This is my first foray into a FanPost as well as my first go around with html tables (with help from a friend). So without further ado I wanted to expand upon CardsWins' FanPost on the projected roster here. I think he is spot on with the roster, including Rasmus not making the team out of spring training. I just don't see where he fits without an injury or a trade.What is interesting is that we have some very advantageous R/L split platoons that we can trot out there depending on the throwing hand of the pitcher. For my lineups I used last years info for all players who played in the majors simply b/c I could sort the hitters by L/R splits. To my knowledge there aren't any L/R split projections. For any minor league players I used their 2009 ZIPS projections here.
The nice thing about the projections is that I only use Freese and Wallace in their more advantageous split, lending to their numbers hopefully being better than the projections. Feel free to debate my lineup order but the basic idea was OBP and speed in the 1 hole, OBP and power in the 2 hole (a Tony favorite), Pujols, Ludwick, OBP/SLG, OBP/SLG, OBP/SLG, pitcher, Greene (trying to hide him?). Wash, rinse, repeat.
I didn't give much preference to alternating L/R due to the fact that each lineup is heavily stacked from a certain side of the plate. Also Mather doesn't start in either of my scenarios, I felt here were better options depending on what I was going for in the lineup. Lineup analysis is from Baseball Musings tool. So here is the RHP lineup:
UPDATE: I replaced all values with 3 year averages from ESPN where I could (Freese, Mather, Wallace all use projections still). Thanks vivaelpujols for the tip. This caused a few of my lineups to switch order. In the second list, against LHP I moved Molina from 2 to 7 and Ryan from 7 to 2. Also, I bumped Glaus up to 4 from 5 and Ludwick back from 4 to 5. Sorry for any confusion in the reply posts below. I don't think Greene will live up to these numbers but it sure would be great.
|Projected Lineup vs. RHP|
|TOTALS RUNS SCORED/GAME||5.498|
|Projected Lineup vs. LHP|
|TOTALS RUNS SCORED/GAME||5.573|
So this is just my take on the lineup but that offense is pretty stout. Duncan may get better, Ludwick may get worse, Greene may get better, anyway you look at it the offense appears to be live and well. The pitchers on the other hand, aside from Wainwright, can't hit worth a lick. The numbers used in the chart are a pretty fair representation based off of last years numbers. The nice part is later in the game we get some pretty good bats off the bench. What say you VEBers? How would you change the lineups?