thursday miscellany
lotta little items on my docket today, so let's get right to 'em:
- here is today's gameday link. i got this from liam's blog; as he did last year, he is running a weekly list of gameday links for all spring contests --- not just cardinal games, the entire grapefruit + cactus slates. awesome resource.
- derrick goold put up a long post last night about my favorite under-radar farmhand, mike parisi, who started the day game yesterday and didn't pitch bad. goold hits on the two things i've been hearing about this guy that i like, but that don't always show up in the numbers: a) he's got a big-league curveball and a fastball with sink; but more important b) he makes adjustments. parisi keeps a detailed book on the league and on himself, keeps track of what works and what doesn't; he learns from his mistakes and improves his performance over time. look how his 2007 season at triple A breaks down:
| ip | era | whip | bb/k | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st 10 starts | 54 | 6.17 | 1.685 | 21 / 25 |
| 2d 10 starts | 60.1 | 4.92 | 1.541 | 29 / 49 |
| last 8 starts | 50.2 | 3.55 | 1.411 | 15 / 37 |
looks like he figured some stuff out. he's made a favorable impression on dave duncan so far; it'd be a nice surprise if he's able to make a modest contribution to the big-league club in the next year or two. and a modest contribution, just to be clear, is all i've ever hoped for from parisi; i've never deluded myself that he could be a star nor even a league-average player. but i do think he's got 5th-starter potential --- and a presentable 5th starter who makes the league minimum is a very useful player. even if he merely makes himself into a josh hancock, cal edred, brad thompson type --- an inning-eating reliever who can start in a pinch --- it'd be a small triumph for the farm system. keep bendin' that curve, kid.
- also making a good impression yesterday: jaime garcia, who tossed 3 shutout innings in the night game. that performance came mostly against a representative big-league lineup (to the extent florida has one of those anymore) rather than farm scrubs; among others, he retired hanley ramirez, mike jacobs, josh willingham, and jorge cantu (although the latter made good contact). in two appearances this spring, garcia has thrown 5 shutout innings and recorded 11 groundouts vs 1 flyout. there had been talk of starting him at double A this year, nursing him along slowly in the wake of last year's elbow problems, but judging from the (ridiculously) early returns maybe that's too conservative. maybe he'll be deemed ready for the memphis rotation.
- will carroll posted the cards' Team Health Report over at Baseball Prospectus on tuesday. the vast majority of the cards' key players are rated either yellow (elevated injury risk) or red (high risk). the reds are glaus, isringhausen, mulder, and clement; everybody else is a yellow except izturis and ryan franklin, who are both green (normal risk). a few highlights:
troy glaus: "The grass should help him, as should having Tony La Russa watching his back. I'd expect Glaus to miss some time, but he's the kind of player who, like Pujols, should benefit from the maintenance work this staff can handle.
albert pujols: "He's never been healthy. Never. At least not during his major league career. That's just sick . . . . "
The short answer? No. Longer answer: Hahahahaha; no. Non-snarky answer: There's always a chance, but you can't count on any of them to do anything. Carpenter is the best bet, coming back from Tommy John surgery and knowing that he knows how to rehab. He should be back late in the season for a cameo and we'll see what's left then. He's got a better chance in '09, but by then he's overpaid. Mulder and Clement are low-dollar upside plays that leverage Dave Duncan's skills. It's a bit of "no harm, no foul," in that the money spent isn't stopping other spending or blocking anyone from taking a rotation slot.
- can this really be true --- the phillies think 1 year / $4m is too much for kyle lohse? good god, if that's all it takes, where do i sign up? insofar as every st louis starter has either a red or yellow health rating (and / or is not a good pitcher), and durability is perhaps lohse's greatest asset . . . . long discussion at MLB Trade Rumors.
- finally, the fine writer josh wilker has a nice remembrance of reggie smith.
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Comments
Barton's arm
Damn.
by sdrone on Mar 6, 2008 9:12 AM EST 0 recs
I don't get it
by mikedallas23 on
Mar 6, 2008 9:41 AM EST
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Today
I don't know why I try to make reason out of spring training. It just gives me a headache.
by RedbirdRay on
Mar 6, 2008 10:13 AM EST
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Who knows
I don't get the whole is arm makes him a LF, in that I thought Barton was fast and could cover enough ground to play CF. Maybe he is not as good in center as we thought? I have not seen a live game to have any idea what type of ground Barton covers. Juan Piere can't throw and he plays CF. Juan P can definitely go get it though.
Barton is not going to beat out Duncan in LF, we need more pop than Barton can produce in LF.
by ICbirdfan on
Mar 6, 2008 10:33 AM EST
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John Hadley and Mike Clairborne
Also the general consensus among sportswriters in ST is that Barton is not major league ready as an outfielder. Hadley and Clairborne agree that Mather is ready or close to ready.
by ridgesee on
Mar 6, 2008 8:28 PM EST
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I was one who said he had a bad arm
I think he's just pressing right now, hurrying and trying to do too much, then getting off balance and not putting enough on it. IMHO his range makes up for a lot, and his bat and speed is very promising. He'll catch a lot of hard-to-catch balls in CF.
* schu had a great in-game throw from LF today that would have gotten yadi killed in the regular season, but got the "out" at home...
by SleepyCA on
Mar 6, 2008 9:36 PM EST
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need to add
Anyway, in the regular season, that runner would have had his shoulder down and yadi would have been seeing little yellow birdies, and the ball would have been bouncing around the backstop.
by SleepyCA on
Mar 6, 2008 10:02 PM EST
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If 1 yr./4m. is too much for Lohse,
by vinniefromjersey on Mar 6, 2008 9:14 AM EST 0 recs
Minor league with big incentives?
I wonder if they would sign a minor league contract heavily laden with incentives?
Like one of those Cardinal specials where they could make up to 6 or 8 if they get a full season of starts or something?
by RedbirdRay on Mar 6, 2008 9:20 AM EST 0 recs
I'd take Lohse on any 1 year deal
Also as Hardcore noted in yesterday's thread, Tyler Johnson to start the season on the DL and it's being blamed on his conditioning. Ron Villone seems like a lock to make the team at this point. It'll just be a question of who gets released when Johnson is ready again (unless he has options. . .which I can't recall off the top of my head).
by azruavatar on Mar 6, 2008 9:21 AM EST 0 recs
No brainer
by Hungry Jack on
Mar 6, 2008 2:57 PM EST
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Wainwright's health risks
His 75 innings in 2006 (not counting playoffs) was a huge drop, but he appeared in 61 games. It's not the same type of stress as starting 29, but it's still stress.
And he survived both workloads well enough to throw 202 innings in 2007 as a starter, which is only 20 more than he threw in Memphis in '05.
He's 26, turning 27 late this summer. I'm not really sure what the perceived risk is, beyond the risk to any pitcher at any level.
by bokonon on Mar 6, 2008 9:39 AM EST 0 recs
On Mulder
by cloistermaximus on Mar 6, 2008 10:09 AM EST 0 recs
Shannon
I would love to have Wainwright and a healthy Mulder as our #1 and #2 then add Carp midseason we would have a dangerous rotation. I dont think Mulder pitching that good is likely but I can always dream........
by Calhoun on
Mar 6, 2008 11:33 AM EST
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Curse of Billy Beane
Maybe Billy Beane practices voodoo?
by Titus Pullo on
Mar 6, 2008 1:25 PM EST
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If you had to bet
That said, I am hoping for a miracle from Mulder. It sounds like he feels very good after that second procedure.
by Hungry Jack on
Mar 6, 2008 2:54 PM EST
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Didn't Carpenter have two
by giveml on
Mar 6, 2008 10:38 PM EST
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Hudson?
by MRCARD on
Mar 6, 2008 2:55 PM EST
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Yeah, and Hudson hasn't been exactly bad
by jillsinmo on
Mar 6, 2008 5:06 PM EST
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Isn't Oakland's park
Daryl Kile and John Tudor come to mind....
by giveml on
Mar 6, 2008 10:36 PM EST
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depends
by cardwash on
Mar 7, 2008 1:52 AM EST
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staying in the race
The Brewers are so much better than the Cardinals right now that it just seems so difficult for the Cardinals to compete in the NL Central without Carpenter and Mulder being at the top of their game right from the start of the season.
by DYNASTYLeagueBaseballMike on
Mar 9, 2008 10:33 AM EDT
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Why has Hofpaiur
by ridgesee on Mar 6, 2008 10:12 AM EST 0 recs
Because
by Ray Lankford on
Mar 6, 2008 10:44 AM EST
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AB for Miles are good...
GO CARDS!!!
by SuperSeve on
Mar 6, 2008 10:48 AM EST
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Joe Strauss Live
El Duderino, if you're not into the whole brevity thing: What's the best Cards blog out there?
Joe Strauss: Derrick Goold recommends El Vivo Birdos. Matthew League recommends "Obviously, you're not a golfer" at MLB.com. I personally don't read blogs. Goold is being falsely modest. He'd be enraged if I didn't pimp for BirdCage, er, BirdLand. Sorry, fans, there are no plans for a Joe Strauss Blog!!! We will reconsider for more Benjamins, however.
El Vivi Birdos!?! Tried to find the site, no luck. I don't think he's making to many fans here.
Saw this in the P-D story yesterday on Tyler Johnson.
"The strain, technically a slight tear, is not believed significant enough to jeopardize his season. The club will forward the MRI results to Los Angeles Angels orthopedic Lewis Yocum for a second opinion, according to general manager John Mozeliak"
Now the GM doesn't even trust his own medical staff. I'm starting to like Mo more and more. He just needs to close the deal by signing Lohse. For gods sake 4 mil is only 500k more than we are paying Izturis.
by That's a Winner on Mar 6, 2008 10:35 AM EST 0 recs
second opinions happen all the time
by azruavatar on
Mar 6, 2008 10:43 AM EST
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That's true
by That's a Winner on
Mar 6, 2008 11:08 AM EST
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Don't forget...
by Forsch31 on
Mar 6, 2008 1:37 PM EST
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The second opinion is probably a way
by giveml on
Mar 6, 2008 10:32 PM EST
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Second opinion is back
When the initial diagnosis was reached on Tuesday, Johnson expressed great relief that he would not require surgery. Paletta emphatically reinforced that notion.
"We sent his MRIs out to Dr. [Lewis] Yocum, who reviewed them," he said. "Yocum called me this morning, and his quote was, 'What's the big deal? He's got a throwing shoulder with a little bit of a strain in the rotator cuff. His labrum looks absolutely perfect.' And Yocum said, 'I wouldn't operate on him unless you want to be the one to end his career.' "
by meat on
Mar 6, 2008 11:21 AM EST
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bothersome
by birdsonthebat on
Mar 6, 2008 11:26 AM EST
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eh.
by the red baron on
Mar 6, 2008 1:19 PM EST
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Thank you.
by effin fisk on
Mar 6, 2008 8:43 PM EST
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I have nothing against Carroll...
I really liked a lot the article on Parisi; maybe if he guy is smart and learn to use his pitches effectively, he can be more than a 5th starter type.
GO CARDS!!!
by SuperSeve on Mar 6, 2008 10:47 AM EST 0 recs
As for gameday...
http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/gameday/#20080306
Hopefully Liam sees this, as it may save him some time.
by El Hombre on Mar 6, 2008 10:59 AM EST 0 recs
Anybody notice this Duncan quote:
by vinniefromjersey on Mar 6, 2008 11:45 AM EST 0 recs
Nah, I think
Dunc's said some good things about Reyes this spring, too...
by The Ol Goaler on
Mar 6, 2008 12:56 PM EST
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that was my first thought
by DCGreg on
Mar 6, 2008 1:33 PM EST
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Carroll
- Rich Harden is a short-armer b/c he has an abrupt finish with his arm. That isn't even close to the definition of a short-armer. This is short-arming. It has NOTHING to do with the follow through...That's a separate issue altogether.
- Liriano hurt his arm on one pitch...Never mind that pitching injuries are generally a cumulative process...And he hurt it b/c of "too much whip." Uh, hello...That is part of how velocity is generated, and its not really something the pitcher controls with his arm anyway.
- Colon hurt himself b/c his elbow was too low. I mean, a hair below shoulder level is SSSOOOO low! Also, in my experience working with pitchers a long time ago as a complete amateur, it seems that if in the unlikely event you throw w/ a low elbow, it damages your elbow, not shoulder.
I'm not some expert on injuries, not by any stretch of the imagination. But when he starts talking/writing, my B.S. detector fires up so quickly that I don't even know what to do.
by redbirdnation8206 on Mar 6, 2008 12:05 PM EST 0 recs
Will Carroll is one of the
by houstoncardinal on
Mar 6, 2008 3:17 PM EST
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I understand that
by redbirdnation8206 on
Mar 6, 2008 6:37 PM EST
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I Agree
I agree.
The piece you are referring to is riddled with errors.
by thepainguy on
Mar 6, 2008 3:49 PM EST
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Carroll
Let me get this straight. You think he has a good chance to be healthy and pitch effectively in 2009, yet you think he'll be overpaid, regardless of his performance? Are pitcher's salaries going to fall off of a cliff between now and then? I don't understand. Even under the structure of the extension the Cards gave Carpenter, if he pitches like Chris Carpenter, he is by no means overpaid.
Help me out here; I'm a little confused.
by the red baron on
Mar 6, 2008 3:53 PM EST
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C'mon RB
Carpenter pitching effectively doesn't equate to dominance. And we're paying Carpenter to be dominant.
by azruavatar on
Mar 6, 2008 4:18 PM EST
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Well, fair enough.
by the red baron on
Mar 6, 2008 6:45 PM EST
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To say nothing of the fact
by houstoncardinal on
Mar 7, 2008 8:08 AM EST
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Not that I don't agree
by RedbirdRay on
Mar 7, 2008 8:37 AM EST
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FSMW
We have yet to have a single one.
FSMW really sucks.
by RedbirdRay on Mar 6, 2008 1:23 PM EST 0 recs
Agree
For the Cardinals "fan support" you think that a few more games would be on TV.
I checked the spring training scedule and the Cards only have about 3 on television.
by ICbirdfan on
Mar 6, 2008 1:47 PM EST
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Next Monday at Noon
by meat on
Mar 6, 2008 5:07 PM EST
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Parisi
by the red baron on Mar 6, 2008 1:34 PM EST 0 recs
admittedly,
by erik on
Mar 6, 2008 1:59 PM EST
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Skippy
2-0 Cards.
Skippy has a stolen base too (his 3rd of the spring)
by stltrav09 on Mar 6, 2008 1:57 PM EST 0 recs
Glad to see him having a good day
Nice to see.
by liam on
Mar 6, 2008 2:04 PM EST
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did they give him a SB on that?
Anyway I would have called it a wild pitch, but it was awesome hustle on skip's part. He was really on his game today.
by SleepyCA on
Mar 6, 2008 9:37 PM EST
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Skip keeps getting on base
Meanwhile, Kennedy is heading straight into DFA land.
by Titus Pullo on Mar 6, 2008 2:02 PM EST 0 recs
Anything new on Kennedy from TLR
by sdrone on
Mar 6, 2008 2:07 PM EST
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If we're gonna do that
by mikedallas23 on
Mar 6, 2008 2:14 PM EST
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Hoff doesn't factor in . . .
With TLR at the helm, I wouldn't bet against Miles. Also, I think Izturis will make the team, his limp bat notwithstanding.
by Titus Pullo on
Mar 6, 2008 2:33 PM EST
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Noodle arm cost a run?
by StLHugo on Mar 6, 2008 2:16 PM EST 0 recs
And now he's been pulled from the game
by Titus Pullo on
Mar 6, 2008 2:27 PM EST
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Yeah
by StLHugo on
Mar 6, 2008 2:30 PM EST
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Set up to fail?
Of course, I have no idea what actually happened on the field.
The circumstances just seem a little wierd.
by RedbirdRay on
Mar 6, 2008 2:39 PM EST
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Test
by StLHugo on
Mar 6, 2008 2:40 PM EST
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Ankiel in
by RedbirdRay on
Mar 6, 2008 2:27 PM EST
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it was a short fly ball
Anyway, because he dove and missed, two runs scored instead of one, but he put a ton of effort into it and almost got wellemeyer out of the inning unscathed. I felt bad for wellemeyer because TLR pulled him and he didn't get a chance for a win, which he deserved.
by SleepyCA on
Mar 6, 2008 9:47 PM EST
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Schumaker can do no wrong right now
Add to that back to back from Mather.
by StLHugo on Mar 6, 2008 2:35 PM EST 0 recs
