this is only 19 innings we’re talking about. I’d prefer a Michael Wuertz or someone of the sort. However seeing as how Hawk pitched tonight perhaps we have our man.
We’ll also have Welley getting into the bullpen action soon so we will see how the relief iteration of The One of Broad Shoulders goes. Prediction: Not Well
by flipthebird on Jul 30, 2009 3:06 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yep. It's not a big sample size.
He was very solid in over 50 appearances in 2008, too.
I spelled Mr Betancourt’s name wrong. Sorry, Rafael.
She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.
by jillsinmo on Jul 30, 2009 10:26 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
if we can get anything for jarrett hoffpauir, we should. i'm not sure we can, but
i’d sure make that offer. jarrett hoffpauir > david eckstein? right now, probably.
the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus
by tom s. on Jul 30, 2009 1:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
Anderson has little value, but what better org to get a clean slate with than the Pads? They don’t have any immediate prospects of winning what with the Dodgers still being an incredibly young team with a nice core of Kemp, Martin, Loney, Billingsley, Kershaw. We could flip them virtually any pitcher in our organization and have them see success in that canyon of a ballpark. All in all though, I agree that Anderson alone probably wouldn’t do it.
by flipthebird on Jul 29, 2009 1:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I like Heath Bell.
He would require a lot, I would think. I have advocated before for the Cardinals to acquire Mike Adams of the Padres. He has terrific stats-and yeah, I know it’s a small sample size, but you’re always dealing with small sample size with relievers. He had a good year last year too. High K rate, low BB rate, healthy ground ball rate, so it ain’t all park effect either. If the Padres decide to keep Bell maybe Adams would be available. He’s arbitration eligible next year, and they may not want to spend the money on relief. That is the one (just about the only thing) the Padres do well-fill their bullpen with cheap arms.
I just see him as someone that we could realisticlly get.
She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.
by jillsinmo on Jul 29, 2009 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pirates/Mariners trade today
Going to Seattle – Jack Wilson, Ian Snell
Going to Pittsburgh – Jeff Clement, Ronny Cedeno, 3 RHP’s from minors (I think)
by ArkansasTravs on Jul 29, 2009 2:48 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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