Community Projections -- Khalil Greene
There are a couple of caveats: first, post your results in comma-delimited fashion – AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG. Please put no spaces between the categories. Hypothetical response (not my personal projection) – 466,116,16,64,.248,.304,.427
The other caveat is that you cannot cheat – everyone’s being held to the honor system here and Kenny Rogers isn’t allowed to compete. Don’t look at what the other projection systems have to say about Greene in ’09 before you make your own projection. You can, and should, look at what Greene’s done in the past to help you. Greene’s b-r page can be found here. Good luck, and let’s have fun with this.
In other news…and this doesn’t really qualify as news but Bill DeWitt’s being called cheap by some Cards’ fans b/c the team didn’t fork over the money the fans thought Brian Fuentes deserved – thus allowing him to sign w/ the Angels. Whatever…
However, the same article does seem to hint at La Russa’s frustration w/ the fact that the team hasn’t yet acquired Matt Holliday and Brian Fuentes saying "maybe we’re not done." (link below) And clearly he’s just as hurt as Miles was by their divorce.
Two things jump out to me when reading Bernie’s column:
- A lot of the "Tony hates young guys" stuff is overblown. There’s a ring of truth in it, IMO, but he’s quoted in the column saying that he wants them (Motte and Perez) to "learn" and "grow, without having the stress of it being all up to them to get that last out, and nothing to protect them." He continues, saying "if you really want to get serious about getting the most out of them for their career, you want to protect those guys this year while they're learning their trade." Now, I don’t happen to agree that these young guys will suffer irreparable harm by having them pitch in the 8th and 9th innings rather than the 6th and 7th or 7th and 8th, but I don’t believe that "Tony hates young players" either.
- The other thing that strikes me about Tony’s disenchantment is that those of us who were concerned that Tony, rather than Mo, was steering the ship need not be. If Tony was steering the ship, Fuentes would have been guaranteed a 3rd year and Miles would’ve gotten a 2 year, $5 M contract to stay in St. Louis. It’s quite possible that Rasmus would’ve been traded in a deal for Matt Holliday as well. By and large, Mo’s done a good job. The team’s getting younger and, I think, better (provided we can find any damned pitching) and there has been, and will continue to be, a legitimate commitment to playing the young guys. Good for him.
Let’s hear it on Khalil Greene and I’ll have the results together either tomorrow or when I reappear (on the front page, anyway….My vacation is over.) Thursday.
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187 comments
Comments
Pretty decent contract year for K-Bot
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
490,142,18,76,.290,.325,.450
hecanthithecanthithecanthithecanthit
by Alxfritz on
Jan 3, 2009 11:08 AM EST
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the axis of non-evil
I totally agree with your point that we may now conclude that TLR is not totally running the ship. In fact, I sense a nice balance of power/influence between DeWitt, TLR and Mo.
Great organizations have a great axis of Owner/GM/Mgr talent, consistency and unity. We got it and should be happy. We had for awhile with Walt and now its back. Even with Luhnow in the picture.
I do not believe DeWitt is cheap. I do not believe Mo is sitting on his hands. I no longer believe TLR runs the show.
As for those who believe otherwise……its called running a business sensibly on a budget. That always wins in the long run.
by Hinkster on
Jan 3, 2009 11:09 AM EST
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You so burned Kenny Rogers
for that reason alone, I will participate
515,151, 20, 81,.293 .320,.485
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
by mattyfrommo on
Jan 3, 2009 11:25 AM EST
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You'll participate... but not follow the rules.
Be your own man!
515,151,20,81,.293 .320,.485
hecanthithecanthithecanthithecanthit
by Alxfritz on
Jan 3, 2009 11:33 AM EST
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damn spaces!
when will I learn these comma-delimit rules?!
thanks for helping me out there! I don’t even have the “had too many franklins” excuse this time, so I will blame it on the big breakfast (it can’t really be my own fault for never really paying attention, can it?)!
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
by mattyfrommo on
Jan 3, 2009 11:51 AM EST
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why you gotta throw McDonald's under the bus?
what’d they ever do to you except provide you with delicious fast food?
I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!
by gdm426 on
Jan 3, 2009 2:21 PM EST
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big breakfast, not Big Breakfast
I can’t stand the eggs at that place, I got up and made my own breakfast. It was even good! Sometimes I surprise myself.
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
by mattyfrommo on
Jan 3, 2009 2:41 PM EST
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The bias in me hears
TLR says:
“I want them to learn and grow. Putting them in that high stress situation late in the game could do long term damage to their careers.”
What I hear:
“This is my last year damnit and if you stick me with these kids in a role I INVENTED, I’m going to write you a sternly worded letter.”
by Hardcore Legend on
Jan 3, 2009 11:40 AM EST
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i don't hear this is my last year part, i hear
“i’m gonna stick around for a few more years so you better give me what i want or i’m gonna sit in the corner & hold my breath till you do.”
i don’t get the hand wringing over Mini Me. i get Tony’s because he’s pissed one of his toys was taken away, but the fans reaction is way overblown. if they are this pissed off a bench player was let go, it reinforces my belief they’ll want to hang MO from the Arch if he dare trades Ankiel. Mini Me is below average in every aspect of the game except girt & intangibles. you know the ones, like he could pitch the last inning of a 22-1 blow out & strike out the side.
fact is the guy had a career year thanks to Tony. if he played for any other manager he’d never get half the chances Tony gave him. and for that he owes Tony a lot of the thanks for his new deal. and we fans can finally sleep a little better at night knowing he’ll never again drive us batcrapcrazy by being our starting SS.
I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!
by gdm426 on
Jan 3, 2009 2:34 PM EST
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he's a fan favorite
because he’s got hustle! which doesn’t really directly convert to winning
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 3, 2009 2:46 PM EST
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There always seems to be one of these guys around.
From Oquendo to Stubby Clapp to Rex Hudler to Joe McEwing to Brendan Ryan to Aaron Miles. There will be another, and fans will be in an uproar when he is jettisoned, as well. I can’t believe the Cubs were willing to pay him $4.9M over two years. Good luck with that ChiTown. It’s that kind of keen talent evaluation that leads to 100 years of ineptitude.
by etp_stl on
Jan 3, 2009 2:59 PM EST
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man
rex hudler was fun to watch
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 3, 2009 4:56 PM EST
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The Hurricane!
There was Gibson in the Reds' dugout, visibly manhandling about three Reds and tossing them bodily out of the dugout and onto the field...He was the toughest athlete mentally I ever saw, and the greatest competitor. JACK BUCK
by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on
Jan 3, 2009 4:58 PM EST
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wtf
birdland quoted grit as having received a last day offer form the cards for 2 years and almost the same money as the cubs. just more ammo for those who think mo is a bit rudderless.
"No matter where you go, there you are" Buckeroo Bonzai Across the 8th Dimension
by sportsman on
Jan 3, 2009 8:15 PM EST
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Dodged a bullet there
Stat Whore
by FlimtotheFlam on
Jan 3, 2009 9:37 PM EST
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Almost
$1 million less. I’m hoping Mo intentionally bid a little too low.
by spants on
Jan 4, 2009 1:36 AM EST
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sounds like that's his style
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 4, 2009 1:50 AM EST
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AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
450,120,15,60,.267,.308,.425
by azruavatar on
Jan 3, 2009 11:41 AM EST
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good damage control by tlr
Glad to see him stand by miles, so that he will put the cards in a good light
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
525,145,31,92,.276,.320,.525
Very optimistic I know….but its a contract year, he’s had a lot of time off, and the religion he is puts a lot on things being focused and centered. Maybe this will be a good fit and everything will click for him (or maybe not, and it could look more like 450,100,11,55,.222,.290,.375)
Is it weird that I would rather the payroll be more like the Marlins than the Yankees?
by ForesterShane on
Jan 3, 2009 11:46 AM EST
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put me down for
540,138,19,60,.256,.325,.440
by ecaw1123 on
Jan 3, 2009 11:47 AM EST
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KG
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
500,124,17,65,.248,.295,.415
The rotoworld sidebar RE Carp closing scares me. If he can pitch, he should start.
The Godfather himself has decided to grace us with his presence. This is his damn house. He sleeps 20 feet away.
by thegodfather on
Jan 3, 2009 11:49 AM EST
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AVG = H / AB right?
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
511,139,14,63,.272,.312,.435
by ubeddie on
Jan 3, 2009 11:51 AM EST
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Khalil Greene conservative estimate...
540, 225, 65, 125, .345, .470, .800.
Gold Glove, All star game MVP, WS MVP, Comeback player of the year
by rva on
Jan 3, 2009 11:51 AM EST
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Watch spacing
The Godfather himself has decided to grace us with his presence. This is his damn house. He sleeps 20 feet away.
by thegodfather on
Jan 3, 2009 11:52 AM EST
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some people!
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
by mattyfrommo on
Jan 3, 2009 11:53 AM EST
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indeed
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
by mattyfrommo on
Jan 3, 2009 12:11 PM EST
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Lol
Big breakfast?
The Godfather himself has decided to grace us with his presence. This is his damn house. He sleeps 20 feet away.
by thegodfather on
Jan 3, 2009 11:59 AM EST
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sorry.
It was a joke post anyway if you look at the numbers
by rva on
Jan 3, 2009 11:57 AM EST
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Haha
Right, I should have caught that. Suppose it’s better you didn’t space correctly then.
The Godfather himself has decided to grace us with his presence. This is his damn house. He sleeps 20 feet away.
by thegodfather on
Jan 3, 2009 11:59 AM EST
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Wow
I’m shocked to see some pretty optimistic projections. This guy has hit over .270 ONCE in his career, is there any specific reason to think he will hit .290? That would be awesome though…
The Godfather himself has decided to grace us with his presence. This is his damn house. He sleeps 20 feet away.
by thegodfather on
Jan 3, 2009 11:52 AM EST
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nothing but the stars lining up right...
you know, intangibles.
hecanthithecanthithecanthithecanthit
by Alxfritz on
Jan 3, 2009 12:09 PM EST
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my try
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
508,129,16,63,.255,.315,.441
by nmstar on
Jan 3, 2009 12:03 PM EST
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129/508 = .2539, which is a .254 BA, not .255
There was Gibson in the Reds' dugout, visibly manhandling about three Reds and tossing them bodily out of the dugout and onto the field...He was the toughest athlete mentally I ever saw, and the greatest competitor. JACK BUCK
by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on
Jan 3, 2009 4:43 PM EST
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man
that guy was way off!
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 4, 2009 1:54 AM EST
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for real this time...
500,140,18,66,.280,.322,479
by rva on
Jan 3, 2009 12:33 PM EST
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throwing it out there
495,130,15,70,.250,.310,.432
i think allowing me to do this will mess up the projections for everyone, oh well
i take your signatures and use them as away messages
by ihavebadknees on
Jan 3, 2009 12:39 PM EST
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Some people need calculators
130/495 = a .263 BA, not .250
There was Gibson in the Reds' dugout, visibly manhandling about three Reds and tossing them bodily out of the dugout and onto the field...He was the toughest athlete mentally I ever saw, and the greatest competitor. JACK BUCK
by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on
Jan 3, 2009 4:44 PM EST
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Greene
510,130,15,70,.255,.310,.435
Sign someone who can pitch, then let this team play.
by IL and StL Fan on
Jan 3, 2009 12:40 PM EST
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Here we go
426,115,20,72,.271,.325,.491
by Harknights on
Jan 3, 2009 12:40 PM EST
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I'll give it a shot.
475,123,18,75,.260,.305,.430
by etp_stl on
Jan 3, 2009 12:49 PM EST
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Apparently I looked too quickly.
Our self-appointed arithmetic teacher is correct. I must have gotten a little excited in my rounding. My actual line should be:
475,123,18,75,.259,.305,.430
My bad. If some would prefer, then it is really .25894736842105263157894736842105. (Found my calculator for ya)
by etp_stl on
Jan 3, 2009 6:38 PM EST
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A little help from leaving PETCO, but not much
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
435,104,15,72,.240,.305,.469
by lightbulb on
Jan 3, 2009 12:54 PM EST
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Oh, why not
480,102,16,70,.266,.299,.414
Monta! Montaye! Montae!
by Baked Biedrins on
Jan 3, 2009 1:03 PM EST
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Sheesh. These last 4 attempts are all off on BA!!!
Harknights – should be .270
etp_stl – should be .259
lightbulb – should be .239, unless you always round up when even a little bit over
Baked Biedrins – way off. should be .213
There was Gibson in the Reds' dugout, visibly manhandling about three Reds and tossing them bodily out of the dugout and onto the field...He was the toughest athlete mentally I ever saw, and the greatest competitor. JACK BUCK
by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on
Jan 3, 2009 4:50 PM EST
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Better in a contract year
549, 153, 14, 68, .279, .341, .423
by stltxfan on
Jan 3, 2009 1:06 PM EST
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spaces!
hecanthithecanthithecanthithecanthit
by Alxfritz on
Jan 3, 2009 1:43 PM EST
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loud noises!
I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!
by gdm426 on
Jan 3, 2009 2:23 PM EST
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read the post first!
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 3, 2009 2:49 PM EST
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KG's projections
Anyone else hear think of Kevin Garnett when they hear KG? I may have to switch to calling him K-Bot.
I have some projections for Khalil from when I helped thegodfather do his post. But I’ll be a bit more optimistic for the guy with this:
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
494,131,17,68,.265,.312,.424
Patiently awaiting the day Colby Rasmus does this: .275/.381/.551/.932, 29HR, in St. Louis...
by RunninRedbird on
Jan 3, 2009 1:12 PM EST
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AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG.
515,131,19,66,.254,.305,.433
Tony’s comments about Miles were both interesting and terrifying…First, he seems to think the team can’t survive without Scrapford von AaronMiles. But, it is kind of nice of him to say those things, considering that he’s been considered by many to be, well, an unfeeling baseball cyborg or something.
"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.
by redbirdnation8206 on
Jan 3, 2009 1:20 PM EST
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Wait
Are you saying he’s not? ;)
The Godfather himself has decided to grace us with his presence. This is his damn house. He sleeps 20 feet away.
by thegodfather on
Jan 3, 2009 1:22 PM EST
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I haven't ruled it out

"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.
by redbirdnation8206 on
Jan 3, 2009 1:27 PM EST
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evil robots!
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 3, 2009 2:51 PM EST
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This is NOT azru!
The Machines are the enemies of Nice Robots everywhere.
"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.
by redbirdnation8206 on
Jan 3, 2009 2:53 PM EST
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Khalil Greene projection
475,125,22,79,.263,.295,.430
by bigchieftootiemontana on
Jan 3, 2009 1:25 PM EST
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Khalilbot
520,132,13,67,.253, .308,.438
"Great Scott!" -- Doc Brown
by jacksonian on
Jan 3, 2009 1:28 PM EST
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Khalil Greene 2009 projection
429,110,14,67,.256,.310,.425
by block writer on
Jan 3, 2009 1:31 PM EST
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440,115,19,72,.261,.308,.470
I think his SGL gets a boost getting out of petco and facing the weaker central rotations. Facing the Reds, Pirates, Brewers (without sheets and CC) and Astros starters should help. Overall though, I still think he strikes out a lot, just hits a few more HRs and 2Bs. This kind of line will keep me happy though as long as his defense is solid.
by stickman179 on
Jan 3, 2009 1:57 PM EST
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The Reds have a weak rotation?
by Hardcore Legend on
Jan 3, 2009 2:11 PM EST
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potentially weak
potentially strong, big ?
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 3, 2009 2:52 PM EST
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weak central rotations
The point isn’t just about the Reds, but yes their rotation is weak, last year only 1 starter, Volquez had and ERA+ of over 100. Comparing the central to the west, leaving out the cardinals and padres, Greene’s past and future teams, last year the central had 9 starters post an ERA+ of 100 or better while starting 20 games. 9 pitchers across 5 teams. Also 4 of those were on the cubs. Where as the West saw 12 pitchers post ERA+ of 100 or better across 4 teams. Simply speaking he was facing much better pitching more often in the west. His performance should be helped by the lesser competition. So when he closes his eyes and swings really hard, there is going to be an increased opportunity to actually hit the ball.
by stickman179 on
Jan 3, 2009 6:23 PM EST
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KG Projection
540,134,19,74,.250,.300,.428
by Mcgeesabeast on
Jan 3, 2009 2:14 PM EST
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480,154,22,80,285,328,480
I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!
by gdm426 on
Jan 3, 2009 2:18 PM EST
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hopefully the lack of periods will not mess that up
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 3, 2009 2:53 PM EST
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but the lack of a calculator might
154/480 = .321, not .285
There was Gibson in the Reds' dugout, visibly manhandling about three Reds and tossing them bodily out of the dugout and onto the field...He was the toughest athlete mentally I ever saw, and the greatest competitor. JACK BUCK
by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on
Jan 3, 2009 4:54 PM EST
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oops
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 3, 2009 4:58 PM EST
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i was drunk
that’s my story & i’m sticking to it
I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!
by gdm426 on
Jan 3, 2009 7:15 PM EST
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Thats funny
My dad said the same thing when I was a kid when I asked him where I came from
Stat Whore
by FlimtotheFlam on
Jan 3, 2009 7:35 PM EST
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lol
One Century down, next on its way. Cardinals '09 : Preserving the Cubs tradition.
by AdjustedExpectations on
Jan 4, 2009 1:53 AM EST
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Reminds me of
the Calvin and Hobbes strip where Calvin asks his dad where he comes from, and the dad replies “Oh, you were a Blue-Light Special”.
There was Gibson in the Reds' dugout, visibly manhandling about three Reds and tossing them bodily out of the dugout and onto the field...He was the toughest athlete mentally I ever saw, and the greatest competitor. JACK BUCK
by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on
Jan 7, 2009 12:41 AM EST
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I give up.
Too many errors in the BA throughout this post, it’s too hard being a math major and anal-retentive.
There was Gibson in the Reds' dugout, visibly manhandling about three Reds and tossing them bodily out of the dugout and onto the field...He was the toughest athlete mentally I ever saw, and the greatest competitor. JACK BUCK
by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on
Jan 3, 2009 4:55 PM EST
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didn't think of doing that when i woke up
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 3, 2009 4:58 PM EST
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.273
gotta give ISGIGRA a bit of a break
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
by mattyfrommo on
Jan 3, 2009 5:42 PM EST
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You've been worrying about a non-problem.
The goal is Delphi-method prediction of what KG will be like. Errors in the last significant figure aren’t going to affect that in the slightest.
A bigger problem is that some people seem to have been predicting “plate appearances” rather than “at-bats.” (At least I assume that’s why the one with the apparent .213 BA looks so weird.) Frankly, plate appearances may be the more useful thing to tabulate, because it’ll do better at showing how often KG is on the field, which is something we care about. However, it’s not what we were asked for.
by StanTheManFan on
Jan 4, 2009 10:20 AM EST
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big year
479,127,23,75,0.265,0.326,0.491
W/2 triples, 35 doubles, 7 HBP and 36 walks. Book it ;)
He’s a rather extreme fly ball hitter, so up to about 10 points of batting average (20 OPS points) may depend on how many sac fly opportunities he gets.
still cannot accept that Rachael was Chani.
by SleepyCA on
Jan 3, 2009 2:27 PM EST
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Greene....
525,134,20,82,.262,.312,.450
by The MooCow on
Jan 3, 2009 2:32 PM EST
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.255
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
by mattyfrommo on
Jan 3, 2009 5:43 PM EST
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Decent enough year to get good FA money
510,135,19,70,.265,.330,.450
by TheBirds on
Jan 3, 2009 2:45 PM EST
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Greene....
570, 150, 23, 73, .263, .310, .468
by CrimsonBirdFan on
Jan 3, 2009 2:47 PM EST
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AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG.
400,100,15,65,.250,.302,.433.
by stlfan on
Jan 3, 2009 2:52 PM EST
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I think you picked that for the ease of calculating BA...good idea!
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
by mattyfrommo on
Jan 3, 2009 5:45 PM EST
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Khalil
ends up liking and totally being ready for STL
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
555,123,19,89,.257,.298,.454
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 3, 2009 2:56 PM EST
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make that 143 hits
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 3, 2009 4:59 PM EST
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Dude, Spicoli
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
500, 120, 18, 70, .240, .290, .435
Hyperventilating prospect geek/If anyone will be doing the overrating of these Faberge' eggs, it will be me
Future Redbirds
by erik on
Jan 3, 2009 3:08 PM EST
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Spaces!
hecanthithecanthithecanthithecanthit
by Alxfritz on
Jan 3, 2009 3:13 PM EST
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darn it
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
500,120,18,70,.240,.290,.435
Hyperventilating prospect geek/If anyone will be doing the overrating of these Faberge' eggs, it will be me
Future Redbirds
by erik on
Jan 3, 2009 4:13 PM EST
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Khalil will be real
551,149,23,81,.270,.318.,484
Before anybody scoffs at me, all I did was take his career road numbers and extrapolate them out to 600 PAs. Don’t know if that is a realistic assumption or not, but I need something to feel positive about.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
by giveml on
Jan 3, 2009 3:10 PM EST
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stlcardinals.com
it’s official: front story says “And just as they did with Lohse, the Cards are still looking to add some depth to their starting rotation before the 2009 season starts.”
last I heard they weren’t really looking for a starter…
also, this is encouraging:
"Now, the Cardinals are looking for a closer and for an additional starting pitcher. They’d also be happy to find a way to make room for top prospect Colby Rasmus in the outfield — if that dovetails with improving the team elsewhere. "
sounds reasonable
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 3, 2009 3:14 PM EST
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good for a ss
495,128,19,65,.259,.326,.434
by mateodh on
Jan 3, 2009 3:23 PM EST
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Projections for Khalil (or shall I say Kal-El?)
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
485,124,17,70,.256,.317,.440
by wizardofozzie on
Jan 3, 2009 3:26 PM EST
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More optimistic than with a lot of these
490,130,18,62,.265,.325,.445
Interesting how many of these predictions are clustering right around these numbers.
by StanTheManFan on
Jan 3, 2009 3:29 PM EST
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501,137,23,82,.272,.315,.464
Big year from the hippie. Doesn’t anybody else think he will destroy once he gets out of San Diego and gets to routinely face the Reds and the Pirates?
by vivaelpujols on
Jan 3, 2009 3:48 PM EST
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plus he’ll get to play against the padres around six times.
"I'm as nauseous as I've ever been. I have a terrible headache. My head is pounding. I feel like throwing up and I'm having trouble swallowing. And the beauty of it is, you want to feel like this every day." - Tony LaRussa
by adiueordie on
Jan 3, 2009 3:57 PM EST
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.273....close
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
by mattyfrommo on
Jan 3, 2009 5:51 PM EST
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projection
510,140,22,74,.275,.319,.471
pretty optimistic…although eerily similar to the prediction right above me. predicting a good year away from petco and in a contract year.
by theWizard on
Jan 3, 2009 4:02 PM EST
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some tasty waves and a cool buzz
460,116,16,58,.252,.290,.420
"I'm as nauseous as I've ever been. I have a terrible headache. My head is pounding. I feel like throwing up and I'm having trouble swallowing. And the beauty of it is, you want to feel like this every day." - Tony LaRussa
by adiueordie on
Jan 3, 2009 4:10 PM EST
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K-Bot Projectionaries
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
512,117,21,59,.249,.299,.444,
by mojowo11 on
Jan 3, 2009 4:12 PM EST
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Ok,
this one’s too egregious, either subtract 20 points from BA or add 10 hits while subtracting one or two AB.
There was Gibson in the Reds' dugout, visibly manhandling about three Reds and tossing them bodily out of the dugout and onto the field...He was the toughest athlete mentally I ever saw, and the greatest competitor. JACK BUCK
by ISawGodInGibby'sRightArm on
Jan 3, 2009 5:52 PM EST
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Here goes nothin
531,142,17,71,.267,.311,.461
by iwannarock24 on
Jan 3, 2009 4:15 PM EST
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First time projection.....
I know, shocking lets give this a shot…..
480,120,15,60,.250,.270,.430
by cyko42 on
Jan 3, 2009 4:18 PM EST
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ok
455,130,18,51,.286,.312,.426
"All baseball fans can be divided into two groups: those who come to batting practice and the others. Only those in the first category have much chance of amounting to anything."--Thomas Boswell
by albrtfn on
Jan 3, 2009 4:19 PM EST
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more importantly
what jersey number will he wear?
i need to get my custom spicoli jersey made soon.

"I'm as nauseous as I've ever been. I have a terrible headache. My head is pounding. I feel like throwing up and I'm having trouble swallowing. And the beauty of it is, you want to feel like this every day." - Tony LaRussa
by adiueordie on
Jan 3, 2009 4:36 PM EST
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awesome
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 3, 2009 5:01 PM EST
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AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
510,129,22,79,.253,.304,.441
by stl522 on
Jan 3, 2009 5:08 PM EST
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revision, i forgot RBI
533,140,19,78,.263,.307,.481
by mdarshan on
Jan 3, 2009 5:14 PM EST
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career average year
500,126,15,65,.252,.305,.430
by DCGreg on
Jan 3, 2009 5:13 PM EST
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Yaay! Community Projections are here! Community Projections are here!
Khalil-bot v2.0.0.9:
474,116,17,64,0.241,0.294,0.415
There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who understand binary, and those who don't.
by Mr Clean on
Jan 3, 2009 5:49 PM EST
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my guess
490,131,18,66,.263,.302,.470
"Baseball is like Church, many attend, few understand" - Wes Westrum
by scoot on
Jan 3, 2009 6:00 PM EST
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Hoping he can finally crack .800 OPS (although in my projection he doesn't quite make it...)
500,129,23,80,.258,.318,.453
by BTown Birds fan on
Jan 3, 2009 6:12 PM EST
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Projections
First time poster so please take this with the desired intention…
If you have PA’s and Hits, isn’t it redundant to project a BA? Maybe you extrapolate the BA or the hits so you only have one or the other and it doesn’t foul up your projections?
510,129,20,70,.253,.304,.441
by OldieWan on
Jan 3, 2009 6:20 PM EST
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Yes, and, yet, no
With the projections asked for (AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG) projecting AB,H will give you AVG so it is redundant. However, we are not projecting PA,BB,HBP,2B, or 3B so you have to do some figuring to come up with OBP and SLG.
by ArkansasTravs on
Jan 3, 2009 8:08 PM EST
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Ah, that makes sense. Thanks for clearing it up. I grew up in the Little Rock area…you like the new stadium there?
by OldieWan on
Jan 3, 2009 10:29 PM EST
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It looks nice from the interstate
My username is a tribute to the ‘old’ Travs, when they were the Cards’ AA affiliate. Now I don’t root against the current Travelers club (except when they play Springfield), but I’ve not been to the new stadium yet. I think, out of protest, I won’t go until Bill Valentine is no longer with the club.(joking, kind of)
by ArkansasTravs on
Jan 6, 2009 1:50 PM EST
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Spicoli Rules!!!
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
550,151,27,82,.270,.327,.473
DUDE!!! seeing how spicoli wont have the same primo waves and kind bud to be rippin, i think he may find a little love for baseball again. right on brah!
http://i120.photobucket.com/albums/o189/nikita1223/157_spicoli_bong.gif
Why don't we get glausy eyed and put back some franklin's....
by punksoulbrutha on
Jan 3, 2009 6:33 PM EST
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Baseball news, sort of, in January
So, me and the wife went to Battlefield Mall in Springfield today to do a little post Christmas shopping. After striking out and heading for the door, a large black man caught my eye. Not because I am racist and fear large black men, but because this large black man looked very familiar. I said to the wife, “thats Ryan Howard!” She answers, “Who?” I say, “I swear to God, that was Ryan Howard.” She replies, “Doesn’t he play basketball? No, wait football.” I give her the look and grumble, “Baseball.” So, she decides she would like to see Mr. Howard and we reverse field and head his direction. After he stops off in Foot Locker, I head toward a buddy who works at the Sprint kiosk and tell him that Ryan Howard is behind us in Foot Locker. He says “No way!” But looks over my shoulder anyway and confirms, “holy crap, that is Ryan Howard.”
By this time the wife decides that she would like a picture with him. So, I approach. The Foot Locker associate/ NBA referee is helping Mr. Howard and a child (I presume his son) pick out some shoes. When the associate leaves to retrieve a pair of very ugly shoes for the kid, I take the opportunity to ask for the picture. I say, “excuse me, Mr. Howard, my wife would like a picture with you.” He replies, “Not today man, I’m busy shopping.” Which was fine with me, because I’m not real big on disturbing people like this when they are busy, so I engage him in a little small talk about the WS rings and we leave him to be.
AfterI walked out of the store, the four or five teenage boys who had been standing about 10 feet away from him saying, “I’m about to faint, thats Ryan Howard!” finally got up the courage (probably from my encounter) to ask for autographs, which he obliged.
I have to say this was an enjoyable encounter, one that I won’t forget for awhile. I just wish I had the photo to prove it. But, either way, I found him to be a very nice man, someone StL should definitely be proud to say is a son of the city.
"Baseball is like Church, many attend, few understand" - Wes Westrum
by scoot on
Jan 3, 2009 6:41 PM EST
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I had the pleasure of meeting him before he became Ryan Howard
He was still a AAAer stuck behind Jim Thome. I’m a tall, fairly strong dude and I felt like a pipsqueak. I think he only had one inch and about 30 pounds on me, but I felt much much smaller. He’s a very kind and funny fellow. Even after he won that MVP award that Albert should have won, I couldn’t get too mad.
"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.
by redbirdnation8206 on
Jan 3, 2009 6:51 PM EST
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what was he doing in Springfield? i thought he lived in or around the STL?
i knew he went to college down there but had no idea he lived there. very cool story scoot. Springfield is a cool area, i love it down there. i’ve been Battlefield many times, but only once on a Saturday. what on earth made you go there on a Saturday? i’ll have to pass this along to my cousins who live down there.
I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!
by gdm426 on
Jan 3, 2009 7:21 PM EST
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I dont know
What he was doing in Springfield. I’m pretty sure, as you say, he lives in StL still. He had a kid with him, a boy around 7 or 8. I dont know if he is married, or if this was possibly a child from a relationship he had when he was going to school at MSU.
As far as why I was shopping on Sat, the wife thought it would be a good idea to go spend the gift cards we got for christmas. Turns out she was right, but not for the shopping.
"Baseball is like Church, many attend, few understand" - Wes Westrum
by scoot on
Jan 3, 2009 9:37 PM EST
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More Pessimistic Projection
Multiply 2008 stats by .67, multiply 2007 stats by .33, and add together:
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
462, 106, 15, 58, .229, .270, .381
This may seem pessimistic, but this is a player who over the past two years has had 4.2 strikeouts for every walk he has drawn. And he’s getting worse:
Year K/W Ratio
2006 2.23
2007 4
2008 4.55
His main problem as a hitter has not been playing in Petco. He is simply way too hacktastic to consistently be a productive hitter, unless he turns that ratio around. Mo has been a pretty good judge of talent, though, so hopefully he tops that above line.
by tarakas on
Jan 3, 2009 7:39 PM EST
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No spaces, please
"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.
by redbirdnation8206 on
Jan 3, 2009 7:47 PM EST
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just so I understand better
my understanding of Petco is that it is very spacious (e.g. CF was too big for the aging Edmonds to patrol)… so why wouldn’t that BENEFIT a hacker? If indeed hackers tend to have odd slices and flares off the bat, why wouldn’t a spacious OF be good?
by the Tewk on
Jan 4, 2009 3:05 PM EST
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he's an extreme line drive / fly ball hitter (68.2% in 2008, 66.3% career)
and petco is death to fly balls and liners. Cuts doubles by 12, hr’s by 14, reduces the number of line drives and causes 5% more line drives to be caught for outs. Also causes 16% more foul fly balls to be outs. That alone is huge, and the combination of factors is tremendous.
It also causes 8 percent more strikeouts than the average park. For a guy who strikes out a lot and hits fly balls when he doesn’t strike out, Petco must feel like the world’s largest coffin.
still cannot accept that Rachael was Chani.
by SleepyCA on
Jan 6, 2009 1:33 AM EST
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I wonder what that does to an hitter's confidence.
It seems like year after year of watching batted balls that should go for extra-base hits get caught for outs would make an hitter question everything about his swing and approach, wouldn’t it?
by etp_stl on
Jan 6, 2009 5:24 PM EST
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As far as Bernie's Column Goes...
DeWitt says the Cardinals are financially hampered because they privately financed their stadium? Is this the same stadium DeWitt said the Cardinals needed to stay financially competitive?
by tarakas on
Jan 3, 2009 7:43 PM EST
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refinance today!!
save a pot load of money!!
"No matter where you go, there you are" Buckeroo Bonzai Across the 8th Dimension
by sportsman on
Jan 3, 2009 8:20 PM EST
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I thought the state of MO
had to pay a lot for that stadium?
this line is dedicated to '09
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jan 4, 2009 2:00 AM EST
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they were supposed to use around 40M of state funds for the infrastructure around the ballpark
I think most of that was used for the work done on Interstate 55(?) right off the stadium. I am sure someone has the details.
It was mostly paid for with private bonds, at least that is what I remember when they rolled out the plans for it.
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
by mattyfrommo on
Jan 4, 2009 2:17 AM EST
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They are also getting some tax breaks
To offset paying back the bonds (which are like $16 million a year). Basically eliminating the tax for tickets (3.5 million or so).
Felipe Lopez - next year's Joel Pineiro (on another team, thank you Mo!)
by DiscoJer on
Jan 4, 2009 5:17 AM EST
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Actually, ...
I found this article from a google search. It explains the break-down of the stadium financing.
http://www.fieldofschemes.com/news/archives/000324.html
The short gist is that the Cardinals put up $90M in cash and $200M in private bonds that they must repay. The state gave $42.7M, the county gave a $45M loan, and the city provided $3.4M/year by eliminating a tax.
So, no, the state did not pay a significant portion of the #387M stadium that was built.
by etp_stl on
Jan 4, 2009 1:11 PM EST
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K-bot
(I like that name, either that or Spicoli)
525,138,17,75,.263,.318,.429
That’s w/ 30 2B, 3 3B, and I just used his career (or close to it) difference between BA and OBP.
by ArkansasTravs on
Jan 3, 2009 8:13 PM EST
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he looks almost exactly like spicoli.
plus i’ve been calling him that for years anyway.
"I'm as nauseous as I've ever been. I have a terrible headache. My head is pounding. I feel like throwing up and I'm having trouble swallowing. And the beauty of it is, you want to feel like this every day." - Tony LaRussa
by adiueordie on
Jan 4, 2009 3:25 AM EST
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Khalil
542,159,23,86,.287,.341,.498
Optimistic, eh?
by njnick on
Jan 3, 2009 8:50 PM EST
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May 2009 bring health, patience and power:
564,148,29,88,.262,.328,491
by chicagocardfan on
Jan 3, 2009 9:32 PM EST
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Missouri Rock Opera
510,131,17,76,.257,.330,.485
I have discovered in twenty years of moving around a ball park, that the knowledge of the game is usually in inverse proportion to the price of the seats. ~Bill Veeck
by bukowski on
Jan 3, 2009 10:35 PM EST
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K. Greene
547,139,19,79,.255,.297,.440
by Youneverknow on
Jan 3, 2009 11:15 PM EST
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Hot start, mid-season injury, lagging finish
487,139,21,81,.285,.332,431
by guayzimi on
Jan 3, 2009 11:18 PM EST
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Because he is a free agent next year
I’m optimistic.
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
450, 130, 15, 80, .288, .340, .450
by JWO on
Jan 3, 2009 11:25 PM EST
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Alright, I got
515,142,22,78,.272,.345,.480
That’s AB, H, HR, RBI, AVG, OBP, SLG.
And stellar defense, Go Cards.
He winds up for the pitch, it's a SCREWBALL!
by Mr.Game7 on
Jan 3, 2009 11:31 PM EST
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greene
510,140,18,70,.275,.340,.440
Pujols is the greatest Cardinal in my lifetime.
by bigcardsfan5 on
Jan 4, 2009 12:35 AM EST
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Grenne
498,129,16,65,.259,.319,.426
I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. I watched C-beams glitter in the dark near the Tannhauser gate. All those moments will be lost in time... like tears in rain... Time to die.
by lunchboxbomb on
Jan 4, 2009 12:50 AM EST
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So I got my batting average right
But can’t spell Greene :/
I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. I watched C-beams glitter in the dark near the Tannhauser gate. All those moments will be lost in time... like tears in rain... Time to die.
by lunchboxbomb on
Jan 4, 2009 12:50 AM EST
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this has been up on USA Today's main baseball page for a few days now
sorry, this has. a lot of quotes i’ve seen this week have come out of that article but i haven’t actually seen anyone link it yet, so if you did, dan, chuck or AZ just blow this sucker up.
I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!
by gdm426 on
Jan 4, 2009 12:58 AM EST
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Greene
489,127,16,62,.260,.292,.470
Stat Whore
by FlimtotheFlam on
Jan 4, 2009 1:00 AM EST
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Optimistic but plausible
492, 130,19,75,264,333,468
even if his defense is just average with this offensive output would be an amazing thing for this lineup…
"Baseball is dull only to dull minds." - Red Barber
by nomar34 on
Jan 4, 2009 1:01 AM EST
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Forgot the damn decimals
492, 130,19,75,.264,.333,.468
"Baseball is dull only to dull minds." - Red Barber
by nomar34 on
Jan 4, 2009 1:04 AM EST
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Khalil
600,158,22,68,.263,.300,.467
Under the assumption we don’t obtain a reliable backup SS. TLR like to spread around the ABs
by Beware the Molinas on
Jan 4, 2009 1:14 AM EST
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479,127,28,86,.265,.363,.476
It’s a lot like swinging in the dark since there’s no true idea where in the lineup he’ll primarily be, but I’m thinking 6th. So should see plenty of RBI chances you’d think.
I’ll stay a little lower on the AB since this is a Tony team afterall.
One Century down, next on its way. Cardinals '09 : Preserving the Cubs tradition.
by AdjustedExpectations on
Jan 4, 2009 2:04 AM EST
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.363 OBP?
what is he, Troy Glaus?
by vivaelpujols on
Jan 4, 2009 2:37 AM EST
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I actually meant .336, but I’ll keep it.
Color me optimistic with KG in a new home.
One Century down, next on its way. Cardinals '09 : Preserving the Cubs tradition.
by AdjustedExpectations on
Jan 4, 2009 3:39 AM EST
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I would literally crap myself if he did that...
…But I would be very happy in the process.
"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.
by redbirdnation8206 on
Jan 4, 2009 5:08 AM EST
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Greene
450,115,18,68,.255,.305,.435
"I remember once talking to one guy on the Cardinals and asking him what Pujols was like as a teammate. He said something that’s really special, if you think about it. He said: "Albert is so good that you feel like you let him down when you screw up." I thought that had to be the ultimate line that could ever be said about a ballplayer. I build my baseball team around that ballplayer."
by Smokin Turkeys on
Jan 4, 2009 2:13 AM EST
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AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
520,136,16,62,.303,.262,.454
Color me pessimistic (no reason, just gut feeling)
The artist formerly known as...
Mr Redbird @ Viva El Birdos
PowerOfDixieland @ Track Em Tigers, other SEC blogs
by jd is legend on
Jan 4, 2009 2:20 AM EST
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have you got your BA & OBP switched around?
I know his OBP has been bad, but 40 points below his BA?
It must be the Georgia educational system, the formerly Mr. Redbird
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
by mattyfrommo on
Jan 4, 2009 2:30 AM EST
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we could be twins
scary
I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!
by gdm426 on
Jan 4, 2009 4:55 AM EST
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Yes
Yes they are
The artist formerly known as...
Mr Redbird @ Viva El Birdos
PowerOfDixieland @ Track Em Tigers, other SEC blogs
by jd is legend on
Jan 4, 2009 12:21 PM EST
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Greene Projection
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
520,160,19,77,.308,.375,.420
by mwinf12 on
Jan 4, 2009 3:28 AM EST
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K to the G
450,114,19,75,.253,.379,.464
"Sorry about him, he's dealing with being an inker. " - Chasing Amy
by FutureMan on
Jan 4, 2009 4:13 AM EST
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.379 OBP?
Wow!
"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.
by redbirdnation8206 on
Jan 4, 2009 5:08 AM EST
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91 walks, to be exact
He’s only walked more than 1/2 of that once in his career.
I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. I watched C-beams glitter in the dark near the Tannhauser gate. All those moments will be lost in time... like tears in rain... Time to die.
by lunchboxbomb on
Jan 4, 2009 1:42 PM EST
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Greene
580,160,15,70,.275,.320,,419
Felipe Lopez - next year's Joel Pineiro (on another team, thank you Mo!)
by DiscoJer on
Jan 4, 2009 5:01 AM EST
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my projection
530,148,19,80,.280,.330,..480
Hope it turns out true!!!!
GO CARDS!!!
by SuperSeve on
Jan 4, 2009 6:53 AM EST
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I'm a big believer in Contract-Year Play
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
502,130,21,74,.251,.320,.420
Stupid Sexy Flanders!!!
by timmycardinals on
Jan 4, 2009 8:58 AM EST
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we'll be ok....
415, 105, 20, 75, .253, .294, .470
Khalil will get banged up a little… but Joe Thurston and Brian Barden are ready.
Also see mid-late season call-up of Wallace… once he gets here, he’ll stay.
Good Luck to Aaron, he won’t be worth the money in Chi-town. Piniella is not quite as
good as LaRussa in managing a bench, or knowing his personnel.
by spick5a on
Jan 4, 2009 8:58 AM EST
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If I'm not too late
AB,H,HR,RBI,AVG,OBP,SLG
500,125,15,75,.250,.300,.425
by JBrew on
Jan 4, 2009 9:16 AM EST
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Good Year!!
533,147,22,81,.275,.335,.455
by Walking Underwear on
Jan 4, 2009 9:30 AM EST
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Using B-R as my guide
average of top 5 comps (thru age 28) in their age 29 seasons:
372,94,13,52,.252,.312,.407
by capn crunch on
Jan 4, 2009 10:26 AM EST
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first try
513,140,14,83,.275,.320,.450
Rabid Redbird
by gthedamned on
Jan 4, 2009 11:20 AM EST
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