Game 144 Open Thread: September 13, 2007
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6-16, 5.65 |
14-4, 3.64 |
the cards are now 0-6 since the ankiel-hgh allegation came out. likewise, toronto is 0-5 since troy glaus was unmasked as a steroid purchaser, while the orioles are 0-3 since the jay gibbons/steroid revelation. last season, you might recall, the diamondbacks were in first place by a game and a half the day the jason grimsley affidavit hit the papers (june 7); they promptly lost 5 in a row and 20 of their next 23 to fall all the way to the bottom of the division.
rather obviously, these sorts of disclosures are a bit of a distraction. of particular note, 3 of the 4 teams in question abruptly stopped hitting after their clubhouse was linked to peds:
cards (6 games): .235 / .308 / .405
jays (5 games): .218 / .272 / .309
o's (3 games): .283 / .315 / .491
* * * * * * * * *
i and many others have been arguing for weeks that anthony reyes' won-loss record is misleading. that's not to say, however, that it means nothing; like every stat it captures a slice of reality, while missing other parts. (for some of the other parts, i highly recommend red baron's diary about reyes.) at 2-14, reyes how owns one of the worst single-season winning percentages (10 decisions or more) of any pitcher in franchise history. here are the rankings:- john raleigh, 1909: .111 (1-10)
- anthony reyes, 2007: .125 (2-14)
- danny jackson, 1995: 143 (2-12)
- gus thompson, 1906: .154 (2-11)
- wish egan, 1906: .182 (2-9)
there are way too many guys on this list to name them all. but if we winnow it to include only guys with reyes' current record (2-14) or worse, it gets a lot shorter --- fewer than 30. and if we further restrict it to pitchers who, like reyes, were used predominantly as starting pitchers in their terrible year (at least 2/3 of their appearances), it's a very exclusive roster --- just 6 guys:
| year | age | team | w-l | era | era+ | avg+ | obp+ | slg+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| anthony reyes | 2007 | 25 | stl | 2-14 | 5.69 | 76 | 103 | 102 | 93 |
| jim abbott | 1996 | 28 | cal | 2-18 | 7.48 | 66 | 90 | 90 | 88 |
| jose deleon | 1985 | 24 | pit | 2-19 | 4.70 | 77 | 109 | 96 | 105 |
| matt keough | 1979 | 23 | oak | 2-17 | 5.04 | 81 | 86 | 87 | 90 |
| ken reynolds | 1972 | 25 | pha | 2-15 | 4.26 | 84 | 97 | 96 | 84 |
| jack nabors | 1916 | 28 | pha (al) | 1-20 | 3.47 | 82 | n/a | n/a | n/a |
reynolds and nabors barely pitched in the big leagues again after their face-plant seasons, while jim abbott (who had a string of excellent years behind him) missed most of the next two seasons and only made another 20 mlb starts. but keough and deleon both provide at least a little hope. the season after going 2-17, keough went 16-13 and finished 4th in the league in era. he followed that up with a solid year in 1981. unfortunately, it didn't last; he walked 101 men in 1982 and lost 18 games, then hurt his arm and was out of the league by age 30.
deleon is the most comparable pitcher to reyes on this list. he reaped his banner crop of losses at about the same age as anthony, and at about the same point in his career (3d season); note also that both pitchers' won-loss and era disagree sharply w/ their opponent avgs; both were better than league average in 2 of the 3 categories and close to average in the 3d category. when we look at deleon's situational splits (bless you, baseball-reference.com), we find an additional correspondence w/ reyes --- deleon in 1985 was way above league average with the bases empty but got killed with runners in scoring position. he brought that problem under control the following year and pitched pretty effectively for 6 seasons, mostly in st louis. if you're 30 or older, you remember this guy; he spent 4 1/2 years w/ the cards (1988-1992) and made 145 starts, won a league strikeout title (1989) and maintained a league-average era. he went 29-22 his first couple of years in the loo and, at age 28, seemed poised to become an all-star; but a 7-19 record in 1990 dashed those hopes, and in 1991 he contrived to win just 5 games despite finishing 6th in the league in era. in august 1992 the cardinals released him; he would make only 6 more major-league starts. . . . . all the same, deleon lasted 10 seasons after the 2-19 debacle and turned in 6 more-than-respectable years immediately following it --- a 3.60 era between 1986 and 1991.
though justifiably perceived as an underachiever, deleon nevertheless was a more-than-useful pitcher for several years. i suspect reyes will have a similar career. i doubt he will have it in st. louis.
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Best Team Record?
reyes
>>i suspect reyes will have a similar career. i doubt he will have it in st. louis.<<
Qualifier: if LaDuncan return. Reyes will go mad attempting another year under LaDuncan. He should be traded for whatever he can fetch should the tandem return for another campaign. However, say Joe Girardi / Dyar Miller were the new Cards management team for 08, I like Reyes' chances of rebounding in the Lou.
He'll have to completely relearn his mechanics
I hope and pray it is his mechanics that are causing his problems and not an arm injury. A guy doesn't just lose all that velocity without a major red flag going up.
I wouldn't mind Anthony Reyes in the rotation next year...as the 'Kip Wells' of the rotation. Taking a shot on a guy who was once a promising young pitcher.
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 9:48 AM EDT up reply actions
You're probably right
by the red baron on Sep 13, 2007 10:51 AM EDT up reply actions
What really sucks
(I had totally forgotten how quickly Jim Abbott's career fell off. He was an absolute horse when he first came up.)
Avg+ etc.
If higher is better for the pitcher then he is great in those areas, (he does have a .258/.333/.455 .787OPS line so far which isn't dismal especially compared to Wells .285/.363/.456 .819OPS or last year's Marquis .289/.364/.509 .873OPS).
"Great"
I'm a firm believer (admittedly to a fault) in era+. To me, given a decent sample size, it paints the whole picture of a pitchers season.
i would agree that reyes' era+
agreed
And I would agree with that.
DeLeon
deleon did have that knack
And in 1989
If memory serves, isn't he among the Cardinal's all-time leaders in BAA?
He was a stud in his own way, no doubt.
Yikes
Thanks
Reyes' mistakes
1st inning, Griffey hit a 3-2 91MPH fastball for a single, all 6 pitches thrown were low.
3rd inning Valentine hit a 2-1 91MPH fastball that was in the middle of the plate for a single (the other 3 pitches were low)
3rd inning he hit Arroyo with a pitch that was high and tight following up on a foul off a low and away pitch (he just got too tight otherwise it looked like a great jam pitch)
4th inning Phillips hit a 3-2 82MPH changeup that was left belt high for a solo home run, all the pitches in that at bat were belt high or lower
4th inning Dunn took 4 pitches for a walk, 3 of which were at the edge of the strike zone and all of them were low
4th inning Encarnacion hit a 3-1 76 MPH curveball that was definitely a hanging curve belt high, in that AB only ball 1 on the second pitch was higher then that, also pitches 1 and 3 of that AB were both 76-77 mph curves that hit their location, pitch 1 was a call strike on the inside corner, pitch 3 was a ball on the outside corner, the homer was dead center of the plate and belt high, bad pitch and it got hammered but as Baron asked why did he start throwing curves when he really doesn't have a good curve?
4th inning Votto walks on a full count all balls were near the zone except one and all were low.
To me this gives me hope that his mistakes aren't in his "stuff" it is born from trying to have him pitch in a way that he can't. Also at this point I think the way he can handle his 4 seam and change up would make him a great reliever, why not use him as such for the remainder of the season if we don't plan to start him again?
Reyes
- He does not have an out pitch. You absolutely have to have an out pitch to be a MLB pitcher who is worth anything.
- Poor location. It seems he has to throw alot of pitches because he does not have an out pitch. The more pitches you throw to a hitter the greater the chance you will miss on location.
Anthony just is not showing signs of getting it yet.
For example Rich Hill made his debut in 2005 and since he has pitched 56 games making 49 starts. Anthony made his debut in 2005 and has pitched 42 games while making 38 starts. Rich Hill is leaps and bounds ahead of Anthony at this point. Rich Hill has an out pitch, and seems to get ahead of a lot of batters. Also Rich Hill is not consistently down 3-0 in the fist 2 innings of the games. Yes Anthony has not gotten a lot of run support, but it is really hard to come back when your pitcher spots the other team 3 to 4 runs in first few innings of the game.
I think the ball is in Anthony's court. He flat out needs to step it up. No excuses, he is the one who needs to fix the problem. He is two years younger than Rich Hill and I want to see Anthony get things better. Hell the Cubs are dissappointed with Sean Marshall. Hell he has been way better than Reyes.
Lineups per gameday
Cairo 3B
Pujols 1B
Edmonds CF
Ludwick LF
Schumaker RF
Stinnett C
Wells P
Ryan 2B
Hopper CF
Keppinger SS
Griffey RF
Phillips 2B
Dunn LF
Encarnacion 3B
Votto 1B
Ross C
Harang P
Yuck
Albert hasn't hit a HR in 68 ABs
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions
i said to the wife last night
better to rest than play hurt, albert, but if he sat, who do we put at first? cairo? yadi?
Hard to imagine him ...
And yet some are still putting him in the MVP group snapshot.
by Urban Pawnee on Sep 13, 2007 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions
Putting Cairo in your starting lineup...
Why is Cairo starting in so many damn games? This is maddening.
(And now that I've reverse-jinxed him, I expect him to go 2-3 with a double, BB, 2 runs scored and 2 RBI...)
Especially when he breaks up our best hitters
Eck
Lud
Pu
Edm
Schu
Stinn
Cairo
Kip
Ryan
That way 9-5 are all decent/solid hitters, without a black hole breaking them up.
Barden
Thoughts
vs Harang and Wells
Eckstein .400 .455 .500 .955
Cairo hasn't faced him
Pujols .364 .417 .576 .992
Edmonds .207 .281 .586 .867
Ludwick 0-1
Schumaker 0-1
Stinnett 0-5
Wells 0-1
Ryan hasn't faced him
Hopper hasnt faced him
Keppinger hasnt faced him
Griffey .368 .536 1.105 1.641
Phillips .500 .500 .500 1.000
Dunn .286 .432 .514 .946
Enc .571 .667 .714 1.381
Votto hasnt faced him
Ross 1-4
Harang 1-2
Yikes
Reyes v. Bonderman
Bonderman...
by Ankiels Missing Curveball on Sep 13, 2007 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions
He had a big problem
Reyes
Line up does not look too potent on paper, but heck maybe they will give us some good AB's.
Now I think Kip is more important than Reyes for this fact. Kip has #2 or #3 starter stuff. He needs to finish strong because I would not be too upset if he comes back next year at fair price. If he requires too much $$ then we should not resign him. His mental make up is probably worse than Anthonys.
Jeebus H Christ...
Way to recover, Kip...
Cards catchers
Going from Yadi to either Bennett or Stinnett (ugh) is painful.
I think a new custom
Harang
Does our line up have a chance? Did the first inning batters have good AB's?
thanks
Confirming
Nice grab, Brendan!
Harang
Wow. Either he's being incredibly aggressive in the strike zone, our guys are hackin' at everything close, or a little of both.
If he keeps this up, I don't like our chances.
If I were Hopper
Odds are definitely in his favor.
Double play...
0-2 on Dunn
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 1:27 PM EDT reply actions
Thank god for the double plays...
No way that can be sustained indefinitely...
He could also start striking people out
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions
Now would be a good time...
Hrm. Or he could toss in another walk.
Does anyone else think
He is Will Farrell
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions
He has the strength of a Ludwig
by player2bnamedl8r on Sep 13, 2007 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions
Joe West knows that the curveball
Kip is a victim of his own skill. His curveball has so much bite that umpires won't call it a strike.
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 1:32 PM EDT reply actions
Kip = Playing with fire
3.0 IP
57 pitches, 28 strikes
4 H, 4 BB, 1 SO
WHIP = 2.67!!
Runs = 0
Whaaaa??!?
Kip not throwing strikes = good?
3.1 IP
62 pitches, 41 strikes
10 H, 0 BB, 2 K
Runs = 6
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 1:39 PM EDT up reply actions
if he doesn't throw strikes, they can't hit it...
...mind being blown.....
by cardsfaninmass on Sep 13, 2007 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions
Al's comment after Edwin's pop up
Looks like Kippy tried his hardest to give us what we're used to - mind numbing implosion.
If only, Encarnacion would've cooperated
Another warning track shot
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 1:36 PM EDT reply actions
Watch your back, HL...
Blame the Hammy....
Yet another near miss
Sniffing my but again
mwhahahahaha
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 1:40 PM EDT up reply actions
butt*
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 1:41 PM EDT up reply actions
Heh
HA ha!
</nelson>
I find it pretty incredible...
Wow.
Leadoff hit in the bottom of the 4th
Or how about a walk...
Gotta think BIG!
,,,and another walk....
by Ignatius J Reilly on Sep 13, 2007 1:47 PM EDT reply actions
Miguel Cairo is not a MLB level player
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 1:47 PM EDT reply actions
Well, at least they got the guy at 3rd
Dan's utter contempt for Kip Wells
They were talking about the Cardinals signing Kip to an extension. I thought Dan was going to lose it.
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 1:49 PM EDT reply actions
Good piece of hitting there by Hopper
Hey Miguel, that runs on you
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 1:50 PM EDT reply actions
Ank coulda gunned him down...
Albert, you goofy man you
Let's make things more difficult, ya...let's do THAT.
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 1:52 PM EDT reply actions
Cuz his hammy hurts
Of course, what about his elbow... Hrm...
I'll take the 1 spot
ditto
Also was Ryan's catch in RF really as impressive as Mike made it out to be?
Ryan's catch in the 1st?
Not quite "top 10 highlight reel", but a solid, hustling play.
Not 1st
You're right...
If that ball had dropped, it would probably have been 1 run in, plus runners on 1st and 3rd.
this is actually kind of amazing
If you were a Reds fan
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 1:56 PM EDT up reply actions
If he were a Reds fan
Harang vs Kip
Harang: 38 pitches, 26 strikes (68.4%)
Kip: 80 pitches, 42 strikes (52.5%)
LOL.
We are being 1 hit
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 1:56 PM EDT reply actions
50/50
He's aggressive in the strike zone, AND we're happily swinging at everything anyway.
He's made a few mistakes, but we've just missed taking advantage of them...quite a few hard hit balls that fall just short.
Is Tony trying to get Kip 5 innings
Or is it that our bullpen in just toast?
I don't understand why he's still in there...
Egads.
If true...
That's really scary.
I hafta say
Good lord.
This can't end well...
encarnacion was 0-2
And wow, this game got out of hand fast.
Wow, a 2 run Double! Who'd a thunk it?
EVERYONE BUT TONY.
God dammit.
And the piece de resistance...
Lovely.
well
by CarolinaCardinal on Sep 13, 2007 2:11 PM EDT reply actions
No kidding
And ......
I'm done...
as bad as it is being jerked around
although they are getting less meaningful by the day... <sigh>
I refuse to believe...
Oh, and after the 10th hit thru 4.1, there's the move by Tony...4 batters and 1 out too damn late. Unbelievable.
Pitcher due up
Missed my point
That logic is only appied to
Don't worry
Gotta look for positives.
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 2:18 PM EDT reply actions
Well, back to work for me.
Later, folks.
Rally...Rally
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 2:21 PM EDT reply actions
Can I make a suggestion?
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 2:23 PM EDT reply actions
Nooooooooo!!!!
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions
Tell me again...
Pitcher batting 8th
The pitcher batting 8th isn't why we are losing
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm fairly sure...
Reyes and Wells, 40% of our starting rotation, are the type of guys where you feel you need to put up 6 or more runs a game to win. Combined, they are 8-30, 22 games under 500. There became a point in the season where it was no longer worthwhile to keep putting those two on the mound this year, and TLR obviously is about 2-3 months late on that one.
Even if they are the "best" guys you have, bring up some young talent and give them some experience. I don't care if they are playing A ball right now, they can't really be any worse.
Cairo
Did they just walk Cairo....
Another warning track shot
That's the key, we just have to keep getting runners to 3rd base!
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 2:27 PM EDT reply actions
Thanks Miguel
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 2:29 PM EDT reply actions
Cavazos
8.15 ERA
I guess he just fits right in with our staff. He has been absolutely terrible.
You have got to be kidding me...
cairo
Just because you picked up Branyan and Cairo does not mean it is necessary to play them. I only play them if they are going to be on the team next year. I can not see a reason that either one fits in the plans for next year.
I just realized that after the 1st inning
Ryan
Eckstein
Cairo
Pujols
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 2:33 PM EDT reply actions
Brad Thompson + Adam Dunn =
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 2:34 PM EDT reply actions
Double play!
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions
Thanks for listening to me Dunn!
by yer dog first on Sep 13, 2007 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions
Get on base, Jim
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 2:40 PM EDT reply actions
Boy.....
You're correct...
by Ignatius J Reilly on Sep 13, 2007 2:49 PM EDT reply actions
even worse...
by age3in82 on Sep 13, 2007 2:54 PM EDT up reply actions
Has anyone seen..
"Who most deserves to be in the rotation for the final three weeks?"
After almost 11,000 votes,
Wells: 7%
Maroth: 6%
Reyes: 16%
Thompson: 27%
"why not a 4 man rotation?": 43%
That about sums up our rotation.
time to start...
by age3in82 on Sep 13, 2007 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions
Mike Maroth
My vote goes for Rick Ankiel. Get this story:
Dude comes up as a phenom pitcher, then falls apart.
Dude comes back up as an outfielder, rakes for 2 weeks, it is revealed he did HGH (supposedly), and he falls apart again.
Dude gets back on the mound and pitches 3 perfect games in a row.
How's THAT for Hollywood.
wonderbrad
by CarolinaCardinal on Sep 13, 2007 2:52 PM EDT reply actions
Jeff the cowbuy brantley
i was just curious your opinions he said nothing that wasnt true just wondered if it were crossing a line..cant recall MIke, or jack being that negative on another player..Againj not that you sugar coat the truth they are professionals
Well..
i said that already
Might be a tad unprofessional
It doesn't irritate me that he said something like that, it irritates me that I can't think of a single reason why it isn't a well deserved comment.
I don't care
There... I've said my piece and now I will get off of my soapbox.
can't recall
well, i've heard dan and al
see thats why i was asking
and very complimentary to the cards bullpen
Pitchers
- Wainer
- Looper
- Franklin
- Izzy
- Springer
It is pointless to argue because both would suck to have.
someone who agrees with me..
punchinjudy
Let's all argue about the line up use.
- Albert nees to sit out a few days. Let him play the Cubs series because after that the Cards should be further out. At that point Albert can get some rest. The only reason Albert needs to play is if he has to up his stats to get more $$$
- Stop playing Cairo and Branyon now. Those two will not be with the team next year so stop playing them.
- I want to see Brendan Ryan in every game unless he is hurt.
- Why not play Barden? I don't see how he has a future with the big club but might as well see what he looks like I guess.
Pujols
i think lineup is different
i could be wrong but when the seem to be mor differences in positions p[layers than our vast array fo sub par pitchers
hmm
i doubt that
Why is Cairo getting all these AT BATS?
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 3:02 PM EDT reply actions
Ankiel just forgot how many outs there were
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 3:07 PM EDT reply actions
TLRS move...didnt see it mentioned here
i wish i could have called and said its because Crazy tony is back.
They're still...
is this place
http://www.rankmytattoos.com/Illinois/Canton/15002.html
Gotta love
ahhhhh
nah
of course i will be going.
the problem is, one of my buddies was running his mouth off about two months ago about how the brewers were a lock to win the central and i said i thought the cubs had a better chance. he gave me 5 to 1 odds on a $40 bet, so it is tough to root to be a spoiler.
nonetheless, i decided to suck it up. another year of disappointment for the flubs is worth 200 bones.
DAMN EMOTIONAL PULLING!!
Brewers don't play
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions
How are we the only Major League team in
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 3:19 PM EDT reply actions
Ludwick and Rick aren't injured
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 3:26 PM EDT up reply actions
Elimination number
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 3:19 PM EDT reply actions
re: magic number
Please don't ask me why I know that. :-)
by SmashedAtoms on Sep 13, 2007 3:58 PM EDT up reply actions
Maybe we can get Larry to put the Elimination
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions
This team, in the season's eleventh hour ...
They are dead tired
They were never a great baseball team but they are running on fumes right now pitching and hitting-wise.
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 3:26 PM EDT up reply actions
True natue?
Last Sunday we fielded a team of Stinnett, Cairo, Ryan, Branyan, Schumaker, Taguchi, Ludwick, and Brad Thompson. The baseball gods don't like that.
hopefully the cubs win tonight
by stlcardinalsfang on Sep 13, 2007 3:25 PM EDT reply actions
Cubs Series
I will still follow the Cards but try to not to get too emotionally attached.
Heck maybe all the Cards need is some good ol' home cookin to get things going again.
even if they are out of it
Man I'm NOT looking forward to this series
ah, just tell 'em
Rack up another loss to Tony
by nycardfan on Sep 13, 2007 3:28 PM EDT reply actions
The cowboy
wow
by Pujols on Sep 13, 2007 3:40 PM EDT reply actions
Tony
If we have a starting pitcher go 4 innings and only allow 1 run, Tony needs to yank his butt. There is only one starting pitcher who has proven over a season he does not implode out of no where. That is Wainwright. I thought the AZ move was good, don't ever get greedy with Kip and 90% of the staff. Besides Wainer, Franklin, Izzy, and Springer our pitchers have show they have the ability to go to crap really fast. Tony needs to start yanking guys. I don't care how they look. Our pitchers have not earned the right to be give extra hitters. If they are giving you more than you expected pull em. There is enough data to prove it.
Tony seems to get this soft side where he does not want to "hurt feeling" or "create wins". This is not an individual game. Your pitcher have no confidence anyway. I think 4 innings would make Kip feel great at this point.
10 hits, 6 walks
by TheFranchise9 on Sep 13, 2007 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions
Seriously though,
How many innings is the pen handling over
Is TLR maybe trying desperately here and there to wring an inning or 2 from the starter instead of letting everyone but Wainwright pitch 4 innings then destroying the pen?
SDRONE
I believe you hit the nail on the head. Ok the pen has a lot of pitchers people will say. That it is a ridiculos statement because I can think of guys that I do not want to see on the mound in a critical game. Too bad there is no way you can have starters only last four innings and use your best bullpen guys on a daily basis. TLR needs to squeeze innings out of someone. Someone needs to step it up asap!!!!
Guys I don't want to see pitch.
- Cavazos
- Falkenborg
- Flores
- Jimenez
- Maroth
What can TLR really do? His starters have been flat out awful. The manager has absolutely nothing they can do when starters consistently can not give 4+ innings of work. It has been the story all year and it catches up to a team.
I think people bashing TLR are kind of overlooking the main problem. The starters are not eating up enough innings. 4 innings out of a starter is pathetic. It can happen from time to time but it has been the trend this year.
that's true, but...
if the starter implodes we have to go to the bullpen anyway, but pitching a lost game is probably more wearing and disappointing than pitching while winning
so why not use the bullpen to manufacture one win and go from there?
I respectfully disagree
Kip had given up 6 hits and 5 walks after 4.0 innings, for a WHIP of 2.75. TWO POINT SEVEN FIVE! That's worse than awful. It was unbelievable luck that he only had one run scored on him by that point.
When the 5th opened with a leadoff double (bringing his awesome WHIP to an even 3.0!), everyone paying attention was screaming for the hook. Kip simply had NOTHING this entire game. And, predictably, the fully expected implosion occurred in the 5th when Tony refused to pull him.
Now I know our bullpen has some real lemons, but damn near anyone would be an improvement over today's Kip (a 3.0 WHIP?!?). Especially if you can use matchups to further tilt the odds (e.g., Dunn and Votto, etc).
Thompson's pitching
Thompson's line: 2 IP, 13 pitches with 11 strikes, 5-1 GO-FO
Since Thompson hasn't given up more than 3 runs in the majority of his starts, and looking at his great stats today, I wonder if we would have won that game if he had been our starter?
I also wonder where we would be if they had just left Thompson in the rotation when he was still pitching fairly well (better than any of the others)? Bernie reported that Thompson's ERA in his last 6 starts was somewhere in the mid to upper 3.00 range.
This is no surprise, but I think Thompson needs a little more love.
by nycardfan on Sep 13, 2007 5:34 PM EDT reply actions
I would finish the year with this rotation
Looper
Pinero
Thompson
Reyes
Move Mulder to the pen where he can get his work without the risk of stretching him out too much.
Wells seems to be an effective reliever. Make the most of him we can.
I think that's what they should do too.
+1
Although I wouldn't be opposed to having Mulder pitch some "live" innings out of the bullpen in non-critical games.
I think doing so would probably benefit Mulder more than "just" bullpen sessions. But to start him seems foolhardy to me. His focus should be on recovery and regaining his mechanics at this point, not doing "whatever it takes" to win a game. That's asking for an injury or a setback in his rehab.
Is it just the injury?
Anthony Reyes last 2 starts:
4.1 IP
8 Hits
7 ER
3 BB
3 K
4 HR
2.68 WHIP
15.36 ERA
Mark Mulder last 2 starts:
8 IP
15 Hits
11 ER
4 BB
3 K
3 HR
2.37 WHIP
12.38
They are both pretty bad but Mulder's ability to log innings more than anything makes him a more viable candidate at this point.
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 13, 2007 11:34 PM EDT up reply actions
So 2 starts of 4 IP per start
Mostly, yes
Reyes has had a lot of starts where he would give up 3 in an inning and then put up several 0's. But new tony pulls him as soon as he has a bad inning, completly ignoring his past of bouncing back from them during a game.
Yes I want to protect Mulder
Yes I want to give Reyes every chance.
Not like we are still playing meaningfull games.
Not "just" the injury...
I simply see more value in getting a few more starts out of Reyes for evaluation purposes (trade or keep this offseason?), versus seeing more Mulder, which we already know will be a big part of 2008 one way or another. Anthony's starts may/(are likely to) all suck, but the kid won't learn to fix his starting woes in the bullpen, and we can't banish him to Memphis anymore. <smirk> His peripherals are still tantalizing, so we need to decide whether he's worth hanging onto, or whether he's trade fodder. Fish or cut bait time.
It's clear we ain't winnin' the Central this year (despite the team's laudable efforts with the recent tease before this 7 game losing streak), so again, my opinion is that our priority should be on maximizing our value for 2008. And I see greater upside in giving Reyes more starts than Mulder at this point.
Mark Mulder has much more of a chance
If anyone should be getting evalutation starts, it is Mulder.
by Hardcore Legend on Sep 14, 2007 1:34 AM EDT up reply actions
this is possibly true
That's true
by nycardfan on Sep 14, 2007 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions
No argument on THAT...
As such, why should Mulder get an "evaluation start" when he's already inked in as a big part of 2008?
Anthony, on the other hand, is on the bubble. That's why I feel it would be better to see more innings out of him in the few games remaining.
LaDuncJock
A team that has gone through what the 2007 Cardinals have been through has no business being in contention in September regardless how bad the division is. I think, more than in most recent years, we got to see in St. Louis a team that truly shows what it means to play Cardinals' Baseball. They played a hard nine the whole season. Very few of their losses can be chalked up to lack of trying. I am proud of their character, their toughness, and their perseverance. I believe this team has a bright future, whether it be with LaRussa or with Oquendo.
Okay, now stop losing and go beat those damn cubbies!
they'll have to go 14-4 the rest of the way
So basically they'll have to be awesome and the Cubs and Brewers will have to be Capuano at the same time.
Yes...Capuano is a synonym for stinky.
by Petkovsek on Sep 13, 2007 7:07 PM EDT reply actions
Shh......Capuano will probably be our next
Glass if half full
Like BigMOman said. The Cards have had a lot of success under this group of management. Count your blessings. You could be the Cubs, since Larussa took over the Cubs have been to the play offs 2 times? 1998 they got in by winning a play in game and got smoked by the Braves in round 1. In 2003 they got in and had their hearts torn out by the Marlins!
I will take a bad year. I think the only real offseason issue I need solved is the pitching. I think position player wise we are OK.
Today's game
by crdfn4evr on Sep 14, 2007 8:13 AM EDT reply actions





















