nothing in particular
first, a program note: the migration to the new platform will not, repeat not, take place this week. i'll have more specific information about the timing of the move asap. for now, we stay w/ the tried and true.
items:
- the cards will flip through the cutout bin for starting pitchers after all. they're only offering a minor-league deal, hence only considering minor-league talent --- jeff weaver and bartolo colon are the two biggest names being bandied about. of late the white sox have been linked to colon --- apparently one caribbean paper even reported that an agreement was reached, but that later proved not to be true. strauss rightly points out that the pitchers under discussion probably aren't better than the options already available (ie reyes wellemeyer thompson). this reinforces my perception that the cards didn't prepare sufficiently for attrition among their corps of sore arms. they didn't decide to pursue more pitching depth until there was no depth left to acquire. . . . . (/ belaboring point)
- kyle mclellan may get converted back into a starting pitcher this season. mclellan was drafted as a starting pitcher in 2002, muddled around for a while, got hurt, had TJ surgery, then came back last year as a reliever and blew guys away --- a 5:1 strikeout-walk ratio and 1.81 era across two levels (high A, double A). the guys at fanhome had a chat w/ mclellan at this time last year. he's not young --- will be 24 years old in june --- but he's already had half a year in AA, so he could move along quickly. if he returns to springfield, he'll join a rotation already stocked with some of the organization's top SP prospects (ottavino, pj walters, jaime garcia). it's a sensible move; the team already has a surfeit of right-handed relief prospects but needs more depth in its stable of rotation prospects. mclellan ranks 19th on the baseball america list, 31st on the birdhouse's list, 24th on the reader list at Future Redbirds; wasn't mentioned by sickels or goldstein. duncan was singing his praises the other day.
- john sickels thinks allen craig's a real prospect: "I like Craig a lot and rate him as a big sleeper in the book. Not sure where he fits defesnively, but I like his power a great deal and I think he will continue to hit at higher levels. Very much an unsung prospect."
- does the reds' signing of josh fogg for a million bucks mean their pursuit of joe blanton is at an end? i have to think so. beane was asking the moon for blanton and has no urgent need to trade him; i think the reds saw they weren't gonna be able to get him on reasonable terms. fogg's a very bad fit for the cincinnati ballpark; the signing probably helps the rest of the division.
- shawn chacon to the astros . . . . i had the 'stros pegged as prime suitors for kyle lohse. but maybe not . . . . .
- speaking of lohse: where will he end up, and for how many years / dollars? on a 1-year deal, what's the over / under ---- $7.5 million? i'll take the under on that . . . . . lohse is this year's jeff weaver, ie the Designated Boras Screwee (DBS).
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Stick with what we have
Lets say we sign Weaver for anything more than 1M+incentives. Then Clement comes back and tears up AAA in rehab by the end of April, who gets bumped? Do you bump Looper? Piniero? Weaver? or the "5th" starter Thompson/Wellemeyer/Reyes/etc.? Now if Weaver is only being paid 1M then it isn't that hard to bump him and just say it was insurance but if he is owed 4M than I just don't see the team bumping him out.
I would rather have one of the younger arms get used for awhile, we have them on the 40 man roster so I beleive they have to be optioned down to Memphis anyway at the end of spring training. So why not just keep them up a few weeks longer? I am referring to Hawksworth, Pairisi and McClellan (if his transition back to SP works ok). But you could also use two of Thompson/Wellemeyer/Reyes.
This season is going to be a tough one regardless, why not see what we have in some of the younger guys while still in April? Yes every game matters but we would have a long season to make up for a slow start if they don't work out.
I'd love to be in a position
I say sign Weaver, see what he has left here in ST and then if he bombs in April and May, throw him away.
by Hardcore Legend on Feb 21, 2008 9:26 AM EST up reply actions
I agree
And thanks for the DBS comment, lb. I'll be laughing about that one all day.
by Futility Infielder on Feb 21, 2008 9:48 AM EST up reply actions
I agree wholeheartedly
Man. How quickly have we gone
I thought
weaver screwed himself
I'd be okay with
by vinniefromjersey on Feb 21, 2008 9:28 AM EST reply actions
Your approach
Weaver.....
He's piled up some innings over the years, but I'd rather see Parisi, Boggs or Garcia get a shot at keeping us in games and getting innings out of the 5th spot this year, early in the season.
IF Weavers coming, he needed to be Florida LAST @$%# WEEK! Hes never camped with Cards, he needs to proove something in camp under the gun like everybody else. Or go surfing.
by cardschinmusic on Feb 22, 2008 2:52 AM EST up reply actions
Dream Weaver
Granted I've been watching my 2006 NLCS/World Series DVDs, but I think he could be a nice addition to the rotation for 08.
I have to qualify this by saying that I like the signing for no more than $4 million...or some sort of deal like Clement's.
What happened to the damn
I'm with you.
youngster Kyle McClellan!
TJ surjury is done and he was mowing the lawn around home plate last year as lboros said. If Kinney cant come back, Thompson cant keep the ball down or a couple of rightys get packaged in a trade, this kid could be the answer.
by cardschinmusic on Feb 22, 2008 3:14 AM EST up reply actions
Just say no to Bartolo Colon.
exactly
Geez!
by cardschinmusic on Feb 22, 2008 2:55 AM EST up reply actions
Fortitude for spending on pitchers
- "extend your stud while you still can"...Carpenter, Beurhle, etc...a hedge bet against future rising costs...takes alot of guys off the FA market
- "silly money for 3-4-5 starters"....the market has really moved in favor of the Suppans, Marquis, Silva, Lohse, Weaver et al....
- mostly stay away from mega-stars (other than failed attempts at Burnett, Schmidt and others)
- avoid the silly money thrown at 3-4-5 starters
- wait for youngsters to mature and/or the FA market to correct or improve in depth
I believe most rational minds on this site have agreed, more or less, with this strategy. We really don't want to invest a quarter of our budget in one pitching arm and we don't want to give $40M to the Carlos Silvas of the world.
The problem is that the market is not correcting, the prices remain high, the FA bin depth remains weak and the youngsters are doing what youngsters do - progress slowly.
So the end result is this - we've gone from an enviable power rotation of 2004 to 2007 where we feature Wainwright, a recycler, a struggling youngster and 3 converted relievers.
Now maybe the Carp & Mulder injuries while still being paid is the root of our situation but their return or not aside, might the Cards need to re-think what appears to have been a fiduciarily responsible strategy in a wacky pitching market?
Fiduciarily
Additional Information...
-noun 1. Law. a person to whom property or power is entrusted for the benefit of another.
-adjective 2. Law. of or pertaining to the relation between a fiduciary and his or her principal: a fiduciary capacity; a fiduciary duty.
- of, based on, or in the nature of trust and confidence, as in public affairs: a fiduciary obligation of government employees.
- depending on public confidence for value or currency, as fiat money.
[Origin: 1585-95; < L fîdûciârius of something held in trust, equiv. to fîdûci(a) trust + -ârius -ary]
--Related forms
fi·du·ci·ar·i·ly, adverb
fiduciarily - my definition
Explain...
Rotation 2004:
Carpenter ERA+ 123
Morris ERA+ 90
Williams ERA+ 102
Suppan ERA+ 103
Marquis ERA+ 115
None of them got hurt and Marquis had a career year -- but are you saying that if we had that rotation, minus Williams and plus WW, that we'd be BETTER off going into 2007? Health-wise, yes...money-wise, it's not even close. Look at what we'd be paying that rotation! Our bullpen that year was fantastic, and won a lot of games and held a lot of leads. The bullpen was also what kept the team ERA below 4.00 and the team ERA+ so high. Had just starters been factored in, the Cards would have been near the middle of the pack in a year where there weren't very many good staffs in the National League.
you're correct
weaver would be an addition
particulars
regarding josh fogg and cincinnati... i remember thinking lilly and marquis were terrible fits for wrigley, but those two had surprising success last year. i'll adopt a wait-and-see.
lastly... surfeit? nicely done. had to hit the ol' dictionary for that one
Yeah...
by rockin redbird on Feb 21, 2008 11:08 AM EST up reply actions
I do not understand all of the negative
negative feelings?
but i do remember doubting that a fly-ball pitcher would have much success in such a homer-happy park.
perhaps my perception of wrigley is unfounded, or maybe Lilly has made the necessary adjustments.
marquis continues to befuddle me. unpredictable, and perhaps a bit of a head-case. his confidence seems to erode quickly sometimes.
I understand folks concern regarding Lilly and
Let's see how Lilly does in year 2
by Hardcore Legend on Feb 21, 2008 12:05 PM EST up reply actions
Lilly
From Sickles Diary
"I need to know how you'd rank these guys for the next 5yrs and how big the gaps are between them. Maybin, Chris Young, Adam Jones, McCutchen and Carlos Gomez."
His answer:
"Rasmus, Maybin, Young, Jones, McCutchen, Gomez."
More Is Better
I say that because...
- I think both Reyes and Wainer are above-average injury risks this season.
- It sounds like Clement may have a lingering shoulder problem.
- Mulder still has a long way to go.
- I would be surprised if Carp contributes much of anything this year.
The only player I'd be interested in
I still feel like the organization is making a lame half-hearted attempt to build from within that's liable to lead to more harm than good. The bullpen should be a good microcosm of this during ST. If players like Politte get preference to better relief prospects than were still stuck in the same "veteran" mindset.
Saw this on MLBTR
I can't read the article because I refuse to sign up to be an ESPN "insider". I hate sites that do that and don't like the east coast bias they have anyway.
We would be his eleventh different team and he will be 45 years old this season. He also has the longest player page I've ever seen on BP. With 3439 IP he has always been a horse.
I think I kind of like the idea. But not more than signing Loshe. One year for less than 7.5M, can't pass that up. Then again Boomer would be alot more fun off the field.
by That's a Winner on Feb 21, 2008 1:04 PM EST reply actions
Boomer
Dude...
#1. He's an experienced major league starter who has won - which we don't have right now that isn't on the DL. Plus, in August, when we're 10 games out, he's good for a quote.
#2. How awesome would it be to see his tub of goo on the mound? It'd be the second coming of Ray King.
Ray King is no longer a tub of goo.....
Wha?
Does the guy live in a funhouse where all the mirrors are the slimming kind?
F*** the heck?
by arch support on Feb 21, 2008 4:47 PM EST up reply actions
I'm sure he knew he was obese
Good points
Entertainment? You want entertainment?
entertainment?
NO NO NO
he is old & washed up. there is no way the Cards should even talk to his agent.
oOooooooo dream weaver
Promote from within
change is good
It's those stupid
(Here he is in 07, for example.)
all things considered
i say wait a month & see what the Cards have. then make a decision about what to do. see if the kids will surprise, or if the one or more of the mediocre 3 will work out, or whether they need to make a trade. or take another dive into the blue light special isle of washed up pitchers.
i could be wrong, but i dont see a reason to push the issue right now & go get a pitcher or two that the Cards dont even know if they need right now.
You also make some sense, GDM
Chacon
His National League stats are pretty good and he was even decent for the Yankees a couple of years back as a starter/long reliever. I think the Astros got a steal at the back end of their rotation or bullpen.






















