Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: How Not To Criticize Tom Brady For The Patriots' Loss

Pujols and Plate Discipline

Quick questions:  Is Pujols swinging at more pitches?  Is he reaching at pitches he normally wouldn't have swung at?  Are teams really pitching around him?  Quick answers: No, No, and Yes.

Fangraphs.com, courtesy of Baseball Info Solutions, has given us the opportunity to see what the real statistics are.  Here are the statistics explained.

Take a look at Pujols stat page (scroll to the bottom).  Not only is he swinging at less pitches, he's making more contact, especially at pitches out of the strike zone (exact opposite of what my eyes were telling me).  There's also been a sharp drop, so far this year, in the number of strikes he's seeing; he currently ranks 13th among qualifed hitters in the % of strikes thrown to him.

Just wanted to point out some great new stats to check out, and one of the first things I wanted to look at when I heard about them.  One final interesting ranking is the top contact % among ML hitters right now.  It's easy to see, based on the company he finds at the top of this list, that Pujols has a very rare combination of contact rate and power.  The legend continues.

Comment 17 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

My one gripe with Albert...

aside from the decided lack of 5-run HR’s he has for his career, is the Z-Swing% on that page, that I’ve intuitively noticed as well. I.E., he, in recent years (specifically ‘07 and ‘08) has let a lot of juicy pitches go by. His strike-out on Monday was two called strikes in the zone, and a whiff at one out of it. He was closer to League average when he was younger.

I realize that all zone pitches are not equal, but there have been a few that I think he could have tee’d off on, that he let go. Is this why his HR’s are down this year?

by tinstl on May 6, 2008 3:01 PM EDT reply actions  

albert

He is such a good hitter he at times does not swing at pitches down the middle probablby because he was (a) looking for something else or (b) something did not feel right so he just took the strike

He is such a good hitter he is not affraid to hit with 2 strikes against him. Just because a pitch is down the middle does not mean he should be swinging.

by ICbirdfan on May 6, 2008 3:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

I made a post

on yesterday’s thread that I would like to see Pujols improve his plate disipline now that it seems he is going to get the Bonds treatment from here on and a couple people hopped on me about it. I had noticed that Albert actually a lot of times, starting last year actually swung and made contact with often the 2nd or 3rd best pitch he had seen in a sequence. Sometimes he gets a hit off it but mostly it results in an out, which is logical.
Several people quoted me Pujols great stats and how his 1st 5years are record breaking etc. but I didn’t consider it a statistical matter. I stated that with Pujols greatness, I would not rate him in my top 10 great hitters in plate discipline and it is the only thing that I have seen that he doesn’t excel in.
Sure his stats are going to be better than most great hitters I would name above him but that just shows how good he is at knocking the hell out of anything he chooses to go after. With that said, think how good a hitter he would be if had the discipline of, just say Hank Aaron for that matter. Actually I have seen good hitters that I thought were too choosy, EX. Mike Smhidt; which is going to up their strikeouts.. and also over the years I have seen a number of average hitters with excellent plate discipline: just couldn’t hit good pitches with something on it, so who knows maybe it’s best to just let Pujols be Pujols. After all there have been great hitters that didn’t have good plate disipline; EX Roberto Clemente.

by ridgesee on May 6, 2008 5:47 PM EDT reply actions  

But

Pujols hardly ever strikes out! He has excellent plate discipline.

Look, he’s trying to force a mistake pitch, which he will then launch into the LF stands, or into a power alley. I don’t blame him. It’s a fine strategy, and though you don’t agree with it, it seems to be working pretty well for Albert and the Cardinals.

I must say I do get frustrated with the “perfect” pitches he watches go by, usually first pitches by the way. But I am not a major league hitter, so I’m not going to question it, especially a hitter as great as Pujols. By taking the first pitch, Albert has worked himself into a “pitcher’s count,” probably helping Albert predict what is coming next.

by spants on May 6, 2008 6:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

But not striking out much

does not make excellent plate discipline to me. Making outs on balls you shouldn’t be swinging at is not great plate discipline. Making outs on good pitches is understandable and will happen. I don’t think Pujols has bad plate discipline as I have said several times before I just think it is the one thing he doesn’t excel in. How much better would Pujols be if he had the discipline of say: Todd Helton.
You might have something on your theory of why Albert takes the first pitch so much though.

by ridgesee on May 7, 2008 12:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed

on the strikeout part. His lack of strikeouts is an indication of his amazing bat control and contact skills and not necessarily plate discipline. However, I think your overall point is bogus. Albert has excellent plate discipline, and both objective and subjective information points us to that conclusion. many of your points don’t seem to add up.

1. “I had noticed that Albert actually a lot of times, starting last year actually swung and made contact with often the 2nd or 3rd best pitch he had seen in a sequence.”

You have absolutely no way to demonstrate this is true, and honestly, it takes a fair amount of presumption to make this claim. We as viewers are watching these pitches at a MUCH different angle than the hitters do, with infinitely less pressure to perform on our shoulders. If Albert is looking for a pitch in a particular location and speed, and gets something else, it isn’t good for him to swing at that pitch, regardless of its location. (in most counts, obviously with 2 strikes the approach changes somewhat) It is pretty clear that Albert is looking to work the count in his favor to force the pitcher to bring the action to him. He does this consistently and excels at it. If forced to choose between Albert knowing what is the best pitch to swing at and any viewer, I am going with Albert.

2. “Sure his stats are going to be better than most great hitters I would name above him but that just shows how good he is at knocking the hell out of anything he chooses to go after.”

I don’t even know where to go with this one. You pretty much admit that you won’t be convinced by any objective information. You also come to this conclusion based on your premise as being absolutely true, despite evidence Albert is swinging at less pitches than ever this season. This is McCarver 101.

3. “I would not rate him in my top 10 great hitters in plate discipline and it is the only thing that I have seen that he doesn’t excel in.”

I would love to see your top ten. Poking just a bit of fun at you here, I would assume 8 of those guys would have played before 1960! In my opinion, which is obviously different, I think Albert is the most disciplined hitter of this era other than Bonds, and Bonds is the best ever, again, IMO.

4. “Making outs on balls you shouldn’t be swinging at is not great plate discipline.”

I agree, and I think Albert does this less than every hitter on the planet. The best way to objectively view a hitter’s plate discipline is looking at how much they walk, and Albert has never been shy about taking ball four. Does he go through bouts of frustration and swinging at pitches outside the zone? Sure, every hitter does this, but the amount of walks taken by Pujols combined with his high average and massive amounts of power suggest he does this less than just about everyone else ever.

5. “so who knows maybe it’s best to just let Pujols be Pujols.”

I think so too. After all, he is the one putting up video game numbers and is considered the greatest hitter in the game right now. The evidence this year says that Albert is seeing fewer strikes and swinging less, yet making more contact than ever. That screams plate discipline to me.

"I believe he’s been reincarnated, that he played before, in the twenties and thirties, and he’s back to prove something." - Former teammate Mark McGwire about Albert Pujols

by cardzfan24 on May 7, 2008 8:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Well

I’m glad you got it all off your chest, cardzfan.

by ridgesee on May 7, 2008 10:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

Indeed.

"I believe he’s been reincarnated, that he played before, in the twenties and thirties, and he’s back to prove something." - Former teammate Mark McGwire about Albert Pujols

by cardzfan24 on May 7, 2008 10:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think Albert is the most disciplined hitter of this era other than Bonds, and Bonds is the best ever, again, IMO.

Jason Giambi?
Edgar Martinez?
Jim Edmonds?
Mark McGwire?
Brian Giles?
Frank Thomas?
JIm Thome?
Bobby Abreu?

That’s 8 players from the same era off the top of my head that I would say have/had better discipline than Pujols. I don’t it’s a problem, but it’s the one area left where Albert can improve (and he’s doing a wonderful job thus far).

by JI on May 7, 2008 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

honestly, if you asked me what defect I see in pujols' plate discipline this season,

- and I recognize what chutzpah it takes to complete this sentence -

I see him swinging at ball four a lot, especially on the low and away pitches. He’s actually acknowledged this previously, being frustrated by all the walks and trying to force hits.

Often times, this is in a full count, so maybe with close pitches, he’s trying to defend the plate.

I don’t see him letting the meatballs go by, so much, as the ongoing problem.

by tom s. on May 6, 2008 7:05 PM EDT reply actions  

I find it hilarious

that we are even having this discussion. The man would have three MVP’s, possibly four, had it not been for Barry Bonds’ all-century type seasons. If he is able to play well into his 30’s he’ll go down as one of the top 5 all time hitters—and we’re talking about his plate discipline when he’s leading the majors in walks and still hitting .370? Sheesh, I guess the guy can’t do anything right.

Never mind the fact that none of us could probably touch major league pitching—I think it takes a lot of stones to suggest that he “looks at too many good pitches”. Albert watches tons of film on each pitcher he’s going to face, looks for tendencies, and then works his at-bats around those tendencies. He goes up there looking for a certain pitch in a certain area of the zone, and if he doesn’t get that pitch he lets it go. I’d much rather he did this than swinging freely and hitting a lazy fly ball somewhere. Albert doesn’t have a quick bat, so his preparation and long plane of his swing are what makes him a great hitter. These allow him to square up the ball to nearly every field, making him nearly impossible to pitch to.

"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller

by fourstick on May 7, 2008 10:26 AM EDT reply actions  

Agree

on all counts.

"I believe he’s been reincarnated, that he played before, in the twenties and thirties, and he’s back to prove something." - Former teammate Mark McGwire about Albert Pujols

by cardzfan24 on May 7, 2008 10:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

You make good sense, fourstick

and Pujols does get results and definitely should end as a top 5 all time hitter. Personally I would like to see him end up #1 and that was the basis of my reflections. but what do I know, I, couldn’t hit a 40 MPH tennis ball with a boat paddle.
My main concern with Pujols is not his pitch selection but that he is going to injure himself and hamper a great career. He plays every facet of the game as hard as any player I have ever seen. So like I said let Pujols be Pujols, “style Points” be damned.

by ridgesee on May 7, 2008 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

Food for thought

I can think of another player who played balls to the wall all the time, and he had a 24 year career…

He also had 4256 hits :-)

And some poor gambling judgement…..

"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller

by fourstick on May 7, 2008 1:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

So far...

My favorite at-bat this season happened on Sunday against the Cubs.

In the 6th inning with Shawn Marshall pitching, Albert came up after Kennedy had just singled to drive in a run. Marshall proceeded to throw the first two pitches a combined 8 feet off the plate away, for the final two pitches, Albert just stood there with the bat on his shoulder. Marshall could have grooved one down the middle and Albert wouldn’t have hit it. On the 4th pitch he was halfway down the line before the ball crossed the plate.

I think the next time he’s in this situation he should just flip the bat around, a la Mr. Baseball, and hold the bat by the barrel while swinging the handle at the ball, just to see if they’ll pitch to him.

"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller

by fourstick on May 7, 2008 10:33 AM EDT reply actions  

baseballs a game and games are supposed to be fun

I can't believe i gave up a homerun to that punch and judy hitter-major league 2

by punchinjudy on May 7, 2008 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Is it just me,

or is that not one of the most underrated sports movies of all time?

You even have cameos from Frank Thomas and Pedro Cerrano, two big time major league hitters!

"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller

by fourstick on May 7, 2008 1:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

The Internet's #1 St. Louis Cardinals blog.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

649494__1__small
The Hall of WAR: Part 1

Recent FanPosts

St-louis-cardinals-script_small
Best Cardinals of All-Time - Relief Pitching Edition
St-louis-cardinals-script_small
Best Cardinals of All-Time - Starting Pitching Edition
Small
Two Trades That Set the Cards Back in the 70s
Nyc_small
Cardinals Offense vs. Reds Offense - 2012
Nyc_small
Cardinals Rotation vs. Reds Rotation - 2012
St-louis-cardinals-script_small
Best Cardinals by Position - Center Fielders
649494__1__small
Hall of WAR: Part 2
St-louis-cardinals-script_small
Best Cardinals by Position - Corner Outfielders
Stl_gay_small
2011 League Minimum All Star Team
St-louis-cardinals-script_small
Best Cardinals by Position - Short Stops

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >


Managers

Jack_benny__1__small DanUpBaby

Editors

Bendermad_small azruavatar

Trigun_001_small the red baron

Images_small tom s.

Authors

1989_bgh_cropped_small bgh

Valverde_medium_small vivaelpujols