i have to try
a quick programming note: i'm on jury duty for at least the next couple of days. first time i've ever served; criminal case, pretty straightforward trial, and they tell us it ought to be wrapped up by friday. so i'll be absent from the discussion thread for at least the next couple of days, and tonight's game thread won't go up till just before game time.
i swear (i am under a juror's oath, after all) the blog played at least an indirect role in dragging me into this mess --- er, i mean qualifying me for this civic duty. during voir dire, i stated that i make my living as a writer; the prosecuting attorney asked me what type of writing i do, and i gave him a quick description of my client base and said, "that's most of it" or something like that. "most of it," he says; "what's the rest of it?" "i also write a blog."
Q: a blog? [raised eyebrow] about what?
A: the st louis cardinals baseball team.
Q: oh. [pause] how do you feel about mark mcgwire being kept out of the hall of fame?
A: well, i'm not all that interested in the hall. but i do think he cheated with steroids.
Q: mr borowsky, how you can you be convinced beyond a reasonable doubt that mcgwire used steroids?
A: i'm not convinced beyond a reasonable doubt.
Q: but you said that you think he cheated with steroids.
A: that's right --- i do think he cheated. but mcgwire's not on trial, so the beyond-a-reasonable-doubt standard doesn't really apply.
Q: i see. so if you were judging him in a court of law, you'd apply a more rigorous standard of proof before you'd convict him --- is that correct?
A: yes sir.
Q: in the interest of full disclosure, i should tell you that i grew up on chicago's north side. [pause] knowing that, do you think you can give my client a fair trial?
justice sucks.
once we'd been sworn in as the jury, i asked the bailiff if there is wireless internet access in the jury room. "there will be in the new justice center," she said cheerfully. that project is slated for completion in december 2009; the judge doesn't think our case will take quite that long.
* * * * * * * *
adam wainwright found himself facing a trial of his own last night and made a pretty good case for himself. it appeared to me that he tensed up visibly with two out in the 6th, after david dejesus yanked an inside fastball just foul down the first-base line; whew, close call. wainwright had been attacking hitters all night, had set down the first two hitters of that inning on only 4 pitches. but after the near miss he immediately got tentative: two consecutive balls to dejesus, another foul (and another close call, this one down the left-field line), then ball 3 to run the count full. you could see adam laboring with his breathing and his pace as that at-bat lengthened: he was consciously trying to slow things down, calm himself down; his brow was furrowed. if it sounds like i'm being critical here, i don't intend that --- i think the kid was excited and nervous (he admits in today's post-dispatch that he starting thinking no-hitter as early as the 3d inning, and says he paid rapt attention to a replay of justin verlander's tuesday-night no-hitter) and was struggling to keep those emotions in check. natural human reaction. after he finally did yield a basehit, wainwright relaxed visibly; he started throwing strikes again, stopped forcing his rhythm and slipped into a more natural one, and went back to setting down the royals. the error on miles was unfortunate, and the ensuing hit came as no surprise, but i don't think the outcome would have been any different had miles made that play.as much as i enjoy (and trust) numerical analysis, that was one of those situations in which the numbers --- e.g., his batting average allowed vs left-handers, or the percentage of first-pitch curveballs, or his BABIP, or any such breakdowns --- didn't mean a thing. all those factors became moot, and the action was dictated by what happened under adam's cap.
but to get back to numbers: since his disastrous start vs the dodgers a month ago, wainwright has made 5 starts and yielded more than 2 runs in only 1 of them. his era over that month (33.1 innings) is 2.43; his k-bb, 3 to 1; his walk rate, 2.1 per 9 innings. the other starters' eras over that span:
| wellemeyer | 4.79 |
| wells | 6.04 |
| thompson | 6.91 |
| looper | 7.48 |
last night's outing reduced wainwright's outlandishly high batting average on balls in play (referenced here) to .333 for the season; still 4th highest in the national league and still in outlier territory, but no longer off off off the charts. it was only a matter of time before his luck turned in that regard. as of this moment, he is the cardinals' best starter. with the possibility of reyes' recall from memphis soon and carpenter's likely return to action next month . . . . . breathe deep, cardinal fans. there are still 100 games to be played.
p.s.: if'n you missed it, troy percival wasn't exactly sharp in his first outing at memphis. called on in the 7th inning with a 1-run lead to protect, he walked three of the 5 batters he faced, gave up a game-tying hit to a fourth; he retired one guy on a groundout, and the other out of his 2/3-inning stint came on a caught stealing (two other runners stole bases successfully against him).
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Wow.
No offense is anyone is from Chicago, but I'm hoping when the aliens come they blow up Wrigley, (and most of the rest of the city) as a show of power.
"You're a Cub fan?"
I'd like to take credit
credit given.
by stlcardinalsfang on Jun 14, 2007 9:11 AM EDT up reply actions
I had him going
by Born in 82 on Jun 14, 2007 10:12 AM EDT up reply actions
Love the Jury story
It was wonderful what AW did last night. Not just for team, but for himself. I think the kid has got the stuff to win 14-16 games. Now he seams back on track for a good season.
Larry I'm disappointed
Good story, anyways!
I posted in the pitching mechanics diary - but I thought I'd throw it in here too..if anyone is interested in little league elbow as a topic, I can drum up a post about it. Let me know. It's a subject I'm pretty passionate about.
Have a good day everyone - I won't be posting here until game thread time (maybe).
I'm Interested, Bob.
by the red baron on Jun 14, 2007 9:05 AM EDT up reply actions
i'm interested
Visions of grandeur
Here's to smart roster moves this year that enhance that possibility in future years - and maybe even some lightning in a bottle this year. Obviously not likely, but there's a good chance our best baseball is still in front of us and we enjoy the good fortune of the NL Central as our neighborhood!
Just
Justice
and in the absence of wifi, my verizon card gets me to veb even while driving or taxing on the runway. it should penetrate the walls of justice as well.
by Birds on the Bat on Jun 14, 2007 9:25 AM EDT reply actions
Fever Pitch 2?
You're missin' out...
And besides...
Afterall, if you remember, they totally had to change the ending of the movie when the Sox chose that moment in time to end an 86 year certainty. Totally f'ed up the filmmakers, sending them scrambling for some footage.
It was cool though...
It pissed a bunch off at the time
Ah you're lucky...
Anyhow, hope it's an interesting case. I'm sure in a few years there will be hard data on how bloggers behave on juries, then it'll be much harder to get selected...
Jury Duty...
Quick jury duty tale about a friend of mine. In law school, they pretty much tell you that you will NEVER be empaneled on a jury because you are a lawyer.
Second year we come back and Bill was nowhere to be found. Bill was a top notch student and a worker, so it wasn't like he dropped out. Gradually, we found out that Bill had been selected for a criminal case that involved a fairly sophisticated point of criminal law. Can their be a murder if no body was ever found?
When Bill came back, he told us that not only was he ON the juror, but the jury had appointed him foreman. He had to teach the other jurors criminal law in five days. It was pretty cool to hear about the case from the inside.
I don't want Chicago destroyed nor Wrigley Field. Chicago is my favorite city in America.
Chicago fans
by billyhoyel on Jun 14, 2007 10:20 AM EDT up reply actions
Too busy for stats today
Starting July 24, we play the Cubs/Brewers 14 times in a 26 game span. 6 of the other 12 are against the Nats and Pirates. We really do still control our own destiny if we can get it turned around and get some of those injuries healed up.
I think there are a lot of reasons to be optimistic for the rest of the season.
Pro/con list:
- Carp coming back in August
- Reyes pitching fairly well in AAA
- The rest of the division is not good
- Albert returning to what we expect from Albert
- Encarnacion has helped since his return
- Mulder might be back in August
Reasons to be pessimistic:
- Duncan 2 for his last 35
- Yadi hurt and no way to know for sure when he'll be game-ready
- Wells' legit shot at being a 20-game loser
- Wildly inconsistent offense, especially from the MV3 (not a knock on Pujols' resurgence, we need more and more consistently from Scotty Ro and Jimmah)
- The record against teams with winning records
- Games like Tuesday's 8-1 loss to KC
However, I am inclined to weight my pessimistic reasons more heavily than my optimistic reasons, because none of the pessimistic reasons are showing any signs of getting ironed out, at least not to my satisfaction. You could argue that the offense is becoming more consistent, and then I'd point to Tuesday's loss as evidence to the contrary.
All this to say: even those of us who want to be optimistic are seeing things that remind us more of the early 90s Cardinals (wild inconsistency and suckage) than of the early 2000s Cardinals (excellence day-in and day-out). And that reminder leads to negative postings.
TSF
by TedSimmonsFan on Jun 14, 2007 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions
Speaking of jurors...
The blog features articles/links about juries, jurors, and trials.
Self-promotion note: some old sketches of mine are featured in the Juror Art gallery:
http://jurylaw.typepad.com/photos/juror_art/david_salvia_sketches_2.html
Jury duty
More encouraging Wainwright stats
Congrats, Larry!
I can see where your answers made both attorneys happy, but am also somewhat surprised at your selection as they often tend to disfavor "educated" folks. I once was eliminated by the defense when I gave an affirmative answer to his question, "You read a lot, don't you?"
Good for you, Larry
by mikedallas23 @ Viva El Birdos on Jun 14, 2007 11:20 AM EDT reply actions
There's a lot of weirdness about jury selection
"death-qualified" juries
Jury Duty
Good luck, Larry!
The SBNation's Atlanta Falcons Blog
Wait, if Larry is going to be out of pocket
by Hardcore Legend on Jun 14, 2007 11:24 AM EDT reply actions
Even though Miles botched his no-hit bid

by Hardcore Legend on Jun 14, 2007 11:29 AM EDT reply actions
That brought a tear to my eye.
The SBNation's Atlanta Falcons Blog
by Dave Choate on Jun 14, 2007 11:37 AM EDT up reply actions
No no, he's just practicing
Recommendation
The SBNation's Atlanta Falcons Blog
by Dave Choate on Jun 14, 2007 11:56 AM EDT up reply actions
See, our plan is coming together
Sure, Carp was a setback, but we'll get Carp/Mulder back and they'll be effective.
It may be as late as August, but the team will collectively say "Um, excuse me. We're the world champions. Let's get busy."
On Tuesday, the Royals announcers
Personally, I hope it is Wainwright DH'ing.
by Hardcore Legend on Jun 14, 2007 12:07 PM EDT reply actions
For your lips to Adam...err
by Hardcore Legend on Jun 14, 2007 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions
from what I heard
just as well
Jury duty
For those interested, here are the two things that, in my experience, automatically get you off of a jury:
--belonging to a religion that prevents you from voting as to whether someone is guilty
--being explosively and uncontrollably incontinent
Here's a third...
Too bad... I think I would have enjoyed the experience.
by The Ol Goaler on Jun 14, 2007 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions
My fourth . . .
I got kicked from the same case because I had been both a public prosecutor and criminal defense attorney at different times in my career and had beaten both the prosecutor and the defense counsel.
Is everyone else here a lawyer, too?
attorneys
Granted, I hardly understand the most of the stats but I feel so much smarter "listening" to all the rest of you.
by cardsgirlinAR on Jun 14, 2007 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions
Today's Cubs game
Man, this is playing with my head. I guess the outcome I'd look for is for both teams to score 5 or 6 runs in the first inning.
13-12 Mariners
I REALLY
Somebody get me a bat... [grin]
by The Ol Goaler on Jun 14, 2007 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions
WHOA I forgot I have to
Wonderful Story
Being the obnoxious
Or...
by Hardcore Legend on Jun 14, 2007 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions
That would
Percival's outing
Someone said he was hitting 89-91 on the gun
That was his first bout of facing actual hitters since what, 2005? If the control issues continue again tonight or tomorrow, then there may be a problem. For him, this is spring training, so he may just be trying various things to see what he can and can't do.
by Hardcore Legend on Jun 14, 2007 2:17 PM EDT up reply actions
He didn't pitch today
I'm all jacked up for this Marquis/Weaver matchup
by Hardcore Legend on Jun 14, 2007 2:23 PM EDT reply actions
Bold prediction...
The guy with the 12 era outpitches the one with the 3.01... by a lot.
Incredibly, Weaver's xFIP is 4.83 while Marquis' is 4.76. I'm not saying they've been equals this year, but I bet they end the year with similar numbers.
Fisrt two batters vs. Weaver
triple
1-0, Cubs
His mechanics look terrible
by Hardcore Legend on Jun 14, 2007 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions
Cubs teed off against Weaver
That is insulting
The M's might help
wow
by RosevilleRedbird on Jun 14, 2007 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions
followed by a 4 pitch walk
by Birds on the Bat on Jun 14, 2007 3:47 PM EDT up reply actions
After ANOTHER walk
Dude, you hit the (unavailable) pitcher! Then you walk the (undecipherable) bases loaded, and then you give up your second hit of the (unmentionable) ballgame???? WHATTAYA THINKIN' OUT THERE?????
by The Ol Goaler on Jun 14, 2007 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions
Don't look now,
That's a plus
by Hardcore Legend on Jun 14, 2007 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions
Hilarious
NEWSFLASH -- Marquis plunks Weaver. Story at 11!
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 3:43 PM EDT reply actions
Scooped
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 3:43 PM EDT up reply actions
got you by 17 seconds ;-)
Betty
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 3:48 PM EDT up reply actions
Does "look out"...
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 3:51 PM EDT up reply actions
does Ibanez die hie soul patch blue?
by Birds on the Bat on Jun 14, 2007 3:51 PM EDT reply actions
After the first,
This Cubs -Mariners game
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 3:56 PM EDT reply actions
But
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 3:56 PM EDT up reply actions
Betty with Lou vs. Tony
I'm starting to think Marquis isn't pitching that much better as Lou is just getting him out at the right time.
Helps to lower his ERA over last year.
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 3:58 PM EDT up reply actions
I think Tony
Marquis first 7 vs. last 7
5-1, 1.70 era, 0.90 whip, 1.85 K/bb
last 7 starts:
0-2, 5.09 era, 1.58 whip, 1.22 K/bb
The scary thing is that Marquis' last 7 starts would make him the Birds' second-best pitcher
Cubs Sharpie
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 3:59 PM EDT reply actions
My friend makes huge money
Last year he made about $250 on this Cubs Mothers Day precious moments figurine.
http://i7.ebayimg.com/01/i/000/a4/aa/f561_1.JPG
He offered $5 dollars to people at the game and sold them for $20.
Hey
News flash - Weaver's ERA now below 11!
Wow
Weaver's crazy
I much prefer our current rotation of Wells, Looper, Wainwright, Wellemeyer, and Thompson. That rocks!! (Not a knock on WW in any way -- he's the best.)
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions
Take Me Out To The Ballgame
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 4:14 PM EDT reply actions
Considering
What is Marquis' ERA up to now?
by Hardcore Legend on Jun 14, 2007 4:19 PM EDT reply actions
Still low...
Brewers in meltdown mode again...
Dang it...
Tigers
I love reading BCB...
Lookout Landing is usually pretty good too
by viva el rojo pajaro 42 on Jun 14, 2007 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions
don't go to LL now
No kidding
That's impressive
Brandon Morrow though... He's got a 9.36 K/9 yet a 1.04 K:BB!
m's blow it
by Birds on the Bat on Jun 14, 2007 4:48 PM EDT reply actions
Dang
Cubs rally for 2 or more in the bottom of the 8th
I picked a bad day
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 5:01 PM EDT up reply actions
That blows
Hey Kiko!
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 5:06 PM EDT reply actions
Predict the final score -- Houston / Oakland
I'm gonna go with 7-5 A's, 10th inning.
It's 5-5 going into the top of the 9th right now.
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 5:11 PM EDT reply actions
I'll say 6-5 Stros...
A trifecta of suckiness for Cardinal fans today. The Brewers, Cubs, and Stros all pull out close ones...
Almost!
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 5:24 PM EDT up reply actions
Almost right should be my middle name...
I'm on the fence
This is the second
I hope so
by RosevilleRedbird on Jun 14, 2007 6:12 PM EDT up reply actions
Steroids
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mniHJAQmNG8
boros
wow, you are a stronger man that i boss
Line up via bernie.....
Not sure if (when?) Ryan will be recalled from Memphis.
Lineup tonite:
Kennedy 4
Taguchi 7
Pujols 3
Edmonds 8
Rolen 5
Encarnacion 9
Duncan DH
Stinnett 2
Miles 6
Ouch
by sgfcards on Jun 14, 2007 7:19 PM EDT up reply actions
Not sure if he'll return?
by Hardcore Legend on Jun 14, 2007 7:21 PM EDT up reply actions



















