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roberts rules?

a baseball blogger asked me this week if i thought the cardinals should go after brian roberts during the winter. i wrote back:

my opinion: since roberts can be a free agent after the season, it only makes sense to trade for him if the cardinals think they can make a serious run at a championship in 2009 (doubtful) or if they can extend him for a few years as part of the deal. the orioles' demands will be very high ---- they can get two 1st-rounders for roberts if they simply let him play out his option, so their baseline asking price will start at two very good prospects ---- and then they'll want at least one more good player on top of that, because they'll be foregoing the last year of roberts's contract. so it would probably take a minimum of 3 good, young, cost-controlled players to acquire 1 year of brian roberts; as good as roberts is, that probably is a bad trade for the cardinals. it would depend on which players the orioles would accept in return, but i don't think baltimore would part with such a valuable player unless they got at least one premium prospect; they might want two. and if the cards are going to trade somebody like rasmus or bryan anderson, they'd have to get back more than 1 year from a great player.

roberts definitely is a great player, and he's a perfect fit for the cards in 2009, but if it takes as much future value to acquire him as i think it would require, then they could only contemplate this if if the deal included a 2- or 3-year extension for roberts at a decent rate --- and even then it might not be worth it. the cardinals need to be seeking a long-term solutions, not guys who can parachute in and star for a single year.

after hitting "send," i got curious enough to check out the orioles’ needs and try to gauge their wish list. mind you, i’m not recommending that the cardinals ought to be contemplating this type of transaction; but i also don’t think they should categorically rule it out. roberts might be worth 5 extra wins. he’s under contract for $8m next year, which makes him a great bargain. if he’d agree to a three-year extension for, say, $14m a year, that salary would go onto the books at just the point troy glaus’s salary comes off. the cards would have him for his age 31 through 34 seasons. . . . .

this is the type of move walt jocketty used to make routinely --- ie, it represents the philosophy of the past, so i don’t think it’s particularly likely. besides, jocketty operated in a different environment, in which teams tended to undervalue their draft picks; the phillies could have gotten a higher return for scott rolen if they’d simply let him walk and taken the picks, but most teams didn’t tabulate their balance sheets that way in 2002. jocketty would have offered the orioles skip schumaker, mark worrell, and allen craig, and the orioles might have said "ah, what the hell" and pulled the trigger. you can’t get away with that in 2009.

so what would it take? well, let’s start with what the orioles don’t need. they don’t need a 22-year-old future-star centerfielder, because they just acquired one last year (adam jones) in the erik bedard deal --- for that reason, they might not value rasmus as highly as another team. they also have an excellent young outfielder at one corner (nick markakis). the orioles also don’t need a catcher like bryan anderson, because they have matt wieters --- one of the five best prospects in baseball at the moment. according to tim dierkes at mlbtraderumors.com, the orioles’ prime off-season needs are young middle infielders and pitchers, plus a slugging first-baseman (which they’ve been seeking for a couple of years now). the cards can supply a first baseman --- duncan, mather, and allen craig all fit the mold to varying degrees. they can supply young pitching --- any of boggs, mortensen, todd, or mcclellan might be a candidate for the baltimore rotation next season. as for middle infielders --- if the orioles still like pete kozma (and most scouts do) despite his up-and-down year, why not? with nico vasquez now on the scene, kozma is less of a priority for the cards.

so let’s add this up. does a package that looks something like duncan, todd, boggs, and kozma get it done? i have a difficult time believing that it would, because there are no real blue-chippers in that package, but with the orioles you can never tell. let’s put that side by side with the package they accepted for the last two years of miggy tejada’s contract:

for tejadafor roberts
luke scott chris duncan
mike costanzo pete kozma
matt albers mitchell boggs
troy patton jess todd
dennis sarfate ---

these are actually pretty comparable packages. scott and duncan are very similar players, late-blooming left-handed sluggers. kozma is a better prospect than costanzo, and boggs / albers and todd / patton are more or less washes. the throw-in of dennis sarfate is not insignificant ---- he throws a zillion miles an hour, and he picked up 80 innings in the baltimore bullpen this year. and the other, perhaps most pertinent, difference here is that the astros’ offer for tejada also included payroll relief: they took $26m off the orioles’ books. the cards would not be providing a similar value if they traded for roberts, in which case the orioles might (probably would) demand more value in the form of talent.

but let’s just say they didn’t; let’s say they’d give roberts to the cardinals for the 4 players listed here, and the the cards could extend roberts for another 3 years at the market rate. good move? bad move?

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I want to say bad move BUT

for the most part, we don’t have anyone that will be challenging for the 2nd base role in the near future. I don’t know if it would really hurt us developing anyone from within. The prospects listed aren’t ones that we would be dead without.

I don’t know if Baltimore would accept this deal, but if it was a possibility, I would have to tell Mo to pull the trigger on it.

by JBagKY on Sep 18, 2008 8:42 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I definately think the Cards

will make a move for a 2B this offseason. The 3 most reasonable candidates would have to be Kelly Johnson, Orlando Hudson, or Roberts. Johnson would cost less, is under control for longer, but not quite as talented. The only way a Roberts deal gets done is if an extension window is involved. I have to believe it would take more than 3 years for it to work though. If he hit the FA market, 14 M sounds about right for 4 years, so why would he take less? Compound that with the prospects we give up, it seems like a lot when we could just sign Hudson for a draft pick.

Kelly Johnson seems like the best answer if he’s available. Would cost 2-3 good, but not great prospects. Not sure what the Braves are looking for, but a package with one of our OF prospects seems reasonable. Maybe Jay, Boggs, Mortenson?

by CrimsonBirdFan on Sep 18, 2008 8:44 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I would hate to give up Koz and Todd but....

we need MIF help badly. I was personally wondering what it would take to get one of the Marlin’s MIFers. What would they want for Uggla or Rameriez? I wouldn’t play Hanley at SS but I think he wouldn’t be too bad at 2B so either way we would be taking care of the right side of the IF. I would have to think FLA would want more for either of those 2 then Bal will want for Roberts.

by StLHugo on Sep 18, 2008 8:44 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Ramirez is as close to untouchable

as there is in the game…he is signed thru 2014 for a very reasonable price and is one of the top 3 offensive players in the league…i would give everyone we had for him including the whole Springfield franchise, park and all…maybe they would take that.

"Baseball is like church. Many attend, but few understand." -Wes Westrum

by nomar34 on Sep 18, 2008 10:43 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I like your deal

for Roberts, an excellent player…..and a guy with a good attitude in the dugout. He is a quality player and person.

As you say, however, we have to lock him up for three years – no more of this one-year-and-out nonense.

by ccthemovieman on Sep 18, 2008 8:47 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Two problems I have with your analysis...

1) You’re way undervaluing Jess Todd. Patton is not his equal and never will be.

2) While it is true that teams tended to undervalue draft picks in the past, I think clearly you are overvaluing them vs. prospects at the AA and AAA level. We’re pretty good at evaluating AA and AAA…heck, AAA numbers might as well be treated as major league numbers. That’s not true of high school and college competition. Prospects that have proven they can put up big numbers in the minors are worth way more than a 1st round draft pick.

3) I wouldn’t do this deal. Middle infielders are notorious for bottoming out in their early to mid thirties.

D.GOOCH

-- GOOCH

by GOOCH24 on Sep 18, 2008 8:57 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

True

If I offered you a guy that had hit .280/.332/.398 for his career till age 30 and hit .273/.334/.384 with 4 HR in his age 30 season on a 3yr/9M deal would you take it?

by StLHugo on Sep 18, 2008 9:15 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

For comparison

Roberts up to age 30: .284/.356/.417 and is hitting .300/.380/.459 w/ 9HRs so far in his age 30 season

Roberts is better for sure.

by StLHugo on Sep 18, 2008 9:17 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

disagree on patton

he’s very close to todd, or was before his injury. Comparing them now might not be fair, but Patton last year was a highly regarded prospect who was seen as a potential #2, or maybe #3, starter in the bigs. Todd is a very good comp, IMO.

by chuckb on Sep 18, 2008 9:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm extremely low on Todd relative to everyone else

He throws 87-89 with a slider/cutter he can spot and a case of homeritis once he hit AA, he’s really not more than a #4 to me if he can even stick. Patton isn’t as good as Todd but it’s not like we’re talking superstar here——and Roberts is way better than Tejada was not to mention younger. Duncan has no place on this team any longer, Kozma isn’t more valuable than a standard 1st rounder (probably even less so at this point: .252 .333 .357), Todd is pretty mediocre and Boggs’ AAA numbers weren’t really great either though his stuff is intriguing. We’re talking a 5 win improvement over Kennedy and Miles (going forward, unless anyone expects him to maintain the .340 BABIP) not to mention some frickin positional stability, I’d jump at the chance to deal mediocrity for even a rental star. There’s no Dan Haren 10 K/9 in that group. Sign Furcal or Lowe and we’re probably the best team in the NL (no, seriously) if Carpenter can throw even 100 innings and contenders regardless.

Wainwright
Lowe
Wellemeyer
Pineiro
Carpenter/Others

Schumaker
Roberts
Pujols
Glaus
Ludwick
Rasmus/Ankiel
Molina
Pitcher
Generic Defense First SS

And just replacing Izzy/Franklin/Villone/Flores/Jimenez with Perez/Motte/AverageLefty/AverageLefty/Franklin and coughKinneycough (keeping roles straight) is probably about a 25-30 run improvement by itself plus the 8th/9th inning leverage bonus. Roberts plus that is an 8+ win swing with the rotation basically staying static assuming Wainwright’s health and some upside with Lowe playing in front of stellar defense and Carpenter’s what if.

heck, AAA numbers might as well be treated as major league numbers.

Let’s not get too hyperbolic, see Reyes, Anthony and Gordon, Alex. I know I know, two anecdotes, but AAA numbers aren’t the same as ML ones.

Kosuke Fukudome: $48 million .259 .360 .378
Skip Schumaker: $Free .305 .361 .414
Skippy needs a new publicist

by joker24 on Sep 18, 2008 9:45 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Side note: did anyone else realize Lowe was 6'6!?!

Kosuke Fukudome: $48 million .259 .360 .378
Skip Schumaker: $Free .305 .361 .414
Skippy needs a new publicist

by joker24 on Sep 18, 2008 9:51 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

last spring, the Cubs thought they had acquired Roberts

but ultimately the owner nixed the deal. Many variations of packages were rumored, but here’s one that might have been the final offer(off “Oriole Central”):

Roberts for Gallagher, Cedeno, Murton, and either Marshall or Veal

start with the fact the Cubs package would net 2 years of Roberts and relatively speaking, the package suggested above (dunc, koz, todd, boggs) for one year seems like overpayment.

by vances law on Sep 18, 2008 9:18 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Overpayment?

How is it overpayment if the Cubs’ package didn’t get the deal done?

by Hal Lanier's Pants on Sep 18, 2008 9:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think the MLB Owner's...

The MLB Owner’s shot down one of the Cubs deals because they were going to handy cap whoever they sold the franchise too, but I don’t remember which one. Was this the one they shot down?

by StLHugo on Sep 18, 2008 10:23 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

because of the missing year of Roberts.

the cubs oackage was for two years of BR
the proposed Cards package is only for one year.

by abothecardinal on Sep 18, 2008 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh my god!

Just as I was warming to this idea I looked at b-r’s page for his comps. #2 on Roberts’ comp list is the one and only Adam Kennedy! Yikes!

by chuckb on Sep 18, 2008 9:42 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

gah!

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

damn you Htown, i had a really cool comment ready to go about him & AK

being really similar, and you went off & stole my thunder.

poop.

if i’m MO, i’m really really cautious about picking up anther 2nd baseman from the AL in his early 30’s. this team needs to get younger & better. not a little older, and slightly better.

I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!

by gdm426 on Sep 18, 2008 2:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I guess you both

missed my comments earlier where I listed the career numbers for both up to age 30

by StLHugo on Sep 18, 2008 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'd have been a fan of this move

one or two years ago.

But Roberts is on the wrong side of thirty for a second baseman. It’s a short list of second baggers who have aged well, and they’re all hall of famers or close (Hornsby, Morgan, Whittaker… Heck, Sandberg didn’t even age that well).

I think that package (specifically Boggs and Todd) might be giving up too much for a player that may rapidly and drastically drop off (Alomar, Kennedy).

hecanthithecanthithecanthithecanthit

by Alxfritz on Sep 18, 2008 10:00 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

You make a good point

about second sackers not aging well. That would cause me to think twice about a deal like that.

by cardsgirl95 on Sep 18, 2008 10:22 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Can we pull a Biggio?

Can Yadi play 2nd? I kid

by StLHugo on Sep 18, 2008 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Personally,

I would like to see Yadi back behind the dish THIS year. Do you realize that we haven’t won since he has been out?

by cardsgirl95 on Sep 18, 2008 10:58 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

so that's what's going on!

stay healthy Yadier!

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 12:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

wish my sig were true

+100000

- Y.2.2

"But listen, and understand: more Molinas are out there. They can't be bargained with. They can't be reasoned with. They don't feel pity, or remorse, or fear. And they absolutely will not stop, ever, until there is one on every Major League roster." - HBT

by Yadi2Second on Sep 18, 2008 2:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why can't Brian Anderson learn 2b?

Baseball's only fun if you're playing it, watching it, or thinking about it.

by Eckstreem on Sep 18, 2008 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I seriously can't tell if this is a joke or not...

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 3:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

if joe morgan could do it

it can’t be that hard.

"All I am saying is give Freese a chance!" -- nmstar

by SleepyCA on Sep 18, 2008 5:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Off topic, but...

I just saw that LaRussa is shaking up the lineup for tonight’s game. Could be a fun game to watch/listen to. Here’s what I figure would be the most extreme “shake up.” I guess Phelps could play first, but I don’t see Albert wanting not to play during a skid.

Brendan Ryan RF
Brian Barden 3B
Albert Pujols 1B
Felipe Lopez 2B
Nick Stavinoha LF
Aaron Miles SS
Mark Johnson C
Kyle Lohse P
Brian Barton CF

by TNCardsFan on Sep 18, 2008 10:26 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Ryan in RF, Arrrrrgh!

There are 4 SS in this line-up and arguably the worst is actually playing it…why not Lopez in RF Ryan at SS and Miles at 2B? Im not a fan of Floppy in the OF by any means but why put an above avg SS glove in RF? I do like Barton in CF but why in the hell is he not leading off or at lease in the 2 hole! Why, Tony? Why must you do this to me? my eye is twitching, i must go…

"Baseball is like church. Many attend, but few understand." -Wes Westrum

by nomar34 on Sep 18, 2008 10:59 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Guess?

You do realize that was his guess at what the most extreme shake-up could be, right?

by Jack618 on Sep 18, 2008 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

im really not smart enough

to read the whole thing and comprehend it too

"Baseball is like church. Many attend, but few understand." -Wes Westrum

by nomar34 on Sep 18, 2008 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

barden at third? what a novel concept!

since he’s apparently awesome at fielding third base, i doubt tony would put him there. better to slide him in somewhere he’s played before, like catcher.

by mattybobo on Sep 18, 2008 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn't say awesome.....

I know E’s aren’t everything, but it’s all I could find at the moment…..Barden had 15 of them in the minors. Nobody on the current Cardinal roster has more than 7 except Izturis, who has 10.

by SoonerfanTU on Sep 18, 2008 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

hm. i thought i remembered some blurb posted here recently about him being one of the better defensive guys at third

in whatever league he was in at the time. and thirteen of those errors were at shortstop (i assume you mean this year?). i just meant that third has been his primary position and as far as i know he’s been good at it.
caveat; i am far from an expert on defense or anything, i’m pretty much going on some light b-r research and stuff that other people have said.

by mattybobo on Sep 18, 2008 12:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think Barden has played SS this year which honestly is not a position he should be palying.

I think when Barden had rave reviews about his defense it was when he was playing 3B.

See Barden does not have the power to play 3B so he figures by playing ss or 2B his power numbers will look better. SS and 2B are not good defensive positions for him though. He even said on an interview on FSN he moved to SS because he knew he did not have enough power to get a legit look at 3B in the majors.

So Barden played SS for Memphis this year and obviously it’s not a great defensive position for him.

by ICbirdfan on Sep 18, 2008 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

glaus just got back into the lineup

why would we bench him?

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Very, Very Good Analysis
this is the type of move walt jocketty used to make routinely - ie, it represents the philosophy of the past, so i don’t think it’s particularly likely. besides, jocketty operated in a different environment, in which teams tended to undervalue their draft picks; the phillies could have gotten a higher return for scott rolen if they’d simply let him walk and taken the picks, but most teams didn’t tabulate their balance sheets that way in 2002. jocketty would have offered the orioles skip schumaker, mark worrell, and allen craig, and the orioles might have said “ah, what the hell” and pulled the trigger. you can’t get away with that in 2009.

This, better than most everything I’ve read, distills why I was not all that disappointed at the trade deadline. It seems that many folks, including, perhaps, TLR, don’t understand that the underlying assessments of prospects and draft picks have completely altered the trade landscape from what it was five years ago. Teams value draft picks and prospects more highly, meaning that they are less likely to find common ground on a player nearing the end of his deal because each team’s view of the cost/benefits of the trades are far apart.

"I'm gonna throw the nastiest curveball I have ever thrown...if he hits it, I'll tip my cap, but if not we're going to the Series."

--Adam Wainwright on the final pitch of the 2006 NLCS

by bgh on Sep 18, 2008 10:32 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

+1

Mo was also going into his first trade deadline and i’m sure wasn’t given too much respect.

"Sorry about him, he's dealing with being an inker. " - Chasing Amy

by FutureMan on Sep 18, 2008 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Extremely good post ln

But im to drain to respond to it. Is there some kind of support group I can join?

by Evilfrog on Sep 18, 2008 10:43 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

speaking from an outsiders perspective

while it’d be nice to have a little more talent in the middle infield, I don’t see that as being the Cardinals biggest problem right now.

Considering the issues the Cardinals have had in late innings this year, I would think those prospects would be better used getting some help for the bullpen.

the 30 blown saves this year seem like the bigger issue.

also, as alxfritz mentioned, roberts is getting old…..personally I would pass on roberts.

---AC 00 00 00 - Believe

by mjk83 on Sep 18, 2008 10:50 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

+1

"No matter where you go, there you are" Buckeroo Bonzai Across the 8th Dimension

by sportsman on Sep 18, 2008 12:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

2009??

LB says he doesn’t think 2009 is our year. My question is, if not ‘09, when? Albert will be 29, which is probably at or near his peak (unless injuries catch up with him). We should have Wainright and Carp back at full strength. Yadi has blossomed (as expected) into the premier catcher in the NL. We have an emerging closer. And we have a very young, talented, and cheap outfield. We should have payroll headroom even at today’s budget or with a slight bump. I’ve been thinking all year we were setting up for 2009, and cutting management lots of slack because of it. I can’t see postponing again.

by Secret Weapon on Sep 18, 2008 10:55 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

That is my question too.....

All we have been told is that ’08 was a rebuild/stand pat year, and ’09 would be when we could go add a quality player or two and make a run at things.

by SoonerfanTU on Sep 18, 2008 11:02 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think

We really can’t expect to rebuild in 09. the underlying assumption of his initial post was that the cardinals wouldn’t be contenders into September. Granted, now that we’ve fallen off the face of the earth, success in 09 is a little hard to discern.

I do think that the Roberts deal is a good one. mainly because it doesn’t remove our “premier” prospects(jones, anderson, rasmus, wallace, freese), keeps most of our pitching depth intact(i’d prefer to see mcclellan moved only because I think the orioles might bite on his “mlb experience”) so while giving up boggs would hurt, it wouldn’t be motte/perez aka the bullpen stabilizing that is ALSO needed to contend in 09

"...and pujols has given st louis the lead"

by tgreenfield on Sep 18, 2008 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

and Comedy Central

may not do us any favors anymore. The more protracted this “rebuilding” is, the faster everyone else laps us.

I wish we’d just lock in. It can’t be easy on the guys when they don’t know who’s coming up. Or if they know who it is, all but three guys are competing for work. What was an asset in the spring may have worn the rooks out by fall. “I know I can depend on Insert-Name-Here” ain’t the best team-building.

- Y.2.2

"But listen, and understand: more Molinas are out there. They can't be bargained with. They can't be reasoned with. They don't feel pity, or remorse, or fear. And they absolutely will not stop, ever, until there is one on every Major League roster." - HBT

by Yadi2Second on Sep 18, 2008 2:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't see

Houston or Milwaukee “lapping” us anytime soon. The Cardinals probably have the healthiest farm system in the NL Central right now, with the Reds being a very close second. The Cubs are about 2 years away from having an aging, expensive, declining roster that they won’t be able to get rid of because their top 12 players will all have no-trade clauses.

The Reds are the team that I would worry about. Some really good young players (Keppinger, Encarnacion, Bruce, Votto, Phillips), pitching (Harang, Volquez, Cueto) and a solid bullpen. They are a team that could contend next year by adding a player or two.

"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller

by fourstick on Sep 18, 2008 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

so my dad reminds me

At every opportunity. (Reds fan from the 70s.)

I guess ‘lapped’ is an exaggeration. I meant more that we can’t assume we can limp in with, oh, 83 wins with a ticket to the playoffs. And the core of our team won’t be any younger 2 years from now.

I agree, though, the farm system has been a revelation. That’s been the most exciting part of this season.

- Y.2.2

"But listen, and understand: more Molinas are out there. They can't be bargained with. They can't be reasoned with. They don't feel pity, or remorse, or fear. And they absolutely will not stop, ever, until there is one on every Major League roster." - HBT

by Yadi2Second on Sep 18, 2008 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good Move

I would do that move in a heart beat. I don’t care about keeping tons of young talent with margin likely hood that they will be good some day.

In 2009 we actually have a chance to be a very good team. I would rather see the Cards try to win next year then play for 2011 or 2012. Its the difference between being the Red Sox or the Indians or As

The Indians, Twins and As have good young teams, but they can’t get to the end because they don’t pull the trigger. Young players take you so far but they won’t take you all the way. Put the farm system to use and et us an actually good player.

by thoran85 on Sep 18, 2008 11:12 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

the difference between the Red Sox, Indians, and A's

is the Red Sox have a great farm system and have tons of money. whereas the other two clubs don’t have the money to keep their home grown talent after it matures…the Red Sox do not go out and sign big time free agents anymore they may trade a few parts for impact players but they have the money to draft the high profile players the next year to restock the system. so the only difference between these franchises is money and while the Cards may have more than the A’s and Indians they don’t come close to the Red Sox, Yankees or Mets, therefore we cannot go and trade away all of our farm for a one year rental because we do not have the money to replace those pieces with non-cost controlled talent.

"Baseball is like church. Many attend, but few understand." -Wes Westrum

by nomar34 on Sep 18, 2008 2:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bedard on a non-Cardinal note btw has a torn labrum

This has to be up there in the worst trade ever category now. Adam Jones was an above average CF’er taking into account his defense as a rookie with huge upside; plus he has the best picture ever that made it to the lab, Sherrill a pretty good reliever, Chris Tillman dominated AA and projects as front of the rotation stuff. This for 80 mediocre innings in one of the worst seasons in franchise history and a likely non-tender coming up.

Kosuke Fukudome: $48 million .259 .360 .378
Skip Schumaker: $Free .305 .361 .414
Skippy needs a new publicist

by joker24 on Sep 18, 2008 11:27 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

no kidding

I remember a thread back last fall where there were a ton of people clamoring about trading Colby and Anderson to get Bedard and go “all-in” to make a charge in 2008. Hope some of those people are eating some major crow right now.

"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller

by fourstick on Sep 18, 2008 3:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Its another example of why there are no "proven" pitchers.

Only pitchers that have previously had success. However, pitchers have high variance from year to year and a high chance of sudden implosion due to injury or just decline.

It doesn’t matter weather your trade for a “proven” ace, or get on through FA. You don’t know what you are going to get. Its almost as likely that Todd could start next year and be as effective as some of the “proven” FAs that people want to go after.

I have no issues with spending on position players who are more projectable. There is still risk, but its much less.

Look at the number of disasterous contracts given to pitchers over the last few years. Nagle, Hampton, Zito, Mulder, (possibly Carp), Schmidt, and others. Now try to name a similar long list of position player disasters. There were a few that were predictably dumb, but far fewer surprises.

by DriverZn on Sep 18, 2008 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You usually get what you pay for when you buy a bat.......

There are some dumb contracts on bats-Torri Hunter, Gary Matthews, Jr., Ken Griffey, Jr., Aaron Rowand are all overpaid IMO for what they bring to the table. But every one of them has managed to stay on the field and contribute SOMETHING. You can’t say that for a lot of the pitchers.

And when you look at Bedard and what Seattle traded for him, don’t forget to look at Carlos Silva and what they are paying him……

She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.

by jillsinmo on Sep 18, 2008 5:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wanted Bedard.

so consider crow eaten – though I did caveat my comments with “if he is healthy”…

"All I am saying is give Freese a chance!" -- nmstar

by SleepyCA on Sep 18, 2008 5:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ha! The Cardinals will probably be at the front of the line to sign him and re hab him.....

after Seattle non tenders him.

She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.

by jillsinmo on Sep 18, 2008 6:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

don't give em any ideas

Sheesh!

* sarcasm might be involved in this comment

by mattyfrommo on Sep 18, 2008 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

just read up on this

over at USS MAriner, and apparently bedard wasn’t injured when the trade was made. he hurt himself on opening day.

Wow, just wow… and all those feeding-frenzy MSM posts about how he wasn’t a team player for only wanting to throw 100ish pitches were just flat out disgusting in retrospect.

"All I am saying is give Freese a chance!" -- nmstar

by SleepyCA on Sep 18, 2008 10:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I dont think Baltimore accepts that trade

The analysis of how the baseball world has changed over the last 5 years is dead on. I think it takes better prospects to get a deal like this done. The problem with the Cards and Baltimore trying to make a trade is that our “big prospects” are guys at positions where Baltimore doesn’t need the help. It would take a prospect of Rasmus or Anderson’s level in this package to make it happen. But as Lboros already stated, Baltimore is deep at catcher and center field.

Plus, if they are weak up the middle as well, why in the world would they trade Roberts to begin with? If the Cardinals had a guy of Rasmus’ caliber but happened to be a second baseman or shortstop, then the Orioles may be willing to part with Roberts. But let’s be honest, the Cardinals don’t and the Orioles aren’t going to make this move.

Something has to happen up the middle in 09 though. If you can get an impact bat to play 2nd or SS, you can settle with having an Izturis (or some defense first MIF). The 2009 season has potential to be a great season for the Cards, if they make sure they take care of this problem up the middle. The other issue that must be addressed is the left handed side of the bullpen. You MUST get a proven, no nonsense lefty. Please just go get Fuentes..please!

I really think if the Cards prioritize the following three things, they will be one of if not the best team in the NL next year:

1. Get an impact bat to play 2nd or SS
2. Get Fuentes or some other left handed reliever of his caliber
3. Either resign Looper or get Lowe

Pretty simple…Cards have a lot coming off the books this offseason (Edmonds, J. Encarnacion, Izzy, etc)…go out and make these 3 moves…please!

by hockeyno93 on Sep 18, 2008 11:37 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

few problems

1. what ss/2b IMPACT bat is available?

2. Fuentes only wants to close and IMO Perez will be at least his equal for 1/10 of the cash.

3. Lowe sure would be nice, but there’s going to be lots of teams in on him

by FunkeeC on Sep 18, 2008 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

they have a lot of money coming off the books

but they also have lot of players that are due raises this year too:

Carp – $3.5 mil raise
Pinata – $2.5 mil raise
AK – $0.5 mil raise
Frank – $0.5 mil raise
Yaddi – $1.75 mil raise
ADAM – $2.1 mil raise
Welley – Arb eligible (should go way up) currently $1 mil
Ankiel – Arb eligible (should go way up) currently $0.9 mil

that is just south of $11 mil in raises not counting our arb eligible players that will receive multi-million dollar raises…so if payroll stays the same we won’t have that much money to work with…

"Baseball is like church. Many attend, but few understand." -Wes Westrum

by nomar34 on Sep 18, 2008 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Tons of teams

have money coming off the books. The Yankees alone have like $80+ million coming off. The Red Sox have about half that coming off. The Braves are in the $45M+ range… There’s more.

  

by Hal Lanier's Pants on Sep 18, 2008 3:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yankees

They have $80 million coming off the books, but they already have the highest payroll in baseball by a large margin, will probably spend $20 to $25 million a year to get CC for the next 7 years, and have to take into account that the Baseball Jesus (Jeter) will be a free agent soon and is likely to command top dollar again, although he’s clearly not worth it anymore. Unless they’re going right back up to a $200 million payroll, I don’t see them spending buckets of cash this offseason, and they don’t have any prospects that hold super high value anymore, after Kennedy and Hughes flamed out a bit this year.

"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller

by fourstick on Sep 18, 2008 3:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

OK

So maybe they won’t spend all $80 M. Say they only spend $60 M. That’s still a ton, and there’s a lot of other teams with $30, 40+ M to spend.

by Hal Lanier's Pants on Sep 18, 2008 6:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I heard that

the Yankees might be frustrated with Cano. How bout Anderson and prospect for Cano?

by eglasier on Sep 18, 2008 11:56 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm sort of on the fence about that trade

at first it seemed like a good idea (thinking hell, I’d even throw in another player), but something tells me if we make that trade, Jess Todd ends up being some kind of pitching wizard and Brian Roberts turns into Adam Kennedy. I think the guy is a bit too old to trade away 2 potentially good pitchers for a year, plus others.

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 12:43 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Somebody educate me

LB says the Orioles t"can get two 1st-rounders for roberts if they simply let him play out his option"

But what if the team that signs him has a protected 1st round pick? Then don’t the O’s just get a sandwich and a 2nd rounder? That could be a huge difference.

by Hal Lanier's Pants on Sep 18, 2008 1:14 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, that's the part everyone over looks

there is a risk involved.

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 1:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed...

LB is playing fast and loose with the draft rules a bit… The value of picks drops dramatically as you work through the teens and into the twenties and thirties. Just go to BR and look at the odds of a thirtysomething pick making an impact. Last draft the Mets got an 18 and a 33 for losing Glavine to the Braves.

Other teams that lost type A players:
Milwaukee – F. Cordero – Received a 32 and a 53
Milwaukee – Linebrink – Received a 35 and a 54
Philadelphia – Rowand – Received a 34 and a 51
Minnesota – T. Hunter – Received a 27 and a 31

These picks are valuable, but “two first rounders” is somewhat misleading.

by guayzimi on Sep 18, 2008 2:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think the idea of calling supplemental picks

following the first round “first-rounders” is misleading. They often are picks #‘d 30-something through 40-something and often into the 50’s. I’m uncomfortable calling the 50th pick in the draft a “first-rounder” though that’s often what they’re called. Nonetheless, it’s still a pretty good bounty.

As for the picks being protected if it’s one of the first 15, that’s true. However, the vast majority of top-notch free agents, and the idea is that Roberts would be one of those, are signed by teams selecting after pick #15. The probability is probably 80% that it would be a first-round pick, somewhere between 16 and 30, and a supplemental first-rounder between 35 and 45. It has considerable value.

by chuckb on Sep 18, 2008 2:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

In the two years...

this system has been in place, eight first round picks have changed hands due to a type A signing, while eight others would have, except they were protected. In two other instances teams in the 15-30 range signed TWO type A free agents and so lost their 1st and 2nd round picks. Big names like Zito and Soriano were signed by teams with protected picks. So it hasn’t been true that the teams with protected picks stay away from the big names. Perhaps this is due to the added bonus of having a protected pick, or it might be that high-payroll teams have struggled recently.

by guayzimi on Sep 18, 2008 2:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

+1

facts over speculation.

by Hal Lanier's Pants on Sep 18, 2008 3:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

An alternative...

Instead of giving all of those players away and handing $14 mil to Roberts, why don’t we fork out the money for Furcal and preserve our youngsters?

  • Check out their almost identical 162-game averages *

Roberts: AVG OBP SLG HR(10) SB/CS(37/10) RBI

Furcal: AVG OBP SLG HR(12) SB/CS(37/10) RBI

Of course, Furcal is coming off of injury… but he’s had over 550 AB’s since 2002… so it’s not like injuries are a chronic issue for him. Okay, this is starting to get uncanny… They were also both born in October of ’77.

I know that the Dodgers may be keeping Furcal. But, if not, doesn’t this seem like the way to go?

by AndyB83 on Sep 18, 2008 1:59 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

i agree

and to be honest, SS has been the black hole this year not 2b. although i dont think you can count on miles having another year like he had this year.

by FunkeeC on Sep 18, 2008 2:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Whoops... I screwed that up.

Here are those stats comparing Roberts & Furcal’s 162-game averages:

Roberts: .284 BA, .356 OBP, .417 SLG, 10 HR, 37 SB, 10 CS, and 61 RBI

Furcal: .287 BA, .352 OBP, .412 SLG, 12 HR, 37 SB, 10 CS, and 59 RBI

by AndyB83 on Sep 18, 2008 2:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

this is really an interesting point for several reasons

1. it addresses an area of more pressing concern. We could still use some combo of Miles/Lopez at 2b while waiting for Kozma or Niko to develop
2. it would save us 4 pretty good prospects
3. it would probably save a year on the back end of the contract. Could we not sign Furcal to a 3 year $36 M contract this offseason rather than extending Roberts 3 years and $42 M AFTER this season, thus having Furcal for 3 years rather than Roberts for 4? The year we would save would be Furcal’s age 34 year which would probably be his least productive.

The concerns about Furcal are:
1. he’s probably average at best as a defender, whereas Roberts is probably slightly above average
2. the injuries this year
3. his lack of productivity last year.
4. Furcal will be a Type-A and would cost the Cards their first round pick (unless our last 12 games or so are awful). But we’d basically be trading the 16th pick in the draft for Todd, Duncan, Boggs, and Kozma.

Still, while I’m hesitant to give a 31 year old middle infielder a 3 year, big money contract, wouldn’t it make more sense to just pay Furcal as a FA rather than trade 4 guys for Roberts and then pay him for 3 more? The more I think about it, the more I like it.

by chuckb on Sep 18, 2008 2:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is Furcal a type A?

blogspot is blocked here so I can’t check, but I thought that tigers-thoughts blog that cracked the elias scheme said he wasn’t? From what I can find on google he looks like he has about the same 58ish rating as aaron miles. Can someone please click the link below and verify?

link

Also, getting Furcal as an FA does not preclude us from getting Roberts as well.

"All I am saying is give Freese a chance!" -- nmstar

by SleepyCA on Sep 18, 2008 2:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not even...

a type B. Difficult to believe, but I suppose given the lack of playing time.

by guayzimi on Sep 18, 2008 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

how is that possible?

isn’t it based on the last 2 years of production? Well, maybe he’s not in the top 20%. I must admit, I tried to find it and couldn’t and just assumed he would be type-A. It’s still a better idea than Roberts even if he were.

by chuckb on Sep 18, 2008 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Furcal just isn't that good

He only put up a .689 OPS in 07

by FlimtotheFlam on Sep 18, 2008 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

off year

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 4:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

No he had an "off" year in 2008

as in, he was “off” all year.

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

over his career

as Andy pointed out, he’s been as good as Roberts. Over his last 162 games, he’s been better. Look it up.

by chuckb on Sep 18, 2008 5:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Furcal OPS...

But Furcal had a 1.045 OPS in 134 ABs in 2008. Now we can’t assume that he would sustain this over 500 or 600 ABs… but based on his career numbers (as HC alluded to), I don’t think we can automatically pencil him in for an OPS as low as .689 either.

I don’t know what type free agent he will be classified as (seems we’re having trouble nailing that down), but if we trade for Roberts, it’s possible that Kozma would be involved. So, in a sense, we’d be giving up a #1 pick as well as other prospects we’re excited about.

HC outlined the pros and cons above. I just don’t see a reason to invest in Robert with significant payroll AND significant prospects when we may be able to simply spend the money on an almost identical offensive player.

As far as defense goes, Furcal actually accumulated more win shares with his glove and has gotten to more balls out of his zone (OOZ) than Roberts every year since 2004 (with the exclusion of this year). However, Roberts successfully turned more balls into outs within his zone (RZR) in 2007 (Roberts’ .840 to Furcal’s .823), 2006 (Roberts’ .887 to Furcal’s .812), and 2005 (Roberts’ .847 to Furcal’s .837). If I understand defensive statistics correctly (which I very well may not), the RZR is the more telling number when comparing a 2B and SS as looks at percentage of plays made on balls in the player’s zone. The other two stats may be biased towards Furcal because he plays a position where more balls are hit; therefore, he has more opportunities to make plays on balls out of his zone than Roberts at 2B. All of the above stats can be found at thehardballtimes.com

by AndyB83 on Sep 18, 2008 6:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

On defense

fair enough. I only compared their RZRs and didn’t delve that deeply in to it. The judgments I made about their respective defenses were only based on RZR.

by chuckb on Sep 18, 2008 9:56 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah

I was pretty scared about signing Furcal a month or two ago, but I think he’s a gamble that’ll be worth checking out, especially if he A. doesn’t just stay with the Dodgers and B. doesn’t ask for a TON of money.

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The team seems to be.....

trying out Lopez for the super-sub role for next year. The question is, will he accept that role, or will he be looking to start somewhere?

I’d love to have him on the bench, or possibly even starting at 2B. Not sure I want him at SS full time.

by SoonerfanTU on Sep 18, 2008 2:06 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

nah

I think he is too much of a defensive liability to start at SS. to start at 2B though, we may be able to get away with that… plus we’ll have kennedy as defensive replacement, since he’s on the payroll… as much as we would like it, I don’t think they are going to simple dfa him.

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 2:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

to go along with this

we’d have brendan ryan as defensive replacement for furcal in close games

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'll have my super-sub with mayo

That does seem to be a winning formula for the Cards. We knew we could count on guys like Taguchi and Spiezio to fill in the gaps. Who is our super-sub of the future?

Besides Albert, of course, who I’m sure is taking top-secret catching lessons with Yadi.

- Y.2.2

"But listen, and understand: more Molinas are out there. They can't be bargained with. They can't be reasoned with. They don't feel pity, or remorse, or fear. And they absolutely will not stop, ever, until there is one on every Major League roster." - HBT

by Yadi2Second on Sep 18, 2008 2:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

right on...

i don’t see the benefit in trading for someone if we can get a comparable player on the market. it’s way too much of a bounty to get a bounty of prospects plus a premium contract…

by bwhitt on Sep 18, 2008 2:28 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

It would be Foolish to get Roberts

Haven’t we learned that MIF tend to age very poorly. We all complain of AK’s contract but what if instead of $4 mil it is $14 mil to be paid to the poorly playing MIF. It seems MIF start to go down at 28 or younger than eventually fall off the cliff. (Izturius is only 28)

Kelly Johnson I think would still be our best bet. Atlanta needs pitching and OFers. Some tandum of Boggs + Jay + Prospect should be able to land KJ.

by FlimtotheFlam on Sep 18, 2008 3:05 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

how horrible would it be

to trade those guys for Roberts and then have him in decline? haven’t we learned our lesson?

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Nothing ventured...

nothing gained… Sitting around worrying about all the things that could prove to be horrible will never make the team #1 in a 30 team league. In order to be first you have to take on some risk.

by guayzimi on Sep 18, 2008 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

hence furcal

not as a big a risk!

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

is it totally silly of me to dream of a kelly johnson + jHHHHonny peralta middle infield?

both solid and young. the prospect of no holes in our offense save the pitcher makes me salivate (assuming yadi can continue to be an average mlb bat playing catcher).
and yeah, i’d hate to repeat the kennedy experiment.

by mattybobo on Sep 18, 2008 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

jhonny peralta is not going anywhere.....he fits nicely in the Indians line up.

Kelly Johnson is not a very good fielder at 2nd base. I can live with that if he brings his bat; can the on field management?

She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.

by jillsinmo on Sep 18, 2008 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I can do one better than you lboros

While I’ve been advocating getting Roberts for a long time, I think targeting Jhonny Peralta is actually a better deal for the Cardinals. Here’s what my deal would look like:

Cards Get : Jhonny Peralta (who then agrees to a 4 year extension for $8M per year)

Indians Get: Brian Anderson, Duncan/Mather, Boggs/Todd, Kozma

Cleveland has a replacement for Peralta already in Asdrubal Cabrera, and they still seem to be high on him even though everyone else has cooled off. They will be losing Victor Martinez to free agency and would probably be looking for a low-cost solution to replace him, so Anderson is a fit. Not sure who they would want between Duncan and Mather — on one hand they sorely need a corner outfielder with some pop, but they also need someone at 1B/DH besides Garko if Hafner is done (and it looks like he might be). I’m ok with parting with either of them in this trade, but not both. They’d need a top pitching prospect — I’m ok with either Boggs or Todd, but I lean more towards dealing Boggs from a organizational perspective and Todd from a talent perspective. I think Boggs is the more talented pitcher, but Todd has that power sinker, which fits into the organizational philophy nicely. Last, if you’re going to sign Peralta for 4-5 years, and you still have Niko Vasquez, I think you can part with Kozma if that helps you get the deal done. If you start Peralta at SS next year, and Rasmus is able to make the big club, your lineup looks like this:

Rasmus CF
Peralta SS
Pujols 1B
Ludwick LF
Glaus 3B
Ankiel RF
Molina C
Pitcher
Lopez 2B

If Colby doesn’t make the team you could lead off the platoon of Skip and Barton in left and leave Rick in CF. Either way, I think that’s the best possible trade you could make, and I think the Indians might actually bite when they look at what they’re getting in return.

"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller

by fourstick on Sep 18, 2008 3:45 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Forgot to add

This would also leave, by my calculations, about $14 million left to sign a starting pitcher, assuming the payroll stays the same. I think that the Cards could offer Derek Lowe something around 3Y$36M and have another $2M left over to look for lefty bullpen help on the free-agent market.

"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller

by fourstick on Sep 18, 2008 3:47 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

seeing Duncan in all the trade talk

makes me wonder how much teams will value him, if at all

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't see how Duncan

can have any trade value until he can prove he’s healthy and hitting for power. Something he hasn’t done in about a year and a half, if not longer.

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that's kinda what I was thinking

it’s sort of like, will you take this guy outta our hair?

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

and give us something of value?

Uh, the answer is “no”.

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 5:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

well

we could package him as an extra guy or something, basically giving him away (kinda like reyes)

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If I were the other gm

I would look at that as weakening the deal. Like this….

Balt: “Okay, we’ll give you Brian Roberts for Jess Todd, John Jay and Pete Kozma”

MO: “Um, how ’bout we include Duncan in that offer”

Balt: “Okay, but then you’re going to have to also give us Mitch Boggs.”

MO: “That’s the only way we can get you to take Duncan? Uh……….fine.”

I often say “You’d have to pay me to (fill in the blank)”, but in this case I think it actually makes sense.

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 5:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Duncan just needs to have a kickass ST

then we can trade him (like Bottenfield and AK for what’shisname) for Alexei Ramirez.

I can dream that the White So are looking for a 1B, right?

* sarcasm might be involved in this comment

by mattyfrommo on Sep 18, 2008 6:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not going anywhere

Duncan is not getting traded. His health is a major question – possible career ending (possibly not). Also, TLR loves him. Maybe MO flexes his muscles – but i doubt it. Besides – we still need to sign Dave Duncan!

We can all dream about it, but realistically he is not going to be traded

by Knighttime on Sep 18, 2008 9:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

sorry, explain this to me.

Duncan is club controlled & not going anywhere. If he comes back not healthy enough to play and not injured enough to go on the 60-day, then maybe he takes a 40-man roster spot. Worst case scenario.

So what? Let’s say it takes Chris Duncan 2 years of not doing anything to get his swing back. Do we lose anything beyond $700K by keeping him around? What’s this “take him off our hands” crap? Does he smell bad? Do you think the dip sets a bad example for the kids? What do we gain by having him taken off our hands?

I fully recognize Dunc may never come back and be a hitter. Fine. Even the most jaded of you must recognize that there is a chance — make it as small as you like — that he will come back and hit for serious power. What we should talk about is about him not getting playing time until he shows he’s healed. That I would understand. But he’s not hurting anybody by just being there, unless you really think that DeWitt is going to miss $700K.

This “take him off our hands” business just seems like irrational loathing for a player. It makes no baseball sense to me. I would give away Kennedy if someone would take on his salary, sure. But why do we need Duncan off our hands?

by tom s. on Sep 19, 2008 3:51 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I was beating the drum on this earlier this year

I think Peralta would be a solid addition and the tribe is likely heading into rebuilding mode and may be willing to deal him.

I’d probably swap him and Ank in the lineup you listed

Lopez………..I can only hope he has unreasonable salary demands and ends up being mediocre and overpaid somewhere else net season rather than for us.

by vances law on Sep 18, 2008 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

rotation for the next week

Thu 9/18 Lohse @ CIN
Fri 9/19 Wainwright @ CHC
Sat 9/20 Pineiro @ CHC
Sun 9/21 Looper @ CHC
Mon 9/22 Wellemeyer vs ARI
Tue 9/23 Lohse vs ARI
Wed 9/24 Wainwright vs ARI
Thu 9/25 Pineiro vs ARI

does that look right? i’m planning on going to a couple of the arizona games, and want to catch wainwright. wednesday seems like the best bet, right?

by adiueordie on Sep 18, 2008 3:46 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

We are not going to Sign Derek Lowe

I tend to do a lot of baseball reading around the net and noticed a trend. Everyone wants to sign Derek Lowe. It seems imo, that we all look at the numbers and notice they look decent. Look at his current paycheck and it seems reasonable. Look at his health record and it is solid. Outside of Burnett I have not seen more talk about one pitcher than Lowe. Most people assume Sabathia and Burnett will be out of their price range. So Lowe will be their target.

Mark my words Lowe will receive 4 yr/$50 million contract

by FlimtotheFlam on Sep 18, 2008 4:25 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Lowe

I think you are spot on. He will be way overpaid, and it’ll be a bidding war for his services. In my gut I think Jon Garland is a more likely canidate for the Cards – and he will be overpaid too.

by Knighttime on Sep 18, 2008 9:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Keeping with the Robert's Rules reference:

I motion that we turn Adam Kennedy into the highest paid batting practice pitcher and we also require him to learn to throw left handed.

by StLHugo on Sep 18, 2008 4:30 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Dear Mo,

Sorry Mister Mo,
I really think we should activate that kid from Memphis, whats his name Hoffpauir, so I can play this exciting lineup:

cf miles
1b kennedy
c yadi
p looper
lf lopez
3b barden
2b hoffpauir
ss izturis
rf ryan.
Thanks.
with warmest regards
Anthony LaRussa, supergenius

p.s. most unqualified rookie gms would cherish advice from their hall-of-fame manager

by vances law on Sep 18, 2008 4:46 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Roberts Rules

Sure. But so does Kennedy, and his vote carries equal weight.

If necessary maybe “Bruce Souter” can come out of retirement and break any ties.

by Hal Lanier's Pants on Sep 18, 2008 4:56 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Slumpbusters

Here is what we’ve been waiting for.

Check out this lineup of suck:

Schumaker
Miles LF
Pujols
Lopez RF
Glaus
Kennedy
Johnson C
Lohse
Izturis

According to Bernie

by OCCardsFan on Sep 18, 2008 4:57 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

so um...

Is Izturis pitching or Lohse?

by Evilfrog on Sep 18, 2008 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah

what a shakeup!

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

wow

Lopez as cleanup! who woulda thunk it? oh yeah, TLR

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would probably watch that game if he was

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 5:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I am starting to wonder now if the Cards are just trying to make sure guys meet their incentives?

come on, that Line up is UGLY, but the funny thing is I don’t know if there is a good STL line up.

by ICbirdfan on Sep 18, 2008 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

there could be

if we would have brought up some players

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 5:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

thats just it

there isn’t. Which is why I haven’t watched more than 1 inning of a game in a week.

If we had guys who I could watch that would be a glimpse of next year, then I’d be watching. But i honestly don’t have any interest in watching Aaron Miles, Adam Kennedy, Brendan Ryan, and Felipe Lopez play the outfield (or third base, for what it’s worth). No point in it at all.

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 5:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Just like the bumper sticker says

Shit Happens.

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 5:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yup

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 5:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Okay. Now that made me laugh. Thank you.

She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.

by jillsinmo on Sep 18, 2008 5:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I hope Skip bought the good glove and his running shoes

covering 2 non-OFers? Good luck Skippy!

* sarcasm might be involved in this comment

by mattyfrommo on Sep 18, 2008 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

heh

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 6:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

cubs tied the brewers

guess what? if we didn’t totally implode, removing all evidence of our earlier season, we would probably make the playoffs

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 5:10 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Probably.

Well, hope the Brew Crew wears down the Flub ’pen for us before we get there tomorrow.

by cardsgirl95 on Sep 18, 2008 5:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You're basically asking

Rick Ankiel, Joe Mather, Troy Glaus and Yadier Molina not to get hurt and Kyle McClellan not to get worn out. Among a lot of other things.

This slide was inevitable once guys started dropping like flies.

And what if we were able to squeak into the playoffs with this lineup?

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 5:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

heh

that would be fun

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 5:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

still

you could play Stavinoha and Barton in the OF, Larue isn’t that bad, and they could have played Barden at 3B. still, not liking our chances, but could be better

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, that doesn't really change much.

Barton is the only one who’s really any good out of that bunch, but it’s still a really bad lineup no matter how you shake it.

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 5:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

that's what's funny it's tough to find an exciting/good line up at this point....

I agree the player I am most excited about right now minus Albert, is Brian Barton. I enjoy watching him play and he seems to have more upside than Stav or Barden. I guess it’s nice for Stav or Barden to play but watching them is not that interesting.

by ICbirdfan on Sep 18, 2008 5:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah

Stav is definitely the worst of those guys. Barton definitely has a lot of potential

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 6:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't you know

We already know what Barton and Barden and Stav have to offer. What we really need to see is how Miles can do in the OF and how Kennedy will perform if given an opportunity at 2b.

We are just planning for the future.

by OCCardsFan on Sep 18, 2008 6:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

oh yeah

that makes perfect sense!

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

do we have a future

where there is only one or two players who can play every position? because i’m pretty sick of Tony trying to make everyone Aaron F’ing Miles.

I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!

by gdm426 on Sep 18, 2008 6:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yeah

why does everyone have to play so many gatdam positions

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 6:15 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

we know what Barden has to offer?

what would that be, a seat warmer?

* sarcasm might be involved in this comment

by mattyfrommo on Sep 18, 2008 6:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

There is this part of the official rulebook

that states that you can be ejected if you “make a mockery of the game”. By my standards this line-up fully qualifies for a pre-game ejection of TLR. What point is he trying to prove?

by Woodwork on Sep 18, 2008 6:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That his team, as constrcted, sucks.

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Manny Ramirez: "I voted for Pujols."

link

Not really a big deal, but it just goes to show you how much respect albert has as one of the top very top players in baseball.

defy, cards, defy. hey logic --- you suck.

by effin fisk on Sep 18, 2008 5:27 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Manny meets Guillermo

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wC01VE3O4vE

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 5:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You link trumps my link

That is amazing.

defy, cards, defy. hey logic --- you suck.

by effin fisk on Sep 18, 2008 5:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

i wonder if his mom will make me some tacos?

i’m pretty hungry.

I'm going to go try to find a puppy and kick it. - Brad Thompson AND THAT'S A WINNER!

by gdm426 on Sep 18, 2008 6:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

CUBS WIN CUBS WIN

and I don’t really care. The Brewers have earned my enmity.

There's some fucking pros out there that wanna fucking play the game ... ... but you're stuck in the fucking stigma of the fucking Dodgers, and the Phillies, and the Cardinals, and all that cheap shit.

by Urban Pawnee on Sep 18, 2008 6:11 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

nice

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 6:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The only problem is ...

the Cards play them tomorrow.

That’s going to be ugly.

I may have to get out of town. Too much Cubbie-swagger and Cubbie-glee on display for this guy to stomach.

There's some fucking pros out there that wanna fucking play the game ... ... but you're stuck in the fucking stigma of the fucking Dodgers, and the Phillies, and the Cardinals, and all that cheap shit.

by Urban Pawnee on Sep 18, 2008 6:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bernie said he was going to ask Strauss what was the deal

with Barton, then returned to say that Tony is trying to send a message.

How does this guy have such job security that he can whip his out and waive it in everyone’s face…especially in front of DeWitt’s former business partners with DeWitt on hand?

That’s messed up.

by Hardcore Legend on Sep 18, 2008 6:16 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

yeah

he’s been sabotaging the team since mid-season imo… at least, it could be misconstrued that way

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 6:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

send a message?

what the fuck kind of message could that send?

This crap makes no sense.

* sarcasm might be involved in this comment

by mattyfrommo on Sep 18, 2008 6:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You don't see the genius of

Lopez at 2B and Kennedy in RF?

See we know what we have in Kennedy at 2B and we know what we have with Barton in the OF.

Now we need to see about Kennedy as an outfielder.

by Harknights on Sep 18, 2008 6:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

More importantly

Who is the message sent to? The front office, for not doing anything about an “impact bat”? The team for laying down (if they are)? Barton, for hunting in the offseason and going out with Brad Thompson at night to kick puppies?

Tony, it’s the 21st century. If you want to send a message, e-mail or IM work just as well and don’t have the side effect of aggravating those people that (in a round about way) pay your salary.

by Cardinal70 on Sep 18, 2008 6:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sending a message?

What? Did TLR want Colby up? is that why he playing everyone except STAV and Barton in the OF?

by ICbirdfan on Sep 18, 2008 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Let me do better...

Is Larussa sending a message of saying “I wanted Rasmus up”, you did not give me Rasmus so I will put every single MI out there.

by ICbirdfan on Sep 18, 2008 6:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think the message is

I got shit to do in October. Do I really have to stay to the end? Really??? Well take this then.

by Harknights on Sep 18, 2008 6:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I so wish that was the message

don’t pussyfoot around with that message Tony, come on out and say it dude

* sarcasm might be involved in this comment

by mattyfrommo on Sep 18, 2008 6:29 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

he wants his impact!

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

if that's true

it’s a very childish move. and unprofessional.

it's time to bring the rock!!!!!!!

by Cards Fan in Chitown on Sep 18, 2008 6:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

ridiculous

and the point someone made earlier, jokingly, referring to “making a mockery of the game” seems to apply.

by chuckb on Sep 18, 2008 9:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

out of curiosity

where did that come from. Is there a link. People here are starting to read way too much into it and I’d like to at least read or hear the quote for what it is.

Hmm. I’m assuming now it was on the radio, right?

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 6:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Says he's making a point to DeWitt and Mozeliak.

Nothin'. A handful of nothin'. You stupid mullet head. He beat you with nothin'. Just like today when he kept comin' back at me......with nothin'.

Yeah, well, sometimes nothin' can be a real cool hand.

by Tackle Box on Sep 18, 2008 6:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

so what's the point?

damn we have had a lot of OFs who’ve had really great seasons but some of them are injured now and you didn’t trade the OF I’m not playing (Rasmus) for Matt Holliday so I’m gonna put Adam Kennedy, and Miles, and Yadi, and Jason LaRue and, if I have to, Albert out in the OF so that you can see that we really need more OFs.

Think about how great our OFs have been this year — from Ankiel to Ludwick, Skip, Mather, Barton’s been fine for it being his first season. Only Duncan really stunk it up as an OF this year. The rest have really blossomed. Yet Tony ran Izturis out to short about 140 times and played Adam Kennedy probably 100 times and has never once complained about the lack of production from our middle infielders. Think about that!

TB — don’t take this screed as though it’s directed to you. It’s not.

by chuckb on Sep 18, 2008 10:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You know up until September

this was a good season. I might even say great season. There was hope for the future and even some hope for this season.

Now it’s a dumpster fire…and all I can do is ask what is that smell?!?

by Harknights on Sep 18, 2008 6:26 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

ok i half jokingly said yesterday that i thought TLR is trying to get fired

now I almost believe it to be true

can we let him go play with his boy walt. im kinda over all the veiled comments, power struggles and drama. lets leave that for the rams plskthx!

by FunkeeC on Sep 18, 2008 6:36 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I dont think Baltimore would ever do this deal but if I was Mo Id do it in a heartbeat.

Id even throw in Craig or Freese seeing as Melvin Mora is getting old. This trade locks up our weakest position with an elite player that also fits our team needs perfectly. How often do you get to pull the trigger on a trade like that? Rarely. Todd has major questions and doesnt have a Major League out pitch. Kozma ia years away and is as likely to be average as anything else. We would keep Rasmus, Jones and Wallace and we get an impact player at a position of desperate need. What’s not to like? Honestly I really don’t understand any discension on our side regarding this trade, which is what leads me to feel that it will NEVER happen in the suggested package.

by rlgosnell on Sep 18, 2008 10:33 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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