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Mid-season Farm Review

When looking at the shape of our team in St. Louis, I can't help but wonder what may be on the way, in the future, to help the club. Certainly, there's been some call-ups this year which have been nice. However, I wondered what our farm looked like position-by-position.

All in all, we're not stocked well in the areas of need (except second base), but we have some trade chips available - just not enough. Not to mention, trading any of them only makes the farm that much weaker. Anyway, here's what I found and my thoughts on them:

1B sure seems like a log jam. At Memphis, Tagg Bozied, Rico Washington and Joe Mather have contributed. Tagg's spent the most time there, collecting 264 ABs. While his .258 average isn't very hot, his .843 OPS and .343 OBP are respectable. Rico sure seems to be producing better results. In 168 ABs, he's got a .315 average with .374 OBP and .909 OPS. He's only struck out 24 times for crying out loud. Joe Mather was a call-up from Springfield it seems and has 63ABs at Memphis and only a .206 average. Looks like he needs to go back to Springfield where he was hitting .303 with a .994 OPS. I realize Mike Ferris is there also, as is call-up Mark Hamilton, but Hamilton hasn't been working out at AA ball, so perhaps Mather and Ferris should remain in Springfield until there's room cleared out above. Also, since Brandon Buckman is the only other 1B at Palm Beach, it makes sense. Honestly, if Ferris doesn't improve at AA soon, Buckman could leap-frog both of those guys in to Springfield. Overall, the farm looks good at 1B.

2B also seems to be in good shape. Edgar Gonzalez and his .298/.363/.801 line looks excellent and so does call-up Mike McCoy - .288/.394/.803. Additionally, Jarrett Hoffpauir has recently joined in the log jam and so far is .471/.526/1.291 (however, that's just over 17 ABs - pretty small sample size). With St. Louis' troubles at 2B, I sure wish there was a way to clear room for the future. With Juan Lucena being the only 2B at Springfield (and struggling there I might add) and the guys lower in the farm not putting up great numbers, there's no immediate need to clear room.

Certainly no log jam at 3B. Travis Hansen is the only one at Memphis and he's struggling - .219/.247/.549. Juan Richardson is the only one at Springfield, but he's doing all right - .275/.351/.813. The guy strikes out 27% of the time though, so it's not like he's ready to join Travis just yet. However, since Allen Craig has been tearing up High A ball in Palm Beach, maybe some help is on the way. Allen has a great line through 316 ABs this year - .320/.370/.911 with 17 HRs and 7 SBs. Other than his performance, there's not much to get excited about down on the farm. This position is a tough one to stockpile talent at, but you'd hope Travis would be performing better as well as having more than 6 players at the position between Low A and AAA.

Brendan Ryan is seeing some time with the parent club, but was mediocre at Memphis. Seems to be a good defender as he has 6 errors through 64 games, but his offense was lacking - .266/.315/.663. Springfield has had 2 guys playing short this year, but none of them have been performing well. Tyler Greene has a .244 average and 13 errors and call-up Jose Martinez has gotten off to a .190 start. Since Ryan's offensive line is the best across all 10 short stops in our farm, there's just not a lot to get excited about for the future.

Our catchers also appear to be struggling this year. At Memphis, call-up Matt Pagnozzi leads in BA with .213 (albeit in 47 ABs). I have to wonder when they're going to make room for Bryan Anderson who's the gem of our farm at this position. So far this year, his line looks like this - .320/.375/.808. He only has 5 errors in 62 games and sure seems to be ready for advancement. Since Molina is probably going no where, I'm guessing the only way we'll see Anderson play in the big league is with another team. However, it's nice to have a guy playing so well when we could use a good trading chip. Outside of that, Danilo Sanchez came up to take Pagnozzi's place in AA and seems to be trying to find his way. In his brief time, he has .161/.308/.598 to compare to his .270/.403/.879 with Palm Beach, but with 7 BBs and only 1 SO, he's sure to improve as he gets more experience.

For the outfield, Skip and Ludwick have been serving time in St. Louis, but Ankiel, Stavinoha and J-Rod have also been performing well. Ankiel and Stavinoha need better plate discipline and J-Rod's .266 batting average should be better, but all are good prospects (although, can you really call J-Rod and Ankiel "prospects" at their age?). Lots of quality in AA as well - Rasmus has put up .256/.353/.861 and has 16 HRs. Jon Jay was .344/.355/.879 at Palm Beach before putting up a .235/.333/.706 line at Springfield. He hasn't had an error yet this year, but then again, fellow call-up Sean Danielson's only had 1 this year. He's also had a great year at the plate, putting up .355/.375/.762 in Palm Beach and .295/.362/.763 in Springfield (234 ABs). Neither of these guys are power hitters, but they are quality hitters who can find the gaps and still get extra bases. This is the problem, to me though - Rasmus is really the only power prospect at Springfield. There's also nothing to get too excited about in A-ball. We really should have more appealing players in our farm for the outfield positions.

0 recs | Comment 13 comments

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I think Mather will be fine
  1. It's only 63 ABs
  2. He's still hitting homers
  3. His BABIP is a very low .170, that is sure to rebound eventually.
  4. His K rate is a reasonable 15.5%

by mikedallas23 on Jul 12, 2007 1:21 PM EDT   0 recs

age is the key
I eliminate anyone over 25 yrs old above low A ball.

1B Bozied is 28yr washington is 29yr
Guy at the major league level is only 27 yr
Mather is only 25 best at AAAAA.I agree with Buckman 23 moving ahead of Hamilton 22

2B Gonzales is 29  McCoy 26
Hoffpauir 24 is the best by far 340+ in AA
he should be in STL now.
3B only one above low A the above mentioned
Craig 22
SS Ryan 25 I would keep him in STL Greene 23 I think can develop into something good.
C Anderson 20 hands down I like Yarbrough 22

OF Stavinoha 25,Haerther 24,Jay 22,Rasmus 20,Shorey 22 even though his is 27 I have to  mention slick Rick.

Cardinal fan since 1964 8 world series in my lifetime so far!!!

by cardinal27a on Jul 12, 2007 4:02 PM EDT   0 recs

update
Ryan sent down to AAA
Cardinal fan since 1964 8 world series in my lifetime so far!!!

by cardinal27a on Jul 12, 2007 4:21 PM EDT   0 recs

Mather should be fine
and Washington is a 3B primarily.

McCoy looks like a guy who could see some time as a utility player, as does Hoffpauir.  

by whopperman on Jul 12, 2007 5:29 PM EDT   0 recs

I agree...
Mather will be fine, he's just having an adjustment period. Besides, his July OPS is 1.099. Ferris had a hot June and I'd rather him be playing more often in Memphis, Bozied is a take-a-chance guy like Ludwick but without the success, and if they're not going to play him in the OF more often, he's not a factor IMO. Buckman is older, sure, but Hamilton needs to be higher on the ladder, because of his cieling it's best if he isn't blocked by anyone in the minors. Love Buck, and he was a real steal in the draft, but Hamilton did just as much in A-Ball at a younger age.

Second base isn't really a clear picture. Gonzalez is having a good season but he is another take-a-chance filler guys, and 29 years old. Hoffpauir was unbelievable at Springfield and is only 24 which is too old for AA but ok for AAA.

To clarify, Jay started the year in Springfield, the numbers he's put up at Palm Beach have been part of a rehab assignment. It's looking more and more like they intend to keep him there, though, and let him mash A ball pitching for a while. Also, while Anderson only has 5 errors, he also has 13 passed balls, he needs to block better before he's ready for the next level IMO.

by mateodh on Jul 13, 2007 12:48 AM EDT   0 recs

unfortunately
jon jay is going back on the DL, as well as Allen Craig.  Jay reinjured his shoulder and craig has "back spasms".

One thing i was struck by watching the futures game is how big anderson is- another couple of years of filling out and he's going to have some serious power, imho.

Don't Panic!!!

by SleepyCA on Jul 13, 2007 1:44 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Anderson...
I agree that Anderson will develop plenty of power, and I like my catchers to have power if they're going to hit at all, less running and more trotting.  He's only got 15 XBH this year, but he had 29 doubles for the Swing last year and I think once he fills out they'll start finding the seats.

Bah! Just when the Palm Beach box scores were getting fun to watch... Of course, the one injury I'm most frustrated with is Cody Haerther. I really thought he was going to break out this year, along with Hoffpauir. Counting down the days when he'll return to the lineup, and I wonder if Stu Pomeranz will pitch at all this year...

by mateodh on Jul 13, 2007 2:47 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

i am with you on haerther
he came into last season as the best hitting prospect in the high minors but had a very strange year --- extremely hot/cold. with a solid first half in 2007, he could have regained his place at / near the head of the class. but now he's got to get in line behind rasmus, ankiel, and mather, and will be jostling for position with guys like jay and stavinoha.

his 24th birthday is tomorrow, and the outfield is becoming a logjam; he doesn't have a lot of time left to establish himself.

by lboros on Jul 13, 2007 1:18 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Speaking of the OF logjam
wouldn't it make sense to trade some of these marginal OF prospects for some marginal IF prospects?

by Valatan on Jul 13, 2007 1:21 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

the example that comes to mind...
White Sox trading Aaron Cunningham to the D'Backs for Danny Richar. The Sox fan in me: UGHHHH!

by mateodh on Jul 13, 2007 2:34 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

since this is a review...
Top 10 midway:
Hitters:
  1. Jarrett Hoffpauir- AA/AAA: .355/.428/.545, 8 HR, 1.47(!) BB/SO.
  2. Joe Mather- AA/AAA: .283/.367/.579, 23 HR, 0.74 BB/SO.
  3. Rick Ankiel- AAA: .270/.312/.592, 26 HR, 0.23 BB/SO.
  4. Allen Craig- A+: .320/.370/.541, 17 HR, 0.40 BB/SO.
  5. Brandon Buckman- A/A+: .330/.371/.552, 17 HR, 0.37 BB/SO.
  6. Colby Rasmus- AA: .256/.353/.508, 16 HR, 13 SB, 0.62 BB/SO.
  7. Bryan Anderson- AA: .320/.375/.433, 5 HR, 0.53 BB/SO.
  8. Mark Hamilton- A+AA: .274.335/.479, 14 HR, 0.46 BB/SO.
  9. Edgar Gonzalez- AAA: .298/.363/.439, 7 HR, 8 SB, 0.67 BB/SO.
  10. Tagg Bozied- AAA: .258/.343/.500, 14 HR, 0.55 BB/SO.
Pitchers:
  1. Tyler Norrick- A+: 106.1 IP, 78 H, 2.96 ERA, 1.61 K/BB.
  2. Adam Ottavino- A+: 93.1 IP, 83 H, 2.89 ERA, 2.39 K/BB.
  3. P.J. Walters- A/A+: 89.1 IP, 78 H, 2.82 ERA, 6.33 K/BB.
  4. Tyler Herron- A: 92.0 IP, 77 H, 3.23 ERA, 6.21 K/BB.
  5. Jaime Garcia- AA: 90.1 IP, 82 H, 3.89 ERA, 2.39 K/BB.
  6. Chris Perez- AA: 23 SV, 36.1 IP, 17 H, 2.72 ERA, 2.07 K/BB.
  7. Brad Furnish- A: 75.2 IP, 54 H, 2.50 ERA, 2.88 K/BB.
  8. Mitch Boggs- AA: 100.0 IP, 106 H, 3.60 ERA, 1.76 K/BB.
  9. Adam Daniels- A+/AA: 102.0 IP, 102 H, 3.44 ERA,  3.21 K/BB.
  10. Kyle McClellan- A+/AA: 39.1 IP, 25 H, 0.92 ERA, 5.14 K/BB.
Honorable Mention- Elvis Hernandez, Eddie Degerman, Shaun Garceau, Luke Gregerson, Matt Scherer, Jason Motte, Kenny Maiques, Mark Worrell.

Obviously not a prospect list, just the best first-half performances. Although I did leave some guys off because they really don't matter.

by mateodh on Jul 13, 2007 2:30 AM EDT   0 recs

Are you just...
Ranking their stats?

Please tell me you don't have five people as actually being better hitting prospects than Rasmus...

by whopperman on Jul 13, 2007 11:23 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

"Obviously not a prospect list"
Last line of the post. Yeah, I'm just ranking them stats-wise, and considering level. I mean, Joe Mather has just been better than Rasmus and Anderson, but obviously those two are the cream of the crop because they're doing it at such a young age for their level.

by mateodh on Jul 13, 2007 2:27 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

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