It would likely preclude signing Fuentes or K-Rod to an over-the-top and silly contract.

….did not look so good last night – 3 errors.
:=8/

PECOTA, maybe. PrOPS uses ball-in-play data to try to determine how a player should have done, given the skill set he exhibited. The guys performing at a higher level WERE lucky, by definition, if you accept the assumptions that go into PrOPS (it’s perfectly fine not to).

I just read down and saw a sub-thread on this topic. Sorry misplace the previous post.

Would Scott Rolen have advised Pujols to undergo in-house surgery or to go elsewhere?

first of all, professional athletes present a completely different picture from the normal patient. they get injured doing things over and over again that most people do not do; when they heal they expect to continue doing these extraordinary things over and over again. it’s not normal medicine.
doctors also can’t fix problems if the patient (or his team) is in denial that there is a problem in the first place.
also, doctors encourage patients to seek second opinions. unless the doctor is an actual egotistical jerk, he or she is going to be aware of his own biases, or the simple fact that sometimes you don’t spot everything. think of it like sample sizes; the more highly trained doctors that have seen the data and made the same conclusion, the better off the patient is.
sorry for the rant. i have a couple family members in medicine and it gets annoying to hear so much blame placed on the medical professionals in these situations. they simply don’t have the kind of interests that the players and organization do. now don’t even get me started on malpractice insurance and tort law…

but I find it hard to blame Jocketty for constructing the first sustained winner since I was 5 years old, in addition to the only Championship I can clearly remember and appreciate.

The injuries are a part of every team. So are the bad trades. Carp gave us a 2 Cy caliber seasons. Rolen was the best 3rd baseman Ive ever seen – personally. Mulder pitched one of the greatest and most memorable games Ive ever witnessed – 10 SO agaisnt Houston and Clemens. All may have had inherent injury risks, but they all had memorable moments – ultimately in 2004 and 2006.

the year isn’t up

These guys seem like top of the rotation starters, I’d trade any combo they wanted outside of anything involving one of them. Khalil Greene getting thrown in should not up the anty at all and in fact could lower the price as a salary dumping move. think of what we would give up for greene alone, maybe a low A type ball player. This could definitely happen.

Rasmus would be the key since his range fits Petco perfectly. The MLB TradeRumors guys kicked this around and the consensus was TWO top prospects would be required to move Peavy. That means Rasmus plus Todd, probably either Motte or Perez and two to three more toss-ins (Jay, Schumaker, Boggs, etc.).

It’s a hell of a lot to give up. I just don’t like the idea of no backup plan if Ankiel walks at the end of 2009. They need leverage against Boras.

We get Greene and Peavy for the second package.

Izturis was a full win better than Greene this year and he’d have exactly 1 year to improve before we lost him and had to go back to the bargain bin to replace him. Our window to win would be shortened to about 1 year and San Diego would be on its way back to the top.

I would not be a fan of Rasmus straight up for Peavy. Too much risk, as a lot of us have said before. I think that if Greene was included in that trade, the Cards should do nothing more than take on the contract. No more top prospects. He isn’t worth it, especially not for just one year of him.
So Rasmus, Todd/Boggs,Perez/Motte/KMac, + more prospects? I think I would puke, I would hope Luhnow would do the same.