Pennant Race: How Many Will It Take?

by Cardinals4Ever on Aug 29, 2007 12:28 PM EDT

With 34 games to go, the Cards are 64-64 and playing at a .558 pace (24-19) since the All-Star Break. The Cubs are 67-63 at a .523 pace for the same time frame. The Brewers, well, forget the Brewers... Question is: How many wins do you think it will take win the Central this year? I'm thinking 85, but I'd love to know what this community thinks.

GO CARDS!!!

Poll

How many Wins will take the NL Central?

84

27 votes

85

30 votes

86 or more

18 votes

82 or fewer

5 votes

83

12 votes

92 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs | Comment 9 comments

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Comments

85

I agree with you and most of the pollies so far. 85 seems to be the magic number, to get there we would need 21/34 games from this time on, that comes to a .618 percentage which is about what we are playing at this month so it is possible. Cubs though would only need 18/32 or a .563 percentage to achieve that. As much as I want the Cards to pull this out I think the division will end up with Cubs, Cards, Brewers, Reds as the top 4 in that order unless the Reds can somehow take 3rd.

by StLHugo on Aug 29, 2007 2:01 PM EDT 0 recs

The difference

The difference might not be so stark as you suggest. The Cards have six games left vs. the Cubs. Go 4-2 in those games, and you only have to play them even in the other games to force a playoff. Playing them one better wins the division. And the Cards have a much easier schedule (considering opponents' record only) than the Cubs.

by blove121 on Aug 29, 2007 2:55 PM EDT up 0 recs

Head to Head

In your plan,
Cardinals need 21 - 13
Chicago C need 18 - 14

If the Cardinals, who are 2 GB, beat the Cubs in their remaing games 4-1, they will stand at this:

Cardinals 17 - 12 (.586)
Chicago C 17 - 10 (.629)

If the Cubs don't lose the battle in the remaining games agains the Cards, they should have no trouble winning the Central.

However, if the Cardinals win the remaning series, it becomes more of a dogfight.

Call up PJ Walters!

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 29, 2007 3:27 PM EDT up 0 recs

ned yost

and scott linebrink crapping that game away last night (combined with us facing oswalt tonight, and the cubs missing him this weekend) really hurts us. Hopefully sheets will earn his paycheck tonight.

Still, the cubs are just 4 games over .500, 130 games into the season; to say that they will have an easy time going an additional 4 games over .500 with 32 games left may be stretching it a bit. They will have to play better than they have all year to do it...

"and we're grasping at rainbows, holding on till the end..."

by SleepyCA on Aug 29, 2007 4:53 PM EDT up 0 recs

Cards have control of there own fate.

Dosen't matter what the cubs. The cards have to stay hot, AND bet the cubs straight up. What is the season record at right now? If there is a one game playoff winner of the season record gets to host right? I'd much rather face a homerun hitting team at bush then in my backyard...sorry there about the same size.

Save the Kipper don't make him go back out there.

by gibbyfan on Aug 29, 2007 3:53 PM EDT 0 recs