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the elephant in the room

did you know the cardinals have hit 1 homerun --- one --- in the 12 games since josh hancock died? did you know they've averaged only 6.3 hits per game over that span? only 1.1 extra-base hits a game?

the cards haven't hit well at any point this season, but before hancock died the offense was merely struggling. now it's asphyxiating. the cardinals scored an average of 3.5 runs a game in the 23 games before hancock's death; they've averaged 2.4 runs in the 12 contests since. more details of the sad before-and-after:

G R HR AVG OBP SLG
cards thru 4/28 23 81 16 .249 .310 .360
cards since 4/28 12 29  1 .203 .281 .243

before hancock died they had been outscored by a run a game (81-104); since then, they've been outscored by almost two runs a game (29-55). before he died, the cardinals' batting line was almost indistinguishable from their opponents':

AB H 2B 3B HR AVG OBP SLG Base
Runs
cardinals thru 4/28 780 194 33  3 16 .249 .310 .360 89
opponents thru 4/28 784 193 34  8 21 .246 .312 .390 99

the only meaningful difference was that opponents had outhomered st louis by 5; the cards were 10-13 in that stretch, a pretty accurate gauge of their performance up to that time. now compare the lines since hancock died:

AB H 2B 3B HR AVG OBP SLG Base
Runs
cardinals since 4/28 374  76 12  0  1 .203 .281 .243 27
opponents since 4/28 401 103 28  1  9 .257 .322 .399 55

they are getting their brains beat in. they're defenseless. in half the games since hancock died, the cardinals have lost by 5 runs or more; in the other half they are 5-1. they are quite literally hanging on by their nails. but how long before that tenuous grip finally breaks? seems like it's already happening, if edmonds' postgame comments are to be believed. a story in this morning's post-dispatch ends like this: "Reminded that this team used to make relentlessness its trademark during 100- and 105-win seasons in 2004 and 2005, Edmonds said flatly, 'This is a different team.'" matt leach's story at the cards' official site also concludes with an edmonds quote: "Things are sliding."

after their first game post-hancock (a 7-1 loss to milwaukee), i mused: "the cardinals already were unsure of themselves before [hancock's death] happened, already equipped with thin reserves; i'm sure we'd like to see them 'dig down deep' or whatever the cliché is, but there isn't a lot of depth to mine." to my eye, the cards' discouraging effort in the month of may is very obviously a direct consequence of what happened on the next to last day of april. let me be clear about this: i'm not trying to make excuses for the team, nor suggesting that we should accept lifeless play because the team is grieving. i'm merely trying to understand what's happening --- trying to understand why a team that was struggling but still battling in april can now be so easily beaten. we're not supposed to talk about it; the cardinals don't want pity, nor even sympathy. but i think --- speaking without pity, without sympathy; just stating what i see --- that whatever sense of resolve the cardinals carried into the season got kicked to the curb on april 29. these are tough guys, mentally tough --- tough enough to win game 7 vs the mets last year, and to come back against clemens in game 7 of 2004; tough enough to survive, 1 out from elimination, and make the astros earn their pennant in 2005.

but man, do they look tired. they look weary. edmonds is right; it's not the same team.

here are some other slice-n-dice statistical oddities of the season:

  • the cards now stand 1-9 in "revenge" games --- that is, games against teams they beat in last year's playoffs (mets, padres) or against starting pitchers they chose not to re-sign (marquis, suppan). in those 10 games they have scored 13 runs (or 1.3 per game) to their opponents' 51; they're getting outscored by nearly 4 runs a game. three revenge games vs the tigers loom this weekend . . . .
  • corollary to the preceding: the cardinals have a winning record in non-revenge games (14-11), despite being outscored 97-108 in those games.
  • against opponents that, as of today, have a winning record, st louis is 2-12; they have been outscored 70-29 in those games, an average deficit of 2.9 runs. against opponents who currently stand at .500 or below, the cards are 13-8 --- again, despite having been outscored in those games (81-89).
  • in games where they have allowed more than 2 runs, the cardinals are 2-20. that's not a typo: 2 wins, 20 losses when they allow more than 2 runs. they're 13-0 when they hold the opposition to 2 runs or less.
  • in the 7 games started by anthony reyes, the cardinals have hit .178, slugged .205, and scored 8 runs; only 4 of those runs scored while reyes was still in the game. they have produced just 4 extra-base hits (3 doubles and a homer) in his starts. in all other games, they are batting .247 and slugging .351.
reyes didn't pitch great yesterday, but as always he contained the damage and kept the team within striking distance. and that's all the cards are hoping to do at this point --- contain the damage, stay in the game, keep it close enough that they still have a chance.

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Time for "quotes"?
Interesting observations LB....and those ARE some ridiculous stats.

I have a proposition:
Can we just all agree to use quotation marks anytime we're talking about the team's offensive statistics? Yeah yeah, it's a pain to type it, but I mean, to call what they're doing "hitting" or "slugging" is inaccurate, right?

For example:

in the 7 games started by anthony reyes, the cardinals have "hit" .178, "slugged" .205, and "scored" 8 runs; only 4 of those runs "scored" while reyes was still in the game. they have produced just 4 extra-base hits (3 doubles and a homer) in his starts. in all other games, they are "batting" .247 and slugging .351.

Sorry....just incredibly frustrated seemingly everytime I check the box score.

by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 8:17 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Wow!
1st of all -- re: offensive production in Reyes' starts -- you shouldn't be allowed to use the word "slugged" when the slugging % is just .205.  There's got to be a more accurate term.

2nd -- about a week ago I read something in the p-d where Jeff Gordon said that some of the vets on the team already felt like the season was over -- due to Carp's injury and maybe the poor offense.  There's where that "relentlessness" went.

by chuckb on May 14, 2007 8:22 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

so who has given up?
apparently it's not edmonds. . . . or at least, he's not giving that impression. so are we talking about pujols and rolen? those would seem to be the only two guys that matter . . . .

by lboros on May 14, 2007 8:24 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe Kip Wells
due to his "head hanging."  Maybe some other players have given up - we won't know for sure.  

What I'm sick of is the team's current attitude.  I can tell that Tony is at least getting frustrated and may be at the boiling point - but he continues to make excuses for the players.  

I'm also sick of quotes like these:

  1. "For a guy who plays every day, 100 at-bats is nothing. You've got 500 plate appearances to go..."  - Bennett
  2. "your goal should be to take good at bats, regardless of the outcome." - Rolen
  3. "I'm here to give the team good at-bats.  I needed to play. So that's what I did there. Now I'm ready to play here." - Juan E
  4. "He was filthy out there."  - Pujols
When was Scotty's last "good" AB?.  Has Scotty taken a walk in the last 3 weeks?  Did Juan bat over .200 in AA?  And Bennett - well I got nothing.  

And Albert - when the hell did you start giving the pitcher credit?  What happened to the Mang?  

Thanks Jimmy for calling the team out.  It's about time that someone showed that they gave a damn.

by silent_bob on May 14, 2007 9:47 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bernie in one of his Pressbox posts
said that Rolen's confidence is at an all-time low.
Walk your dog, not Pujols.

by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 11:27 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He didn't say
it may have been a comment from Bernie in his Pressbox.  Not sure.  I thought maybe Edmonds until what I read today.  Maybe Rolen.  Maybe Eckstein -- but he's a FA at the end of the year.  Even if we are done he still has something to play for.  I'd find it hard to believe Pujols feels like it's over but maybe...

by chuckb on May 14, 2007 10:15 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yep....
I agree (as stated above):
Quotes should be mandatory when discussing the Cardinals' "offensive" statistics.

by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 8:51 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Quotes
I don't think the quotation marks were necessary around "offensive" in your post. Because those statistics truly were offensive...

by birdjam on May 14, 2007 10:14 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

true
Good point.

Whatever punctuation we add for emphasis, we can all agree that the "hitting display" thus far is maddening.

by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 10:37 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Does playing Tomko tonight
count as a "revenge" game?
Fan for Life. Go Cards.

by Birds on the Bat on May 14, 2007 8:44 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Ever the optimist....
I'm saying no because I believe he's pitched against us at least once in the two years since he was a Cardinal.

We'll just stick to the "revenge for last year" theory.  ;o)

by cardsgirlinAR on May 14, 2007 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Reyes
I feel really bad for Anthony. Is he pitching like a  star? No. But I didn't expect that from him this year. His game one start in the World Series was an aberration, albeit a pleasant one. To repeat LBoros' line, he is containing the damage, staying in the game and keeping it close enough that they still have a chance. In years past, he would have 3-4 wins by now. He might lose 20 with this offensive ``offense'' behind him this season.

So I say...Chin up, Anthony. Things can only get better.

by 10worldchamps on May 14, 2007 9:13 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Kip Wells' 7 losses projects over 162 games to ...
32 losses.

I'm sure he had no idea he was going to potentially make history with the Cardinals.

by Urban Pawnee on May 14, 2007 9:23 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I'm not really superstitious but...
if ever I've seen what looks like a team playing under a curse, this is it.  The Hancock tragedy really cemented it (as you point out) but it existed before that too.  I quit watching the game yesterday after the 5th inning because I could tell by the body language of the players that we were already beaten.  I wouldn't of dreamed of doing that last year (even in the midst of that late season swoon).  It is no fun to watch this team right now.  

 I'm hoping that like a bad fever there will be a moment when it breaks... i'll be watching for that moment because going through a whole season of my favorite baseball players dragging around the diamond with their heads down is a depressing prospect.  

At this point, I don't give a damn about the post season, I just want to see them enjoy the game again.  I guess they just need time to mourn their friend - and I guess that's perfectly understandable.  

by satori21 on May 14, 2007 9:49 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

The King Kong in the room
What is going on with Pujols? We aren't going anywhere without him. There is a problem. If it's an injury it's clear that he's not able to play through it. So Put him on the DL and bring up Tagg...and that goes for Rolen. If he's hurt he should sit. If they are not hurt then someone needs to explain why they aren't driving the ball. Last home run? Hell when was the last time someone hit the gap (without hitting a glove?)

The bottom line. I think most fans understand that the Cards aren't going to win 100 games every year...but we as fans expect that the game isn't over in the 1st. Too often the Cards give up a run or two in the first and you can almost turn the game off right there because the Cards wont even give you a reason to watch for the rest of the game. That's what is sad. They are "Meak"

by Harknights on May 14, 2007 9:58 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Tagg's Hamstring
I believe Tagg left Sat. game in the first inning with a pulled hamstring.  I am not sure of his availablitly.

by gonzostl on May 14, 2007 10:50 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

What's funny
(as in strange), is that even with all this horrendous and depressing play they remain only 2 games back of second place and the supposedly "resurgent" and "strutting" Cubs. Jeez, this division really does suck. Barring a miraculous return to 04/05 form and an incredible choke by the Brewers, I don't see our boys retaking the lead, but if they somewhat snap out of whatever the hell is going on they could still finish above .500 and in second place. Nothing to brag about, but maybe all we can really hope for in this potentially damned and lost season.

by rockin redbird on May 14, 2007 10:18 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Yesterday I was thinking...
That we need to have our own version of Jim Leyland's "heart-to-heart" meeting with the Tigers last season.  A "Come to Jesus" meeting, as we call it in the South.  Seems to me TLR or one of the team "leaders" need to call up Jim and ask for his notes.  I'm sure seeing us suck so badly has erased any hard feelings from last October.  ;o)

And perhaps from yesterday's quotes, Edmonds has read my mind...or he could just be hacked off that everyone has assumed he was the one that had given up.  Whatever.  It's time to forget about hurting someone's feelings.  My dad had a favorite saying:  "Better to be pissed off than pissed on."

by cardsgirlinAR on May 14, 2007 11:02 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

My father had
a similar one:
"If you're looking for sympathy, it's in the dictionary, between sh*t and syphilis."
In other words, stop feeling sorry for yourself, and go do your job.

by cardsrul on May 14, 2007 5:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree
I agree with CardsgirlinAR on this one. A serious meeting needs to take place where guys get called out.

OR... I hate to bring this up, but maybe LaRussa needs to get the axe.  Put Oquendo in there as the replacement manager and try to get Duncan to stay.

Either ways, something drastic needs to happen.

by TNFan32 on May 14, 2007 11:06 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hitting coach goes first
All my friends became Cardinal fans and grew up happy and liberal. I became a Cub fan and grew up imbittered and conservative." -- George Will

by wannabeGedman on May 14, 2007 7:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hal
I know it's not all his fault, but I think he has to go. TLR and the players will and have been defending him, but it's time for a change. Just someone different in there might provide a spark. Like Jimmy said, you can't just keep making the same excuses. Something has to change.

by paCardsFan on May 14, 2007 11:11 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

setting the stage?
It does sound like they're setting the stage for something, doesn't it?

The thing I wonder is "How much of an impact does a 'Hitting Coach' really have at the major league-level? I mean really, what is Hal (or any hitting coach) going to tell these guys?

Coach: "Hey Scotty, try to not popout so often."

Rolen: "Aaaah dammit....you're right. My bad."

or

Coach: "Hey Lil' David, you're the leadoff hitter...try to get on base more often, will ya?"

Eck: "Thanks dude, I forgot about that."

What does the hitting coach really do here? I'm sure he tries to look at what each guy is doing and pick up no any quirks in his swing that might contribute to an abundance of groundouts/popups/etc, but beyond that, what is his role?

by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 11:20 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Well...
I think anything would be better than what he's doing now.

by TNFan32 on May 14, 2007 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

True
But then, I never made it to the bigs so I don't know. But really, I think there is some liability there. Maybe he is watching hours of video to pick up little nuances and bad habits that they're getting into, maybe not. I hope so.

But either way, we need a spark.

by paCardsFan on May 14, 2007 11:39 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I would think its more like...
Hey Eck, your front leg is flying open early and you're dropping the bat head down lower than you have in the past.  Here are 37 different videos of your swing from 2004 and here are 37 videos of what you are doing now.   I've put these side by side so you can clearly see the difference in your swing.  You can see how this is causing you to pop up all the time.

You'd think...  You spend $50,000,000 on some hitters, you think the organization would put some money into a coaching organization that could help them out a little.

by redbird2006in on May 14, 2007 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Video watching
is not the problem. Read 3 nights in August.  No matter the pitching coach, the Cards have a video guru.  

by silent_bob on May 14, 2007 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

More stats...
of the 35 opposing pitchers we've faced, 27 have thrown a quality start.

And the ones that didn't include Wade Miller, Ben Sheets, and Chris Capuano all of whom were either injured going in or injured themselves during the start. We got shut out by Villanueva after Capuano left.

The other five were against Paul Maholm (5.1 IP, 2 ERs), Kyle Lohse (6,5)Chris Sampson (4.2, 3), Jason Hirsh (4, 3), and Chris Young (5.1, 1).

We've really only hit Miller, Sheets, and Lohse hard. The other 32 games were a struggle.

by guayzimi on May 14, 2007 11:18 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Sometimes the cold hard facts...
can be painful.

In basketball, when a starting 5 is struggling early making stupid mistakes or just not feeling it, a good coach will sub all 5 for a reality check. I'd like to see that happen just once here. Like someone said earlier, start all the bench guys. Heck last week when Spezio and Miles started they scored in 4 or 5 different innings. (although Spezio made an error and should have had another)

by paCardsFan on May 14, 2007 11:42 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I like this idea
Or for pure fun we could just send Edmonds, Rolen, Pujols, and whoever else down to AAA and call up Ankiel, J-Rod, and Tagg (when they are healthy).

Make them ride the bus for a while. I think that might be a gut-check.

by TNFan32 on May 14, 2007 11:47 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Realistically, you can't do that
because they can waive assignment to the minors and are all out of options anyway.

But I like the idea of putting them all on the pine for a couple of days.  There has to be something that can be done to break this funk, and I'd say try everything possible as soon as possible.

What's the worst that could happen, the replacements only score a run a game?  Oh wait...

by Phyrkrakr on May 14, 2007 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

How about...
forcing everyone with an injury onto the DL.

Obviously, if guys want to deny an injury you can't make them tell the truth, but at this point I think Pujols, for one, could use two week break.

by guayzimi on May 14, 2007 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Firing McRae
and/or La Russa won't help. For one thing, if TLR goes, Duncan is right behind him. Those two are attached at the hip. Face it folks; this team sucks, and it's going to get worse before it gets better.

by cardsrul on May 14, 2007 12:03 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Just the rumors works for the Yanks
The last two seasons when the Yanks were awful, and the rumors of Torre's demise became persistent, it provoked a strong reaction from key players.  First to say that it's not the coach's fault, and then they actually started to play better to proove it.

Would this club react the same way?  Or do some of the players actually blame tlr/dunc/wj/hal or someone else?

Fan for Life. Go Cards.

by Birds on the Bat on May 14, 2007 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

possible, but unlikely
Maybe the players would step it up if everyone started piling on TLR, Hal, et al., but I think it's unlikely to even get to that point.

Anecdotally, it seems like the STL media has had a history of treating Tony with kid gloves. Maybe this has subsided a bit recently, given the DUI, struggles, etc., but the STL media does NOTHING to put any sort of public pressure on TLR in my opinion.

by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I don't want to see TLR or Duncan leave
But I still think McCrae leaving could make a difference. There has to be some difference in hitting coaches to make a difference?..

by paCardsFan on May 14, 2007 1:00 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Because it is St. Louis, not NY
The papers in NY froth and foam at the mouth because that sells papers there and there is competition between daily rags to sell the most.  With only one newspaper in StL, there is no such competition and no need to get into the sensationalism.  Besides, there is a certain Midwestern sensiblity that finds all that hype and hysteria distasteful.  

by cardsgirl95 on May 14, 2007 1:03 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Nobody wants the P-D to be frothing
at the mouth.  And the only foam should be on the beer.  I've lived that east coast newspaper crap, and it's never helped the Phillies.  

But it would be nice if some veterans would rise up indignant and proclaim that getting the ring and/or a contract extension does not mean they are looking for early retirement.

If they can't play, let them sit.  If you need room for the replacements, put them on the DL and don't dress'em up.  If they don't like that, then somebody might have to go DFA.

Send Hal to Springfield or Memphis.  Do something.  If they can't become base runners, don't make Oquendo stand out there until they do.  Tell the bat boy to sit down, and let the players get there own shit until they proove they know what to do with it.  Make non-hitters return to the far end of the dug out.  Anything to piss somebody off enough to rip the cover off the ball.

Fan for Life. Go Cards.

by Birds on the Bat on May 14, 2007 2:14 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Um, I don't really think we want Hal
teaching our up and coming guys how to swing at major league pitching...
Eagles may soar, but weasels don't get sucked into jet engines

by RosevilleRedbird on May 14, 2007 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Don't blame Hancock
I really haven't seen much of difference in there play to warrant using Hancock's death as a significant element in EXPLAIINING their sucky play as of late.  As I heard Rick Hummel say on the radio at some point - "They stunk before it, and they still stink now".  

And - despite all the statistical reasons for being very pessimistic about this team - count me in among those who still thinks there is reason to hope they have something to build on after winning two series at home (hou and col). At this point, it's not amazing to any of us that they didn't take a series on the road against a strong NL West team - if they could somehow go  4-2 over the next 6, they still could be seen as 'building' off that home-stand.

by cardsfaninmass on May 14, 2007 1:14 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Sorry to say...
But the only thing this team is "building" right now is a house of cards (pun intended).  Everytime they have a good day offensively, sadly that has come to mean scoring more than 3 runs, they inevitably fold the next game and give us nothing but junk.  

As fans, we can speculate all we want and I can make  assumptions on what we think is causing the problems, but only those in the clubhouse know what is going on.  Up to this point it has been kept in house, but it seems the frustration is about to boil over and the boys are going to start calling each other out.  

The birds fall from grace almost mirrors Weaver's in a sad way.  The big difference is, Weaver is replaceable, our entire offense isn't.

by Mrthe2th on May 14, 2007 2:21 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

From what I've seen...
The one thing that seems to jump out is that Albert, Rolen, Edmonds, Kennedy, and lately Duncan, seem to be fouling off GOOD pitches to hit, that they used to get good wood on. Rolen and Albert especially... I can't believe how many times while watching the game, I'll just shake my head after they foul one off, and think. " Man ...they used to just KILL that pitch". And THERE is where I think you have to have a hitting coach that can somehow figure out that timing or set up in the box problem.  They are not getting good contact on pitches that they SHOULD be putting into play with some power.  Just my observation, and I'll be sitting 17 rows off home plate tonight at Dodger Stadium...will be interesting to see if being there in person changes that observation.  

by Timbo02 on May 14, 2007 2:03 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Not seeing the fat pitches clearly?
Check their eyes! (don't overlook the obvious)

Reminds me of the Mets back up catcher, Junior Ortiz, who was having terrible problems in '84 hitting. Turns out he was wearing contac lenses, but no one had ever instructed him how, or even told him that he had to clean the little suckers, and they were all gummed up and encrusted ... like trying to see through a coke bottle.

Is there something to learn in all this?

by Urban Pawnee on May 14, 2007 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Not sure on that one... LOL
actually ...I don't know if any of these guys wears contacts when they play..?...but it sure wouldn't hurt to check them if they do... I swear that Rolen and Albert have fouled off balls right in their wheel house so many times this season.....it drives me crazy!

by Timbo02 on May 14, 2007 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Maybe it's from too much Champagne
after winning the Division, the NLCS, and WS.  Good thing they banned the bubbly from the clubhouse so that won't happen again.
Fan for Life. Go Cards.

by Birds on the Bat on May 14, 2007 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh lucky Birds
 Ok, let's have a little common sense here. The opening month and a half of the season has been a disaster. I'm not an idiot - anyone can see that.
 Everyone knew going in there would be problems with the rotation; this became doubly true after Carpenters injury. What no one saw coming was the total collapse of the offense. The core of this problem is at the heart of the order - Pujols, Rolen and Edmonds.  The rest of the guys are really serviceable parts, and that's been the Cardinal approach for some time now. Those three guys, when they were right, provided an engine that created an offensive synergy.  
 Obviously they are collectively not "right." Each, for various reasons - that you could go nuts trying to figure out, is way, way off their game. What to do?
  First of all, you are not going to see talent like this at AAA or AA.  That's a joke.  And if you think that Mr J can go out and find folks like this on the waiver wire or trade for them, you're smokin' something. Fire Tony?  Duncan would be right behind him - and yeah, no panic there. Christ, get real.
 I say, to hell with the panic.  Enjoy what you can with Looper and Izzy.  Hang on, like a kitten on a screen door, till one, two or all three of those three come out of their collective miasma.  If Rolen and/or Edmonds don't - play some young guys, get creative with some trades and there's always next year.  If Pujols doesn't - well, as they say in Oz, that's a horse of a different color.
  In any case don't worry - be happy, enjoy Cardinal baseball; the glass is half full. - DEWEYDELL

by deweydell on May 14, 2007 2:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Perspective is great
Thanks for that.  I think the hardest part about all of this is the fact that we haven't had to deal with futility for a long time with the Cards current makeup.  But the fact that our proven stars are performing at such an alarmingly poor rate makes me personally have a more difficult time accepting the current state of affairs.  
If we were Royals or Devil Rays fans, there would be expectations that our team most likely will tank.  But Albert is arguably if not the best, the second best player in baseball the past 5 years.  Rolen, all-star and gold glover.  Our top tier talent is not holding their own and that pisses people off.  

by Mrthe2th on May 14, 2007 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree
We could have a much worse record considering how we have played.  With any one of the big three breaking out of their slump and continued good pitching, we'll play .500 ball.  If all three come back to form, we'll put up some good numbers in 2nd half.  My biggest concern is the Kip Wells effect -- the pitchers just throw in the towel.  But he's a Pirate -- he doesn't have the mental toughness.  The rest seem to be handling it well.  

I think the issue could be Rolen, though.  He has never forgiven LaRussa for benching him and he's taking the team down with him. I think Edmunds was talking about Scotty.   If that's the case, then he needs to go -- can't let it metastasize.  Wouldn't be the first time LaRussa couldn't handle the ego of a star player.  

At any rate, it's been a great run and if this is the start of a restructuring then I'm happy to start with Carp, Mulder, Looper, Reyes and Wainwright next year and a new starting 7 plus Pujols.

by The Duke on May 14, 2007 9:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hitting coach does have things to do...
Regarding the comments that a hitting coach can't do much is the same as saying a pitching coach can't do anything.  

Plus, when you have people watching games on TV that can point out flaws in the mechanics of players, then I think the hitting coach -- with the illustrated aid of the incredible video review equipment at Busch III -- should be able to do the same.

by sgfcards on May 14, 2007 2:34 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

"incredible video review equipment"
What do you mean? Do they have some state-of-the-art equipment that other stadiums do not? If so, maybe they should get their money back and go back to the less-than-incredible video equipment. Sorry...couldn't resist.

More to your point though-
I don't know if I agree with your hitting coach = pitching coach theory. You never really hear about a hitting coach "working wonders" with a guy or "successfully reviving a reclamation project." Maybe it's because we have a highly regarded pitching coach but their respective roles aren't publicized to the same degree, which makes it seem like the hitting coach has a smaller role.

So you're saying that the "hitting coach does have things to do"....okay then. So is it that Hal isn't doing those things?

by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 2:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kevin Long
Read this article about a hitting coach that appears to have turned around some batters.

I don't put any blame on Hal McRae for the batting problems, though. The core of the lineup that's so far been doing next to nothing are all better hitters than Hal could ever have dreamed of being. They see the video, they know what they're doing wrong. They'll come around eventually.

We should feel fortunate that we're not much, much further back as we come to the quarter-pole having played without our ace and with our stud hitters performing at half their career production rates.

by liam on May 14, 2007 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Springfield already done for the day
They lose 4-3 to Arkansas. Rasmus goes 1-4 with a HR, Anderson 1-3 with a double and a BB, Jaime Garcia goes 5 innings, 4 earned runs, 7 hits, 2 BBs, 3 Ks, and a HR.

by mikedallas23 on May 14, 2007 2:49 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Hal McRae
Anyone who thinks that the current horrific state of the Cardinals' offense is the fault of Hal McRae is absolutely misguided.  These are major league hitters, and good ones at that.  Talent is not destroyed by poor coaching.  That being said, I think that bringing in a new hitting coach may be a very good idea.  

Maybe a new pair of eyes, or someone with a different idea of how to go about things is the only thing that's going to get this ship pointed in the right direction.  The point of a hitting coach is to give hitters outside input into what may be going on with their swings.  If your current coach isn't coming up with answers, someone with a fresh outlook could be the answer.  

It might shake up the hitters, it might not.  But this team needs to be shaken up, badly.  The coach of the worst part of the team seems like the place to start.  I feel for McRae, just like I feel for any coach who loses his job whenever the players stop performing.  He didn't cause the problem, but he's losing his job as part of the attempted solution.  However, that's part of the deal you sign up for.  

Acquire Rocco Baldelli!

by the red baron on May 14, 2007 2:52 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Walker?
Wasn't there a report a few days ago about Larry Walker signing on as a special instructor or something?

"These are major league hitters, and good ones at that.  Talent is not destroyed by poor coaching."

That was my original point about "What does the hitting coach do anyway". And I think your take is right-on about bringing in someone else, even though I think his (or "her" in the spirit of equal opportunity) role is relatively minor in the larger scheme of things.

Basically, if something is extremely bad in one area, then the person in charge of said area should probably take some heat and if that means losing his job, so be it.

by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 3:00 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

IMO...
I think Walker was there to help lighten the mood.

He gets along with everyone he talks to, he jokes, he lightens the air - I think it was an attempt to pull the guys out of the funk they're in - get 'em to relax, to laugh a bit, and maybe that in turn would cause them to relax at the plate, and thus, produce a little better.  

Or I could be completely off base.... Just my thoughts.

Duncan 4 Cleanup

by SmashedAtoms on May 14, 2007 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

You contradict yourself
Anyone who thinks that the current horrific state of the Cardinals' offense is the fault of Hal McRae is absolutely misguided.

[...]

The point of a hitting coach is to give hitters outside input into what may be going on with their swings.  If your current coach isn't coming up with answers, someone with a fresh outlook could be the answer.  

Hal McRae's job is to be the 'fail safe' against 200 AB slumps for a hitter.  He is supposed to work with them to find what the flaw is in their current approach and fix it.  A major league hitting coach is like a golf 'swing coach'.  If their current method has stopped working or they aren't getting the results they want, then give them an alternative.

The 'keep chopping wood' approach this team apparently has at the plate isn't working.  Edmonds has changed his swing over the past week, and has seen better results.  Pujols nor Rolen have made any significant changes.

If Pujols isn't able to catch up to high fastballs, then he should go back to standing up taller.  DON'T have him move his hands down, or else he will have more pop ups.  Have him stand up taller and swing down on the ball or through it.

Something I have noticed as that since the Milwaukee series, Chris Duncan has picked up a 'tick'.  Maybe I had never noticed it before, but he is using his front foot as a 'timer' moving it before the pitch reaches the plate.  I hadn't ever noticed this before.  If it is something new, perhaps it explains his current 1 for 20 or so stretch.

Hal McRae's job is to make sure these massive slumps don't happen.  Much like Tony's job is to make sure the team doesn't lose/puts them in the best position to win.  Hal McRae isn't doing his job.

If Tony LaRussa currently had the team winning at a .185 - .225 percentage, he'd be fired.  That is what is McRae's 'winning percentage' is right now.

Walk your dog, not Pujols.

by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

you had me until the last paragraph
If the Cards had a team batting average of .290, McRae would be the toast of the board.

If the team had a .290 winning percentage, TLR would be toast

by tdawg on May 14, 2007 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

29th in the league in hitting
is the equivelant of a .290 winning percentage.
Walk your dog, not Pujols.

by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually
There is no contradiction in what I said.  Hal McRae isn't causing these guys to take bad at bats.  I somehow doubt that he's instructing hitters to take fat fastballs and swing at sliders eight inches off the plate.  

My point is that McRae isn't causing the problems.  However, he doesn't seem to be doing much to work through the current offensive difficulties.  So, I think new blood may be in order.  Is McRae causing the problems?  No.  Is the solution to bring someone else in?  I think it may be.  Just bevause someone isn't actively contributing to the problem doesn't mean a change wouldn't help.  

Acquire Rocco Baldelli!

by the red baron on May 14, 2007 5:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Picking UP
Looks like the cardinals are picking up right where they left off towards the end of the 2006 regular season.  If you ignore the lucky as hell playoffs, we have sucked hard for awhile.  Pitching - none.  Batting - even worse.  How about making some blockbuster trades Jockstrappity? I'm willing to lose a number of different players on this team for an ace that has more than one year of experience.
Church of Alberto

by barefootpirate on May 14, 2007 3:07 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

A few of you have mentioned this
I can't even look at this team's box scores anymore.  It's heartbreaking to watch Albert strike out, or ground out to the shortstop...anyway, per baseball-reference, the Cardinals have a team OPS+ of 71 right now; they're slugging .323, and getting on base 30.3% of the time.  They have been caught stealing 9 times (out of 19 attempts).  Their Pythagorean record is 12-23.  

In short, aging + injuries = an out making juggernaut.  I don't know how much we can take from generic comments like "your goal is to take good at-bats, regardless of the outcome."  Rolen has never been one to say "my goal is to knock the hell out of any good pitch I see."  However, a little fire would be nice to see from a guy who isn't hitting.  

by jdub176 on May 14, 2007 3:24 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Rumor in Bernie's pressbox
Bernie himself posted a question: should we trade Rolen to L.A. for Betiment and either Kemp or Ethier?  He says that he has "nothing concrete" on this rumor, but my guess is that there has to be something being considered for him to actually post a trade rumor.

Sad as it is to say it, I actually think that, if this is a real possibility, we should pull the trigger.

P.S. Please don't ask why I am looking at the Post-Dispatch boards, especially since I am officially "on a conference call"

by tdawg on May 14, 2007 3:32 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I live in L.A...
and I think any and all of those guys would be available from the Dodgers...LaRoche has pretty well been given the 3rd base job, and I know that the press has been all over Betiment for his lack of being able to hit consistantly.  But if we are going to move Scott Rolen...I want all THREE of those guys...I don't care how he's playing right now..the guy is a 7 time Gold Glove and I don't move him unless it's a deal that absolutley improves our ballclub. And I'm not so sure Betiment does that at 3rd.

by Timbo02 on May 14, 2007 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

you answered your own question ...
... you were on the P-D boards because you were on a conference call.  

As for the trade idea, I'm intrigued, almost as much by Bernie's posting it as anything. We'd gain badly needed youth and a good OF bat.

One downside: Much as we need production from the OF now, longer term, that's probably not one of the biggest needs.  I might take my chances in 2010 with Duncan, Rasmus and some combination of Ankiel, Jay, Mather and Julio Franco as a free-agent acquisition. It's the infield where the cupboard is truly bare.

by DCGreg on May 14, 2007 3:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Julio Franco?
There's no way you meant to type THE Julio Franco for an outfield spot, right? I mean, that dude is gonna be like 50-some years old in 2010......

Seriously.

by goodymobb on May 14, 2007 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

He should
be just hitting his prime about then.

by DCGreg on May 14, 2007 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm not sure why
anyone would pull a trade for rolen right now? Would it be a DK change of scenery trade? Like if we get this guy he may return to old form all he needs to do is leave STL? I don't buy into that, I'd be all for getting those younger guys, but I still like Scotty struggling or not he's still a heck of a Defensive 3b
now not only a clever saying, but a team that plays in STL

by punchinjudy on May 14, 2007 4:05 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Erik's interview with Booher
Joe Mather's been moved permanently to first base.

by liam on May 14, 2007 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

point taken
I guess we'll have to sign Franco after all.

by DCGreg on May 14, 2007 4:32 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sure, they are younger
but I doubt very much that those 3 make this team better.  Unless Scott Rolen is going to be this inept for the rest of his contract, what does acquiring those 3 (any combo) do for the Cardinals?  Cut payroll?  They aren't going to go after a 'big name' free agent.

The only way those 3 help the Cardinals is if they are repackaged in a deal for Cabrera or someone like that.

Ethier is 25 and really hasn't shown that he is anything better than a 4th outfielder.  He has never exhibited much power.

Betemit is also 25 and is even worse.  In his 2000+ minor league ABs he batted .279 with 56 HRs.  He's very bad defensively and honestly would hopefully be a backup for this team and Scott Spiezio would get the start.

Kemp could be a decent CF in the future, however he is 23 years old.  He would be blocking Colby Rasmus in the very near future, certainly when he reaches his prime seasons.  Kemps major asset is his speed but a major concern is his strikeouts.

I dunno, I would hope that for Scott Rolen we could get a slightly better deal than this.

I hope Walt doesn't panic and pull the trigger on this.

Walk your dog, not Pujols.

by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

agree
that Kemp would be the better pick, but I think you sell Ethier a little short. Career minor league OBP of .385.  And I'd stick the word "only" before his age. He's not at his prime yet. Seems like a starter to me -- undoubtedly a better offensive weapon that our current RF.

The more I think about this proposal, the more it sounds like something the team might consider when closer to the trading deadline, assuming the Cards are sellers.  It doesn't help much, if any, now but might strengthen the team for future years.

by DCGreg on May 14, 2007 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

But really,
are we hoping to improve our RF position by trading for a 25 year old 'decent' prospect?  I mean, we are the Athletics nor the Twins.  The Cardinals don't have to over-pinch the penny to get production at a spot, they just have to not be stupid about it.

The Cardinals, according to Ken Rosenthal, are one of the teams that have expressed interest in Torii Hunter.  

Torii Hunter, Jermaine Dye, Ichiro, Bobby Abreu, Eric Byrnes, Andruw Jones, Mike Cameron, and Adam Dunn would give you more offensive production in RF over the next 3 to 4 years than Ethier more than likely would.

If I was looking at a Cardinals lineup for 2008 and 2009, I'd rather have Scott Rolen in the lineup than Ethier or Betemit.

Rolen's having a terrible year right now, no doubt, but his defense on the leftside of the infield has helped protect our pitching staff and our weakarmed, minature shortstop.  With no viable SS on the market this off-season, Rolen's defense is even more important.

From my personal view point, aside from comparing players in this trade, if the Cardinals dumped Scott Rolen this season, I don't know that I would be to interested in watching the rest of how this one plays out.

The deal must be under consideration or a Cardinals beat writer wouldn't so cryptically put it out there like this.

Walk your dog, not Pujols.

by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Furthermore,
where is the damage going to come from?

If you put Kemp in the OF, where is the damage going to come from?

Not 2B
Not SS (isn't much out there)
Not 3B (unless Miggy is coming to STL)
Not C
Not P
Not OF (in Kemps spot)

Maybe you replace Edmonds in CF with a damage bat.  1B will have plenty of it in Pujols.  Even LF might continue to have it in Duncan.  However, we would be filling positions with players that would give us 'less' than before.

Of course, if Rolen keeps hitting like this, anything is an improvement offensively.  

If Rolen is traded for these 3, it's a major change in philosophy.  Instead of the 'All-Stars' or such at every position (2004), it becomes more of putting average, generally productive players at most positions and hoping Pujols carries the load.

Walk your dog, not Pujols.

by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

you mean
like this yr? Ok they have big names but no production. I agree with the post abotu all the names being better options and keeping Rolen. However I really doubt any of those guys land in Stl...or maybe the least talented. The market will get super crazy and they will sit tight.

Sitting tight is the new motto,blended with Albert will carry us. It works most of the time specially with the Pitching, not sure how the missed bats have faired...Kennedy seems to be coming aorund at lead off so we'll see

now not only a clever saying, but a team that plays in STL

by punchinjudy on May 14, 2007 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn't
make the trade for Ethier and Betemit. I just thought you were selling Ethier short.  Betemit and Kemp is a closer call. Kemp's got some great numbers for a guy so young (22). Duncan, Rasmus, Kemp sounds to me like a great outfield that would free up a lot of money to spend elsewhere.

The big question in all this is whether Rolen is past prime. I tend to think he'll be back to his 2005 level, though we'll never see another 2004 out of him.

by DCGreg on May 14, 2007 4:50 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

by that I mean
back to his 2006 level, not 2005.

by DCGreg on May 14, 2007 5:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Kemp
I think some people on here are selling Kemp short - he projects to be a .290, 25 HR guy according to PECOTA. If there was a real offer of Kemp + Betemit for Rolen I think Walt would jump on it in a heartbeat (if Rolen would let his no-trade be bought out). Rolen is 32 years old and projected to be slightly better than his contract value over the next 4 years before the season started (again according to PECOTA). After his awful start, if there were such thing as a mid-season PECOTA run right now it would probably project him to be about fair value for the remainder of his contract.
     Getting a decent placeholder at 3B in Betemit (during his arb years) plus a stud OF prospect in Kemp that is ready to play every day right now would be a steal in my book. If you didn't like Betemit you could overpay a Lowell with the Rolen savings and still come out ahead production-wise. I doubt the Dodgers would do this but Coletti has shown a willingness to overvalue vets over prospects in the past so who knows.

by mikedallas23 on May 14, 2007 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree
Kemp may not be quite ready, but he is a top OF prospect.

by tdawg on May 14, 2007 4:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

If you did midseason PECOTA on
Betemit, I'd imagine his value would roughly be worth a brand new 5 gallon bucket full of David's Sunflower Seeds.

Ok, perhaps that is overstating it a bit, but that is the problem with using the 6 week sample size.  In Rolen's case, he has the body of work, playing injured and playing healthy, that gives him more of a ceiling.  Betemit potentially could be a decent player at some point.  But over the next 4 years, will he really outplay Scott Rolen?  Is he what you want for a starting 3B in the year 2012?

He is hitting .164 with an OPS+ of 65.  

I really hope Bernie is just trying to stir the pot today and that this isn't an indication of a potential move.

Walk your dog, not Pujols.

by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 5:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Betamet
Betamet would just be a throw-in, a guy who you could stick at 3B until an upgrade could be found with all of the Rolen money that you just saved. Kemp would be the real prize, he projected to provide more offensive value over Scott over the next 4 years even before Scott's horrible start to this year. I love Rolen as much as the next guy and would be sorry to see him go, but 2004 Scott Rolen is dead and he's not coming back. About the most you can hope for is a repeat of last year's numbers, and with each passing day that is looking less and less likely.

by mikedallas23 on May 14, 2007 5:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oops
My 2004 Scott Rolen sentence isn't a very good choice of words given recent events, sorry about that.

by mikedallas23 on May 14, 2007 5:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

at what point
are we simply talking about deck chairs on the titanic?

i don't think this season is of titanic proportions...yet, but the encrapcion signing is exactly what we get when we pull the trigger on deals that might make the team slightly better under the right conditions.  

there's something to be said for potentially getting some value for rolen if we've now seen his offensive zenith.  i'm not willing to believe that both he and pujols won't come around.  edmonds otoh - toast.

let's remember, the nl champion 2005 houston astros were 9-13 at the end of april and 19-32 a the end of may.  they were outscored during that 2 month period to the tune of 229 - 182.  while they had the advantage of one roger clemens' arrival, their offense was nearly as inept as ours currently is.  that included ensberg, berkman and biggio.  part of what they did was simply wait through some strong players extended slumps.  we need to do the same.

if they can pull the trigger on a tejada, a hunter, a a. jones, i'd take it, but betemit or ethier - how do they make this team better than it is right now, or will be?

by sdesserman on May 14, 2007 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think Kemp would be the key to the deal
It may well be that, beginning next year or so, he is a more productive player than Rolen. They would also have upwards of $40 million to spend on one of the impact players you mention. Betemit would be a throw-in and a place-holder at 3B.

This is a strange way for us to communicate.  Pandemonium is running wild!

by tdawg on May 14, 2007 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ideal trade....
With our anemic offense it takes the talks of a trade to intrigue me(how unfortunate)...

Rolen being my favorite player on the team it pains me to even suggest this. I would love to find a contending team that is on the "brink", and send Rolen their way in exchange for enough pieces(combined with what we have) to pry Miggy out of Florida. Okay that is about as likely as this team making a playoff run, but hey you never know.

"Forget about the curveball Ricky...Give him the heater!!"

by BleacherBum on May 14, 2007 4:01 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Rolen
would have to approve.  He's a midwesterner -- would he go for a move to LA?

by awpierce on May 14, 2007 4:02 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

call it what you will . . .
"fire", "heart", "anger", "calling-out". . .
it all amounts to the same thing -- "attitude."

At the present the team's attitude sucks.  They have no goal, no target.

We currently have a team whose focus is on what we DON'T have(Carpenter, Mulder, a strong rotation, youth, strong farm system, etc.)or what we've LOST (Hancock, Suppan, yes, even Marquis -- in his current incarnation) rather than on what we DO have -- experience (both playing and coaching)
and a solid fan base.

The desire for improvement in individual performance as a focus cannot be transferred from one player to another.  There has to be a TEAM DREAM as it were -- ala Jim Edmonds standing on a chair giving out game balls in the playoffs.  Now, THAT was a dream!  

No coach in the world can help a player who doesn't want to hear about it.  It is quite possible that we have some egos who might very well be thinking "Hey, whose making the double digit million dollar salary here?"

Benching a guy for non-performance MIGHT work if they lose some pocket money each time it happens.

Let's be honest, folks, if we humble fans can watch these at bats and can INSTANTLY see what these guys are doing wrong, can we realistically say that the professional guru's haven't seen it also AND COMMUNICATED THAT to the players???

Can these guys have come this far and accomplished what they have done and NOT KNOW what they need to do????

There's an exercise I use when I work with groups in leadership development:

Five frogs are sitting on a log.  In the distance they see a swarm of flies.  Four frogs decide to jump off the log and swim over to the flies.  How many frogs are left on the log?

The answer:  Five, because there's a big difference in DECIDING to do something and actually DOING it.

Just some thoughts.

"It ain't bragging if you can do it!" -- Dizzy Dean

by faninexile on May 14, 2007 4:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Frogs
How do you suggest we get our frogs off the log?
How about handin' me another helpin' of those mashed taters...thank you very much!

by Elvis on May 14, 2007 4:33 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Bigger Flies
Fan for Life. Go Cards.

by Birds on the Bat on May 14, 2007 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

got me there
what motivates ball players?

Team image?  Personal stats?  Bonus packages?
Accomplishment incentives?

Usually if one can to appeal to another's self-interest some kind of deal can be worked out.

I'm not suggesting offering more money IF they improve (I'm not THAT naive), but simply having a "good at bat" is not how a championship professional approaches a task.

"It ain't bragging if you can do it!" -- Dizzy Dean

by faninexile on May 14, 2007 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

got an idea
BIG MEETING OF ALL OF THE PLAYERS

Go around to each player and ask them to answer this question to the rest of the team:

"Why aren't you (the individual player) playing better (pitching, batting, fielding, etc.)?"

It might be embarrassing enough for them to actually  say it out loud (and hear themselves say it) that they might actually do something about it.

I like this question better than the "How can we help you play better?"

Who knows?  It might work.

"It ain't bragging if you can do it!" -- Dizzy Dean

by faninexile on May 14, 2007 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

5/14 Cardinals vs Dodgers win expectancy
In a battle of two teams that are having trouble hitting home runs, the Cardinals will face the Dodgers and their red-hot pitching staff today.  DodgerSims blog gives the Dodgers a win probability of 59.1%  The simulation takes 2007 ZIPS projections as input and plays 2000 simulated games between two teams.  The margin of error is less than 2% and the simulator has a very good track record.  The simulator is a hand-written baseball simulator with built in management algorithms for when to steal, bunt, pinch-hit, change pitchers etc...
vr, Xei

by Xeifrank on May 14, 2007 4:36 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

"Red-Hot Pitching"
I don't think anybody ever accussed Tomko of that.  But while the Dodgers are giving up almost 1 run a game less than the Cards, they are also scoring nearly 2 runs a game more.  If you stake them to a three run lead before the first pitch, their Win Probability ought to be a lot higher than 59.1%

Almost makes you think the Card's shouldn't even show up.....oh wait, that's what they've been doing.

Fan for Life. Go Cards.

by Birds on the Bat on May 14, 2007 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

wow...
not to play the Devil's Advocate, or the voice of reason, or any other label you might think of...

But we're only 6 weeks into the season, folks.  We've still got 9 weeks to go to just get to the All-Star Break, and another 3 after that until the trading deadline (after which follows another 2 months til the end of the season).  Point being, there's a lot of baseball left to play.  

Doing the math above, that gives us 2 and a half months to make a trade - IF there's one out there that could help us.  (Can someone explain to me why we'd want Betemit if the reason he's being traded is because of his .164 avg?  I don't see this exactly helping our offensive output.)

Here's the bottom line - Our offense needs help - a spark, calling out... whatever you want to call it, we need it.  That's the truth.  And I'll agree, it is getting old, as are the retread comments they make to the paper.  However, I still think it's too early to write this season off, or start calling for firings or for trades that don't make any sense.  

Personally, if we're still playing like this in another month (Flag Day, June 14th), then I'll take notice, and if we're still playing like this at the All-Star Break, I'll be officially worried.  

And no, this post was not made under the influence of Kool-Aid.  I just think it's too early to make any decisions... especially rash ones.

Duncan 4 Cleanup

by SmashedAtoms on May 14, 2007 4:38 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

yeah
It's still pretty early, but with every passing game, the sample size increases and becomes more legit.  

If Pujols were on his game, we'd all be a lot calmer.  Hopefully, that comes soon.  

by jdub176 on May 14, 2007 4:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bernie posed an interesting question...
today in his forum

"Rolen to LA

for:

3B Wilson Betiment and one of two OFs: Matt Kemp or Andre Ethier.

--B"

http://www.stltoday.com/forums/viewtopic.php?t=456497

I dont know what this REALLY means but it seems certianly odd.

by jealousblues on May 14, 2007 5:44 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

trade
Dodgers/Cards fan. Obviously its tough when they play each other. As far as that trade, you should be drooling over getting Kemp/Betemit for Rolen. Betemit is useless, but Kemp is a 5 tool stud. Im not just saying this as a Dodgers homer, the kid is going to be a star. His patience has improved dramatically within the last year, he has huge power, and he's very fast---could easily steal 20-25 bags. He's only 22. He was called up from AA last year and hit 7 HRS in 15 games. He hit a pinch hit HR off of Scott Linebrink (in PETCO of all places) in his second week in the majors. He's back in AAA after making the opening day roster because he bruised his shoulder. Management refused to bring him back up because they're idiots. He's hitting very well in the minors. Obviously im projecting a bit but you would be very happy with that deal. Ethier is solid, especially defensively but Kemp's ceiling is so much higher.

I'm not sure what we are doing with Betemit and if the Dodgers are going to wait on LaRoche or try to trade. I thought for sure Rolen wouldn't be going anywhere w. the no trade clause but who knows. But all I'm saying is if Kemp was the OF in the trade proposed, it'd be an absolute steal. The Dodgers fan part of me thinks that Kemp and Billingsley are the only untouchables in our system... so I doubt that trade goes down. But I hope something goes down to improve the Cards, nontheless.

by westside23 on May 14, 2007 9:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

nm
WAAAAAAAAAAY too late.

by jealousblues on May 14, 2007 5:45 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

If the Rolen trade (or any Rolen trade) goes
through, what would the list be up to of talented players traded away who LaRussa didn't like?
Walk your dog, not Pujols.

by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 6:15 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

gfdgfdf
like who...?

Mike Myers?

I just cant think of anyone else...
IM probibly missing something.  I suppose Tino counts? But he was horrible and never really bounced back

by jealousblues on May 14, 2007 6:42 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Brian Jordan was ok afterward
Was Gallarraga traded away under Torre?  I think so.    

Braden Looper?

Ron Gant?

T.J. Matthews?

by Valatan on May 14, 2007 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

There is a RF that hits drives in 90+
runs a year, but I can't think of his name.
Walk your dog, not Pujols.

by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 7:19 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I dont know if
you have ever worked with a guy who constantly has to take time off of work to go to the dentist, pick up his kids, wait for the plumber at home, make sure the electrician gets in, that the garage door repair guy finishes his work, etc.; but thats who JD is. He has all the talent in the world, but he also always had an excuse for why he wasn't playing.

I wish him nothing but the best in life, but I never want to see him in a cards uniform again. I've had friends play A, AA ball that would fucking kill for shot, just a single shot, at playing in the show. Some people treat it like it's their birthright.

But, yeah, he's talented.

Everybody off the bandwagon!

by Alxfritz on May 14, 2007 7:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

and got hurt
alot, and brought us Bipolar betty and AW..im ok with that trade...oh and we got eli back too jk
now not only a clever saying, but a team that plays in STL

by punchinjudy on May 14, 2007 7:28 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Ray King
came for Drew and was talented and hated Tony - we got Miles and Bigbie for him right.

So J.D. Drew got us Marquis, Ray King, Wainwright - which translates into Wainwright and Miles.

Considering Drew totally screwed the Dodgers I don't think we would have been able to hold Drew for long.

by enoscountry on May 14, 2007 7:34 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Shake up the OF for a day.
If Wells and Wainwright would be willing to play LF and RF for a day, I would say try it.  They are #1 and #3 in OPS on this team.

Perhaps that would be the wake up call the "every day players" need.

by DriverZn on May 14, 2007 6:28 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I would love to see
the headlines if he did something like that.  Stick Looper at short while he's at it...
Lutvig walks amongst us!!! (now to free j-rod...)

by SleepyCA on May 14, 2007 6:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

For what it's worth.
Baseball Prospectus.com has its new Top 25 Prospects list out and have placed Colby Rasmus at 19 (up from 23).

Link

by Big Red on May 14, 2007 6:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

heh
I love the note they give for Rasmus.

by jdub176 on May 14, 2007 7:07 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

My bad
I gave credit to the Top 25 to the wrong organization.  

Should have been Project Prospect.com

by Big Red on May 14, 2007 7:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Cubs
It was just reported that Derek Lee was sent home from New York last night to have his neck examined.  

Apparantly, he was left out of yesterday's lineup but negotiated his way back in.  Took one at bat and removed himself from the game.  The initial report was neck spasms.

by Big Red on May 14, 2007 6:40 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Neck spasms
is that like elbow impignment?
Walk your dog, not Pujols.

by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 7:03 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

he couldn't run to first
according to Ron and Pat on the radio he looked really bad.

by enoscountry on May 14, 2007 7:09 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Marquis
Cubs/Mets on ESPN tonite and caught Rick Sutcliffe talking about how Larry Rothschild apparently corrected Marquis' mechanics and told him to stop throwing his sinker all the time. They claim he's been throwing his four-seamer more and that's led to his recent success. But it always seemed to me that it was when Marquis stopped throwing his sinker that he got into trouble. What is anyone's opinion? I agree that a handful of starts do not a season make, but it's hard to argue against the success he's had. But I also find it hard to believe that Rothschild could fix something that even Mazzone and Duncan couldn't. Or could it be that Marquis has finally "got it"? I still think he'll regress, big time, but I also have a hard time being unbiased in this.

by svengali on May 14, 2007 8:09 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Marquis
It seemed like the trouble would start when he got away from his sinker.  But who can figure out what goes on in his head. He escaped that inning without further damage.  

by cardsgirl95 on May 14, 2007 8:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Marquis just gave up a homer
Dusty Baker's  on the mic for ESPN and likens the situation to what happened to him in the second half of last season. It's sad that this makes me so happy. Maybe a win tonight for our team will leave me in a more forgiving mood.

by effin fisk on May 14, 2007 8:11 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

it starts tonight
we all know that the Cards were 7-0 last year against the Dodgers.  while these are different teams, I'm still looking at this series as an opportunity for a struggling offense to finally get going against a team they should know somewhere deep down they've had a lot of success against.

of course, these could also be considered "revenge factor" games if you wanted to look at it that way.  (yikes.)

Acquire some runs!

by madding on May 14, 2007 8:29 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

just checked the giants page
and their mailbag question was about Lowry getting traded? Didn't read it but if that's true think the birds would make a move...

in another note Morris against woody tonight

now not only a clever saying, but a team that plays in STL

by punchinjudy on May 14, 2007 8:49 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

can Lowry hit?
Acquire some runs!

by madding on May 14, 2007 8:51 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Game thread?
We are about an hour from 1st pitch.
Walk your dog, not Pujols.

by Hardcore Legend on May 14, 2007 8:52 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

tonight's lineup
looks like yesterday's lineup.
Acquire some runs!

by madding on May 14, 2007 9:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Oh the reminders...
I opened MLB.TV's scoreboard to see this.
Somehow I think it is a bad omen for today.

by Zubin on May 14, 2007 9:06 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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