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John Patterson released by Nationals

This is a surprising cut.  Should the Cardinals be interested?

Washington Post article here.

 

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Saw this on the PD-forums

Not really sure, he's had a lot of ups and downs, mostly downs. I guess more depth is never a bad thing as long as it's a a good price but I think I'd rather see a younger pitcher get a shot to make the rotation. If Tony won't allow this to happen, I think Patterson is the typical reclamation pick-up the Cards make. I think Duncan already has enough on his plate though..

I''m a Jenius!

by gibbons on Mar 20, 2008 5:50 PM EDT   0 recs

Sounds like a prototypical Duncan scrap-heaper

I just don't think we've got room for him. If they're releasing him, he must've been really screwed up by his injuries. Unfortunately, we've already got Carpenter, Mulder, Clement, Pineiro, Lohse, Reyes, Wainwright, Wellemeyer, Thompson, and the minors around. I don't know where we could keep a guy like Patterson.

Does anyone know if there's any way we could stash him in the minors? Not that we have room in our AA or AAA rotation either...

Meh. I guess he doesn't really fit anywhere. Someone else will grab him up.

by mojowo11 on Mar 20, 2008 6:23 PM EDT   0 recs

Brazelton

I certainly think he'd be a better 5th man for memphis over Dewon. There's no comparison really.

"Ding-dong the wicked witch is dead!" - Wayne Hagin after the cardinals snapped a losing streak

by The Ghost of Todd Burns on Mar 21, 2008 2:57 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Injury risks

If we are going to go down this road with the reclamation projects, then go all out.

The guy is 30, he is hurt, when he is healthy, he can pitch. IF, and I realize its a big if, he can get healthy then he has the potential to really contribute on a contending Cardinals team in the future.

I have no idea what he would cost, but if it is reasonable then I would go for it. This is a transition year, so we should audition guys who could be useful next season and beyond.

We have more guys who seem like they have the potential to pitch their way off this staff instead of onto the staff, so we might as well troll the bottom of the scrap heap. Maybe we will find a gem.

"I believe he’s been reincarnated, that he played before, in the twenties and thirties, and he’s back to prove something." - Former teammate Mark McGwire about Albert Pujols

by cardzfan24 on Mar 20, 2008 6:35 PM EDT   0 recs

He has had injury risks,

but he's actually not hurt right now. He was just absolutely sucking in the spring. I don't know which one is better, but I feel like I've seen a lot of starting pitchers who suck it up in spring and work out the kinks by the season beginning. Could be an interesting risk.

I say throw a mil at him and see if he comes over.

On with the (good) youth movement!

by aet15 on Mar 21, 2008 2:00 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

If he's not hurt, either he has a long way to go regaining arm strength after the elbow surgery or his mechanics are entirely out of whack. If I remember right, even when he threw mid-90s he had an odd, tight arm action, especially for a tall guy.

by random on Mar 22, 2008 12:26 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Nationals

reported his fastball tops at about 84, 85. what do we need with a flame thrower like that when we already got P J Walters who knows how to make it work.

by ridgesee on Mar 20, 2008 6:40 PM EDT   0 recs

Oh, boy. Another injured pitcher.

Mr. Mozeliak, get on it. (snark)

She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.

by jillsinmo on Mar 20, 2008 6:48 PM EDT   0 recs

Please, a friendly request

Can we please not have posts for every crappy player who gets cut by other teams. Not sure why this guy would even be on our AAA roster. We have a plethora of hurt/rehabbing/fragile pitchers already and need to let our youngsters pitch. This guy has minimal upside as he had ONE good season and that was like 3 seasons ago. And its reported that his velocity is way down this spring.

No

by FunkeeC on Mar 20, 2008 6:48 PM EDT   0 recs

Its OK we should get used to this...

Its a numbers game anyway...were bound to get one these reclamation projects right...eventually! :)

Besides...This guy is an ace when he is healthy...It looks like he was overused in the past. With some time and good medical care he may be worth it.

mattnj

by mattnj on Mar 20, 2008 10:25 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

He would have to go to Memphis

and prove himself and even Memphis is getting tired of all these reclamation projects that have been fed to them . You should have studied the ages of the Memphis roster for the last 3 years. Mostly old major league castoffs with nothing left, the team hasn't even been able to win at AAA level.
Memphis has already put the word out; give a young team that can win or working agreement won't be renewed. No matter where you put Patterson, he is going to be clogging up a spot for one of the decent prospects we seem to have finally coming along. I agree with the Memphis officials. Enough of this crap.

by ridgesee on Mar 20, 2008 10:41 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

You may be exaggerating

Patterson isn't just any schmuck. He had one good season in 2005 and has been battling arm trouble since...but it's hard to just toss out a guy who threw 200 innings with an ERA right around 3.10 or so. He's not a nobody and the Cards aren't exactly a bastion of talented starting pitching, so I don't see why this is such an outrageous thing to so much as bring up. Do the youngsters need to pitch? Yeah, they do. But that doesn't mean you just pass up Patterson without so much as a thought. There aren't any Homer Baileys or Jobas or Gallardos coming out of the Cardinals system, after all.

by mojowo11 on Mar 20, 2008 8:08 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

You just said it

"He has been battling arm trouble ever since." That is why it is not worth the risk. Remember the past don't last and names don't win games. It's young strong arms and it is time to find 'em.

by ridgesee on Mar 20, 2008 10:51 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

That's a valid point, except...

...what risk are you talking about? We'd be signing the guy nothing, presumably. Again, I didn't say to start the guy as our ace at AAA. Like someone said here, put him on the DL, get him on a long-term arm strengthening program, and see what you can make of the guy.

I seem to remember the Cardinals reaching out to a guy with arm troubles, coming off major arm surgery, investing a little money in him because he had once been a prized player. Chris Carpenter ring a bell? Different situations, yes, but the thinking could be the same.

I'm not saying Patterson can or will be Carpenter. But he could, maybe a year down the line, find that velocity again (I don't think he ever threw very hard, around 90) and suddenly be a commodity for us to either use or spin off to another team, even if it's just a guy who can give us an ERA in the low 4.00s.

by mojowo11 on Mar 21, 2008 1:25 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I disagree...

similar thinking has us starting Izturis at SS. There have been no signs that 2005 represents his actual level of performance or that he is going to be able to return to even something close to that. And any starts he would get, block us from learning what our actually healthy younger arms can do. Remember, this is EXACTLY why Washington cut him, they had no faith that he was gonna return to 2005 form and wanted to see what their younger arms will do. And they have, as far as I can tell, no future aces in their system that would be blocked either.

by FunkeeC on Mar 20, 2008 10:51 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

not a good comparison

it's the complete opposite of the izturis deal. izturis was the worst hitter in the league and an average SS at best (going by PMR) who was signed on a guaranteed MLB contract at the expense of a better player. This guy is a potential cy young winner who could be had on a minor league deal.

As long as you don't waste STL starts on him until you are sure he is ready, there is very little risk involved,

by SleepyCA on Mar 20, 2008 11:45 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I agree with mojo

Sign him, DL him, and rehab him until he has his strength back, then see what you've got. Put him in single A at first if that's where you have the room. There's almost no risk, and this guy was projected as Washington's long-term ace just two years ago.

The conventional wisdom in this forum sounds a lot more like wounded pride, tired of their once-great team looking like a MASH unit. That logic doesn't wash, and it doesn't keep this from being a potentially very good pickup.

Conversely, just because Jim Bowden does something doesn't make it a good baseball decision. Especially regarding pitching.

"Attaway to stomp 'em. Stomp the piss out of 'em. Stomp 'em when they're down. Kick 'em and stomp 'em. Attaway to go boys. Pound that old Budweiser into you and go get them tomorrow." -- Joe Schultz

by taiko on Mar 20, 2008 11:06 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I can't let you diss Jim Bowden.

He has really turned nothing into almost something in Washington, without giving up anything he really needed. Their farm system is going well too. He learned from his badness (and I do mean BAD) with the Reds. That was his practice job. Now he knows a lot, a lot more than other general managers, about what to with useful, though unwanted players, when they fall in your lap.

I predict his acquiring Lastings Milledge will turn up as one of the top fleeces of all time on MLB fleecefactor for years to come.

She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.

by jillsinmo on Mar 21, 2008 12:02 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

That was a good post Jillinmo

We have both put in a busy day. I'm going to bed. How about You?

by ridgesee on Mar 21, 2008 12:13 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

taiko

"The conventional wisdom in this forum sounds a lot more like wounded pride, tired of their once-great team looking like a MASH unit. That logic doesn't wash, and it doesn't keep this from being a potentially very good pickup."

I disagree with that statement because I have certainly been around long enough to see a lot of hard times and good times and I presume the others have also. I don't think we are a bunch of fair weather fans.
Otherwise your suggestions do have merit. not a bad idea as you outlined,( because I have a soft spot for pitchers, they risk so much with every pitch and have a career of less than an NFL running back) I just don't think the odds are that good though. I have seen a lot of pitchers come and go.

by ridgesee on Mar 21, 2008 12:08 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I know it's a broad brush...

And obviously not everyone fits. I was responding to the twenty or so negative comments in this particular topic, compared to the one or two voices who were even willing to entertain debate.

But I think St. Louis fans are possibly prejudiced against "injury reclamation projects" on general principle, based on how they collectively view their team. We take a lot of pride in playing baseball "the right way," which means all-out, max-effort, and fundamentally well. It means taking a lick and rubbing some dirt on it and heading out for the next inning, not sitting in the training room for a week or a month.

It's why we (again, as a collective mind, not speaking for everyone or even myself) love Scrappy McHustletons like Eckstein who get the absolute most out of their talent, even if it isn't a lot of talent to begin with. It's also why we have such a large core fan base, even in down years, because we're willing to pay to watch a team that gives its all regardless of its record.

I also hear a lot of grousing about taking "castoffs" from a third-tier team like the Nats (who are admittedly pretty pathetic). Again, this is pride talking, not logic.

Signing Patterson (or Clement, or Prior) or not should be based on the merits of the player and his upside, not just on Redbird pride. In this case, I'd like to see it happen.

"Attaway to stomp 'em. Stomp the piss out of 'em. Stomp 'em when they're down. Kick 'em and stomp 'em. Attaway to go boys. Pound that old Budweiser into you and go get them tomorrow." -- Joe Schultz

by taiko on Mar 21, 2008 12:24 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Actually

I love it when we pick up sombody's castoff to the trash heap and turn him around and rub it int the league's face. Love it, always have took pride in that.

by ridgesee on Mar 21, 2008 12:42 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

One reason for discussing him

is reports out of Florida were already mentioning St. Louis as a possible fit for him. I raise this without any opinion on the credibility of those reports. I definitely hope they're wrong, though; we have plenty of reclamation projects already.

by StanTheManFan on Mar 20, 2008 9:02 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Get used to it

We're going to be mentioned as a home for every rag-arm out there all season long.

"Dude, we're running out of stadium" - said on the way to our seats in Section 428.

by bukowski on Mar 20, 2008 9:41 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Hey

as long and Wainwright, Lohse, and Reyes get their turns, I could care less who is thrown in there. They should all be auditions for next year anyway. Reyes needs to get a year of starting under his belt, sink or swim. I can be talked out of giving a spot to Lohse if something insane happens and we actually get pitching depth, but other than that, why not take shots on a guy like Patterson.

Assuming of course, his arm is still attached to his body. It sounds like that is in question.

"I believe he’s been reincarnated, that he played before, in the twenties and thirties, and he’s back to prove something." - Former teammate Mark McGwire about Albert Pujols

by cardzfan24 on Mar 20, 2008 7:10 PM EDT   0 recs

arm apparently detached from body - I'll pass

From a news report:

"Patterson, who had elbow surgery last year, complained of tightness in his arm this spring and never regained full speed on his fastball.
Patterson, 30, gave up eight runs in his last spring training outing on Sunday against the Orioles. He was 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA in nine innings this spring.
"They told me I didn't blow the doors open and that there were other pitchers pitching better," Patterson told reporters at the Nationals' spring training camp in Viera, Florida, the Major League Web site www.mlb.com reported."

I regret his decline, but there's no way he deserves a Cardinal roster spot at this point.

by madridbend on Mar 20, 2008 9:41 PM EDT   0 recs

The Nats

Have more high-upside arms in their minor leagues than we do. They may have just decided they don't want him blocking their progress.

by siddfynch on Mar 22, 2008 1:29 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

I am sorry

If the Nationals horrible pitching staff doesn't want him than I for hell don't want him

by FlimtotheFlam on Mar 20, 2008 9:48 PM EDT   0 recs

as a Cards fan and Nats season ticket holder

no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no no.

by jdonels on Mar 20, 2008 11:25 PM EDT   0 recs

Im convinced

the first ten no's were underwhelming, but now I am sure. Let's not do this.

"I believe he’s been reincarnated, that he played before, in the twenties and thirties, and he’s back to prove something." - Former teammate Mark McGwire about Albert Pujols

by cardzfan24 on Mar 20, 2008 11:35 PM EDT to parent up   1 recs

this says it all

Patterson, 30, has a career record of 18-25 and a long history of injuries. He has only once made 30 starts in the majors, and has never thrown 200 innings.

that's all I really needed to read from the article linked above to form an opinion: no.

by madding on Mar 21, 2008 12:27 AM EDT   0 recs

Haha

It's all in how you spin it, isn't it? The guy threw 198.1 innings in 2005. The difference between 198.1 and 200 is basically zilch, it's just a lack of reaching that magical number that ends with lots of zeroes. And in 2003 he made 26 starts between AAA and the majors and another 8 relief appearances.

I'm not defending his durability -- it sucks, he's been a mess since 2005. But be careful which damning stats you accept as "all you need to read."

by mojowo11 on Mar 21, 2008 1:32 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

It's unfortunate

that all you need is that little information by which to make a decision. Seriously, that doesn't come anywhere close to saying it all.

by siddfynch on Mar 22, 2008 1:28 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

well

the nats don't have a horrible pitching staff, I'd say it could be on par with the current situation we have with the cards, injuries plague their better starters, and their young guys aren't proven but are very promising, only difference is the nats have room for the young guys at the start of the season while the cards don't.

John patterson's surgery last year decompressed his radial nerve (the nerve that controls some of the arm and the thumb/index/middle/ring fingers) and finally allowed him to become healthy (the nerve was pulling at scar tissue in his upper arm causing pain) So he is pain free now. The problem is getting his velocity back.

The surgery he had basially had a 6 month period to get his velocity back up, and since his surgery was in late september, it's been about 6 months and his velocity is only in the mid 80's for his fastball (should be low 90s) But as we all know when it comes to pitchers, waiting longer and rehabbing longer is normally the best move, as we've seen with carp, mulder, and kinney (broke his arm rehabbing, which just sucked)

Another good thing about patterson is he's cheap, less than a million easily, and he can easily rehab and get his velocity up in extended spring training, High A, and AA games to ensure he can throw in the 90s consistently, I'd say Patterson could fit with any team on a minor league contract if they allowed him to rehab in extended ST, then low A and AA ball, and if he can get his velocity up, have him try a few starts in AAA to face some better competition for a few starts and if he does well, he can come back to the majors and either be a starter or long reliver, I know he's been a starter the past few years but being injured for 2 years could cause a guy to lose some stamina. Would I like patterson to be somewhere in the cards minor leagues rehabbing? Yes of course i do, I remember his 2005, i know he should of had 15 wins that year if the nats had the offence to back him up (a 8.39 K/9 innings is astounding)

Cardwash - Cardinal, Washington fan (Washington???? Yeah, I know)

by cardwash on Mar 21, 2008 2:36 AM EDT   0 recs

have we really sunk so far...

... that we are even contemplating picking up the Nationals wash-outs?

no. i still have a shred of pride left.

by kindred on Mar 21, 2008 3:34 AM EDT   0 recs

Patterson

As far as dumpster dives go, you could do worse. However, I simply don't see space for him right now. Memphis has a couple of guys who need to get innings (like McClellan if he doesn't make the big squad), so dumping a rehabbing guy like Patterson on them is blocking the younger guys. The major league rotation is full and then some, with Waino, Lohse, Reyes, Looper, and Welle in there now with Mulder, Piniero, and Clement waiting in the wings. I just don't see the need for more fecal matter to throw at the proverbial wall.

"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.

by redbirdnation8206 on Mar 21, 2008 12:09 PM EDT   0 recs

"Fecal matter"

Is that another way of saying .."costly shit"

by ridgesee on Mar 21, 2008 3:14 PM EDT   0 recs

Yes

"Your Holiness, I'm Joseph Medwick. I, too, used to be a Cardinal."-Joe Medwick, to Pope Pius XII.

by redbirdnation8206 on Mar 23, 2008 6:03 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

My husband just reminded me that that good year in

2005 is what they call an outlier.......

She isn't crazy, she's just not impressed.

by jillsinmo on Mar 21, 2008 5:46 PM EDT   0 recs

Patterson

As a long-time Patterson watcher, here are a few points:

1 - His upside, historically, is greater upside than any "reclamation" pitcher since Carpenter.

2 - The difference between him and other high-upside projects such as Kip Wells is that Patterson has already shown that he knows how to reach that upside when he's healthy...he just hasn't been since then.

3- He's had a long road of rehab with a couple of setbacks....but is now farther along in that rehab than at any time in the past....if he is at a point where he's physically able to resume a throwing program, it is well worth a cheap flyer to see if he can regain his velocity.

4 - Don't get too carried away trying to read the tea leaves on why Washington released him. Maybe they know something about his health that is really bad. Or maybe they already decided they can't compete this year anyway, and that they'd wait to see if he was lights-out in March...and when he wasn't, they decided to remove him as a block of someone in their rapidly-improving farm system. It would be foolish for us to say that the Nats release of him means we shouldn't investigate.

5 - I don't think it really matters where you stash him - AAA, AA, Mexican league, whatever.....if he's on a rehab assignment, just put him someplace where he can throw innings and see if his stuff comes back. He needs reps, and where he gets them is secondary.

6 - This is exactly the kind of Milton Bradley / Brian Barton/ Chris Carpenter high-upside / low risk pickup we should be targeting. It's almost the complete opposite of Cesar Izturis / Aaron Miles, etc. - those analogies just don't hold.

by siddfynch on Mar 22, 2008 1:24 PM EDT   0 recs

*Applause.*

Well freakin' put.

by mojowo11 on Mar 22, 2008 2:51 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

while they are dumpster diving what about

reed johnson? if dunc gets hurt since they dont want to play colby why not?

I can't believe i gave up a homerun to that punch and judy hitter-major league 2

by punchinjudy on Mar 23, 2008 9:44 PM EDT   0 recs

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