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Which pitcher would you rather have back?

If tomorrow you woke up and found a blank, already signed Presidential Executive Order laying in the street by your house (you know the government, very wasteful...can't keep track of anything) which way would you fill it out?

 

Option 1:

A completely healthy and ready to roll Chris Carpenter.  Chis comes with a guarantee that he will not face any more physical problems for the duration of his current contract.

 

Option 2:

Dan Haren.

 

Discuss.

Poll
Who would you rather have?

  374 votes | Results

0 recs  |  Comment 54 comments

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Comments

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Haren

And I wouldn’t even think twice. The kid is just nasty at this point in his career.

by Hambone Willis on May 7, 2009 5:25 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

so is Carpenter

Have you forgot how dominant he can be when healthy?

On with the (good) youth movement!

by aet15 on May 7, 2009 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

His ability

to not pitch for months and years at a time and comeback and still dominate amazes me. Never seen anything like it.

Now, if he’d just stop being out of months and years at a time…

hecanthithecanthithecanthithecanthit

by Alxfritz on May 7, 2009 6:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

well

he did that in 2004 after not pitching in 2003. so to do it again isn’t new, but still amazing nonetheless

Cardwash Definition: Birds on the Nat.
OHHH YEAHHHH!!!!!!!

by cardwash on May 8, 2009 1:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

is it possible

that he actually gets better with every injury?

capital letters suck.

by soccerfreak on May 8, 2009 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

he's like a t-rex

On with the (good) youth movement!

by aet15 on May 8, 2009 7:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd take Carp

Cy Young, has excelled in the post season, he also seems to have an effect on the other pitchers by showing them how to prepare and be a pro. I really like Haren but I still think that Carp has better stuff.

by indakind on May 7, 2009 5:25 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Haren

he is younger.

by Cuttah on May 7, 2009 5:27 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Haren

Looking back, we never should’ve traded for Mulder. Mulder had a good year in ‘05, but tanked after that because he was hurt all the time. Meanwhile, Haren’s pitching great, and making us look bad for letting him go.

Too bad no one saw the Haren-Mulder trade playing out the way it did.

Welcome to Baseball Heaven.

by zoomzoomj88 on May 7, 2009 5:37 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

There

are a few of us who were opposed to trading Haren. I have witnesses.

Classic underachiever.

by spants on May 7, 2009 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I wasn't as much into the hot-stove then...

so I didn’t say no before it happened, but I didn’t like the deal when it went down. I’m sure my comments are somewhere out there on the stlcardinals forum, but I haven’t been there in years.

"Don't do anything till I get back!" - Jesus to the Cubs

by cardzfanbub on May 7, 2009 6:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Indeed

I know a few, as well, who saw it for what it was – the worst trade the Cards have made since Steve Carlton, probably the worst of all time. Mulder’s peripherals were all you needed to look at to see Haren was as good or better at the time of the trade. The two of them straight up would have been an utter failure, not to mention Barton and Calero being added to that disaster. Thinking of that trade still makes me sick. Ugh. Still don’t know what Walt was thinking, still hate him for it.

by Midwestside on May 8, 2009 9:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually

I complained about it at the time and posted elsewhere against it. Baseball Prospectus pointed out how bad it was.

It was obviously bad at the time. Mulder had suddenly and rapidly declining peripheral numbers that showed Something was wrong. For example, from 2001 to 2003, his K/BB rate ranged from 2.89 to 3.20. Suddenly, in 2004, the year before the trade, it fell to 1.69. Along with it, his ERA jumped by a run, and his HR/9, H/9, K/9, BB/9, WHIP, HBP, and WP were all his worst since his rookie year or the worst of his career.

Now, I suppose it was possible at the time to say he needed a change of scenery or something. However, he was essentially a reclamation project. That in itself was not so bad, but that is not how the Cardinals treated him. They treated him as a premium talent, an ace. He was highly paid and cost a ton of talent, all despite the fact that something was clearly very wrong.

by tarakas on May 11, 2009 1:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'll take Haren

Because he comes with intermittently healthy Carp, so every once in a while we’d have both!

by mojowo11 on May 7, 2009 5:38 PM EDT reply actions   1 recs

Carp

dude is the best right handed pitcher in the NL. as much as i miss Danny, i miss Carp more

It kind of sounds like he’s [Duncan] just running around like a puppy out there – full speed ahead in random directions. – BTown Birds Fan

by gdm426 on May 7, 2009 5:45 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

trick question.

one ace-grade pitcher GUARANTEED to not break down ALWAYS beats an ace-grade pitcher not guaranteed not to break down.

no matter how good haren is, the incidence of injury to pitchers is just too high. the only hazard with carp is declining productivity. i’ve seen no sign of that so you HAVE to pick carp, imho. although obviously lots of people disagree. . . .

if you asked me if i would prefer a guaranteed carp to a guaranteed haren, then i’d have to think.

the truth can't hurt you, it's just like the dark/ it scares you witless, but in time you see things clear and stark -- macmanus

by tom s. on May 7, 2009 5:48 PM EDT reply actions   3 recs

My thought exactly.

Once my brain digested the “guarantee” not to face injuries, it was a no brainer.

by aNdrOss on May 7, 2009 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

although one pitcher GUARANTEED not to break down

is just an abstract philosophical concept.

"Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals." --Churchill

by lordsummer on May 8, 2009 7:58 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Exactly

But if you give me a choice between both guys for 3 years with a guarantee of no injuries, I’ll take Haren because he’s younger and cheaper than Carp, plus we’d still have the four-starts-and-then-have-a-freak-injury Chris Carpenter, so I think we win as long as we keep Danny.

Keep in mind people, there’s only 3 starters in the game who’ve been more dominant so far than Haren: Greinke, Santana, and Jurrjens, and I don’t see Jurrjens keeping it up all season.

"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller

by fourstick on May 8, 2009 9:23 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But

there is no guarantee that Haren won’t get injured in this scenario.

Classic underachiever.

by spants on May 8, 2009 11:45 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

but

there is no guarantee that Carp won’t decline in this scenario either

Carp is great, but father time is a brutal reality

by hex706f726368 on May 8, 2009 1:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Meh.

Classic underachiever.

by spants on May 8, 2009 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Carp is like Halladay

And Halladay is like a fine wine. They only get better with age.

Patiently awaiting the day Colby Rasmus does this: .275/.381/.551/.932, 29HR, in St. Louis...and I'm wanting an Allen Craig call-up!

by RunninRedbird on May 8, 2009 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

like Stiffler's mom

St. Louis Cardinals... defying win expectancy since 2008

by vivaelpujols on May 10, 2009 8:24 PM EDT up reply actions   1 recs

I voted carpenter

but it is close and I mean close. I watched Haren’s last start before today and he is nasty. but there is not any pitcher that is guaranteed not to DL on his next pitch.

by ridgesee on May 7, 2009 7:43 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

or swing...

as it were.

"Don't do anything till I get back!" - Jesus to the Cubs

by cardzfanbub on May 8, 2009 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Carp is probably a little better than Haren

but Haren is younger and still has some room to improve. If salary and age are factors than I would take Haren,

St. Louis Cardinals... defying win expectancy since 2008

by vivaelpujols on May 7, 2009 9:34 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

My actual preference would be

that Darryl Kile would be still alive, 40, and the dean of the Cardinal rotation, looking forward to his retirement at the end of this year, with a possible coaching situation in the Cardinal organization, and that he would eventually replace DD as the pitching coach down the road. Ah, well. Don’t know why, but he’s just been on my mind lately, wondering, “What if?”

There was Gibson in the Reds' dugout, visibly manhandling about three Reds and tossing them bodily out of the dugout and onto the field...He was the toughest athlete mentally I ever saw, and the greatest competitor. JACK BUCK

by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on May 7, 2009 10:53 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

While we're wishing...

I wish Rick Ankiel had not melted down and was the left handed ace we all had high hopes for.

by Cuttah on May 7, 2009 11:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Speaking of pitcher regret

I wonder what you would find if you took a tour around the league…how disproportionate is the Cards’ share of deceased/physically broken down/psychologically broken down #1/#2 type pitchers? Is a healthy Mulder a #2 type pitcher (I was in South Bend and not really following baseball back then)? Is four of those in a decade a normal number for a major league team?

"Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals." --Churchill

by lordsummer on May 8, 2009 8:03 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yes, are we unlucky or are we statistically significantly unlucky?

How about… limiting to NL teams. Does any site have all the transactions in one place?

"But listen, and understand: more Molinas are out there. They can't be bargained with. They can't be reasoned with. They don't feel pity, or remorse, or fear." - THT

by Yadi2Second on May 8, 2009 8:28 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Carp...easy

but that is only because Carp is already getting paid out of the ass. Gotta get somewhat of a return on that investment.

* sarcasm might be involved in this comment

by mattyfrommo on May 7, 2009 11:28 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

OTOH, just think

if we had Haren back, we could sign him to a long term contract!

- "I went at it and didn’t slow down, so it kind of bounced off me." -Lil' Dunc

by SleepyCA on May 8, 2009 3:33 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

hopefully before his current one runs out!

* sarcasm might be involved in this comment

by mattyfrommo on May 8, 2009 5:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd still take Carp

I still cling to the idea that these guys are all teaching each other, and Carp is always out there, supporting the team, talking to the guys and making suggestions. I don’t see Haren being that calm center.

"But listen, and understand: more Molinas are out there. They can't be bargained with. They can't be reasoned with. They don't feel pity, or remorse, or fear." - THT

by Yadi2Second on May 8, 2009 8:40 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Is this hypothetical for the 2009 season only?

Or, are we looking into the 2010s, too?

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on May 8, 2009 9:44 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Sorry about that

Then, I would have to go with Haren, who will turn 29 in September and is under contract through 2013, which will be his Age 32/33 season (and he will make $15.5MM that year). By contrast, Carp turned 35 a couple of weeks ago. I’d rather have Danny Haren from Age 28 through Age 32/33 for $56.75MM (assuming his option is picked up) than Carp from Age 35 through Age 37 at the cost of $42.5MM (assuming a buyout). Moving forward, Carp is much more likely to decline and Haren is more likely to maintain or even improve. Thank you, HL, for conjuring up thoughts of a Haren-Wainwright one-two punch at the top of the rotation. My esteem for Walt Jocketty sinks incrementally every time I look at the Carpenter contract and every time I think about Danny Haren. Sigh…

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on May 8, 2009 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It could be worse

You could live in AZ and be reminded how bad we came out of that trade every time Haren starts.

/living that nightmare

by hex706f726368 on May 8, 2009 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i feel like duncan would try to change haren somehow

maybe it makes him even better…or maybe it makes him anthony reyes…either way, a fully healthy carp is an ace cy young type for the rest of his contract

by VolsnCards5 on May 8, 2009 12:06 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

he wouldnt have to change Haren

if I remember Haren’s dominant pitch correctly, it is the split-finger. Why mess with something that kicks that much ass down in the zone?

* sarcasm might be involved in this comment

by mattyfrommo on May 8, 2009 5:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was just thinking yesterday how cool it would be to get back Haren somehow

so I voted for him… but if it were possible to have a non-injury prone Carpenter, I suppose I should vote for that option.

4B - beer baseball bands blog
rocknroll ain't noise pollution

by Cards Fan in Chitown on May 8, 2009 12:17 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm gonna say Haren

Given equal injury-proneness to both players, and all other things being equal (if salaries/contracts come into it then Haren wins by a mile).

I think he’s arguably one of the top 5 pitchers in baseball right now, certainly in the top 8 or 9. He has been wickedly consistent in the last 3 years and is dominant in a hitters’ park. Carp’s perhaps my favourite Cards’ player but I think Haren is better even than a fit Carp these days.

Because chicks dig the intentional base on balls.

by Felonius_Monk on May 8, 2009 12:28 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Carpenter, but...

If we’re talking long-term, Haren is the better deal. Six years younger, and likely to contribute well into the next decade. Carpenter has filthier stuff, but probably only another 2-3 years of high productivity (assuming good health).

by JWO on May 8, 2009 1:01 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

that's what I was just thinking

if Haren had a long contract with us, I’d much rather have him just for the age factor

4B - beer baseball bands blog
rocknroll ain't noise pollution

by Cards Fan in Chitown on May 8, 2009 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i take haren

because for all we know carp will be back in two weeks for the rest of the season.

and if he’s not.

we have dan f haren

by prophetjohn on May 8, 2009 11:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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