1-2-3, count with me . . .
welcome back, walter jocketty. the guys at SB Nation brother site Red Reporter asked my opinion of their team’s new gm over the weekend, and i gave ‘em some thoughts; read all about it.
and au revoir, matt morris. he’s the second not-that-long-ago mainstay of the stl rotation to get released this month, following woody williams. seems like they’ve been gone ages, doesn’t it? but morris has been out of cardinal red for just over two seasons (2006-07, plus a month of 08), woody williams just over three (2005-07); they started games 1 and 2 of the 2004 world series (and of that year’s nlcs / nlds, for that matter). kind of arresting how quickly it can all go south for a pitcher.
this is probably not the time to point out that morris is the last cardinal pitcher to throw 120 pitches in an april game --- or was, until wainwright did it the other day. morris achieved the feat against the astros too, on april 6 2002 --- burned through 125 deliveries in only 6 innings, which is even harder on the arm than wainwright’s 9-inning effort on saturday. during his time in st louis, la russa has asked only two other pitchers to throw 120 or more pitches in an april game: garrett stephenson (april 22, 2000) and alan benes (april 30, 1997).
if we lower the pitch-count threshold to 115 pitches, we find wainwright and morris crossing paths again. matty mo was the last st louis pitcher --- until wainwright, this month --- to toss 115 or more darts twice in the same april. matty did that two aprils in a row, in 2002 and 2003; the only other pitcher who’s ever done it under la russa is alan benes, in both 1996 and 1997. . . . .
okay okay (you ask), so morris stephenson and benes all had short careers --- what does that prove? and i answer that it doesn’t prove anything, but it’s still a pattern that concerns me (as it does houstoncardinal, who wrote about this yesterday). after wainwright’s outing, jeff passan pointed out at Yahoo sports that while opinions remain sharply divided about the correlation between high pitch counts and injuries, the fact is that pitch counts are being watched much more closely; it’s very rare for any pitcher to throw 125 pitches in a game anymore, let alone in an april game. passan notes that only 14 starts lasted 125 or more pitches in 2007, and only 26 went that long the year before that; only 2 of those starts came in april (by schilling in 2006 and barry zito last year).
in that article, la russa blithely waves off the pitch-count issue (just more of that stat-geek crap) and cites subjective observation as the only fatigue meter that matters: "You watch and see a guy all game long. When he starts to change, it means most times he’s losing stuff, getting tired, losing concentration." wainwright, says tony, has the ability to "make pitches when he has to," and that’s true --- in both of his long starts this month adam got into trouble as his pitch counts mounted but made the pitches he needed to and got out of the jams; the cards won both games. he’s got guts, he’s got willpower; we can all see that and admire it. but if those qualities encourage la russa to make wainwright play the hero every second or third start, it is likely to catch up to the pitcher and the team --- and sooner than we might like. in his last 16 starts (going back to last august 5), wainwright has thrown 115 or more pitches 5 times; that projects out to 10 times over a 32-start season. is that a lot? only 3 pitchers have done it during tony's sojourn in st louis.
using the amazing Baseball-Reference Play Index, i looked up all starts by st louis pitchers in the la russa era that lasted 115 or more pitches; here’s the list. and below is a table listing the pitcher-seasons (st louis only, la russa era) with the highest number of outings that lasted 115 pitches or more. the DL column lists the pitcher’s next trip to the disabled list after (or during) the season in question:
| pitcher | season | games | DL |
|---|---|---|---|
| woody williams | 12 | 2003 | 2004 |
| todd stottlemyre | 11 | 1998 | 1999 |
| andy benes | 10 | 1997 | 1997 |
| andy benes | 9 | 1996 | 1997 |
| todd stottlemyre | 8 | 1996 | 1997 |
| matt morris | 7 | 2002 | 2002 |
| darryl kile | 7 | 2000 | --- |
| alan benes | 7 | 1996 1997 |
1997 |
| garrett stephenson | 7 | 2000 | 2001* |
| donavon osborne | 7 | 1996 | 1997 |
a sobering list. again, this doesn’t prove anything --- it’s not a scientifically rigorous study --- but experience can be a great teacher. if i were a big-league manager, and every single pitcher i rode too hard ended up getting hurt within a year and was out of baseball within 5 years, i might learn something from that experience. osborne, alan benes, and stottlemyre were never useful big-league players again after carrying their heavy workloads; they, and all the other pitchers on this list, retired before the age of 35. ok, i’m lying --- stottlemyre attempted a comeback at age 37, which lasted 21 innings (0-2 record, 7.52 era); and i’ll admit that we don’t know how long kile would have lasted in the big leagues, but he did need shoulder surgery after the 2001 season. . . . insofar as the cardinals have wainwright under club control for 5 seasons after this one (through his age-31 season) and are on the hook for guaranteed money for 3 seasons after this one, maybe tony ought to at least consider the stat-geek crap. or at least, he should do that if he wants wainwright's career to last longer than matt morris's did.
since darryl kile’s name keeps coming up, i’ll add that i thought of him when word of morris’s release came down. kile mentored morris, and no cardinal was wounded more deeply than matty when darryl died. i sensed a trace of kile’s influence --- his maturity, his humility --- in matty’s statement after being released: "It was a great segment of my life. I really can't wait to move on and be with my family. It's a sad day, but it's also a joyful day. ... I'm proud of my career."
we’re proud of ya too, matty mo. thanks for the thrills, and much success to you in all things in the future.
0 recs |
172 comments
Comments
Matty Mo as a releiver
Anyone wonder if the Cards might offer him a minor league contract to try a come back as a reliever? Or is his arm completely shot?
by StLHugo on Apr 28, 2008 8:31 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
I repeat – NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
by giveml on Apr 28, 2008 10:01 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think Matt has too much respect for the game for that
I may be wrong , but he knows he is done . He has nothing left to prove, and he doesn’t exactly need the money.
I hope that they sign he just so he could retire with the BOB , or at least bring him back for spring training like Matheny. Now that would be my dream future manager and pitching coach tandem.
by mattyfrommo on Apr 28, 2008 7:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rasmus in DSM
I went to see the Memphis Redbirds, who visited Des Moines over the weekend. I only made it to Saturday night’s game (work kept me busy Thursday and Friday night). Rasmus did not look that great at the plate, taking many defensive swings. However, in the field, he showed off his canon, cutting down an I-Cub at third (which negated a run that had not quite crossed the plate) and then mowing down another who tried to stretch a single into a double on a line drive slightly into the the left/center gap. The runner was only halfway to second when the laser beam found Uncle Rico’s mit. (As an aside, Uncle Rico had a double.)
It was only one game (and thus an incredibly small sample size). Also, it was 40 degree outside. Nonetheless, he didn’t look like a player on the cusp of the big leagues.
As an aside, I checked the Memphis website for player stats before going. Their banner has former Redbirds who have made it to St. Louis in Memphis uniforms. Pretty cool and a fun trip down memory lane.
by bgh on Apr 28, 2008 9:09 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Haha. Why is Stubby Clapp
upside down?
by sdrone on Apr 28, 2008 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Clapp
looks like he is doing a “Wizard” impersonation.
C'mon you Redbirds, lets prove em' wrong, again!
by yer dog first on Apr 28, 2008 11:31 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Memphis.
I was there Thursday night and yesterday afternoon - I wasn’t impressed with Colby at the plate either. His defense looks great - he gets really good jumps on balls in the air and he does have a cannon, although he didn’t throw anyone out on Thursday night. He had the day off on Sunday, possibly to nurse his ego after going 1-12 the first three games of the series.
Parisi, Boggs, and Perez were all impressive. Perez pitched the ninth on Sunday and was consistently hitting 92-93 on the gun—a gun which is notoriously 2-3 mph low. Gave up one dinky hit but otherwise looked very impressive. Parisi pitched well enough to win on Thursday, but Motte blew the save in the 9th when he had some control issues.
Boggs looked unhittable for 5 innings on Saturday, but ran into problems in the 6th, giving up two unearned runs (Barden booted a ball and led to two runs scoring) but was able to scratch out the win wih some help from the bullpen. He was hitting high 80’s/low 90’s and his breaking stuff led to some poor looking swings from the I-Cub hitters.
Parisi had some control issues on Thursday night, walking 4, but only gave up 4 hits and 2 runs in 6 innings. He threw 76 pitches in 6 innings, 45 for strikes, but struggled with location and was behind in quite a few counts. I-Cub hitters helped though, chasing a lot of pitches out of the zone—whether this is due to movement I can’t say, as I wasn’t directly behind homeplate like I was on Sunday afternoon.
Motte throws absolute smoke, hitting 97 on the gun, but the ball just doesn’t seem to move that much, and he gave up to sharp singles on fastballs that ended up losing Memphis the game in the bottom of the ninth.
I was impressed with Freese at the plate—he has legit power (4 HR, 5 2B so far this season) and he has a good idea of what pitches he handles best and is good at sitting on those. He doesn’t have great range at third, but has a good arm and doesn’t try to do too much.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Apr 28, 2008 1:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's gotta be a record, right?
“it’s very rare for any pitcher to throw 125 innings in any month anymore, let alone april.”
I’d like to see a table of how pitchers who tossed 125 innings in a month fared over time ;-)
by goodymobb on Apr 28, 2008 9:10 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
it's been done...
pud galvin’s a hall of famer!
http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/BUF/1883.shtml
go cards, o's, and phillies.
...boiler up.
by moboiler on Apr 28, 2008 10:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
gotta love the dead ball
The staff pitches 859 innings and gives up 12 HRs. Funny
by mattyfrommo on Apr 28, 2008 7:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
great post
and i second the best wishes to matty mo. always one of my favorite cardinals. sad to see his career end already, but he had a pretty good run.
by TheFranchise9 on Apr 28, 2008 9:17 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Matty Mo
The performance by him that will forever be etched in my mind was during the 2001 NLDS when he went toe-to-toe with the much ballyhooed Curt Schilling. In Game 1, he lost a 1-0 duel, going 7 innings and surrendering 1 run. In Game 5, he went 8 innings, allowing 1 run, before Steve Kline gave up a walkoff single to Tony Womack (his less-remembered RBI single of that postseason).
Congratulations on a great career, Matt.
by bgh on Apr 28, 2008 9:26 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Nice take on Walt
Would that big game he hunts be light hitting middle infielders or broken down pitchers he dumps on pitching coaches to fix.
Haven’t seen anything in the P-D today about this, all NFL draft I guess, but the Houston broadcasters said during the game yesterday that before the game Yadi was working with The Secret Weapon taking grounders at third base. Now to me thats news. Flashbacks of Todd Zeile anyone?
"Do what you want to the women and children but leave me alone"- George Carlin
by That's a Winner on Apr 28, 2008 9:31 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I bet he was just screwing around
Noooo way he has the quickness to play third. Then again, there’s nooooo way Aaron Miles has the arm/range to play third or short.
With no evidence to the contrary, Colby Rasmus is clutch
by joker24 on Apr 28, 2008 9:58 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
According to St. Louis TV
he also took some grounders at short; Horton said it was an exercise to “keep his hands soft,” but added, “being able to play another position always helps the club.”
Yadi probably could play 3B in a pinch; just play the position like Joe Torre did… play everybody “in”, and get what you can…
"In this game, don't nobody know nuthin' about nuthin'." -- attributed to Lawrence Peter "Yogi" Berra
by The Ol Goaler on Apr 28, 2008 11:30 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Did you see the Tony
reply about when Glaus went out of the game earlier in the year and Miles replaced at third? (mlb.com)
Paraphrasing.. “What would we have done without Miles?” Sigh, I’ll never see what he sees in that guy :(
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 11:38 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
you may
have to further adjust your expectations.
C'mon you Redbirds, lets prove em' wrong, again!
by yer dog first on Apr 28, 2008 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Does Aaron =Tony
Does Tony look at Miles and see what his career could have looked like if he hadn’t hurt the shoulder? I really don’t know what kind of player he might have been. Does anyone know what kind of prospect he was? Is there a website out the anywhere that examines these kind of things? Can the guys over at Future Redbirds have a spin-off called Past-Future-Never-Were-Redbirds and let me know?
by mattyfrommo on Apr 28, 2008 7:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I read on another board
It was a bet between Yadi and Oquendo. Yadi had to field 8 out of 10 to win a steak dinner; apparently he got all 10.
Dave
by SydneyDave on Apr 28, 2008 12:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Joe Morgan has the answer!
While watching Sunday night baseball last night the always correct Joe Morgan was giving a run down of the Catching Molinas and mentioned that Yadi wasn’t originally a catcher. He started his baseball career at third and then moved behind the plate. Maybe it wouldn’t be as much of a stretch as we think???
Of course, it was Joe Morgan so who knows what the hell he was actually talking about.
by birdo rojo on Apr 28, 2008 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
TLR's observation factor
Well, my feelings on the pitch count issue aside (is TLR the new Dusty Baker?)....
The problem with TLR’s assertion that you can see a pitcher getting tired is that when you see it…it’s too late.
When the pitcher starts looking tired, there’s not enough time to get someone warmed up and into the game before the pitcher finishes the inning. Well, there could be if TLR would get some guys up….but then that’s unnecessary abuse on thier arm if they don’t end up coming in.
When Wainwright was clearly laboring in the 9th, no one was up. Therefore, no one was available to sub in and Wainwright was force to struggle through the inning with a tired arm and a climbing pitch count.
TLR may be able to see it, but how often will he be able to react to it?
I think a better answer would to just plan on removing him and to already have someone ready.
by RedbirdRay on Apr 28, 2008 9:38 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm with you 100% Ray, with 1 exception
I know exactly what you are saying. If Wainer were still throwing free and easy, hell, leave him in. But he wasn’t. His fasball was clocking at something like 86mph, and he had no control with it. Once a pitcher starts to labor, that usually means his legs are pretty much shot, and once his legs are shot, he puts more stress on his arm to try to generate velocity. That is when injuries happen.
OTOH, I know where Tony was coming from. The kid had thrown a good game. It was a tie score. He is our ace (for now, anyway). Show him that you believe in him by letting him try to get a win. Tony seems to love these “statements of action”. By leaving him in there, he is trying to tell Wagonmaker that he has enough confidence in him to finish the game.
I believe that if the Cards led the game in the 8th, Waino would have not come back out for the 9th at all.
Thanks for the great outings, Adam, Kyle, and Kyle. Thanks to you guys, our aging bullpen finally got some much-needed rest.
Baseball's only fun if you're playing it, watching it, or thinking about it.
by Eckstreem on Apr 28, 2008 9:52 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I just don't know
I see what you are saying about “statements of action”. Maybe that’s important for some people.
Confidence and attitude doesn’t seem to be an issue with Wainer, however. Does Adam really need to pitch the 9th inning to know TLR has confidence in him? This kid did close in the WS, afterall…started game one….was groomed for an upper spot in the rotation from day one.
And, what is the long-term cost of a one-inning confidence boost? Is arm surgery next year worth Wainer knowing TLR ‘believes’ in him?
by RedbirdRay on Apr 28, 2008 9:58 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I totally agree with you.
I think the root problem is the antiquated “win” statistic. Tony wanted Adam to get the win. If LaDuncan ever realized that a useless statistic is not worth risking a pitcher’s arm for, then our rotation would probably look something like:
Matt Morris
Chris Carpenter
Adam Wainwright
and who cares is 4 and 5.
As another vote of confidence, after Tony and Dave ruin his arm, they will rush him back from surgery just to show him how much they believe in him.
Baseball's only fun if you're playing it, watching it, or thinking about it.
by Eckstreem on Apr 28, 2008 10:09 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Getting him a "Win"
To begin with, I’d rather have him get a “win” in September of this year, and maybe 20 “wins” in 2009 than to put his arm to the grindstone in April for some arbitrary, meaningless statistic. Not that TLR said he was leaving him in to get Wainwright a “win,” because he didn’t. If that was the reason, it is idiotic.
What’s more, Wainwright doesn’t care about this stupid, arbitrary statistic. When asked about losing out on a win vs. Milwaukee last week, this was his response:
“Don’t kid yourself,” Wainwright said. “If our team could win all 30 of my remaining starts, I don’t care if I get one of them as long as we win every game.”
If we want him to have multiple seasons of 30 starts, someone had better have a come to Mozeliak meeting with TLR.
The Dusty Baker reference is fantastic. TLR is Exhibit A for grinding pitchers into the DL and Dusy Baker, Version Chi-ca-go, is Exhibit B. What’s more, if TLR is using his “subjective” assessment, how did he not take Wainwright out? He was struggling, big time, with a drop in velocity and loss of control.
I apologize for my tone, but there seems to be a disregard for players’ health in this organization that is unfathomable to me.
by bgh on Apr 28, 2008 10:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Forgot the link to the P-D story with that above quote
by bgh on Apr 28, 2008 10:38 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
SB Nation guys:
thank you so much for giving individual comments their individual scrollbars. Fantastic innovation.
"You say the world has lost it's love. I say embrace what it's made of" - Dar Williams
by Valatan on Apr 28, 2008 12:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Organizational disregard
While we are talking about pitcher abuse, I was troubled that Jaime Garcia got pushed out an extra inning yesterday too. I can see the logic behind Wainwright, though I don’t completely agree. I don’t see why you’d trot Garcia back out to push him over 100 pitches, after going a very efficient 99 the start before.
Wins and losses in AA are very secondary. I don’t know why you’d do that to a top pitching prosepct who just is coming off elbow issues. In April nonetheless. I think he needs the baby glove treatment if anybody does, and apparently he isn’t getting it.
So yeah, I agree with you. This has become a bit of an issue throughout the whole organization.
by Merry CRasmus on Apr 28, 2008 12:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Quoting Redbirdray
“The problem with TLR’s assertion that you can see a pitcher getting tired is that when you see it…it’s too late.”
That is such a true statement and I have seen so many pitchers abused over the years. I mean right before my eyes watching a game, knowing it was happening. But it will continue. Often times a manager has such an over worked bull pen that he doesn’t know which way to go. A tired pitcher is the only way to go. You damage the one on the mound or you risk injuring a tired arm from the bullpen rushing to heat up and come in and throw under pressure. Bob Gibson had a great career but it should have been longer because he was one of the most abused pitchers of his time.
Often a manager just has a tendency to override a good horse. That is why I have a soft spot for pitchers. They risk so much every time they appear and I dislike umpires that squeeze the strike zone on pitchers. I favor umpires with a liberal strike zone. Makes hitters get bats off their sholders and put the ball in play. How many times do you see a hitter lay off a ball that could be called a strike and the umpire give him a break and call it a ball, only to see the hitter on the next pitch swing at the pitch a foot outside and ground weakly to 2nd base. Now I’m not saying umpiring is bad.
It is generally good, but I’m saying If I personally was a MLB umpire, word would soon get around that I was fair, but a pitcher umpire and in late inning you better get the bat off your sholder against a tired pitcher because the Pitcher is going to get the benefit of the doubt. I say this because I see umpires that do this and I think it makes for a better game.
by ridgesee on Apr 28, 2008 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Pen
I wonder why teams don’t use a shuttle-system to save thier pen?
I might be misunderstanding options, but if a guy has already wasted an option year….you can just send him back and forth right?
I don’t see why teams don’t use a shuttle to help bullpen stress/overuse. Last week, when the pen was overworked and TLR was worried about it….couldn’t we tell KMac “hey, you are going down for 3 days. You will be right back. We want to rest your arm.” Then, call up a guy on the 40-man who already has an option wasted (like Motte). Get a fresh arm or two in there for a few days and reset.
This wouldn’t always work out, of course. You would have to choose minor leaguers on the 40-man who weren’t in the same boat as the big league bullpen guys. The minor league options might be beat up at the same time.
Teams seem to occasionally do this for spot-starters, but I don’t see it often with the pen.
by RedbirdRay on Apr 28, 2008 10:51 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
or...
I guess you could pick a minor league whom you didn’t really care about wasting an option on. If you had some guy who was basically filling a minor league roll but you didn’t believe was going to develop into a big-leaguer…you could call him up for a cpl days just in case you needed some mop-up duty.
Sure, you would have to pay him more on the year. Wouldn’t the future of your big-league pitchers be worth it?
by RedbirdRay on Apr 28, 2008 10:53 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The minor league option system is sooo misunderstood...
This technically makes the shuttle system more advantageous and especially with the relief prospects we have it doesn’t make too much sense why we wouldn’t but anyway: There are no such thing as “options”. There are “option years”, as soon as a player is on the 40-man roster he has 3 option years. In an option year, a player can be sent up and down as many times in the year as possible, (each time he is sent down he can’t be brought back up for 10 days). So if a guy is on the 40-man (Motte) he can be called up and down as you please…which is why early in the year when the pen was spent I was pushing for him to be called up for like 3 days just to get some big league innings and spare the rest of the pen.
With no evidence to the contrary, Colby Rasmus is clutch
by joker24 on Apr 28, 2008 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Thanks for clarifying
the process. Is this statement correct? Player Zulu was added to the 40 man roster in Dec 2007. He can be optioned between the Majors and Minors during 2008, 2009 and 2010.
by ubeddie on Apr 28, 2008 11:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Under 99% of circumstances yes
.......except unless all three option years have been used when a player has been in pro baseball period for less than 5 years like Anthony Reyes there is a fourth option year but that rarely ever happens as guys who are good enough to get called up don’t need that extra option year….
With no evidence to the contrary, Colby Rasmus is clutch
by joker24 on Apr 28, 2008 11:30 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Can't call them back up
for ten days, I believe.
by hit and run on Apr 28, 2008 11:00 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
what would it take
to expand the active roster to 26? Then the pen would have the extra arm that seams to be needed. I can’t believe the players association would be against it. The manangers should be all for it. So why not add an extra player?
by nybirdfan on Apr 28, 2008 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The best way to prevent the pen being overworked, IMO
Is to have bullpen guys work more 2 and 3 inning stints if they are throwing well, like McClellan did yesterday. Now McClellan has to take a powder for a couple of days but all of the other guys are ready to go. There really is no excuse for having an overworked 7-man bullpen unless you are too one-batter matchup happy (not that we know any managers like that around here). I also agree with RedbirdRay that there is no reason you can’t bring in a fresh arm from Memphis every once in a while. I think if you get sent down you can’t come up again for 10 days though, but I’m not 100% sure about that.
by mikedallas45 on Apr 28, 2008 11:04 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
McClellan
I can’t believe he actually threw 32 pitches yesterday. It seemed like they were hitting the first pitch on every at bat except the strikeouts. I am pretty sure my eyes were playing tricks on me though. Wow, he does have some nasty stuff though. Is it too much to hope that he ends up in the rotation next year?
by mattyfrommo on Apr 28, 2008 7:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pitchers
are one of the most impressive types of athletes around. you have to be unflinching both in the sense of getting hit by a fast moving, hard object, as well as in situations where you can lose the game in an instant. complete games are also one of the most impressive accomplishments in sports, so at least wainwright reached a sort of milestone, notching a complete game and giving him more of a sense of accomplishment. not that he needed it, but it’s always nice. here’s hoping LaRussa doesn’t do this type of situation to him again, because it was uncalled for and dangerous to his health.
Ankiel is Jesus!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Apr 28, 2008 7:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Glaus's vision
Okay so, ... Troy Glaus is making over $12M this year. He averages about 600 ABs when healthy. His defense is okay…so I’ll say $11M of his salary is for those 600 ABs. That’s like $18K per AB.
He waits until he strikes out… with the bases loaded… TWICE... before he says ‘oh hey, btw, I can’t see crap’.
What is the deal with overpaid thirdbasemen not reporting health problems? Again, They’re paying $18K per AB. Someone can afford to buy some eye drops!!!
by redbird2006 on Apr 28, 2008 9:43 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
What was wrong with Glaus's vision anyway? I didn't catch the whole story on the TV yesterday.
Baseball's only fun if you're playing it, watching it, or thinking about it.
by Eckstreem on Apr 28, 2008 9:53 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Night Damp Games in St. Loius
only at home plate causes his eyes to water. Allergies are being blamed.
by OKCARDSFAN_411 on Apr 28, 2008 9:57 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I Gotta Be Honest...
That’s not too far fetched. The guy’s played ball now in Anaheim (beautiful), Phoenix (Has anyone ever had allergy issues there?), and Toronto (I have no idea what allergies are like there, to be fair…) but I know that St Louis, especially for someone like me, is murder with allergies. I’ve got a baseball on the side of my face where it’s swollen up behind my ear at my jaw joint and I haven’t taken a breath through my knows since 2007. If Glaus is experiencing allergies in his StL games, I don’t think it’s too far fetched.
by mynameistyler on Apr 28, 2008 10:01 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Me too
and if you pull out all of the night games here at home, his numbers really look great and his strikeouts are really down.
It’s no secret that his numbers exploded when we went on the road, and this may very well be why
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 10:03 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
inside
and most of his games while he was in Phoenix and Toronto were inside.
I am thinking people would bitch if he would have said something about it earlier.
Can we all agree not to overreact ? The Cards are doing a lot better than we expected, plus it isn’t like Troy has been stinking it up ala Tino.
by mattyfrommo on Apr 28, 2008 7:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
here’s a link is you want to catch up to what’s going on.
In short, something at night is really making his eyes water and they’re not sure what specifically. Allergies possibly.
Considering that his career is mainly Canada, Cali and Arizona it’s easy to see it come up as a suprise all of the sudden.
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 10:01 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Houston Announcers
were saying he has been battling “pink eye”. I’ve never had it, but I hear its terrible.
C'mon you Redbirds, lets prove em' wrong, again!
by yer dog first on Apr 28, 2008 11:25 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
When someone says Pink Eye
they are usually referring to bacterial conjuctivities which is very contagious. But, right now allergens are so bad a lot of people have allergy conjuctivities (ie: eyes are watery, itchy, and swelling due to allergens in the air).
My poor little 5 yo’s eyes looked like he’d been in a fist fight Friday and his Doc’s office says they have had lots of kids in with similiar problems. Daycare and school isreporting half the classes with it as well.
by deerhart on Apr 28, 2008 1:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm experiencing the same thing
I had to watch all the NBA games and the Cardinals game out of one eye because the other was watering so bad yesterday.
Still looking for 1985 Regular Season games on DVD/VHS
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 28, 2008 1:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If Glaus smacks dingers when you’re watching the game one eyed, you need to become a pirate. (read: Blackbeard, not team)
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
or you need to watch more games one eyed
Whichever. I would consider poking myself in the eye if that would work
by mattyfrommo on Apr 28, 2008 7:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It was Pink Eye
boo cubs, hooray beer
by Raconteur on Apr 28, 2008 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, he wasn’t speechless during the day he struck out twice. He had communicated the issues to the trainer on both occasions. Got eye drops before those at bats and gave it a go.
He was pulled mainly because he couldn’t even see a couple of pitches at all in the second at bat. Going up against a guy with control issues and not seeing the pitch wouldn’t exactly be all that safe.
He’s not just playing pretty good defense, his defense is great thus far. Near tops in the majors in total chances, and errors per inning played. Nothing like his history advertised.
He’s seeing the Dr today to see if they can figure it all out, but it’s clear that it’s not as simple as eye drops.
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 9:59 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Troy, vision, and nicknames
Troy, who wore glasses or contacts starting in childhood, had laser eye surgery done before the 2004 season. His vision now is 20/15. I wonder if his problems might be related to Lasik? There has been quite a bit of recent news on Lasik related problems.
One of Troy’s nicknames when he played with the Angels was "Big Dog." I’ve always like the "Big Dog" shirts. I guess they are not as popular here in the Midwest as in CA. I think I like it much better than Santa Glaus. I think in Toronto they used the Mighty Troy or Glaus the Boss.
And speaking of nicknames, how about one for Brendan Backe? How about calling him Brendan Becky? Do you’all remember around 1994, Jim Rome calling quarterback Jim Everett, Chris Everett, and Jim turning over Rome’s desk on the air?
born Dodger blue, now dyed Cardinals red
by totalloser on Apr 28, 2008 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
one of the all-time great
interview clips. Rome was classless, and Everett was furious.
I suggest Brendan “Got” Backe. :-)
TSF
by TedSimmonsFan on Apr 28, 2008 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How 'bout "Backe that a$$ up!"?
Baseball's only fun if you're playing it, watching it, or thinking about it.
by Eckstreem on Apr 28, 2008 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
My bad2
I think I am so excited about Brendan Ryan playing that I confused him with Becky. Very bad.
born Dodger blue, now dyed Cardinals red
by totalloser on Apr 28, 2008 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Probably not Lasik
One of the primary complications from Lasik is dry eye…rather than the opposite. The other common complication is fuzzy night vision (halo effect from lights).
So if his eyes are watery it seems highly unlikely to be from the Lasik. Plus if he had the surgery in 2004, it probably would have presented before now.
It probably is allergies. The Midwest U.S. geographical area, and specifically St. Louis, has one of the highest airborne allergen indices in the Northern Hemisphere. We get hit hard with tree pollens in early spring, grasses in spring/summer, and weeds in the fall. Aren’t we lucky?
Wouldn’t suprise me at all if he suddenly started reacting now that he’s in the midwest.
There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who understand binary, and those who don't.
by Mr Clean on Apr 28, 2008 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
this is pretty good news
it would explain his slow start, and that he should get better in the summer
Ankiel is Jesus!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Apr 28, 2008 7:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
RE: Tony and Pitch Counts
Reminded me of that story in Neyer’s book from Jim Palmer when he brought up pitch counts to Earl Weaver and he said, “Why don’t you get your ass at the other end of the dugout and I’ll let you know when he’s tired.”
by mynameistyler on Apr 28, 2008 10:04 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Remember
Correlation does not always equal causation.
by Colonel Wellemeyer on Apr 28, 2008 10:13 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
it's not even correlation
i still liked the numbers but all the above analysis shows is that those who have pitched over 115 pitches went to the DL at sometime. We have no comparison to the group of pitchers who haven’t pitched over 115 pitches with as many appearances so it isn’t clear whether these DL rates are any quicker or worse than normal. So it’s not even a correlation or association because there’s no variance in the independent variable.
Obviously higher pitch counts relate to injuries, but the more important question is whether infrequent high pitch counts (as with Waino) are as harmful as consistent overuse (Dusty Baker). It would probably be best to compare these injury rates with those of pitchers who had as many and frequent of starts but never had high pitch counts. And then see whether pitchers who have been overused a couple of times are more likely to go to the DL and whether pitching over 115 pitches shortens the average time it takes one to get to the DL.
I’m a little confused by the TLR overuse beliefs – 3 nights in August paints Tony as someone well aware of the costs of overusing pitchers, especially compared to Baker. Maybe not someone you want to grade against, but TLR isn’t that bad.
by enoscountry on Apr 28, 2008 11:07 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Great point...
Enos
I also think it would be good to show the length of the DL stay, and perhaps the cause (may not be pitching related). Though it’s hard to argue that the group shown fell off the performance clift pretty quickly.
by cardzfanbub on Apr 28, 2008 11:11 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
LB,
You may have officially jinxed the Wagonmaker. Please use all caps for your next post to counteract any damage you may have done. :)
I have discovered in twenty years of moving around a ball park, that the knowledge of the game is usually in inverse proportion to the price of the seats. ~Bill Veeck
by bukowski on Apr 28, 2008 10:15 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
It's been mentioned in a couple of places
but I would love it if we could get Morris into a Cardinals uniform. Not, the St. Louis Cards mind you, but the Springfield Cards.
Matt in my mind is a very smart pitcher. Very good at picking up tendencies and is one of the students in Duncan’s school of pitching.
Every soundbite he’s had he mentions family and the line so I don’t think he’ll run and jump at the chance. But I, for one, would love it if we could get him into a pitching coach/mentoring role down in AA. (Where I think he’ll be a good fit).
Matt’s relatively young, is making 10 mil this year regardless and I think he has a lot of qualities I’d like to see in a coach down in the Minors. We owe a lot to our success earlier this decade to Matt. He has great character.
I, personally, would make the trip down to Springfield a hell of a lot more if Matt was apart of that team.
Just some thoughts.
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 10:28 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
ALAN BENES, ALAN BENES, ALAN BENES
ALAN BENES, ALAN BENES, ALAN BENES, ALAN BENES, ALAN BENES, ALAN BENES!!!
Some one needs to yell this name into LaRussa ear over and over again…One of the worst abuses of a pitcher I have ever seen. The thing is that we need to preserve Adam more than we need to extend him to win now, but LaRussa’s priorities are not in line with the overal organizational needs…
by BigJawnMize on Apr 28, 2008 10:49 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Asking too much of Wainwight
A.W. has made at least a couple starts this year when the bullpen had been worked a lot in previous games and the team counted on him to go deep into a game. It is a lot to put on a young arm that has already had health issues in previous years.
I admire Wainwright’s competitiveness, demonstrated in spring training when he said the rotation to open the season was not in place to simply tread water until Clement, Mulder, Piniero, et al, could return, but needed to swim, er, win games. But watching that 9th inning on Saturday was pretty tough. I counted practically every labored pitch up to 127. I wish LaRussa would take better care of such a young talent, who is important to this franchise not only in 2008 but for years to come. Wainwright deserves better.
In other words, I completely agree with the thrust of your post and share your concern, lboros.
by Youneverknow on Apr 28, 2008 11:00 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Did TLR do this because
he’s too stubborn and old-school, or is it because he knows some other manager will have to deal with the fallout of Waino’s Tommy John surgery?
I’ll be shocked if Morris does not attempt at least one comeback, after sitting out the rest of this year. He’s only 33.
by MdRedbirdFreak on Apr 28, 2008 11:15 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
It would be interesting to see if he could make a comeback
Basically shut it down for the rest of the year and then try to get either a non-roster invite/minor league contract to get a tryout at spring training next year.
If successful, it could raise all sorts of possibilities for handling pitchers.
Although the MLB-wide trend toward youth seems to make this unlikely.
by bailorg on Apr 28, 2008 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think we have the same avatar
Just wanted to see them side by side to check.
by indakind on Apr 28, 2008 2:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I remember in the game day thread...
How everyone was saying. Leave him in! Don’t take him out Tony!
His fast ball was hitting 92 against Tejada (2nd out) with good location. He pitched around Becerkman. Throwing him junk, and his fastball was still hitting 92. Against Lee it was hard to tell if he was trying to walk him or not. But he threw 4 fastballs of 92 91 90 91. Against Pence he stroke him out using nothing but sliders in the mid 80s. Most of Adams fast balls are around 91 92. In the 1st inning most were around 89 90. He did put a little bit more behind a few in the middle innings. In the 9th he looked sharp against the first two batters. Walked thier two most dangerous batters. And then threw 7 sharp Sliders to strike out Pence.
I don’t think he was as tired as some people believe. However; I still would have pinched hit for him.
by Evilfrog on Apr 28, 2008 11:37 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I was thinking about that too
and the post game interview did have some points in it. He wasn’t going to give Lee or Berk anything to hit, and was well prepared to walk both without concern. He even said that he felt like he could get Pence out with his best pitch, but if he walked him he would have been happy with that too.
If I recall there was a visit to the mound before Pence, which was around pitch 118. I’m sure if Adam had any want to get out of it, that option was avail.
And to be fair, it’s all domino effects when it comes to Adam’s pitching. Really, it’s a whole team scenario. The other pitchers have to get deep enough to keep the bullpen from being overworked, so there is confidence in replacing. The offense needs to give enough run support to give a better buffer for the bullpen to have should Adam be having issues.
He went into the ninth with an excellent pitch count. He got the first two out, threw little to nothing to the next two to get to Pence. I’d want to finish it too.
Agree on the PH.
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and
with the past three games against the stros and the amount of work in, we pretty much have the rest of the homestand that has a fairly rested bullpen. Looper, Kyle and Adam all did quite well and went deep enough. K-Mac will need a day or two off at least, Izzy maybe another day or so, but everyone else should be easily accessible.
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
that's what I was thinking
why all this demonizing of TLR when you could just as easily point the finger at the offense and the tired bullpen?
Ankiel is Jesus!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Apr 28, 2008 7:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
well the offense didnt exctly leave him in the game
That being said, I think I am gonna hold off on too much badmouthing unless it happens again. Please Tony, no more 100+ pitch outings for Wainer at least until summer gets here.
by mattyfrommo on Apr 28, 2008 7:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was one of the ones that said leave him in
and it was a good idea in principle. LaRussa gave him the rope to finish the game. The problem came after 2 outs. He was at 109 pitches after getting the first two outs, not a particularly alarming number. If he had gotten the next guy out on 5 pitches, there wouldn’t have been much of a problem. However, Wainwright took 17 more pitches to end the inning.
The error on LaRussa’s part was not having someone up and throwing the whole inning. If Wainwright had gotten Berkman within a reasonable number of pitches, we wouldn’t probably be having this discussion.
I don’t have a problem with the 126 pitches as long as his next start is well managed. I wouldn’t even be opposed to his next start after this upcoming one being pushed back a day because of Mulder’s callup.
Still looking for 1985 Regular Season games on DVD/VHS
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 28, 2008 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I didn't realize Mulder was getting called up.
I thought Waino’s next start was going to be six days due to Thursday being an off day.
And yeah. Some one should have been up.
by Evilfrog on Apr 28, 2008 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, Wainwright will pitch again
on May 2nd. Then on May 7th. His next scheduled start after that would be for May 12th.
However, Mulder is currently shadowing Looper in the rotation. That would put him on a schedule to start on May 11. He has to come off the DL on May 15th. It would be somewhat smart to just bump Wainwright back one day to the 13th, let Looper take his normal turn on May 11th and let Mulder take the next game on May 12th.
That would give Wainwright 6 days off for this upcoming start, a normal rest for the start after that and then 6 days again.
Still looking for 1985 Regular Season games on DVD/VHS
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 28, 2008 2:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not concerned yet
I am not too concerned yet. I think he will be held back accordingly and days off have a bunch to do with how you use a guy. It is just such a tough call when it comes to pitch cout. If Wainer throws 8 less pitches he is not really that high with pitch count. Heck there may have been 8 pitches he just wasted that day which put zero stess on this arm. It is just such a tough topic to debate, because you can be tough rough on pitchers but at the same time you can baby pitchers too much as well.
I do think the team would like to see wainer take the next step though. They would like him to pitch more innings for sure as the best pitchers in the game will be in that 223 innings pitched category.
by ICbirdfan on Apr 28, 2008 2:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I am NOT cool with that
We haven’t lost a game on my birthday (May 12) since 2000. Given how Mulder’s comeback starts have gone the last few years, I have about 1% confidence in keeping that streak going against Milwaukee this year. I would be really excited if it were Waino instead.
Cardinal fan in the heart of Braves country
Track 'em Tigers - An SB Nation Blog for Auburn Tigers fans
by Mr Redbird on Apr 28, 2008 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and considering
that Milwaukee absolutely murders LHP this year, Mulder shouldn’t go anywhere near the mound in that series.
And I awoke in California, far far from Spancilhill...
by SleepyCA on Apr 28, 2008 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pitchers from the 60's and earlier...
I’m too young to remember that era of baseball , as I was born in 1982, but I know that pitchers back then used to throw complete games all the time (where i’m sure they inevitably put 120+ pitch counts on their arms all the time). Anyone who knows alot about that time period in baseball, were there alot of pitcher injuries back then as a result of throwing so many innings/pitches?
boo cubs, hooray beer
by Raconteur on Apr 28, 2008 12:07 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
In 1968 alone,
Gibson had twenty-eight(28!) complete games. And as someone who was in his formative(read: teen) years during the ‘60s, the only significant arm injuries that I can remember were Sandy Koufax and “Sudden” Sam McDowell. I’m sure there were more, but those are the ones that I remember off the top of my head. `
If everything seems to be going well, you have obviously overlooked something.
by cardsrul on Apr 28, 2008 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Probably some selection bias there
Consider that unlike today when hot-shot pitching prospects can come up and dazzle for a year or two before destroying their arm, I wonder whether the higher pitch counts of the past weeded out these one and done types before they ever had a chance to get to the big leagues.
by JMedwick on Apr 28, 2008 1:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You probably just don't know about them.
These days, everyone knows about, for instance, Mark Prior. I’d guess that nothing was recorded about guys like that back then.
by sdrone on Apr 28, 2008 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There were a few, but they had to pitch spectacularly and then flame out.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/s/spoonka01.shtml
The first name that came to mind here was Karl Spooner, who threw shutouts in his first two starts, striking out 15 and 12 respectively. The next year he got hurt and was out of baseball by the end of his second year.
Mark “The Bird” Fidrych fits into this pattern too.
There are others too, but the other names that came to mind (Dizzy Dean, Herb Score, Steve Blass etc) weren’t ruined by overuse but rather by either a freak injury or a complete loss of command.
by mattisnotfrench on Apr 28, 2008 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
a complete loss of command
usually means elbow problems.
"How depressing is it being you? Would you equate it to being a lifelong Cubs fan?"
by rocKStark5 on Apr 28, 2008 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fair enough in the case of Blass, Jim Bouton et al...
But Dean and Score were both casualties of line drives, not overuse.
by mattisnotfrench on Apr 28, 2008 4:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wasn't Dean ultimately the
casualty of a shotgun pellet to the toe?
by MdRedbirdFreak on Apr 28, 2008 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
holy crap
28?
Ankiel is Jesus!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Apr 28, 2008 7:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Also, my understanding is that
Pitching was different strategically back then-there weren’t as many max effort pitches-pitchers would more commonly throw at 80%, and rely on sight movement and command to get outs. Guys are throwing with much more aggressive stuff these days, and I’ve heard that, in addition to pitches while tired, the number of max effort pitches is strongly correlative to injury. I’ve heard Curt Schilling talk about this, where he has about five pitches that he can use in a start for when he has to get a guy out. I’ve seen Carp do the same thing—suddenly start flashing hot stuff when he’s in big trouble late in a game.
"You say the world has lost it's love. I say embrace what it's made of" - Dar Williams
by Valatan on Apr 28, 2008 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And that is a function of learning how to pitch
Knowing that you only have so many max effort pitches you have and when to use them and how to get people out without the max effort stuff
by JMedwick on Apr 28, 2008 2:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Devil's advocate question:
As teams put more emphasis on the factors the sabremetric community has identified as important-I call to mind the latter’s clear love for the strikeout-are they encouraging young pitchers to become strikeout guys (with the accompanying max-effort) and contributing to burning out arms?
by MdRedbirdFreak on Apr 28, 2008 2:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think there is a key difference between
A. Someone not having the stuff to strike-out guys
B. Someone who depresses their strikeout rate in the name of saving their arm because they can still get people out
A is an example of someone who does not likely have the raw stuff to survive at the major league level. In this case, even if they wanted to go for lots of K’s they likely can’t.
B is an example of someone who still has the stuff to succeed. They will get their K’s regardless.
by JMedwick on Apr 28, 2008 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And it should be mentioned
that the two contemporary examples I coudl think of off of the top of my head were both Cy Young-type pitchers—them throwing at 80% is still a pitcher flashing stuff that is above league average. A guy like Bud Smith or Garrett Stephenson probably has to be throwing at max effort just to be sticking in the majors. It could very well be the case that saving your arm and depressing your strikeout rate is a luxury that most modern pitchers can’t really afford.
"You say the world has lost it's love. I say embrace what it's made of" - Dar Williams
by Valatan on Apr 28, 2008 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't forget the mound has been lowered since then.
Baseball's only fun if you're playing it, watching it, or thinking about it.
by Eckstreem on Apr 28, 2008 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Historical Pitch Counts
There are other things to consider as well. For one thing, neither league had the DH in the past, which would provide the possibility to get more outs with fewer pitches in the AL. I would also guess (but not know without looking into it) that you would see fewer walks and more sacrifices in the past, which would once again provide for fewer pitches to go deeper into games.
Just a theory to partially explain the differences.
Overall, however, I honestly think that the biggest difference is we hear about the success stories, and not about the failures, as mentioned previously.
by Robb on Apr 28, 2008 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Let's not forget a less
lively ball, and-at least in a lot of ballparks-HUGE swaths of foul ground.
by MdRedbirdFreak on Apr 28, 2008 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes...
People pitch about today’s staters being pampered, but back then it was basically the survival of the fittest – those starters who didn’t have freak arms were out of baseball after a few years. If you just look at lists of the starters of a team from year to year, you’ll see a lot of new names every few years.
Let me borrow a post from PD, from a user named nighthawk, who mentions some prominent ones from the 60s that got hurt
—-—
Sandy Koufax routinely pitch 300+ innings a year. Guess how many games he pitch after the age of 30? Zero.
Juan Marichal was done as an effective pitcher at the age of 33. Guess why?
Luis Tiant built up to 258 and 249 innings at age 27 and 28….then proceeded to pitch 92 and 72 innings the following two years. Guess why?
Gaylord Perry’s brother Jim pitched 261 and 223 innings in 1960 and 1961. He would not pitch 200+ innings for the next eight years. Guess why?
Dean Chance average about 12 complete games and 250+ innings for six years in the 1960s—winning the Cy Young award in 1964. Guess why he pitch no games after the age of 30?
Fritz Peterson averaged about 250 innings a year in the late 1960s and early 1970s. He never pitched 200 innings after the age of 30. Guess why?
Bill Singer pitched 204 innings at the age of 23, 256 innings at the age of 24 and then 315 innings at the age of 25. Then he pitch 106 innings at the age of 26. Guess why? He managed to get up to 315 innings again two years later and then toss only 108 innings the following year. Guess why?
Sam McDowell had a blazing fastball and racked up a lot innings in the 1960s and pitch 305 innings in 1970. He was done as an effect pitcher by the age of 30. Guess why?
Mel Stottlemeyer was good for 250 to 300 innings a year in the 1960s. He was done as an effect pitcher at the age of 31. Guess why?
Denny McClain pitched 336 innings in 1968 and 325 innings in 1969. He was done as an effective starterat the age of 26. Guess why?
Don Drysdale had four 300+ inning campaigns in the 1960s. He was done as a pitcher at the age of 31. Guess why?
Jim Maloney had four years of 10+ complete games to go with four 200+ strikeout seasons. He was done as an effective pitcher at the age of 29. Guess why?
Start Ludwick vs righties (maybe this will work)
by DiscoJer on Apr 28, 2008 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Awesome info, thanks.
boo cubs, hooray beer
by Raconteur on Apr 28, 2008 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Those poor bastards.
With 1960s-era (and before) sports medicine, it’s no surprise so many guys retired young.
by MdRedbirdFreak on Apr 28, 2008 4:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There have always
been a certain amount of pitchers fall by the wayside from arm problems ever since I can remember going back to late 40,s. certainly no more than today and maybe even less. The pitching in the early 50,s was in general as week as pitching is today. There were a number of hard throwers, Don Newcombe, Allie Reynolds, Bob Feller, Bob Lemon, Robin Roberts etc. but most teams had a hard time scraping together four adequate starters, therefore good pitchers were heavily over worked and did not last long. Most teams had 1 or 2 pitchers with close or over 300 innings.
Then in the late 50’s for some reason a number of strong armed pitchers came along and dominated the game. This lasted to the mid 70’s. This led to the mound being lowered after Gibson’s big year because the powers that be wanted more offense in the game.
You have got to think that that has hurt the pitchers because up till then everybody used a four man rotation and nobody seemed to have trouble pitching every forth day and being effective. Now only the best can pitch much over 200 innings and using a five man rotation.
( and arm injuries are just or slightly more frequent) I for one would like to see the mound go back to it’s origional height.
by ridgesee on Apr 28, 2008 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I have said this before on this site
and I will say it again. Take the time to go to mlb.com and look up Robin Roberts career stats and you will see the most abused pitcher in MLB history. Had he been used right he could have possibly been the best that has ever been, but you seldom hear his name mentioned.
by ridgesee on Apr 28, 2008 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Matt Morris and Darryl Kile
While Morris’ stuff clearly declined significantly after 2003, I also think that Morris was hurt mentally my Kile’s loss and that it significantly affected his pitching. After Kile dies Morris was never the same pitcher again and the change was not all physical.
What’s the over/ under on days until the Reds pick up Morris to be their veteran presence?
by JMedwick on Apr 28, 2008 12:20 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
A realistic look at pitchcounts
I watched the Academy Award-nominated documentary Major League 2 this weekend. When Cleveland Indians pitcher Ricky “Wild Thing” Vaughn tried to cut down on his velocity to preserve his career, he sucked. It wasn’t until he came in as a closer in the last game of the ALCS that he regained his dominant form, striking out former teammate Jack Parkman on 3 straight fastballs.
Takeaway: Throw as hard as you can, all the time, no questions asked.
by effin fisk on Apr 28, 2008 1:37 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Too bad about Matty Mo...
but he had a reasonable career. The Cards should definitely bring him back… to give him a plaque and a final ovation.
by guayzimi on Apr 28, 2008 1:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
It would be cool...
if we could bring him back for one game at home. Give him the start and let the fans show him how much they appreciate what he did for the team.
Of course he’d go seven strong and we’d end up signing him and regretting it, but…
by cardzfanbub on Apr 28, 2008 2:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's kind of what the Cards did for Lankford
Lankford had a great spring training in 2004 so the Cards signed him for the year.
Sadly Ray ran out of gas by the All-Star break, but at least he had his last hurrah with the Cards!
by KYCards on Apr 28, 2008 2:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ray Ray
Homered in his final at bat at Busch in 2004, then was kept off the playoff roster.
A strange farewell.
Well who the hell can see forever?
by Alxfritz on Apr 28, 2008 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Loosing in the WS was bad enough
but I really was hoping Ray would get his WS ring. I remember being pissed Ray was left off the playoff roster. I knew it was the end of the road for Ray and it would have been great to go out on a World Series winning team.
by KYCards on Apr 28, 2008 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
I was thinking the same thing when reading the first couple of comments today. It would be nice to bring Matty Mo back on a $1 contract so he could retire a Redbird, not that he’s going in the HOF or anything, but still…
Maybe at the end of the year, when the season’s decided, etc., he could be signed to start the last home game of the year, pitch one inning and go out to a standing O.
by ArkansasTravs on Apr 28, 2008 3:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Say it aint' Cesar
So now that Cesar is cleared to start, is Tony going slot him back in as the everyday SS and Ryan takes a seat? Or will it will be a platoon situation for awhile?
I would hope with the team struggling to score runs that Tony thinks real hard about this and Cesar’s rope becomes a little smaller.
I haven’t heard of what Tony is planning to do here.
by KYCards on Apr 28, 2008 3:00 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I betchya it's going to be a mix 'n' match situation with Tony
Ryan, Izturis, Kennedy and Miles are all going to get playing time and be subbed into and out of the lineup, according to Tony’s tea leaves.
But on days when Glaus sits, Tony has to play Izturis, right?
"You say the world has lost it's love. I say embrace what it's made of" - Dar Williams
by Valatan on Apr 28, 2008 3:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I’d hope so.
Though in that case I’d like to see Ryan at 3rd. Iz at SS and Kennedy at 2nd. (if nothing else, defensively sound) Though I’m betting if Glaus is out there’s going to be the excuse to put Miles in there somewhere.
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 3:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
A couple things of note
I was thinking about the upcoming two series and the Houston series and there was something that hasn’t gotten much of attention.
The Astros came in flaming hot in hits and run production.
Our starters over the series: 11H 4R 4BB 11K in 22 innings
Our pitching staff as a whole: 15H 7R 4BB 14K
If you ask me that’s not too damn bad for two guys who looked very iffy at the start of the year and a guy who modeled his first season as a starter on a slow start.
Really impressive numbers from Looper who was really beat up against San Fran.
Here’s hoping we can do the same thing to the Reds who are coming off the west coast while putting up 21 runs in 3 games.
Something nice to think about. These Reds were swept by those “hot” Astros. So let’s put some of that Mojo to work tonight.
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 3:19 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Plus add in
the return of Walt and Dusty Baker to St. Louis and it should be an eventful series.
I hope we get good starts from Pinero & Looper, because we are going to be facing two tough starters in Cueto and Harang. But Arroyo has been really bad this year I think we can hammer him. I’m curious to see how we do against Cueto “The strike out machine”.
by KYCards on Apr 28, 2008 3:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
cueto
hasn’t been unhittable – couple of 5 run games for him. Of course he also has two good starts against the BrewCrew and a great start against the Dbacks. Going to be a jekyll vs hyde pitcher for a while it seems…..
by cdb on Apr 28, 2008 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cueto/Harang versus...
Pineiro/Looper is exactly what is going to crush this team over the long haul. Well, that and Ludwick/Ankiel regressing…. But there’s something that can be done for our starting pitching: Jaime Garcia. Get him up here! Then send him to Memphis if/when Mulder or Carpenter come back. He won’t gain super-2 and he won’t be “rushed”. Hell, they’re destroying is arm at Springfield anyway. Might as well put that to good use with the big league squad.
by guayzimi on Apr 28, 2008 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
True
Going up against them does complicate things. We just need to win the one we should win and put ourself in a position to win at least one of the others. A series at a time.
Looking ahead to the end of the roadtrip against the Cubbies looks rather interesting. On a quick glance looks like we’ll get Dempster, Z, and Lilly to face off against. Waino lines up against Z, Kyle vs Lilly, and even Dempster is beatable.
So while the rotation does look a little iffy against the reds. Every game against the Cubs looks “winnable” from a rotation perspective. Hopefully it’ll translate to a positive homestand.
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
mlb's "probable pitchers"
says zambrano against gallardo on thursday, which means our series will be Wainwright vs Hill, lohse vs lilly, and TBD which should line up “Col Welley vs Dempster”.
It’s a nice break, having the day off on Thursday.
And I awoke in California, far far from Spancilhill...
by SleepyCA on Apr 28, 2008 5:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks God
I don’t want to see Big Z! That man has been flat out NASTY against STL lately. He has been unhittable.
I was watching him pitch against the Nats and WOW, his ball moves a ton and he was locationg 96 MPH fastballs.
by ICbirdfan on Apr 28, 2008 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Z vs Wainwright
Last year was an awesome game. I look forward to the next match up between the two.
by Evilfrog on Apr 28, 2008 5:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
it was impressive against the Astros
and made me realize how potentially dangerous their lineup is. I sort of wrote them off.
Ankiel is Jesus!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Apr 28, 2008 7:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Izturis was signed in the off-season to be our starting SS
and as much as I hate to say it, that means he will be right back out there in the starting lineup. I think Ryan will get some starts thrown in here and there but Izturis will still get 70%+ of the starts.
It’s pretty obvious to most of us here that Ryan at SS makes the Cardinals a better team. But that’s not always how baseball works. Izturis will be given his “fair shot”... in other words, I think it will take another 3 or 4 weeks of hitting around the Mendoza line for management to start considering other options.
Proud President of the Unofficial Skip Schumaker Fan Club!
(now accepting applications)
by stltrav09 on Apr 28, 2008 4:04 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Just wondering
if TLR is riding Wainer so hard early in the season with the imminent return of a number of other starters in mind. Though this might be overly optimistic, it makes sense that he’s trying to make sure the Cards aren’t out of it when Mulder/Carp/Clement make their appearance and will thereafter ratchet down Wagonmaker’s IP. It’s a short term strategy that may pay off and may not. Anyway, just a thought.
by spencegrif on Apr 28, 2008 4:27 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
or
it backfires when Carp, Mulder, and Clement all come back ‘ready to go’ and can’t pitch past the 5th on the best of days.
by cdb on Apr 28, 2008 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Of course
Sure it could backfire. It’s a gamble. I’m just suggesting that this might be TLR’s rationale, which, if you’re trying to “win now”, isn’t entirely unreasonable.
by spencegrif on Apr 28, 2008 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
In case you didn't know, this is kinda a big week
Cardinals really need to shoot for 4-2 this week. That can mean alot of things for them.
Firstly, as I said on the originally rained out Opening Day, if this team was for real with this schedule they should start the month with 18 or 19 wins. Taking 2 or 3 out of 3 from the Reds will help them achieve that. The Cardinals haven’t won 18 games in ANY month since 2005.
Secondly, the Cubs have a schedule that puts them up against the 2nd and 3rd place teams in this division for 6 games. They play 3 vs the Brewers starting tomorrow and then 3 vs Us. We can make some hay against that schedule and help our standing.
Third, a 4-2 record this week would give them a 6-3 Homestand, which is amazing.
Finally, with a win today, the Cardinals can go back into 1st place.
Still looking for 1985 Regular Season games on DVD/VHS
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 28, 2008 4:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
yep
this is a big week!
Ankiel is Jesus!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Apr 28, 2008 7:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Lineups per Bernie at the P-D
Ludwick 9
Ankiel 8
Pujols 3
Duncan 7
Glaus 5
Molina 2
Kennedy 4
Wellemeyer 1
Izturis 6
Ludwick leads off! Izturis is back in :(
by indakind on Apr 28, 2008 5:11 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
HoustonCardinal must be loving this lineup
btw, what does Brian Barton have to do to get some playing time?
Still looking for 1985 Regular Season games on DVD/VHS
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 28, 2008 5:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
While Ludwick and Ankiel are somewhat fast
good lord, look how ‘hulking’ the top of that lineup is. The Kennedy is the first ‘burner’ in that lineup (if you can call him that) and he’s batting 7th.
I predict alot of GIDPs tonight or 4 HRs.
Still looking for 1985 Regular Season games on DVD/VHS
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 28, 2008 5:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'll take both!
"...but If I can do some damage and help my team win, I'm going to stay in there" -Albert
by BigMOman on Apr 28, 2008 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Be a left hander?
Punch Backe?
http://stltodaynew.mycapture.com/mycapture/enlarge.asp?image=18643028&event=504837&CategoryID=0
by Evilfrog on Apr 28, 2008 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
love that pic
Proud President of the Unofficial Skip Schumaker Fan Club!
(now accepting applications)
by stltrav09 on Apr 28, 2008 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Face a lefty
Barton starts against lefties only apparently. BTW I would like this lineup if it said Ryan – 6 at the bottom.
by indakind on Apr 28, 2008 5:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The longer Iz is out the worse he’ll be when he comes back (and it could get worse, if only barely). I’d rather see him get into a punchy lineup than be apart of the slappers we tend to field.
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 5:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Keep him out then
If he’s worse the longer he’s held out then keep him out long enough that he sucks enough to give the job to Ryan. Ryan is not great, he’s not even really good, but he’s a HOFer compared to Izturis.
by indakind on Apr 28, 2008 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm with you
If it were me he’d spend all of his batting practice actually learning how to bunt in the off chance we need it, and pinch running.
But I didn’t hire the guy and he’s not my “reclamation” project.
I was just saying that he’s going to get to play irregardless, and tonight is a best case scenario for a couple of reasons. One because it’s most likely our most potent offense we can field, and second it’s the earliest opp after he’s been allowed to play. Last thing we need is to have him and enjoy less than the mendoza line.
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think Ryan is pretty good.
I define good as average. And I think right right now would make a very average short stop. I believe he has a chance to be an above average short stop in the next 2 years. Im not talking anything great. But I don’t think he is lacky in any part of his game.
by Evilfrog on Apr 28, 2008 5:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
And average is a significant improvement in this case. I’m not going to be up in arms every time he doesn’t start. But I’ll be up in arms if he’s never starting.
by Merry CRasmus on Apr 28, 2008 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Barton
may not be in because of defensive liability. You have to admit you remove rick and skip and the outfield looks quite scary. How’s Welly on groundball inducement? I’m assuming not as good as the rest of the rotation, Barton may make rf a liability while keeping Dunc in left. Considering we have Grif and Dunn to contend with.
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 5:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't see him as a defensive liability
I think this is sort of a myth. hasn’t been playing enough to tell anyway
Ankiel is Jesus!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Apr 28, 2008 8:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Simple
Hope Schumaker stops hitting.
He’ll be a Cardinal for a few years HL… his talent ain’t going anywhere!
Proud President of the Unofficial Skip Schumaker Fan Club!
(now accepting applications)
by stltrav09 on Apr 28, 2008 5:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Schumaker ain't hittin'
Congrats to him on his game winning hit, it was his only one of the series. Over the last 5 games, he is 4 for 20.
Still looking for 1985 Regular Season games on DVD/VHS
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 28, 2008 5:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Admit to TLR
that a lawyer is smarter than a rocket scientist…
by ubeddie on Apr 28, 2008 5:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
it is ironic
that thudwick leads off for the first time the day after HC posts and says he should.
of course, it probably also has something to do with luddy’s .571/ .625/1.286 (1.911 OPS) history (8 PA) against Arroyo- skip is 0-2 with a walk, which means he would undoubtedly go 0-5…
And I awoke in California, far far from Spancilhill...
by SleepyCA on Apr 28, 2008 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
don't tease me
Luddy leading off?
by mattyfrommo on Apr 28, 2008 7:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Matty Mo...
Man, it’s really sad for me to even think about what he was at the end. That guy was my man-crush pitcher for years, from his rookie year on. He was classy, he had great stuff, he knew how to pitch and was really intelligent. I remember meeting him outside Busch the day McGwire hit homers #s 69-70 (still the best/coolest game I’ve ever seen in person, steroids be damned) and he was signing autographs for anyone who wanted one, despite the fact he was hurt and didn’t pitch well that game. I still have my Matt Morris autographed card somewhere in a box in Yates City, Illinois.
Later on, after he came back from the TJ surgery, I completely fell for the 2001 team. I was living at Illinois State University that summer and didn’t really have many friends at the time, so I would take long walks just so I could listen to games all the way through. That team just stormed back and caught fire in the second half and took the eventual champions to 5 games, with Matty Mo pitching like a man possessed against a future Hall Of Famer. That’s still my favorite Cards team ever to this day and I really think they could have shocked the world and won the WS if they’d gotten past Arizona, even if the Yankees had better pitching.
You could see cracks in the armor in 2003, because he was hurt part of the year (blowback from 2001-02 almost certainly) and because he would establish a pattern that would mark his last three years in St. Louis-he was generally pretty good, but some games he would pitch out of his mind and completely shut down the opposition, and others he would get absolutely shelled. He threw two shutouts in a row in 2003 at a time when the rotation was in serious disarray, and was not the same pitcher for the next 8 starts before coming down with an injury at the absolute worst time of the summer. Not coincidentally, the Cards eventually lost the division by 3 games.
2004 was even more polarizing. He had some really good starts and about 5 absolute clunkers, which were largely responsible for his 4.72 ERA. However, I think my favorite Matt Morris memory was this game, a 2-hit, 11 K / 0BB masterpiece: http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/SLN/SLN200409030.shtml
To this day it’s one of the best pitching performances I’ve ever had the privilege of watching on TV. He hadn’t been that great most of the year and certainly wasn’t his 2001-02 self, but man alives, he was incredible that night. His stuff was just nasty-he was hitting 95 in the ninth inning with great movement and bite. If that Matt Morris had shown up in the postseason…well, alternate history. Of course, the start after that one he got rocked-and got rocked again two starts after that.
The rest is history. That shutout will almost certainly be the last of his career and it was absolutely the best pitching performance of his career. The saddest part of how he declined was what could have been, something you could say for others in the rotation from 2001-2004; sadly, we could never get more than two of a healthy Morris, Ankiel, Kile or Carpenter, four aces, in the rotation at one time. That bites.
I’m going to miss Matt Morris most of all.
I just hope Adam Wainwright doesn’t burn out like Morris did.
by mattisnotfrench on Apr 28, 2008 5:12 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Leadoff hitter for the Dodgers that day?
Izturis of course.
by Phizzle on Apr 28, 2008 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
"A letter to Brandon Backe"
an interesting read I came across earlier that I thought I’d post up here before I left work. Quite entertaining.
by AdjustedExpectations on Apr 28, 2008 6:03 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
that is quality
i take your signatures and use them as away messages
by ihavebadknees on Apr 28, 2008 6:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
someone on the Astros roster
should post that in the clubhouse
by mattyfrommo on Apr 28, 2008 7:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly...
..........what I was thinking at the time, c’mon Backe..light a fire under some Redbirds…great letter!!
by cardschinmusic on Apr 29, 2008 4:32 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
HA Ha hahaha
Outstanding!
And I’m pretty sure it was really written by an Astros fan, too! <smirk>
There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who understand binary, and those who don't.
by Mr Clean on Apr 29, 2008 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
good read
The fellow didn’t mince for words, did he?
by ridgesee on Apr 28, 2008 6:31 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I like TLR using Wainwright the way he did
I think Tony is a lot less concerned about 10 pitches plus/minus and more concerned about developing Wainer’s attitude and leadership skills. He was giving Wainer a test and he passed. i think that will pay dividends in the future. To be a No 1, you have to have a little swagger.
Now if he is still averaging 115 pitches in May…...
by The Duke on Apr 28, 2008 7:39 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
that's kind of how I saw it
Ankiel is Jesus!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Apr 28, 2008 8:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
But
if we lose Wainwright’s arm all because TLR wants to develop his attitude and leadership skills, then who do we have left to take over?
I’m still learning, but I think it’s a little dangerous to let Wainwright pitch that often while he’s tired.
I love you, Wagonmaker!
by cassandrab on Apr 29, 2008 4:02 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs




















