Viva El Birdos: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:





reyes: the stakes

writing from a hotel room on the 14th floor . . . .

i know a lot of you are tired of reading / talking about anthony reyes, but he’s an important player --- important enough that his roster status merits an intervention by the front office. the rookie g.m. is very publicly overruling his hall-of-fame manager here; obviously reyes matters a great deal. as i wrote last june, the stakes are much larger than the fate of one pitcher:

the never-ending debate about him is really just a proxy debate about the future of the organization. as a general rule (and i realize there are individual exceptions here), those of us who urge patience with reyes tend to think that players like him --- young, cheap, and homegrown --- represent the key to the cardinals' future and therefore are too valuable to give up on. and those who are ready to give up on him tend to believe (again, generalizing very liberally) that the cards should just stick with formula that produced 6 division winners in 7 years: bring in competent veterans who know how to play the game and let tony and dave get the most out of 'em. the argument over reyes could also be construed as a proxy for the luhnow v jocketty argument. . . .

i would no longer characterize this as merely a proxy debate; it really is about the future of the organization --- about whether or not personnel decisions will be guided by any semblance of a long-range strategic vision; about stats vs scouting; about how to get maximum yield from the organization’s assets; ultimately, about who's in charge. i cite two quotes from today’s post-dispatch article:

Mozeliak: "As far as asking whether I position it as the manager's team or the organization's, I'd say ultimately it's the organization. That's who we all work for."

La Russa: "The decision of who gets in uniform is ultimately placed with the front office and/or ownership. I just appreciate the coaches and I having input in that. I also understand that at some point the decision is theirs. But once you get them, the decision how to play them is mine and the coaches'. . . . ."

the disagreement among the cards’ decision-makers isn’t just about reyes; it’s about priorities --- about how, and by whom, organizational decisions will be made. this argument has been going on for at least a year and a half; it cost jocketty his job. and it's still unresolved. that's the issue of greatest interest here, an issue far larger than the composition of the opening-day rotation or bullpen.

when mozeliak was hired, there were some doubts that he'd be able to stand up to la russa. if reyes winds up on the roster (and that's still not decided), it'll signal something of a power shift. a healthy one, imho.

* * * * * * * * *

on an unrelated note: what happened to all the cardinals’ curveballers? from 2000 through 2006 the rotation was dominated by guys who relied heavily on uncle charlie (kile, ankiel, morris, carpenter, suppan); the crystallizing moment of the ’06 championship run was a curve that froze carlos beltran. but the guy who threw that pitch is the only member of the current staff who possesses a plus curve. indeed, he’s the only one who throws more than 4 or 5 curveballs a game. here are the curveball percentages for each cardinal starter, according to josh kalk’s database of pitch-types from the 2007 season:

neither clement nor mulder threw enough pitches in 2007 to show up in kalk’s database, but fangraphs has pitch-type data going back to 2005; according to it, clement does not throw a curve. about 15 percent of mark mulder’s pitches were curveballs in injury-marred 2006-07; in 2005, his last good year, he only threw half as many curves.

i raise this point merely as a curiosity; i’m not suggesting that the current pitchers should throw more curveballs, or the team should acquire more curveball pitchers. it’s merely something i noticed.

1 recs | Comment 153 comments

Read Related

Story-email Email | Print |

Comments

Display:

So it doesn't get lots

Hardcore asked about Barton's number at the end of yesterday's thread. I figured I would copy my reply so it doesn't get lost down there since it is an interesting thing to know.

http://www.stltoday.com/blogzone/bird-land/bird-land/2008/03/ludwicks-wicked-case-of-deja-vu/
"For the numerologists out there: Barton will wear No. 54 when he arrives at Busch Stadium as a big leaguer Monday. Kyle McClellan will wear No. 46."

by StLHugo on Mar 27, 2008 7:59 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: Cardnilly

anyone know what became of Scott?

"Say something once, why say it again?"

by Alxfritz on Mar 27, 2008 7:37 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Booo 54

Should have just stuck with Double Musial.

Still looking for 1985 Regular Season games on DVD/VHS

by Hardcore Legend on Mar 27, 2008 11:19 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Free Reyes

I have never understood LaRussa and Duncan's treatment of Reyes and it has always frustrated me. They seem to have long ago written this kid off for some reason that goes way beyond what he's bringing to the mound. When his coaches needed him most last year they abandoned him, this spring clearly they have show him little support. I don't get it, this kid pitched in a World Series has solid stuff and I just bet if his coaches decided to show a little faith in him and actually work with him rather then banishing him every chance they get, he could be a solid young back of the rotation pitcher with decent stuff. Good for Mo for standing up to Tony and Dave on this matter. Dave ain't god on pitching, Kip Wells anyone?

by ghostofjimlindeman on Mar 27, 2008 8:06 AM EDT   0 recs

Curves

I like curves. The pitch is cool too.

Seriously, that is interesting. I hadn't thought of that but Carp throws a nice curve (don't know the percentages), so at least if he were healthy there would be two guys in the rotation. What about some of the guys waiting for their chance at Memphis? Parisi, Boggs, Ottavino? etc...

by paposse on Mar 27, 2008 8:19 AM EDT   0 recs

The curve...

is really seeing a downfall in all of a baseball. The reason is that, simply, it's harder to learn and control than a slider. If you think about all of baseball, who throws a good, old-school, 12-6er?

Carp
Waino
Brett Myers
Felix Rodriguez
Oswalt

I know there are more, those are just the only ones I can come up with. Anybody else?

by Jhusk on Mar 27, 2008 1:37 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Ben Sheets

when he's not hurt

by chris13 on Mar 27, 2008 1:52 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Lincecum, Beckett, Verlander, Meche, Burnett

If we're talkin lefties: Bedard, Hamels, Hill

With no evidence to the contrary, Colby Rasmus is clutch

by joker24 on Mar 27, 2008 1:59 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Flash Gordon

had an absolutely filthy bender back in the day....

Personally, I think we got hosed on that call.

by cardsfanindenver on Mar 27, 2008 2:48 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

zito

we could have given him 120 million last year, then we'd have another.

"Sorry about him, he's dealing with being an inker. " - Chasing Amy

by FutureMan on Mar 27, 2008 11:18 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

126 million

Zito's average fastball velocity the last three years: 87.3, 85.8, 84.5. Yikes.

With no evidence to the contrary, Colby Rasmus is clutch

by joker24 on Mar 27, 2008 11:32 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Is that supposed to be Hernandez?

I think Felix Rodriguez retired a few years ago and I didnt think he had that great of a curve...

"Back in the day when I played, a pitcher had 3 pitches: a fastball, a curveball, a slider, a changeup and a good sinker pitch." - Mike Shannon

by nomar34 on Mar 27, 2008 3:34 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

And Hernandez' out off-speed pitch is the slider

With no evidence to the contrary, Colby Rasmus is clutch

by joker24 on Mar 27, 2008 5:39 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Why exactly did the front office

bring back TLR and his sidekick again? What a diva this guy is...Jeebus. He is simply not worth putting up with him and his schtick for another two seasons.

Steriods is...is bad.

by Handsome Jimmy on Mar 27, 2008 8:28 AM EDT   0 recs

Looking at where the Cards are

...I wondered the same thing. This is not a team that would lend itself to TLR's preferred style of team (i.e. chalk full of proven veterans). I was actually hoping, back when all the TLR-to-NYC rumors were flying, that he would take flight to the Bronx and that we could scoop up a Girardi type who has proven he can get young talent to shine. But, in the end, that's the problem, isn't it? Are we rebuilding or aren't we? Are we embarking on a youth movement or aren't we? We're strattling the fence, evidenced by the end of last season to the beginning of this one: re-hiring TLR, re-signing Pineiro as a placeholder, sending Rasmus down (a move I agree with but that a team in true "rebuilding mode" likely would not have made), trading Jimmy for a prospect, trading Rolen for a veteran 3B, Barton over Juan Gone, Izturis over Ryan, Miles/Kennedy over Hoffpauir, and now the Reyes debate.

As for

by bgh on Mar 27, 2008 8:37 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

They did about as good as possible

Am I the only one who sees the moves we made this year as positives. We have moved towards the future while also having a chance in the present. I'm a huge TLR supporter so i can't really argue that contention objectively. (Hell my dog is named La Russa). As for the signings, trades, position battles, I see them as fiscally smart and a move to the future. Pineiro -- a little high slary wise but better than pretty much any other options available, also have the ability to be in the bullpen in the future also. I don't see how anyone can complain about the Rolen trade. I have a feeling by the end of the season the media will look at this trade and comment how Mo fleeced the Blue Jays. THis is also a move towards the future. We can send Glaus packing in two years and look for our new youth. I'm saying all this and Rolen was my favorite. (my other dog is named Rolen). Barton won the battle, we should all be rejoicing. We need to see the Juan gone experiment as a 'make albert and yadi happy' venture.Also I feel a lot of people see having success for one season in AA equates to someone having the ability to be successful in the majors. Its this simple: Hoffpauir and Rasmus are not ready. If we are truely dedicated to the future, we need to let them mature. We have a chance to win now but also looking to our future. Can we ask for much more? Maybe we are with this Reyes situation but I will stay away from that.

by stl3bagger on Mar 27, 2008 8:58 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Let the Fleecing begin

Rolen will start the season on the DL with an injured finger tip.

by Ray Lankford on Mar 27, 2008 10:52 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Sorry, I can't let this stand

Wow. That's incredibly disingenuous.

For the record, during fielding practice a ball broke the middle finger of his throwing hand AND completely ripped off the fingernail. The fracture was apparently bad enough to require surgery and have a screw inserted into his hand.

But here's the grisly part: "The fracture isn't really the problem. It's just that when he ripped the nail off he took off another layer of skin, and it exposed the bone."

So I'd hardly try to spin that as if Rolen has a fuckin' "boo-boo on his widdle finga." Unbelievable.

There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who understand binary, and those who don't.

by Mr Clean on Mar 27, 2008 5:44 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Wow yourself

I pointed out that Rolen was going to start the season on the DL and Troy Glaus won't. This was in response to the previous poster suggesting the Rolen / Glaus trade will be viewed as MO fleecing the Jays. So in terms of "who got the better deal," I pointed out (somewhat tongue-in-cheek) that so far the scales are tipping in our favor because Rolen is on the DL.

Nothing in my post was "disingenuous." I never suggested Rolen was a pussy, so I think you should re-read what I wrote before suggesting I made light of the situation in some "unbelievable" fashion. I said Rolen had an injured finger tip, which he does. For the record, I read the same article you cited before my previous post. I wasn't spinning anything, so calm the fuck down.

by Ray Lankford on Mar 27, 2008 6:02 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Apologies

You are absolutely correct. I totally misread your post as an unwarranted attack on Rolen, and I got really POed and took it out on you without cause. I guess I'm still pretty cheesed off about having to trade Rolen in the first place. My bad.

I'm really embarrassed, so I'm gonna go crawl under a rock now...

There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who understand binary, and those who don't.

by Mr Clean on Mar 27, 2008 7:04 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

The Cards were stuck.

There are quickly becoming two factions in the Cards fan base, the TLR haters and the TLR lovers. In addition, you have this running sentiment that this "youth movement" is nothing more than a way for the Cards to spin not wanting to pay for players. You can see the desire to try to appease both in this offseason's moves. They brought back TLR/Dunc because they wanted to convey that they are still trying to be competitive. They really had to supplement the team with average veterans (Pineiro, Clement, Glaus) because they are still at least one year away from having anything available there internally. If they put out a team of Wainwright, Looper, and 3 AA pitchers to go along with Ryan, Hoffpauir, Schumaker, Ankiel, and Duncan in the field; fans in this town would stop going to the games by mid-May. That team will not compete. Pujols may look for a way out of town, or he would opt for surgery this year.

Some of us really prefer to watch young baseball players with untapped potential, but the casual fan doesn't. The Cards need to continue a revenue stream while trying to make this transition. I am happy to see Mo standing up to TLR/Dunc for what is right for the organization. It will be interesting to see how the two pout. I think if Reyes doesn't get traded early, this is going to be an incredibly uncomfortable year for this kid.

by etp_stl on Mar 27, 2008 9:51 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I liked a lot of the offseason's moves

Don't get me wrong. I was just pointing out the seeming dichotomy of the offseason moves. It seems as if we came to a bit of a fork in the road and we took it; which, playing in the NL Central may allow us to remain competitive.

Frankly, I'd rather have spent money on a top-tier pitching prospect in last year's draft than on Miles and Izturis. Far cheaper players with similar, if not better, skill sets, while we could rejuvenate our farm system even more dramatically. That is my primary problem: overpaying for mediocre, veteran MLB players instead of (gulp) Boras-represented draftees.

by bgh on Mar 27, 2008 10:37 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

"becoming"?

There have been TLR haters and lovers since day one. What I find funny, though, is that the criticisms have completely flipped--when Tony came in, the complaint was that he benched Ozzie (how could you have a more proven veteran at this point?), and that he didn't rely on speed enough as a weapon. Heh.

"You say the world has lost it's love. I say embrace what it's made of" - Dar Williams

by Valatan on Mar 27, 2008 12:04 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

My point wasn't ...

to discuss the early irrational feelings towards the man. The point was that the "seeming dichotomy of the offseason moves" was really there. They were trying to manage this transition, and try to at least somewhat appease both of these factions. If they bring LaRussa back, then there were inevitably going to be those who questioned their sincerity in the "youth movement." If they bring in somebody else, then they would have to deal with those saying that they are just taking advantage of the fan base and the increased revenue stream.

So, they brought LaRussa back; and now Mo is dictating to TLR/Dunc that they will bring along youth they don't want/think is ready. It is a compromise, but it is still a very difficult situation.

by etp_stl on Mar 27, 2008 12:32 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

stability

i always got that impression that dewitt brought tony back for stability during the team's "transition". i really don't think he wanted the team to have a new gm, manager, coaching staff, president (if he saw that coming), etc.. all at the same time. i think bringing TLR back at least gave him a known quantity going into the future. it sounded like Mo felt the same way in a recent interview. it helped that TLR already had so much experience in managing the team and running spring training that Mo didn't have to worry about it as much and could focus on the other parts of his job.

i don't know any offhand but how many teams have that kind of overall in one off season? i can only imagine the mess we could be in.

"Sorry about him, he's dealing with being an inker. " - Chasing Amy

by FutureMan on Mar 27, 2008 11:30 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

plus

from TLR's comments after his re-signing i always thought he would only take the job for one year anyway. he said something along the lines of only wanting to sign a one year contract but signed a two because he never liked how a team acted at the end of a manager's contract.

almost seems like he wants to give the impression he'll be here for two but will only stay for one of them.

"Sorry about him, he's dealing with being an inker. " - Chasing Amy

by FutureMan on Mar 27, 2008 11:35 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

my two cents

I have been an advocate of trading Reyes, but this spring the kid earned a spot in the rotation. Looper should be in the pen. I can see that from 1,350 miles away.

by nybirdfan on Mar 27, 2008 8:32 AM EDT   0 recs

Injury

Is there any reason to think that the two converted relievers--Looper and Wellemeier--won't injure themselves trying to be starters again this year?

by bgh on Mar 27, 2008 8:38 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I disagree about Looper being in the pen.

Looper proved last year he is worth having as a 4th or 5th starter.

If anybody should go to the pen it is Wellmeyer. He walks to many guys to start in my opinion.

"Why does he keep saying that?"

by Red Blazer on Mar 27, 2008 11:23 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

TLR

After I read the first sentence of todays post, the first thing I did was click on the link to the dispatch. After reading that I returned to VEB to see the same paragraphs that caught your attention also caught mine. I find his quotes to be somewhat of a challenge to the front office and i dont particularaly like it. I agree with some of the other posters, I think bringing him back may just clash too much with what Mo (and the majority of the other MLB teams) is trying to accomplish. It just doesnt really make sense to me to hire a "new age" type GM with a manager that makes this statement "But once you get them, the decision how to play them is mine and the coaches"

by UNCDubya on Mar 27, 2008 8:45 AM EDT   0 recs

I agree with Tonys statement ...

the manager should decide how to use them.

But he also needs to play the team the office gives him to play.

I think Tony is hinting at the fact that maybe Mo is not just saying keep him on the team but maybe demanding that he start Reyes.

That is how Tonys statement reads to me.

I mean why say it's up to management how to deploy or use the players that was not even the argument. The argument was as to wether or not Reyes makes the team .

"Why does he keep saying that?"

by Red Blazer on Mar 27, 2008 11:26 AM EDT to parent up   1 recs

I would highlight

a very impartial and calm approach to this Reyes discussion on Futureredbirds, that you can find here.

To be noted the comment from poster Forsch31, that sees Mo's move from a different, interesting perspective.

GO CARDS!!!

by SuperSeve on Mar 27, 2008 8:57 AM EDT   0 recs

For what it's worth...

It's my opinion (based on nothing but my own wild-a**-guesses) that Mo wants Reyes on the club because you can get more for a major-league pitcher in a trade than you can for a AAA pitcher...

Since "youneverknow", it's possible that Reyes will get an opportunity to pitch if or when Looper/Wellemeyer/Thompson has a "stinker" or two; no matter what Tony thinks!

"In this game, don't nobody know nuthin' about nuthin'." -- attributed to Lawrence Peter "Yogi" Berra

by The Ol Goaler on Mar 27, 2008 10:36 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I agree with ...

the Futureredbirds article about the fact that his mechanics have a great deal to do with his lost velocity, messy breaking pitch, and his control issues. I wish I could find the article from 2006 that discussed how Reyes' arm slot was being changed in order to try to get the ball down in the zone. It was in the P-D, but I don't remember if it was Strauss or Gould doing the reporting. Dyar Miller was discussing that as the approach to try to comply with Duncan's requirement that Reyes develop a sinker. The article discussed how Reyes and Miller felt it was impossible for Reyes to get a sinking action on his 2-seamer with his standard arm slot. Since that change, he has gone downhill in both velocity and command. I believe that is what Reyes was referencing when he said this offseason that he had rediscovered his mechanics.

I don't disagree with the reference in that article to Reyes' pitching mechanics leaving him open to future injury. It seems like he puts significant stress on both his elbow and shoulder, and he does look similar to Prior's "perfect mechanics."

by etp_stl on Mar 27, 2008 10:56 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

bull durham

duncan's philosophy kind of reminds me of crash in bull durham saying that in the show everybody can hit a fastball and that nuke would need to develop a breaking pitch. makes me laugh.

"you wanna take this outside?"
"yeah i wanna take this outside!"

"Sorry about him, he's dealing with being an inker. " - Chasing Amy

by FutureMan on Mar 27, 2008 11:39 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Politics, pugilistic personalities, performance

LaRussa and Duncan are brilliant coaches in some key respects but their political strategies are very crude and transparent, including public criticism of players they don't want on the roster (which is their boss' decision primarily). It worked when LaRussa publicly stripped down Rolen. Mo had to trade him. Reyes, like Rolen for a long time, has refrained from rebutting TLR and DDuncan's very public critiques. But Reyes will get traded at some point because LaRussa and Duncan have an increasingly untenable relationship with him.

Still, It's good to see Mo take charge at this point and assert his ultimate authority in player assessment and assignment. Keeping Reyes on the team is essential to maximizing his trade value, giving Anthony a chance to demonstrate that he is ready to be successful against big league hitters.

Consider that Reyes in his first ML season he posted a 2.70 ERA (in only 13.1 IP) and in his second season his ERA was very respectable for a rookie, 4.68, in 84.2 IP, until the last day of the season, Oct. 1, 2006, when Reyes was thrown into a game with short rest (which makes most pitchers perform poorly) and on very short notice. Reyes last only one third of an inning, giving up 2 HR's, 5 hits, including 2 HR's, and 4 ER's, to raise his ERA to 5.06. LaRussa and Duncan started him 2 weeks later vs. the Mets only because they had no alternative. After a two-week layoff, Anthony struggled, but he kept the team in the game, giving up 2 ER in 4 IP, on 4 walks and 3 hits, including 2 HR's. Six days later Reyes came through when the stakes were as high as it gets, the World Series; he pitched 8 innings, allowing only 2 runs, on 4 hits, including a HR, and 1 walk, striking out 4.

His reward in 2007 was to be forced to conform to a style of pitching that did not fit him, versus major league hitters rather than AAA hitters. Yes, he did need to improve, of course, especially to get a better out pitch. But, as LaRussa said two days ago, Anthony is still a developing pitcher who should have still been at AAA to allow him more time to develop and refine his approach, like Wainwright got. It isn't Reyes' fault that Jocketty didn't have enough decent starters to allow Reyes that developmental opportunity. It would have been better to have traded him before the 2007 began, when Anthony's stock was at it's highest.

It will be very interesting to see how LaRussa and Duncan handle Reyes in the next month. If they handle him in a way that interferes with his success, as they did on October 1, 2006, and if they continue to criticize him publicly, they will just make it more difficult for Mo to trade him for good value. That would be politically stupid and contrary to the interests of the organization, which is finally using a rational, strategic approach to getting the greatest return on its young talent. It's not a question of scouting vs. stats, which would just flip the old Jocketty formula around. Mo's way is blending scouting and statistical analysis into the most powerful kind of analysis, which is clearly the most effective approach.

Mo seems inclined to take a stand that he will no longer discard players without receiving good value in return, as, for example, when Ray King was dumped, after LaRussa was annoyed by his public complaints about not getting playing time - which King truly had not earned at that point. Lefthanded relief pitchers were a valuable commidity, though. If LaRussa hadn't been so public and strident in his criticism of King, making it obvious to other GM's that the Cardinals were in the weak position of needing to get rid of King, maybe the Cardinals would have gotten more than Larry Bigbie and Aaron Miles....

by CardsWin on Mar 27, 2008 9:09 AM EDT   1 recs

Ray King was terrible at that point

it's amazing they got two usable player for him.

Signatures are for Communists.

by JI on Mar 27, 2008 12:30 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

there are some good moves

on the roster though. Agreeing with 3bagger... Barton is in. That makes me happy. I also think that (possibly out of necesity) Thompson as a starter could be a positive. He was in TLRs doghouse for a while, but I have wanted to see what he can do as a starter.

I can see two sides to the Reyes saga. I think that he probably did not adhere 100% to the coachings of ladunc and being oldschool that did not sit well with them (which is how it should be in many cases)... He has had a lot of opportunities and has not flourished, but crashed and burned. On the other side, this is the year that you NEED to see what he can do, and what is the main downside if the cardinals play him.

Some good, some bad news about the 25.... I still think that TLR is starting to lose it though (Rolen, Kenedy, Reyes bashings...).

What happened to our team?

by und3rtovv on Mar 27, 2008 9:11 AM EDT   0 recs

TLR/Joe Strauss on 1380 yesterday..

Very interesting radio yesterday evening, as TLR denied that a decision had been made and basically chastised Strauss for printing the initial article about Reyes getting sent down.

Bernie then put Strauss on afterward and he confirmed that there is a disconnect between the front office and the managerial/coaching staff. He said something to the effect of "well its obvious that the front office wants Reyes on the roster despite Tony/Duncan's preference to send him down."

I just don't understand how Todd freakin' Wellenmeyer beats him out for a spot, what with his 11BB/10K's in spring training.

by silent_bob on Mar 27, 2008 9:15 AM EDT   0 recs

Remember

if Reyes gets sent down, Kelvim Jimenez also beat him out and Jimenez is beyond terrible -- much worse than Wellemeyer who absolutely cannot consistently throw strikes. At least Reyes can do that.

by houstoncardinal on Mar 27, 2008 9:45 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

hey bob

LOVE your picture; any cards fan should be able to simply glance at that and KNOW exactly what it is

Pujols is the greatest Cardinal in my lifetime.

by bigcardsfan5 on Mar 27, 2008 10:41 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Oh yeah...

I've had that picture as my screen saver for a Long time now.....ahhhh.....what a moment that was..

by Timbo02 on Mar 27, 2008 12:53 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

houstoncardinal's picture

is pretty friggin' great too.

Personally, I think we got hosed on that call.

by cardsfanindenver on Mar 27, 2008 2:53 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

i have it too!

mine's just cut off it bit. it kinda looks cool like that though.

by stlcardinalsfang on Mar 27, 2008 11:48 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I dunno about y'all

but THESE couple of paragraphs stood out for me:

'Keeping Reyes would come at the expense of Kelvin Jimenez, who threw two scoreless innings in Wednesday's 8-2 win. Duncan is impressed with Jimenez's added maturity this spring.

"Jimenez has grown up a lot since last year. That's why we've got a tough call," La Russa said.'

Yipe? Can we all join hands and say that Anthony Reyes is probably not worse than Kelvin Jimenez?

"Dogs look up to us. Cats look down on us. Pigs treat us as equals." --Churchill

by lordsummer on Mar 27, 2008 9:17 AM EDT   0 recs

A good curveball

is the most lethal weapon in a pitchers arsonal. Sandy Koufax would have been just another hard thrower if he had not developed a great 12 to 6 curve. He was wilder than Wellemyer and the Dodgers almost gave up on him before he developed the curve.

Kofax was the only pitcher I have ever seen that would not waste a pitch if he got ahead 2 and 0 in the count. He would come right back with that wicked curve that he could throw for a strike every time or a fast ball right down the middle. Usually the hitter was frozen either way.
Koufax credited Ron Perinowski with teaching him the curve when they were both pitchers with LA. and Perinowski went on later to be a great pitching coach for many years with the Dodgers. In his years as coach with the Dodgers he helped all young pitchers develop good curves and the they always had good pitching.
Along with Johnny Sain, they are probably the best two pitching coaches ever and Sain had a great curve and taught it. Far superior to Dave Duncan. What pitch has Duncan ever taught anybody.
The moral of the story being, for a pitching coach hire somebody with the art of teaching how to throw a good curveball

by ridgesee on Mar 27, 2008 9:29 AM EDT   0 recs

I thought...

Duncan taught Dave Stewart the fork ball. Not defending, just saying.

[Homer shows Bart "Wonderbat".]
Bart: Wow. How many home runs you gonna hit with that thing?
Homer: Let's see... We play thirty games. Ten at-bats a game. Mm...three thousand.

by boog on Mar 27, 2008 9:38 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

To add

What would Wainwright be without his great curve. What would Morris have been without his curve ..or Kyle.

by ridgesee on Mar 27, 2008 9:44 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Can't argue

Duncan might have learned a good Fork ball throwing out runners at 2nd or on tosses back to the pitcher. Don't know..could have.

by ridgesee on Mar 27, 2008 9:47 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

That argument...

...Only holds water if the curveball is the only effective offspeed pitch in existence. It isn't. Would you suggest telling Randy Johnson or Jake Peavy to throw overhand curveballs instead of their wicked nasty sliders? Would you suggest telling Johan Santana to ditch that stupid changeup for a deuce? Fausto Carmona, get rid of that sinker/splitter combo for a big ole' Uncle Charlie!

I'm not trying to start a cyber-fight or anything, but hiring a pitching coach just b/c he can teach curveballs is a bit short-sighted in my book.
Leo Mazzone never once taught a curveball, he just told his guys to throw a quality breaking ball, and getting all up in a huff about which kind it was was ultimately useless.

"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.

by redbirdnation8206 on Mar 27, 2008 11:03 AM EDT to parent up   1 recs

I didn't say

get rid of anything, nor did I say that there wasn't other great pitches. I just said that nothing is more lethal than a good 12 to 6 curve and i stick to it. Also a hard slider is hard on the arm. (so the experts say) but you are right, it is a great pitch and Gibson lived with it. I have heard him say a couple of times in interviews that the slider was his strike out pitch. Not the fastball as most people thought.

by ridgesee on Mar 27, 2008 5:58 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Curve Ball decline throughout MLB?

I haven't watched very many other teams, but perhaps the curveball has deminished all together, not just with the Cards. I might be blowing smoke, I don't have the stats to back it up.... just guessing.

I'm guessing the wear and tear of throwing the curve vs. other pitches has led to the decline. Perhaps a medical blogger can shed some light on phyisical strain of throwing the curve. A local sports talk show hosts advocates not letting kids under the age of 14 throw curve balls because of the damage it does to the arm over a period of time.

by OKCARDSFAN_411 on Mar 27, 2008 9:33 AM EDT   0 recs

The good

medium speed 12 to six curve is not hard on the arm. It is the slider that recks havoc. This is not from me. I don't know. I can't throw shit. It's what I have heard Bob Gibson, Johnny Sain and others say.

by ridgesee on Mar 27, 2008 9:54 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

gibby

isnt it said he still cant totally straighten his right arm, and says it is because of the slider?

Pujols is the greatest Cardinal in my lifetime.

by bigcardsfan5 on Mar 27, 2008 10:44 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

There are many many

people, including doctors and coaches, who say young kids shouldn't throw the curve.

by sdrone on Mar 27, 2008 11:43 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I have heard Gibson

make that statement personally, and no, Kids should not be trying any kind of breaking ball. Although in Little League WS games, you do see some soft benders and I don't think that is good.
A slider is just a faster, sharper breaking curve and common sense tells me that it puts more snap on the elbow than the old 12 to 6 bender. Somebody mentioned earlier that the curve had almost disappeared and that is true for a time.
In fact when Kyle and Morris and some others started bringing it back about 5 years ago, they had trouble getting umpires to call it but i have noticed now that umpires call it frequently now, even when it looks sometimes high to me. Wainwright gets good calls on it. I can remember when the overhand curve (12 to 6) was called a drop, and it was quite popular in the majors.

by ridgesee on Mar 27, 2008 6:18 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

My son's doctor and pitching instructor both agree with that statement.

He went through a lot of practice drills without ever throwing a ball starting when he was 15 1/2. He was not taught the pitch until he was 16. It was, and is, still his best pitch. But until he was 16 all he threw was a fastball and a change up. He's still going strong at 20 yeears old without ever having arm or shoulder problems.

And despite good coaching, and exemplary work habits, he cannot throw a 2 seamer. "The ball just doesn't feel right in my hand, Mom." But then, most of his teammates can't throw a quality curve either......

She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.

by jillsinmo on Mar 27, 2008 8:39 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Great discussion of Reyes

That really is the argument. I'm kind of tired of arguing FOR Reyes b/c it implies that I'm in denial as to how he's performed once he's been here. I'm not but it really is about going w/ young guys who MIGHT do something vs. going w/ "proven" vets. Now, Thompson's no old fogey but you do know what to expect from him and it's not good. It's probably better than Reyes' worst case scenario but, of course, much worse than Reyes' best case scenario.

At this point in the team's development, they need to be promoting and playing those whose best case scenarios are the best -- when they're ready, of course. It does us absolutely no good to run Thompson and Wellemeyer out there every 5 days. They're replacement level and provide nothing other than an improvement over the possibility of Reyes performing BELOW replacement level. If he does (Reyes) -- who cares? We lose 8-4 rather than 6-4 or, at worst, finish w/ 75 losses instead of 77. The best case scenario, OTOH, is that we find out we have a good, young pitcher we can keep or trade for something of value. The upside of pitching Reyes is MUCH greater than the downside. The same, BTW, applies to Ryan, Barton and other young players as they come up through the system. This same argument, obviously, applies to the Barton vs. Gonzalez situations as well.

by houstoncardinal on Mar 27, 2008 9:43 AM EDT   1 recs

I meant

75 wins instead of 77, not 75 losses

by houstoncardinal on Mar 27, 2008 9:44 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Houston

I think the Reyes debate gets amped up definitely based on how he was projected to be the best arm in the Cardinals system. Now for various reasons he has not progressed like a top arm in the system for sure. He has progressed but I think the high billing has hurt him obviously. Look at Brad Thompson he has progressed fairly well but he is seen as progressing better due to the fact he was not as highly touted.

Now I don't necessariily agree that you just keep sticking with a guy just because he has more upside. I believe good organiztions know when a guy has his best trade value and gets rid of him because they see the hand writing on the wall. Now I think Duncan believes Reyes can be a good pitcher but he is just progressing slowly. Now the question is how many starts does a guy need/deserve before you look at other options. AR has had 37 MLB starts which is a good amount and leads me to believe he has been given a lot of opportunity. Now I don't focus on this two "career games" because all pitchers at the MLB level have ability, it comes down to consistently pitching with ability and AR has failed to be consistent.

I know it is sexy now to to talk about "young players", but at somepoint you have to look at results because guys are prospects for only so long. I know Brad Thompson's best is not going to be AR's best, but Thompson may be just average enough that he provides more consistency than AR. Besides I feel good for Brad as he has been bashed around by TLR and Dunc a bunch and has bee up and down between Memphis and STL more than AR. I like that Brad seems to be putting it together despite really never getting a true chance to "compete" for a starting spot.

The good organizations know when to cut ties and realize that guys are not "prospects" forever.

I hope AR gets his chance and just domintes but he is just so up and down it's hard to predict if 25 more starts really will tell us anything more.

by ICbirdfan on Mar 27, 2008 11:37 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Here's what they can't defend

I guess they can rely on scouting, or on their experience, or on observations that us non-experts supposedly can't really refute, or "intangibles" to justify their statements that Reyes isn't a major league-ready starting pitcher. I disagree with them, but they at least have a side in the argument.

Given that they've decided that Reyes' primary value to the team is as trade bait , how can they defend their contiued disparagement of his abilities in the media? What kind of negotiating strategy is that? From ads in the Penny Saver to transactions involving multinational corporations, who has ever heard of a party beginning negotiations for a commodity it wants to sell by explaining why the commodity isn't as good as it seems?

by tdawg on Mar 27, 2008 10:53 AM EDT   1 recs

On general principles, I agree with you,

but I think the negative comments, while certainly not helping the situation, may not be as damaging as we think because of the special characteristics of the baseball bidness. It is very hard to "hide" anything about these commodities (players). Other teams and scouts and stats analysts have lots of information about AR, and their own experts can watch him pitch anytime they want ... enough to be able to form their own opinions of his worth. Now, when it comes to bargaining between Moz and some other GM, the internal bickering might prompt the other GM to lowball us with a trade offer. But ultimately, the other GMs have to look at what value