It's a Hit
It was an outstanding game last night; a complete team effort on both sides of the ball. Wainwright looked the best we've seen him since returning from the disabled list, and the offense certainly did their job effectively. I'm not a fan of Troy Glaus hitting second, though, I must admit. I know, I know, there are plenty of arguments that one can make in favour of it. I still don't like it.
What I was struck by last night while watching the game, more than anything else, was just how much better I thought Arizona was going to be than this this year. I looked at them coming into the season, and I thought they would be an absolute juggernaut, just laying waste to a weak division around them on their way to the National League pennant. Brandon Webb, Dan Haren, and Randy Johnson at the top of the rotation? No team in their right mind would want to face a tandem like that. The only real question, to me at least, was just how deep they would manage to go in October.
As we've seen, of course, that hasn't been the case for the Diamondbacks this year, not by a long shot. For one thing, the back of their rotation hasn't been nearly as good as everyone expected. Micah Owings, who looked like a great #3 with possible #2 potential last season, was flat out awful this year, posting an ERA over 6.00 before being demoted. He hasn't thrown an inning in the minors since the eighth of August and is reported to be trying to improve his shoulder strength. Outlook not so good on Mr. Owings. Doug Davis has been pretty solid this year, but he missed a fair chunk of time early in the season due to receiving treatment for cancer. Yusmeiro Petit has actually pitched pretty well, but he is still, after all, Yusmeiro Petit.
The DBacks bullpen has also been a point of concern. Brandon Lyon, their closer for most of the year, is currently sporting a nifty 5.76 ERA. While Tony Pena and Chad Qualls have both been mostly solid, guys like Doug Slaten, Brandon Medders, and Jon Rauch have undone a lot of good work. If you think the Cardinals are the only team who face an adventure in the bullpen most nights, you need to check out some Arizona games. It's always interesting, and usually not in a good way.
Most of all, though, the Diamondbacks have suffered from an offense that just flat out isn't very good. Of all the aspects I find surprising about the DBacks this year, their offense's inability to score enough runs to support that pitching staff is probably the biggest surprise of all.
When you look at the Arizona offense, it becomes apparent fairly quickly what the real problem is. The Diamondbacks have a ton of talented young players; more than enough, in fact, to constitute what should be a dangerous offense. Where the issue lies is largely in their approach at the plate. The DBacks rank 9th in the National League in on base percentage, at .326. They're even worse in batting average, coming in 12th in the league at .252. The Cardinals, on the other hand, rank second in the league in both categories, at .351 and .280, respectively. You watch the Arizona players take at bats, and what you see jibes up well with the numbers. As a whole, the DBack hitters are impatient in the extreme, hacking away rather than working the count. You want to see exactly what the Arizona offense looks like? Look no further than their former leadoff hitter, Chris Young. Young is monstrously talented; he was a 30/30 man last season. Yet this season, Young is putting up a slash line of .246/.307/.440. He has struck out 144 times already. I'm perfectly aware that strikeouts aren't as evil as Joe Morgan and his ilk would have us believe, but that 144 represents an awful lot of empty swings.
Or try Mark Reynolds, the team's talented young third baseman. Reynolds has what baseball types like to call light tower power; he can hit it out of any part of any park. Still, his slash line- .242/.320/.480. Not bad, no. But not nearly what it should be for a player with his kind of tools.
Some of this, of course, has a lot to do with simple youth. When you have a team as young as that of the Diamondbacks, there are going to be some warts. But even so, the biggest problem isn't the youth of the team, it's the philosophy of the team.
Arizona preaches aggressiveness. From the bottom level of their farm system on up, the DBacks push their players to constantly be aggressive. They attack pitches early in the count, without trying to work a walk or simply to work a pitcher much at all. The Diamondbacks have emphasized athleticism and trained their players to be super aggressive; what they have now is a team full of athletes who are all intensely vulnerable to intelligent pitching. Their hitters simply do not do a good job of getting good pitches to hit; rather, they hack early in the count and get themselves out on pitchers' pitches.
For all of the flack that the Cardinal coaching staff takes from a lot of people, myself included, you really see the value of a good approach when you watch two teams like this go head to head. Arizona should have a dynamic, multi faceted offensive attack, capable of beating you in myriad ways. Instead, they have a team that doesn't hit for power (.415 SLG, 9th in NL), despite having players with huge power potential, because they don't swing at pitches that are drivable. They don't steal a whole lot bases, either, having less steals than the Cardinals do- 50 vs. 63. Guys like Young and Stephen Drew should be swiping bases left and right, but they're not on base enough to make proper use of their speed.
The Diamondbacks have huge talent all over the diamond. Why they aren't better is not that hard to see: they simply don't have a sound approach to the game. When you compare them to a team like the Cardinals, who rank 2nd in the NL in batting average, on base percentage, and 3rd in slugging, the difference is clear. A lot of us like to criticise Hal McRae for the seeming lack of a plan that the Cardinal hitters show sometimes in the late innings of games, but either he or the assistant hitting coach, whose name escapes me at the moment, is definitely doing some kind of job with the Cards' hitters. They're patient, prepared, and for the most part at least, hit their pitch, rather than one that the pitcher wants them to swing at.
All stats were from Baseball Reference.
Just a few more things, as Columbo would never say:
Today is the seventh anniversary of Bud Smith's no hitter. Erik over at Future Redbirds had a very nice retrospective on Bud's career, both as a prospect and a major leaguer yesterday. Check it out. That was the last no hitter by a Cardinal pitcher; the closest since then that I can think of off the top of my head was the one hitter that Carpenter threw against the Blue Jays at the Rogers Centre in 2005. That was the game that kicked off his historic run of seven innings, no more than three runs, etc. that hadn't been done since the dead ball era. I'm also doing a little piece on Mr. Smith's no-no over at my full time gig; it turned out pretty well.
Chris O' Leary did a pretty cool breakdown of Colby Rasmus' swing over at his site and likes what he sees. I know this season has been a bit of a letdown as far as Rasmus goes, but he still has the potential to be something truly special.
Two other notes actually related to last night's game. One, I was really disappointed not to get to see Jason Motte make his major league debut. I thought it was a perfect opportunity for him to get his feet wet in the big leagues; a six run lead and a team that lacks patience. Sadly, it wasn't to be. I suppose we'll just have to wait a bit longer.
Two, Chris Perez looked absolutely terrifying last night. The Diamondback announcers were in absolute awe of him, and these are guys who watched Valverde throw all year last year, so it's not as if they aren't acquainted with great stuff. Perez threw only one slider, and it was as nasty a pitch as you're ever going to see. Other than that, he just went with the heat, and the Arizona hitters looked utterly helpless. There are plenty of positives to take from this season, and seeing Perez come up and completely dominate in his second tour of duty is a huge one. He may just be the shutdown closer we all thought he could be after all.
Game is at 2:40 CT today. I'll have a game thread up about two. Take care of yourselves.
0 recs |
78 comments
Comments
Meanwhile
the Cubs seem to be falling apart at the seams…
by saladdays on Sep 3, 2008 10:44 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
And this is surprising...
…uh, how?
From the AP recap of last night’s Cubbie loss:
So it was a bit of a surprise when Cubs manager Lou Piniella revealed that Zambrano left because of arm problems. Zambrano will have his right arm examined Wednesday.
Any absence could affect the Cubs, who are trying to hold on to first place in the NL Central, not to mention the best record in the league. With starter Rich Harden being skipped for precautionary reasons this week, this is news the Cubs didn’t need to hear.
“He told our pitching coach he wasn’t feeling good,” Piniella said. “It has to be in his arm. I just don’t know. We’ll let you know tomorrow when we find out.”
Yep… Still The Cubs!
"In this game, don't nobody know nuthin' about nuthin'." -- attributed to Lawrence Peter "Yogi" Berra
by The Ol Goaler on Sep 3, 2008 11:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fukedome....
Hitting something like .195 in Aug…and only .210 since July 1st…… perhaps the biggest bust since A Jones?….
by Timbo02 on Sep 3, 2008 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Since July 1: .215 .300 .316
Kosuke Fukudome: $55 million .266 .365 .391
Skip Schumaker: $Free .308 .369 .426
by joker24 on Sep 3, 2008 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well the reported loss of velo isn't very accurate
He was 90-96 and even then just the 5th inning he was still 90-93.
Kosuke Fukudome: $55 million .265 .365 .386
Skip Schumaker: $Free .307 .366 .421
by joker24 on Sep 3, 2008 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not only Zambrano
but they’re slightly worried about Harden as well. He hasn’t pitched since August 29 (5 IP, 100 pitches) and I’m pretty sure I heard either on the radio or tv that his next scheduled start is September 9th against the Cardinals (that’s 11 days off). Apparently, they want to rest him. I think it’s just par for the course in regards to Harden. He’s done this before when in Oakland and I heard some guys on the radio here in Chicago (when they traded for him) that he often will flat out say “skip me this time” because he doesn’t feel like he can throw.
In the world I see--you are stalking elk through the damp canyon forests around the ruins of Rockefeller Center. You'll wear leather clothes that will last you the rest of your life. You'll climb the wrist-thick kudzu vines that wrap the Sears Tower. And when you look down, you'll see tiny figures pounding corn, laying strips of venison on the empty carpool lane of some abandoned superhighway.
by Tackle Box on Sep 3, 2008 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd skip him too
They have the luxury of doing that I don’t see why they wouldn’t make sure someone as nasty as Harden can be is healthy and ready for the playoffs. Of course they are the Cubbies and shouldn’t be assuming anything, but if skipping one Harden start costs them the playoffs they don’t deserve to be in it anyway…
Kosuke Fukudome: $55 million .265 .365 .386
Skip Schumaker: $Free .307 .366 .421
by joker24 on Sep 3, 2008 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The only good thing about hurting myself at the gym last night
is that I’m taking a half day so I’ll get to watch the game. Blessing in disguise.
I’ll be interested to see if Motte throws anything besides his fastball when he makes his debut.
by azruavatar on Sep 3, 2008 10:45 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
too many squats?
it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 3, 2008 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
eerie
actually yes. I was doing squats and didn’t realize that I had pushed my quads to far and started using my lower back. My lower back (a lovely genetic gift from my father) does not like lifting and has been in tension all day.
by azruavatar on Sep 3, 2008 5:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeahs how did you hurt yourself
I have to many Gym injuries, Most of them in the lower back
by FlimtotheFlam on Sep 3, 2008 1:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
man
when I throw out my lower back I can hardly even stand or walk. My friends and I used to play 21 Battle Ball, our little invention. basically it’s 21 basketball, with the only rules being you have to attempt to dribble. other than that, we would tackle each other on the concrete or push each other into my parents garage door (eventually we cracked that thing). anyway, I got tackled in a mid air jump and hurt my lower back. now I can throw it out pretty easily if I don’t watch out. lower back injuries suck
it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 3, 2008 1:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Streching Regime
I have a very good Stretching Regime from this book
It made a huge difference in my lower back and most of the pain went away.
by FlimtotheFlam on Sep 3, 2008 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I've tried a bunch of different things with my lower back
from specific strengthening regimes to stretching to low resistance machines to warm it up. . . none of which have made a big difference. I’ll have to check out that book. I’m usually very conscious of when my back starts to get involved in a lift and then I stop immediately but for whatever reason I didn’t notice last night.
by azruavatar on Sep 3, 2008 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jess Todd, Smesh Todd
Chris Perez will destroy us all.
A few weeks ago, you good folks at VEB asked what it would mean for us to still be in contention as the season went on, and I said, coming off of a tough road trip, if they are 4 1/2 back starting play on Sep 5th, I think they’re still in contention, with a decent sched ahead of them and the Brewers and Cubs possibly beating themselves up.
Ans, as craptastic as our nations Labor Day was for St Louis, we may very well be in contention come this weekend.
An odd season could continue.
hecanthithecanthithecanthithecanthit
by Alxfritz on Sep 3, 2008 10:54 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
There was also the one-hitter Reyes threw against the White Sox in 2006,
although admittedly that one didn’t work out quite as well…
by BTown Birds fan on Sep 3, 2008 11:00 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Your're telling me
I went to Mulder’s game with the girlfriend and her family — all lifelong White Soxers (although the GF has partially converted) — when he gave up, what was it, ten runs in an inning? Something abysmal like that. Of course, that was the start of one of our three 8-game losing streaks.
Suffice it to say, I spent most of my time out on a rail, smoking with other Cardinal fans. All evened out though after the World Series. White Sox are okay in my book. Just not Ozzie.
I once shot a man just to see him die...then I got distracted and missed it.
by TheDuke32 on Sep 3, 2008 2:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was there too
and almost shat myself when Ponson started drilling guys. Thought I’d never get out alive. But, I found the Cell’s crowd to be rather nice. I didn’t hear one word the entire game and actually had several friendly conversations. Rather pleasant experience….um….except for the whole Mulder/Ponson thing.
In the world I see--you are stalking elk through the damp canyon forests around the ruins of Rockefeller Center. You'll wear leather clothes that will last you the rest of your life. You'll climb the wrist-thick kudzu vines that wrap the Sears Tower. And when you look down, you'll see tiny figures pounding corn, laying strips of venison on the empty carpool lane of some abandoned superhighway.
by Tackle Box on Sep 3, 2008 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Right on
Yeah, I said I was smoking with Cardinals fans, but fact of the matter, there were, of course Sox fans too, and they weren’t pouring on insults. It was more of an understanding “Tough day to see your team at a visiting ballpark” vibe.
I once shot a man just to see him die...then I got distracted and missed it.
by TheDuke32 on Sep 3, 2008 3:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What a crappy last week or so.....
Mather is out for the rest of the year. And while it isn’t serious, any hand injury always scares me.
Garcia might opt for elbow ligament surgery, meaning he’ll likely miss all of next season. IF we knew there was any possibility of this, why didn’t we unload him in a trade?
The lackluster losses. Carpenter being sent to the pen (not disagreeing with the decision, just sucks he isn’t healthy enough to start).
On a good note, Lopez has been killing the ball of late. Since the trade, he’s hitting .369 with 14 runs in 20 games. Would love to have him around next season, but he may be pricing us out of anything, especially if we can’t dump AK’s salary anywhere.
by SoonerfanTU on Sep 3, 2008 11:05 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
AK 6-4-3
could we just dump him anyway? I dont care if we have to eat the remaining balance.
Sunk Cost might as well look like ajd;flkadnviefjna;lsdfiweiuehowue9wt2837472930ewfr fakdfjapidun, to the managment.
C'mon you Redbirds, lets prove em' wrong, again!
by yer dog first on Sep 3, 2008 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Who do we have that can do better right now?
BR has been glorious in his suckitude this year, and now that Mather is out and Ank still hurting, we may need Lopez in the OF a bit more. Sooo, we are stuck with the 3-headed monster of AK, Izturiz, and Grit. Maybe Barden will allow the team to permanently bench AK, but he isn’t exactly a proven commodity.
Baseball's only fun if you're playing it, watching it, or thinking about it.
by Eckstreem on Sep 3, 2008 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Let's not get too far ahead of ourselves on Lopez
.369 is ridiculously hollow supported by a .468 BABIP. Even with a .315 BABIP he’d be hitting .230. .230/.300/.410 wouldn’t be too exciting.
Kosuke Fukudome: $55 million .265 .365 .386
Skip Schumaker: $Free .307 .366 .421
by joker24 on Sep 3, 2008 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
A couple things
Anyone else notice how Rasmus doesn’t rotate his front plant foot after contact?? My thoughts went something like this:
Doesn’t that have to be hard on his ankle? Or really wouldn’t he pop a knee or something???? …Oh wait…….shit.
Whatever, I don’t know all that much about hitting mechanics, that just seems extremely funky and not a good way to clear your hips.
#2. Perez threw 2 sliders and a curve. The curve bounced in the dirt and he still got a swing. Perez’ off-speed is so weird PITCHf/x doesn’t even know what to do with it.
Kosuke Fukudome: $55 million .265 .365 .386
Skip Schumaker: $Free .307 .366 .421
by joker24 on Sep 3, 2008 12:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Colby's Front Foot
While it admittedly looks awkward, what Colby’s front foot does isn’t that different than what Albert’s foot does…
- Analysis of Albert Pujols’ Swing
It’s just an occupational hazard of swinging hard.
by thepainguy on Sep 3, 2008 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
does locking the front foot generate more torque?
it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 3, 2008 1:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think so
Torque, if I’m not mistaken, is generated in the hips and shoulders.
In the world I see--you are stalking elk through the damp canyon forests around the ruins of Rockefeller Center. You'll wear leather clothes that will last you the rest of your life. You'll climb the wrist-thick kudzu vines that wrap the Sears Tower. And when you look down, you'll see tiny figures pounding corn, laying strips of venison on the empty carpool lane of some abandoned superhighway.
by Tackle Box on Sep 3, 2008 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Torque
Mike Espstein calls it torque, but technically what you are doing is stretching the muscles of the core which allows them to contract more powerfully due to something called the Stretch Shortening Cycle (SSC).
That’s what Ted Williams was referring to when he said the hips lead the hands.
by thepainguy on Sep 3, 2008 2:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was hoping you'd respond
I was reading the articles and really couldn’t do it justice without simply cutting and pasting.
In the world I see--you are stalking elk through the damp canyon forests around the ruins of Rockefeller Center. You'll wear leather clothes that will last you the rest of your life. You'll climb the wrist-thick kudzu vines that wrap the Sears Tower. And when you look down, you'll see tiny figures pounding corn, laying strips of venison on the empty carpool lane of some abandoned superhighway.
by Tackle Box on Sep 3, 2008 2:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Front Foot Action
What he does is he shifts his weight into his front leg and then pushes back with his front leg (watch his front knee extend). This increases the rate at which the hips rotate and pulls the shoulders around.
The idea is to power the swing with the big muscles of the upper legs, hips, and core and not just the arms.
by thepainguy on Sep 3, 2008 2:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah that's what I was thinking
the locked foot gives a pivot point from which the torso can produce rotation energy
it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 3, 2008 3:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
hitting off of a firm or locked left side does generate a more severe or violent hip turn
it’s the same thing Tiger does with the golf swing. He straightens the left leg as opposed to letting it flex or move toward the target line. It creates the axis around which his hips fly open.
by rlgosnell on Sep 3, 2008 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
I know Pujols hits against his leg like that (just like every other power hitter in the world), it’s just weird to me he doesn’t end up rotating it even after he’s finished his swing, I’m not sure I’ve ever seen that in a baseball swing. I bet he’s a hell of a driver with that finish too!
I’m not saying it’s necessarily a bad thing hindering his power or whatever, just that it’s odd and seems somewhat injurious to the health of his leg. Maybe it’s just funk though.
Kosuke Fukudome: $55 million .265 .365 .386
Skip Schumaker: $Free .307 .366 .421
by joker24 on Sep 3, 2008 2:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Golfers finish on their front foot without rotating it.
And with a golf swing you finish with your weight over top of your front foot, which would seem to put even more stress on the ankle.
by Ray Lankford on Sep 3, 2008 1:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Tiger "snaps" his front knee back to add "torque" (rotating speed) to his swing
That’s why his knee got all f’ed up
Cardinal fan in the heart of Braves country
DFA Adam Kennedy and Randy Flores!
"Just because nobody understands you doesn't make you an artist."
by Mr Redbird on Sep 3, 2008 2:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
D-backs not taking a walk?
Nice post, except when you say this:
“They [the D-backs] attack pitches early in the count, without trying to work a walk…”
I’m sure there are many different ways to gague whether someone is trying to work a walk. One way would be to see how often they draw a walk.
If you do a quick measure of walk percentage by using BB/(BB+AB), you end up with this:
Cardinals: 9.45%
D-Backs: 9.56%
So the D-Backs walk slightly more often than the Cardinals. If you take the time to add in SH, SF, HBP, etc., I don’t think it will change much—the teams are pretty close in these categories.
Drawing walks does not seem to be the D-back’s problem, when compared to the Cards.
by tarakas on Sep 3, 2008 12:36 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
BABIP?
After looking at the stats above (RB’s) and the stats here (tarakas’) maybe the BABIP has been oddly low for the DBacks this year? Either that, or just simply they’re not as good at hitting for average yet…and their batting averages suffer mightily because of it?
by stlfan on Sep 3, 2008 12:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Follow up
It might just be the second of the two options I listed above.
The Cardinals hitters have a .028 edge in batting average, yet only a .025 edge in OBP. That means that the Cardinals are really simply better at hitting the ball where the other team is not.
As I look even deeper at BR, the Diamondbacks have a .299 BABIP for the season (which has been brought up as the second half goes on – with a .314 in the second half); whereas the Cardinals have a .311 BABIP for the season (also much better in the second half at .326.)
Maybe the Cardinals have been luckier, maybe just better.
The entire major leagues have a split of .299 BABIP, hit .264, have a .333 OBP, and SLG .416.
The Diamondbacks have the same split of .299 BABIP, but hit .252, resulting in a lower OBP of .326, yet they still SLG .415 (almost average).
The Cardinals have a split of .311 BABIP, hit .280 as a team and have a .351 OBP, while SLG .433.
I think that one huge difference between the two teams is this:
In the majors this year, the league strikes out 17.4% of the time.
The Cardinals strike out 15.6% of the time.
The DBacks strike out 20.7% of the time.
Even if their BABIP were higher, they’re still striking out so often that their average would be lower than the Cardinals. The Cardinals are .028 higher on average with a .012 difference of BABIP. Compared to the league, the DBacks hit .012 worse while having the same BABIP.
Strikeouts may not be horrible, compared to a double play, but they really hurt your team’s chances to hit for average.
by stlfan on Sep 3, 2008 1:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wonder what the K% will be after Dunn has been on the team for over a month
it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 3, 2008 1:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
could say the same for their BB%
i’m more curious about their “liking baseball” %.
by mattybobo on Sep 3, 2008 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
heh
it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 3, 2008 1:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
or their "fat and lazy" %
In the world I see--you are stalking elk through the damp canyon forests around the ruins of Rockefeller Center. You'll wear leather clothes that will last you the rest of your life. You'll climb the wrist-thick kudzu vines that wrap the Sears Tower. And when you look down, you'll see tiny figures pounding corn, laying strips of venison on the empty carpool lane of some abandoned superhighway.
by Tackle Box on Sep 3, 2008 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How soon we forget...
What about this game from A-Rey in 2006? Not only was it a one-hitter… but that one hit spoiled a perfect game… and we lost.
Side note: How the hell did we win the World Series that year? In late June, we trotted out a lineup that included Timo Perez (DH), Hector Luna (LF), Aaron Miles (2B), and a light-hitting Yadier Molina ©. No wonder we lost that game.
I remember it so vividly because a buddy of mine broke his phone by throwing it against the wall when Thome hit the blast.
by AndyB83 on Sep 3, 2008 1:25 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
sucks that Mather got hurt
went from having tons of outfielders to actually needing Lopez to fill in. although it’s good that it appears Ankiel is back. but we have Barton, Rasmus, and Mather hurt… we’ve really had bad luck again with the injuries, that’s for sure. here’s hoping for a Barden sighting today, and Motte too.
it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 3, 2008 1:45 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
There's still something wrong with Ankiel
whether it’s injury or simply pitchers figuring him out. Something ain’t right.
In the world I see--you are stalking elk through the damp canyon forests around the ruins of Rockefeller Center. You'll wear leather clothes that will last you the rest of your life. You'll climb the wrist-thick kudzu vines that wrap the Sears Tower. And when you look down, you'll see tiny figures pounding corn, laying strips of venison on the empty carpool lane of some abandoned superhighway.
by Tackle Box on Sep 3, 2008 2:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ankiel
An abdominal strain is a HUGE injury for a hitter, given the importance of the muscles of the core to powering the swing.
by thepainguy on Sep 3, 2008 2:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The thing is though
and I’ve heard first hand account, is that he shows no drop-off in power during batting practice. Is his swing getting started slower because of the injury or is it more than that? His power is there in bp, but he can’t even make contact with live pitching.
In the world I see--you are stalking elk through the damp canyon forests around the ruins of Rockefeller Center. You'll wear leather clothes that will last you the rest of your life. You'll climb the wrist-thick kudzu vines that wrap the Sears Tower. And when you look down, you'll see tiny figures pounding corn, laying strips of venison on the empty carpool lane of some abandoned superhighway.
by Tackle Box on Sep 3, 2008 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Swing Length
This definitely sounds like a swing that is getting longer for some reason.
He may be recruiting other muscles to compensate. This gives him the power back but at the cost of quickness.
by thepainguy on Sep 3, 2008 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
that would definately make sense
He could easily do that in bp. Which of course, anytime you overcompensate for something, leads to the possibility of even more injuries.
In the world I see--you are stalking elk through the damp canyon forests around the ruins of Rockefeller Center. You'll wear leather clothes that will last you the rest of your life. You'll climb the wrist-thick kudzu vines that wrap the Sears Tower. And when you look down, you'll see tiny figures pounding corn, laying strips of venison on the empty carpool lane of some abandoned superhighway.
by Tackle Box on Sep 3, 2008 3:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
its a lot easier to guess at BP fastballs than live pitching.
and Ank has become a complete guess hitter.
by rlgosnell on Sep 3, 2008 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well...
…The fanpost on Ankiel said that his BP swing looks great and he’s simply crushing the ball. I don’t know one way or the other. However, if that is the case then I’d say it’s pitchers catching on that he swings at every high fastball you throw. Hopefully he gets straightened out at some point this season so he doesn’t go into the offseason all droopy and whatnot.
"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.
by redbirdnation8206 on Sep 3, 2008 2:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Interesting bit of D-Backs trivia
The D-Backs are clearly one of the more hack-ish teams in the league. That’s part of the reason I felt that Dunn was a good pickup for them. However…According to Inside Edge’s data, the D-Backs are apparently quite patient with three balls. I guess if, by some miracle, their hitters let you get three balls they very well may take their walk. Weird.
"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.
by redbirdnation8206 on Sep 3, 2008 1:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
sounds like a 'wow, I only need one more?!' kind of mentality.
by Phizzle on Sep 3, 2008 2:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ha!
"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.
by redbirdnation8206 on Sep 3, 2008 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
McRae and Molina
“They’re patient, prepared, and for the most part at least, hit their pitch, rather than one that the pitcher wants them to swing at.”
I’m not thrilled with some of McRae’s ideas (because I think he doesn’t understand what Charley Lau got right and wrong). However, his work on Molina’s approach has really paid off. I love how Molina isn’t afraid to push the outside pitch.
by thepainguy on Sep 3, 2008 2:27 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
No kidding on Molina
He’s gone from a black hole to an above average hitter albeit this year with a likely unsustainable .320 BABIP. Hitter period not just catcher. He still has room to improve in the walk rate too and considering he has a 90% contact rate he could become a damn fine hitter.
Kosuke Fukudome: $55 million .265 .365 .386
Skip Schumaker: $Free .307 .366 .421
by joker24 on Sep 3, 2008 2:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ok, i honestly can't remember...
the average BABIP is more significant for either hitters or pitchers, but i can’t remember which. what should we expect yadi’s BABIP to look like? because i’d really like him to keep up this year’s improvements!
by mattybobo on Sep 3, 2008 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well
A hitter has way more control over BABIP than pitchers but at the same time a slow guy who doesn’t pound the ball isn’t likely to keep above average in that category (and Molina hasn’t over his career). He’s cut his strikeouts in half and is walking more, those are real changes and it’s not like .320 BABIP is out of this world, he just likely isn’t a true talent .300+ hitter.
Kosuke Fukudome: $55 million .265 .365 .386
Skip Schumaker: $Free .307 .366 .421
by joker24 on Sep 3, 2008 3:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
*he's walking slightly less as I actually look at it but whatever...
Kosuke Fukudome: $55 million .265 .365 .386
Skip Schumaker: $Free .307 .366 .421
by joker24 on Sep 3, 2008 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Regression to the Mean
While regression to the mean is always a possibility, I could easily see Molina turn into a .280 or even .290 hitter given how much better he looks this year and how he seems to be maturing.
At the risk of ruining a good thing, I’d actually like to see him look for and pull the inside pitch more for power rather than (seemingly) always looking to slap the outside pitch the other way for a single.
That might help boost his SLG and OPS numbers and would make him harder to beat just by pitching him inside.
by thepainguy on Sep 3, 2008 2:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think that would mean he needs an overhaul approach-wise
It looks to me like he sort of prides himself on being able to get the bat on almost any ball (to a fault). In order to start pulling the ball for more power, I think he’d need to abandon that mentality at least a bit. Maybe depending on count? And maybe “overhaul” is a bit of a drastic term for this, but it took me long enough to come up with that word I just stuck with it.
In the world I see--you are stalking elk through the damp canyon forests around the ruins of Rockefeller Center. You'll wear leather clothes that will last you the rest of your life. You'll climb the wrist-thick kudzu vines that wrap the Sears Tower. And when you look down, you'll see tiny figures pounding corn, laying strips of venison on the empty carpool lane of some abandoned superhighway.
by Tackle Box on Sep 3, 2008 3:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Vlad
“It looks to me like he sort of prides himself on being able to get the bat on almost any ball (to a fault).”
This certainly works for Vlad Guerrero, but really not for anyone else.
Also, Vlad can still push the ball with power, which Yadi can’t.
by thepainguy on Sep 3, 2008 3:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh for sure
He’s not a .250 hitter with a 7% K rate and any modicum of major league bat speed. His plate discipline is getting better every year though it’s disappointing he can’t have a >.100 ISO. Regardless, just being an average hitter with shut down defense is very valuable especially when it’s cheap.
Kosuke Fukudome: $55 million .265 .365 .386
Skip Schumaker: $Free .307 .366 .421
by joker24 on Sep 3, 2008 3:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ichiro
Ichiro kind of follows the same strategy when it comes to hitting. 90% of the time he just slaps the outside pitch the other way.
However, he can hit for power (e.g. pull the inside pitch) if he chooses and likely does so to keep the defense honest.
My concern is that Yadi doesn’t work himself into an unsustainable corner and end up with huge holes in his swing (e.g. the inside part of the plate).
Too much of a good thing…
by thepainguy on Sep 3, 2008 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
what we are seeing from Yadi right now IS regression
He’s never been as bad of a hitter as the numbers he put up. in ’05 and ’06 I can clearly remember being stunned by how many line drives yadi hit that were caught; those are finally becoming hits this year. He likely is a “true .300 hitter”, or at least close to it, who has had very bad luck in the past.
Correcting Yadi’s BA for type of ball hit:
ebabip eBA BABIP BA 2005 0.3098 0.3005 .254 .252 2006 0.3068 0.2879 .226 .216 2007 0.3181 0.2922 .295 .275 2008 0.3221 0.3119 .316 .310
(eBabip is his expected batting average on balls in play, based on LD, FB, GB etc, eBA is expected batting average and includes HR and K’s). I use a slightly different formula than the one that is found by googling eBABIP, but it’s the same principle. BABIP and BA are actuals.
Anyway, because of his speed, and proclivity to swinging at out-of-zone pitches (which causes “bad contact”), he’s probably always going to have a lower BA than eBA, but what we are seeing now is more indicative of how he’s actually hit than his career hitting numbers.
the ******* plane has crashed into the mountain.
by SleepyCA on Sep 3, 2008 4:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mets out to a 6-0 lead early
A sweep of the Brewers would be mighty nice right about now
by BTown Birds fan on Sep 3, 2008 3:01 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't think the Brewers are going to last long in the playoffs.
They have not done well against the other playoff teams at all in the regular season. Chances are they would have to play the Mets in the first round. Their only hope is to pitch CC in two games in the opening round. Yost better hope CC isn’t tired come the playoffs like he was last year with the Indians.
We’ve got a long way to go and a short time to get there.
by KYCards on Sep 3, 2008 3:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
sabathia, sheets and parra is a pretty mean 1,2,3
plus their offense is no joke.
by rlgosnell on Sep 3, 2008 4:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
As a baseball fan
It really is a shame Gallardo blew out his knee. That’d be a MONSTER pitching rotation.
Kosuke Fukudome: $55 million .265 .365 .386
Skip Schumaker: $Free .307 .366 .421
by joker24 on Sep 3, 2008 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, and Parra has kind of quietly developed into a pretty good pitcher.....
Good stuff, good idea what to do with it, and decent numbers for his first full season in the rotation. They’ll re sign Sheets too. They love him more than they admit to in Milwaukee.
She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.
by jillsinmo on Sep 3, 2008 7:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
They're
like 5-2 against us, this season.
Then again, maybe the Dbacks weren’t who you meant by “playoff team”. :-\
Manny Ramirez and the Dodgers: Filling the dubious shoes left open by Barry Bonds and the Giants.
by DbacksSkins on Sep 3, 2008 7:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

by 

















