Game 90 Open Thread -- July 6, 2008
A quick word about Ankiel's at-bat yesterday: Wood never threw him a fastball. Ankiel has struggled against fastballs since he came into the league, according to Josh Kalk's pitch-type stats --- a batting average in the low .200s with just a modicum of power. He's better against off-speed stuff --- murders changeups and hits for great power vs curveballs, although his average against them is low this year. --- LB.
When we last saw Wellemeyer, he was taking a Jason Marquis-like pounding from the Mets -- 12 hits and 6 ER in just 5 IP. It wouldn't have been a surprising start a year ago, but it kind of was this year. I really don't want to say that 3 starts can be a "pattern," but his worst 2 starts of the season have come in his last 3 outings. In those 3 starts, he's gone 13.1 IP w/ 24 H, 3 HR, 5 BB, and just 8 K's. I don't know if he's hurt, but he's clearly not the same pitcher he was through the season's first 2 months. What's interesting, and a little scary, is that his season-high innings pitched before this season was 79.1 -- last season. In '06 he threw 78.1 IP. Before the start in which he was injured, he threw exactly 80 innings. Go get 'em, Todd. I'll be the first to admit that I thought you belonged in the bullpen. Keep proving me wrong.
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looks like i messed up while editing the post
my fault - the sentence is finished now
by lboros on
Jul 6, 2008 2:58 PM EDT
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Ank struggles against fastballs?
I would have never guessed that. It always seems like it’s fastballs that he crushes and breaking balls that drop off the table that he can’t touch.
boo cubs, hooray beer
by Raconteur on Jul 6, 2008 1:51 PM EDT 0 recs
Breaking Stuff gives him trouble
At least, i think. I’ve watched practically every game this year, except those on the Coast and blacked out Saturday games. He’s taken some Preston Wilson-like swings.
by greenwichvillagecard on
Jul 6, 2008 1:58 PM EDT
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That's what I see also
which is why I was surprised that the stats show Ankiel struggling against fastballs.
boo cubs, hooray beer
by Raconteur on
Jul 6, 2008 2:07 PM EDT
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Based on "eyeball"
rather than stats, I’d say Rick has trouble with the fastball in and above his hands… ya better get that heater in, however, or he’ll hurt you! From what I’ve watched, Ank can crush the down-and-in fastball.
Sometimes location is more important than pitch-type; “Pitch f/x” stats can tell us more..
"In this game, don't nobody know nuthin' about nuthin'." -- attributed to Lawrence Peter "Yogi" Berra
by The Ol Goaler on
Jul 6, 2008 2:22 PM EDT
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For what it's worth.
here’s Kalk’s stats on Ankiel for this season… he’s hitting .279 on fastballs he puts in play, with a .341 BABIP overall.
Other tidbits: Ank’s swung and missed 24% against all sliders recorded in this data, and 28% against all changeups… albeit he’s hit three of his 10 recorded bombs against the change. NOT all pitches are recorded with Pitch f/x, so I can’t really tell if my “eveyball” estimates match up with the data! (Oh, well…)
"In this game, don't nobody know nuthin' about nuthin'." -- attributed to Lawrence Peter "Yogi" Berra
by The Ol Goaler on
Jul 6, 2008 2:49 PM EDT
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"on fastballs he puts in play"
apparently he swings through a lot of fastballs
by lboros on
Jul 6, 2008 2:56 PM EDT
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Not so much, according to Kalk...
22 swing-and-misses in 301 fastballs recorded (7%)... he’s fouled off 73 fastballs (24%) of the 301 recorded.
"In this game, don't nobody know nuthin' about nuthin'." -- attributed to Lawrence Peter "Yogi" Berra
by The Ol Goaler on
Jul 6, 2008 3:01 PM EDT
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he's swung at 24 curves this year
and put the ball in play 12 times, or 50 percent. 1 in 6 swings produces a base hit
vs the fastball, he has swung 153 times and put it in play 58 times, or 37 percent . . . . 1 in 9.5 swings produces a base hit.
by lboros on
Jul 6, 2008 3:05 PM EDT
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more data from kalk
against fastballs greater than 90 mph (and wood gets it up there at about 95) ankiel has swung the bat 102 times and produced just 7 base hits . . . . vs 17 swing / misses
by lboros on
Jul 6, 2008 3:10 PM EDT
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Saying Wood "never" threw him a fastball
isn’t much of a statement, considering (a) Ankiel’s a lefty and Wood’s a righty and (b) he only threw two pitches to him.
by Red in Chicago on Jul 6, 2008 2:04 PM EDT 0 recs
Plus, contrary to what was said above
most pitchers/pitching coaches think of Ankiel as a dead-red hitter.
by Hardcore Legend on
Jul 6, 2008 2:06 PM EDT
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if that stat is correct
then maybe some opinions were a little off
by cowcards on
Jul 6, 2008 2:15 PM EDT
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red in chi, considering that the fastball is wood's best pitch
and it’s ankiel’s worst, i would think wood might just go right after ankiel with heat. he did the cards a favor by going with off-speed stuff
by lboros on
Jul 6, 2008 3:07 PM EDT
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Mulder starts on Wednesday vs Philadelphia
The only real positive you can have going into that is the Phillies are only hitting .249 vs LHP. Of course, that doesn’t help much when you look that they have the second highest slugging percentage vs lefties in the NL.
So, maybe what TLR is thinking is that since all Mulder gets is dinked and dunked, he’ll be ok because the only contact the Phillies make vs LHP is hard.
by Hardcore Legend on Jul 6, 2008 2:09 PM EDT 0 recs
They need to know what they have
Why not test him against the best? What doesn’t destroy you makes you stronger and all that…
by Red in Chicago on
Jul 6, 2008 2:11 PM EDT
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we have to find out at some point
what he will be able to do this season so y not
by cowcards on
Jul 6, 2008 2:16 PM EDT
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Philly
Manuel started Hamels on Thursday, despite the Mets series, to get more starts in before the break. I think he’ll go Tuesday. Then we throw Mulder Wednesday. That’s rough.
Which leads me to my question? Will Garcia make starts before September, or is LaDunc committed to keeping him down? Anybody?
by greenwichvillagecard on
Jul 6, 2008 2:26 PM EDT
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There has been almost no organizational chatter anywhere about
bringing up Garcia, Mortenson or Todd (AA). Then again, there never is any-with the sole exception of Rasmus, I think-in advance of people actually being moved.
by Red in Chicago on
Jul 6, 2008 2:36 PM EDT
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why can't we find that out while he's in a bullpen
this is the front office trying to save face. it’s bad management.
by azruavatar on
Jul 6, 2008 3:29 PM EDT
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Lineup
per STLToday.com…
1. Joe Mather, LF
2. Rick Ankiel, CF
3. Albert Pujols, 1B
4. Ryan Ludwick, RF
5. Troy Glaus, 3B
6. Yadier Molina, C
7. Cesar Izturis, SS
8. Todd Wellemeyer, RHP
9. Brendan Ryan, 2B
Ank’s the only lefty batter…
"In this game, don't nobody know nuthin' about nuthin'." -- attributed to Lawrence Peter "Yogi" Berra
by The Ol Goaler on Jul 6, 2008 2:17 PM EDT 0 recs
that could be
an extremely powerful lineup… 5 guys in a row who could hit it out at any time.
"If thats bad luck, lets DFA our luck away." -DriverZN
by SleepyCA on
Jul 6, 2008 2:19 PM EDT
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No kidding
that lineup is loaded with power potential from 1-6.
by Hardcore Legend on
Jul 6, 2008 2:23 PM EDT
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im anxious to see how mather does today
his first at bats against the cubbies
by cowcards on
Jul 6, 2008 2:20 PM EDT
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Ryan Braun beats out Griffey
in the NL starting OF.
by Hardcore Legend on Jul 6, 2008 2:23 PM EDT 0 recs
Which sadly, all that means is that Griffey will replace
Soriano and Fukudome still gets to start. What a world.
by Hardcore Legend on
Jul 6, 2008 2:25 PM EDT
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sounds like he will be though
strikeouts from left-center
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jul 6, 2008 2:50 PM EDT
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Barton to DL?
Can that happen? I thought he wasn’t allowed to go to the DL. Sorry for the stupid question. It will be nice to see Joey Bombs in HD today. Stinks this could have been Colby’s first game..can’t wait for that.
by birdsonthehat on Jul 6, 2008 2:25 PM EDT 0 recs
yes, it can happen
My understanding is that he can also go out on a rehab assignment afterwards, letting him get some more regular ABs. Rule 5 players must be on the active roster for a certain amount of time, but I think it’s only 90 days and, if so, Barton is now past that.
by DCGreg on
Jul 6, 2008 2:36 PM EDT
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i thought rule 5 guys
had to be on the roster for the entire year
by cowcards on
Jul 6, 2008 2:38 PM EDT
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No, just 90 days
he can go on the DL if he is hurt. They can’t make you play with 24 guys.
by Hardcore Legend on
Jul 6, 2008 2:38 PM EDT
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Makes you think
Barton might develop toenail fungus or something while staying at the Memphis Red Roof Inn.
by Red in Chicago on
Jul 6, 2008 2:41 PM EDT
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He won't be back for 45 days
He will miss 15 days on the DL and then take a 30 day rehab assignment, in which he won’t get any playing time because the Memphis OF is already loaded.
by Hardcore Legend on
Jul 6, 2008 2:42 PM EDT
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Not by much
Robinson
Stavinoha
Rasmus
Haerther
Still makes him in a 5 man rotation, if Jay isn’t up by then.
by Hardcore Legend on
Jul 6, 2008 2:44 PM EDT
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Is Haerther in danger of a demotion?
Don’t hear much about him nowadays.
by Red in Chicago on
Jul 6, 2008 2:45 PM EDT
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I think you're right
he’ll be back in time for roster expansion.
by enoscountry on
Jul 6, 2008 2:47 PM EDT
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according to foxsports
Brewers are real close to getting sabathia with LaPorte being the centerpiece
by cowcards on Jul 6, 2008 2:32 PM EDT 0 recs
No Cardinals pitchers made it
A lot of Cubs on this team. Zambrano, Dumpster, Wood.
by Hardcore Legend on
Jul 6, 2008 2:36 PM EDT
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excellent
Plays right into TLR’s “we get no respect” schtick this year.
Pujols obviously will get added and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Ludwick sneak in.
by DCGreg on
Jul 6, 2008 2:37 PM EDT
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Albert had to get picked by Clint
Ryan Ludwick is in.
by Hardcore Legend on
Jul 6, 2008 2:38 PM EDT
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I don't know what that means exactly
could be an insult, but it looks like players were getting it to many first-timers.
by enoscountry on
Jul 6, 2008 2:39 PM EDT
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The players didn't vote Albert in
he had to be selected by the manager to make the team.
by Hardcore Legend on
Jul 6, 2008 2:40 PM EDT
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That .474 OBP just snuck in
"Regression to the mean is so much more fun to watch when it’s a Cub who is regressing." SleepyCA
by joker24 on
Jul 6, 2008 2:43 PM EDT
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so what cardinals
made the team and where are you finding this info.?
by cowcards on
Jul 6, 2008 2:46 PM EDT
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It's on TBS
only Pujols and Ludwick made it. Pujols a managers selection and Ludwick voted in by players.
by Hardcore Legend on
Jul 6, 2008 2:47 PM EDT
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o i see
i dont have tv so ive been looking all over the interent
by cowcards on
Jul 6, 2008 2:48 PM EDT
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There are also links to stories about the full AL and NL
rosters at the MLB all-star game page.
by BTown Birds fan on
Jul 6, 2008 2:49 PM EDT
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o thanks
i always forget about mlb.com for some reason
by cowcards on
Jul 6, 2008 2:53 PM EDT
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If Dumpster made it
Lohse should have made it. Another case of popularity and stupidity over knowledge. The All-Star Game has gotten pretty ridiculous. Maybe they should just award a permanent trophy to the AL and do away with it.
by Red in Chicago on
Jul 6, 2008 2:39 PM EDT
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despite our starting pitching
having the best ERA in the NL?
strikeouts from left-center
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jul 6, 2008 2:52 PM EDT
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Cards are getting zero respect
this year
on ESPN radio gameday yesterday, they referred to the cards using a “smoke and mirrors’ strategy, whatever the heck that means. Then went on to say its a better team than the one that won the world series in 2006. a two-for one insult
I guess having the best defense in the league, second best offense and top third pitching counts for little.
as I said in the last thread we’d get two if we’re lucky
by vances law on
Jul 6, 2008 3:00 PM EDT
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yeah
we should get more respect, we have three guys with around 18 home runs, plus a power hitter who is a little bit underachieving in Glaus, and if Duncan starts cranking ‘em again, we’re right up there (not to mention our high team OBP, etc).
And a team’s defense always gets overlooked, even though it’s just about mandatory to play fundamentally sound baseball in order to do well.
strikeouts from left-center
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jul 6, 2008 3:05 PM EDT
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We might get to vote Lohse in
on that “fan pick” the last player weird thing MLB does.
by enoscountry on
Jul 6, 2008 2:42 PM EDT
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I voted
but didn’t do the write-in thing. I just figured Lohse would have made it since he has 10 wins and almost had 11 yesterday
strikeouts from left-center
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jul 6, 2008 2:55 PM EDT
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Write-in would NOT have helped...
fans don’t get to vote for pitchers.
"In this game, don't nobody know nuthin' about nuthin'." -- attributed to Lawrence Peter "Yogi" Berra
by The Ol Goaler on
Jul 6, 2008 3:02 PM EDT
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ah yes
guess I knew that already
strikeouts from left-center
by Cards Fan in Chitown on
Jul 6, 2008 3:05 PM EDT
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Cubs
Soriano
Fukudome
Soto
Zambano
Dumpster
Wood
Ramirez
by Hardcore Legend on Jul 6, 2008 2:37 PM EDT 0 recs
7 Cubs
We better pound their heads in today. It’d be nice for us to be in 1st place at the ASB, the Cubs in 3rd and the announcers have to explain how a 3rd place team has 7 All-Stars.
by Hardcore Legend on
Jul 6, 2008 2:46 PM EDT
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Ridiculous
Big Z is the only worthy pick. The rest are all borderline at best, and Fukudome and Wood are clearly not deserving. The cubs deserved about 3-4 this year only.
I hate all the publicity Soto is getting and Yadi is an All-Star, Gold Glover here getting NO RESPECT WHATSOEVER!
by Egyptian on
Jul 6, 2008 2:49 PM EDT
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what, no marmol?
A travesty of justice! He needs to pitch in 163 games this year.
I’m absolutely fine with no STL pitchers making the ASG. Take that well-deserved break, fellas. Might even save mo some $$$ come negotiation time.
"If thats bad luck, lets DFA our luck away." -DriverZN
by SleepyCA on
Jul 6, 2008 3:03 PM EDT
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Absolutely!
I am really happy for him.
And for us. Helps his trade value if necessary.
by Egyptian on
Jul 6, 2008 2:46 PM EDT
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Plus he gets a little star
next to his name on his Baseball Reference page. Can’t take that away, even if he turns into Roger Freed tomorrow.
by Red in Chicago on
Jul 6, 2008 2:47 PM EDT
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I loved Roger Freed!
and the semi-legendary grand slam.
by random on
Jul 6, 2008 3:36 PM EDT
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The team with the 2nd best record in the NL
Has zero starters on the all star team (though I wouldn’t be surprised to see Pujols start at DH).
I don’t know if that’s a testament how our team is a total group effort, or if it just shows how flawed the all-star voting system is. Little bit of both, maybe?
Kudos to Ludwick though.
by stl tyler on Jul 6, 2008 2:46 PM EDT 0 recs
The voting system is the problem.
I don’t think it is lack of respect around the league. Pujols is one of the most respected players in the game and certainly in the NL. The fan vote is just a stupid marketing gimmick.
by Egyptian on
Jul 6, 2008 2:50 PM EDT
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Then why was he not a player selection?
"It's such a beautiful sport, with no politics involved, no color, no class. Only as a youngster can you play and as a pro can you win. The game has kept me young, involved and excited and for me to be up here with gems of baseball"- Jack Buck
by CurtainCall on
Jul 6, 2008 2:51 PM EDT
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Adrian Gonzalez is an excellent player
and a hell of a guy. My guess is the players knew Pujols would be named, but figured it was up to them to get Gonzalez in.
by random on
Jul 6, 2008 3:39 PM EDT
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The team with the best record in the game has 0 starters as well
"Regression to the mean is so much more fun to watch when it’s a Cub who is regressing." SleepyCA
by joker24 on




