Bring on The Walrus!
Friends, the era of The Walrus is upon us. In his last 10, he's hitting .447, bringing his AAA numbers into the ridiculous range he's put up at every other level. Also: He has an awesome nickname. DeRosa was a nice addition, but we've got more holes to fill. The best way to fill one of those holes is with Brett Wallace, and that's not a fat joke.
What better options do we have? Joe Thurston's been picked off twice just as I've been typing this post. Khalil Greene is going to be back and effective about the same time as Mark Prior.
I say, we bring him up and let him play every day for a few weeks. DeRosa (assuming he's not broken) plays more 2B than OF, Skip plays a little 2B but spends more time spelling the underperforming corner outfielders. It's taken Wallace a couple weeks to find his stroke at every level, but once he's found it, KAPOW!
If Wallace really has a hard time, he goes back down and you're no worse than you were before. If he starts to hit, he's a huge asset. Even if Glaus comes back, Wallace could get a shot in left if our outfield is still an offensive black hole. You know Tony would do it. Hell, Tony started Dennys Reyes in left yesterday, just to increase his versatility.
Walrus, Walrus, Walrus...
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81 comments
Comments
too soon
let him simmer in AAA a little longer…if we still are scuffling badly in late july-early august and he is still hitting…then maybe make the call
"Albert hits good pitches hard and bad pitches even harder. And when he gets in the batter's box, if you pray, then you start praying. And if you don't pray, you think about starting."--Brian Bannister
by VolsnCards5 on Jul 1, 2009 12:35 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
its way to soon to call him up.
if we call him up now we waste a year of his arbitration, because even if we call him up this season were still not going to be a world series caliber team. i say we hold our horses til next season when we actually have a chance.
by conan_the_barbarian on Jul 1, 2009 1:58 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
any team in the playoffs
has the potential to be a world series caliber team. 2006 wasn’t that long ago.
by mopack on Jul 2, 2009 8:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and i think
we’ve got a team that can make the playoffs. use the transitive property and voila!
by mopack on Jul 2, 2009 8:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Too soon.....
The guy has only been playing minor league baseball for right at a year. I would be afraid that by the time he adjusted to ML pitching, the season would be ending, and we’d have burned a cheap year of him.
I’d much rather give him a chance to compete next year, assuming the team thinks he is going to stick at 3B.
Say you were standing with one foot in the oven and one foot in an ice bucket. According to the percentage people, you should be perfectly comfortable." - Manager Bobby Bragan
by SoonerfanTU on Jul 1, 2009 2:23 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree
I agree it is way too soon let him stay in the minors. However, I also agree that walrus is a sweet nickname.
by el_hombre on Jul 1, 2009 2:26 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
nah
too soon, too soon. plus you don’t want to rely on someone that has never hit ML pitching
4B - beer baseball bands blog
DeRosa>MB
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Jul 1, 2009 2:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Decision Time
I think the Cards need to decide if Wallace can play 3B – if they think he can then I agree that it is time to give him a look. If he cannot handle 3B then I think now is the time to trade him for something of need and value as his value is extremely high right now.
Wallace appears to be the real deal from an offensive perspective. He is already the best hitter on the Memphis team and that is saying a lot because Stavinoaha really hit the ball well while he was up and Wallace is hitting the ball better at Memphis than Stavinoha or any of the others who have been brought up. As a matter of fact Stavinoaha looked to be a better hitter than Ankiel, Duncan or Ludwick while he was up – he just could not play defense. If Wallace is already a better hitter than Stavinoaha then it seems difficult to say that he is not ready for major league pitching.
The obvious question is whether he can play 3B or not and if he can then there is no reason not to give him a shot. Wallace at 3B would actually strengthen the team defense because it would allow DeRosa to play 2B where he is at his best and it would allow Schumaker to play LF where he is at his best. So while you may give up some defense at 3B – I think you actually strengthen your overall team defense with this move.
Additionally, playing 3B is not completely new for Wallace – he has college experience there with a top flight program and he has played there all year. If he cannot handle it now then he probably cannot handle it later on and if that is the case then he is a valuable trade chip that needs to be cashed in.
I believe that he can handle it and I believe that he will hit. If Duncan and Thurston are good enough for LF then Wallace is good enough for 3B. Is it going to happen – no way. Moving DeRosa to 2B and Schumaker back to the outfield would make the Schumaker move look bad and more importantly it would eliiminate a spot for Duncan or Ankiel and that is not going to happen as long as Tony is the manager.
by Warcard on Jul 1, 2009 2:45 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
derosa's not that good at second
corner of is his best position
by prophetjohn on Jul 1, 2009 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Stavinoaha really hit the ball well while he was up
ermmmmm…. no, he absolutely did not. He was atrocious.
Because chicks dig the intentional base on balls.
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 2, 2009 5:58 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
But he was clutch
Even though some of you don’t believe in that.
Say you were standing with one foot in the oven and one foot in an ice bucket. According to the percentage people, you should be perfectly comfortable." - Manager Bobby Bragan
by SoonerfanTU on Jul 2, 2009 8:53 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He had a couple of big hits that helped us win games
absolutely. But then he absolutely sucked in a vast % of his other at-bats, helping us on the way to a bunch of losses.
I do believe some players do better under pressure than others, but I don’t necessarily believe that Stav is definitively one of them based on, like, 3 hits that helped us win close games. And regardless of whether he hits significantly better than normal in high leverage situations, the guy has a major league OBP of .230. .230! He’s going to have to hit about 100% better than his current performance in high leverage situations if he’s going to even touch replacement level.
The guy walked once in 66 at bats. He had just 6 xbh, and a wOBA of .262 (that’s, like, Adam Wainwright…). I realise this is just a small sample and I think he’s probably better than that over a full season, but the OP said he “hit the ball really well when he was up”. I was just pointing out that he was, a couple of timely hits aside, absolutely dreadful, and his pathetic .600 OPS did more to make us lose a bunch of games than his couple of “clutch” hits helped us win…
Because chicks dig the intentional base on balls.
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 2, 2009 10:12 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
you're just fascinated by statistical noise.
his clutch factor this year was +0.37. last year in a similar 60-odd PA cup of coffee it was -0.25. when you use a small sample size, you’re going to get some silly conclusions. was he clutch this year and not last? did he learn to be clutch? or is it possible that through dumb luck and not skill he happened to get a few of his 15 hits in a few RISP situations?
this year w/ RISP — .316/.333/.474
last year w/ RISP — .063/.111/.063
where did he go to school to learn this clutchiness over the winter?
you’re like a guy with a penny and a nickel. he flips the penny 16 times and gets heads 8 times. he flips the nickel 16 times and gets heads 13 times. he thinks the nickel is “better” at landing on heads than the penny.
the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus
by tom s. on Jul 2, 2009 1:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
"his value is extremely high right now"
I could be wrong, but I only think his value will go up…even after he hits MLB.
by Schnurdog on Jul 2, 2009 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry...that didn't get put where I wanted it.
I’m replying to the comment about Wallace.
by Schnurdog on Jul 2, 2009 11:02 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
he's not ready
let’s see him hit >.300 and then have this conversation
by prophetjohn on Jul 1, 2009 4:15 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Not sure how I feel about the Walrus, but I have to admit
This line:
Joe Thurston’s been picked off twice just as I’ve been typing this post.
Made me laugh
"If on-base percentage is so important, then why don't they put it up on the scoreboard?" - Jeff Francouer
by jd is legend on Jul 1, 2009 4:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Forget the Walrus
we got Hoffpauir! Now we are gonna start rocking!( In all seriousness, is it too much to ask for Hoffie to go on a Bo hrt like run for the next few weeks? )
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
by mattyfrommo on Jul 1, 2009 6:14 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm torn here.
For all the hype, Wallace is still an unknown quantity. An unknown, left-handed, still stuck between positions variable. If Wallace is going to come up, play -5 defense and hit better than his MLE’s then I think it’s stupid to argue that a year of eligibility is what we should keep him down for. His clock will be delayed because of his late start to this season, and if he puts us over the top it has to be done.
I’m just not sure we can expect him to put up above-average offense yet. His wOBA is only .342, he hasn’t been very patient in AAA (5% walk rate), and his BABIP is still somewhat high. His power has been okay, but more importantly he just hasn’t been patient enough to merit a call-up in my eyes.
More than good hitters we need patient hitters. Albert Pujols will drive you in. Just get on the bases and stay on them.
Decrease runs scored?
Maybe.
Decrease winning? Never seen that proven.
-SFTU
by hazel on Jul 1, 2009 9:47 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I agree with you
on the arbitration clock thing. It is not at all clear that we will burn an arbitration year by calling him up now or sometime soon. Does anyone know the odds that a player called up at this point will become a “Super Two” for arbitration purposes?
Personally, I would like to see him in AAA a little longer, but not much if he keeps hitting.
I am not worried about his 5.4% walk rate in AAA. I think what we have here is a player who either had it too easy at a lower level and swung at too many pitches or possibly gets too excited after he is promoted. In fact, if you look at his fangraphs page you will see that a similar drop in his walk rate occurred last year when he was promoted from A to AA. Went from 10% down to 3.9%. Then it was 12.3% this year in AA before dropping off a cliff to 5.4% at AAA. I would bet that he has been taking more pitches lately and walking more to go with the increased hitting (just a guess). I also vaguely recall that Wallace was always touted for his mastery of the strike zone even in college. So, I am not too worried about the low walk rate at AAA so far.
by rthorat on Jul 1, 2009 10:08 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Reply Fail (and link)
Previous post was a reply to hazel
Here is a link to Wallace’s fangraph page: http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=paN05010&position=3B
by rthorat on Jul 1, 2009 10:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
More Seasoning
needed. I am not saying he couldn’t come up right now and make a big impact. But when you bring a guy like him up you want him to stay up. Let him continue to improve with the advanced pitching of AAA and work on becoming as good a 3B as he can. Then if he continues to improve and is hitting very good call him up in Aug or Sept. I think if you think he could potentially be your 3B of the future and are wanting him to have all the opportunity in the world to be your 2010 opening day 3B you need to at least give him a look for 4-8 weeks this year in the bigs. With no obvious player signed to play 3B next year I think the Cards are hoping for this scenario and I am as well. But no need to rush him at this point.
by JDizzidy on Jul 1, 2009 11:01 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
+1
4B - beer baseball bands blog
DeRosa>MB
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Jul 2, 2009 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is a perfect opportunity
to give Wallace a no pressure opportunity for a few days to be followed by a longer look later in the season. This team is not likely to be a contender, so why not? Just tell him that he is going to be in the lineup for a few games until DeRosa is better and then he will go back to Memphis. That way there is no downside if he fails (can he really be worse than Thurston?) and he might actually provide a spark. If you tell him he is going back down regardless of performance he will not feel any pressure or be crushed if he doesn’t do well. Worked pretty well for Willie McGee. Of course, TLR will save him to pitch in the 17th inning or some other genius move….(that’s the wine talking).
He should play in the bigs at some point this year anyway, the super two deadline is past, and he is probably a better player right now than the other available options.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
by giveml on Jul 1, 2009 11:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I like this idea.
He’s performing. We have a temporary spot. Let’s see where this goes.
Decrease runs scored?
Maybe.
Decrease winning? Never seen that proven.
-SFTU
by hazel on Jul 1, 2009 11:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
"This team is not likely to be a contender"
Have faith, man!
it’s July 1st, we’re a game out of first, just had a walk-off win for the first time since forever, and the brewers have a 4 game series against the cubs coming up. McClung vs Dempster, Suppan vs Z, Looper vs Harden, Burns vs Lilly.
i kind of like the idea of Walrus getting a callup at some point this year, though.
- "I went at it and didn’t slow down, so it kind of bounced off me." -Lil' Dunc
by SleepyCA on Jul 2, 2009 12:01 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I have some faith
but it is mostly derived from optimism that the rest of the division will stink. Two months of sub-.500 ball kind of sucks it out of you. Of course, I am not as optimistic as you on my best day – still think Dunc can morph into Morneau?
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
by giveml on Jul 2, 2009 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
no, because he got hurt
If he didn’t get hurt, yes, he’d be putting up numbers like JM.
- "I went at it and didn’t slow down, so it kind of bounced off me." -Lil' Dunc
by SleepyCA on Jul 2, 2009 8:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Do you think
he will recover or is he permanently diminished?
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
by giveml on Jul 2, 2009 9:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
you don't need faith
the NL Central sucks, we’re all contenders!
4B - beer baseball bands blog
DeRosa>MB
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Jul 2, 2009 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That sounds like a smart move
Wallace will almost certainly hit better than Thurston, and his defense likely isn’t that much worse. It would be nice to see what he could do if given the opportunity to play.
Derosa.
by vivaelpujols on Jul 2, 2009 4:28 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Too soon
also, his defence is poopy, so we couldn’t really carry him if he struggles in his first couple of months of MLB pitching (which is likely). Give him another year.
Because chicks dig the intentional base on balls.
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 2, 2009 5:55 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
"his defence is poopy"
I keep hearing this. Has anyone done a statistical comparison with an average 3B in the minors? I’m just wondering how bad Wallace’s defence really is.
by Schnurdog on Jul 2, 2009 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Defensive Comparison
The knock on Wallace is his range is limited and he is not as smooth of a 3B as others. But if you look at Fielding % against some well known 3B in the majors it is very comparable.
Career Fielding Percentage at 3B:
Wallace – .958
Longoria – .962
Chipper – .953
Rolen – .966
Mike Schmidt – .955
Glaus – .952
So in around 1 full year of play in the minors he has done just fine from a fielding % standpoint. But again his range and flashiness is not near the caliber as some others. But could he be an avg to slightly above avg overall 3B in the majors…..absolutely.
by JDizzidy on Jul 2, 2009 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fielding %?
What is this, 1986? Nice Walkman!
"I usually don’t read other peoples sigs." -Cuttah
by Alxfritz on Jul 2, 2009 12:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Stats
That is why I said from a sheer fielding percentage standpoint but named other things where he lacks. He gets beat up for his defense like he has no clue how to play 3B. I would disagree with those statements and from what I have seen from him he can be, as I stated above, an avg to slightly above avg 3B. If he hits .300 with 30+bombs and 100+RBI’s a year I think we will all take slightly above avg defense from him.
by JDizzidy on Jul 2, 2009 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just pointing out
that F% in general tells us very little. He hasn’t played 3B long enough to have an actual statistical portrait painted as to what kind of defense he can play.
"I usually don’t read other peoples sigs." -Cuttah
by Alxfritz on Jul 2, 2009 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wallace
has zero chance of being “slightly above average” defensively. He will either be bad, or very, very bad indeed. Hopefully, he’ll merely be bad.
Because chicks dig the intentional base on balls.
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 3, 2009 6:45 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i have heard scouts say he can be a tolerable below average defender
and scouts say he just can’t make it there. but i’ve never heard anybody say he could be above average. that seems like a wildly inaccurate estimation. the fact that you’re using
he has such little exposure at the minor league level, it’s hard to say anything. the closest we have to a stat is the tzr rankings. in 92 chances at Palm Beach he was a -3 by TZR. freese at high a had more than 300 chances. so, wallace could be close to a -10 run defender in the field. that’s pretty awful.
there’s a ton of sample size problems in there, etc., etc. note he was also a -3 by TZR in his stint in AA last year, which was even an even smaller sample size. but if you want a ballpark, I think a -5 to -10 run defender and possibly worse is a reasonable guess.
the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus
by tom s. on Jul 2, 2009 1:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
sorry, at the end of the first paragraph:
— the fact that you’re using fielding percentage to try to guess at his strength as a fielder tells me I shouldn’t trust that estimate.
the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus
by tom s. on Jul 2, 2009 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
TotalZone from minorleaguesplits.com has him at -3 runs at both Quad Cities and Springfield in 2008 – but that’s just 36 and 11 games, respectively.
by astrostl on Jul 2, 2009 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Scouting reports don't rate him very well
and his minor league TZR (total zone rating – courtesy of minorleaguesplits.com) was a total of -6 runs in his 54 games 2008 (split between A ball and AA). Pro-rated, that makes him about a -15 run defender over a full season. Of course, small sample size, not a great metric, etc etc, but that’s the best stat we have to hand. With that, plus the relatively poor scouting reports of his 3B defense, I’m happy to call him a bad defensive 3B.
I haven’t seen him so I’m just relying on what I’ve heard – but from all sources, he has zero chance of being as good as average, and a pretty high chance of being pretty terrible…
Because chicks dig the intentional base on balls.
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 3, 2009 6:44 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
We do need a spark though
Something, anything to jumpstart guys. * Do we know the extent of DeRosa’s injury yet?
- Yes, I realize this is a non-statistical argument.
by paposse on Jul 2, 2009 8:02 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I scoff at your seasoning, scoff!
This is a guy who only took 86 games to get to AAA from the day he was drafted. There’s been a consistent pattern at each level – a few weeks of middling offense, then a huge, sustained surge. He’s posted an OBP above .400 and slugged over .800 at every level, and is rapidly approaching those levels at AAA.
The Walrus is the best chance to add an impact bat internally, and there is no real everyday 3B until Glaus maybe, hopefully returns in a month. Seems like a perfect opportunity to see if this fast learner can help the big club, which is in a pennant race and is in need of some offense.
Tony shit on the idea of calling Wallace up over HoffP, but maybe if we all close our eyes and believe and clap our hands, he’ll soon change his mind!
by bgodar on Jul 2, 2009 8:48 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
LOL
You obviously don’t get there is a difference in AA/AAA and MLB pitching. You also don’t get the concept of how important confidence is in this game. If he goes up for 3-4 weeks and bombs and gets sent back down (which happens to alot of future superstars that are rushed) then his confidence is shot and he has to go through a process to gain that back. Now you set him back a few months. I think everyone needs to relax and see what happens over the next 3 weeks and then decide if we really need a bat. DeRosa just got here….give him an opportunity to get going and lets see if that sparks Luddy (who is starting to show signs of life might I add) and Rasmus, Ankiel and Molina. Its not like we are 10 games out and need something immediately. We are 1 game out…which isn’t too bad considering how things have gone and the panic that appears to be happening in Cardinal Nation!
by JDizzidy on Jul 2, 2009 9:30 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You're ignoring the possibility that he comes up, mashes, and sticks at 3B.
And you’re being a prig about it.
Decrease runs scored?
Maybe.
Decrease winning? Never seen that proven.
-SFTU
by hazel on Jul 2, 2009 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Prig?
Not sure what a “prig” is but ok. The fact remains he is just now getting comfortable where he is…why run him up to the bigs where he will be overmatched for at least awhile? Let him continue to improve and rake at AAA for at least another month and then decide if you think he is ready at that point. Take a look at MOST elite prospects in the game that were rushed to the bigs….they struggled mightly and most were sent back down for awhile and then brought back up. Its the facts. Not sure how that is being a “prig”!
by JDizzidy on Jul 2, 2009 12:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You obviously don’t get there is a difference in AA/AAA and MLB pitching./blockquote>
Is something a douchebag would use as an argument.
Decrease runs scored?
Maybe.
Decrease winning? Never seen that proven.
-SFTU
by hazel on Jul 2, 2009 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
quote fail
Decrease runs scored?
Maybe.
Decrease winning? Never seen that proven.
-SFTU
by hazel on Jul 2, 2009 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks
For your great insight to the matter.
by JDizzidy on Jul 2, 2009 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
he's right
the difference is about that of the difference between aa and aaa
by prophetjohn on Jul 2, 2009 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
According to the Rotoworld sidebar
TLR is dead-set against a Walrus call-up. Believes it would set him back. It appears DeRosa is the answer at 3B. Hopefully the Hoff can stick and Thursty can go away.
Now as for the OF. . .We have no answer for DunK and AnK.
Proud sponsor of the Official 2009 StL Cardinal theme song: Reason to Believe
by gocards62 on Jul 2, 2009 8:48 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I think TLR's dead right on this one
although I would be excited to see Wallace this year, I can’t see how it’s objectively the right move.
Because chicks dig the intentional base on balls.
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 2, 2009 10:14 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
TLR is protecting him
He is trying to keep the pressure off Wallace, which is a good thing. That said, if Wallace continues hitting over the next month the way he has in the past two weeks, I don’t see how they don’t call him up at that point. But we’ll cross that bridge when we get there. For now, I agree that it is too soon.
by rthorat on Jul 2, 2009 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't you think we'll see him in September?
I tend to think that we will get a chance to see him then…especially if he is tearing it up in AAA.
Wouldn’t it be a great boost to have someone like that going into post season?…see David Price last year for TB.
by Schnurdog on Jul 2, 2009 11:22 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
40 man roster and arb clock issues
Unless Wallace has a prominent role in a pennant race, then I don’t see a call up. The 40 man roster needs the space prior to the Nov rule 5 draft (Wallace isn’t one who need protecting) and no need to start his arb clock or burn an option year needlessly.
by ubeddie on Jul 2, 2009 1:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think you could do anything worse* for
Brett Wallace’s future than call him up right now.
*gunshot to kneecap excepted.
Future Redbirds - tracking Cardinal prospects for Cardinal Nation
by azruavatar on Jul 2, 2009 9:01 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
A lifetime pass
for all-you-can-eat donuts.
"If I prepare myself, my stuff is good and I'm going to get outs. That is a fact." - Chris Carpenter
by spants on Jul 2, 2009 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
well done.
the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus
by tom s. on Jul 2, 2009 1:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
1) His defense isn’t ready. Plain and simple he needs more reps at third base if he’s going to be passable.
2) He’s adjusted to advanced pitching for about 2 weeks now (possibly). Wallace isn’t crushing the ball in Memphis. He isn’t walking all the time. He’s just started to make more solid contact and turn things around but I’m skeptical that he’s reached a point where he consistently recognizes advanced breaking pitches or changeups.
If you accept that he’s not quite ready on either offense or defense, why push him up to the bigs where TLR is looking for players who are ready now? That’s a recipe for expectations that can’t be met and time on the bench that helps no one.
Future Redbirds - tracking Cardinal prospects for Cardinal Nation
by azruavatar on Jul 3, 2009 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah
even if he were ready (which we have no way of knowing for sure) i don’t think tony would play him
by prophetjohn on Jul 3, 2009 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
DeRosa at 3B
is fine except that it leaves you with Duncan or Ankiel in LF. Playing Wallace at 3B allows DeRosa to move to LF.
I don’t disagree that it would be better if Wallace were allowed more time in AAA but the choice is basically Wallace or Thurston, Duncan or Ankiel. I have seen enough of Thurston for sure and I would have Wallace in the line-up as Duncan or Ankiel.
by Warcard on Jul 2, 2009 9:43 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I would just trade for an OF bat rental
to play LF. There’s tons of them who are basically free (or can be had for precious little). Just go grab Murton, or Kearns, or Ross, or Willingham or somebody like that. All probably average or better OF who make us better now, with trade costs varying from “a bag of balls” to “maybe a B-level prospect or two at most”.
Because chicks dig the intentional base on balls.
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 2, 2009 10:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
A lefty killing leftys?
According to the Memphis Redbirds website he hits LHP pretty darn good.
Entire Season AVG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS OBP SLG OPS
vs Left .415 41 5 17 4 0 1 4 2 3 0 0 .444 .585 1.030
vs Right .248 121 10 30 5 0 4 10 7 30 0 1 .298 .388 .686
by Schnurdog on Jul 2, 2009 10:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
There's no way TLR would allow that to happen
It would be a good move IMO because we need a 3B and have been using guys who aren’t 3Bs (T. Greene, Ryan, Thurston, K. Greene) – and they’ve been stinkin’. But, as long as TLR is manager, not a chance of that happening.
Welcome to Baseball Heaven.
by zoomzoomj88 on Jul 2, 2009 11:22 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Wallace has already been rushed up to AAA
why rush him even more?
4B - beer baseball bands blog
DeRosa>MB
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Jul 2, 2009 12:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't think this is true
He has moved quickly, but only after he forced the issue by dominating at the lower level. This is not some raw 18 year old here. This is one of the top hitters (if not the top hitter) in college baseball two years in a row. I would have been surprised if he did not move up quickly. It has to all be based on performance, not some artificial timeline. And Wallace is performing. That said, let him marinate another month or so and re-evaluate.
by rthorat on Jul 2, 2009 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i don't think he dominated AA.
.281/.403/.438 is good, but it wasn’t domination, especially in the texas league, which has a league average OPS of .745. Wallace was not the best or the second best hitter on the Springfield team at the time of his promotion.
the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus
by tom s. on Jul 2, 2009 2:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i've often heard
that they stopped pitching to him and he started chasing. the BA/OBP makes me inclined to believe that to some extent
by prophetjohn on Jul 2, 2009 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i want him in the STL. i want him there so badly i can't see straight
but is he ready? i don’t know. i just don’t know.
It kind of sounds like he’s [Duncan] just running around like a puppy out there – full speed ahead in random directions. – BTown Birds Fan
by gdm426 on Jul 2, 2009 10:04 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Absolutely call him up unless he's brutal defensively
His defensive ability is not going to change between this year and the next. If he has a bad glove now then he’ll have a bad glove in a year. Pujols wasn’t exactly a great 3b in 2001 or 2002 either.
I hate the argument that he’ll be set back if he fails in his first attempt at the majors. If he fails and doesn’t use the experience to get better, then why would you want someone so weak-minded on your team anyway?
The arbitration issue is annoying too because it’s only a factor if he’s the shit and is still playing with the Cards when he becomes eligible. If he’s terrible, we won’t want him anyway. If he’s awesome, we’ll buy out his arbitration years and sign the dude. There’s also a good chance he’ll get traded and it won’t be our problem.
by your_all_morans on Jul 3, 2009 12:05 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
my thoughts exactly on the arb business
If he’s terrible, we won’t want him anyway. If he’s awesome, we’ll buy out his arbitration years and sign the dude.
but he’s not ready yet. or at least we don’t know that he’s ready. we’ll have a better idea whether or not he’s ready (and about things that contribute to whether or not we should call him up) by august 1. if he’s just having a hot streak and hasn’t actually figured out AAA pitching, he absolutely can be worse than thruston, ankiel and duncan. not worth the last spot on the 40-man at this juncture
by prophetjohn on Jul 3, 2009 12:24 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If he’s terrible, we won’t want him anyway. If he’s awesome, we’ll buy out his arbitration years and sign the dude.
I used to subscribe to this argument but it’s terribly spurious, I’ve come to realise – regardless of whether we buy out his arby/first few FA years or not, bringing him up one year earlier STILL moves his clock forward a year, so you’re still getting one less year of the guy for the same price than if you wait.
Let’s say we call him up in 2009, and immediately buy out all his arby years and his first couple of FA years for a $50m total contract. Let’s say that keeps him under team control until the end of the 2016 season, something like that.
Now, if we do the same thing in 2010, he’s under control until the 2017 season. But, instead of bringing him up for a couple of months in 2009, we get a full season of him in 2010. We still effectively get 4 more months of the guy.
Equally, that plays into it if he’s traded – if we burn an arby year by bringing him up in 2009, he has one less arby year for whoever trades for him. That makes him less valuable.
There’s no “free pass” for bringing up a rookie to play at the end of the season, however you slice it. There is a cost, and it’s specious to suggest otherwise.
Because chicks dig the intentional base on balls.
by Felonius_Monk on Jul 3, 2009 6:53 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wasn't a similar discussion going on 2 years ago?
When Ankiel was in AAA? “He’s not ready…the team isn’t in contention…Tony is dead set against it…he can’t hit a curve (well, this is getting proven true this year)…etc”
Ankiel comes up, a listless offense is energized, and the team gets back into contention(that is, until the NY Daily News pulls its well-timed hatchet job on Rick to derail him).
Hrbosky was going on about how if Wallace were called up, there would be undue pressure on him as he would be expected to turn the offense around rather than easing into his role as a major leaguer. There’s logic to this line of thinking.
Nonetheless, a lot will depend on this final stretch before the AS break. If they do well and end up in first place when the smoke clears, then they can afford to wait. If they lose 7 or 8 of 9, the season might be effectively over, in which case they can afford to wait.
But if they keep playing the same as they have, struggling to score runs, but winning a low-scoring game here and there and manage to stay 2-3 games within the pack at the break, it might be time for the move. Trotting out the same strings of first-pitch hacking non-hitters night after night while trying to make up a run or two will eventually wear thin.
by olddomination on Jul 3, 2009 5:30 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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