FanPost

sample size

As like most people here, I have been pretty amazed by Todd Wellemeyer's ability as a starting pitcher. And, like most, I take it with a grain of salt and I'm not sure how long it will last.

That being said, how big must a sample size be for us to start using the "legit" status? I'm not saying Wellemeyer is there right now. He's not. But with each start does the skepticism go away or will we always have it?

The dude has made 13 career MLB starts. Is 30 a truer indicator? There is no doubt that he has been better than league average for those 13 starts. I know the stat guys will get on me but he has a 3.38 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 61.1 innings. His K rate is decent at 7.2 per 9. Of course his walk rate is bad at 3.9 per nine. His opponent OPS is under .700 and his opponent BA is under .235. Really, that's impressive.

My question--when can we start feeling confident when the Colonel takes the mound?

 

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