the elephant in the room
did you know the cardinals have hit 1 homerun --- one --- in the 12 games since josh hancock died? did you know they've averaged only 6.3 hits per game over that span? only 1.1 extra-base hits a game?
the cards haven't hit well at any point this season, but before hancock died the offense was merely struggling. now it's asphyxiating. the cardinals scored an average of 3.5 runs a game in the 23 games before hancock's death; they've averaged 2.4 runs in the 12 contests since. more details of the sad before-and-after:
| G | R | HR | AVG | OBP | SLG | |||
| cards thru 4/28 | 23 | 81 | 16 | .249 | .310 | .360 | ||
| cards since 4/28 | 12 | 29 | 1 | .203 | .281 | .243 |
before hancock died they had been outscored by a run a game (81-104); since then, they've been outscored by almost two runs a game (29-55). before he died, the cardinals' batting line was almost indistinguishable from their opponents':
| AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | AVG | OBP | SLG | Base Runs |
|||
| cardinals thru 4/28 | 780 | 194 | 33 | 3 | 16 | .249 | .310 | .360 | 89 | ||
| opponents thru 4/28 | 784 | 193 | 34 | 8 | 21 | .246 | .312 | .390 | 99 |
the only meaningful difference was that opponents had outhomered st louis by 5; the cards were 10-13 in that stretch, a pretty accurate gauge of their performance up to that time. now compare the lines since hancock died:
| AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | AVG | OBP | SLG | Base Runs |
|||
| cardinals since 4/28 | 374 | 76 | 12 | 0 | 1 | .203 | .281 | .243 | 27 | ||
| opponents since 4/28 | 401 | 103 | 28 | 1 | 9 | .257 | .322 | .399 | 55 |
they are getting their brains beat in. they're defenseless. in half the games since hancock died, the cardinals have lost by 5 runs or more; in the other half they are 5-1. they are quite literally hanging on by their nails. but how long before that tenuous grip finally breaks? seems like it's already happening, if edmonds' postgame comments are to be believed. a story in this morning's post-dispatch ends like this: "Reminded that this team used to make relentlessness its trademark during 100- and 105-win seasons in 2004 and 2005, Edmonds said flatly, 'This is a different team.'" matt leach's story at the cards' official site also concludes with an edmonds quote: "Things are sliding."
after their first game post-hancock (a 7-1 loss to milwaukee), i mused: "the cardinals already were unsure of themselves before [hancock's death] happened, already equipped with thin reserves; i'm sure we'd like to see them 'dig down deep' or whatever the cliché is, but there isn't a lot of depth to mine." to my eye, the cards' discouraging effort in the month of may is very obviously a direct consequence of what happened on the next to last day of april. let me be clear about this: i'm not trying to make excuses for the team, nor suggesting that we should accept lifeless play because the team is grieving. i'm merely trying to understand what's happening --- trying to understand why a team that was struggling but still battling in april can now be so easily beaten. we're not supposed to talk about it; the cardinals don't want pity, nor even sympathy. but i think --- speaking without pity, without sympathy; just stating what i see --- that whatever sense of resolve the cardinals carried into the season got kicked to the curb on april 29. these are tough guys, mentally tough --- tough enough to win game 7 vs the mets last year, and to come back against clemens in game 7 of 2004; tough enough to survive, 1 out from elimination, and make the astros earn their pennant in 2005.
but man, do they look tired. they look weary. edmonds is right; it's not the same team.
here are some other slice-n-dice statistical oddities of the season:
- the cards now stand 1-9 in "revenge" games --- that is, games against teams they beat in last year's playoffs (mets, padres) or against starting pitchers they chose not to re-sign (marquis, suppan). in those 10 games they have scored 13 runs (or 1.3 per game) to their opponents' 51; they're getting outscored by nearly 4 runs a game. three revenge games vs the tigers loom this weekend . . . .
- corollary to the preceding: the cardinals have a winning record in non-revenge games (14-11), despite being outscored 97-108 in those games.
- against opponents that, as of today, have a winning record, st louis is 2-12; they have been outscored 70-29 in those games, an average deficit of 2.9 runs. against opponents who currently stand at .500 or below, the cards are 13-8 --- again, despite having been outscored in those games (81-89).
- in games where they have allowed more than 2 runs, the cardinals are 2-20. that's not a typo: 2 wins, 20 losses when they allow more than 2 runs. they're 13-0 when they hold the opposition to 2 runs or less.
- in the 7 games started by anthony reyes, the cardinals have hit .178, slugged .205, and scored 8 runs; only 4 of those runs scored while reyes was still in the game. they have produced just 4 extra-base hits (3 doubles and a homer) in his starts. in all other games, they are batting .247 and slugging .351.
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126 comments
Comments
Time for "quotes"?
I have a proposition:
Can we just all agree to use quotation marks anytime we're talking about the team's offensive statistics? Yeah yeah, it's a pain to type it, but I mean, to call what they're doing "hitting" or "slugging" is inaccurate, right?
For example:
in the 7 games started by anthony reyes, the cardinals have "hit" .178, "slugged" .205, and "scored" 8 runs; only 4 of those runs "scored" while reyes was still in the game. they have produced just 4 extra-base hits (3 doubles and a homer) in his starts. in all other games, they are "batting" .247 and slugging .351.
Sorry....just incredibly frustrated seemingly everytime I check the box score.
by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 8:17 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Wow!
2nd -- about a week ago I read something in the p-d where Jeff Gordon said that some of the vets on the team already felt like the season was over -- due to Carp's injury and maybe the poor offense. There's where that "relentlessness" went.
by chuckb on May 14, 2007 8:22 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
so who has given up?
by lboros on May 14, 2007 8:24 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe Kip Wells
What I'm sick of is the team's current attitude. I can tell that Tony is at least getting frustrated and may be at the boiling point - but he continues to make excuses for the players.
I'm also sick of quotes like these:
- "For a guy who plays every day, 100 at-bats is nothing. You've got 500 plate appearances to go..." - Bennett
- "your goal should be to take good at bats, regardless of the outcome." - Rolen
- "I'm here to give the team good at-bats. I needed to play. So that's what I did there. Now I'm ready to play here." - Juan E
- "He was filthy out there." - Pujols
And Albert - when the hell did you start giving the pitcher credit? What happened to the Mang?
Thanks Jimmy for calling the team out. It's about time that someone showed that they gave a damn.
by silent_bob on May 14, 2007 9:47 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Bernie in one of his Pressbox posts
by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 11:27 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
He didn't say
by chuckb on May 14, 2007 10:15 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yep....
Quotes should be mandatory when discussing the Cardinals' "offensive" statistics.
by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 8:51 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Does playing Tomko tonight
by Birds on the Bat on May 14, 2007 8:44 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Ever the optimist....
We'll just stick to the "revenge for last year" theory. ;o)
by cardsgirlinAR on May 14, 2007 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Reyes
So I say...Chin up, Anthony. Things can only get better.
by 10worldchamps on May 14, 2007 9:13 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Kip Wells' 7 losses projects over 162 games to ...
I'm sure he had no idea he was going to potentially make history with the Cardinals.
by Urban Pawnee on May 14, 2007 9:23 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm not really superstitious but...
I'm hoping that like a bad fever there will be a moment when it breaks... i'll be watching for that moment because going through a whole season of my favorite baseball players dragging around the diamond with their heads down is a depressing prospect.
At this point, I don't give a damn about the post season, I just want to see them enjoy the game again. I guess they just need time to mourn their friend - and I guess that's perfectly understandable.
by satori21 on May 14, 2007 9:49 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
The King Kong in the room
The bottom line. I think most fans understand that the Cards aren't going to win 100 games every year...but we as fans expect that the game isn't over in the 1st. Too often the Cards give up a run or two in the first and you can almost turn the game off right there because the Cards wont even give you a reason to watch for the rest of the game. That's what is sad. They are "Meak"
by Harknights on May 14, 2007 9:58 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Tagg's Hamstring
by gonzostl on May 14, 2007 10:50 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is the #1 thing that has to be figured out
by sdrone on May 14, 2007 2:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What's funny
by rockin redbird on May 14, 2007 10:18 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Yesterday I was thinking...
And perhaps from yesterday's quotes, Edmonds has read my mind...or he could just be hacked off that everyone has assumed he was the one that had given up. Whatever. It's time to forget about hurting someone's feelings. My dad had a favorite saying: "Better to be pissed off than pissed on."
by cardsgirlinAR on May 14, 2007 11:02 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
My father had
"If you're looking for sympathy, it's in the dictionary, between sh*t and syphilis."
In other words, stop feeling sorry for yourself, and go do your job.
by cardsrul on May 14, 2007 5:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
OR... I hate to bring this up, but maybe LaRussa needs to get the axe. Put Oquendo in there as the replacement manager and try to get Duncan to stay.
Either ways, something drastic needs to happen.
by TNFan32 on May 14, 2007 11:06 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hitting coach goes first
by wannabeGedman on May 14, 2007 7:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hal
by paCardsFan on May 14, 2007 11:11 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
setting the stage?
The thing I wonder is "How much of an impact does a 'Hitting Coach' really have at the major league-level? I mean really, what is Hal (or any hitting coach) going to tell these guys?
Coach: "Hey Scotty, try to not popout so often."
Rolen: "Aaaah dammit....you're right. My bad."
or
Coach: "Hey Lil' David, you're the leadoff hitter...try to get on base more often, will ya?"
Eck: "Thanks dude, I forgot about that."
What does the hitting coach really do here? I'm sure he tries to look at what each guy is doing and pick up no any quirks in his swing that might contribute to an abundance of groundouts/popups/etc, but beyond that, what is his role?
by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 11:20 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well...
by TNFan32 on May 14, 2007 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
True
But either way, we need a spark.
by paCardsFan on May 14, 2007 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would think its more like...
You'd think... You spend $50,000,000 on some hitters, you think the organization would put some money into a coaching organization that could help them out a little.
by redbird2006in on May 14, 2007 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Video watching
by silent_bob on May 14, 2007 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
More stats...
And the ones that didn't include Wade Miller, Ben Sheets, and Chris Capuano all of whom were either injured going in or injured themselves during the start. We got shut out by Villanueva after Capuano left.
The other five were against Paul Maholm (5.1 IP, 2 ERs), Kyle Lohse (6,5)Chris Sampson (4.2, 3), Jason Hirsh (4, 3), and Chris Young (5.1, 1).
We've really only hit Miller, Sheets, and Lohse hard. The other 32 games were a struggle.
by guayzimi on May 14, 2007 11:18 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Sometimes the cold hard facts...
In basketball, when a starting 5 is struggling early making stupid mistakes or just not feeling it, a good coach will sub all 5 for a reality check. I'd like to see that happen just once here. Like someone said earlier, start all the bench guys. Heck last week when Spezio and Miles started they scored in 4 or 5 different innings. (although Spezio made an error and should have had another)
by paCardsFan on May 14, 2007 11:42 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I like this idea
Make them ride the bus for a while. I think that might be a gut-check.
by TNFan32 on May 14, 2007 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Realistically, you can't do that
But I like the idea of putting them all on the pine for a couple of days. There has to be something that can be done to break this funk, and I'd say try everything possible as soon as possible.
What's the worst that could happen, the replacements only score a run a game? Oh wait...
by Phyrkrakr on May 14, 2007 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How about...
Obviously, if guys want to deny an injury you can't make them tell the truth, but at this point I think Pujols, for one, could use two week break.
by guayzimi on May 14, 2007 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Firing McRae
by cardsrul on May 14, 2007 12:03 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Just the rumors works for the Yanks
Would this club react the same way? Or do some of the players actually blame tlr/dunc/wj/hal or someone else?
by Birds on the Bat on May 14, 2007 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
possible, but unlikely
Anecdotally, it seems like the STL media has had a history of treating Tony with kid gloves. Maybe this has subsided a bit recently, given the DUI, struggles, etc., but the STL media does NOTHING to put any sort of public pressure on TLR in my opinion.
by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't want to see TLR or Duncan leave
by paCardsFan on May 14, 2007 1:00 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Because it is St. Louis, not NY
by cardsgirl95 on May 14, 2007 1:03 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Nobody wants the P-D to be frothing
But it would be nice if some veterans would rise up indignant and proclaim that getting the ring and/or a contract extension does not mean they are looking for early retirement.
If they can't play, let them sit. If you need room for the replacements, put them on the DL and don't dress'em up. If they don't like that, then somebody might have to go DFA.
Send Hal to Springfield or Memphis. Do something. If they can't become base runners, don't make Oquendo stand out there until they do. Tell the bat boy to sit down, and let the players get there own shit until they proove they know what to do with it. Make non-hitters return to the far end of the dug out. Anything to piss somebody off enough to rip the cover off the ball.
by Birds on the Bat on May 14, 2007 2:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Um, I don't really think we want Hal
by RosevilleRedbird on May 14, 2007 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't blame Hancock
And - despite all the statistical reasons for being very pessimistic about this team - count me in among those who still thinks there is reason to hope they have something to build on after winning two series at home (hou and col). At this point, it's not amazing to any of us that they didn't take a series on the road against a strong NL West team - if they could somehow go 4-2 over the next 6, they still could be seen as 'building' off that home-stand.
by cardsfaninmass on May 14, 2007 1:14 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Sorry to say...
As fans, we can speculate all we want and I can make assumptions on what we think is causing the problems, but only those in the clubhouse know what is going on. Up to this point it has been kept in house, but it seems the frustration is about to boil over and the boys are going to start calling each other out.
The birds fall from grace almost mirrors Weaver's in a sad way. The big difference is, Weaver is replaceable, our entire offense isn't.
by Mrthe2th on May 14, 2007 2:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
From what I've seen...
by Timbo02 on May 14, 2007 2:03 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Not seeing the fat pitches clearly?
Reminds me of the Mets back up catcher, Junior Ortiz, who was having terrible problems in '84 hitting. Turns out he was wearing contac lenses, but no one had ever instructed him how, or even told him that he had to clean the little suckers, and they were all gummed up and encrusted ... like trying to see through a coke bottle.
Is there something to learn in all this?
by Urban Pawnee on May 14, 2007 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not sure on that one... LOL
by Timbo02 on May 14, 2007 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe it's from too much Champagne
by Birds on the Bat on May 14, 2007 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh lucky Birds
Everyone knew going in there would be problems with the rotation; this became doubly true after Carpenters injury. What no one saw coming was the total collapse of the offense. The core of this problem is at the heart of the order - Pujols, Rolen and Edmonds. The rest of the guys are really serviceable parts, and that's been the Cardinal approach for some time now. Those three guys, when they were right, provided an engine that created an offensive synergy.
Obviously they are collectively not "right." Each, for various reasons - that you could go nuts trying to figure out, is way, way off their game. What to do?
First of all, you are not going to see talent like this at AAA or AA. That's a joke. And if you think that Mr J can go out and find folks like this on the waiver wire or trade for them, you're smokin' something. Fire Tony? Duncan would be right behind him - and yeah, no panic there. Christ, get real.
I say, to hell with the panic. Enjoy what you can with Looper and Izzy. Hang on, like a kitten on a screen door, till one, two or all three of those three come out of their collective miasma. If Rolen and/or Edmonds don't - play some young guys, get creative with some trades and there's always next year. If Pujols doesn't - well, as they say in Oz, that's a horse of a different color.
In any case don't worry - be happy, enjoy Cardinal baseball; the glass is half full. - DEWEYDELL
by deweydell on May 14, 2007 2:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Perspective is great
If we were Royals or Devil Rays fans, there would be expectations that our team most likely will tank. But Albert is arguably if not the best, the second best player in baseball the past 5 years. Rolen, all-star and gold glover. Our top tier talent is not holding their own and that pisses people off.
by Mrthe2th on May 14, 2007 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
I think the issue could be Rolen, though. He has never forgiven LaRussa for benching him and he's taking the team down with him. I think Edmunds was talking about Scotty. If that's the case, then he needs to go -- can't let it metastasize. Wouldn't be the first time LaRussa couldn't handle the ego of a star player.
At any rate, it's been a great run and if this is the start of a restructuring then I'm happy to start with Carp, Mulder, Looper, Reyes and Wainwright next year and a new starting 7 plus Pujols.
by The Duke on May 14, 2007 9:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hitting coach does have things to do...
Plus, when you have people watching games on TV that can point out flaws in the mechanics of players, then I think the hitting coach -- with the illustrated aid of the incredible video review equipment at Busch III -- should be able to do the same.
by sgfcards on May 14, 2007 2:34 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
"incredible video review equipment"
More to your point though-
I don't know if I agree with your hitting coach = pitching coach theory. You never really hear about a hitting coach "working wonders" with a guy or "successfully reviving a reclamation project." Maybe it's because we have a highly regarded pitching coach but their respective roles aren't publicized to the same degree, which makes it seem like the hitting coach has a smaller role.
So you're saying that the "hitting coach does have things to do"....okay then. So is it that Hal isn't doing those things?
by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 2:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Kevin Long
I don't put any blame on Hal McRae for the batting problems, though. The core of the lineup that's so far been doing next to nothing are all better hitters than Hal could ever have dreamed of being. They see the video, they know what they're doing wrong. They'll come around eventually.
We should feel fortunate that we're not much, much further back as we come to the quarter-pole having played without our ace and with our stud hitters performing at half their career production rates.
by liam on May 14, 2007 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Springfield already done for the day
by mikedallas23 on May 14, 2007 2:49 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Hal McRae
Maybe a new pair of eyes, or someone with a different idea of how to go about things is the only thing that's going to get this ship pointed in the right direction. The point of a hitting coach is to give hitters outside input into what may be going on with their swings. If your current coach isn't coming up with answers, someone with a fresh outlook could be the answer.
It might shake up the hitters, it might not. But this team needs to be shaken up, badly. The coach of the worst part of the team seems like the place to start. I feel for McRae, just like I feel for any coach who loses his job whenever the players stop performing. He didn't cause the problem, but he's losing his job as part of the attempted solution. However, that's part of the deal you sign up for.
by the red baron on May 14, 2007 2:52 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Walker?
"These are major league hitters, and good ones at that. Talent is not destroyed by poor coaching."
That was my original point about "What does the hitting coach do anyway". And I think your take is right-on about bringing in someone else, even though I think his (or "her" in the spirit of equal opportunity) role is relatively minor in the larger scheme of things.
Basically, if something is extremely bad in one area, then the person in charge of said area should probably take some heat and if that means losing his job, so be it.
by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 3:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
IMO...
He gets along with everyone he talks to, he jokes, he lightens the air - I think it was an attempt to pull the guys out of the funk they're in - get 'em to relax, to laugh a bit, and maybe that in turn would cause them to relax at the plate, and thus, produce a little better.
Or I could be completely off base.... Just my thoughts.
by SmashedAtoms on May 14, 2007 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You contradict yourself
[...]
The point of a hitting coach is to give hitters outside input into what may be going on with their swings. If your current coach isn't coming up with answers, someone with a fresh outlook could be the answer.
Hal McRae's job is to be the 'fail safe' against 200 AB slumps for a hitter. He is supposed to work with them to find what the flaw is in their current approach and fix it. A major league hitting coach is like a golf 'swing coach'. If their current method has stopped working or they aren't getting the results they want, then give them an alternative.
The 'keep chopping wood' approach this team apparently has at the plate isn't working. Edmonds has changed his swing over the past week, and has seen better results. Pujols nor Rolen have made any significant changes.
If Pujols isn't able to catch up to high fastballs, then he should go back to standing up taller. DON'T have him move his hands down, or else he will have more pop ups. Have him stand up taller and swing down on the ball or through it.
Something I have noticed as that since the Milwaukee series, Chris Duncan has picked up a 'tick'. Maybe I had never noticed it before, but he is using his front foot as a 'timer' moving it before the pitch reaches the plate. I hadn't ever noticed this before. If it is something new, perhaps it explains his current 1 for 20 or so stretch.
Hal McRae's job is to make sure these massive slumps don't happen. Much like Tony's job is to make sure the team doesn't lose/puts them in the best position to win. Hal McRae isn't doing his job.
If Tony LaRussa currently had the team winning at a .185 - .225 percentage, he'd be fired. That is what is McRae's 'winning percentage' is right now.
by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
you had me until the last paragraph
If the team had a .290 winning percentage, TLR would be toast
by tdawg on May 14, 2007 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
29th in the league in hitting
by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Actually
My point is that McRae isn't causing the problems. However, he doesn't seem to be doing much to work through the current offensive difficulties. So, I think new blood may be in order. Is McRae causing the problems? No. Is the solution to bring someone else in? I think it may be. Just bevause someone isn't actively contributing to the problem doesn't mean a change wouldn't help.
by the red baron on May 14, 2007 5:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Picking UP
by barefootpirate on May 14, 2007 3:07 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
A few of you have mentioned this
In short, aging + injuries = an out making juggernaut. I don't know how much we can take from generic comments like "your goal is to take good at-bats, regardless of the outcome." Rolen has never been one to say "my goal is to knock the hell out of any good pitch I see." However, a little fire would be nice to see from a guy who isn't hitting.
by jdub176 on May 14, 2007 3:24 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Rumor in Bernie's pressbox
Sad as it is to say it, I actually think that, if this is a real possibility, we should pull the trigger.
P.S. Please don't ask why I am looking at the Post-Dispatch boards, especially since I am officially "on a conference call"
by tdawg on May 14, 2007 3:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Conference calls leave your hands
by sdrone on May 14, 2007 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I live in L.A...
by Timbo02 on May 14, 2007 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
you answered your own question ...
As for the trade idea, I'm intrigued, almost as much by Bernie's posting it as anything. We'd gain badly needed youth and a good OF bat.
One downside: Much as we need production from the OF now, longer term, that's probably not one of the biggest needs. I might take my chances in 2010 with Duncan, Rasmus and some combination of Ankiel, Jay, Mather and Julio Franco as a free-agent acquisition. It's the infield where the cupboard is truly bare.
by DCGreg on May 14, 2007 3:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Julio Franco?
Seriously.
by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not sure why
by punchinjudy on May 14, 2007 4:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Erik's interview with Booher
by liam on May 14, 2007 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
point taken
by DCGreg on May 14, 2007 4:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sure, they are younger
The only way those 3 help the Cardinals is if they are repackaged in a deal for Cabrera or someone like that.
Ethier is 25 and really hasn't shown that he is anything better than a 4th outfielder. He has never exhibited much power.
Betemit is also 25 and is even worse. In his 2000+ minor league ABs he batted .279 with 56 HRs. He's very bad defensively and honestly would hopefully be a backup for this team and Scott Spiezio would get the start.
Kemp could be a decent CF in the future, however he is 23 years old. He would be blocking Colby Rasmus in the very near future, certainly when he reaches his prime seasons. Kemps major asset is his speed but a major concern is his strikeouts.
I dunno, I would hope that for Scott Rolen we could get a slightly better deal than this.
I hope Walt doesn't panic and pull the trigger on this.
by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
agree
The more I think about this proposal, the more it sounds like something the team might consider when closer to the trading deadline, assuming the Cards are sellers. It doesn't help much, if any, now but might strengthen the team for future years.
by DCGreg on May 14, 2007 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
But really,
The Cardinals, according to Ken Rosenthal, are one of the teams that have expressed interest in Torii Hunter.
Torii Hunter, Jermaine Dye, Ichiro, Bobby Abreu, Eric Byrnes, Andruw Jones, Mike Cameron, and Adam Dunn would give you more offensive production in RF over the next 3 to 4 years than Ethier more than likely would.
If I was looking at a Cardinals lineup for 2008 and 2009, I'd rather have Scott Rolen in the lineup than Ethier or Betemit.
Rolen's having a terrible year right now, no doubt, but his defense on the leftside of the infield has helped protect our pitching staff and our weakarmed, minature shortstop. With no viable SS on the market this off-season, Rolen's defense is even more important.
From my personal view point, aside from comparing players in this trade, if the Cardinals dumped Scott Rolen this season, I don't know that I would be to interested in watching the rest of how this one plays out.
The deal must be under consideration or a Cardinals beat writer wouldn't so cryptically put it out there like this.
by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Furthermore,
If you put Kemp in the OF, where is the damage going to come from?
Not 2B
Not SS (isn't much out there)
Not 3B (unless Miggy is coming to STL)
Not C
Not P
Not OF (in Kemps spot)
Maybe you replace Edmonds in CF with a damage bat. 1B will have plenty of it in Pujols. Even LF might continue to have it in Duncan. However, we would be filling positions with players that would give us 'less' than before.
Of course, if Rolen keeps hitting like this, anything is an improvement offensively.
If Rolen is traded for these 3, it's a major change in philosophy. Instead of the 'All-Stars' or such at every position (2004), it becomes more of putting average, generally productive players at most positions and hoping Pujols carries the load.
by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
you mean
Sitting tight is the new motto,blended with Albert will carry us. It works most of the time specially with the Pitching, not sure how the missed bats have faired...Kennedy seems to be coming aorund at lead off so we'll see
by punchinjudy on May 14, 2007 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wouldn't
The big question in all this is whether Rolen is past prime. I tend to think he'll be back to his 2005 level, though we'll never see another 2004 out of him.
by DCGreg on May 14, 2007 4:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
by that I mean
by DCGreg on May 14, 2007 5:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Kemp
Getting a decent placeholder at 3B in Betemit (during his arb years) plus a stud OF prospect in Kemp that is ready to play every day right now would be a steal in my book. If you didn't like Betemit you could overpay a Lowell with the Rolen savings and still come out ahead production-wise. I doubt the Dodgers would do this but Coletti has shown a willingness to overvalue vets over prospects in the past so who knows.
by mikedallas23 on May 14, 2007 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you did midseason PECOTA on
Ok, perhaps that is overstating it a bit, but that is the problem with using the 6 week sample size. In Rolen's case, he has the body of work, playing injured and playing healthy, that gives him more of a ceiling. Betemit potentially could be a decent player at some point. But over the next 4 years, will he really outplay Scott Rolen? Is he what you want for a starting 3B in the year 2012?
He is hitting .164 with an OPS+ of 65.
I really hope Bernie is just trying to stir the pot today and that this isn't an indication of a potential move.
by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 5:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Betamet
by mikedallas23 on May 14, 2007 5:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oops
by mikedallas23 on May 14, 2007 5:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
at what point
i don't think this season is of titanic proportions...yet, but the encrapcion signing is exactly what we get when we pull the trigger on deals that might make the team slightly better under the right conditions.
there's something to be said for potentially getting some value for rolen if we've now seen his offensive zenith. i'm not willing to believe that both he and pujols won't come around. edmonds otoh - toast.
let's remember, the nl champion 2005 houston astros were 9-13 at the end of april and 19-32 a the end of may. they were outscored during that 2 month period to the tune of 229 - 182. while they had the advantage of one roger clemens' arrival, their offense was nearly as inept as ours currently is. that included ensberg, berkman and biggio. part of what they did was simply wait through some strong players extended slumps. we need to do the same.
if they can pull the trigger on a tejada, a hunter, a a. jones, i'd take it, but betemit or ethier - how do they make this team better than it is right now, or will be?
by sdesserman on May 14, 2007 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think Kemp would be the key to the deal
This is a strange way for us to communicate. Pandemonium is running wild!
by tdawg on May 14, 2007 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ideal trade....
Rolen being my favorite player on the team it pains me to even suggest this. I would love to find a contending team that is on the "brink", and send Rolen their way in exchange for enough pieces(combined with what we have) to pry Miggy out of Florida. Okay that is about as likely as this team making a playoff run, but hey you never know.
by BleacherBum on May 14, 2007 4:01 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Rolen
by awpierce on May 14, 2007 4:02 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
call it what you will . . .
it all amounts to the same thing -- "attitude."
At the present the team's attitude sucks. They have no goal, no target.
We currently have a team whose focus is on what we DON'T have(Carpenter, Mulder, a strong rotation, youth, strong farm system, etc.)or what we've LOST (Hancock, Suppan, yes, even Marquis -- in his current incarnation) rather than on what we DO have -- experience (both playing and coaching)
and a solid fan base.
The desire for improvement in individual performance as a focus cannot be transferred from one player to another. There has to be a TEAM DREAM as it were -- ala Jim Edmonds standing on a chair giving out game balls in the playoffs. Now, THAT was a dream!
No coach in the world can help a player who doesn't want to hear about it. It is quite possible that we have some egos who might very well be thinking "Hey, whose making the double digit million dollar salary here?"
Benching a guy for non-performance MIGHT work if they lose some pocket money each time it happens.
Let's be honest, folks, if we humble fans can watch these at bats and can INSTANTLY see what these guys are doing wrong, can we realistically say that the professional guru's haven't seen it also AND COMMUNICATED THAT to the players???
Can these guys have come this far and accomplished what they have done and NOT KNOW what they need to do????
There's an exercise I use when I work with groups in leadership development:
Five frogs are sitting on a log. In the distance they see a swarm of flies. Four frogs decide to jump off the log and swim over to the flies. How many frogs are left on the log?
The answer: Five, because there's a big difference in DECIDING to do something and actually DOING it.
Just some thoughts.
by faninexile on May 14, 2007 4:29 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Frogs
by Elvis on May 14, 2007 4:33 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Bigger Flies
by Birds on the Bat on May 14, 2007 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
got me there
Team image? Personal stats? Bonus packages?
Accomplishment incentives?
Usually if one can to appeal to another's self-interest some kind of deal can be worked out.
I'm not suggesting offering more money IF they improve (I'm not THAT naive), but simply having a "good at bat" is not how a championship professional approaches a task.
by faninexile on May 14, 2007 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
got an idea
Go around to each player and ask them to answer this question to the rest of the team:
"Why aren't you (the individual player) playing better (pitching, batting, fielding, etc.)?"
It might be embarrassing enough for them to actually say it out loud (and hear themselves say it) that they might actually do something about it.
I like this question better than the "How can we help you play better?"
Who knows? It might work.
by faninexile on May 14, 2007 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
5/14 Cardinals vs Dodgers win expectancy
vr, Xei
by Xeifrank on May 14, 2007 4:36 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
"Red-Hot Pitching"
Almost makes you think the Card's shouldn't even show up.....oh wait, that's what they've been doing.
by Birds on the Bat on May 14, 2007 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
wow...
But we're only 6 weeks into the season, folks. We've still got 9 weeks to go to just get to the All-Star Break, and another 3 after that until the trading deadline (after which follows another 2 months til the end of the season). Point being, there's a lot of baseball left to play.
Doing the math above, that gives us 2 and a half months to make a trade - IF there's one out there that could help us. (Can someone explain to me why we'd want Betemit if the reason he's being traded is because of his .164 avg? I don't see this exactly helping our offensive output.)
Here's the bottom line - Our offense needs help - a spark, calling out... whatever you want to call it, we need it. That's the truth. And I'll agree, it is getting old, as are the retread comments they make to the paper. However, I still think it's too early to write this season off, or start calling for firings or for trades that don't make any sense.
Personally, if we're still playing like this in another month (Flag Day, June 14th), then I'll take notice, and if we're still playing like this at the All-Star Break, I'll be officially worried.
And no, this post was not made under the influence of Kool-Aid. I just think it's too early to make any decisions... especially rash ones.
by SmashedAtoms on May 14, 2007 4:38 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Bernie posed an interesting question...
"Rolen to LA
for:
3B Wilson Betiment and one of two OFs: Matt Kemp or Andre Ethier.
--B"
http://www.stltoday.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=456497
I dont know what this REALLY means but it seems certianly odd.
by jealousblues on May 14, 2007 5:44 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
trade
I'm not sure what we are doing with Betemit and if the Dodgers are going to wait on LaRoche or try to trade. I thought for sure Rolen wouldn't be going anywhere w. the no trade clause but who knows. But all I'm saying is if Kemp was the OF in the trade proposed, it'd be an absolute steal. The Dodgers fan part of me thinks that Kemp and Billingsley are the only untouchables in our system... so I doubt that trade goes down. But I hope something goes down to improve the Cards, nontheless.
by westside23 on May 14, 2007 9:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If the Rolen trade (or any Rolen trade) goes
by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 6:15 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
gfdgfdf
Mike Myers?
I just cant think of anyone else...
IM probibly missing something. I suppose Tino counts? But he was horrible and never really bounced back
by jealousblues on May 14, 2007 6:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Brian Jordan was ok afterward
Braden Looper?
Ron Gant?
T.J. Matthews?
by Valatan on May 14, 2007 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There is a RF that hits drives in 90+
by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 7:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I dont know if
I wish him nothing but the best in life, but I never want to see him in a cards uniform again. I've had friends play A, AA ball that would fucking kill for shot, just a single shot, at playing in the show. Some people treat it like it's their birthright.
But, yeah, he's talented.
by Alxfritz on May 14, 2007 7:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and got hurt
by punchinjudy on May 14, 2007 7:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ray King
So J.D. Drew got us Marquis, Ray King, Wainwright - which translates into Wainwright and Miles.
Considering Drew totally screwed the Dodgers I don't think we would have been able to hold Drew for long.
by enoscountry on May 14, 2007 7:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Shake up the OF for a day.
Perhaps that would be the wake up call the "every day players" need.
by DriverZn on May 14, 2007 6:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I would love to see
by SleepyCA on May 14, 2007 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
For what it's worth.
by Big Red on May 14, 2007 6:29 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
My bad
Should have been Project Prospect.com
by Big Red on May 14, 2007 7:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cubs
Apparantly, he was left out of yesterday's lineup but negotiated his way back in. Took one at bat and removed himself from the game. The initial report was neck spasms.
by Big Red on May 14, 2007 6:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Neck spasms
by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 7:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
he couldn't run to first
by enoscountry on May 14, 2007 7:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Cardinals DVD
by BSell81 on May 14, 2007 8:01 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
thanks for the notice
by enoscountry on May 14, 2007 8:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Marquis
by svengali on May 14, 2007 8:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Marquis
by cardsgirl95 on May 14, 2007 8:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Marquis just gave up a homer
by effin fisk on May 14, 2007 8:11 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
it starts tonight
of course, these could also be considered "revenge factor" games if you wanted to look at it that way. (yikes.)
by madding on May 14, 2007 8:29 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
just checked the giants page
in another note Morris against woody tonight
by punchinjudy on May 14, 2007 8:49 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Game thread?
by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 8:52 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
tonight's lineup
by madding on May 14, 2007 9:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs



















