SFG looking for a left-handed hitting 1b
Just throwing this out for discussion as I am in no way advocating breaking up our first place team (please note tongue-in-cheek).
From Rotoworld:
"According to the Houston Chronicle, Giants GM Brian Sabean said on his weekly radio show that he is looking to acquire a left-handed first baseman.
The newspaper reports that the Giants have had internal discussions about the Nationals' Nick Johnson, but that doesn't make a whole lot of sense. Johnson has locked up the everyday first base job in Washington and has been great so far this season. The Braves' Scott Thorman, who is at Triple-A right now, was named as another possibility and is more realistic. The Giants must have no faith in 26-year-old Dan Ortmeier, who continues to be benched in favor of Rich Aurilla."My question is this: is Duncan someone we would consider in a deal like this, and do the Giants even have any assets worth receiving in return? Am I remembering correctly Duncan played 1b in the minors? If so, I would suggest we look at young 2b prospect Eugenio Velez, who has a ton of speed. Not sure how well he has hit in the minors, but the Giants are high on him (they are probably high on anyone with a pulse not named B Bonds though....).
But I think Velez and one-time big-time prospect Merkin Valdez would be nice candidates to come back to the Cardinals.
Just a thought, as I don't know who'd take Duncan's place on the roster. And you could argue we don't need more SP/RP, although I would argue back we can never have enough pitching.
I am sure this would never happen, just imagining Velez's speed at the top of our lineup.
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15 comments
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Good thoughts
Yeah, the Giants have some young talent that. For some reason, they insist on playing old guys in this, a rebuilding year. I think it's definitely worth a shot... but could Chris Duncan get us Velez or Valdez? I doubt it.
by udcardinals on Apr 6, 2008 11:20 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The sun has set on Valdez
I wouldn't take Merkin Valdez in trade. His time as a top prospect ended at least two years ago. Velez would be more interesting at least.
And I wouldn't undersell Duncan, either. A .280 hitter with 30 HR power definitely has trade value enough for a team that is as run-starved as the Giants. He'd slot in immediately as their #4 hitter. I mean, this team is batting their catcher - Bengie Molina, no less - fourth, and the ragged bones of Ray Durham 5th.
If you want to overpay, toss in Brendan Ryan.
"Attaway to stomp 'em. Stomp the piss out of 'em. Stomp 'em when they're down. Kick 'em and stomp 'em. Attaway to go boys. Pound that old Budweiser into you and go get them tomorrow." -- Joe Schultz
by taiko on Apr 6, 2008 12:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Giants Top 11 Prospects
Eugenio Velez listed by Baseball Prospectus as falling "just outside" the Giants top 11 prospects.
"Attaway to stomp 'em. Stomp the piss out of 'em. Stomp 'em when they're down. Kick 'em and stomp 'em. Attaway to go boys. Pound that old Budweiser into you and go get them tomorrow." -- Joe Schultz
by taiko on Apr 6, 2008 12:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Duncan
Dunc has been kicked around as a trade possibility with the Giants for as long as I remember on this site, and for good reason. The Giants are a horribly GM'ed team that has the oldest roster known to man and no offense to speak of.
The thought in the past has been to pry away a pitcher from them. However, I guess a position player would work too. Problem is that I'm not sold on any of their position players. The Cardinals need MIF talent at this point, and I don't see how Velez helps the BOB. The guy is 25 and hasn't exactly busted the cover off the ball at AAA. In fact, he's really only been impressive at one level, as a 24-year-old in A ball.
The other issue is that Duncan isn't going anywhere with his dad sitting in the dugout. Right or wrong, that's just how it's going to be. And if Mozeliak were to trade Duncan, it better be for a good package. 30+ HR hitters aren't commodities that grow on trees.
"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.
by redbirdnation8206 on Apr 6, 2008 1:45 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'd trade him.
As Barton continues to look good, we have 4 other outfielders right now, and one in the waiting with Rasmus. That makes 6 outfielders with Duncan (Lud, Ank, Skip, Barton, Dunc, Rasmus). We really don't need that many, but we do need young, healthy pitching. Also, Duncan would be a considerable improvement in SF, so I'm sure they'd consider a deal.
On with the (good) youth movement!
by aet15 on Apr 6, 2008 4:44 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Do it! Do it now!
I don't care if Duncan is the coach's son; he simply can't measure up to the all around game of our other outfielders. He's a valuable bat, but he gives a pretty substantial portion of that value back with his glovework.
I wouldn't be overly interested in Merkin Valdez or Velez, but if Mo could pry away a guy like a Tim Alderson, (whom I wanted the team to draft last June) I would start a fan club for him.
I think Duncan is great trade bait, and the Cards need to take advantage of that value. He simply doesn't improve the team in the outfield over the other players the team can run out there, particularly once Colby is ready to join the big squad. Or, technically, once the team is ready to allow him to join. He's probably ready now.
No Es Bueno!
by the red baron on Apr 6, 2008 5:37 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Yep
As much as like duncan's bat in the lineup, his best suited role is 1b, and he makes it hard for him to increase any value he has when hes constantly hurt with all these strains or sitting versus every left-hander. Tell me how you learn to hit left-handed pitching if you hardly ever see it? If duncan can't be traded due to his dad, then both should be shipped out of town. No one is bigger than the team, isn't that what TLR said about pujols, so duncan can say who is traded or not because he is related to them, ludacris.
by from First to Third on Apr 6, 2008 7:57 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I would trade Mr. Duncan, but ...
only for a solid return in value. When Mr. Duncan gets healthy, he will be the team's single best trade chip. He is an honest 30+/90+ guy in the majors. Maybe that is what Rasmus will be. Maybe Ankiel will continue to tear the cover off of the ball. Maybe Glaus will make the adjustment back to the NL. Those things aren't assured, yet. They need to hold him until they can get what they need from another club. If the perfect situation arises earlier, then make the deal. I think the pitching situation is going to come up much sooner, and that will have to be dealt with by mid to late May. There aren't many trades that happen this time of year, as teams are still trying to identify what they have.
by etp_stl on Apr 6, 2008 8:07 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Duncan
With Ankiel getting off to a fast start, trading Duncan seems much more palatable with Rasmus at AAA and Barton/Schu/Ludwick looking like they can contribute.
If you're going to move him to the Giants I would look at getting one of their top SP prospects in return. I don't think that Sabean would be stupid enough to part with Cain, Lincecum, or Correia in a deal for Duncan, but you don't know until you ask! Maybe we could package Reyes with Duncan and get Velez and Correia, which would solve 3 problems, leadoff hitter with speed, second baseman, and a young arm that can be added to the back of the rotation.
I don't think you can undersell Duncan, look at how long Ryan Klesko was a valuable commodity! The two compare very favorably if you use a healthy Chris Duncan in the comparison. You would also lessen his defensive liability by having him at 1B.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Apr 7, 2008 10:09 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
klesko
is actually a very good comparison for Chris Duncan, one I haven't seen made much. I think Duncan is a little better, if he stays healthy, with more power but fewer walks, but their overall value is about the same probably. Though Klesko was a pretty good defender IIRC.
I think Morneau is another good comparison. He's worth a lot more than a lot of folks here think, imho, and I hope Mo knows it.
Well the girls would turn the color of the avocado when he'd drive down the street in his El Dorado
by SleepyCA on Apr 7, 2008 7:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Duncan
If the Cards were 1-5 instead of 5-1 everyone would be wondering when Duncan would get back in the lineup. Duncan has his limitations, but the man can hit the ball. He will eventually help this team more than a third string SS.
by BB20 on Apr 7, 2008 3:14 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
"Duncan has his limitations, but the man can hit the ball."
Understatement followed by and overstatement.
And I was getting used to respectable defense in the outfield.
by TheBirds on Apr 7, 2008 7:01 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
at the all-star break last year
Duncan was outhitting (by OPS) every 1B or DH in MLB except for: Carlos Pena, Ryan Howard, Prince Fielder, Albert Pujols, Jim Thome, and Justin Morneau (who tied). (you'll have to cut and paste into a spreadsheet and then add the OBP + SLG, since Pinto doesn't have an OPS column).
Anyway, I think it's safe to say "the man can hit the ball", at least when he can swing the bat. There is no overstatement there. The question is only "can he stay healthy", with a minor question of "can he play tolerable defense".
Well the girls would turn the color of the avocado when he'd drive down the street in his El Dorado
by SleepyCA on Apr 7, 2008 7:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
correction
that should be "through July 31st. "
Well the girls would turn the color of the avocado when he'd drive down the street in his El Dorado
by SleepyCA on Apr 7, 2008 7:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Can he still hit the ball is the question?
I agree he's established a legitimate ceiling as a hitter. But if I were a team about to acquire him. the thing that would worry me greatly is the sports hernia he suffered, and his perfomance after July 31st through his terrible spring. I'd worry that he might not reach that ceiling again for quite some time.
Before he reestablishes his trade value, he has to go out and mash for at least a few weeks. Here's hoping he does.
"Attaway to stomp 'em. Stomp the piss out of 'em. Stomp 'em when they're down. Kick 'em and stomp 'em. Attaway to go boys. Pound that old Budweiser into you and go get them tomorrow." -- Joe Schultz
by taiko on Apr 8, 2008 11:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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