Decision time
To summarize, Joe said –
- left-handed relief is the team’s 2nd biggest priority entering next season (behind middle infield)
- the team would prefer to trade for help, at any position, rather than sign free agents b/c the team is so deep, both at the major and minor league levels, at right-handed relief and in the outfield
- the organization likes both Motte and Perez
- the plan is to keep McClellan in the pen, though they’ll be more judicious in how he’s used next year
- Springer may or may not be back, depending on whether or not they’re able to use any right-handed relievers in a trade
- the organization likes Brian Fuentes, but believes he’ll be too expensive
- the organization considers Huston Street "a major risk after his velocity dropped precipitously this summer."
So who are the pen’s current principals? From the right side it’s -- Perez, Motte, McClellan, Franklin, Thompson, Kinney, Jimenez, Worrell; Springer is optional. The left side, clearly, is a lot less stable – Ra. Flores, Johnson, Ro. Flores, Manning. Villone’s a free agent who won’t be back. Is there one guy from the left side you trust? Not me.
From the right side, I’m not sure there’s as much depth as there appears to be. First of all, there’s no definitive closer. I’m all for giving the job to Perez but the final 2 weeks of the season seems to indicate some ambivalence from Tony. Kinney’s got great stuff (9 BB and 30 K in 32 CAREER major league innings) but has got to be considered a wild card. He has 32 total major league innings over the last 3 years. Write his name into the bullpen equation if you want, but write it in pencil. Worrell is a replacement-level pitcher and Thompson is only slightly better. He’s a nice mop-up guy/emergency starter/long-man but shouldn’t be used in many high-leverage situations.
Franklin’s about like Thompson – he needs to be an innings eater or a 6th-7th inning guy and shouldn’t be pitching in critical situations. He’s fine and, used properly, won’t kill us. Jimenez is the new "Kerosene Boy!" He instantly turns 6-2 games into 11-2 games. All he does is bridge the gap between Pineiro and Aaron Miles.
So who do we have we can count on? Perez, Motte, McClellan and Franklin. Hopefully we can count on all of them. Combined, Perez and Motte have less than 53 major league innings. Even so, I think we can agree that they’re keepers. McClellan’s definitely a keeper and Franklin can give us some decent innings in low-leverage situations. Thompson, I believe, is out of options so he’ll either be a Cardinal or not. There’ll be no sending him to Memphis. We can only wish the same true of Jimenez. Could this pen use a guy like Springer? Probably. However, we’re going to have to settle on a closer first.
That brings us to Fuentes. Is he going to be too expensive? Let me say first off that I like Fuentes. He’s got a career K/9 of 10.23 and last year it was 11.78. Think he was pitching for a contract? He’s had some problems w/ the long ball in his career but, hell, he’s been pitching for the Rockies. He has experience in every role in the pen, including as a closer and pitches from the wrong side of his body. These are all significant feathers in his cap. Nevertheless, he is now 33 years old and will likely receive a 3 year contract between $8-10 M per year. He’s also a type-A free agent, meaning signing him would cost us our 1st round draft pick – the 19th overall. Anybody think we ought to trade our #1 draft pick for a 33 year old lefty reliever who we’ll then give 3 years and $8 – 10 M per year? He just became too expensive.
What about Huston Street? His overall numbers from last year aren’t bad. True, he did give up 6 HR in 70 IP – a little higher than I’d like but he gave up just 58 hits in those 70 innings and struck out 69. His ERA was a little high – 3.73, but his FIP was a respectable 3.32. Still, he lost his closer’s job for a reason. His last save was on July 27 last season. June, however, was his worst month and he showed some improvement in July before being removed from the closer’s role. Street took the loss in a 10 inning game against the Royals on July 30, and then blew a save on August 5, and Brad Ziegler got his first save for the A’s on August 8. Now, God knows that Cards’ fans understand how frustrating it is when your closer can’t seal the deal, but the overall numbers don’t appear to be too bad.
Though fangraphs shows that Street’s velocity was down a little last year, his fastball still averaged 90 mph. Here are Street’s fastball velocities by month:
| Month | fastball mph |
|---|---|
| April | 89.4 |
| May | 90.2 |
| June | 89.7 |
| July | 89.7 |
| August | 90.5 |
| September | 90.3 |
I guess his velocity was down a little last summer, but it was back up in August and September. It’s true to say it was lower last season than in previous seasons but Strauss’ quote that it "dropped precipitously last summer" doesn’t appear to be true at all. Would any of you call a half a mile per hour a "precipitous drop" in his velocity?
Why do I put so much emphasis on Street? Rumor has it that he is on the block this winter and I’m not sold on Tony being sold on Perez as his closer. If I’m right (and I hope I’m not) the team could trade for Street and then turn around and trade Perez to a team needing to bolster their bullpen depth (anybody think there are any of those in the big leagues – who could use a young guy who hits 95 on the gun and has a pretty good slider?) in exchange for a young starter or shortstop. If we have no plans to use Perez in the closer’s role, it makes sense to trade him for something that we lack. I’m not suggesting dumping Perez the way we did Reyes. Quite the contrary, I’d rather see him finishing off games in the 9th. But if we’re not going to use him in that role, let’s see if we can get Brandon Wood or a young starter for him.
Another guy rumored to be on the block is the Marlins’ Kevin Gregg. He has 61 saves in the last 2 years, and 77 BB in 152.2 IP. I’m not overwhelmed. He’s a fastball-slider guy who throws harder than Street but is he really better than Perez? I think not.
The bottom line is that I really have no idea what the team’s plans are for the closer’s role but I do know that their decision on the 9th inning will impact a possible Springer-signing and whether or not Perez is involved in a trade. All things considered, I’m not really sure how signing Springer to a reasonable (less than the $3.5 M we signed him to last season) contract hurts us at all.
0 recs |
201 comments
Comments
Bridging the gap
between Pineiro and Aaron Miles? Ouch. True, but ouch.
by bgodar on Oct 23, 2008 7:47 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Not so true really ;)
The gap between Wellemeyer (8R) and Miles (0R) was bridged by Villone (6R), Worrell(3R), Springer (1R) and Franklin (2R)
by StLHugo on Oct 23, 2008 8:17 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
At least Miles could get somebody out...
"Cross a lawyer with the Godfather, make you an offer you can't understand" - Don Henley
by TurdFerguson on Oct 23, 2008 11:31 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Izturis
I’m surprised to see from Joe’s Chat that Izturis appears to be a longshot to make the team next year, especially as TLR has spoken highly of his defense several times. Considering the FA options do not appear to be realistic, e.g. Furcal wanting to return to the Dodgers, or appealing, e.g. the diminishing Renteria, the FO must be thinking trade, and they must have some targets already, with the likely exchange being outfielders and RHRP. Would hate to see Ludwick go, as he strikes me as someone with genuine plate presence.
FWIW – I’m backing the Phillies b/c: a) watched the 93 series with a friend from Philly and I think he deserves it; and b) they’re NL. BTW, I have the Rick Sutcliff / Bob somebody team over here on my TV. I think it’s Sutcliff, he was dissing Independence MO, wishing his parents had raised him in Maui ala Victorino.
Other mysteries remain. TL
by BKKCard on Oct 23, 2008 8:06 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I think what this says is the organization is leaning towards
re-signing Lopez at second, and going outside for the shortstop. They can’t go outside for both unless a trade is involved. The question is, Do you believe Lopez’s numbers from the second half of 2008 (.385/.426/.538) are the norm, or the his other 7 1/2 seasons at .262/.330/.395?
I would think they should look for a glove man at short, whether it be Izturis, Everett or whoever, and trade for a smacker at second since those guys are easier to come by. Trying to sign a free agent or trade for a slugging shortstop is a tall damn order.
by Red in Chicago on Oct 23, 2008 10:02 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe they think Lopez.....
Will be somewhere in between?
I don’t think anybody on here expects him to hit .385 for an entire season.
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 10:13 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No no one here expects that.
But maybe someone in the front office thinks he will slug .490 for the rest of his career. And that would be a major mistake.
I think Lopez and Miles would make a great bench tandem. I just think Lopez is more likely to be a starter if he’s on the team.
by Red in Chicago on Oct 23, 2008 10:18 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Bench Tandem?
We cannot go with 4 MI on the roster again. If both are on the bench…I may have to punch TLR…and I’m a Tony backer.
by stlfan on Oct 23, 2008 10:21 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
In theory
Lopez can also play outfield. I know, I know…
by Red in Chicago on Oct 23, 2008 10:34 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Uh, I can play outfield too but you don't want to see that anymore than Lopez in the OF.
"Why does he keep saying that?"
by Red Blazer on Oct 23, 2008 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1 with stlfan
"Cross a lawyer with the Godfather, make you an offer you can't understand" - Don Henley
by TurdFerguson on Oct 23, 2008 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I doubt their thinking...
.490 slugging. But maybe a .280/.350/.430 line isn’t totally unreasonable, this would make him one of the better hitting second basemen in the league.
by cardzfanbub on Oct 23, 2008 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That slash line
does not make up for his defense. If he hit like Ryne Sandberg it wouldnt make up for his ‘glove’. Give me Barden or move Greene to 2B. Anything please.
by rlgosnell on Oct 23, 2008 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You don't think his glove can improve?
I don’t think he is as bad as alot of folks say he is.
But even if he is, most of his mistakes are mental, from what I’ve seen. Give him a few months with Oquendo, on a team that values defense and playing hard everyday, and I think you’d see some pretty drastic improvements. He isn’t slow. Has a good arm. Doesn’t seem to just have absolute brick hands. I think he can be average, or maybe even better.
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
"Why does he keep saying that?"
by Red Blazer on Oct 23, 2008 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No I don't
He was the fourth from the bottom in fielding in 2007 (at SS) by zone rating, and third from the bottom in 2008 (at 2B).
His hitting may be permanently improved (though I doubt it), but his glove is still awful. (Izturis, by the way, was second-best fielding-shortstop in 2008, behind Tejada.)
by Red in Chicago on Oct 23, 2008 12:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Aside from saying “no I don’t”, you didn’t address my post at all. We all know what the stats said about his fielding in 2007 and 2008.
WHY don’t you think he can improve?
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 12:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He simply isn't good and isn't getting better
Here are the number of innings (infield only), out of zone plays and the percentage of OOZ plays made per inning played:
2004 603 – 24 – 4.0%
2005 1,244 – 51 – 4.2%
2006 1,336 – 39 – 2.9%
2007 1,300 – 41 – 3.2%
2008 944 – 13 – 1.4%
He declined significantly last year and didn’t improve during his time in St. Louis. He could regress, I suppose, but he would still be below the league average in fielding. And he just hasn’t shown signs of moving in that direction. A groundball staff needs a better fielder than him.
by Red in Chicago on Oct 23, 2008 1:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So that is the only measure of how good a fielder you are?
And no other stats matter?
Forget numbers for a minute, and tell me what about his skill set makes you think he can’t improve?
I don’t think he has cared very much the last few years. Playing on a losing team can do that. In STL, he knows he has to improve, stay focused, and play hard everyday. I see no reason why he can’t get better. Better positioning. Better coaching. More accountability. The list goes on and on…..
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 1:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I just don't believe St.Louis is some Artificat that gives +3 to Fielding
by FlimtotheFlam on Oct 23, 2008 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Seeing as how he was -34 from '05-07 and got WORSE in 08
It’d take a lil more than +3 to make him useful.
Kosuke Fukudome: $48 million .257 .359 .379
Skip Schumaker: $Free .302 .359 .406
Skippy needs a new publicist, but I heart Ben Zobrist
by joker24 on Oct 23, 2008 1:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Lopez
He looks slow and unable to get to balls to his right (non glove side), he actually looks pretty good at getting to his left (glove side)….
Maybe like most fielders he is pretty good with seeing balls on his glove side and getting his feet and glove to the proper spot. It’s hard to get a ball moving away from 1b, and then throwing.
Lopez has a good skill set as he is pretty athletic. I think he may just not be very good from 2B based on the angle and having to field ballls up the middle.
Does that help Soonerfan? I would like to see what the numbers show about him making plays to his right vs. left? anyone willing to check?
by ICbirdfan on Oct 23, 2008 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
it seems you are asking for proof on proof aoubt his defensive inadequacies
while making statements like i think and i dont think.
by rlgosnell on Oct 23, 2008 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No.....
I’m asking you to tell me why you think he can’t get better.
IC did that above.
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 3:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
which he did with several defensive metrics
the fact is there are no stats that are going to be useful in arguing he is a good or even average fielder. On the contrary they are going to tell you he is a bad fielder. Therefore, the burden of proof is on you to disprove what most everyone would feel is the correct assessment of his skills. And a ‘hunch’ from any casual fan regarding improvements or regressions in a players performance are not worth much.
As for the thought that he has to prove himself – well he didnt play the OF or the IF well last season with the Cards and yet TLR kept pencilling him in the lineup day after day at any number of positions so I dont know if that rings true.
by rlgosnell on Oct 23, 2008 3:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There isn't a stat in the world.....
That tells how much better a player COULD get with better coaching, or a better attitude.
Maybe he isn’t very good at going left. Maybe there is something Oquendo can show him that would help him. Or maybe Oquendo just pounds grounder after grounder at him for a couple of months. Or maybe you just position him differently.
I simply refuse to believe that he can’t get better. Defense isn’t something you are born with. If you are athletic, which he is, good defense is an obtainable skill. Period. That isn’t my opinion. That is fact.
So either you are arguing that he isn’t athletic (which I disagree with), or you are arguing that he simply isn’t smart enough, or doesn’t have the work ethic to improve. The latter is a difference of opinion.
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
respectfully disagree
an athlete is born with “burst”, or he isn’t. if you have it, you know what i mean, and you know you’ve had it your entire life.
how much ground can be covered in your first three steps is crucial to a middle infielders range. ryan has it. izturis too, but not at the level of ryan. miles and lopez don’t, nor will they ever. burst wins a 45 foot race. fast wins a 100 yard dash. burst = OOZ on defense.
i would choose slow over athletic when discribing lopez. not impressed at all.
by ball in play on Oct 23, 2008 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
First.....
I say the difference is minimal. You won’t convince me that Ryan covers THAT much more ground over the course of time it takes a ball to get to the fielder. I think positioning, learning to read the ball off the bat, and things like that are every bit as important.
Not to mention, there is more to being a good fielder than how you field balls OOZ. IMO of course.
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 7:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i'm a big fan of disciplined fielding fundamentals also.
especially on the middle infield. those fundamentals are what RZR (in zone) is based on, the effeciency of converting those basic plays into outs.
good defense is an attainable skill. i agree.
great defense, requires those born with skills. any ss with outstanding hands, foot speed and arm strength has had them his entire life. can’t be taught……gift.
lopez has alot of work to do, just to be good.
by ball in play on Oct 23, 2008 10:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
well i guess i could expect to wake up in the morning
and win the lottery. If ‘ifs’ ‘ands’ and ‘buts’ were candy and nuts every day would be Xmas. Its pointless to discuss this bc you obviously have your opinion on the player he could/should be defensively. I challenge you however to name 5 players who were as bad as Lopez for his first 7 years and suddenly became a good defensive player.
Maybe he doesnt like playing defense. Maybe he gets disinterested when he’s in the field. Maybe he’s not a cerebral player and doesn’t process information well. Maybe he’s purely instinctive at the plate and in the field. Maybe he got plugged in the face by a wicked hop as a kid. The problem with speculation is that for every speculative scenario you can conjure, there is an opposing sscenario that is going to hold equal weight – because that’s all any of it is – speculation. Now if you can find a history of players who have transformed their defense mid-career – thats a starting point.
All in all, it would be great to see Lopez become even an average defender. It would be great to see him deliver 3 years of offense somewhere between 08 and his previous years or even simply in line with his AS year. There’s just not a lot of evidence to support such hopes.
by rlgosnell on Oct 24, 2008 12:07 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wow........
How many people on this board said Tejada was too old and what not…. He turned out to look pretty good according to fielding metrics then.
Interesting.
by ICbirdfan on Oct 23, 2008 2:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Tejada was supposed to be great on offense,
yet his 2008 OPS+ was only 92. The astros still made a horrible deal to get him and will burn for their terrible team building practices. How many shortstops go from a downward spiral to, at age 33, turn in good fielding performances?
One…
Ever?
Space.
It's a problem we face.
So we never go anywhere.
We just stay in one place.
by hazel on Oct 23, 2008 2:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Obviously Houston gave up too much...
However I thought people figured his offense should play well in Houston but were concerned about his defense…
I just though it was funny his D was better than expected. I did not know what to expect him to provide defensively. I actually thought he would do a bit more offensively.
by ICbirdfan on Oct 23, 2008 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He better!
If Kennedy is traded and the Cards pay 3mill of his salary added on to the 4 they will pay Lopez we as fans will be very upset if Lopez can’t field. Most people think Lopez’s offense will fall back some what. If it falls all the way to his norm then Lopez will be viewed as a 7million dollar player that is less than a replacement leve playerl. Ouch! I wouldn’t be suprised if Kennedy and Lopez are fairly close in offense next year. If Lopez falls back towards his norm and Kennedy steps it up some. Kennedy’s glove would make a big differance. So why not let Lopez go and keep Kennedy? There is a recession coming why not save a few Million.
In addition move Miles and trade Schumaker for Zobrist? Wouldn’t Ben be a better bench player than Miles? The last question would be who the Cards get to start at short?
by nybirdfan on Oct 23, 2008 1:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
well
it seems that Kennedy doesn’t want to play here anymore, so why not trade him? larussa and him have the makings of a rolen-like situation, get him outta here
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I understand that,
But is only one more season, and IF Kennedy hit a little more he would get more playing time. I just don’t like paying players on some other teams 25 man roster.
by nybirdfan on Oct 23, 2008 1:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah
I wouldn’t mind seeing Kennedy again as the starting 2B… IF they get a good or great SS. but I think that Kennedy would just drag down the team if he doesn’t get traded. I think he and Larussa will butt heads again if he stays, which doesn’t help anybody.
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wouldn't mind AK
If they sign a bad fielding SS that can hit so between Gluas and AK they could squeeze his range down.
by FlimtotheFlam on Oct 23, 2008 1:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Kennedy seemed a lot more professional that Rolen......
by ICbirdfan on Oct 23, 2008 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Here is the problem
You’’ve got fish and fowl:
Fish (Can hit but can’t field):
- Lopez (average and power)
- Miles (average)
Fowl Can field but can’t hit):
Ryan (range and glovework)
Izturis (range and glovework)
Kennedy (glovework)
We need at least one someone who can do both, or two somebodies who each do one extremely well. I’m okay with Izturis as the glove guy. I’m even okay with Everett as the glove guy. I might be okay with Greene glove or the bat, (depending on what his real story is)…or possibly even Lopez as a sorta power hitter.
But cripes! Can’t we get someone who can do both?
by Red in Chicago on Oct 23, 2008 3:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There are abour 25 teams saying the same thing across the league
by rlgosnell on Oct 23, 2008 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I meant that MIF that can produce at the plate and in the field
arent growing on every tree and they dont have the same value as the current US $. Teams tend to hang onto those players. Players like Hudson and Furcal are available but I dont see us paying for their services.
by rlgosnell on Oct 23, 2008 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thought Miles was a pretty decent fielder this year, no?
And didn’t the metrics even support that?
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Adequate at short
but with poor range. Very weak at second, surprisingly, relative to short.
by Red in Chicago on Oct 23, 2008 6:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Please don't say "If"
It’s when he is traded!
by Red in Chicago on Oct 23, 2008 1:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I for one
I don’t think we will have to eat AK’s salary to trade him. I think someone will want a very good defensive 2B
by FlimtotheFlam on Oct 23, 2008 1:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
you know
I have noticed that in the Arizon Fall League, Greene has been hitting really well when playing 2B…yesterday he went 3-4 with an HR and 3 RBIs…he has not been hitting that well when playing shortstop
You think he takes the pressure from playing a high leverage defensive position with him to the plate?
this organization could use a 2B prospect(i’m looking at you hoffpauir)
by VolsnCards5 on Oct 23, 2008 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
resigning lopez has got to be a last resort -
otherwise you open yourself to the ‘pineiro mistake’ – overpaying for a guy who’s had less than one good half season.
try for sure things via trade first.
by RedbirdAvenger on Oct 23, 2008 1:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I like him as a last resort too
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Closing the game is very important but this team has more significant problems than closing. Motte and Perez showed that they are close to being ready for that role and we might not even be discussing this if they had been given more opportunity. There has been one year of a youth movement and it does not seem to make sense to simply change course after one year. If the course is maintained then one should NOT expect to see Perez, Motte or Rasmus going anywhere.
by Warcard on Oct 23, 2008 8:34 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Larussa and Duncan
are gone after this year. I’d be hesitant if I were MO to trade Perez because Tony won’t use him in the ninth. What’s so bad if he pitches in the 7th or 8th for another year? He’s still young and he can pitch in the 9th in 2010. I don’t think that we should be trading away our only “strengths” from the bullpen. Trade the outfield.
"It is easy to be brave from a safe distance." - Aesop
by OKCardsfan on Oct 23, 2008 8:57 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
+1 on the bullpen
I think that whether the Cardinals find need for an “established closer” or not, that Perez and Motte should be on the team in late inning roles. I would like to sign Springer to a 1 year deal again, as long as he will take a pay cut. If for no other reason, it would be great to have his experience being shared with the two youngsters. I think Tyler Johnson has to be given a shot to prove himself to be the lefty and Kyle McClellan can be used against lefties a lot, as well. I do not believe we need to carry two lefties unless the closer is one.
by stlfan on Oct 23, 2008 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hope you are right
but I certainly haven’t seen any indication from TLR that he is going to hang it up. At the end of 2009 he will probably be about 210 or so wins behind John McGraw for second place all time. I think he has enough awareness of his place in baseball history that he will want to keep coaching. If retiring was on his mind 2006 would have been the perfect time for it.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
by giveml on Oct 23, 2008 12:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
2010
perfect timing for TLR when the reds fire Baker and have an opening at manager.
by Knighttime on Oct 23, 2008 1:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
sounds like a plan to me
In spite of their perennial promise you can usually count on the Reds to under deliver.
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
by giveml on Oct 23, 2008 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I see it the same way
There are important outs for Perez to get, even if they aren’t in the 9th. We’re in no position short term, or especially longterm, to trade him away unless the return is amazing.
by Merry CRasmus on Oct 23, 2008 3:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Kinney
I’m not sure how you can say ‘write him in with pencil’ due to his lack of MLB innings, yet give Motte a pass and say he’s a lock. Are you saying Kinney is iffy due to injuries? If so then I will agree, but if you’re just going by experience, I’ll take Kinney’s small sample size any day.
by paposse on Oct 23, 2008 8:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I based that
on Kinney’s injuries which have led to his lack of innings. Motte, to my knowledge, has never been injured.
by chuckb on Oct 23, 2008 9:39 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not being condescending...
Motte hasn’t been hurt, but he’s only pitched for the last couple of years. He hasn’t been pitching his whole life like (I assume) Kinney has.
by stlfan on Oct 23, 2008 10:28 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
no you're right
he’s only a 1 pitch pitcher right now, but it’s a damned good pitch. I’m just not willing to rely on Kinney at this point. I hope he makes it; he’s got terrific stuff; he just has a terrible time staying healthy. Motte has a good, live arm and you can’t teach 98. He may blow out that terrific arm but I think we’d agree that Kinney is much more of an injury risk than Motte is at this point.
by chuckb on Oct 23, 2008 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
man
it’s awesome to have that guy just come in and blow people away with that fastball if they are susceptible to it. I like the idea of having both those guys as closer. I think Tyler Johnson will be our best current lefty next year, and Kinney will be another big boost. I just can’t see that bullpen being as bad next year.
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It seems to me
That Johnson has a million dollar arm and a 10 cent head. Anything is possible there. I don’t like to use insults, and that sounds pretty harsh, but there really are questions about how motivated Tyler really is.
He’s capable, but you better have alternatives ready in case it doesn’t work out.
by Merry CRasmus on Oct 23, 2008 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
"a million dollar arm and a 10 cent head."
Can we call him Nuke?
by stlfan on Oct 23, 2008 4:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
as long as he doesn't punch with his pitching hand.
i’m a little hesitant about all the garter rumors, but eh, pitchers are a weird bunch anyway.
by mattybobo on Oct 23, 2008 5:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Todd, Boggs
I like the right hand side of the pen if you think either one of these guys could be added from AAA. Todd could be ready for pen work by the middle of the season, a little bit of a stretch but possible. If you aren’t going to put Boggs in the rotation you could look at him in the pen as well.
by BigJawnMize on Oct 23, 2008 9:03 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I don't like those options
With all the righties in the pen already, why would you put two of the better starting pitching prospects in the big league bullpen when you could have them making starts in AAA instead? If this was Jaime Garcia we’re talking about that’s one thing — he’s lefthanded and we have a major shortage of lefthanders in the bullpen.
I think both Todd and Boggs are going to be rotation options in the next couple of seasons, so I’d rather they stick to starting and developing solid 3rd pitches then have then in the bullpen, where they can get by on what they currently have.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Oct 23, 2008 10:00 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i like young pitchers
spending a year in the bullpen before starting…i think you can learn more about pitching out of the bullpen in the majors than starting at AAA a la WW, Lirano, Joba, Johan, Price, etc…
"Baseball is like church. Many attend, but few understand." -Wes Westrum
by nomar34 on Oct 23, 2008 10:04 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah....
but if we already have a ton of right-handed options that are as good or better out of the pen, why change their fate, possibly? A good starter is worth a ton of good relievers.
by stlfan on Oct 23, 2008 10:29 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It depends...
…on your definition of good. Franklin is not good. Franklin is average. Perez is potentially good. Motte is potentially good. McClellan is good, but was overworked last season. The rest of the pen is replacement level pitching.
It also depends on your espectations. I am for Boggs throwing in the pen for a year as an appretenceship. Todd on the other hand really strikes me as a reliever with his max effort mechanics and one plus pitch…
by BigJawnMize on Oct 23, 2008 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
could be
I haven’t seen Todd pitch. If we do that to both of them, however, where does that leave all of our minor league rotations? We have to think about the future of those, as well.
Franklin has been good with the Cardinals, when kept in his traditional role. In 2007, he had a WHIP of 1.013. He had an ERA+ of 145 and an ERA of 3.04. He actually struck out more, walked less and gave up less hits in save situations, although he only finished 8 games that year with 1 save. He is simply not meant to save games.
In save situations in ’08, his walks were cut in half, his Ks went up, and his hits went up by only 2. He had an ERA of 3.55, still a 120 ERA+, but his WHIP this year was 1.475. Maybe he is getting older and less effective, or maybe we are using him wrong. I think the latter.
by stlfan on Oct 23, 2008 11:15 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not saying Todd right away...
He still needs some seasoning he just finished in AA, so he is atleast half a year away. By that time we will see where the minor league staffs stand.
Boggs is basically ready. If Duncan won’t start him then he can be an asset to the pen this year.
by BigJawnMize on Oct 23, 2008 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Most people see Todd as a reliever
due to his crazy delivery
by VolsnCards5 on Oct 23, 2008 2:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Plus he throws FB/slider and not much else.
Space.
It's a problem we face.
So we never go anywhere.
We just stay in one place.
by hazel on Oct 23, 2008 2:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i was under the impression he threw 2 fastballs and a slider and a change
by rlgosnell on Oct 23, 2008 3:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Somewhere within the last two days
I’ve seen him described as having a “variety” of fastballs, cut, sink, fading, etc.
by ArkansasTravs on Oct 23, 2008 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He learned a cutter this year
which some, Derrick Goold reported on this, attribute his good season as a starter to as well as his long term viability as a starter.
by azruavatar on Oct 23, 2008 5:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Motte/Perez as closer
This may be heretical, but why not use BOTH these guys in this role? That way we don’t wear them out over the course of the season.
I like the K-Mac, Kinney, Franklin, and re-signed Springer as the set-up men (7-8th innings). I’m willing to give TJ first crack as the LH specialist. Is Garcia out for the entire year? Until mid-summer? I think TLR will have to have at least one more LOOGY in his pen—grrr.
I’d vote to keep Thompson & Worrell. Ditch Jimenez.
The wild card is Carp. Depending on his health, Pinata may be pitching out of the ’pen.
Proud sponsor of the Official 2008 StL Cardinal theme song: "Beautiful Day" by U2
by gocards62 on Oct 23, 2008 9:04 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That would be TWO guys
that LaRussa doesn’t want closing. Getting him to use one guy is hard enough.
by Red in Chicago on Oct 23, 2008 10:05 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not a bad idea...
Not only would using the "closer by committee" approach keep these guys fresher but it would also give TLR the luxury of pitching these guys based on the best match-ups.
Furthermore it would give both the guys the opportunity to pick up some the precious save stats which could in turn up their trade value later on.
by E-Dizzle on Oct 23, 2008 10:11 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and it would be a nice comptetition
to see if one guy runs away with the closer role.
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 1:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i dont like it
in college football they say of the QB platoon – if youve got 2 QB’s youve really got no QB. I would feel the same way about this.
by rlgosnell on Oct 23, 2008 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
meh
I don’t see it that way
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 3:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Big difference in a QB and a pitcher...
A QB has to know his playbook, schemes, has to have timing with his receivers. A pitcher is pretty much reliant totally upon himself and his catcher. Whether he’s closing or setting up he is still working with the same guy trying to achieve the same thing.
by cardzfanbub on Oct 23, 2008 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i'm not sold on the closer by committee
imo, bullpens are best when everyone knows their role. one pitcher knows they will be in the 9th no matter what. another knows they will be in the eighth no matter what. when those roles breakdown or are undefined i think it messes with the psyche of the pitchers.
"Sorry about him, he's dealing with being an inker. " - Chasing Amy
by FutureMan on Oct 23, 2008 6:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Check the math
I’m not sure if you’re trying to include guys to pull from the minors, but Motte, Perez, McClellan, Kinney, Franklin, Springer, Lefty #1, Lefty #2, Thompson, & Worrell are more guys (10) than I think even Tony is willing to have in a bullpen April-to-August.
Assuming we re-sing Springer, here is next year’s optimal La Russa-style (7-man) bullpen:
Long-man (Franklin)
Multi-inning righty (Kinney/McClellan*)
Lefty #2
1-inning/setup righty (Springer)
Lefty #1
Setup/Closer (Motte)
Setup/Closer (Perez)
Without even including Thompson (out of options) or Worrell (not much more than replacement level), we already have one too many guys for the 5 RH roles. Options to alleviate the problem:
1. A trade – Perez or Motte, maybe even McClellan, could fetch something pretty decent. Kinney won’t get you anything (injury history), Springer realistically can’t be traded (age / family situation), and trading Franklin just means that Thompson fills in the gap for jack-of-all-trades pitcher.
2. Moving McClellan to the rotation – Assuming Carpenter is not added to the equation (he adds many interesting wrinkles), the team needs a #5 starter, Kyle has done it before and has the pitches to get it done, and our only readily-available options are Boggs (who probably needs a little more seasoning) & Thompson (no amount of spice is going to improve him).
3. Utilize McClellan as the other lefty – Kyle was equally (even slightly more) effective versus lefties than righties, and our LHP options are few & less-than-quality. Plus he has the advantage over the LOOGY’s in that he can be used for more than 1 or 2 batters.
As noted before, if Carpenter is used a reliever in preparation for starter work or thrown directly into the rotation, it scrambles the whole thing. But it’s never really a bad thing to have more options.
That said, the Cubs do deserve my pity, but never my support.
by Solanus on Oct 23, 2008 10:29 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
or maybe
Carp as closer, with an insane setup from the right of Motte, Perez or Kinney. who knows who will be from the left.
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 1:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Are we really interested in a closer
who’s fastball is only 90 mph?
by sdrone on Oct 23, 2008 9:22 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
that's what I was thinking
but then again, izzy was pretty effective for a while
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Street
I have no idea how to check this, but didn’t street throw 95-96 a couple years ago?
by eeyorethedog on Oct 23, 2008 9:24 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
follow the fangraphs link
his average fastball was never higher than 91.7. He may have hit 95 occasionally on a fast gun, but his FB averaged around 91 or so before falling to 90 last season.
by chuckb on Oct 23, 2008 9:41 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So after
MI help, left handed relievers, and a closer, then the priority is starting pitching depth? am i the only one who’s more than a little concerned about trusting pinata and carpenter to fill out our rotation?
Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue.
by Dave Barry on Oct 23, 2008 9:32 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
im not that worried
but only because i have more faith in Boggs than most and am still hoping they change their mind about McClellan…i also think Pineiro can be close to a league average pitcher in most years and that is all you can ask of a 5th starter…maybe Todd or Mort will be ready by mid-season and i am sure we will pick at least one starter off the scrap heap before the end of the off-season… there are a lot of possibilities if you throw all at the wall some are bound to stick, right?
"Baseball is like church. Many attend, but few understand." -Wes Westrum
by nomar34 on Oct 23, 2008 10:01 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
there are a lot of possibilities if you throw all at the wall some are bound to stick, right?
Sounds like the theme from 08.
by rlgosnell on Oct 23, 2008 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sounds like a theme...
…for many of the last few years. It is the way things get done around here. Build a core and pick-up a lot of low-priced options to fill holes and see who does the best job.
by BigJawnMize on Oct 23, 2008 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
the problem
i have with that is young guys take time to develop, and sticking to walls is a process that requires some time to sort through. 2009 might have the best combination of flexibility and talent that this team will see for a while, but in this scenario if carp doesn’t come back, you’re already scraping for a fifth starter, counting on pinata to be something better than average, and hoping no one else gets hurt.
i’m also not convinced pinata is any better than what he showed this year, and with the exception of him out performing his perifs last year, his last year with an era+100 was 2003.
Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue.
by Dave Barry on Oct 23, 2008 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
unfortunately
I think we’re kinda stuck with pineiro as our 5th starter.
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 1:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
McClellan
After reading the Strauss chat and the continuing noise for another starting pitcher, I don’t understand the club’s continued desire to keep McClellan in the bullpen because “they like him there”. Maybe that’s code for “we don’t think he’d transition to a starter well” or “we don’t think his arm can handle 180 innings” but why not say that. I’d like to eat ice cream and tacos every day for the rest of my life but I don’t because I know there’s a better use of my caloric resources.
McClellan for the rotation in ’09.
by azruavatar on Oct 23, 2008 9:35 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
KMac
He was the ONLY guy that’s currently signed for next year that could be counted on out of the bullpen last season. The bullpen was this teams biggest problem throughout the 2008 season, you have at least 3 starters locked into the rotation (possibly 4 if Carp is ready to go), and a bunch of questions in the bullpen. McClellan has classic bullpen stuff (good FB, sharp slider) and could be a solid set-up guy next year with Perez and Motte closing and setting up, respectively.
Unless KMac can play SS, he needs to stay in the bullpen because that’s where he’s the biggest asset to the current team.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Oct 23, 2008 10:05 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i think McClellan
has classic starter stuff (4 pitches he can throw at anytime for strikes) and starters are WAY more valuable than relievers despite are bullpen follies of 2008…
"Baseball is like church. Many attend, but few understand." -Wes Westrum
by nomar34 on Oct 23, 2008 10:20 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
+1
It isn’t good sense to take a guy out of a role he was really, really good at, and put him in a role that even if he succeeds, he is probably our 4th/5th SP.
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 10:22 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
it isnt good sense for the team
if he throws a good 5-6 innings every 5th day rather than a great 1 inning 3 times a week? using a good pitcher for 180+ innings is a better use of resources than to use him for 70+ innings, if he can handle it.
"Baseball is like church. Many attend, but few understand." -Wes Westrum
by nomar34 on Oct 23, 2008 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Devil's advocate...
It has worked for many a starter before (as stated above.) I agree that McClellan should be a bullpen guy, unless we plan on having him start for many years to come (a la Waino). If he is going to be the next Anthony Reyes or Brad Thompson (in terms of usage, not ability/statistics) then he needs to stay in the pen.
by stlfan on Oct 23, 2008 10:33 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would think that the Cardinals
would be very weary of putting him into a starting role, which ups his risk for injury quite a bit, when if handled properly, he can remain an effective bullpen option
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
with that logic
ww would still be in the pen
by eglasier on Oct 23, 2008 10:38 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Remind me what his injury was again?
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He told Thompson to pull his finger
And he just pulled it too hard.
by FlimtotheFlam on Oct 23, 2008 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
LOL
(Not the reality of Wainer’s injury, but your comment.)
by cardsgirl95 on Oct 23, 2008 11:49 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and your point?
listen, your statement was : “It isn’t good sense to take a guy out of a role he was really, really good at, and put him in a role that even if he succeeds, he is probably our 4th/5th SP”
By that logic, after the 2006 season we should have left WW in the reliever’s role. That’s what I said. It you want to come up with a new argument that’s fine but there’s no reason
for your snarkiness (is this a word?).
and as to the 4th/5th starter, what does that matter? Are you saying that 4th/5th starters aren’t as important as a #1 starter? Cause it doesn’t really matter what order they come in. The idea is to have as good of 5 starters as possible. There is plenty of evidence that shows that relievers are much more fungible than starters
by eglasier on Oct 23, 2008 11:55 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not quite
Did anyone really think that Wainer was only going to be our 4th/5th SP?
by saladdays on Oct 23, 2008 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
the point is that
it doesn’t matter what number; whether 1, 2, 3, 4 or 5 a pitcher is slotted for. Those are arbitrary and are only useful in relation to other pitchers in the rotation. The point is, that if McClellan will be a good starter (ie, better than replacement level pitchers like pineiro), than he should start, because starters are MUCH more valuable than relievers.
by eglasier on Oct 23, 2008 3:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Until Waino did what he did...
Did anyone think he’d be our #1 the following season?
by stlfan on Oct 23, 2008 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Most thought around 3
Wainwright’s minor league career pointed him towards being at least a 2-3 pitcher if not a future ace, we may not have expected him to be that good in his sophomore season but he had the track record.
KMac doesn’t have the track record yet, his minor league career is a smattering of different things. http://minors.baseball-reference.com/players.cgi?pid=24352
Bottom line is that KMac has had 1 and only 1 season above 70 IP in the minors, he got to 75 this year as a reliever. Do you honestly think that he has shown any promise as a front of the rotation starter yet?
by StLHugo on Oct 23, 2008 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No...
but I’m more for him at closer than I am him at starter at this point.
by stlfan on Oct 23, 2008 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That I can go with
I don’t really see KMac as a closer right now because he doesn’t fit the “normal” mold of having one very devastating pitch (Wainwright’s Curve, Izzy’s Cutter, Rivera’s Fastball, etc.). But he does have such a large arsenal of pitches that he might just work by being able to adapt to each batter individually and he didn’t show a large split vs lefties or righties this year so he could be effective vs all batters. I just don’t see trying to push him from being a reliever until he can show that he is durable enough to be effective the entire year.
by StLHugo on Oct 23, 2008 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Izzy is a four-pitch guy
also. I don’t think his cutter is the killer pitch anymore. Kerry Wood has a bunch of pitches, as does Smoltz, etc. I don’t think you can look at McClellan that way. He has a good fastball and some good breaking stuff. That basically means he can get lefts and rights out, so he’s certainly not disqualified from closing based upon his repertoire.
by Red in Chicago on Oct 23, 2008 6:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
My point.....
Is that it kills the bullpen even more to throw another SP out there that isn’t going to go deep into games. Next year, with all our pen questions, and some other rotation questions, isn’t the year to throw a guy out there that you have to be careful with.
It isn’t a given that K-Mac will be a good SP. I think he’d probably be pretty decent, but is it really worth the risk? If you leave him in the pen, you know what you have. He’ll likely be even better next year than he was this year. If you start him, worst case is he isn’t ready for it, and he gets hurt. Best case, for next year, is that he goes out there and averages less than 6 average innings per start. Which isn’t bad, just not what next year’s team needs.
I’m pretty sure the coaches have considered this. If they decide not to start him, I have to think there is a good reason, in their mind, for not.
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Best case for next year is less than six average innings per start?
How in the hell is that best case?
Space.
It's a problem we face.
So we never go anywhere.
We just stay in one place.
by hazel on Oct 23, 2008 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes
I’m realistic. He isn’t going to turn into an ace all the sudden, and he isn’t going to be stretched out. You really think the guy is going to average closer to 7 innings per start next year? Ain’t happening.
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Here's the thing, you're pretending you know what I'm saying, while I know what you said.
You said, the BEST CASE is that he is basically worse than any of our other starters.
Space.
It's a problem we face.
So we never go anywhere.
We just stay in one place.
by hazel on Oct 23, 2008 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well.....
Waino, Welly, and Lohse all threw pretty well last year.
I could see him being a little more effective than Lohse was, on the season, but I don’t think he’ll give you that number of innings.
Right now we have one proven (even if just for one season) reliever on this team. You don’t think it’d be ludicrous to move him to a rotation that is already pretty darn solid?
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
As I recall
KMac had some blowups out of the pen as well. No one was immune to that contagion. Also, there’s a lot more depth at RH reliever than there is at SP for the Cardinals. You have a couple replacement level pitchers in the minors for relief but you may be looking at below replacement level for any of your starting pitching backups.
by azruavatar on Oct 23, 2008 5:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
We aren't done shopping yet either.....
Won’t be that hard to find a couple of bargains later this winter to either fill in for someone, or spend the year in the minors.
If you consider Waino, Welly, and Lohse as locks…..surely we can find two healthy, semi-effective SP’s out of Carp, JP, Boggs, and Thompson. Sign one more guy this offseason, and he have 5 competing for 2 spots, and that is assuming nobody else in the system is ready.
I would MUCH rather go that route, then go into next season counting on guys with little to no experience out of the pen (Motte and Perez), or guys that I don’t think are very good (Worrell, Jiminez).
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 7:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The pen was also our biggest
assest in 2007. Every year something unexpected happens. In 2009 our pen could straighten itself out, then the offense could disappear.
Ryan Howard: one of the most Statistically Outstanding players of all time
by RunninRedbird on Oct 23, 2008 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
McClellan
Ok, if they’re not going to put him in the rotation, why don’t they use him as the closer? He’s got great stuff and Tony seems to have a crush on him. That way you keep Perez and Motte throwing, but you have a steady guy in the 9th to rely on. Everybody’s roles are cleared up and we won’t have to trade for a Loogy AND a closer.
by spencegrif on Oct 23, 2008 10:34 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Because he can go multiple innings.
And he’s a righty that can get lefties out. Nice to have a guy like that for the 6th/7th innings. Can get you out of a jam, stay in the game, and get you another 3 outs or so.
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
So why not let him
pitch the 8th and 9th? 2 inning saves, the old fashoined way!
Ryan Howard: one of the most Statistically Outstanding players of all time
by RunninRedbird on Oct 23, 2008 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
also
it’s nice to have a guy you can rely on to finish a game. I suppose that goes back to the argument of whether you want your best reliever closing or working “high leverage” situations though. Your argument suggests that you only want somebody who can get three outs, but who will be absolutely garbage after that and thus is useless in any other situation. I’m sure that’s not what you meant, but I’m just trying to figure out how one objectively decides who to make a closer and who you rule out of that situation. If you can’t do that, then it’s like when people argue that some random speedy character (izturus) should lead off just because he fits a “lead-off” profile rather than using OBP.
by spencegrif on Oct 23, 2008 1:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Injury history
I think they are easing him back form his injuries. I wouldn’t be surprised if they just aren’t sure yet out durable he is as a starter.
by StLHugo on Oct 23, 2008 11:56 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
who would you project to be brandon woods most comparable mlb ss, defensivly ?
at the 110 GS ss role, izturis filled in 08…..if you would plz.
by ball in play on Oct 23, 2008 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
meant to be addressed to azuavator, but i messed that up somehow.
by ball in play on Oct 23, 2008 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know what that had to do with my comment on McClellan but I rarely pass on a prospect question.
I think the jury is still out on Wood. You’ll read some scouting reports that love him and some that. . . well don’t feel the love as much. I’d have to take more time to watch some video of him but on what little I’ve seen, I don’t think he’s a long term SS. More of a 3B imo. That said, his offensive skillset is weird for a middle infeilder. He’s got power but little in the way of plate discipline or contact ability. Maybe a Juan Uribe (in his prime) who hits for more power and a slightly better batting average? That’s not my favorite comp I’ve ever made but it’s all that comes to mind right now.
by azruavatar on Oct 23, 2008 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
khalil greene?
Space.
It's a problem we face.
So we never go anywhere.
We just stay in one place.
by hazel on Oct 23, 2008 8:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ice cream and tacos
are those code words for motor oil and electrons?
by ArkansasTravs on Oct 23, 2008 3:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The main problem with this organization is that
it has a metric ton of good to great OFs (Rasmus, Mather, Jones, Jay, Barton, whichever of Freese and Craig is to be moved), but nothing in terms of true “shut-them-down” ace pitchers. (Yeah, Jess Todd, but the odds that a shutdown pitcher in the AA will become a shutdown pitcher in the majors are way too low for comfort.)
I’d shoot the moon and say that anybody’s available for trade. Even if we part with Rasmus, it’d be a net win; the odds are very high that at least one of the above OFs becomes a very good player, and what would you rather have: Rasmus playing every day with Adam Wainwright and dreck for a pitching staff, or a shutdown ace and an OF of Schumaker, Jones, Mather?
(Hell, I’d trade Rasmus for Halladay+ and see if the Giants would do an Anderson for Cain trade.)
by craig3410 on Oct 23, 2008 10:05 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Not that I have any interest in trading Rasmus
but are you saying that if Toronto was willing to trade Hallady for Rasmus straight up that you would ask for more?
Those Pilgrims ain't lookin' so proud now...
by giveml on Oct 23, 2008 1:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd fish a little
and maybe try to get a MIF if we would throw in a C+ prospect.
by craig3410 on Oct 23, 2008 1:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good luck with that one
Kosuke Fukudome: $48 million .257 .359 .379
Skip Schumaker: $Free .302 .359 .406
Skippy needs a new publicist, but I heart Ben Zobrist
by joker24 on Oct 23, 2008 1:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
heh
try Halladay for Rasmus, Anderson, and Boggs. maybe
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Perhaps underappreciated in your comments
is that Fuentes would not only serve as a badly needed dependable LHP but could also close games. He might be worth $24-27M over three years and a first round draft pick for that. I am still hopeful that Chad Johnson will be back. If they don’t want to go after Fuentes as a free agent, they need to think about making a trade for a good LH reliever, but could they find one beside Fuentes who can close as well.
I don’t understand the reluctance to resign Izturis. He really played well defensively last season, hit okay, and stole a few bases for us. If they resign Lopez, to play 2b I think Izturis would be a relatively inexpensive signing at SS for the Cards.
by Wahoo on Oct 23, 2008 10:30 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Chad Johnson?
The lefty submariner?
by Red in Chicago on Oct 23, 2008 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Confliction
I disagree with the first part of your post. If Fuentes is signed (because it will be 8-10 million dollars per season) he needs to be the closer. If that is the case, he does NOT take care of the Loogy problem.
I agree with the second part, though. If Lopez is going to be resigned to start at 2nd base for the Cardinals this season, then they desperately need to sign a SS with a good glove. Both of them can be one year deals, if that is the case. Kennedy makes a great backup on the infield because at the end of the game, he can come in for Lopez on D. If Izturis (or someone else with defense at SS) needs a break, then the right side of the infield will be good at D that day and Lopez can run around like a chicken with his head cut off at SS instead (OK, slight exaggeration as to his defensive liability).
by stlfan on Oct 23, 2008 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
our new LOOGY?

I'd rather my sister be a prostitute than my brother a Cub fan.
by _pistol_ on Oct 23, 2008 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I like Fuentes a lot
He has the fourth best numbers in RP last year based upon tRA+ of 149 and has a great tRA* of 3.21 which is a good predictor of future numbers.
by FlimtotheFlam on Oct 23, 2008 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
They need a lefty specialist not a lefty period
TLR would likely just use Fuentes as a 9th inning closer which wouldn’t do much good in the way of upgrading Villone/Flores.
Kosuke Fukudome: $48 million .257 .359 .379
Skip Schumaker: $Free .302 .359 .406
Skippy needs a new publicist, but I heart Ben Zobrist
by joker24 on Oct 23, 2008 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Speaking of Zobrist (in your signature)
how about seeing him play in RF last night? Apparently he hadn’t played there since spring training. No pressure, dude, even though you’re a SS, just go start Game 1 of the World Series…..I know Maddon is unconventional, but did he think watching AK play RF for us was a brilliant idea or something?
"Cross a lawyer with the Godfather, make you an offer you can't understand" - Don Henley
by TurdFerguson on Oct 23, 2008 12:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
For all the crap TLR took.....
For playing guys out of position, to my knowledge, he didn’t do it in the WS.
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I give you Chris Duncan in right field!
sure, he chose that. heh.
by sdrone on Oct 23, 2008 1:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well at least they attempted good reasoning
That he played 1B so dealt better with balls coming that direction.
by FlimtotheFlam on Oct 23, 2008 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
are you saying that TLR reads VEB?
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 1:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Gabe Gross went belly up this post season
but I would have put Baldelli out there.
by azruavatar on Oct 23, 2008 5:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Zobrist has played RF
throughout the season — in double-switches and, I think, a few starts. That wasn’t his first foray out into RF. And Zobrist is a much better hitter than Kennedy. Plus, apparently Baldelli was unavailable which meant his options were Gross — bad, and Fernando Perez — worse.
by chuckb on Oct 23, 2008 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
they should have traded for mather.
Space.
It's a problem we face.
So we never go anywhere.
We just stay in one place.
by hazel on Oct 23, 2008 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
My apologies chuckb
I was listening to Buck/McCarver last night and one of them said Zobrist hadn’t played there since spring training. I shoulda known better than to trust what either of them said….they’re lost without the Red Sox to fawn over.
"Cross a lawyer with the Godfather, make you an offer you can't understand" - Don Henley
by TurdFerguson on Oct 23, 2008 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Or the Cardinals...
they both actually fawn over us often, Buck made it a point to say that Glaus was now a Card last night when he brought him up.
by StLHugo on Oct 23, 2008 1:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think...
Buck/McCarver said it was his first START in RF since high school.
by stlfan on Oct 23, 2008 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
did they even bother watching the ALCS?
Zobrist played RF for part of game 6.
you would have to think they watched it, the Red Sox were in it too.
* sarcasm might be involved in this comment
by mattyfrommo on Oct 23, 2008 7:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
according to Baseball Reference
Zobrist only played 2 games for a total of 7 innings at RF in 2008 during the season.
SS – 293.3 innings
LF – 79.3
2B – 41
CF – 27
RF – 7
3B – 4.7
by Knighttime on Oct 23, 2008 12:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
he did play some RF in the ALCS
after he came in as a pinch hitter…not sure if that is included in your numbers or not but they didnt just throw him out there for the first time in the WS
"Baseball is like church. Many attend, but few understand." -Wes Westrum
by nomar34 on Oct 23, 2008 1:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
low interest in Izturis
indicates they have a ss targeted for a trade. Any ideas? I hope it’s not Greene. The bait in a ss trade is probably Schumaker or Perez. I keep getting the impression they see Motte as the future closer, not Perez. My telepathic powers (usually not very reliable) also tell me their FA target is Fuentes- and they’ll move on that when (if) they get any encouraging news on Carp. Fuentes fills several needs as delineated above by several posters.
by vinniefromjersey on Oct 23, 2008 11:28 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
fuentes would be a waste of money
I don’t think they are willing to pay the cost of fuentes
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Keep in mind the draft pick
He’d cost our first rounder, assuming the Rockies remember to offer him arbitration.
by mojowo11 on Oct 24, 2008 1:58 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yep
that is part of the “cost” of fuentes
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 24, 2008 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
btw
I think Carp should be closer (if he can’t start obviously)
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If he ever plays again you mean.
Space.
It's a problem we face.
So we never go anywhere.
We just stay in one place.
by hazel on Oct 23, 2008 1:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No love for perez or you just think TLR will decline?
Space.
It's a problem we face.
So we never go anywhere.
We just stay in one place.
by hazel on Oct 23, 2008 1:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yeah
I think Larussa won’t throw him into the fire just yet. I mean, I would, but I think they are worried about his control issues still. plus, I wouldn’t mind seeing that patented Carp curveball striking guys out in the 9th inning. just think a game started by Wainwright devastating the other team for 7 innings, then throw Perez/Motte in for the 8th to change it up with some heat, then go back to an even more wicked curve to finish things out. don’t forget that Carp has the whole winter to get healthy then build arm strength. best of luck carp.
go rays
by Cards Fan in Chitown on Oct 23, 2008 1:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i have a feeling
that they are looking right at greene when they talk about trading for a SS. the pads are looking to salary dump and getting greene wouldn’t cost us much at all.
"Sorry about him, he's dealing with being an inker. " - Chasing Amy
by FutureMan on Oct 23, 2008 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What's crazy is that
as bad as Izturis was offensively, he may have been worth more than the contract we paid him because of his defense. I’m not a huge fan of his but if he’s available for pennies on the dollar (think $2M) the Cards should serious consider signing him and going after an offense oriented 2B (Roberts, Uggla).
By some valuations, Iztuirs may have been an $8M dollar player this past year.
by azruavatar on Oct 23, 2008 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
good point
"All baseball fans can be divided into two groups: those who come to batting practice and the others. Only those in the first category have much chance of amounting to anything."--Thomas Boswell
by albrtfn on Oct 23, 2008 6:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Where was Greene at defensively last year?
I know he’s been a top 4 or 5 SS in the past, has good range, and a stong arm.
If you were to trade affordable pieces of the minors for him, (the Pads would have to be interested in John Jay, would they not?) doesn’t it make sense to pursue him and hope his bat rebounds next year? He would be a slight downgrade from Izturis defensively, but would have a whole lot more upside with the bat.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Oct 24, 2008 9:10 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Throwing this out there
What about a trade for BJ Ryan of Toronto?
He makes $10 million in 09 and 10. He is getting pushed out the the bullpen with the already muplties lefties in the pen of Jeremy Accardo ,Casey Janssen and their best bull pen arm of Scott Downs.
They would probably like to get him off their books but I don’t what it would cost to get him in. He missed most of 07 due to injury and lost his closer job cause of it.
by FlimtotheFlam on Oct 23, 2008 11:42 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
perez for wood
would a, freese for wood, be out of the question? just looking to give and get equal value.
our depth at 3B appears better than with late inning relievers.
by ball in play on Oct 23, 2008 12:55 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
If they wanted to trade Wood it's not gonna be for a 3B
They could just slide Wood to 3B
Kosuke Fukudome: $48 million .257 .359 .379
Skip Schumaker: $Free .302 .359 .406
Skippy needs a new publicist, but I heart Ben Zobrist
by joker24 on Oct 23, 2008 1:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe Tampa would trade with STL.
Wow, I can’t believe Willy Aybar is their DH…………
Think the Cards could offer them Mather? Too bad Chris Duncan is not healthy…. When Healthy he is quite a bit better than Manny Aybar.
by ICbirdfan on Oct 23, 2008 2:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Lopez
For all of you that don’t want him, it’s looks like Mo is at least attempting to go in a different direction first. MLBrumors say that neither Izturis’ no Lopez’ agents have heard from Mo yet.
I hope we can go out and get two better players. I really do. But IMO, Lopez isn’t a bad fallback at all.
"Stats are for losers," Muschamp said after last week's victory. "I like winning games."
by SoonerfanTU on Oct 23, 2008 3:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I hope Lopez is Weaver not Pinero
We appreciate that you were good when you were us but don’t think we are paying you like that. We picked you out of the trash and will only get a modest raise past that.
by FlimtotheFlam on Oct 23, 2008 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ahahah sounds like they could use better agents
agents sitting by the phone…now those are real go getters.
"How depressing is it being you? Would you equate it to being a lifelong Cubs fan?"
by rocKStark5 on Oct 23, 2008 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
sounds like it all hinges on carp
if they think he will pitch then they won’t go after another SP and will use some of the salary to sign better players to fill the other holes on the team.
if they think carp won’t pitch then they will go after an above average SP and fill in the rest of the holes with average to below average players.
that’s the way i took the comments.
"Sorry about him, he's dealing with being an inker. " - Chasing Amy
by FutureMan on Oct 23, 2008 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd still like to have a legit 1.5'er
Somebody that would be an ace on a carp-less team…you know…what mulder was supposed to be :)
"How depressing is it being you? Would you equate it to being a lifelong Cubs fan?"
by rocKStark5 on Oct 23, 2008 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
we have one of those on the roster already
named Wainwright.
I don’t see a lot of 1.5er’s out there this offseason that don’t have some sort of sordid injury history (Brad Penny, Ben Sheets, AJ Burnett, etc.) I guess you could count Derek Lowe as one of those guys, but he looks to be returning to the Dodgers. Everyone else is either CC Sabathia or a #3 or lower.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Oct 23, 2008 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
AJ Burnett
in my opinion, would be a great addition. When healthy, and that is obviously the concern, he is as good as anyone. I would just as soon to have Burnett as Peavy and the trade chips could be used elsewhere.
by Warcard on Oct 23, 2008 10:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
One of the main posters
went over Burnett’s value a few months back, and the jist was this: If you have to pay him $15M/yr for only 22 starts, is that money well spent, or would you be getting more bang for your buck if you paid $10 million for a pitcher slightly above league average that will give you 30 starts, like Kyle Lohse. The post supposed that some version of Brad Thompson like player would fill in for Burnett’s other 10 starts. I believe that the results were fairly close to each other.
If that’s the case, and you have a pitching staff that has injury history (Carp, WW, Colonel), then I don’t think it’s smart to add a guy who gets hurt nearly every single year in some form or another. If you bring in a guy like Burnett, you’re betting the farm that you don’t lose half of those four pitchers for any significant amount of time. I’m not sure I’m ready to make that wager.
"I just wish that the late Harry Caray were still around so I could hear him mispronounce 'Kosuke Fukudome' every fukun' night" -- Dennis Miller
by fourstick on Oct 24, 2008 9:16 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
2 bullpen moves
trade craig/prospect for street
sign veteran alan embree for lefty need
by Asfan4ever723 on Nov 4, 2008 2:47 AM EST reply actions 0 recs

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