Payroll
I'm sure this will be a topic of conversation today. Strauss is reporting a cut in payroll of about $8M. First off, kudos to Strauss. I'm hard on him and often disagree but he's standing his ground on a piece that is likely to be very unpopular with the Front Office. He deserves some props for that.
The cut shouldn't surprise anyone at this point. The Cardinals have been masking their retreat from an "aggressive offseason" since the day after Mozeliak made that comment. Ticket sales have slowed but not to a point of crisis:
This year, for the first time in new Busch Stadium's four-season history, the club will not sell 3 million tickets before opening day and is not assured an operating profit beyond its debt service on the stadium. The Cardinals expect some relief by hosting the All-Star Game in July, but ownership still has constructed a "worst-case scenario" in which attendance stalls at around 2.8 million.
With 2.7 million tickets already sold, the club no longer fears such a doomsday possibility.
This is damaging evidence in two fashions: 1) it means that the Cardinals went cheap this summer becaise of this fear and 2) it means that they were neatly pocketing some significant cash when they were selling 3.4M tickets, making the playoffs and holding payroll at the same levels for the last 4 years. The throw away line about "some relief by hosting the All-Star Game" is laughable as well.
The last line in the article reads:
"It depends on how revenues develop," DeWitt said. "I think we showed an ability to be creative with Reyes."
Could there be a more disgusting quote in the whole article? Since when does signing a marginally useful LOOGy become something that we fans should be eminently grateful for? The Cardinals etended Kyle Lohse on a significant deal but prior to that, what was the last major free agent we brought in?
The Cardinals have allowed TLR to chase off the only legitimate 2B on the roster. They've provided no contingency plans for an extremely thin rotation being propped up by two starters recovering from injury. They've chosen to sacrifice a great deal of defense to fill in 2B and 3B with (cheap) internal candidates. I'm disappointed, not just in the lack of actual moves, but in the lack of any seeming desire to improve the team. The Cardinals are cutting payroll and remain content to "contend" for the playoffs rather than contend for the WS title.
If anyone wants to have a sit-in about payroll, there's a gaping sore right next to Busch Stadium where we can stage it.
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I don't really want it to happen, but...
wasn’t the Cardinals’ All-Star bid and hosting contingent on Ballpark Village being at least 1/2 way finished or something like that? I thought I remembered a whole article on that. Of course, with tough times economically lately, this could have all changed since I heard anything.
Thanks
i seem to remember that as well
i suppose the MLB made concessions once the economy took a nose dive
by VolsnCards5 on Mar 18, 2009 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions
by the time that happend
Ballpark Village was a lost cause anyway
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
and....BEN SHEETS!!! **
**not that BEN SHEETS might be involved in this comment, just BEN SHEETS!!!
(BEN SHEETS might be involved in this comment)
Misplaced Anger?
The throw away line about “some relief by hosting the All-Star Game” is laughable as well.
The Cardinals actually derive no significant income from All-Star week. Maybe with the selling of concessions and merchandising, but not a significant upgrade overall. Gate receipts for the All-Star Game and the other festivities (Home Run Derby, etc.) are distributed equally to all the MLB teams. We’re in a pretty significant financial crisis and a lot of people are hoarding money, so it’s tough to say that the team is going to see a significant (read $1M-$2M) influx of cash by selling merchandise and food at the All-Star game.
The Cardinals have allowed TLR to chase off the only legitimate 2B on the roster.
Not only is that statement unfair, you have no undeniable proof that ownership didn’t want him gone as well. This is just piling on a manager for a decision that he had input on but didn’t ultimately make. Would you rather they went out and signed Orlando Hudson, just to show they “were doing something to improve the team”? I wouldn’t.
They’ve provided no contingency plans for an extremely thin rotation being propped up by two starters recovering from injury.
What should they do to solve this problem? Sign two middling veteran starting pitchers so that they can ride the pine until someone gets hurt? That’s not exactly a productive use of payroll. I suppose we could have signed Ben Sheets, only to find out that he’s not even going to pitch until August, if that. The only move I wish that they would have made would have been signing Brad Penny for what the Red Sox paid. Other than that, I don’t know what you think the front office could have done to solve this problem — they owe Carpenter all sorts of money, so it’s fiscally prudent for them to see what they can get out of that investment. I’m not sure that they could have signed anyone that’s going to be a better contingency plan than Todd and Boggs, who have both looked pretty good this spring by the way.
I’m disappointed, not just in the lack of actual moves, but in the lack of any seeming desire to improve the team. The Cardinals are cutting payroll and remain content to “contend” for the playoffs rather than contend for the WS title.
This sounds like something (minus the flagrant profanity) that I would see on the Post-Dispatch boards, and you’re better than that Az. I think they do desire to improve the team….by way of rebuilding the farm system and flooding the organization with young cheap talent and building around that. They could have dealt for Matt Holliday by giving up good young players — that would be improving the roster in the short term, but not necessarily the long run. Wallace, Rasmus, Craig, Anderson, and Jay could probably all be dealt to fill the needs that we have currently, but do we really want to trade away the future to fill one hole for a couple of years when they offer 5-6 years of production?
This current team, provided Glaus comes back and Ludwick doesn’t have a huge regression, should be better than last year’s team. The club traded for Khalil Greene and gave up little to get him — he’s only under contract for one year, so if that isn’t “improving the 2009 team” I don’t know what is. They upgraded at SS, could see a marginal upgrade at 2B is Skip turns out to be able to stick there. Should that happen, Duncan/Rasmus/Mather should be an improvement in LF overall. Our bullpen situation is better than last year because we actually have options. Getting a full year from Wainwright should improve the staff immensely on it’s own, no matter what we get from Carp. If Carp gives us 20-25 starts, I think that we’re the favorite in the division.
Lastly, is this news really a surprise to anyone? Haven’t we all been expecting to hear this from the team ownership for about 2 months now? From my point of view, it’s good for the team to be fiscally prudent right now until they see how tickets sales go. If they’re losing luxury box rentals, that is a HUGE drop in revenue for the team. On the news last night, I saw that they are projecting corporate tax revenue for the state of Iowa will be down over 95% from 2007 levels for each of the next two years, so it’s very likely that companies won’t be renewing those boxes and seats. Look at all the ruckus over AIG officials getting bonus money that was contractually obligated to them — do you really want to be the CEO buying box for $100,000 a year when your company is in the red? I sure as hell don’t.
There’s a very good chance that the Cardinals are going to see good gate receipts this year while other teams are just going to get slaughtered in attendance (Houston, the Nats, Orioles, etc.) and will be looking to shed payroll to stay in the red because of more frugal ownership. This would be an excellent chance for the Cardinals to buy low on a number of good players that could come in and help push us into World Series contention.
Overall, I’m not upset with this news because I expected it. I will reserve the hostility toward the cheapness of the front office for the day they lowball Albert and he ends up in Boston because of it.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Mar 18, 2009 9:50 AM EDT reply actions 12 recs
Im with Az
Wallace, Rasmus, Craig, Anderson, and Jay could probably all be dealt to fill the needs that we have currently, but do we really want to trade away the future to fill one hole for a couple of years when they offer 5-6 years of production?
I understand that having a healthy farm system is important to almost every teams success. However, while many of the minor leaguers have significant upside, its important to keep this in perspective. Yes, Wallace and Rasmus have the ability to change the face of the franchise, the others are just prospects. Most of them wont pan out. Though we are attached to them, I feel most of them right now are stepping on each others toes.
While we could hold on to them all and wait to see which ones stick in the majors, I think its fair to say that the batches were coveting now aren’t going to be the next Milwaukee brewers. This brings me to my point… Should we hold on to all of them, we will see 5-6 years of cheap, good talent… but is that going to be WS talent? I dont know… Even if we do have the next Brewers type team in a few years, will that get us a WS ring? Even with Sabathia and Sheets last year they fell short, and its debatable as to whether their players peaking will ever get them back to the level they were on last year.
I dont want to sound like Walt Jockety here, Im not advocating getting rid of all of our young talent. However, I think its absurd to be too conservative and use the farm system as our only crutch as Moz seems to be doing. Cant we find a happy medium? It just seems with the team we have now, and the surplus in the farm system, we should be able to put ourselves in position for a real run this year or next. Looking back on 05-08 I would rather Have one good team and a few years of rebuilding than 4 years of contending with nothing to show for it.
However, the front office seems unwilling to do so… I agree with Az
by mr banana grabber on Mar 18, 2009 11:42 AM EDT up reply actions
keep in mind
that spending a sh**-ton of money doesn’t guarantee a WS ring either. Ask Yankees fans.
I honestly hate this arguement
(not to call you out or attack you cdb)
but its idiotic to say that payroll has nothing to do with success.
Yeah, there are a lot of teams that spend money and dont have anything to show for it, but look at Boston that does spend a sh**ton of money (as well as does other things right). Who would you say is the most successful franchise of the new millennium?
and when the Cards were most successful 2004-2005 we had a relatively high payroll compared to other teams. Since then our payroll has stayed about the same (and now its going down) while other teams have spent more moving us down in comparison to where we were and the team has gotten worse year after year (I know 2006 we won the world series, but no one can tell me that team was anywhere near as good as 04 and 05). Yeah, players got old and lost skills, but we havent replaced them really. Weve gotten worst across the board.
Heaven help us if we didnt have Pujols.
Its even evident in the terms this team uses. Their goal is to be “competitive”
Thats bullshit. A team with the best player in all of baseball and one of the most storied teams of all time doesnt have a goal to be competitive. They should have a goal to win.
Win the division, win in the playoffs, win the series.
Pathetic bottom feeders like the Pirates and Royals want to be competitive
competitive is doing just well enough to not be an embarassment and to kind of be in it.
To have a chance.
expansion teams want that, not the best team in the NL historically. Not the second best team in all of baseball historically.
That team should want better and aim higher.
ive said it before and ill keep on saying it. What if Pujols goal was to be “competitive” with other NL first basemen.
He would be Ryan Howard or Carlos Delgado.
and thats what this team is Carlos Delgado. Pretty good but no one would ever confuse them for the greatest.
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 8:59 AM EDT up reply actions
*worse
not worst
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 9:00 AM EDT up reply actions
That isn't what he (or myself) are saying
but its idiotic to say that payroll has nothing to do with success.
We’re simply stating that it’s not a guarantee of success, particularly when it comes to winning the World Series. Yes, you need to spend money to win, anyone would tell you that, but spending money just to spend money is not a way to improve your team to the point where they have a good shot at winning a title. You need to spend money wisely and maximize the value you get for your $.
The Yankees throw good money after bad and have outspent the Cardinals by about $1B over the course of the decade and what do they have to show for it? The same number of playoff appearances, one more World Series appearances, and the same number of World Series titles. The Cubs last year outspent the Cardinals by $20M, made the playoffs, and then got swept out of the first round by the Dodgers.
Yes, the size of your payroll has a direct impact, but it’s not like you can go buy a World Series trophy on ebay. The games still have to be played.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
But
a lack of payroll does come very close to guaranteeing a lack of success. If you look at the last 15 years large payroll teams dominate the playoffs. I know you will have occasional aberrations like 2008 Tampa, but the correlation between payroll and winning is very strong and undeniable.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
over the last ten yrs
stl ranks 8th in end of year payroll, averaged
@ the biz of baseball, maury brown, “EOY payrolls”
that’s a pretty good ranking showing stl has been spending, not a “lack of spending”
by ball in play on Mar 19, 2009 10:20 AM EDT up reply actions
thats kind of unfair to average it out to 8
no one (really) said we weren’t spending in 2004-2005 (or before that) when the team had around the 5th highest payroll in baseball…
but since then we have gone back and back to 11th
so team has the 5th highest payroll in baseball two 100 win seasons, payroll shrinks (compaired to the field) we get less and less wins. No playoffs since 2006.
it hasnt been over the last 10 years that weve complained about spending its the last three or so
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 10:36 AM EDT up reply actions
not unfair
it’s a publicized fact over the last 10 yrs averaged, with the last 3 years included.
“no playoffs since 2006”—are you surprised? who’s been sitting on the the dl during 07 and 08?
carp, mulder, encarnacion, edmonds, rolen, eckstein, kennedy….stl has spent the $ as the article indicates, but it hasn’t been on the field consistently.
by ball in play on Mar 19, 2009 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions
i dont care if its "a publicized fact" or not
people never claimed or complained about spending until the last couple of years, when the team has lagged behind.
Showing stats from before then just serves to make them look better (even though no one claimed that they didnt spend those years).
Its pretty clear this team has decided to spend less (or not add) in recent years. Those years coincide with lesser performance from the team
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions
they also coincide with our ace being injured
another guy we paid like an ace being injured, and jim edmonds and scott rolen turning into pumpkins.
"i have a feeling the answers are bigger than the questions" -Dr Heyward Floyd
Absurd?
However, I think its absurd to be too conservative and use the farm system as our only crutch as Moz seems to be doing.
He’s not using it as a crutch, he’s using it as an advantage. Here’s a list of things we’ve done in the offseason:
- Resigned Lohse to a deal that looked ok at the time and looks worse now, but don’t try and say that it’s a cheap move, because $41M is a hell of a lot of money.
- They traded for Khalil Greene and gave up a prospect we had no use for and a PTBNL.
- Made a run at acquiring Matt Holliday and found out it was too much.
- Signed two lefty relievers to help shore up a bullpen that was a big problem last season.
- Made a run at the best lefty/closer on the market, Fuentes, but didn’t want to pay him as much as the Angels did, which most here thought was a good idea at the time.
- Haven’t made a insanely stupid deal like the Mariners did last year (Bedard) when this team has a number of things that have to go right for it to contend for the playoffs, much less a World Series title.
I really don’t understand how those moves relate to doing “nothing”. I think it’s smart on ownership’s part to be financially prudent because the economic future is pretty unpredictable right now.
Look, I’d rather be in the situation that we’re in right now than the situation that the Cubs are in. Their ownership is hurting mightily, parts of their company have filed for bankruptcy, and they have nearly $300M worth of deals on the books through 2011. They have traded away most of their farm system to put together their current team, so they have no cheap relief coming if they have to cut payroll.
Also, just spending a shitload of money doesn’t guarantee you anything either. The Yankees haven’t played in a World Series since 2003. The small-market Twins and A’s have made the playoffs (combined) as many times as they have over that span as well. The Cardinals don’t have $450M in revenues like the Yankees do either. A $200M payroll to them is like a $75M payroll to the Cardinals, so in terms of spending revenue on players, we’re actually outpacing them.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Mar 18, 2009 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
mid market perspective
Look, I’m not, nor have I previously ever said we should spend a shitload of money. I understand the cardinals are a mid-market team. All I’m saying is that we need to keep things in perspective. With the success of the Rays and Brewers in recent years teams are valuing their prospects more. There is nothing wrong with this. However, there are limits to how much prospects are worth. As a mid-market team its important to realize that we are not the rays, marlins, or brewers. Sitting on prospects isn’t our game. To get the rays where they are today they had to finish dead last for about a decade. We typically don’t get as high draft pics. What Im saying is that the organization needs to use the prospects and some money to optimize the club.
While our farm system is a big part of our future there are still log-jams in the system. What I’m saying is the surpluses plus the $8M we aren’t spending is hindering the full potential of the team. I understand that the free agent market was not ideal for us but there are other options that could have yielded useful players for the club. For instance, Dan Uggla… The marlins probably arent going to lock him up long term. They run their club on prospects, with the surpluses and money we porabably could have traded for him and offered him a reasonable contract for several years. This would have been a good supplement for the club given the organizational dearth of 2Bers.
Moves like these make sense because the marlins get the prospects they crave and we get a good player whos valuable but not out of the cardinals price range. These moves are also possible without becoming the cubs, giants, or astros.
$8M to the yankees is a signing bonus, $8M to the marlins is a third of their payrol, $8M to the cardinals is somewhere in between, but still very significant.
by mr banana grabber on Mar 18, 2009 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions
fuentes
would have cost us motte. that’s directly from mo, in one of his PD chats. mo made the right call, for me.
they didn’t want an outfielder or 3B, because that’s where STL and it’s fan base wanted to deal from their depth.
mo had to deal with the context of the discussion.
they wanted motte, for 3 monthe of fuentes, who evidently wouldn’t have re-signed with his desire to sign with a west coast team. i’m glad mo didn’t pull the trigger. perez having shoulder discomfort and the state of our bullpen? REAL glad motte is under team control 6 more years.
just because stl has a surplus in one area, doesn’t mean we can use that surplus to get the player we want. it takes a willing trade partner. where some fans are seeing stl as hoarding their prospects, i see deals not “lining up”, as we wish they could.
by ball in play on Mar 19, 2009 10:35 AM EDT up reply actions
I mostly agree
but just because there is a lack of “undeniable proof” that TLR is the one who chased Kennedy off doesn’t make it any less true. All the media reports indicated that TLR was at least the main reason Kennedy was let go. It was a bad move and it has TLR’s prints all over it.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
Disagree
Depends on how you look at it. If you were, say, programming a game with a bunch of programmers, and one guy didn’t like the game you were making, what do you think his performance would be? I’m personally happy that Kennedy’s type of personality is out of the club house and embrace someone like Schumaker who at least wants the challenge instead of loathing it like Kennedy.
Would Kennedy be a better defender? Most assuredly, but I’ll take the positive outlook of Schu and better offensive production than Kennedy.
My avatar is 3 years into the future for sure...
You can slice it however you want
but it is a dumb move to dump Kennedy without a viable backup in place. If Skip defies the odds and is passable at 2B it doesn’t make the decision any dumber.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
1) All-Star Game
I don’t have anything solid to dispute this so we’ll simply have to disagree. I think, and Strauss notes there are some benefits, that the team will get a bump from the ASG.
2) Kennedy
This is just piling on a manager for a decision that he had input on but didn’t ultimately make.
This seems like a naive response. We’ve seen how many players in the last few years have significant issues with LaRussa? Rolen left because of that relationship and Kennedy has public discussed how he could never get back into TLR’s good graces after 07. Do I have a direct quote from TLR saying he wanted Kennedy gone? No, but I’m pretty comfortable with my assessment of that situation based on what I know and recent history.
3) Pitching
They’ve boxed themselves in a bad corner between Pineiro and Carpenter. The problem is that the minor league guys aren’t really ready to step in. Boggs is the only AAA starter I’d want to count on for 5-ish starts and that’s still pretty iffy. The Cardinals made no overtures toward any of the significant free agent pitchers despite the fact that they would provide a tremendous upgrade. Penny or Smoltz would have been a nice pickup. The Cardinals have done a poor job anticipating this situation and they should take some heat for that.
4) Farm System/2009 Team
Wallace, Rasmus, Craig, Anderson, and Jay could probably all be dealt to fill the needs that we have currently, but do we really want to trade away the future to fill one hole for a couple of years when they offer 5-6 years of production?
We may never have quite as good a chance as the next 2-3 years when Pujols is in his prime. We’re squandering that by filling in the margins rather than a significant upgrade to separate us from the pack while we have the best player in the game. As much as anyone else, I believe in the farm system and the value it can provide but it doesn’t have to do that via graduating players. We’ve got 5 bajillion outfielders and right handed relievers . . . why aren’t we pursing trades for a real 2B or a starting pitcher?
Glaus was healthy all last year. He’s already going to miss a month. Regression. Ludwick is in for a decline after being a tremendous player. His LD rates were incredibly high. Regression. Izturis was nearly a 2 win player last year. He likely won’t be again but Greene isn’t a guaranteed upgrade. Skip could also be a complete disaster at 2B leaving us with Thurston and/or Ryan. Both useful utility types but liable to overexposure.
Wainwright has the potential to take a real step forward but even if Carpenter puts up a 5 win season, we’re still several games worse than the Cubs on paper. In a year when 1-2 wins could mean an immense difference in revenue by making the playoffs, the Cardinals have sat back and watched the best buyer’s market in years go by.
This isn’t a surprise to me (as I said in the original post) but the mantra since the glory days of 2004-2005 and the good luck of 2006 has been that the team thinks there better than last year and the farm system is improving. They haven’t made good on that, imo and the free pass is running short. What happened to all the extra revenue from 04-06 playoffs and merchandise. They told us they wanted a new stadium to boost revenue and payroll, but we haven’t really seen it. They told us they’d build ballpark village and that’s an unmitigated disaster. They were prepared to throw $9M at Fuentes. . . and now they’re CUTTING payroll by $8M. What happened to cause a $17M swing?
I’ve defended the team and DeWitt on numerous occasions but I’m worn out. They’ve got a convenient cover to slash payroll when I remain highly skeptical that they need to. The commitment to winning doesn’t seem to be there; the fire seems to have been extinguished.
by azruavatar on Mar 18, 2009 12:13 PM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
I understand your frustrations.
I’ve been frustrated with some things as well, but each time I step back and look at the big picture I think that they are doing as well as could be expected given the circumstances.
They’ve boxed themselves in a bad corner between Pineiro and Carpenter. The problem is that the minor league guys aren’t really ready to step in.
While I agree with you on this point, excepting Wainwright who I think is due for a big season barring another freaky injury, isn’t this pretty much what most clubs face? The Cubs are facing this problem — even if they don’t want to admit it. They have an unproven fifth starter and a former college WR as their long man who had barely a month in AAA last year. They have no minor league arms to step in if they face a couple of injuries and Harden is as much an injury risk as anyone on the Cardinals staff, Zambrano missed some time last season, and Dempster is likely to regress at least some. There are no other staffs in the National league that aren’t facing some kind of depth issue. The only teams that I can think of that don’t have these problems are the Yankees (because of their ridiculous offseason spending), the Red Sox (ditto, just not this year), and the Rays (who drafted at the top of the draft for a freaking decade). We’re not alone in this problem, and carrying Smoltz, who may not even pitch this season would be a very risky gamble. What happens if we have guys go down in May ? Smoltz isn’t going to throw at all until at leas the All-Star break so he’s not a contingency plan, he’s a luxury.
As far as LaRussa and Rolen, I think we got the better part of that deal, and with all of our depth at the three sack, I’d just as soon not be paying Rolen $12M a year for half a crappy season until 2010.
The second base debacle is frustrating, we agree on that much. I think they had to let Kennedy go because he’s just not a useful player unless he repeats last years performance on defense and I find that highly unlikely. We could debate that all day. You really can’t say that they didn’t make an offer for Orlando Hudson because you don’t know whether that’s true or not. You also can’t say that they aren’t on the phones trying to trade for a second baseman because you don’t know that either. I don’t remember any rumors about the Greene trade before it actually happened. If you look at the league as a whole, there really haven’t been a lot of trades going down this offseason because teams have no idea what to expect for revenues in 2009. Mo could be blowing up the phones of the other GM’s and just getting cold shoulders. It’s not like there weren’t good corner outfielders on the market in mid-February — there were a ton of them!
They told us they wanted a new stadium to boost revenue and payroll, but we haven’t really seen it. They told us they’d build ballpark village and that’s an unmitigated disaster. They were prepared to throw $9M at Fuentes. . . and now they’re CUTTING payroll by $8M. What happened to cause a $17M swing?
On the first part, I totally agree.
Ballpark Village has been a disaster due to a lot of scuffling between the organization, the city, and developers. The housing market crash hasn’t helped either, because a ton of luxury condos that were supposed to be near there are either completed and not sold, are worth less than what was required to build them, or have been totally scuttled. I would like to see them get this done, because I think it would be a big revenue boon for the team and the city — they just need to get out of each other’s way.
The $9M for Fuentes and the $8M they’re “cutting” are essentially the same money, minus the cash we’re paying Reyes and plus the amount we’re not paying Miller. It was budgeted and not used. If we’re talking from year to year, they’ve cut nearly $20M from last years total payroll, which was close to $110M when all was said and done, so it’s really not a $17M swing. What happened? The entire economy went into free fall, that’s what happened. Seriously — since June of last year, the Dow has lost 65% of it’s value. DeWitt (and most of his partners too) made his money in oil and other energy commodities — those have taken a huge hit since last August when gas was $4 a gallon. It’s safe to say that if any of those guys had money tied up in Bear, Citi, AIG, Lehman, Madoff, etc. they could be very wary about running the club in the red when they don’t even know if their personal pocketbooks could cover any losses. You don’t have bajillionaires running around buying up sports franchises that are losing money when their net worth has fallen by half in the last 8 months.
Quick story to sum this up: I have a friend who works in the front office for the Minnesota Timberwolves NBA franchise. I spoke with him via email a couple of times in the past couple of weeks about the state of the league and he tells me that there’s a number of franchises in the NBA that are literally on life support right now in terms of revenue. Nearly every small market team not in Oklahoma City is running way in the red and has been all season. Attendance is WAY down. Season ticket sales were finalized before the crash happened, so that revenue is still there, but it may not be next season. There were more Laker fans at the T-Wolves home game against them than there were home fans. The league itself is extremely worried that there are a number of franchises that literally will not be able to weather the storm and that the league may end up running 4-6 teams by the start of the 2009/2010 season. He also said that baseball may have problems with this as well. I’m glad to see that the Cardinals have been able to sell as many season tickets as they have, but there’s no way to make up for lost revenue from boxes that are pre-sold to corporations at $50,000 a pop, there just isn’t.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Mar 18, 2009 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
I understand your argument, and the state of the economy is regrettable… However, Dewitt’s other investments tanking, to me at least, is no excuse to give the fans the short end of the stick. Baseball is still profitable and the fans deserve to see their money at work rather than have it used as a band aid for Dewitt’s portfolio. Besides, this team is one of the few investments he could make right now that has a decent chance for yielding a return.
by mr banana grabber on Mar 18, 2009 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions
Baseball might not be profitable for much longer though
We don’t know how bad the economic storm could get. The Cardinals, one of baseball’s flagship franchises with one of the better fanbases in the league, have seen significant drops in season-ticket sales. If they’re having a hard time selling tickets, then what about teams like Pittsburgh or Florida that don’t draw at all anyway? People are scared about whether or not they’ll have jobs for much longer, so spending $200 or whatever to take the family to a ball game seems like a crazy expense. My prediction is that MLB is going to get hammered this season.
"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.
by redbirdnation8206 on Mar 18, 2009 6:56 PM EDT up reply actions
It is still profitable
But baseball’s business isn’t like that of your local grocery store: Most of the revenue comes during the baseball season, and since the crash came at the tail end of the season there’s really no telling where attendance figures will be this year. So to say that it’s “still profitable” is assuming a whole lot when we’re talking about $6M-$8M of profit on over $200M worth of revenue. That’s in the black, but it’s not very far in the black, and if you assume that the teams will sell 30-50 fewer luxury boxes this year, that could be swallowed up in a hurry.
I’m not saying the DeWitt’s other investments should factor into the way he runs the Cardinal organization, but I guarantee that they do. The Mets’ offseason was affected by their ownerships ties to the Madoff Ponzi Scheme where they lost billions. What’s more, why should DeWitt invest any of his own personal fortune into making sure that the Cardinals can maintain a payroll at $100M if he thinks that revenue is going to fall short? Those debt payments have to be made on the stadium, he can’t just not pay them. I’m also rather happy that they haven’t let a ton of other personnel go in lieu of signing one more big free agent that they may not need.
In sum, had the financial bust not happened, I truly do believe that DeWitt and Co. had planned to make a run at building a team ready for serious contention this year. The short-term improvements that were made show me that they are interested in winning ball games. If they weren’t committed to winning, then why didn’t they trade off all the players that were arbitration eligible this year? That’s what the Marlins would have done. It’s not like we don’t have cheaper replacements for Ludwick and Ankiel in the minor leagues.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
no telling how bad it will be this year?
You are right but come on.
They said in the article that they have already sold 2.7 million tickets.
Thats probably league average or slightly above (in a good year for the economy)
3 million is a great year for most teams and here is scoffed at.
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 9:05 AM EDT up reply actions
I just checked on ESPN
last year the Rockies had an attendance of 2,650,218, which was 13th in baseball and we have sold more than that already
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/attendance?sort=home_avg&year=2008&seasonType=2
there were 18 teams with less attendance last year than we have already sold and the season is over a month away.
in 07, 16 teams sold less than that all year
in 06 20 teams sold less than that all year (im including a team that had like 2.701 because we will sell more than that)
in 2005 it was 18 that sold less all year than we have already
2004 – 18 sold less than we have already
2003 – 21 sold less than we have already
2002 – 22 sold less that we have already
2001 – 15 sold less than we have already
and I wonder where our ticket prices come in nationally?
I wonder what it would be adjusted for cost of living too
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 9:16 AM EDT up reply actions
Some things to think about...
- I agree that 3 million tickets sold is a great year for most places, but this is the Cardinals and the front office obviously had budgeted for more than that based on previous seasons. When you sold 3.4 million tickets last year and only made $6M – $8M, I can see how the team could be worried about meeting it’s obligations this year. The Marlins or Royals would be jumping up and down to have sold 2.7M tickets for this season, but that’s because they’d have only budgeted for around 1.3M tickets sold so it would essentially double their attendance. The Cardinals are staring at a net loss of about 700,000 tickets right now, and probably a loss of about 400,000 or so overall.
- Funny, the profit figure from last year is about how much they cut payroll this year — could it be that they’ve run the numbers (which are far more definitive than what we have) and determined that to safely meet the debt obligations on the stadium the team needs to budget around $16M less than last year?
- These are tickets sold figures, but there’s no mention of the loss of luxury box revenue, which makes up a great deal of the total revenue of ticket sales. I’d say that boxes represent around 10% to 15% of the total revenue from ticket sales overall (just based on the figures from the college athletic departments that some of my friends work for), and if that revenue is down 50% this year that’s a huge amount of shortage to make up.
- Tickets sold also doesn’t fully represent “asses in seats”. The NBA is finding out that they have a lot of tickets sold but that people aren’t showing up to games because they don’t want the added expenses of food, beer, parking, etc. while attending a game. These added expenses make up a lot of lost revenue for the team as well.
- Average FCI (cost for a family of four to attend a Cardinals game) was $217.28 in 2008. Let’s assume it increases $3 (for the ease of the math) to $220 for this year. Let’s also assume that there’s a shortfall of 400,000 tickets this year compared to 2008. Doing the math, (400,000 / 4 * $220) you end up with about $22M dollars. This is a rough estimate and is probably a bit overstated because all those costs don’t directly go to team revenue, but you can see how quickly those ticket losses can add up to lost revenue.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
there's a stadium downtown
the hard working fans aren’t paying the majority on.
part of dewitt’s portfolio, is paying for that stadium.
seems the “short end of the stick”, would be paying for the stadium and a bugdet decrease, which isn’t the case.
by ball in play on Mar 19, 2009 10:52 AM EDT up reply actions
+1
I’m tired of all the negativity toward the FO and the Cardinals as a franchise. Let the season play out some before we judge what this team will do.
....my quick smells like french toast...
by mstreeter06 on Mar 18, 2009 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions
I mostly agree with you, but...
I would like to know what in the world we would have had to give up to get Matt Holliday.
Ludwick+Schumaker+Boggs
vivaelbeñsheets
by vivaelpujols on Mar 19, 2009 3:16 AM EDT up reply actions
outstanding reply
i don’t know your age, but you take an approach of someone who has been around the block a few times. i endorse your evaluation many teams will be slaughtered at the gate, making many good players available at 50% off for 09. you show a lot of foresight with that line of thinking.
if necessity demands a move be made
i shall believe our chances won’t fade
by ball in play on Mar 19, 2009 10:06 AM EDT up reply actions
Thanks...
I’m only 29, but I’ve worked at a couple of places that have gone belly up because they burned through tons of money only to find out they didn’t have a product, or had one and didn’t know how to market it effectively. It pays to be prudent most of the time, but especially when you’re in a situation where the future is unknowable.
I think that most of Az’s frustration is boiling over from the team not making a move at the trade deadline last year, at not signing any significant upgrades to the second base position this season, and the overall 180 degree turn this represents from what was promised when the team was lobbying for a new stadium. I think that the city and fans got an awesome deal on that stadium compared to some other places (ask Seattle or Washington how they feel about their stadium deal), even with Ballpark Village being a total clusterfuck.
The difference in our opinions stems from the fact that I think the team has given this team a chance to compete in 2009 and azruavatar feels that they could have done a lot more. That said, I will be the first one to call them out if the Cardinals are in the division and wild card hunt at the trade deadline, need to add a player who is available on a discount, and fail to do so for payroll reasons.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
it's not just the apparent cheapness
it’s talking to us like we live on mars and don’t see what is going on. too much public info these days to play the “fans are all dumbsh..” over and over.
"No matter where you go, there you are" Buckeroo Bonzai Across the 8th Dimension
Part of me wants to agree
But the reality is that I just don’t see what the stellar options were. I think it’s fairly obvious that there weren’t many good options on the FA market for starting pitching. Quality pitchers like Burnett got insane money. The Cardinals obviously targeted Lohse as a B-tier option, though the contract clearly backfired on them. The Randy Wolfs of the world are unappealing. The injury risks (Smoltz, Sheets, Penny) were an option, but can we afford them at the rates the Red Sox were willing to pay?
In terms of position players, I don’t really know who we missed out on that wouldn’t have cost us our first-round draft pick. Hudson looks appealing at the dollar amount, but the Cardinals obviously place a lot of value on their pick, and I don’t disagree with that. There were bargains to be had on players like Dunn who play in positions where we’re already overcrowded. We fixed the horrendous Villone/Flores duo for cheap, which should help quite a bit.
We made a generous offer to Fuentes, but got outbid. I like Fuentes, but would we be willing to go 3/30 for him (which is what he’ll get if he’s healthy/effective enough to trigger the “games finished” option)? I’d have loved to get Wood for the price he signed for, but I wonder if he would have played here. And I’d still like Durham, for what that’s worth, but he’s been explicit about not wanting to take a team-friendly contract.
Am I annoyed that payroll is down? Yeah, I am. But frankly I just don’t see where we should’ve been spending it that provided a “sure thing” or even a pretty good risk. In a stellar market for outfielders, we were trying to trade one away. We needed a real shortstop and got one. The 2B situation was poorly handled, but what’s the knockout solution on the FA market that doesn’t cost us our first-rounder? We needed bullpen help, especially from the left side, and got it. We needed starting pitching, but the good ones were too expensive and the bad ones were, well, also too expensive, or just wasteful.
I’m not happy about the offseason, but I’m not mad about it either, because I just don’t see who that “impact” guy would’ve been. If you have ideas, I’m certainly all ears.
Don't understand this line...
2) it means that they were neatly pocketing some significant cash when they were selling 3.4M tickets, making the playoffs and holding payroll at the same levels for the last 4 years.
If you read Strauss’ article it says that the Cards realized an operating profit of 23-25 million before paying 17 million in debt service. That means that they “pocketed” about 6-8 million. I don’t think that is a ridiculous amount at all. Should they not realize a profit in their business? If they are pocketing 6-8 million per year I think that is perfectly reasonable.
Furthermore, I think the Cards are hoarding young players for two reasons. 1) They have to resign Albert in the next couple of years and therefore they have to have a significant amount of cost controlled players. 2) Young players will become the currency of the new MLB as the recession forces some significant changes to the operating models of some teams.
Last year they didn't make the playoffs
last year they made $6-8 million in profit with ticket sales DOWN and no playoff revenue.
That was 2.7 M tickets. Add in another 700k tickets plus the playoff revenue from 2006 and they actually saw a profit in 2006 (going into 2007) of probably $12-$14 M after paying down the stadium debt. Payroll went up $2 M.
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 18, 2009 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions
Profit
When did the Cardinals become non profit? I’d like them to put all of their money in payroll too, but I don’t understand the negativity towards making money. If they had lost 5 million dollars last year, we’d be mad if they said they’d have to cut a player. I’d rather them operate with a cushion so that they a) like being owners b) don’t have to have fire sales.
I didn't say they weren't allowed to make a profit
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 18, 2009 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions
Ok
I think a lot of people expect the Cardinals to break even every year though. Sorry I put words in your mouth.
I think
people expect the organization to make themselves better when they have the opportunity and means to do so.
I only am who I am because I was born that way. I have a gift and I'm trying to not be selfish about it, but to use it, OK? Jealousy will get you nowhere!
yeah, nothing wrong with making some money
but why should I spend my money if they arnt going to really try to at least win the division or address our obvious problems?
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 9:30 AM EDT up reply actions
That's a heck of a leap...
so now they aren’t trying to win the division? What should they have done to “try to win the division” in your opinion? C.C. Sabathia?
again its a rediculous fallacy
that the only two options out there are
A) Dumpster dives and non spending
and
B) OMG SIGN THE TOP FA FOR EITHTY GAZZILION DOLLARS
thats a bs argument and im tired of playing it
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 7:03 PM EDT up reply actions
Point taken...
The name was sarcastic, I admit, but the question was valid. Who would you have liked to see the Cardinals spend money on in free agency? You are complaining about what they did, but I don’t see your solution. I think their offseason was pretty good in my opinion (especially if Khalil works out).
Then don't spend your money on the Cards if that's how you feel
Perfectly legitimate position for you to take, on a personal level. But the premise underlying your decision is pretty flawed, in my opinion. If you don’t want to spend your money on the team because you feel they won’t be any good, or because they didn’t have an aggressive enough offseason, that’s cool. But to say that they aren’t even trying is just sour grapes, in my opinion. Its not like the Cardinals front office is in any way similar to the Indians’ front office in Major League.
by Ray Lankford on Mar 19, 2009 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions
are people not familiar with hyperbole?
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 7:04 PM EDT up reply actions
No, I'm familiar with it
Just not too familiar with rational people who use it exclusively to support their arguments.
by Ray Lankford on Mar 19, 2009 8:57 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
fwiw and I dont know if im misreading you
but the 2.7 mil wasnt tickets sold last year…
its the amount of tickets already sold this year
(unless im embarrassingly confused…i got like 3 hours sleep last night, and woke up at 6 this morning and cant sleep so I might not be reading and reasoning very well)
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 9:29 AM EDT up reply actions
I disagree
First I don’t get your conclusions:
This is damaging evidence in two fashions: 1) it means that the Cardinals went cheap this summer becaise of this fear and 2) it means that they were neatly pocketing some significant cash when they were selling 3.4M tickets, making the playoffs and holding payroll at the same levels for the last 4 years.
The article doesn’t demonstrate this at all. Another explanation is simpler. You may have noticed we’re in a credit crisis and getting extra liquidity isn’t easy. I’m guessing the organization’s “worst-case scenario” is more about guaranteeing sufficient funds to pay for the team (and stadium debt). That’s a legitimate fear that many journalists have been reporting for all teams.
I’m also confused about fan “outrage.” It’s either too hot or too cold. Weren’t we also outraged at LaRussa’s refusal to develop young talent? Now we have much younger players on our roster and we our outraged over smaller contracts (which doesn’t necessarily indicate smaller talent). But of course, that indicates younger talent is starting. Anyways, who would you have spent the money on? (Ben Sheets!) Would you be OK if that meant sending down Motte, Rasmus, or Perez?
I wish we could complain about actual baseball and not finances. I can’t wait for Albert to run through an Oquendo stop sign such that we can have baseball arguments.
yeah, i agree
but you have to admit that it’s frustrating to watch the cubs spend like drunken sailors while we can’t afford to offer arbitration to the braden loopers of the world for fear they accept.
"i have a feeling the answers are bigger than the questions" -Dr Heyward Floyd
Eh
Fuck the Cubs. I would much rather have a steady and balanced team, with a good farm system to back it up, than overload on players past their primes. Do you realize how bad the Cubs are going to be in a couple of years?
vivaelbeñsheets
by vivaelpujols on Mar 19, 2009 3:19 AM EDT up reply actions
And
That’s assuming that they find someone to buy them that wants to continue to spend like a drunken sailor when they have literally no chance to build a new stadium to increase ticket revenues.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
yeah, thats well and good
but its a falacy that you either have a young talented farm system with no free agents or you have all aging vets…
look at teams like the Angels or better yet the Red Sox. Good farm systems and bring up talent young players but still spend money to add talent to the team too.
Thats what I want to be like. Both of those teams are always in the post season now too
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 9:33 AM EDT up reply actions
i mean baseball isnt just Rays V. Yankees like some play it out to be
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 9:34 AM EDT up reply actions
Not to mention
Revenue
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
not to mention you are missing the point
you can still draft well and bring in good youth and still sign FA’s (just not the highest paid ones)
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 7:05 PM EDT up reply actions
But they aren't drafting well or bringing in good youth
So they are relying of free agents.
vivaelbeñsheets
by vivaelpujols on Mar 19, 2009 9:08 PM EDT up reply actions
The Cardinals have done that...
but they haven’t done it lately. Is that what your pissing and moaning about? If so, then please point out exactly what moves you would have made this offseason. It’s easy to say “SIGN SOME F***ING FREE AGENTS PLEASE!!!!”. Decide who you would have signed, then take 50% of those guy out because they might not have signed in St. Louis for any offer (read: Tom Glavine, Andy Pettitte). Then figure out what you’re going to pay them. See, it starts to get complicated doesn’t it.
I get your point — I’m looking for more substance and not just shouting populism on the street corner, which is exactly what you’re doing.
The teams that you’re talking about play in larger markets than the Cardinals and have higher revenue’s than the Cardinals. That leaves them more money to sign free agents and more money to absorb the mistakes they make (Do you honestly think that the Cardinals could have absorbed signing the Torii Hunter and Gary Matthews deals?), more money to sign Latin American players, and more money to go over slot in the draft to pay bigger signing bonuses.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
The Cardinals are in shouting distance of contending
but for whatever reason haven’t done what it would take to make them a more realistic contender. I know most projections peg them for 83 wins, maybe I’m being overly optimistic, but I think they are more in line for 85-87 wins if things break right. One or two good moves could probably put them at 90, but for whatever reason they haven’t made those moves.
What could they have done? I don’t know, but it’s not like the White Sox gave up a ton to get Javier Vazquez. I think they could have signed Kenshin Kawakami or Koji Uehara and not broken the bank. Ray Durham is practically begging for a job and proved last season he’s still a viable player. As someone who normally sides w/the FO, there were some moves that may not have been seen as earth shattering that may have helped. Then again, I don’t know what happens behind closed doors, or maybe this extra $8M is their "dry powder: and they move Wallace for an ace a la the Brewers last season. I’m willing to give them the benefit of the doubt until then, but if this trend continues there is reason to be alarmed.
i'd definitely buy kawakami and uehara as legit possibilities.
i’m also, honestly, not that pleased with the reyes signing when i think we could have gotten ohman for slightly more. ohman would have been a more reliable option who could have been left in against righties, reducing the number of appearances by relievers and reducing the strain on the bullpen. it was clear in the articles about the reyes signing that the FO coalesced around reyes because he was the cheap option.
there’s some legit beef with the front office about not spending.
No beef with the FO
They can only spend what they are allowed to spend. Remember how ownership had a ceiling for 2B for years? I wonder what the FO was allowed to spend on LOOGYs. DeWitt needs to open up DeWallet. (Joking.) I think Reyes is a fine signing at a good value. I agree with Az that the disappointing non-moves are with the rotation and at second base. We need insurance in the rotation (as you and I discussed yesterday with the health concerns) and something more than a replacement player at second.
"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."
--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS
Yep
And the season hasn’t started yet. There’s always trades during the season.
This is the first year I can remember that we have a large surplus of tradeable players from which we could deal. We’re having trouble narrowing the roster down to 25 people, which is a GOOD thing. That means we’ve got MLB-caliber players that other teams would be interested in.
defy, cards, defy. hey logic --- you suck.
Not happy about the cuts, but I respectfully disagree about part of your response
This is damaging evidence in two fashions… 2) it means that they were neatly pocketing some significant cash when they were selling 3.4M tickets, making the playoffs and holding payroll at the same levels for the last 4 years.
Nobody saw this economic situation coming 9 month ago, much less 2-4 years ago (in which we made our playoff runs & world series). Baseball club owners are going to pocket cash. It is a business. The point of a business is to remain profitable through good times and bad.
It sucks when we don’t get huge free agent signings all the time, but I don’t think we should ever expect it. The Yanks and Sox do it a lot and they get a lot of media coverage, so fans everywhere always expect huge signings. That’s not how it’s going to work post-Jockety. I guarentee that when Lunhow was hired, the promise he brought with him was not that he would improve the farm system and help with statistical info, but that by doing those things he would make the club more money. More profit. He would help grow more stars internally who are cheaper and cost controlled, specifically so the front office wouldn’t have to spend as much on free agents. And so far the experiment is working out for him and for the owners. The owners are making money (or at this point, not losing money in a bad economy), and the Cardinals still have a winning record.
Despite our difference of opinion, i think this is a great fanpost. Putting good thought into a subject instead of just linking to it. Thanks.
defy, cards, defy. hey logic --- you suck.
i disagree
many people saw “it” coming.
the fault lies in who you listened to.
"No matter where you go, there you are" Buckeroo Bonzai Across the 8th Dimension
While people saw "it" coming...
…you’ll be hard pressed to find anyone who thought that it would be this bad. Most thought that we would have a correction in the housing market to bring down bubbled prices and that would be it. Instead, these toxic assets have thrown off the books of most of the large banks in the country and tanked our economy on a grand scale. It’s not the analysts fault really, although you could blame some of them for misrepresenting facts a bit. I would venture to say that there were a bunch of bank presidents who had no idea what kind of shit assets they were carrying on their books as securitized mortgage debt, so when things started to go south, they had absolutely no idea it could undermine their entire bank.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
i think you describe not only bank presidents, but any one/company/municipality
that bought these highly leveraged securities. while there are always ‘bears’ out there, the people, and there were many, who loaded up on short selling funds knew something. the long lemmings should have been short lemmmings
"No matter where you go, there you are" Buckeroo Bonzai Across the 8th Dimension
its not that we dont get huge FA signings,
no one expects us to get huge free agent signings but we cant even get medium or smaller ones.
we are afraid to offer players arb we pinch pennies so much.
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 9:37 AM EDT up reply actions
Looper wasn't offered arb
cause they didn’t see a need for him at his cost. Signing him would have meant eating Piniero’s contract or going with a lesser performer in the pen, Piniero vs Motte, at a cost of $6-7 mm.
I can't really say I agree with this
but can’t find too many words to disagree. I feel that if they are being frugal so that they can re-sign Pujols, then it’s all worth it. I will have to wait and see how that is handled before I get pissed off at the ownership. the ballpark village thing is pretty ridiculous though, especially since Busch II wasn’t that dilapidated… now it just seems like it was unnecessary without the village.
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Mar 18, 2009 1:57 PM EDT reply actions
i totally expected this
they’ve been setting this up for a long time. anyone who doesn’t drink the kool-aid isn’t surprised. i’m not mad, i’m just aggravated at the spin. we fans are not stupid, well most of us are not. and i hate being talked down to & treated like we are stupid. and the FO does that way too much. if they would cut out on the spin, i think the FO would stop talking so much heat from the media & fans.
BEN MOTHERHUSHYOURMOUTH SHEETS
I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!
Agreed but we knew this a month ago
Didn’t the Feb 17th roster matrix show the decrease in payroll that Strauss is talking about? I’ve re read the article to check but I don’t remember reading anything was preventing the FO from adding payroll during the season. All the article really states is where we are today, which the last roster matrix showed and doesn’t say anything about the future.
Angry Robot

"Do what you want to the women and children but leave me alone"- George Carlin
by That's a Winner on Mar 18, 2009 3:29 PM EDT reply actions
i don't expect to hear from AZ for the rest of the day

BEN MOTHERHUSHYOURMOUTH SHEETS
I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!
This is the scariest line of the story
Pursuing Fuentes struck many as contradictory to the team’s buttoned-down payroll. However, club sources insist a successful pursuit of Fuentes probably would have necessitated a salary dump involving outfielder Rick Ankiel or Ryan Ludwick.
Terrible way of running a business, much less a team. Take valuable commodities and dump them because you bought something less valuable for more money?
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 18, 2009 3:44 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
I agree
If you had to choose between overpaying for Fuentes and either Ludwick or Ankiel, why would you even make an offer to Fuentes?
"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."
--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS
I'm going to believe that they weren't going to dump
those guys in an NBA “salary dump” kind of way without getting something in return for them. I also don’t think that is the whole story — why would you sign a guy to improve a specific position on your team to make a run at a division title and then trade away guys who are necessities in the lineup if such a run were to be possible? It doesn’t make a lot of sense, and I feel like this is where Strauss is going rogue — out on a limb taking something that was said by an office secretary and running with it while calling them a “club source”.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
it sounds like something Joe would do
vivaelbeñsheets
by vivaelpujols on Mar 19, 2009 3:26 AM EDT up reply actions
The fact that
every trade Mo has made has ended up being a positive one for the Cardinals, coupled with the fact that we didn’t trade off two starting outfielders and a prospect for Matt Holliday. That a trade was made this offseason to improve the club for 2009 with no guarantee beyond that (Greene). That we haven’t traded Ankiel yet, who will receive a huge pay raise and will be a FA at the end of the year. We have players to replace him on the big league roster and yet he’s still here.
This front office is not near as frugal as most make it out to be — the Cardinals will still be in the top half of the league in payroll. To be honest, I think a lot of people would be surprised to find out the breakdown of payroll dollars as a percentage of revenue. The Cards are spending more dollars of revenue on players by percentage than a lot of the other big market teams that sign all the big time free agents.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
Where's the evidence this was a bad dump?
he was just blocking other players and he didn’t take instruction well
Just win
The player we got in return we have already lost
and Reyes put up a 1.83 ERA in limited time with Cleveland last year. Blocking who? Piniero?
It was a terrible trade
we took one of our best pitching prospects and traded him for $50k.
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 19, 2009 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions
He was a spare part
and larussa and duncan didn’t like him. would have been nice to get a khalil greene but those trades are few and far between. It’s not like he didn’t have a million opportunities to make something of himself here.
I don’t get the affection for him. He was a failed prospect. At least with Worrell you could say, “he never had a chance”. but Reyes had multiple opportunities to solidify a spot.
Just win
It was not a positive trade for the Cardinals
it was a positive trade for Dave Duncan and Tony LaRussa.
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 19, 2009 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
yes
that is true, because they don’t like giving innings to pitchers who are 12-25 in their career, bless their hearts. This is what makes LaRussa and Duncan great—they don’t waste management resources on mediocrities —they focus on their good assets not their bad assets.
BP has him as a negative VORP and slightly positive WARP in 2009 and a career projection that casts him as an average or less than average 5th starter. His 19 comps are guys I have never heard of and Josh Hancock (who no one outside of St. Louis has heard of).
I’ve never heard Moz speak on the subject but if they could have gotten more for him, I’m sure they would have. $50K was his market value to the rest of Major League Baseball.
I hope he does great as I love the flatbill, but he was never gonna make it here.
Just win
He was a spare part
who won Game 1 of the WS for us and earlier that year, tossed a one-hitter to the White Sox. I know that one hit was a HR to Thome and he got the loss, but anyone who watched Anthony pitch that night saw something special. I wouldn’t call him a failed prospect so much as a mishandled prospect, and that isn’t his fault.
Patiently awaiting the day Colby Rasmus does this: .275/.381/.551/.932, 29HR, in St. Louis...
by RunninRedbird on Mar 19, 2009 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions
if he really is a mishandled prospect, he'll be a 2-4 starter for the Tribe
he doesn’t really have any excuses now. he’s out from under Tony & Dave. if he’s not a success now, i’m inclined to think maybe i was wrong about him
BEN MOTHERHUSHYOURMOUTH SHEETS
I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!
We'll just have to wait and see....
Patiently awaiting the day Colby Rasmus does this: .275/.381/.551/.932, 29HR, in St. Louis...
by RunninRedbird on Mar 19, 2009 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions
And then
If he does become a #2 kinda pitcher for the Indians, everyone will start to complain about trading him like we complained with Haren, and then complain that we traded such a great pitcher for nothing, whereas with Haren we traded for a guy who only gave us 1 good year (i still believe that if Mulder wasn’t injured and gave us at least 2 additional years similar to 2005, it would of been a fine trade because he was a 20 win pitcher in 05, the bullpen blew a few of his chances but nonetheless, it would of been a good trade if mulder stayed healthy)
Cardwash Definition: Birds on the Nat.
He played...
…on a good team and pitched alright. So yeah, he had a lot of wins. As I’ll demonstrate in a bit Haren would have had a fair number of wins too.
Which doesn’t mean shit.
Actually, pitcher wins don’t mean even that much. That is giving this awful stat too much credit. This is a well established principle.
In 2005, the two had nearly the same ERA. Haren had a better strikeout rate, a better walk rate, a better K/BB rate, a lower WHIP. So in 2005, Haren outpitched Mulder and wasn’t on his way to permanent brokenness. Haren was a demonstrably better pitcher that year and is currently one of the best RH starters in baseball. Mulder’s 2005-level production wasn’t worth that. BTW…Mulder’s issues had warning signs attached to them to those who knew where to look. Declining velocity and K-rates are good predictors of doom. Mulder was dropping in both right as he was entering what should have been some of his better years.
"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.
by redbirdnation8206 on Mar 24, 2009 10:39 PM EDT up reply actions
So what will you say
if Reyes succeeds in Cleveland? You are certainly entitled to your opinion, but it hard for me to believe that a reasonable person would say it is OK to throw away a potentially valuable commodity because “larussa and duncan didn’t like him.” It will be very interesting if we are still struggling to find quality starting pitching while Reyes and Haren succeed.
I suppose you want to get rid of Rasmus and Perez too?
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
That's an unfair argument to make
Has Perez stunk at the big league level for parts of two seasons? Rasmus hasn’t played a big league game yet, but if he was still struggling to be above replacement level at age 26 after getting every opportunity to make a name for himself then I’d probably be willing to part ways with him.
You’ve got the audacity to compare the Reyes trade to the Haren trade? We got back a perennial Cy Young candidate in that trade and he happened to win 16 games for us in 2005. I really didn’t want to trade Haren at the time and I spoke out against that trade because I thought we were giving up too much in terms of talent (Daric Barton was still a prized catching prospect at that time). Still, we did get a very good player in return for Haren, not a minor league reliever.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
Audicity?
I think he was merely stating that both were young prospects and both are gone.
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 19, 2009 11:26 PM EDT up reply actions
But the trades aren't comparable
Haren was traded as part of a deal for a former 20 game winner and perennial Cy Young candidate. Haren had pitched very well in the 2004 postseason, so teams were actively seeking to trade for him.
Reyes had 4 good starts in two years before he was traded. Teams weren’t going to pay top dollar for a pitcher who was 10-25 with an ERA near 6 in his big league career.
Comparing those two trades is apples and oranges.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
it
depends on the result of the trade. and how well reyes pitches for the indians. if he pitches real well then yes, it’ll be easier to compare that we missed out on some real talent. if he’s just a middle-bottom of the rotation pitcher then i don’t think there will be that big of an argument.
Cardwash Definition: Birds on the Nat.
No one is saying Top Dollar
but other than releasing him, the Cardinals may have gotten the bare minimum you can get in a MLB trade.
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 23, 2009 11:28 AM EDT up reply actions
So...
We should have just held onto him, letting him throw in AAA when we had absolutely no plans for him, while holding back starts from guys like Mortenson, Todd, and Boggs — who are in the future plans for the team?
Sometimes you just have to cut ties with a player and get what you can for him.
All of the Anthony Reyes lovers around here seem to think that he had a ton of market value, but put yourself in another team’s shoes:
Would you trade a good prospect for a guy with 4 good MLB starts, a 10-25 MLB career record, and an MLB career ERA over 5.50?
In other words, would you part with Brian Anderson, Allen Craig, or Lance Lynn so that you could get your hands on Jeremy Sowers?
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
He didn't have to be dealt
at that time.
He could have spent another year pitching in Memphis. If it brought back more the $50k, then YES it was part of the future plans for the team. And ultimately, the rehabbing exploits of Matt Clement and Mark Mulder would have done more damage to Mortensen, Todd and Boggs. Not only that, but that is a 3 man rotation. Why can’t Reyes develop along side them?
Anthony Reyes went from the organizations best pitcher in 2005 and 2006 to being a worthless commodity to the FO by mid-2008.
He went to Cleveland, his velocity returned and Eric Wedge told him to ‘pitch the way he wants to pitch’. I hope he turns his career around. He was very exciting to follow as a prospect for the Cardinals and I wish he could have gotten along with management here to make things work.
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 23, 2009 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions
I think the real arguments are
1. Do you want Anthony Reyes starting in Memphis over John Wasdin or the 6.00+ ERA version of Blake Hawksworth?
2. Not whether the Cardinals could have gotten an artificially high prospect like you list, but whether they could have waited long enough to get something better than Perdomo, a 24 year-old A-ball pitcher who wasn’t deemed to be worth a 40-man roster spot?
Just because someone thinks the situation was handled poorly doesn’t make them an “Anthony Reyes lover”.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
Again
I use “Anthony Reyes lover” to address anyone who seems to think that he had any market value at all at the time of the trade. Scott Rolen wasn’t perceived to have any value either because of the way his situation was handled, and we ended up getting Troy Glaus in that deal, because Scott Rolen had market value. Anthony Reyes had no market value.
The Cubs didn’t get much of anything for Rich Hill, who had much more success at the big league level than Anthony Reyes. Oakland waived Todd Van Poppell and got nothing for him after 5 years of horrible starting pitching, after he was one the “most exciting prospects” in all of baseball when he was dominating the minor leagues.
I’m sorry, but you can’t argue that the Cardinals should have made him pitch in AAA longer and wish him well in the same breath. That’s the height of hypocrisy — he deserved a change of scenery and he got one.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
Sometimes I just don't know
what you are talking about. Your last paragraph is non-sensical. I didn’t argue anything of the kind.
Plus, you didn’t really respond to point #1.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
Apparently you didn't read Hardcore's comment then...
When did I say John Wasdin and Blake Hawksworth were worth having at AAA? Please paste in the comment, I’d love to see it. Those pitchers are there for safety reasons, so we don’t have to bring up Mitch Boggs, burn and option on him, and place him on the 40 man roster when the team needs a spot starter. So that’s that.
As far as Reyes goes, I think we saw over the course of two seasons that he wasn’t going to be a successful pitcher in St. Louis and that few teams wanted to trade for him. If the team had traded him at the start of 2007 for a B+ grade prospect, all the Anthony Reyes lovers would have gone ballistic. Instead, the team pitching him a ton that season and he was HORRIBLE, thus decreasing his trade value.
You complain that the team is cheap and that they’re running PIniero, a pitcher who has had much more major league success than Anthony Reyes, out there every fifth day, but then you want the team to reserve a rotation spot for a guy that hasn’t helped his team win much at all in his entire big league career. The Cardinals may have had a better shot at the division in 2007 had they not thrown Reyes as much as they did. Think about that for a minute. You can’t say “this team is cheap because they don’t spend money to win” and “we need to keep running a sub-par starting pitcher out there to see what we have because he was a top prospect” at the same time. It’s hypocritical.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
You must have me confused with
someone else. I don’t complain that the team is cheap, I gave DeWitt a 90% approval rating. The only thing I have said in that vein is that I don’t necessarily see the absolute requirement that the team’s first priority should be to have a positive cash flow each and every season.
I am actually a Pineiro supporter and I expect him to turn around in 2009. Nothing great, but better. About what Looper did last year.
You said earlier in this thread that you didn’t want him stealing starts from Boggs, Mortensen, and Todd at AAA, but that is a red herring as he would have taken starts away from Wasdin and/or Hawksworth. Thus, the Wasdin/Hawksworth assertion.
The only comment I have made in this thread related to Anthony Reyes is to disagree with Duke’s assessment that it was OK to dump Reyes for essentially $50k because “larussa and duncan didn’t like him.” It would not have hurt the organization in any way to keep Reyes in AAA for the rest of the season and let the situation develop.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
i believe the point is that keeping him until he ran out of options would’ve hurt reyes. by the time parisi, of all people, was getting starts over reyes, it should’ve been clear to all (including to reyes himself) that reyes had no future in st. louis. none, zero, nada, zilch, blah blah blah. if the cardinals aren’t getting any benefit from reyes’s services and reyes’s payday is much worse in st. louis than what it would be for a couple of other teams, then the reason for trading him — human decency, really — is a lot stronger than the reason for keeping him.
Good for him if he succeeds
1. I don’t wish ill on Anthony. I thought he was cool and who doesn’t love a flamethrower. So, if he wins 15 games for Cleavland that’s great. It won’t change my opinion of what they did last year. As GDM says above, he has no excuses now.
2. He was 10-25 for the Cardinals for a four year period. And I know that people can parse out a few good stretches in that period, but he wasn’t very good. Everyone is hung up on WS Game 1. It’s a great memory, but not a great career.
3. If he was valuable, Moz would have gotten more for him. The MLB is a pretty efficient marketplace. Why would a cost-controlled flamethrower draw no interest? When all other theories fail, what is left is that no one thought he was any better than $50K, unless you believe that this is a big Luhnow/Moz conspiracy to embarass LaRussa.
4. Haren has nothing to do with Reyes. That was Jocketty’s call.
5. All 25 players have to be on the same page and pulling towards the same goal. That’s why LaRussa is the best manager in baseball. He knows how to win and he knows what it takes to win. He ruffles a few feathers, but I love his clarity of thought. Perhaps there are examples, but I can’t think of many players who have come back to make a LaRussa decision look bad.
6. I would gladly trade more prospects to win 90-92 games in the next 2-3 years. Albert will only be around for a short while.
Just win
#6
I wouldn’t mind if they traded prospects in a smart way. I don’t want them to go trading all our good prospects in an attempt to win a few more games in the next 2-3 years. We don’t know how long Albert will be around, and even if he does leave, I will still be a Card’s fan. I really don’t want to go through an extended period of sucktitude again.
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
and....BEN SHEETS!!! **
**not that BEN SHEETS might be involved in this comment, just BEN SHEETS!!!
(BEN SHEETS might be involved in this comment)
+1
If it comes down to keeping Albert and us sucking, or letting him go and winning, I’ll take the second choice.
Patiently awaiting the day Colby Rasmus does this: .275/.381/.551/.932, 29HR, in St. Louis...
by RunninRedbird on Mar 20, 2009 11:04 AM EDT up reply actions
If we suck, Albert won't stay
Albert has said as much regarding the next contract. He wants to win and if he can’t do it here, he’ll do it elsewhere, where he has a chance to win. Guess that means Chicago’s north side is out of the question.
What I meant was
If we sign him to a deal that is big enough that he would stay, but we aren’t able to field a good team around him, I wouldn’t want to try and re-sign him. My point was sign Albert, then suck down the road due to handicapped financial mobility. Or don’t sign him, and have enough money to sign quality players at mulitple positions that can help us win. You don’t have to remind me about the “Albert leaving or staying talk”. I’ve heard it ad nauseam.
Patiently awaiting the day Colby Rasmus does this: .275/.381/.551/.932, 29HR, in St. Louis...
by RunninRedbird on Mar 20, 2009 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions
it's hard
to trade prospects in a smart way, the mulder trade was a smart trade until 2006. Rolen’s trade was smart. The Mike Maroth trade wasn’t smart, etc.
Cardwash Definition: Birds on the Nat.
how was the maroth trade not smart?
obviously maroth didn’t pan out. but we really needed a starter.
we gave them chris lambert who was not pitching well then and still does not look like much of a pitcher.
a trade that does not work out is not the same as a dumb trade.
Summary response to various folks
Sorry for the lack of timeliness as I haven’t paid attention to this thread for a few days.
No audacity required to “compare” the Reyes and Haren trades when what they have in common is that TLR didn’t like them. I was addressing Duke’s assertion that it was OK to dump Reyes because TLR didn’t like him. Didn’t mean to imply in any way that the Haren trade was a bad trade of the same magnitude even though I thought it was a bad deal at the time and still do. Mulder was damaged goods. I believe the reporting at the time was that the Mulder deal was done at TLR’s insistence in spite of objections from Duncan and others within the Cardinal organization.
The reason Mo only got $50K for Reyes is because an environment had been created that required him to go even though there was no good reason to dump him. He wasn’t blocking anyone of any significance at Memphis. I find it pretty hard to believe anyone could be so blindly loyal to TLR that they would think Reyes winning 15 games for Cleveland wouldn’t change their approval of dumping him for $50K ‘cause TLR didn’t like him.
Nothing unfair about throwing Rasmus and Perez into the argument as they are young players who have had turns in TLR’s doghouse. If we are talking about it being OK to throw players away because TLR doesn’t like them then it is legitimate to throw them out there. They are both players who have had a lot of success in their respective minor league careeers, but had their approaches tinkered with a la Reyes.
I don’t know how dumping Reyes for $50K will help the Cardinals win 90-92 games in any year. I guess if Perdomo is returned and morphs into the second coming of K-Rod or something.
I don’t think there is any way to make any definitive claims about who is and who is not the best manager in baseball, but even if TLR is the best manager in baseball that probably doesn’t have a whole lot to do with the team’s success. I would assume he has been just as good a manager over the last three seasons while averaging 81+ wins as he was in the previous six years when he averaged almost 96 wins.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
I'm taking the wait and see approach there
There was no bigger Anthony Reyes fan than I when he first came up. I really thought he was going to be the next solid top-of-the-rotation starter from the farm system, a la Matt Morris. In two years pitching in the big leagues for the Cardinals, I can count on one hand how many good starts he had. He was given multiple chances to earn his keep here and didn’t do it. I’m sorry that I object to the TLR and Duncan running a pitcher out there who gives the team very little chance to win, and Reyes didn’t do that most of the time.
Sure, we didn’t get much for him, but Oakland didn’t get much for Todd Van Poppel either after he proved that he was a AAAA pitcher. In fact, they got nothing for him when the Tigers claimed him off of waivers. I’ve yet to see Reyes prove that he can pitch at the major league level outside of a couple of starts. As far as his start in the World Series and his start against the White Sox — I also remember Bud Smith throwing a perfect game, and we traded him away after that. If you want to base your opinion of a player based on two starts, that’s fine, but don’t disparage me for wanting to see that guy more than twice in 30 starts. The sun shines on a dog’s ass some days.
Sure, if Reyes turns into a solid middle rotation starter I’ll be glad to eat some crow, but he won’t be the first player the team traded away that turned out to be a good player, and he certainly won’t be the last. Sometimes players just need a change of scenery
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
are you sure about that?
i ’d guess the interest on the stadium debt makes that unlikely, i.e., it exceeds what other teams pay for rent. for a few teams, they have neither, e.g., red sox, cubs, and have the greatest likelihood of putting a high % of revenue towards payroll.
"No matter where you go, there you are" Buckeroo Bonzai Across the 8th Dimension
At first when I read the Reyes line.
I thought he was talking about the trade of Anthony last deadline. I almost fell off my chair. So many Reyeses, so little time.
On with the (good) youth movement!
"pocketing cash"
I thought the article said that they took the excess money and put it back into the team. Payroll is only one way to use the money. Other possibilities:
1. building up the farm system
2. taking the hit on increased insurance cost for employees
3. increase advertising budget
4. build up scouting in another market (like the Japanese market)
5. Other things we are not privy to
That money
was included in the $150 M total operating budget, against the +$200 M revenue.
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 18, 2009 4:17 PM EDT up reply actions
Per Dewitt:
Your probably right about the farm system and scouting, but the others still stand. The article quotes as “Baseball operating budget” (not just operating budget) and then had this to say about the excess:
“And to the extent we’ve had excess money the past few years, we’ve re-invested it in the operation.”
What's he supposed to say?
“We had some excess cash so I handed out AIG style bonuses to my employees? Everyone cool with that?”
“Excess money” could mean almost anything depending on how he defines excess.
whenever I have "excess money"
i make little paper airplanes out of it, and then set them on fire. It’s a great stress reliever.
OTOH that’s probably why i have to “work” for a living, instead of owning a professional baseball team.
"i have a feeling the answers are bigger than the questions" -Dr Heyward Floyd
by SleepyCA on Mar 18, 2009 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
What do you want him to do with the money?
I know this isn’t going to be popular but… Say DeWitt decided to keep 10 million dollars in his pocket (other monetary excesses could go to non-baseball related activities such as rising cost of insurance). Would you be terribly upset by this? As an owner of a baseball team should he be required to put all profit into payroll? Don’t get me wrong, I’d love if he would do this… but I doubt if many people wouldn’t want their cut. Remember, in this said scenerio, he wouldn’t even be making as much as some of his players.
Also remember, that this was last year. Different economic times might mean a projected excess of 2 million this year (and that’s if nothing bad happens). This isn’t monopoly money, DeWitt has to balance winning with what is reasonable in a business environment and what he is comfortable with shelling out of his pocket.
I don't know about anyone else
but I see sports franchises differently than other business ventures. If you buy a sports franchise you first goal should be to field a winning team, not to make a huge profit. Now I am not saying that owners should not make a profit on the team, or that they should take a loss, but they should put most of the proceeds back into the team. If someone wants to make a killing off of their investment, do it somewhere else.
Now I don’t think that DeWitt is doing this, but I can see how people can get worried about it. I just don’t want this franchise to turn into one whose main goal is to make money for the owners.
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
and....BEN SHEETS!!! **
**not that BEN SHEETS might be involved in this comment, just BEN SHEETS!!!
(BEN SHEETS might be involved in this comment)
I will certainly be disappointed
if the ownership group insists that they must make an operating profit each and every year. I think it is pretty safe to say they have done that every year since 1995 and I am happy for them. Even with a short to intermediate decline in the value of the franchise they are still sitting on a ton on equity.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
This argument would be for a price floor for payroll
because I guarantee that the owners of the Marlins have probably pocketed more money from operating profit than any other small market team out there. They build up and then have a fire sale, build up and have a fire sale. Meanwhile, they’re reaping the same percentage of TV revenue, profit sharing, and internet ventures as the rest of the league, most of which that are trying to win.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
If I remember correctly
(and I will have to go on memory because I have lost the link), the Marlins and Royals as of a couple of years ago, both were taking in quite a bit in revenue sharing, and pocketing most of that revenue. In my opinion , this kind of behavior is grounds for being forced to sell your franchise, especially in the case of the Royals because David Glass headed Wal-Mart , so I am thinking he is not hurting for money.
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
and....BEN SHEETS!!! **
**not that BEN SHEETS might be involved in this comment, just BEN SHEETS!!!
(BEN SHEETS might be involved in this comment)
Profit vs. winning
I agree to a point, it’s not exactly like every other business. Saying that, we were a “winning team” last year. We won the World Series in 2006 and we had two 100 win teams just 4 and 5 short years ago. DeWitt has shown that he will make an investment in the team, but he will not spend wildly to do it. If he would have spent a ton of money on free agents last year (or the year before threw a lot of money at Schmidt), and the bottom dropped out of the market, wouldn’t we be pissed off that he was holding a firesale? No owner should be expected to LOSE money, or work for free (which DeWitt DOES work).
How much do you value DeWitt as an owner? If he were in the open market, would you give him $10,000.00 a year to run the team? What about $100,000.00? That sounds like a lot of money, but remember that EVERY PLAYER ON THE PAYROLL WOULD BE MAKING MORE than him.
I think I made those same points
I value DeWitt, and I stated I don’t think he should lose money, or not make a profit. I can just see why other people can worry about such things.
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
and....BEN SHEETS!!! **
**not that BEN SHEETS might be involved in this comment, just BEN SHEETS!!!
(BEN SHEETS might be involved in this comment)
That's not entirely true.
The franchise itself is now worth about 6X more than what it was, adjusting for inflation, when he bought 15 years ago. So if he ever decides to sell it, he’s probably going to make a killing, provided he can find a buyer. So he’s still making money even with a higher payroll and new debt obligations like the new stadium, which also brings higher revenue. Since most of it was privately financed, the buyer would also own a piece of the stadium, which is a highly lucrative asset for an owner of a team because they don’t have to worry about leases and such.
That said, it makes a lot more sense to keep the business profitable even if it’s only by a small margin, because that makes it more lucrative to buy if he wants to sell it. Also, just like Wayne Newton’s golden toilet, you can claim something has X amount of value, but until someone is willing to pay you your asking price, it doesn’t necessarily mean that you can claim it as a “liquid” asset.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
yea
i’d be uset becaue i’m a romantic in the classical sense. dw is the current steward of the cardinals, but the team belongs to the fans who support it and literally paid a pot load of (iax) money so dw and friends could see major investment growth.
"No matter where you go, there you are" Buckeroo Bonzai Across the 8th Dimension
I'm glad it's lower
since it means we didn’t sign Brian Fuentes.
If they held a Marlins style fire sale, that’d be one thing. This is a total non-issue to me.
hecanthithecanthithecanthithecanthit
Mozeliak on Bernie's show today
paraphrase:
“If you give us money and buy tickets, we will have more money to spend during the season. If not, we will have to sell a player or two.”
/paraphrase
“By the time we get to late June, early July we’ll have a better idea of the economy and where we are. We try to have our payroll parallel with revenue.” If things go better they can adjust accordingly. If things go worse (economy, attendance) then it could go the other way. But he hopes to be able to make a move if they need it.
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 18, 2009 6:39 PM EDT reply actions
I wish they would keep this to themselves
I understand it is a business and I don’t begrudge them the money. But if they want to keep reminding us it is a business, then it is a very easy business decision for me to stay home.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
you gotta be freaking kidding me.
what a load of crap
for anyone interested, here’s the audio. i’m listening now to hear it for myself.
BEN MOTHERHUSHYOURMOUTH SHEETS
I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!
They've said this exact same thing for the last 3 years now.
“Keeping the powder dry.” for a midseason move. Except they haven’t materialized.
Just don't be disappointed
when it becomes ‘no longer financially viable’ to invest all that cash in one player.
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 18, 2009 9:18 PM EDT up reply actions
hey
as long as we are perennial contenders I am a happy boy. what pissed me off was last season, there were about 4 or 5 things we could have done differently, and if we just did one, we might have made it.
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Mar 19, 2009 12:02 AM EDT up reply actions
perennial contenders...
There were a LOT of things that “went right” last year to make them a “contender”. Throw in 07 and the 09 they’ve been “playing for in 08”, I don’t think we can classify this team as perennial contenders.
"How depressing is it being you? Would you equate it to being a lifelong Cubs fan?"
they will be soon
The Flubs are in bad shape
vivaelbeñsheets
by vivaelpujols on Mar 19, 2009 3:28 AM EDT up reply actions
There were also a lot of things that went wrong...
Carpenter missed the WHOLE season, Wainwright missed 2.5 months, Wellemeyer, Yadi, Glaus and Pujols all missed some time, Duncan required surgery and Garcia went down with a bum elbow. How can this team not be classified as perennial contenders when the only time in nearly ten seasons that they haven’t contended was in 2007 (actually they were in the race at the end of August and TANKED in Sept.)?
All that being said I would have liked to have seen what kind of difference adding Rhodes and dumping Flores would have made last year.
Sometimes I wonder,
"Why is that frisbee getting bigger?"
...and then it hits me!!
and 2007 was just so f'd up
and they even had a short push when Ankiel came up and put a jolt into the team, so even that year there was hope
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Mar 19, 2009 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions
I don't really buy that
more things went wrong
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Mar 19, 2009 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions
exactly
the right player = young supertalented guy who costs little to nothing…oh, and no other teams have to be interested in him.
so when ever that guy shows up we will pounce on him!
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 9:48 AM EDT up reply actions
only the difference now is
they are saying if we dont continue to give them more and more money is this crappy economy (2.7 million sold ALREADY, thats more than most teams did all year last year!) they will dump salary.
EFF them.
They keep talking about how the economy could hurt them while we shell out money and they add little.
Its like some sort of self fulfilling prophecy where they keep this BS up until we finally actually dont spend the money
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 9:47 AM EDT up reply actions
most teams
that have their #1 starter (carp), #2 starter (waino) and closer (izzy) DOWN in july, don’t see their chances as very good for the postseason. the majority don’t usually go out and trade away a piece of the future in hoping things turn around. right or wrong for each fan, that’s a pattern i’ve seen from many mlb teams.
by ball in play on Mar 19, 2009 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions
we even lost our #3 for a while in July, as well
Wellemeyer missed 2 weeks and was ineffective for almost 2 months.
"i have a feeling the answers are bigger than the questions" -Dr Heyward Floyd
remind me.
do we get a “do over” on the off-season if we find out that lots of people will buy tickets and we can spend more money? lowe and uehara go back on the market? No? oh. okay.
stomach turning.
Get on the business high horse and I will get on the consumer high horse…put out a shitty product I don’t have to buy it.
"How depressing is it being you? Would you equate it to being a lifelong Cubs fan?"
that is beyond BS
this freaking team has one of the higher ticket prices and one of the top attendance year after year after year. Almost everyone has some Cardinals clothing, or souvenirs or what not.
We support this team better than anyone or almost anyone in the nation.
weve both had it good for years, the difference is they are giving less and less while we are the same.
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 9:44 AM EDT up reply actions
So...
If the 2009 Cardinals are better than the 2008 Cardinals, does any of this even matter? I know it’s Strauss’ job to sell papers and get hits, but in my eyes this team is significantly better than last years. Why should I care how much money they spent to do it?
hecanthithecanthithecanthithecanthit
I think there's a real debate to be had whether they're significantly better
but granting that assumption, being significantly better doesn’t equate to making the playoffs. They’re a fringe contender and adding another 2-3 wins on paper could mean a lot come October.
What move out there would have given us
(perhaps) two to three wins over what we (perhaps) have now? Upgrading from Pineiro to Burnett? Is that even realistic?
Right now the rotation is better than what we had in 08 (knock on Carps wooden shoulder), as is the bullpen and SS. 2B (what most have long considered the most marginal position on the team will take a hit on defensive but a gain on offense). Everything else is basically a push. I just don’t have a problem with what they did this offseason.
And I really don’t care how much they spent to do it with. Having sunk costs into guys like Mulder, Clement, Izzy, Carp, Juan, non-pitching Carp and Edmonds last year just inflated the payroll. It didn’t add wins. Having less money wasted on bad contracts is a good thing.
hecanthithecanthithecanthithecanthit
Derek Lowe?
Value Wins (2008) – 5.0
Braden Looper – 1.7
Joel Pineiro – 0.9
He’s making $15 M/year over the next 4 years and I didn’t particularly want him, but he based on value wins he would have been anywhere from a 3.3 to 4.1 win increase over what we had last year.
Javier Vasquez was worth 4.9, acquired by trade.
Andy Pettitte – 4.4.
You get the point.
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 18, 2009 9:12 PM EDT up reply actions
If the cards would have spent
$15 mil a year on Derek Lowe, I would have been furious. Especially since Ludwick or Ankiel would have been moved to compensate it.
I have no idea if they ever had a serious interest in Pettitte; and vice versa. He would have been nice on a one year deal.
hecanthithecanthithecanthithecanthit
Ok, but that's not what you asked
you never said we had to sell off an OF’er to get a FA SP. I understand that was the reality they presented, but I wasn’t operating under that.
And if they really is the case, the Cardinals are in worse financial trouble than they let on.
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 18, 2009 9:19 PM EDT up reply actions
Vasquez was traded for a pretty sizable,
albeit somewhat underwhelming package. Still, do you really think that the Sox would have preferred Bryan Anderson to Tyler Flowers?
vivaelbeñsheets
by vivaelpujols on Mar 19, 2009 3:34 AM EDT up reply actions
I know a lot of us are counting
on Skip’s productivity at 2B to be a net plus, but it really isn’t likely to be true. At least not over 2008 anyway. While he assuredly would be an offensive upgrade over Kennedy, the combined production of our various 2B in 2008 was .312/.356/.398/.754 – very similar to Skip’s .302/.359.406/.765 results. 2B is likely to be a net minus in 2009 unless Skip improves quite a bit defensively.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
Good point
the MIF was actually pretty good last year. Iz2, Miles, Lopez and Kennedy were all pretty good players for us. The problem was, that Miles and Lopez were due for some huge regression, and Kennedy was on the wrong side of the defensive aging curve. i wouldn’t have been surprised to see him be an average defender next year.
vivaelbeñsheets
by vivaelpujols on Mar 19, 2009 3:36 AM EDT up reply actions
That last paragraph may be the best thing in this whole discussion...
sans the two Carps thing. The big difference in payroll from last year to this is the $6.5M we’re not paying Mulder to do nothing, $5M+ we’re not paying Juan to retire due to injury, the $6M? we’re not paying Edmonds to get cut by the Pads and then explode for the Cubs, and the $1M+ we’re not paying Clement to dwell in the minors. That’s over $18M in dead money that we aren’t paying to anyone. Our only dead contract this year is $4M to Kennedy. Add the fact that (hopefully) we’ll get somewhere close to contract value from Carpenter and the way I see it we’ve simply invested MUCH better in our payroll this year.
Sometimes I wonder,
"Why is that frisbee getting bigger?"
...and then it hits me!!
we only paid about $2M of Edmonds' salary
but you missed that we paid Izzy $8.5M to be the worst reliever in MLB ;) And $2.5 to Scott Spiezio to sit in his penthouse and read the bible, or whatever it is he does these days.
Anyway, I seriously doubt Lowe will be a 5 win player going forward; 2008 was the best season he’s had since 2002, and players generally don’t improve at age 36. he would have cost a minimum of $70M ($60M salary + draft pick) and probably more, since we’d have had to outbid the braves, who might have gone still higher. that is a potentially crippling contract, to a guy with no upside. I’ll pass.
"i have a feeling the answers are bigger than the questions" -Dr Heyward Floyd
I was thinking we paid...
$6M and they paid $2M…guess I got it backwards.
Sometimes I wonder,
"Why is that frisbee getting bigger?"
...and then it hits me!!
It matters because while we may be better
there are places they could have improved, or atleast gotten insurance.
We need another starter, Pineiro be damned. We need a real 2B.
Yes, we can ‘make due’ with what we have and probably win games with what we have….but it’s stuff like this that makes you wonder- Have the Cardinals been operating at their maximum? I thought the reason they wouldn’t take on payroll at the trade deadlines or in the off-season was so they’d have it in reserve. Wouldn’t a time when finances are ‘down’ be a time to use that reserve money?
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 18, 2009 8:50 PM EDT up reply actions
I told you all this would happen on Aug. 20th 2008
by The Ghost of Todd Burns on Mar 18, 2009 8:30 PM EDT reply actions
/hands TGOTB a cookie
"i have a feeling the answers are bigger than the questions" -Dr Heyward Floyd
thank you sir
I hate winter!!!!
by The Ghost of Todd Burns on Mar 18, 2009 8:47 PM EDT up reply actions
Interesting
Do you think that the club would have ponied up for Lohse if Garcia was healthy? Not that you present that argument, I’m just wondering. Lohse only makes $7M this season, so could we have spent that money in another place and upgraded the team? I would say yes, but I’m not sure in what capacity. They could have signed Brad Penny and still had another $3.5M to spend on someone like Ohman or Beimel I guess. Although my guess is that we would have ended up with Brian Fuentes as our closer and I’m not sure that would have been the right move, honestly.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
Performance Versus the Economy
Maybe instead of blaming the economy for declining ticket sales, the club ought to look at performance.
The team used to average 97 wins a year. Over the last three years they have averaged 83. And the decline in product quality has been accompanied with a dramatic increase in product price—everything in the new ballpark, whether tickets or food, costs way more.
Even in a stable economy, charging more for an inferior product is not good for sales.
Or to put it another way, when a 3rd place team’s biggest off season moves are to retain Kyle Lohse and pick up a shortstop who spent last season battling to hit over .200, which direction would you expect ticket sales to go?
performance vs DL
the current economy has not much to do with past performances. it’s been more about injuries and the amount of budget sitting on the DL.
by ball in play on Mar 19, 2009 11:18 AM EDT up reply actions
that peripheral cost factor
is true even in jupiter compared to mets, phillies, tigers, etc
"No matter where you go, there you are" Buckeroo Bonzai Across the 8th Dimension
The thing that amazes me is...
that we as Cardinals fans really think we have anything to complain about. Without hesitation I would say there is ONE fanbase in baseball that would NOT trade their teams current position, history, and players for what we have today. We have easily the best history after the Yankees, the best player in baseball, and will be in the hunt for the playoffs this year and a likely favorite in the years to come as our division weakens.
The Cubs are a win-now team and are a season or two away from total disaster, the Astros missed their chance, the Brewers aren’t the same team they were two years ago and their cheap/young players are becoming arbitration eligible now, the Pirates are the Pirates and the Reds are the only other team in the division I see as dangerous in two-four years.
Sometimes I wonder,
"Why is that frisbee getting bigger?"
...and then it hits me!!
by cardzfanbub on Mar 19, 2009 11:18 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
I agree with your first paragraph wholeheartedly
It doesn’t mean that we can’t talk about ways the club should improve; it doesn’t mean that we can’t criticize the FO; and it doesn’t mean we all have to go around “pumping sunshine,” “drinking Kool-Aid,” or become “apologists” for the organization. It means that we have to keep things in perspective and not fly off the handle when the FO doesn’t land FAs we deem to be improvements.
Since 2000, the Cards have always been relevant. Not a lot of clubs can say that — even the ones we sometimes envy (Cubs, Stro’s, Yanks). When we cut the fat from our payroll (Encarnacion, Mulder, Izzy) and don’t immediately replace it with other payroll that will become fat in a few years (Lowe, Fuentes, Vazquez, Burnett) I’m willing to say, “you know what, we have some pretty good prospects that might end up giving us some pretty good production” before reaching for my pitchfork and torch.
by Ray Lankford on Mar 19, 2009 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions
damn
it’s good to be a cardinal fan
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Mar 19, 2009 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions
damn, it feels good to be a gangsta
office space was such a great flick
BEN MOTHERHUSHYOURMOUTH SHEETS
I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!
that's what I meant
damn, it feels good to be a cardinal fan
I still need to pick up a copy of that
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Mar 19, 2009 5:42 PM EDT up reply actions
just dl'd that tune & i can't stop playing it. it's the awesome
i got the office space special edition dvd when it came out a few years back. i highly recommend it. it’s pure 24K gold.
BEN MOTHERHUSHYOURMOUTH SHEETS
I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!
you ARE a gangster!
with your gold dvd! nice
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Mar 20, 2009 1:17 AM EDT up reply actions
I am certainly not saying we can't complain...
there is always something to complain about no matter how good things are. I just sit here in utter amazement at some of the negativity towards this team. The way I see it 90% of the moves that MO has made and NOT made since he took over have moved the team in a positive direction.
Sometimes I wonder,
"Why is that frisbee getting bigger?"
...and then it hits me!!
thats the most rediculous thought ever
since the Cards have been good in the past we should sit on our laurels and stop caring.
Dont take me seriously :-D
www.GriffinandtheGargoyles.com www.myspace.com/GriffinandtheGargoyles
take guitar lessons from me!
by jealousblues on Mar 19, 2009 7:12 PM EDT up reply actions
Again
No one is saying that. If it helps you to misconstrue others’ arguments so that yours seems correct, I understand. Its easier to do that. Perspective is a good thing. It prevents overreactions like yours.
by Ray Lankford on Mar 19, 2009 9:13 PM EDT up reply actions
I'd be careful if I were you...
jealous.
From my recollection you’ve got an untarnished reputation on this board, but you’ve posted the same thoughts about 30 different times in this discussion. You have done very little to add to this, and I don’t think it’s the most ridiculous thought to think that a great history is a good reason to be proud of our team.
Did you happen to read the whole part about being “in the hunt for the playoffs” and a favorite in the division for the next few years which made up the majority of my post, or did you skip over that because it makes your comment baseless and pointless?
Sometimes I wonder,
"Why is that frisbee getting bigger?"
...and then it hits me!!
by cardzfanbub on Mar 20, 2009 12:55 AM EDT up reply actions
People from St. Louis need to look around.
In the last year We have lost Macy’s; The Chrysler plant; Grantie city Steel; more job losses at Boeing; The A.G. Edwards building no longer says, “A.G. Edwards” on it; my Company has dropped close to a million in payroll around the area; Charter is going broke; Rueters is laying off a ton.
And last but not least AB is no longer AB. InBev’s first order of business was to lay off 1,500 people. Their second was to revoke the yearly contracts with local advertisment companies.(AB used only local advertisment companies.) Who knows how much money that is leaving the area.
The Cardinals are going to lose a lot of AD dollars with InBev in charge now. The Jobs in St. Louis don’t look like they are coming back anytime soon. Be happy the team has a payroll right now.
My fiancee lost her job a few months ago and hasn’t found anything. I’ll be lucky to make it two a game this year vs. the 7 I went to last.
by Evilfrog on Mar 19, 2009 9:21 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
The Economy is only going to get worst
Payroll is probably going to be even lower in the 2010 season. When this country is in a full blown depression and ownerships across baseball start to try renegotiate contracts with players because they are going so much into debt. Teams with strong minor league systems will be the only team that can contend.
Stat Whore
by FlimtotheFlam on Mar 21, 2009 12:50 PM EDT up reply actions
one data point...
… according to this site (data taken from Forbes, latest year is 2007), the Cards had $194mn in gross revenue (before taxes, interest, amortization, or depreciation), and player expenses of $109mn (after bonuses). simply dividing the one from the other shows that the Cards spent 56% of gross revenue on players, which would rank 15th in the bigs that year, or smack at the league average. perhaps we could hope for a bit better, but that’s not really much to complain about, esp considering that the teams ahead of them are the usual suspects: NYY, BOS, Sea, CHC, LAA, LAD, etc.
but that’s only player spending. the total operating income was $21.5mn, but that is before interest and taxes (plus depreciation). the team has to pay $15.9mn each year on bonds alone, which leaves $5.6mn to cover payments to the city for loans, and taxes on the revenue and property. Federal corporate income taxes are 35%, so if they have to pay taxes on all the operating income their federal tax bill alone would be $7.525mn (i’m not sure whether the team gets to deduct debt payments; any corporate accountants in the house?), which would have put them in the hole by nearly $2mn before paying back the loans from the city, local income taxes, local property taxes, or other interest. if they can pay taxes after interest, then they have net income of ~ $3.6mn, or $500k less than Todd Wellemeyer will make this year.
keep in mind that this was 2007, which was a higher year for revenue because of the World Series win the year before (boosting ticket and merch sales). revenue will surely drop significantly this year.
in any case, the team’s owners likely make very little money in income from the team. in fact, they may be running it as a loss. their investment is in building equity in the team and stadium in the hopes of someday selling at a profit. in this, they’ve certainly been very successful. but in terms of year-to-year income, they probably don’t make much at all, if anything.
and relative to other teams in baseball, they are near (or above) the average of payroll as a percentage of revenues, and total expenses as a percentage of revenues. the teams that are ahead of them are (generally) teams with more equity (i.e. their teams are valued higher by Forbes’ measure). so relative to other MLB teams, and relative to the value of the team, the ownership aren’t cheapskates: they’re basically average in nearly all measures, which is line with the (relatively average) value of the team. but in terms of yearly income, the team may actually be losing money running the team.
that doesn’t change anyone’s personal feelings, tho: if you think the product on the field isn’t worth the price of admission, then don’t go. but that’s a personal valuation, and should have nothing to do with a “the owners are cheap bastards” mindset, which is both economically irrational (in the textbook definition) and also untrue.
by kindred on Mar 21, 2009 2:50 PM EDT reply actions 6 recs
Had to rec this
I think a lot of people are under false impressions about how owning a sports team actually works.
i should add...
… in normal times, operating the team at a small loss probably isn’t a big deal because the equity of the team and stadium is off-setting (after adjusting for discount rate and interest). but that assumes that credit is relatively cheap and relatively easy to come by. in the recent past, this has been the case, but in the present financial/economic circumstances credit is hard to get and is expensive, so operating at a loss becomes (relatively) much more costly. which means that if revenue is expected to slip this year and next, it makes even more sense to cut expenditures commensurately. the easiest way to cut costs is through payroll, since expenditures on the stadium, bonds, and taxes are much more sticky in the short-run.
I would add
that if your only two options in the face of a small (<5M?) loss is to either borrow money or to cut payroll then you are probably too poor to own a professional sports team.
Overall, a very good breakdown. I am not an accountant, or anything close to it, but I am pretty sure you only pay taxes on net income. Since taxes and interest are business expenses, you don’t pay any taxes until you have subtracted those items out. I would imagine they are also able to take a depreciation deduction on the physical assets like the stadium.
I don’t make an “owners are cheap bastards” decision, but I do think it is reasonable for a fan to use the same sense of detachment when trying to decide to spend their money on going to the game as any owner would use if he sacrificed the team’s ability to win just to ensure he made an operating profit for the year. An owner who does that is essentially diminishing the “goodwill” value of the franchise.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
well...
… many commenters seem to care more about the payroll than the product on the field. the former concern is irrational, the latter isn’t.
after thinking about it some more: the Cards are an LLC, which means their income is divided among the partners and taxed as individual income. that probably means that they pay taxes BEFORE debt payments, but likely get to deduct interest (but not principle) from those payments.
that also means that DeWitt and co. are sacrificing ~ $5mn of their personal wealth every year to field this team, if these numbers are right. i’m sorry, but that’s not a “small loss”.
as i said before though, there are a few distinctions: 2007 was an exceptionally high revenue year for them, and they earned more from “other receipts” than from “box receipts”. i assume that “other receipts” includes merch sales, media contracts, and stuff like that, which got a huge boost after the WS win. suppose there’s a 10% drop in that category alone from 2007-2009 (reasonable, i think, given the drop-off in merch sales from the bad economy, plus the drop-off from the post-WS peak): that represents $9.8mn in lost revenue. if there’s a 10% drop-off in attendance revenue (which already fell by 120,000 from ‘07 to ’08, and i doubt 3.4mn will make it to the park this year) as well, then that’s another $9.6mn. so we’re looking at something like a $20mn revenue drop from an already deficit position, which brings the total closer to $25mn in the hole. these strike me as pretty conservative estimates; it could easily be worse. the owners are compensating for that loss by decreasing payroll by $8mn. in other words, if this analysis is correct, the owners are actually being generous by not slashing spending more, and by accepting a much greater loss than they otherwise might.
By being an LLC
they can also depreciate just about everything that is tied down at the stadium. If they aren’t doing that, then they really made a killing in 2007 by taking all the new purchases in 2006 as a lump sum deduction.
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 25, 2009 12:55 AM EDT up reply actions
If your math is correct
then the ownership group has been losing their ass in a pretty major way prior to 2008 as operating income was $14M in 2007 and $8M in 2006. In the five years prior to Busch III the combined operating income was a negative $15M.
I guess it is not possible to get a view of the details of the non-player expenses, is it? I am curious what goes into the $63.5M. I wonder if any portion of that expense is payment to the ownership group as some sort of salary? I would be surprised if they don’t do that.
I would still characterize $5M per year in losses as a small loss, especially given the $300M+ in equity held in the franchise. It would be a nice tax write-off.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
Also, isn't the profit made
on the sale of the franchise? I can’t imagine any of the partners are looking to make money on a yearly basis for their individual accounts. That’s not to say they are looking to lose money but I sincerely doubt they are living off the money they bring in from the St. Louis Cardinals in 2009.
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 25, 2009 2:25 PM EDT up reply actions
The Cubs Factor
I think there’s one more thing we may want to consider- the Cubbies spending spree the last couple of years and how it relates to the Cards spending, and other teams in the Central for that matter.
The Cubs have gone all-in to win. That being the case, Cards ownership might be seeing that and essentially “letting them have their chance.” I don’t mean this in a altruistic sense, but rather the climate and cost/benefit possibilities (financially as well as win-losses).
Clearly, for the first time in my life, the Cubs have committed to big money FA’s. It’s also clear that the Cubs could have done that at any point over the last 25 years, at least. Further, I think we can all admit that the Cards can’t win a spending war with the Cubs.
I have little to no problems with DeWitt. As someone else stated above, the Cubs are going to be in some pretty bad shape at some point in the next few seasons.
I think DeWitt and Co. are being wise to not engage the Cubs in spending sprees. I believe that their actions (or lack of actions) is going to leave this franchise in good shape, both financially and in wins-losses.
Revisionist arguments are aggravating.
So, your basic premise, and certainly Strauss’, is that the Cardinals should have continued to spend on payroll as though there were no financial concerns? Or, are you under the belief that the Cardinals’ executives should have been able to predict the depths of the current economic climate when virtually no other corporate executives have? Do you have a crystal ball that indicates to you what the corporate dollars in St. Louis are going to do in terms of advertising budget, sponsored events, and luxury box purchases?
Despite the best information I have read, there is still no definitive end in sight to the current economic downturn. Many workers in this country are continuing to face the uncertainty of future layoffs, reductions in hours, and other reductions in compensation (myself included). So, if you think I’m going to get my panties in a bunch because a baseball organization is suffering the same constraints due to the current market uncertainty, then you are barking up the wrong tree.
The fact is, the team started the offseason (resigning Lohse, pursuing Rodriguez, and pursuing Fuentes) as though the market was going to continue at the level it had the last few years. Then, the economy took a dump, the government turned over significantly in both personnel and philosophy, and corporations have become the ultimate scapegoats for all the country’s woes. Consequently, the Cardinals, and seemingly all of baseball, tightened the purse strings.
In addition, the team is changing its philosophy on how to run an organization. Five years ago, the Cardinals could still compete with the big teams in terms of spending. Since then, the absurd spending sprees conducted by the Red Sox and Yankees, in addition to the significant escalation of spending from the Cubs, the Mariners, the Mets, the Angels, the Dodgers, and the Giants has changed the economic environment in baseball. The Cardinals were always a mid-market team, but fortunately for them, many of the large market teams didn’t spend that way. Imagine the “significant cash” the Cubs were pocketing before their recent payroll surge. This was an unsustainable strategy for the Cardinals to maintain.
Despite all of the gloom-and-doom, it would be absurd for any of us to sit here today and claim this team is uncapable of competing for a division title. They were able to compete for a division title last year despite significant injuries and questions in the lineup, the rotation, and the bullpen. All of those areas have been upgraded to at least some extent; the team has apparently regained their ace in the rotation, they have upgraded the left side of the bullpen, they have a much better situation with the options for closing games, and they have the potential for an offensive upgrade with the return of Duncan and Greene at SS. They are also much closer to having a sustainable, continuous pipeline of talent coming through the farm teams which will position them to better weather the economic climate I would expect to persist through the 2010 season, as well. This was all done with the hypocritical dissent of local writers like Miklasz (who lauds the St. Louis Blues for a similar change in organizational philosophy) trying to whip the local fan base into a frenzy against the front office.
I don’t understand your point about Kennedy, either, as it undermines the basic premise of your argument. Perhaps, if you had said that they have failed to fill a significant question mark at 2B due to payroll constraints, then you would have maintained the integrity of your argument. As it is, releasing Kennedy was an horrible move from a payroll perspective, and it was based solely on what the field management believed was the best baseball decision.
I have serious doubts that they have done the right thing at 2B. I think that is the one spot on the field I would have liked to see addressed, and if Kennedy was not going to be the option then they should have brought somebody else in. That said, there were not significant opportunities for this team to blow its wad on players during the offseason, as you seem to suggest by focusing so strongly on what the team’s payroll is. The problem with payroll is that it is simply a number. Many have made the point on here that it is unreasonable to expect to contend while scrimping on payroll; however, I would like to know what the magic dollar figure or payroll ranking it is that buys a team a World Series? If you can’t come up with one, then why don’t we focus our criticisms (constructively, I hope) on what we are actually missing on the field. I couldn’t care less how much profit this team makes, at the end of the day. I don’t watch them for their budget sheets. I watch baseball because I enjoy the action on the field, and I will admit that I enjoy the product a lot more with young players that have untapped potential. I love to see a winning team, and I hope every year for the team to take a title; however, I can enjoy watching baseball without expecting the team to be a favorite every year.
So what if the payroll is down.
Think back to 2004-2005. When a Cardinals fan was asked who their favorite player is, the answer would be 1 of 3 people, and there wasn’t a clear favorite: Rolen, Edmonds or Pujols. That was something special.
Did you ever think the Cardinals were overspending in previous years in order to keep those players? Do you think the FO felt obligated to lock up Edmonds, Rolen and Pujols? What would have happened if the Cardinals decided that those players were too costly? Do you think Pujols would have signed his previous extension? Would you still be a fan now? The Cardinals put together one of the best cores of any team in baseball and knew that if they kept those 3 players, they would be competitive. As those players aged/injuries set in, the contracts became very expensive and change needed to be made. I honestly believe that the FO kept that core together because of what it meant to the fan base and the success of the team.
I can see another core being built in St. Louis, and when their time comes, I can see the FO opening up the pocketbook to make those players the franchise, Rasmus, Wallace, and Pujols. But I’m tired of hearing people complain that the FO is not spending money just to spend money.
I’m thankful that Fuentes isn’t a Cardinal (I believe bullpen arms should never make more than 5 million/year). I’m glad we didn’t bring Holliday in and have more of a logjammed OF (how ridiculous do the Nationals look with their 6 outfielders). Those are 2 moves where spending doesn’t create a major impact. Upgrading the rotation, getting a 2B, and improving SS would have been the moves to make. The FO took care of SS with Greene. I would have liked the FO to acquire Vazquez from Chicago (really wanted to see how good Vazquez could be under Duncan), but there weren’t any legitimate upgrades at 2B that didn’t have question marks or the players weren’t available (Hudson’s wrist and type A status, cabrera’s type A status, Ellis re-signed, Kelly Johnson “overvalued” by Braves).
Complaining about the payroll before the season begins is pointless. If the Cardinals are 5 games under .500 and this team doesn’t appear to be a winner and the FO does nothing next year, complain. But I would much rather have a team with a lower payroll that outperforms expectations than to have a high payroll team that tanks (ie: seattle mariners 100+ payroll, 100+ losses).
If someone doesn't complain about the payroll before the season
then they get accused of revisionist argument, as seen above.
And saying they have a new core of Pujols and two guys who haven’t played a game above AAA baseball is just hopeful optimism.
by Hardcore Legend on Mar 23, 2009 11:33 AM EDT up reply actions
Weak rebuttal
Read the whole thing, or at least the first two paragraphs, before you characterize my argument. If you believe there is some magic number for payroll that qualifies a team as a contender, then by all means please indicate that to all of us. I would be more than interested in knowing the defining formula that calculates the payroll that guarantees World Series contention. I’m sure the Mariners, Cubs, and Mets would love to hear about it, as well.
The revisionist argument that aggravated me was the point that Azruavatar uses from Strauss’ article to indicate that the team has already sold 2.7M tickets; therefore, the revenue fears were unwarranted. That is revisionist, as it requires information from today in order to substantiate the claim. In addition, there had better be significantly more substantiation to an argument than to simply state that the Cardinals were pocketing boatloads of money when the ticket sales were at 3.4M. How about backing that up with information that indicates that the team’s expenses were equivalent to today’s, and that only the revenues were at an elevated level?
It also would have been easy for the team to have not addressed the glaring issue at LOOGY once Spring Training began. I’m sorry that doesn’t fit Az’s definition of an important move, but it seemed to be one of two, maybe three, serious concerns on this team as Spring Training began. I still think they need to address the 2B situation, and I’m not convinced they have sufficient depth should an injury arise in the starting rotation. I don’t see how they are going to address either of those two issues by blindly throwing money at them, now. I don’t see how you justify saying a team should replace a #5 starter (such as Pineiro) with a #2 starter (such as Lowe or Burnett). I don’t think too many teams have that kind of payroll flexibility; and with Carpenter, Wainwright, Lohse, and Pineiro on the books for significant salaries this year, I guarantee the Cardinals don’t.
I am much more concerned that the organization is overvaluing its prospects to a degree that might be preventing them from helping the team now, while clearing space for future prospects to fill. They have yet to address the logjams present at 1B, 3B, OF, and RP; nor have they addressed the lack of talent at MIF and SP in the organization. This aspect of the organizational development plan concerns me a great deal more than some magic number that so many seem to obsess about.
Wouldn't you be hopeful...
as a fan of your team, that the team would be able to put together a core of players who will play for your team for a long time? That was an example of a core group of players that I could see the FO opening their pocketbooks to make sure they remained Cardinals (as long as production = expectations). If you are looking for a different core, then maybe it’s Wainwright, Pujols, and a PTBNL or two?
It doesn’t matter. I see the FO being able to use sound judgment and determine when the right time is to start paying big dollars to players. Until I see something that falls into the available price range that is a clear cut improvement to the team and the Cardinals didn’t make an effort, then I am content with the current payroll.
There are 3 goals for a baseball organization.

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