Please Read This, Tony.
Last night, in the beautiful city of San Francisco, a beautiful game was played, a game well executed and utterly riveting. Quite possibly the best played game I've seen from the gentleman baseballers of St. Louis this young season. They hit well, fielded cleanly, pitched very well, and, most of all, capitalised on the opponent's mistakes. This may not be the most talented of squads we've seen in recent years, but this team does seem to have a relentlessness about them that had been notably absent in the year most recently departed.
And so, to the manager of the local nine, who played so remarkably well, as they have largely done so far in 2008, I say this:
Great job, Mr. LaRussa.
I have been a staunch critic of LaRussa the past couple of years; I stepped back a pace or two from the team when his services were retained this past autumn. In fact, I had planned on staying back a bit, but the esteemed Mr. Borowsky of this site upon which I scribe pulled me back in by offering me a chance to scream out my baseball frustrations into this most comforting of voids. I have quarreled with Tony's decisions, his behaviour, his approach, his comments. I did not believe that he was the right man to lead this squad into the next era of Cardinal baseball; I thought this was a terrible choice to lead this young, developing squad of men upon whom we all hang our hopes for future glory.
I still wonder if he's the right man in the long term. There are still decisions of his that I question, that I think are detrimental to tomorrow in favour of today. This team, though, here on the 12th of April, is playing beautiful baseball. The players deserve the credit, of course; they are the ones playing the game and executing the plays. When you look at this squad, though, you see that relentlessness, that stubborn unwillingness to die, that is the hallmark of every great Tony LaRussa led team. Tony has these players playing hard, playing correctly, and playing well. I may not agree with everything he does, but Tony has this team on the right track, and I applaud him for it.
Now, the other reason I wanted you to read this, Tony, was so that I could suggest to you a lineup. Watching this team up to this point in the season, I see certain things that are happening, and I wanted to suggest a lineup I think may work out well. Again Matt Cain today, a potentially dominating young righthanded pitcher, I would like to see the following batting order take the field:
1.) Brian Barton, LF
2.) Cesar Izturis, SS
3.) Albert Pujols, 1b
4.) Rick Ankiel, CF
5.) Troy Glaus, 3b
6.) Ryan Ludwick, RF
7.) Yadier Molina, C
8.) Todd Wellemeyer, P
9.) Adam Kennedy, 2b
At this point in time, Izturis is one of your top on base hitters. I know it's frightening to all of us, but he is. Take advantage of his newfound patience, and his lefthanded stick, by putting him behind Barton in the lineup. This gives you the best combination of speed and OBP you can get at the top of the lineup available at this moment. I know how much you like the power in the second spot, but I really think it's a bit of a waste there. Call me old fashioned, but I want all the thunder behind my best hitter. Also, I know you do like the hit and run, and that's a pretty good combo to pull if off with there at the top. Hell, with a guy like Izturis up there, you won't even mind giving Crab Man the green light to maybe take a base. Plus, I think it's a good idea to try and split up some of your less imposing hitter a little. As it stands right now, six through nine in the order have absolutely no fear attached to them at all. Iz2 may be a weak hitter, but he's getting on base right now, and there aren't as many slappers at the bottom all lumped together. You have your two most powerful righthanded sticks following that, split by Roy Hobbs in the middle. The bottom is still weak, but with this lineup, you can extend down one slot how far you can go before the floor just falls out, with Ludwick swinging a very dangerous bat. Just try it, Tony. Come on. I know you like to experiment with different lineups; give this one a shot. I really want to see what this would do. Come on, Tony. You know you want to. You're getting verrry sleepy...
Okay. Let's discuss, everyone.
A. How would you rate the job LaRussa is doing so far this season?
B. What do you think of my lineup?
C. Related point: In general, how do you feel about the constant shifting of the lineup? Do you feel that it's a good thing to move players around, trying to gain a small advantage with a tweak here or there? Or do you feel that players never quite get in a groove when they're constantly being moved into different spots, that their comfort level always remains low because they never get a good feel for the rhythm of the lineup?
On the last one, I can never quite make up my mind. I see a guy like Jim Edmonds, who was so consistently bad in the two hole, and who just seemed utterly miserable hitting there, and I think that there's no way a player can be comfortable, relaxed and totally successful when he shows up to the ballpark every day uncertain how the game is going to unfold. On the other hand, I also see guys shifted to give a pitcher a different set of challenges to face, and I think, "That lineup sets up really nicely against this particular hurler, and these are professional ballplayers. The object of the game doesn't really change, no matter where you are in the lineup." I go back and forth endlessly, and I never really decide. What do you guys think?
I'm still not sure if the game is on television on satellite today; there seems to be a ton of confusion. If anyone knows for sure, one way or the other, I'm sure it would be appreciated by all.
Let's keep the hot streak going, boys. You're going to need all the W's you can get in April; it gets ugly after that. Stay hot.
0 recs |
150 comments
Comments
A. Grade: A. Who would have guessed first place? 8-3 start?
B. I'd flip Barton and Izz2 because the "crazy 8" lineup means you need some power threat in the 2 hole.
C. I agree with you, baron. I go back and forth on this. I think you develop a rhythm with a regular platoon. Guys need to know they will play against certain pitchers and not necessarily based on the manager's hunches. Still you have to have the leeway to play the guy who's hot. That's why these guys get paid to do what they do--and we just get to gripe about how they should listen to us more often.
by gocards62 on Apr 12, 2008 9:01 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
But see,
if you flip Izturis and Barton, you're back to having four players in a row with absolutely no power, no danger. Barton, with his speed and pop, is a threat. I think it's better served in the leadoff position, with the #2 hitter being strictly an on base guy, ahead of Albert, the ultimate threat. I think it gives you a chance to be a little more creative with Barton's speed, as well. If he's hitting directly ahead of Albert, he'll never steal a base, because you don't want to open up first.
Que sera.
by the red baron on Apr 12, 2008 9:05 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Izturis then Barton
It makes more sense to go Izturis / Barton 1/2 given your starting 9 because you need some power in front of Pujols. Why? The #2 batter in front of Pujols is going to see lots of fastballs. The Cards need a batter there with good OBP who also can capitalize on those fastballs. That means Hobbs, mr. dread, or Ludwick. But the best protection for Pujols is Hobbs so out of dread or Ludwick, I'd pick dread because of his speed. I see your point about the bottom of the order ... but these starting 8 have too many judy's to hide. Better to bunch the power as best we can.
BTW, I agree very much with your pat on the back of TLR despite being a critic of the decision to bring him back as manager (I'm in the same boat). JMo has stood his ground against LaDuncan in the early going mitigating some of the more damaging decision that might have been made: i.e., sending Reyes to Memphis, acquiring a vet bat for the outfield. Contenting LaRussa with Juan Gone during ST seems to have been a master stroke. One knew Juan Gone would be gone rather quickly after he inevitably broke down (problem of blocking younger, better options removed). But the singing Juan a minor league deal blocked TLR's request for acquisition of a vet bat for the outfield. Beautiful.
by jjray on Apr 12, 2008 9:13 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Your point
about the 2nd hitter needing to be able to take advantage of the pitches he sees is a good one, but I still disagree. I would prefer a hitter who's going to get on base a ton, and be on first when Albert comes up, than a hitter who's going to hit the ball for extra bases ahead of him. All of your extra base power is after Albert; I don't think it's important for the hitter in front of him to drive the ball consistently.
I think protection for Albert comes in the form of the hitter who can get on the most in front of him, not the hitter who has the best chance to hit for extra bases ahead of him.
I like this topic, by the way. It's a lot of fun to debate.
Que sera.
by the red baron on Apr 12, 2008 9:19 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
On a less present-day issue
Doesn't that argument weigh strongly on having Rasmus, once he arrives, hit in the 2 slot, rather than leadoff? Rasmus has a great speed/power/OBP combo, and might hit a lot more doubles and triples ahead of Albert in the 2 slot that in leadoff?
by tom s. on Apr 12, 2008 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
And it guarantees him pitches to hit
in his first trip around the maors. It's not a bad idea.
"You say the world has lost it's love. I say embrace what it's made of" - Dar Williams
by Valatan on Apr 12, 2008 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I prefer the idea ...
of having Barton splitting Kennedy and Izturis. I also like the idea of the slap hitter in front of Pujols seeing all of those fastballs. I understand your point about power in the 2 spot, but the "crazy 8s" lineup effectively has Barton in the 2 spot. With his speed and power their is a good chance for Barton to be at second or third when the singles hitter comes up behind him. That will probably score Barton, and still leave Pujols protected with a guy on base and all that power behind him.
I personally like splitting up the power and OBP guys to avoid the "rally killer" effect of a HR. The goal is to have Pujols up with guys on base, and I think Baron's plan does that better.
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 11:30 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i disagree
about "not opening up first". If they walk pujols every single time up, putting 2-3 men on base for glaus, ankiel and Ludwick, we'll score a ton of runs. A lot more runs than we'd score with albert swinging at bad pitches trying to get the run home from first base.
Pujols doesn't have to do it all himself...
And I awoke in California, far far from Spancilhill...
by SleepyCA on Apr 12, 2008 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't believe Izturis is an on base guy
I put a lot more stock in his .297 career OBP than his numbers over two weeks. And even if he has developed some patience, it will do him little good hitting in front of Albert. They will pump fastballs down the middle and Cesar will pop them up.
I think you've got to stick with whoever's in left and right in the #1 and #2 holes, which will generally mean Barton/Schumaker leading off and then Duncan/Ludwick. I also agree with some who have posted below - I can't wait to see Rasmus in that #2 spot.
by bgodar on Apr 12, 2008 1:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
according to dan caesar
no tv for you:
by sdesserman on Apr 12, 2008 9:19 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That
sucks. I was really looking forward to some afternoon couch time with the boys. Dammit, now I have no excuse to keep the wife and her plans for cleaning out the garage at bay. :-(
by rockin redbird on Apr 12, 2008 10:49 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
except
for @#$!@* fox saturdays...
by sdesserman on Apr 12, 2008 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hey, no one said anything about a quiz!!
But okay, here you go:
1. LaRussa I give a B+. The only reason it's not an A is because some roster choices were forced upon him, ie Spiezio getting waived (not saying he didn't support releasing Speezer, but if SS hadn't had the DUI/assault charge no way he isn't on the roster...and conversely no way a young guy like Barton probably is), and Mo forcing Reyes onto the 25 man roster. If I give an A, it's to Mozeliak for being his own man, getting along with Tony, but being the GM when he needs to be. I like the youth movement, but I don't think it would have been as full steam ahead if TLR called all the roster shots.
2. I think we would all agree that on April 1st, if TLR had submitted a lineup with Izturis in the 2 spot, we would have hoped it would have been quickly followed by an "April Fools!". But now it's not so crazy an idea. And although you make solid points about having Isturis in the 2 spot, I agree with gocards62 about flipping them. Izturis, whether he walks, singles, or doubles down the line and then skips from 2nd to 3rd, gets on base. And hitting in front of Pujols is the best spot in baseball, so Barton will see some good pitches to hit. I think you have a more dangerous combination at the top of the lineup that way.
C. Not a big fan of it, but TLR's done it his whole career and he's only the winningest manager in Cards history and is going to the Hall of Fame when he retires, so I live with it. I think it really hurts some players, like a Chris Duncan and Jimmy, but people generally adapt. Hitting is still hitting, whether it's from the 2 spot or 6. Except, apparently, for Troy Glaus in cleanup. He's historically poor in that spot, but does pretty well in the 5 spot. Go figure.
"Is this Heaven?"
"No, it;s Iowa."
"I could've sworn it was Heaven."
by MilCardFan on Apr 12, 2008 9:24 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
ABC
A. A-minus, and I'll come back to this in detail.
B. Don't like it -- yet. This early in the season, odd things happen. Iz2 hasn't convinced me yet that the patience is for real. Furthermore, I would prefer to hold off on exposing Barton to ace-level right-handed pitching until he's had just a bit more experience against league-average righties. The kid is on a terrific roll, so why screw up his confidence? If this was July and he'd had a chance to face more righties (and if Iz2 was continuing to draw walks), I'd say use this lineup, but at this place and time, revert to the "standard" RH lineup. Sometimes you do things in the short run that are sub-optimal for the sake of the long run.
C. I think flexibility is always a good thing, iff you have people who can handle it. With nobody on the team who seems to freak at the juggling the way Jed did, carpe diem.
Now back to TLR's grade, because my answer to question B explains much of it. I think he's doing a terrific job of managing for the long haul this year -- getting everyone playing time, integrating the rookies into the team (TLR? integrating rookies? Whoda thunkit...), making generally sound tactical decisions, and non-trivially, treating the bullpen as fungible. This year he has the advantage of a lot of guys in the upper minors who can be spotted into the pen, so his aggressiveness in making moves is a strength, not a liability, and some of the pen guys can be swapped with Perez, etc., if they need rest.
So why not a straight A? Two things.
by StanTheManFan on Apr 12, 2008 10:19 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Aargh ... the two things ...
Sorry, don't know how the incomplete response got posted. Anyway, I still don't like some of the roster decisions. Jimenez simply has no business being on a major-league roster except in a "break glass in case of emergency" situation, and as much of a feel-good story as Uncle Rico is, he wasn't the best minor-league hitter available to fill the 25th slot (Mather). Second, he really needs to have a talk with Dave Duncan about shooting off his mouth. On top of the usual (and entirely valid) concern that you don't run down your guys in public, Duncan has also been damaging the team by reducing Reyes' apparent trade value. I still think that a move should be possible before long that parlays a seemingly rejuvenated Reyes plus something else (C. Duncan?) into a middle-infield upgrade. Talking down Reyes doesn't help achieve that. If TLR can play the same leadership role for Dunc as he has with the young players -- and that sometimes requires administering spankings -- I'll upgrade my grade.
by StanTheManFan on Apr 12, 2008 10:27 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
On the lineup ...
I would keep Izturis in the 9 spot: 1) it's a 'second' lead-off position, and 2) he's comfortable there ... his comfort is the reason for his success ... moving him up in the order will probably just screw him up ...
I would keep Skip in the lineup ... leading off ... I want his .295 against righties and his hot bat ... I would start Barton also and keep him at the 2 spot ... I love the way Ludwick is playing, and would like to start him, but, I think I would bring him in as a replacement in the middle of the game for whatever OF is not having a good game ...
Let's raise some Cain, Cards!!!
Culture of Winning: 10 World Championships, 17 Pennants, 6 Division Championships ...
by Cardinals4Ever on Apr 12, 2008 10:20 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Line up
I liked last nights line up. I would do it again 'cept Rick is in for Ludwick and Kennedy for Miles.
Schu
Barton
His Eminence
Glaus
Rick
Molina
Kennedy
Welley
Iz2
by nybirdfan on Apr 12, 2008 10:20 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
+1
Culture of Winning: 10 World Championships, 17 Pennants, 6 Division Championships ...
by Cardinals4Ever on Apr 12, 2008 10:21 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rick
I would swap Ank and Glaus; 1) his inability to hit in the 4 spot 2) it splits the 2 RH power bats with a power LH
I'm looking for the next Bobby Bonilla?
by showmejoe on Apr 12, 2008 10:36 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Definitely.
I don't particularly like the idea of swapping Glaus into the 4 spot at any time. I don't know why he has a mental block against that spot in the lineup, but he does. Ignoring it is just kinda silly.
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not is school anymore
Well since I am not in school anymore I refuse to answer this quiz, a pop quiz no less. Perhaps if I was given time to prepare and research I would be able to answer these questions. You would have to point at gun at me to make me answer these questions...hmm is that a .45 pointing at me? Alrighty! On with my answers.
1. I would give him an A-, a 91% because I like the use of the youngsters. I would give him a higher grade if our starters could make it into the 7th inning more frequently. I know this isn't completely his fault, but in a few months it is going to become a huge deal when arms start falling off, so I am concerned about the use of the pen. Also, who knew that AK and Iz2 wouldn't suck it up this year! I guess it is still early.
2. I like the lineup. I like any lineup that keep Barton in the game. This kid, to me, might force the team to move Dunc when CR is ready to come up and Dunc could land us more pitching prospects which is always a good thing to have.
3. I can go either way. But, given the shear number of wins TLR has I guess he might know something about how to build a lineup.
http://welcometojohnsonville.blogspot.com
by arthropodtodd on Apr 12, 2008 10:26 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
actually...
It's a .357 magnum I'm holding!
I'm looking for the next Bobby Bonilla?
by showmejoe on Apr 12, 2008 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
hmmm
a .357 Magnum PI? sweet!
http://welcometojohnsonville.blogspot.com
by arthropodtodd on Apr 12, 2008 12:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How can you take out Schu
after the night he had last night, especially against a RH? Barton's great and all, but I believe he's done so well because of Tony's judicious use of him.
Tony gets an incomplete - we've won because of pitching mostly. Tony hasn't screwed it up (big plus for putting Reyes in at Houston) so I guess that gets him a B+.
Flipping Iszturis and Kennedy: given the stats so far this year it makes sense. Career numbers would put it back the other way I think.
I think the constant lineup shifts are good. Especially for young players and early in the year. Right now Barton, Schu, Ankiel, Ludwick, and Duncan all think they might start each game. I think that's contributing to their performances in a good way.
by enoscountry on Apr 12, 2008 10:31 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I've always been
a TLR apologist. There's something in his approach to the game that I've always respected. I don't always agree with what he does; in fact, I sometimes vehemently disagree. However, he loves winning ballgames above all else, and I know deep down that whatever seemingly goofy decision he may make on a given day is somehow, in his mind, a means to that end. I was ambivilent about his coming back--as much as I appreciate him, I did wonder if his time had come. The '07 club was a mess from day one and he didn't have the resources to fix that. It may be considered an excuse, but that was one bad luck club last year, and I do believe that he did the best he could with it. Well, here's a new season, and I'm liking what I'm seeing so far. The one thing ya have to deal with when TLR manages your beloved club is that the guy is a true, dyed in the wool weirdo, and that has never set well with many Birdfans. He's often inarticulate, combative, and an all-around freak. BUT--he knows how to win and is right more often than wrong. I'm glad he stayed on and wouldn't be surprised if he led our boys to another WS appearance (if not a victory) in the next few years. He's no St.Whitey, but I'm not so sure another St. Whitey would have any better success than Tony has in the last decade. He's a whacko of the first degree, but over the years I have found that comforting in a strange way. Here's to ya, Tony. Keep the W's coming!
by rockin redbird on Apr 12, 2008 10:33 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Great Post --My View as Well
Tony knows how to win. He does some things that drive people crazy but the man has a plan. Everyone carps about his tactics, people skills, lineups, hypocrosy, etc, but he's paid to do one thing --win. If he plays minds with Reyes, that's his choice. Reyes was about 2-23 last year with every opportunity to break through and he didn't seize the day. The fact that he is on this roster suggests that Tony DOES see something in him.
I'd like to hear from all the posters that were suggesting that we tear down the team and bring up a bunch of no-names from the minor leagues during this past off-season. Would you really be happier with a full rebuilding as opposed to where we are now?
by The Duke on Apr 12, 2008 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I gotta say ...
they did pretty much tear down the team. I would have to say that removing Edmonds, Rolen, and Eckstein consists of a pretty big wrecking ball.
The OF, as it stands today is made up of Ludwick, Duncan, and Schumaker (hardly veterans); Ankiel (a 2nd-year position player); and Barton (a true rookie and Rule V player).
The IF is a little older, but given that Ryan was hurt and they have no 3B prospects, the only change that could have been made would be Hoffpauir. I don't know that Kennedy/Miles are significantly better than what we would get out of Hoffpauir. Obviously, 1B and C are covered.
The rotation did not have any current prospects ready for the major league roster. That said Wainwright is a 2nd-year starter. Thompson is still young (although he will be removed from the rotation). I don't think anybody could make the case for Mortensen, Hawksworth, Parisi, Garcia, et al. to be major league ready this year. Reyes is the only question mark over maybe Thompson/Wellemeyer.
The bullpen has Reyes and McClellan in there. Johnson is injured, or he would be in there, too. I'm sure some would make the case for Perez, Motte, and Worrell over guys like Springer and Franklin. I don't think any of those guys have shown the consistent ability to throw strikes at the minor league level, so how do you say you give them the 7th and 8th roles at the major league level.
Mozeliak has done a good job of putting together an average amount of talent on the field. They still have some potential to grow with the youth on the roster. I think LaRussa has done a good job of sticking with ALL of the guys on this roster. I have seen many posts that would have given up on Schumaker and Duncan based on the first series against Colorado, but that is kind of silly IMO. LaRussa has put young guys in big spots to see what they can do. I give him an A-, so far.
I have never been the TLR supporter that some are. I think he wins baseball games, but I don't particularly to watch his style of baseball. I think he over-manages most of the time, and I personally think the constant tinkering based on statistical matchups is irritating to watch.
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: infield
Our infield is younger than last year too. Izturis is 5 years younger than David. And Glaus is younger than Scotty by 2 years.
by Evilfrog on Apr 12, 2008 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Point taken.
I would say that you are looking at younger veterans there, though. I don't think we are waiting for "potential" to be realized on any of those guys, do you?
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No potential.
But hopefully more durable than the last set Though I realize that niether Glaus or Izturis have an injurey free year. But in thoery...
Hopefully by the end of the year Ryan will have one of the middle infield spots too.
by Evilfrog on Apr 12, 2008 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
Culture of Winning: 10 World Championships, 17 Pennants, 6 Division Championships ...
by Cardinals4Ever on Apr 12, 2008 12:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree, rockin redbird.
Even when TLR drives you crazy, you still know that he is doing what he thinks is best for the club. I give him an A-.
by cardsgirl95 on Apr 12, 2008 12:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Tony gets an A everyday in my book.
Just Like a star pitcher that needs to repeat his delivery Tonys style is consitent and relentless. When the players listen to his message they reflect that same consistentcy and relentlessness.(if that is a word)
As we saw last season some guys weren't buying what Tony was selling.
I like the young players with Tony as the Manager because you know...
1)he won't cut corners
2)he will always put them in a position to succeed.
3) they will learn how to play the game the right way. Team first not me first.
On the line-up I wanna see this one...
Schumacher
Barton
Pujols
Ankiel
Glaus
Molina
Kennedy
Pitcher
Izturis
I am of the opinion that Ank should always be in the 4 spot. He sparks the offense.
"Why does he keep saying that?"
by Red Blazer on Apr 12, 2008 10:37 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Like this lineup better
You have to keep Schu in the lineup until he proves it's a fluke. Right now he's making all kinds of things happen. Barton needs to play -- right now he's way ahead of Duncan in my book. Don't know if 2 slot is right for him in the long term, but it sure is a good place to get pitches to hit!
by Secret Weapon on Apr 12, 2008 11:52 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I love your lineup
The point you made about not having so many slap hitters bunched up at once is spot on.
And if TLR decides to start Skippy he can just swap him with Barton and have him hit leadoff and Duncan could replace Lud in the 6 spot.
Also, I really like Glaus hitting 5th and not cleanup. I believe someone mentioned in last night's game thread that Glaus has hit better in his career in the 5 spot.
Ok Skippy... you're starting. Now START HITTING!
by stltrav09 on Apr 12, 2008 10:46 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
A few days ago
I posted a comment on a thread (and it might have been yours, can't remember) but it was my concern for the bottom four hitters and how something had to be done. your idea to me should be tried as it could possibly distribute the offense better in the line up, as the weak bottom four will certainly come to bear before long, but this lineup depends on Kennedy contributing at least something exceptable. If not, if not that is a separate issue that will have to be addressed.
Some here have stated here that they would rather izturis leadoff and then Barton 2nd. I don't prefer that. I think Barton's speed, baserunning and hitting ability makes him more value in the leadoff spot with izturis task to move him into scoring position however he can, by walk ,bunt or ground out or what ever.
Remember, power is just as good in the 1st slot as the 2nd slot.. I just think Barton then Izturis gives Pujols a better chance of having someone to drive home.
by ridgesee on Apr 12, 2008 10:47 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Pretty solid lineup
First off Baron, your lineup is pretty close to what Pinto's lineup tool says is the best for producing runs. Ridiculously small sample size warning, yada yada yada. Izturis 1, Barton 2, Pitcher 8, Kennedy 9 show up in the top lineups. Nice work.
A: I don't think TLR deserves anything lower than an "A." It's hard to argue with most of what he's done, especially with bullpen management.
B: Lineup. Wish Duncan could swing himself out of his small funk and work his way back to the starting nine, but it's tough pulling any of those three OFs in your lineup out.
C: Okay with the lineup shifts. Hoping that TLR is just trying a bunch of them now to figure out what is working best.
by lightbulb on Apr 12, 2008 10:47 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re-do!
Oops, was just focused on the permutations. Didn't even see that it gives you "runs for lineup above." Here's one with the lineup as you've listed above and then all the different combinations.
by lightbulb on Apr 12, 2008 10:56 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nice Post Red Baron
Ahhhhh - Its good to be back at the VEB. I finally have accepted the new format and "reclaimed" my screen name.....
Anywho, as to LaRussa, you are completely right. I like having the crotchety field general on my team. The upside is having a resilient team that continues to fight and almost always, "plays a hard nine."
The downside is his role in bringing back guys like Miles who the manager simply just "likes" rather than giving the Hoffpauir's or Worrell's, of the world a chance.
I'll take the downside because the underlying philosophy seems to be one of "earning your stripes" which is not the case with other teams. Most managers these days change their style to mold well with there players because somewhere deep down they know that the player support (read superstar support) is going to be the difference between them having or not having a job someday. LaRussa on the other hand doesn't seem to give a flying F if Rolen, Edmonds, Kippy or anyone else doesn't like it. He's the boss. That's just plain refreshing. Wouldn't want it any other way...
I still reserve the right to complain though! Here's hoping LaRussa whoops are guys into a 500 record at the all star break and we trot out this lineup on a daily basis at some point this summer:
1. LF - Brian Barton
2. CF - Colby Rasmus
3. 1B - Albert Pujols
4. RF - Rick Ankiel
5. 3B - Troy Glaus
6. SS - Tyler Greene (I know, pipe dream)
7. C - Yadi Molina
8. Pitch
9. 2B - Jarret Hoffpauir
1 SP - Chris Carpenter
2 SP - Adam Wainright
3 SP - Kyle Lohse
4 SP - Mulder/Clement
5 SP - Joel Piniero
1 RP - Izzy
2 RP - Chris Perez
3 RP - Franklin
4 RP - Worrell
5 RP - Loopy
6 RP - Tyler Johnson (yes only one lefty)
Bench
OF - Lefty mashing Amary Marti/Joe Mather
OF - Skippy
OF - Duncan(split evenly with Barton)
C - Bryan Anderson (I know dreamon)
IF - Brendan Ryan
IF - Adam Kennedy
I'll keep dreamin...
by Lawless on Apr 12, 2008 11:08 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Damn Red Sox and Yankees.
I seriously can't believe that they are showing us the red sox/yankees game instead of the Cardinals game here in St. Louis.
I hate Fox.
I hate New York.
I hate the cubs.
"Them Cubbies can kiss my ass" -Dizzy Dean
by Molina4MVP on Apr 12, 2008 11:10 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Fox does suck...
Anyone check out the power rankings yet? Bastards put us at number 19. I guess wins and losses don't matter. It's all about paper to them.
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/powerRankings
"Why does he keep saying that?"
by Red Blazer on Apr 12, 2008 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
From the Diamondbacks' #3 spot...
"...holding [the Rockies] to just five runs in three games is outstanding."
From the Cards' #19 spot: "We're still not buying the Cards."
by Phizzle on Apr 12, 2008 12:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I could forgive Fox for showing a Yankee/RedSox game.
But I wonder how they come to the conclusion it's the best game to feature....Don't they know that ESPN/ESPNII have those teams on every other day? Please. I'd also like to see the Rays, Royals, and Mariners once in awhile. Is it too much to ask?
She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.
by jillsinmo on Apr 12, 2008 1:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
now remember
No one watch the Yanks-Red Sox game. We dont want them to get the idea that this is okay.
by Evilfrog on Apr 12, 2008 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Giants
By the way, wouldn't it be a complete disaster being a Giants fan when Cain or Lincecum weren't starting. Good luck Giants fans - I really hope they put together a decent lineup for you....
by Lawless on Apr 12, 2008 11:10 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Can you imagine...
what this board would look like if the Cards had spent that money on Zito for this kind of performance. I can actually hear blood vessels bursting and veins popping.
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 11:46 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
To change the subject.
Is Zito done or what? He really is terrible. The SF announcers said that last night performance was an improvement! Really? He couldn't break 84 with a fastball, and the Cards just sat there and waited for one. They all timed his junk breaking stuff and knew that they could catch up to a fastball when thrown. This could be the worse signing in the history of the game!
by nybirdfan on Apr 12, 2008 11:20 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Average fastball velocity
' 04 87.3, '06 85.8, '07 84.5, '08 82.7. From what I gather his arm feels fine no pain but he's just kept trying to change his mechanics and won't just settle on one set. He keeps thinking he's one tweak away from regaining his stuff...but he keeps tweaking himself away from what he was.
With no evidence to the contrary, Colby Rasmus is clutch
by joker24 on Apr 12, 2008 11:27 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I can't believe ...
that the Giants couldn't find a way to void the contract when he came to spring last year saying he had "reinvented" his mechanics. Doesn't it seem like there should be a "lemon" clause, or maybe they should be protected against the "bait-and-switch" laws?
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 11:49 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's not always bad
Beckett tweaked himself last year. Went from going over the head to keeping his glove at his waist...that worked out. But you had better be sure you are doing something bad/wrong before you change it.
With no evidence to the contrary, Colby Rasmus is clutch
by joker24 on Apr 12, 2008 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Tweaking is okay.
Zito apparently completely reinvented his mechanics. I agree with trying something new to get better.
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 12:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Meh he didn't really reinvent them
Reinventing would be changing arm action or arm slot or something. Zito's just gone with a series of tweaks really. He's still not even that far off (mechanically) from what he was but it's not the same either.
With no evidence to the contrary, Colby Rasmus is clutch
by joker24 on Apr 12, 2008 12:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Or are we getting better at hitting soft-tossing lefties?
So far, so good.
by gocards62 on Apr 12, 2008 12:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
stadium gun said...
He did have an awful lot of 85's, but he hit 87 occasionally.
And I awoke in California, far far from Spancilhill...
by SleepyCA on Apr 12, 2008 1:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
With a victory tonight, the Cardinals would go to
9-3 and secure the best start during the TLR-era in St. Louis.
Still looking for 1985 Regular Season games on DVD/VHS
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 12, 2008 11:23 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Thinking the same thing
http://welcometojohnsonville.blogspot.com
by arthropodtodd on Apr 12, 2008 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Meh.
I'd rather they keep on playing solid baseball and attempt to secure the best finish during the TLR era in St. Louis.
"You say the world has lost it's love. I say embrace what it's made of" - Dar Williams
by Valatan on Apr 12, 2008 1:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So long as
they keep beating up on the low-tier teams, I'd say they have a shot. It's the trademark of a post-season team.
"Well, folks, this game began as a tiny worm and is blossoming into a large cobra." - Mike "The Moon Man" Shannon
by Tudor's Electric Fan on Apr 12, 2008 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Keep opponent guessing
First of all I feel TLR & DD have done a fantastic job with this young team. I won't second guess the dynamic duo. But I agree with Red. Mix up the line-up. Keep the opponent guessing. The young talent on this team is just thrilled to be in the big show, & I feel they are up for the challenge no matter where they are in the line-up.
CliffNotes: "My Dad wanted me to be a baseball player!"
Roy Hobbs: "The Natural"
by CliffNotes on Apr 12, 2008 11:24 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I think this is an A- managing job
TLR really is a great manager, who is constantly presented with challenges that other HOF managers don't get. He copes well and consistently pulls out better results than most other managers would have. Imagine what would have happened if it had been announced that Joe Torre would have the honor of having a Cesar Izturis-type as starting SS just before the 2003 season.
That said, I actually am not crazy about his bullpen use. He's overexposed several of the better relievers. Some of his late game substitutions have been headscratchers.
I don't think the criticism re: Reyes is valid. TLR stuck with Reyes through three innings in a close game after Thompson's weak start, including allowing him to bat the other day. If that doesn't show confidence in him, I don't know what does. Except maybe giving him a starting role, and I can't fault him after Reyes' 2007 and a generally good showing by Thompson.
I think juggling the lineups, both in terms of where and when players bat, keeps the competition up in the dugout. Only four of our eight positions are really "guaranteed" a start. The corner OF and middle IF have to work for it. That keeps people's heads in the game. That also keeps developing hitters from getting overexposed too quickly and having their flaws exposed to opposing pitchers.
by tom s. on Apr 12, 2008 11:27 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
knuckleheads
reyes=marquis, too often comments about reyes mimic those made about jason. reyes seems to internalize things more, but the resistance to change (and success) seems eirily similar.
If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs, perhaps you haven't grasped the situation!
by sportsman on Apr 12, 2008 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Izturis has 7 walks
in 11 games. The initial reaction by many seems to be that he's now going to be getting on base on a regular basis. I think everyone is reading WAY too much into 11 games. Izturis is most likely the same player he was two weeks ago. Don't be deceived by the early returns and using results based analysis.
by azruavatar on Apr 12, 2008 11:30 AM EDT reply actions 1 recs
No we should wait and see
But he has made considerable progress in the field. His glove this spring was made of stone. So maybe he is coming around at the plate too. I like him in the nine whole. Sorry, but I don't think he is the same player he was two weeks ago. Still lets just wait and see.
by nybirdfan on Apr 12, 2008 11:38 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
I can believe that the improved glove is real, but not the improved walk rate -- at least not this much improvement. At 30 games into the season, I might start to become a believer, but not yet.
by StanTheManFan on Apr 12, 2008 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Reasonable expectations for Izturis
I agree that Izturis does not project to keep drawing walks at his current rate. unless he has adopted a different approach. But then, Ozzie Smith made significant changes in his approach to hitting when he was at the same point in his career, with a very similar miserable batting record to that point in his career (actually worse than the current history for Izturis), so maybe some boost in Izturis' walk rate is permanent, but not as much as we're seeing these first 11 games. We won't have enough data to assess whether Cesar's increase in walks is a normal deviation or reflects a real change until we've seen another 100 or more AB's for Izturis, at least.
So, based on the most statistically valid comparison, that is, Cesar's most recent past performance in the same conditions, playing full time and fully healthy (as he did in 2004 and the first two months of 2005, in almost 900 AB's), we can reasonably expect Izturis to put up an OBP of around .340, that is, about the same as Eckstein, with about the same power and speed.
The big difference, of course, is that Izturis is capable of winning a gold glove.
As much as I have been a proponent for Cesar as a player who can add value, overall, I would not like to see him in the #2 position in the batting order, because of his lack of power. I think he is ideal in the #9 slot, as the second "leadoff" hitter, after the first inning, in front of Albert and other sluggers (#2 and #4 slots). As I understand the studies of batting order, it is best to have a player with both high OBP AND high SLG in the #2 slot.
by CardsWin on Apr 12, 2008 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i think it's safe to say
he has absolutely adopted a different approach. The question is whether he'll KEEP that approach all year. If he does, then Mo and Tony will deserve a ton of credit for making an unpopular move and sticking with it.
I'm one of the guys who HATED the signing- thought it was a joke- but I'm starting to feel differently. Again, it all depends on whether he keeps walking and making the tough plays.
And I awoke in California, far far from Spancilhill...
by SleepyCA on Apr 12, 2008 1:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That diving catch on the line drive yesterday
does a lot to make me feel better about Mr. Izturis.
"You say the world has lost it's love. I say embrace what it's made of" - Dar Williams
by Valatan on Apr 12, 2008 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
there was also a 1-hopper to short
lined very very hard later in the game that should have eaten him up- it was just like the one schu hit in the first that skipped by the giants SS (that was scored a hit thought it should have been an error). Iz2 did an awesome job of backing up and playing it. It was definitely not a "routine" play, and wasn't flashy, but if he misses that ball we're in for a long inning.
And I awoke in California, far far from Spancilhill...
by SleepyCA on Apr 12, 2008 1:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
Izturis shouldn't be placed in the lineup based on what he has done in these 11 games, but what he can be expected to do in future games. I'd bat him 7th, where he'd have a higher likelihood of walking (to get to the pitcher) and to separate him as far as possible from Albert Pujols. He's also got some base-stealing ability that's best leveraged late in the lineup to disrupt or rush pitchers against the weaker batters in the lineup. The 9 hitter should be a high-BA guy like Miles or Skip to increase the chance of driving in a runner sac'd over by the pitcher and to keep the inning going.
Against typical RHSP, I like:
Skip
Dunc/Ludwick
Mang
Ank
Glaus
Molina
Izturis
Pitcher
Kennedy
Against typical LHSP:
Skip
Barton
Mang
Glaus
Ank
Molina
Izturis
Pitcher
Miles
Until Ryan gets back.
by liam on Apr 12, 2008 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I disagree that the 2 guy should
be the guy with more power. I want the #2 guy to get on base, but I'd also like Albert to come up without having first base open. The ideal inning is: Barton leads off with double; #2 hitter Izturis walks or singles, thus making them pitch to Albert. If your #2 guy is clearing the bases with a homer (admittedly, a positive thing), or doubling, either way Albert comes up in a position where the other team doesn't have to pitch to him. IOW, as a general principle, what I want is for both my #1 and #2 hitters to be high-OB guys, but of the two, I would put the more powerful hitter in leadoff, not 2nd.
by MdRedbirdFreak on Apr 12, 2008 11:37 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
A B+ on your British spelling and tone
But the Brits spell quarelled with the double-L (at least in my experience). Nonetheless, after studying there, it was a very enjoyable theme and greatly appreciated.
As for TLR, it is undeniable that he has done a good job as manager, but the high marks undoubtedly go to Mo for the offseason personnel moves that put TLR in a position to succeed. Shipping out Jimmy opened the way for a younger, more productive OF while the trading of Rolen netted us a plausible threat with the bat behind Pujols. Furthermore, his pitching additions look to make our former weakness a strength.
The TLR philosophy on the field is great, but I firmly believe that managers make a minimal difference in the outcome of games. Personnel is driving force behind success. Look at Torre (bad with the Cards, good with the Yanks), Art Howe (good with the A's, not so much with the Mets), etc.
As for the No. 2 hole, I nominate Rasmus (at least after this month since he is coming to Des Moines at the end of it to face off against the I-Cubs).
Hombres verdaderos slide hard.
by bgh on Apr 12, 2008 11:39 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Single L
was actually a typo. I wasn't spelling that way as a joke; I always spell that way.
Que sera.
by the red baron on Apr 12, 2008 4:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Now that we almost never
see infielders playing the outfield anymore (one of my previous pet peeves about TLR), my main quarrel with TLR is that he won't put a young player into the lineup for an extended period to see what he's really got. One earlier commenter said he thought Barton's sparing use was appropriate because he hasn't proved himself yet. My approach would be to put the kid in the lineup every day for at least 10 straight games. I believe that some players need an extended stretch of dependable playing time to show their true level of performance. So I would urge Tony to give extended stretches of PT to Barton, Schu, and Ludwick (not all at the same time).
by MdRedbirdFreak on Apr 12, 2008 11:50 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
So, about the Fox Saturday Blackout on MLB.com
is it in effect this week? We thought it was last week and it didn't blackout the game. I'd really like to know if I should be sitting in front of my PC at 4 today.
Still looking for 1985 Regular Season games on DVD/VHS
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 12, 2008 11:55 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Um, there seems to be no TV for this game for either STL or SF
Apparently FOX has national exclusive rights to the timeslot and chose not to broadcast, so I don't think anyone is doing a TV broadcast of the game.
I know FSN Midwest is not and after a quick browse of the Giants' website brings no mention of a TV broadcast there. Unless MLB.TV has their own cameras out there doing some sort of production, I would guess you're out of luck.
by bailorg on Apr 12, 2008 12:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
MLB.TV does have their own cameras
they will show a video feed of the game and use the hometeams audio feed.
Still looking for 1985 Regular Season games on DVD/VHS
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 12, 2008 12:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
but ...
are st. louisans blacked out of the mlb.tv feed?
by jeff_abs on Apr 12, 2008 12:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
likely...
but it depends what zip code you filled in when you signed up for MLB.tv...they use the zip code on your account to black any required games in the area.
So, if you used a St. Louis zip code to sign up, then the game will most likely be blacked out through your MLB.tv account
by dj tanner on Apr 12, 2008 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Right
but I was asking about a national blackout. Has the Saturday blackout gone into effect yet this year?
Still looking for 1985 Regular Season games on DVD/VHS
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 12, 2008 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Someone posted a link
to an article last week that said the Fox national blackout would start the weekend of May 17. How accurate that is I do not know.
by cardsgirl95 on Apr 12, 2008 1:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Let's be fair
A. How would you rate the job LaRussa is doing so far this season?
Let’s see. TLR’s decisions have been questioned very often in this young season.
- Remember the errors Iz2 had in ST? And VEB reacting to TLR’s comment that Iz2 had good defense and good hands?
- Playing Ank in Centerfield? It’s looking to be pretty good, surprisingly.
- Balancing playing time among outfielders, and allowing Schu to get going. I know that some folks complained because they wanted more Barton, but we need to get all the guys going. TLR had commented on Schu’s golden defense, and it sure fires up a team when someone is gunned down at the plate.
So I think I would rate TLR pretty good so far for his long term approach. But the season is long and there are tough decisions ahead dealing with pitchers and outfielders.
Related question: How would we rate the job VEB is doing in rating/commenting on LaDunc so far this season? C-.
I have nothing against questioning LaDunc’s moves. I think questioning things is a health exercise, and it’s a lot of fun to explore alternatives. But I feel that many are not very fair-minded in their comments. I just hope that folks would eliminate the vitriol that accompanies the questioning. Also, I think some of LaDunc’s comments on players have been micro-analyzed. Those one-line comments can many times be construed in various ways, so it’s dangerous to read too much into them, especially when one assumes an agenda behind the comments. I know that some of you didn’t want two more years of LaDunc, but they are here so let’s be supportive.
I am also hoping that we will tone down the hating on Duncs Jr and Sr. It seems like some look for every opportunity to trash them. We need to get Dunc Jr’s bat going, and it doesn’t happen unless he has playing time.
B. What do you think of my lineup?
Sound like a good idea, but I do like TLR’s tinkering.
C. Related point: In general, how do you feel about the constant shifting of the lineup?
I think it’s great if it is: building and not taking away confidence, building up potential trade values, exploiting matchups…
Total tangent… How about WunderBrad batting .333 with 2 RBI’s, and Tony squeezing him?
born Dodger blue, now dyed Cardinals red
by totalloser on Apr 12, 2008 11:59 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The Duncs
I agree on the bashing of both. I strongly disagree with a lot of Dunc the Elder's quotes, especially about Reyes. Nonetheless, look at the jobs he has done over his career. Most recently, look at Lohse. I know it is only three starts, but Lohse has look excellent (save for one very, very scary inning last night).
As for Dunc the Younger, I think that, IF healthy (in all caps b/c it is a big "if"), he brings a much-needed set of skills to line-up: on-base and pop. Especially with the slappies we have on the roster. Not to know them outright, but Kennedy, Miles, Izturis and Skippy are not wall-rattlers.
TLR's constant lineup shifting is absolutely nothing new. TLR has never had less than 117 different lineups in a full season during managerial career. He has led the league four times in total different lineups, most recently last year with 150 (mostly due to injuries and the fact that we sucked). In '05, when we had 100 wins, we also had 138 different lineups. I guess I'm saying that TLR is a bit of a mad scientist--always experimenting--and he frequently captures lightning in a bottle. I have no proble with it.
Hombres verdaderos slide hard.
by bgh on Apr 12, 2008 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i'm kind of surprised by the response to Dave's comments on Reyes
Most people seem to believe his comments are just him being a jerk and expressing his distaste for Reyes. I guess you could believe that. I think it's more likely, especially with the clutch work Reyes is seeing, that Dunc is trying to light a spark under Reyes and convey in a public manner what he needs to do (which is probably a testament to the status of face-to-face contact between the two). If Dunc just wanted to get rid of Reyes, he'd talk him UP and use him sparingly, but in circumstances where he's bound to look good, to drive up his trade value. When I see a coach publicly expressing reservations with a player's performance, yet putting him in key spots and giving him his chances, I see a coach trying to reach that player and get him to improve.
If Reyes was totally in Dunc's doghouse he'd be in the same doghouse that Marquis was in at the end. He-who-must-not-be-named-or-seen-on-the-mound.
by tom s. on Apr 12, 2008 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I disagree with the public comments.
.I'm not a fan of using the media or public comments to try to motivate a guy. I think it is crude, and it is more likely to do harm than good. I'm not saying he has to give glowing comments to the media, but the comment he made about Reyes' improved velocity being necessary to hide his lack of movement was over the top. That is a poor way to motivate a guy that just had a good outting.
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 12:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
"Praise in public, criticize in private"
is as sound a management/motivational technique today as it was 300 years ago. I don't understand why Duncan has such a hard time with it.
OTOH, is Reyes one of those guys who performs a little better when he's mad?...
by StanTheManFan on Apr 12, 2008 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The public nature
That is my problem as well. He can criticize until he's red in the face, but why does it seem like he makes an effort to douse positive outings by Reyes with cold water in public forums?
Hombres verdaderos slide hard.
by bgh on Apr 12, 2008 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I have a LOT of thoughts on why that is. But my lips are sealed.
She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.
by jillsinmo on Apr 12, 2008 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I respect your posts, and I would be curious as to your general thesis.
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 1:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thank you for saying that. Most folks requested I just shut up about it. So I am.
At least for awhile.
She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.
by jillsinmo on Apr 12, 2008 1:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Duncan gets his feathers ruffled.
He seems to have a very short fuse on a lot of topics. I don't think he goes out of his way to trash guys in the press. I don't think he uses it as a way of motivation. I do believe that he has no filter. If you ask his opinion, then you will get it. I think he makes a mistake by doing it in the press.
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There appears to be a lot of ...
carry-over frustration from last year in a lot of the posts. I agree that LaRussa is doing a better job this year with a young team. I'm impressed with the renewed focus on fundamental fielding and patience at the plate. I think we have seen immediate results in fewer fielding miscues and more walks.
I also agree with LaRussa's continued playing of Duncan and Schumaker in order to get them going. I don't think either guy deserves to be buried, nor do I believe it is in the Cards best interes. I like what Barton has done, and Ludwick has been fairly good, so far. These guys will go through hard times, and it is necessary to have all 5 guys going for options. I also think that Duncan is the weakest link in a pretty good young OF, and he is the best trading chip this team will have to upgrade the MIF.
Thanks for the comments. I agree with a lot of your points.
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, Skippy has certainly been heating up the last couplea games
"You say the world has lost it's love. I say embrace what it's made of" - Dar Williams
by Valatan on Apr 12, 2008 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wait --
If he's the weakest link, why is he our best trading chip?
by MdRedbirdFreak on Apr 12, 2008 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I said...
he is the weakest link in a pretty good young OF. My reasons for him being the best trading chip are:
1. He hits for a very respectable OPS.
2. He is young, and he makes very little money.
3. He could make a pretty good 1B or DH for a team
4. His OF defense is too weak for the Cards, and 1B is occupied.
5. His injuries are a concern for the Cards, and they have other options.
6. He is LH, and the Cards have a glut of LH hitting OFs.
I don't trash the guy, and I think he has the potential to grow into a solid major league run producer. He is probably destined for a No. 5 or No. 6 spot in somebody's lineup. I think he, and maybe Lohse at midseason, are going to be the best assets the Cards can trade and get good value for.
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 2:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Tony and Mo
I generally hold my tongue when the Tony bashing begins around here, but I'll bite here and say I think Tony deserves tremendous credit. Playing winning baseball year after year is nigh impossible, and who but the manager should get credit when you play above your pyth record? He has a style, doesn't work for every player (see e.g. Toronto 3b), but it gets results.
I note with mild amusement RB's lineup has the pitcher batting 8th. Have we agreed as a community that LaRussa wins on that one? He's finding other converts. Not many managers can claim to successfully buck a 120 year tradition.
Subject change, if I were Mo', I'd be packaging Duncan and pitching and looking for a real middle infielder. Barton and Schu and Ludwick are for real (and don't even think about trading Ank). I would love to see what we could get for Dunc and either Welly or Thompson out there. The Itz/Kennedy/Miles platoon is our achilles heel in waiting. Let's address it now.
by Secret Weapon on Apr 12, 2008 12:00 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
B+ for TLR
A)
bullpen a little overused,
duncan too much (still injured? slow starter?)
ankiel over-exposed
otherwise, these guys are amazing. but they haven't played any really solid teams yet (BP adjusted standings EQ3 has ut at a 4-7 record, playing 3.8 games over what we should be).
B)
I like your lineup, though it seems a bit weak in teh sticks. i'm not sure how long Iz2 can keep up his OBP prowess, but am very much a fan of getting guys on base ahead of Apu. schumaker's been looking like the schu of old and of ST, and barton looks to be a better #2 hitter for what you like, though I might also suggest him for that #9 spot if you keep Iz2 at the 2 hole. Kennedy should bat 7th, IMHO.
C)
I don't like the CONSTANT shifting of the lineup for shifting's sake. i believe TLR is trying to find a lineup that sticks and feels good. that being said, he's platooning field positions, bat-handedness, and ilneup spots, so I think he'll tinker some more. Tweaks in general are good, but not when you've found something that works consistently and well. But every night's opposing team will not be the same either. so maybe it's necessary. but taking a hot barton out to try a slow-starting duncan was not what i wanted.
by HoosierCardFan on Apr 12, 2008 12:03 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
A- for LaRussa
A.) Have personally been stunned with how well they have played to this point; however the teams they have played have not exactly gotten off to a fantastic start (14-29 to be exact). I agree that the bullpen has been a little overused.
B.) As much as I like Barton, Schumaker has started swinging the bat well and may be the better choice hitting lefthanded against the righty Cain today. Otherwise I agree with Kennedy instead of Miles and don't have a problem with Izturis hitting 2nd, but I don't see him continuing to get on base as often as he has.
C.) I don't mind occasional tinkering of the lineup; however, this has been one of my complaints with LaRussa over the past few years. It seems he is not happy unless he is doing things like shuffling the lineup constantly that draw attention to him. Sometimes it is necessary to change things but not every game.
by redbirdforlife on Apr 12, 2008 12:30 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
bartons arm
I didn't watch the game - any observations on the strength of Bartons arm? I understand from the Stl Post article that he threw out a runner at home?
by cdb on Apr 12, 2008 12:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Barton made a very accurate throw from a very shallow point in left field
All the outfielders were playing shallow with the opposing pitcher at bat. But Barton still gets credit for releasing the ball very quickly and nailing the throw right on the mark.
by CardsWin on Apr 12, 2008 12:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
he also made a very strong throw to third
i think in the next inning, to keep {baserunner} to a double. He did a great job of picking it up and getting rid of it in a hurry. The ball got stuck in the corner and the guy was thinking about going for 3, but the throw would have had him easily.
And I awoke in California, far far from Spancilhill...
by SleepyCA on Apr 12, 2008 1:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Barton's arm
Considering he is playing left, I think his arm is fine. He did take a bad angle on a hard hit ball to left center that was able to skip past him for a double. It should have been kept in front of him for a single. He seems at times to get a little bit of a late jump on the ball even on a few plays he has been able to make. That being said he is still a better option in the field than Duncan.
by redbirdforlife on Apr 12, 2008 12:43 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
See I thought that angle was actually good
If he takes a softer angle it's a double anyway the only chance he was going to have on that was to cut it off shallow. Aggressive play and with Skippers right behind him anyway it didn't matter if he missed it.
With no evidence to the contrary, Colby Rasmus is clutch
by joker24 on Apr 12, 2008 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
that ball
was by him no matter what, unless he catches it. It was a rocket, and there was no way he was going to get in front of it. It was only his great speed that let him get that close to catching it. The decision was "try to catch it for an out, giving up a triple if it gets by, or field it off the wall for a double" and I think he made the right choice- he almost made a jim edmonds-esque play where he catches a ball no one thought it was possible to catch. Skip also did a great job of backing him up and keeping it to a double.
And I awoke in California, far far from Spancilhill...
by SleepyCA on Apr 12, 2008 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nice post Baron.
A) I would give LaRussa an A- on the season. I am usually conservative with grades. I have been extremely impressed with his focus on fundamentals in the field and at the plate. This team has significantly upgraded in both areas this year, so far. I like what he has done with rotating guys in and out this early in the year. I hope he settles it down later. I think he has probably over-used some of the bullpen this year, but I don't fault him too strongly as the starters are still stretching themselves out.
B) I like your lineup. I would probably start Schumaker over Barton. He is hitting well and he is LH. I would do a direct replacement in the lineup. I know that will probably cost you some power from that spot, but hopefully he'll make up for it in the doubles department.
C) I'm not a huge fan of constantly shuffling the lineup. I think Glaus needs to be fixed at the 5 spot, with Ankiel in the 4 spot. I'm not expecting much change, though. This is LaRussa's MO, and it works for him.
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 12:45 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Not sure if it's been mentioned or not
but Iz2 won't walk for crap in front of Albert, so eliminate any OBP he'd receive from walks and it falls solely on his ability to hit.
Rasmus or bust.
by Zoop on Apr 12, 2008 1:16 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The Mets/Brewers game is not being blacked out
on MLB.tV, so I have to imagine that those of us outside the STL/SFG markets will be able to watch the MLB.tv feed.
Still looking for 1985 Regular Season games on DVD/VHS
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 12, 2008 1:17 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hope you're right!
My lazy saturday afternoon depends on it!
Proud President of the Unofficial Skip Schumaker Fan Club!
(now accepting applications)
by stltrav09 on Apr 12, 2008 1:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Responding to Question #2
or was it question B....whatever, you get the point.
I like your lineup ALOT...not for the order they are in, but because of who's starting.
Of our 5 OFs Skippy by far has the least potential and lowest ceiling (is that redundent?). He might hit for a decent average but i don't see him being a major league starter.
Ankiel, Barton and Ludwick should be the primary OF's. I think last year Ludwick proved he can play everyday. The dude can hit! Always could, was a solidly viewed prospect, just couldnt stay healthy. With these 3 starting Skippy can be the 4th OF subbing in for all 3 positions.
When Rasmus comes up then Barton takes over as the 4th OF and subs for all 3 also.
Duncan has great power potential but i think he's our best trade piece (and we are going to HAVE to trade one of the OFs fairly soon).
As far as the batting order, i sure liked the games we had Barton and Ank hitting 1 and 2. Seemed like instant offense and i think Ankiel would tear up the league hitting in front of Pujols. So, my batting order of chose is....
Barton
Ankiel
Pujols
Ludwick
Glaus
Molina
Kennedy
pitcher
Ryan
by gossard56 on Apr 12, 2008 1:18 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I Really Don't Agree With Your Lineup
A.) La Russa is doing a solid job this season. The team is playing better than their talent indicates and that is good, but I give the players more credit for their own performance than I give to Tony.
B.) I really dislike that lineup. So I'll go through it piece by piece and state why.
1. Brian Barton: Can this guy really be an everyday contributer? He has 17 career ABs and was never considered a good prospect. Do we really want this guy to get the most ABs of anyone on the team? I'd say not. I think as Cards fans we are susceptible to overrating young guys who came out of nowhere because of Pujols.
2.) Cesar Izturis: The guy has a .297 career OBP and your judging his newfound patience on 11 games? And he has a career SLG of .334. The comes out to an OPS of 631! That OPS is only slightly higher than Paul Bako's career OPS. That basically means we have a faster version of Paul Bako hitting second, not a pretty thought.
8-9.): It really makes no sense to me to bat the pitcher 8th instead of 9th. I don't care how bad a hitter Adam Kennedy is he will be better than the pitcher. Kennedy has slugged a career .389 and that's including his terribly unlucky season last year. Only Adam Wainwright reaches that SLG% and he is far less proven. By batting the pitcher 8th instead of 9th we are simply giving more ABs to worse hitters.
by Gnick on Apr 12, 2008 1:18 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Actually your incorrect
Barton was considered a good prospect.
by gossard56 on Apr 12, 2008 1:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah, Baseball America
had him at #86 in 2007 and had him as an All-Star the year before.
Still looking for 1985 Regular Season games on DVD/VHS
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 12, 2008 1:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
thank you for looking that up
i was too lazy
by gossard56 on Apr 12, 2008 1:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
On Izturis...
Did I say that I think Cesar Izturis is now a great hitter, who's going to put up a great OBP from here on out, and should be our #2 hitter for years to come? No. I did not. I said right now Izturis is getting on base well, and I would like to see him in the 2 hole sometime soon. I'm not planning on this lineup forever. I would just like to see how it would work out for a little while.
On the pitcher batting eighth, you may want to take a look at some of the research that's been done on lineup theory and things like that before you dismiss it out of hand. I'm not sure you really understand the idea behind having the pitcher in the 8th spot if you're only thought about it is that, "the pitcher's a worse hitter, so he needs to bat last."
Que sera.
by the red baron on Apr 12, 2008 4:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What you said is still questionable, imo
For the last 11 games, Izturis is getting on base well. There is no "right now" in baseball. There's past and there's future. If you're slotting Izturis in the 2 hole because of his OBP in 11 games, that seems like a short memory to me. What if we just look at his last 5 games? He only has 2 walks then. Is his plate approach already receding? Looking at his recent performances over the last 3 years is going to be more indicative than anything we've seen in 2008.
And I'd tend to agree with what bgodar said. Pitchers are going to bear down on that number #2 hitter and not try to finesse an out. I'm not sure Izturis can handle that.
by azruavatar on Apr 12, 2008 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Barton
Love him, btw. I agree with starting him over Skip.
Rasmus or bust.
by Zoop on Apr 12, 2008 1:19 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'd be plenty happy to just keep on
rotating the non-Ankiel outfielders in and out of the starting lineup. Keep all of them sharp and seeing pitches. I'm actually beginning to think that Lud mgiht be the weakest link in the group, though. Ater that throw yesterday, it kind of seems like the last advantage that Lud had over Barton at least picked up some evidence to the contrary
"You say the world has lost it's love. I say embrace what it's made of" - Dar Williams
by Valatan on Apr 12, 2008 1:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Barton does look like a player...
a damn good one so far.
"Why does he keep saying that?"
by Red Blazer on Apr 12, 2008 1:38 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
+1
I think I'm so high on the kid because he's the first rookie the Birds have had that has a bat that can produce from the leadoff spot and can motor on the basepaths since Coleman. Ah, the nostalgia...
"Well, folks, this game began as a tiny worm and is blossoming into a large cobra." - Mike "The Moon Man" Shannon
by Tudor's Electric Fan on Apr 12, 2008 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Scott Spezio is done with the Braves, lasted five days.
They had an agreement with him to stay with rehabilitation, regular drug testing, and show up prepared to play. He showed up unprepared to play, and they cut him.
You know, when you have everything to lose, and you still can't stop, you got a problem that's going to potentially kill you. Scott, get some serious, long term treatment before you end up dead. You too Jeff Allison. Starting today....
She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.
by jillsinmo on Apr 12, 2008 1:46 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
otoh
his rock star street cred just went up. Again.
And I awoke in California, far far from Spancilhill...
by SleepyCA on Apr 12, 2008 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Even rock stars get a wake up call and realize it's time to stop....it's all fun and games
until you can't function.
She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.
by jillsinmo on Apr 12, 2008 1:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Kudos to the Braves
for giving him an opportunity and for having strict rules -- rules that gave him an opportunity to straighten things out. That's a first class move. Shame on Speezer... I see this one ending badly.
Proud President of the Unofficial Skip Schumaker Fan Club!
(now accepting applications)
by stltrav09 on Apr 12, 2008 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
These things remind us.
These guys are human, and sometimes their demons can't be avoided. I'm not one for making excuses, and I won't do it for Scott Spiezo, either. I am sad that things are turning out this way for him, but he is going to have to take the responsibility to straighten this out. Neither the Cards nor the Braves could do it for him. I hope he has enough support around him that he can one day see that his life has great potential ahead if he gives these things up. His life perception needs a good swift quick to the metaphorical head.
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 2:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
All to human.......
I hope his family/friends get on him to get the help he needs. It seems obvious he's not going to be able to do it alone. One of my sisters went through addiction.....she was finally able to stop. But she's now in her 40's and has life threatening liver disease.
She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.
by jillsinmo on Apr 12, 2008 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1, and a question:
Does anyone remember whether Scott's dad Ed (Cardinals player in the 1960s) had substance-abuse problems? I don't particularly remember any indications that he did, but I was young and naive enough at the time that I don't think I'd have noticed. There is a definite hereditary component to alcoholism (including in my own family, which greatly affects my drinking habits) and quite likely to other substance-abuse problems, so you gotta wonder.
Come on, Speez; beat this. You were way too much fun while wearing the Birds on the Bat for it to end this way.
by StanTheManFan on Apr 12, 2008 2:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
La Russa
I defend him with friends every chance I get. I think he is the best in game manager in baseball today. He does more with minimal talent than any manager I've ever seen. I was extremely excited when we resigned him this year because I knew this team would go to hell the second he left St. Louis.
"And that's a winner. A World Series winner for the Cardinals."
by Bird Watcher on Apr 12, 2008 1:59 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
my two cents
1: Tony has to have a fairly high rating with the team in first place and the pitching coming around and the defense really looking solid.
2. Your line up isn't bad, but Skip is the hottest bat right now, plus he's getting on base a ton right now. What about this...
RF Skip
SS Iz2
1B "5"
CF Slick Rick
3B Glaus
C Yadi
2B AK
Pitcher
LF Barton
It puts Yadi in the 6 spot and I really don't like that (maybe Dunc can play C...kidding) but you have Barton, Skip, and Iz2 in front of the big bats; one of the 3 should get on.
3. The shuffling around show how much Tony really wants to win this year, it’s easy to run the same 8 out there every day, but this takes work. The young guys on the team don't care where they hit as long as they play, I don't really worry about them. "5" is always in the 3, Rick is 4 against RHP and 2 against LHP, and Glaus is 4 and 5, and the pitcher 8. There are a lot of other changes but they have been productive so I say lets keep shuffling and keep the hot bats on the field.
by Stan and Slaughter on Apr 12, 2008 2:38 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Lineups posted
1. Schu
2. Duncan
3. Pujols
4. Ankiel
5. Glaus
6. Kennedy
7. LaRue
8. Welly
9. Iz2
by enoscountry on Apr 12, 2008 2:48 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Off day on Monday
Not a fan of sitting Yadi. Guess LaRue is due for a hit or two, right?
Is TLR reading VEB? I LOVE Glaus hitting 5th!
Proud President of the Unofficial Skip Schumaker Fan Club!
(now accepting applications)
by stltrav09 on Apr 12, 2008 2:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
LaRue
is Welly's "assigned" catcher, I believe.
by enoscountry on Apr 12, 2008 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I thought he was Thompson's
I could be wrong.. too lazy to check.
Proud President of the Unofficial Skip Schumaker Fan Club!
(now accepting applications)
by stltrav09 on Apr 12, 2008 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You are correct.
The statement was made a week or so ago that LaRue would catch Thompson. I hadn't heard if the same thing was going on with Wellemeyer.
by etp_stl on Apr 12, 2008 3:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not sure he's "assigned" to any particular pitcher. It's a day game after a night game. Seems like the perfect time to utilize your back up catcher.
She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.
by jillsinmo on Apr 12, 2008 3:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I liked the chemistry last night.
When the team stepped up to support Lohse offensively and defensively, they are giving him something that he hasn't seen much of in his career. Good things will come of that.
Ankiel certainly has the power to bat forth, but I don't think thats a good spot or role for him. I would rather see more patience, more doubles, opposite field singles, more setting the table for Pujols. Glaus is starting to become protection enough in the 5 hole. Please no more Duncan at no.2. He seemed to be the only hitter that was going out of his way to hit the middle and show some bat control.......and thats what worries me. Clearly dad and tony are saying "thats your only way into this line-up." It is a role he is not suited for, considering his defensive liabilities. His power potential will never be realized in that mind set.........
Westcoastbirdwatcher
by westcoastbirdwatcher on Apr 12, 2008 3:14 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
duncan
Chris Duncan will not be traded, he will be filling in for Pujols at first more than last year and be a off the bench power hitter. Something we need. He will never have the plate discipline to be a great hitter. (A team like the Giants would improve but a good team wouldn't improve to great by adding a "useful cog" like Chris Duncan.)
It's hard to grade LaRussa and not include Dave Duncan's skill set. It wouldn't matter if LaRussa is playing Barton or Skip, if Wellmeyer and Lohse were not pitching the way the are. LaRussa would be happy with Barry Bonds and Juan Gonzales It is only because of Mo and injury that we have Barton and Reyes contributing.
It is not just the blogs that fret over Tony's tendencies to trot out the old milk horses onto the field. John Mozeliak deserved credit for knowing how foolish Tony can be.
Tony gets a Bplus (Lets see how he handles Ryan when Izturis goes south.
by leftcoastfan on Apr 12, 2008 3:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That will be interesting to see what happens to Ryan. I came across some comments
that said Ryan ought to have to "earn" his roster spot back. As far as I'm concerned, he gets it back as soon as he shows he's capable of playing. He earned it this spring. Pineiro didn't have to "earn" his spot back; as soon as he showed he was recovered enough to play, he got his spot back.
I expect the same treatment for Ryan. It's the one BIG chink in Mr. LaRussa's armour-players he likes, he has a hard time seeing their mistakes and weaknesses; players he doesn't like he has a hard seeing ANYTHING they might do well. And the organization has tossed away some useful players over the years because of it.....I'm hoping Mr. Mozeliak will have a more tempered approach........
She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.
by jillsinmo on Apr 12, 2008 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
A. LaRussa, I give you a B+. can't argue with the record, although...
B. I like this lineup here, and wouldn't mind seeing it in play (chances are, we will). But, why not just keep last night's lineup?
C. I think I wrote about this at some point, but I kinda think with this new team a more consistent lineup would behoove them. less of a matchup based deal, and a more role-driven familiarity would work well with these guys, imho.
Season's still young though...
Ankiel is Jesus!
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Apr 12, 2008 4:03 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The myths and the facts don't match
This is Tony's 30th year as a manager. Over that time, most of his teams have played the game the right way--especially with the Cardinals. They play fundamentally solid baseball, and they are generally competative. He sets the tone.
Plus, he has been an innovator and unafraid to do things out of the ordinary, if there is a good reason to do it.
You read all the crap about Tony and young players; if you actually look back at his history, he's given young players a shot throughout his career. Yes, as a rule of thumb, he prefers veteran guys for backups, because he prefers the younger guys playing everyday in the minors and developing.
I'll give you three examples of giving young players a chance. Everyone moans about J Rod not getting a chance; well how many ML PAs has J Rod gotten other than those that TLR provided him? How many ML ABs did Hector Luna get after getting traded from the Cards? And a guy like Ludwick gets a chance to play--not to mention making regulars of guys like Pujols and Molina.
A. The job he is doing? Incomplete at this point, but in line with his performance year-in and year-out.
B. Your lineup? About 5 years I looked at the top guys in OBP, and virtually all of them had power--multiple figures in HRs.
Here's 2007, the top 40 in MLB, per espn.com
Q. How many on the list have single digit HRs?
A. Seven--which means roughly 80% have double digit HRs. Of the top 20, only 1--Ichiro!--has less than 17.
That means over the long term, to generally have a high OBP, you need to have power. Izturis doesn't, so it doesn't make sense to bat him at the top of the lineup on a recurring basis.
Today's game illustrates why you want to have a.900 OPS guy at the #2 slot. He gets on and can drive in runners--Izturis can only do one of these. He's well suited for #9, not for #2.
On this one, Tony's a lot smarter than a lot of fans and other managers.
C. Baseball is taking advantage of whatever percentages you can. Moving the lineup around does that. I have never believed any of the stories about batting in different spots; do players think different if they are batting #1 or #9?
Tony has lasted 30 years by taking advantage of those small percentages, in part because he is always looking for them.
Dave
by SydneyDave on Apr 12, 2008 11:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I have an issue with your answer to B.
I think your analysis is incomplete given that you only used data from a power-happy era in baseball. It has not been historically necessary for a player to have power to have high OBP. It has usually followed that guys with good BA and above average SLG% will have high OBP, but that has more to do with walking around a guy than it does the player's inherent ability to get on base. The 80s Cards had very good OBP numbers, and outside of Clark, who would you call the power guys. There were many players, from many teams, that had .370+ OBP without double-digit HR numbers.
The fact is that baseball GMs have been overly fascinated with SLG% for 15 years. It has worked for many teams, but the 2003 Florida Marlins proved you could still play the game the old way. Unfortunately, the prospects coming up have taken the Puerto Rican, Dominican approach (you don't WALK out of AAA). Plate discipline has been in steady decline, and too many light-hitting players are trying to hit the ball in the air. Look at Adam Kennedy. Why in the hell does a guy his size have that drastic an uppercut swing? For that matter, why does the vast majority of major league players have an uppercut swing?
What Izturis is doing right now is finding anyway to get on base. Assuming he doesn't copitulate to the wildly aggressive batting mantras of many modern hitting coaches, he should be able to maintain an OBP that exceeds his career numbers. Having two opportunities to get a guy on base in front of Pujols in the 1st inning, when starting pitchers are historically more vulnerable, will result in more scoring.
by etp_stl on Apr 13, 2008 9:48 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Where's my time machine?
Unfortunately, you can't just jump in a time machine and transport the 2008 Cardinals back into 1985. I use the 2000's as a basis because that's the era the Cards are playing, like it or not.
As for "lots of guys" in the 19890's with .370 OBPs without power, let's take a look at bbref.com, shall we?
In the NL, the top ten stopped at .375, and 4 of those top 10 were power guys, Guerrero, Murphy, Clark, and Schmidt. #51 had a .384 OBP, because he hit .353.
In the AL, the top ten was down to .371, and 5 of the 10 were power guys.
So in the NL there were probably a handful, with OBPs between .370 and .375, and in the AL one or two. That means there was probably around 25 guys with OBPs of .370 or above between the two leagues, or roughly one per team--hardly "lots". And roughly half those guys were the power guys.
Just because the Marlins had two runners (Pierre and Castillo) that didn't mean they didn't have some power. Playing in a park that suppressed HRs, they had 4 guys with over 85 RBIs--Lee, Juan E, Lowell, and I-Rod , a SS with 77 RBIs, and a 20 y/o Miguel Cabrera. They were hardly a bunch of slap hitters, as you appear to suggest. The Marlins as a team stole 150 bases and were caught 74 times, for a an approximate 67% success rate, which is about break-even. They also had this guy named Josh Beckett.
As to plate discpline, for the NL, in 1985 walks averaged 531/ team; while in 2007 they averaged 536/team, so teams are walking virtually the same as 20 years ago.
I'm all in favor of Izturis taking all the walks he can, but the stats of today suggest that he's not likely to become an OBP machine whereby he has a .370 OBP. And even if he does, his lack of SLG versus the other choices means he shouldn't bat #2 anyway.
Dave
by SydneyDave on Apr 14, 2008 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
great post
I'm one of the hardest on TLR, but only because I expect him to always get it right. For $4M/year or whatever he's getting paid, he should be perfect, at least when I'm watching. I'd be perfect for half of that, ya know ;) As would everyone else here, at least in our minds.
Regarding J-rod- it's interesting that he didn't make the Marlins roster, and its a good point against the "tlr hates n00bs" meme (not willing to call it a myth). However, I just have to point out that he was definitely better than Juan Enc, and nearly free, so his popularity here was in large part based on being an anti-juan, whose contract was seen as bad in part because of J-rod's freeness, and also in part because j-rod was such a like-able guy, and he certainly had some tremendous numbers in Memphis for a month or two and did a great job of getting on base/hitting in the clutch while with the club. next to Spiezio, J-rod probably deserved that 2006 WS ring more than any non-all star.
OTOH, juan was also better than he was given credit for being here. neither are better than the guys we have this year, with the arguable exception of schumacher, and j-rod got hurt in memphis last year, and made the mistake of signing with the Marlins, who weren't a good match, so those are points against your thesis.
The other big point against it, at least in my mind, is that Ludwick is a ton better than either Juan Enc or J-rod, and by "a ton" I mean 100+ points of OPS with better defense than either, but if Juan hadn't gotten hurt, he'd still almost certainly be the starter.
Hector Luna is (IMHO) a victim of being fat; he's got too much backside to be a second baseman, no matter how many ground balls he gets to. I'd take him over AK right now, though, and I was one of the biggest fans of the AK signing...
And I awoke in California, far far from Spancilhill...
by SleepyCA on Apr 14, 2008 2:18 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
J Rod and the 2006 WS ring?
Thanks for the compliment, but I'm gonna disagree with a couple of things you wrote.
"next to Spiezio, J-rod probably deserved that 2006 WS ring more than any non-all star. "
Huh?
J-Rod had all of 53 PAs in the second half of 2006, and was 0-6 in the playoffs. Yes, he had a good OBP in 2006 (and 2005), but whatever power he had in the minors disappeared in the majors--he had 2 HRs in 2006. If he was a victim, he was a victim of Duncan's 140 OPS+ in 2006--that was a key component of the Cards getting into the playoffs.
So he signed with a team that wasn't a good fit? Doesn't that indicate that teams weren't knocking the doors down to sign him? I think it proves my thesis quite correctly.
So Luna was fat, yet Tony gave him chances? So what fault was Tony's fault and what part Luna?
I don't expect managers to always get it "right". First of all, managers have a lot more info than any onlookers, so we don't have the full info to necessarity judge "right" from "wrong" (or the extent of the gray). But I expect the decisions to be right more often than wrong, and based on watching this team over the last five years, they generally do the right things.
Dave
by SydneyDave on Apr 14, 2008 6:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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