shortstop
Jerry Crasnick at ESPN says:
Shortstop David Eckstein is a serious long shot to return, and Cardinals fans would love Kennedy to leave town right along with him. But the Cardinals owe Kennedy $7.5 million over the next two seasons, so it appears they're stuck with him.The new hot rumor has the Cardinals pursuing Braves shortstop Edgar Renteria, a local favorite who left St. Louis as a free agent in 2004. Renteria, who's hitting .333, is dispensable with the emergence of young infielder Yunel Escobar in Atlanta. But the Cardinals won't trade Rasmus, who's in line to replace Edmonds as their center fielder in 2009, and they don't appear to have enough young pitching to match up with the Braves.
Renteria is the sentimental pick, and I know we're known for embracing our former players, but think back to '04 when Edgar defected to the Red Sox for supposedly a few million dollars over the course of a 4 year contract. I realize the details of those negotiations can never be fully public, but I still believe he left for close to if not less than $1M/yr, and took a shot at the organization on his way out. I can't find the exact quote, but something about how he felt more "loved" by the Red Sox. That didn't sit well with me, and obviously I've held a grudge. Maybe that makes me the exception amongst Cards fans.
In one year, Eckstein seems to have gone from fan-favorite scrappy World Series MVP to injury-prone wimpy old veteran. Am I missing something? Look at what Eckstein has done. His health has been inconsistent this year, but he's hitting .307 where his previous career high is .294, and he's only 32 years old. His FP and RF are down, but that is likely a result of his back problems. You could make an argument that those very problems are enough to make him too risky, but I'll leave that up to the team doctors to decide. I think if he's healthy, I'd love to see him back on a 2 year deal at around $3-3.5M/yr, maybe with a 3rd year option.
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Rent vs Eckstein
Edgar is better with the bat and better with the glove. The only thing I think Eckstein is better at is not striking out and maybe the running game (Eck is 9-1 SB-CS Edgar is 11-1 so since I can't quantify first to thirds I can't really say who really is better since I haven't seen Rent in years as for K% Eck strikes out 5% of the time but also only walks 5.2% while Rent is 15.6% K and 8.6%BB). I just feel that Edgar gives us a better chance to win and Ryan isn't polished enough to be counted on as an everyday but I think he should be given a shot before Miles definitely.
Billy Hall
Perhaps the Brewers would sell a little low on Billy's down year and we could put him back at SS.
Hall...
No thanks.
by bobbyballgame1 on Sep 26, 2007 11:03 PM EDT up reply actions
Not so fast...
However, at SS isn't bad. In 2006, when he had almost a full season at SS, UZR had him only one run under average. Other metrics had him similar. Nothing great, but average defensively.
While he certainly had a career year at the plate that year, he's not quite as bad as he is this year either. An .800 OPS SS with average defense is definitely not the same thing we've been marching out there.
I never did get
Additionally, Renteria's comment was that he felt that the Sox wanted him more than the Cards did. Guess what -- they offered him more money than the Cards did; they did want him more and put more $$ on the table to show it. So I don't get why Cards' fans still get all wound up about that. I'd take Renteria back -- he's a very good SS and would be a big improvement over what we have now. The reasons for not taking him back have nothing to do w/ feeling betrayed over getting our feelings hurt when he left town. They have everything to do w/ the $7 M (I think) the Braves owe him next year -- can we afford it considering all the help we need in the rotation (I think the Sox are picking up $3M or so) and what do the Braves want in return?
I'm not sure he's worth all that we'd have to give up but I'm sure not going to get all worked up b/c he left the Cardinals acting as any of us would do given the circumstances.
He forced their hands
I agree
I think it's pretty natural for a typical fan to "hate" the guy who left their team for more money somewhere else. I don't agree with it, but it's not surprising that people are that petty.
I can't figure
he's a great player
the cardinals' problem is that they are not bringing in (or developing) enough guys who can nail down a position for 3 to 5 years. that's exactly what they did after 2003 --- they acquired 3 years' worth of marquis and suppan, stabilizing the rotation; they bought pujols out of his arbitration years and guaranteed he'd be in st louis for another 8 years; and they developed molina (6-year starter), calero, taguchi, and haren (coulda been . . . . ). plus they added wainwright via trade (who will hopefully provide 6 years' worth of pitching). those moves weren't just one-year moves --- they took a far-sighted approach and set themselves up for many years of competitiveness.
their recent off-seasons haven't worked out as well. the 3-year free-agent solutions they bought after 2005 (encarnacion and looper) have just been so-so. their internal promotions have been hit-or-miss; duncan and wainwright are successes, the jury's out on everyone else. rolen and edmonds got old. carp and mulder got hurt.
so the overall talent base has steadily declined, and adding 1 year of edgar renteria does nothing to halt that slide. on the contrary, it probably would accelerate the trend, because we'd have to give up 4 to 6 years' worth of some young player(s) for our 1 year of edgar.
i like renteria a lot. it made sense when they acquired him in 1999 --- he solved the shortstop position for 6 years. that's the kind of move the cards need to be looking for --- bringing in players who will be around for a while and build up the talent base.
thus this year there first draft pick was
but i think they'd have to sell the farm
if the cards can get him on the cheap in a salary dump, then yeah --- why not.
the only thing he does
That said, those SS's will require a 3-4 year free agent contract -- one they will finish in their mid-30's. That's probably not a commitment worth making. But the Renteria trade would also give Walt a year to trade for a younger SS if he's unable to find one this offseason. It's, essentially, putting the SS on a credit card for a year. Given the team's financial resources and prospect resources, it's probably not a great idea but it's better than re-signing Eckstein.
I'm worried about giving up young talent too
On the other hand, I love Renteria. He was the shortsstop on the Marlins team when they won the WS in 1997 and he was my favorite player (I lived in FL at the time). I've followed him ever since. He always gives 100% of himself. And we do need a big bat in the lineup.
by nycardfan on Sep 26, 2007 6:35 PM EDT up reply actions
As great of a player as Eck is,
Eck
Yea, I'd rather have Eck than Kennedy
But I think if Brendan Ryan is not at SS, I'd rather have Ryan at 2nd than the other two. He has such fast hands for double plays. And I really would like him in the lineup. As I've said before, he adds zip to our team. And we definitely need more zip.
by nycardfan on Sep 26, 2007 6:40 PM EDT up reply actions
yes
I had great hopes Ryan would mature more quickly, but he hasn't developed the plate discipline to be the leadoff guy and seems prone to boneheaded mistakes. That being said, I personally wouldn't be disappointed if we stuck him in there anyway in hopes that he would develop into the regular SS/leadoff hitter/base thief we need. But I don't see it happening if Tony comes back.
by hit and run on Sep 27, 2007 10:22 AM EDT up reply actions
eckstein
is also a miserable leadoff hitter, he has absolutely zero speed and only hits singles.
i dont know who said it earlier but i too will laugh at any team that signs him as their starting SS.
by Dankston on Sep 26, 2007 6:36 PM EDT reply actions
also.....
by Dankston on Sep 26, 2007 6:38 PM EDT up reply actions
actually
the only 'decline' year he's had was the disasterous 2005 campaign in boston.
I'd gladly take him back.
by TheFranchise9 on Sep 26, 2007 6:52 PM EDT up reply actions
Renteria's OPS+
1997 80
1998 86
1999 85
2000 94
2001 78
2002 116
2003 131
2004 90
2005 91
2006 107
2007 126
Since 1999, his slugging percentage has dipped below .400 only twice, one of those years was in BOS. Renteria is aging, as is ARod and every other ball player. But that doesn't mean his production is slipping. He's looking pretty good to me. And he looks a hell of a lot better than any of our other options, especially since our pitching isn't likely to improve much. We need a solid bat in the lineup, and Renteria provides that.
As for one-year rentals, I'm okay with them. We've got the flexibility to let him walk, or we could lock him into an extension. Who knows? Any other SS is going to require a multi-year deal.
Give me Ryan
He's energetic.
He's outstanding at defense.
He's young.
I'd much rather spend the money from Eck on a pitcher, and would much rather keep whichever prospects we'd need to dish out to get Renteria. It's time for the Brendan Ryan era to begin.
Agree, we need to stop trading away prospects
We have a surplus of outfielders and relief pitchers. We need to convert that into a SP.
Realistically without Mulder or Carp next year we need to view it as building for 09.
that makes a lot of sense
by nycardfan on Sep 26, 2007 7:24 PM EDT up reply actions
He's not
Having Renteria would ease the pressure put on the MV3 & Dunc and Ankiel. Remember when our lineup was a murderer's row of sorts? We've got way too many holes, way too many slow, slappy hitters (Ryan is a fast, slappy hitter, but still...), way too many former Angels infielders.
Well I know Ryan was exceeding
Renteria did not have a big bat when he started as a rookie. Perhaps Ryan has similar possibilities.
by nycardfan on Sep 26, 2007 7:48 PM EDT up reply actions
Did you know
If he keeps up his current level of play, we're looking at Eck, Jr. He's fallen off quite a bit.
Between AA & AAA, Renteria had 9 homeruns. Between AA & AAA, Ryan had 2. Renteria's slugging % was higher. Still, Ryan had 4 HR pretty quickly after getting called up... Who knows whether Ryan will have as much pop as Renteria, but it would be nice.
I think we should trade for Renteria. Ryan plays SS on Edgar's days off, and splits time with Kennedy at 2B. If his offense falls off, don't play him as much. Meanwhile, he can learn from el Capitan.
Just noticed
God, he looks 12.
Will he really?
You know what would ease the pressure off the MV3, Dunc, and Ankiel even more? Solid pitching!
Ryan can hold his own in the batters box, and won't be a whole lot worse than Edgar. By not signing Eckstein, and not trading for Renteria, we'll have much more wiggle room to bring in a pitcher and not be diminishing our prospects either.
We're not convincingly great enough of a team to waste prospects on a rental player quite yet. We'd be much better off using Ryan at short, and signing a dependable pitcher.
Pitchers
Unless you think Duncan is going after a 250 strikeout guy.
Are you kidding?
Wellemeyer, Maroth, and Pineiro were all lost causes on other teams before coming here.
Thompson and Looper were middle relievers.
Wells was on the verge of retirement entering the year.
This was NOT a formidable starting rotation, no matter what defense was behind it.
AAAAAmmmmeeeeennnnn!
renteria
by LaRussa4President on Sep 26, 2007 7:49 PM EDT reply actions
reallly
Defense
I'll take a Renteria '03 and tade...
I'd gladly have Rent back, but the acquisition effort had best be applied to SP.
by Birds on the Bat on Sep 26, 2007 9:31 PM EDT reply actions
I agree
well that's certainly true
by nycardfan on Sep 27, 2007 12:55 AM EDT up reply actions
Renteria, etc.
In the end, just starting Brendan Ryan at short next season nets us a pretty sizable upgrade defensively. His bat is still a little bit of a question mark, but I think he would be at least serviceable. The best use of resources this offseason would probably be to focus on the starting rotation. Ryan boosts your infield defense; that helps whatever pitcher(s) you bring in here. See if Kennedy bounces back, or give Hoffpauir a shot at producing at 2b. This team has got to find a way to bolster the rotation, at least a little.
To review: if the Braves just want to move him for salary relief and to unblock one of their kids, then bring Renteria back. If the Braves want good value, talent wise, for him though, walk away. Just walk away. There are bigger needs on this team than another player in his 30s.
Figgins
by jnangle472 @ Viva El Birdos on Sep 27, 2007 10:20 AM EDT reply actions
Either 2B or adios
Also, I'd be against getting Renteria. Another 10+ million player who is on the downslope (has Walt learned anything from Edmonds and Rolen? Let Ryan play short and use the money on pitching. If they don't think Ryan is the answer then get a defensive shortstop elsewhere.
by vinniefromjersey on Sep 27, 2007 11:09 AM EDT reply actions
Agreed
116, 131, 90, 91, 107, 125
If anything he is in an upswing, now his last upswing was followed by a downswing but I don't know how you follow a .333/.391/.471 season with a downswing yet somehow he did that in 04 as well. Edgar is an interesting animal but if he follows his last downswing after his great 03 to an ok but not great 04 then we could expect close to his 04 line of .287/.327/.401
No Downslope to Rent's Numbers
getting him back in the walk year of the contract that took him to the bosox just doesn't sound fruitful. could they work a trade to include an extension directly? Not likely.
like i said, I'd like to have the '03 model again.
by Birds on the Bat on Sep 28, 2007 11:21 AM EDT up reply actions
I've been a fan of his since his early days
Perhaps that is one of the reasons that he'd like to return to St. Louis. If he knows that he plays well in certain environments and with certain teams (St. Louis being one), that may be something we can use in bargaining with him for a possible extension.
by nycardfan on Sep 28, 2007 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions
Re: downslope
by vinniefromjersey on Sep 29, 2007 8:42 AM EDT reply actions

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