Game 13 Open Thread: April 17, 2007
in the four at-bats that lost the game --- the sacks-jammed outs by schumaker and eckstein in the 7th, and duncan and pujols in the 9th --- the cardinals saw a total of 9 pitches. they swung at 8 of them. that's the definition of an anxious lineup: the more they struggle, the harder they try to make something happen ---- and the harder they suck. i've long been a proponent of aggressive hitting in rbi situations, but there's a difference between aggressive and undisciplined. the former means you go up there looking for a certain pitch in a certain zone and attack it when you see it, even if it's on the first pitch; the latter means you swing at anything close. let's evaluate the 8 pitches at which the cards took their hacks, beginning with the 7th inning:
- schumaker I: slop (changeup?) inside, borderline strike (swing/miss)
- schumaker II: slider down and in, ball (swing/miss)
- schumaker III: fastball, outer half (popped up)
- eckstein I: slider/sinker inside (pulled foul)
- eckstein II: slider on the hands (groundout)
- duncan I: junk in the dirt, ball (swing/miss)
- duncan II: fastball away (popup)
- pujols I: fastball high, ball (take)
- pujols II: fastball on the hands (popup)
at the moment, it doesn't look like he has much of a clue up there.
anthony reyes doesn't have one, either, at least during the first inning; thereafter he's a decent enough pitcher. insofar as both starts came after long layoffs (8 days, in this instance), maybe he deserve a little slack, too. the pitching coach cuts some in this morning's p-d: "Maybe the layoff had an effect on him. I'm sure it wasn't good for him. Get him out there a couple times with a normal routine and we'll see how it goes."
for the 2d consecutive start, reyes' changeup betrayed him. i looked at the game and counted 26 iterations of the pitch, 14 of which missed the strike zone. the change particularly killed reyes in the at-bat that keyed the long first inning --- la roche, hitting with 2 on and 1 out. la roche could do nothing with reyes' fastball --- fouled one off, swung through another, and barely stayed alive with a foul tip on a 3d heater. but reyes interspersed those pitches with three changeups, all out of the zone --- none of them particularly close. after the foul tip, which came on a 3-2 fastball, reyes came back with a changeup right down the middle, and la roche whacked it to right field for a hit. the guy came to the plate hitting .088 and couldn't catch up with the heat; keep it simple, stupid. . . . . the bases-loaded walk to bay came on another 3-2 changeup; the subsequent 2-run single by nady came on a 3-1 change. iron bill's just got no command of that pitch right now --- and without it, he suffers.
give up on the guy if you must; his labors are frustrating to watch. but to reiterate a thought i articulated in last night's game thread: the days of building the team via free agency are over. homegrown talent will determine whether or not the cardinals remain contenders over the next 5 to 10 years. the cardinals need reyes to succeed; he's not there yet, but neither is he a proven failure. not after 108 big-league innings. somebody mentioned haren in the game thread last night, wondering how reyes compares to danny before the trade. interesting comparison:
| GS | IP | H | W | SO | HR | W-L | ERA | WHIP | |||
| haren | 19 | 118.2 | 129 | 39 | 75 | 13 | 6-10 | 4.85 | 1.416 | ||
| reyes | 20 | 108.2 | 101 | 42 | 89 | 19 | 6-11 | 4.80 | 1.316 |
reyes still might amount to something.
the cardinals had no business winning the game, but it's aggravating nonetheless that they didn't convert. after the cards' sweep in pittsburgh last week, i said the cards need to take their wins however they can get them; any time they fail to cash one in, however undeserved, it stings.
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3 quick thoughts (I was at the game).
- Cards are now 0-3 when I go to a game. Opening day, game 3 against the Mets, and last night. Really boring baseball played by the Cards all 3 games. Blame me if you must.
- Reyes is struggling with his off speed stuff. In innings 1 through 3, the Bucs were laughing at them - just taking pitches. They couldn't quite center the fastball, but they sure weren't fooled by Anthony at all - they took some healthy cuts.
- Pujols is still not right. I've never seen bail open on breaking balls like he has this year. I was on the 3B line. His hips are flying open. He's getting fooled by breaking balls. I just don't get it. Something is wrong.
I'm not giving up
I was impressed with his ability to keep a lead-off triple from scoring last night. Additionally, he didn't have his best pitch working and gave up a 3 spot in the first, yet still buckled down and kept us in the game.
Also, I know we lost last night and the first inning was frustrating, but I thought it was still a good game. One run baseball, drama in the 9th, good defense (how about that play by Duncan!?)...the baseball fan in me appreciated it, even if the Cardinal fan didn't. Snell carried a one hitter for a long time. That kid's got some talent.
I agree...
by BigJawnMize on Apr 17, 2007 10:43 AM EDT up reply actions
Well what to say
The real question is whether with current FA values, the practice of trading for veterans and then signing them to below market deals is gone.
- In light of the above, the Cards should remain committed to Reyes, not only because other teams are building around young pitching, but many of those hallmark trades above (think Rolen for Bud Smith, McGwire for TJ, Renteria for Looper) have been built around the organization trading from their established young starters. Reyes is valuable to the organization is too many ways to just let him wither on the vine.
- As for the here and now connected to the above discussion, I continue to beat the drum for another major hitter. The Cards offense is just not deep enough and diverse enough to be highly effective anymore. (I say diverse because in 2004 and 2005 I always thought the large number of free swingers in the lineup (Sanders, Renteria, Edmonds, Rolen) killed the Cards in the post season against strikeout pitchers. Those 2004 and 2005 teams desperately needed someone like Nomar who just makes contact with anything.) Until the Cards through the FA market or through a sign and trade can fill in a new major piece to this offense, the situation won't get any better. It really is that simple.
What designates a free-swinger?
Rolen clearly was early in his MLB career, however he seems to have become more patient since being traded to STL, averaging 92 SO's per season, including the partial year with Philly (2002) and excepting the 2005 season, which was incomplete.
Renteria averaged a little over 70 SO's per season while with the Cardinals.
What's the MLB average for K's per season, assuming a reasonable number of games played?
by player2bnamedl8r on Apr 17, 2007 9:59 AM EDT up reply actions
re trade acquisitions vs free agents
in other words it was dollars, more so than talent, that the cards spent to acquire those players. and that era is over.
in any case, the trade market has normalized now. walt can't exploit other teams' ignorance, because nearly all the organizations are working off similar evaluations --- combinations of scouting and data. hence the relative inactivity on the trade front. even if braden looper turns into the next kent bottenfield, walt probably won't be able to trade him for the next jim edmonds --- because teams will see looper for what he is.
I think young pitching is
For the love of God!!!
He's like a 3rd catcher. There because you never know when you might need him.
Well I know we need a lefty bat every game.
Would we have won that game if J-Rod was sent up instead of Skip? I dont know. He might have hit into a double play and we would all be pissed at him right now. What I do know is he is the better of the two players and he would help us more than Skip.
We have too many who are lesser versions of previous role players.
Be it Wilson the poor mans E. Perez or a really poor mans Sanders. Bennett a poor mans catcher. So a poor copy of an earlier version of So. And Skip a poor man's version of a major leaguer.
As for Pujols...are we sure that Wilfredo didn't kidnap his cousin, have his face switched and is taking his place? I'm going with that.
Just watching his at-bats
Skip's AB was ugly last night
The first one, Preston pinch-hit for Reyes in the 6th. That was a righty/righty matchup. P-Dogg struck out. Shocking.
Then, of course, mighty Skip's epic 3 pitch battle in the bottom of the 7th. We were down 3-1, 1 out, bases juiced. He swung and missed twice, then hit the feeble can o'corn. Skip just doesn't look ready to take big AB's at this level. You HAVE to get a run home in that situation. I'm getting ill just thinking about it.
The Buccos were in the same situation twice and did not produce. That is why the Cards were even in the game at all in the 7th.
Mediocre display of baseball last night by both teams, besides Ian Snell's pitching.
Wilson and Schumaker
I think I could strike out Wilson right now, just keep the ball away and in the dirt, he'll swing at all 3.
Skip is lost, completely lost.
Can they let Adam pinch hit?
by redbird2006in on Apr 17, 2007 10:26 AM EDT up reply actions
John Rodriguez
I guess
Preston pinch hit for Reyes in bottom 5..
J-Rod to Date
Player POS G AB R H
John Rodriguez OF 8 24 4 6
2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO
2 0 1 2 11 6 6
SB CS OBP SLG AVG OPS E
0 0 .419 .458 .250 .878 0
by Titus Pullo on Apr 17, 2007 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions
Reyes and the change up/fastball
But was Reyes shaking YAdi off in the 1st against LaRoche when he was throwing the change instead of the fastball he couldn't handle?
I'm wondering if it is Reyes being stubborn, or if it is a faulty game plan and pitch selection in pre-game preparation, coupled with adjustments being made.
If that is the case, I would fault Reyes with execution (throwing the change right down the pipe), but I would fault Yadi in his game-calling as well.
This is a great question
i don't recall seeing him
if that was, in fact, the plan agreed upon pre-game, then they probably felt they needed to establish the changeup in that situation. it was still early in the game (only the 4th batter). but with hindsight, you do wonder why they didn't keep challenging la roche with heat.
In the interest of fairness
by Futility Infielder on Apr 17, 2007 10:06 AM EDT reply actions
It was a nice catch but in all fairness to
Good point
by Futility Infielder on Apr 17, 2007 11:13 AM EDT up reply actions
I disagree - it was a great catch for anyone.
One of the best catches I've seen this year.
Watching Dunc in the OF will always
by MdRedbirdFreak on Apr 17, 2007 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions
Poo's 9th inning pop-up
To me it is clear his bat speed is down. Even looking at the homers this weekend off Milwaukee, his bat (and wrists especially) don't have the snap they did only a year ago. I think he is getting folled on change ups simply because with decreased bat speed he can't wait on the pitch as long to read it.
Has anyone sync'ed up video on 'Poo? I'd love to see a comparison of him this past week (even the sunday homers, versus his swing last year at this time.
i don't know how to sync up the video
i'm with you, zubin. his swing looks slow --- at least, it did on the last AB last night. i have to wonder if it's his oblique.
I would
Albert has hit through many injuries
I still disagree
http://mlb.mlb.com/team/player_media.jsp?player_id=405395
Really, take a look at his 4.15.07 HR...that side shot? That's a slow bat??? That's a Ben Sheets fastball turned around in a hurry. Granted it's belt high, but that's not the issue. His bat explodes through the zone same as ever.
Maybe...
Could be that he's starting his swing sooner in an attempt to generate adequate bat speed. He's getting fooled a lot.
are last year's games availible on mlb.tv?
you can watch them
I have no idea how you'd go about recording them to your hard drive and editing them. There's an option to buy them for $3.95 each but I doubt if you'd want to do that...
Getting them on the HD to edit is easy enough
Reyes' changeup
reyes showed some toughness
im looking forward reyes' next start on hopefully normal rest. reyes and wrainwright in the rotation is one of my favorite subplots this season. if both work out, like lboros said, that would be great for the organization in the longterm.
wow, if albert was hitting like last april we could be running away with the division, we have pitched remarkably well.
could be worse, i guess.
by Rentboy on Apr 17, 2007 10:14 AM EDT reply actions
Thanks
Thanks to all.
Jason Schmidt
Imagine if the Cardinals had signed Schmidt this offseason . . . man would the sky be falling if Carp was on the dl, Schmidt was getting an MRI, and AP was below the Mendoza line . . .
by SprfldCards on Apr 17, 2007 11:02 AM EDT reply actions
Juancion
---------
Cardinals outfielder Juan Encarnacion is expected to play in an extended-spring training game by the end of this week and could begin his rehab assignment shortly after that, a club official said Monday. Manager Tony La Russa described Encarnacion's wrist as "making some progress" down at the Cardinals' facility in Jupiter, Fla.
---------
by mikedallas23 @ Viva El Birdos on Apr 17, 2007 12:10 PM EDT reply actions
I'd be shocked to see Jimmy play today
I could be wrong, though.
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 17, 2007 12:39 PM EDT reply actions
Nope
by mikedallas23 @ Viva El Birdos on Apr 17, 2007 12:47 PM EDT up reply actions
Did anyone else notice
Said Pujols of Torres -- "He made two good pitches against me and (Chris Duncan), the best two pitches of the night."
This was definitely one circumstance where the Cards lost (at least in the 9th) due to poor hitting rather than good pitching. I'll give a pass to Duncan -- he's younger and, though he should've gotten a run home, he's been our only consistently productive offensive player. Pujols should've at least seen a good pitch to hit and hit it hard.
"Damage" from the 2-hole
PITTSBURGH Starting Lineup --
C DUFFY CF
J WILSON SS
J BAY CF
A LAROCHE 1B
X NADY 1B
R PAULINO C
J BAUTISTA 3B
J CASTILLO 3B
T GORZELANNY P
ST. LOUIS Starting Lineup --
D ECKSTEIN SS
S TAGUCHI CF
A PUJOLS 1B
S ROLEN 3B
P WILSON LF
J EDMONDS CF
G BENNETT C
A MILES 2B
A WAINWRIGHT P
It's...
This is LaRussa...
Here's an idea: if you're having trouble scoring runs, trot out your best lineup.
Totally agree
Doh!
by mikedallas23 @ Viva El Birdos on Apr 17, 2007 1:15 PM EDT reply actions
don't you think
no excuse for sitting duncan. this season is rapidly making me very bitter.
by jojo5492 on Apr 17, 2007 1:15 PM EDT reply actions
Wow
by mikedallas23 @ Viva El Birdos on Apr 17, 2007 1:17 PM EDT reply actions
my guess is that
you are correct sir
well
by jojo5492 on Apr 17, 2007 1:22 PM EDT reply actions
The defense...
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 17, 2007 1:23 PM EDT reply actions
duh...
/end sarcasm
by longhornscardinals on Apr 17, 2007 1:27 PM EDT up reply actions
stake them to a two run lead
by longhornscardinals on Apr 17, 2007 1:23 PM EDT reply actions
I don't kno
eck's ops is awful
Pujols
I believe
Kinda looked like Pu might have been jammed, but he still hit it pretty hard. Looked like he was trying to put it through the hole vacated by the second baseman.
well that is just effing heartbreaking
Wilson takes 4 pitches in a row
Wait, heh, I got it... none of those were low and away.
by redbird2006in on Apr 17, 2007 1:39 PM EDT reply actions
Fortunately
For the record
Thank you Al Hrabosky
Not enough beer in the world.
....LaRoche...?
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 17, 2007 1:54 PM EDT reply actions
Unfortunately
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 17, 2007 2:11 PM EDT up reply actions
Golden vs. Step-child
I don't get it. Why isn't everyone ready to lynch Wainer today?
Fantastic point
by wrv18 on Apr 17, 2007 2:02 PM EDT up reply actions
Wainwright is
Reyes, on the other hand, is a Southern California rebel. His high socks and flat brim stand out. He listens to hard music and likes to party.
One closed out the world series with a bang, the other started it. It's a shame these guys aren't given the same opportunity to have regular starts as well as job security.
Better and more humble
Better
Both are very good pitchers, but Wainwright's further along. I could see an argument for sending Reyes down for more seasoning, not for WW.
Anyone know Bennett's Catcher's ERA
5-0 hole....
And I thought the CUBS were bad at home!?!
Anyhow, I watched Marquis pitch/hit like Superman last night ... striking guys out, slamming the ball off the wall, sliding home with another run, pitching six complete!
Sadly, that's what passed for a Cardinal Buzz for me last nite, cuz there was nothing going on at Busch.
Might as well see
lead-off man on...
thank goodness we have our best/hottest hitter up right now in the form of baby dunc.
doh....
wait...my bad. it's so tags.
dammit.
right on cue, so.....
by busch league on Apr 17, 2007 2:16 PM EDT up reply actions
it's sad
That fly out by APU
Please can we get one hitter who can hit lefties
But, as a pitcher, see it through his eyes...
Get some hits, boys.
thanks, man. we needed that.
this is going to be another scoreless inning for us.
by busch league on Apr 17, 2007 2:28 PM EDT up reply actions
So far, this performance at home ...
Our high-powered offense....
adam
I've been having these stranges urges
by Jonathan23 on Apr 17, 2007 2:44 PM EDT reply actions
funny
btw you can get around the ads if you use mozilla and the "mediaplayerconnectivity" extension with mplayer instead of microsoft media player. Instead of an ad you get an annoying pop-up error message.
cool
by Jonathan23 on Apr 17, 2007 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions
I remember that
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 17, 2007 3:42 PM EDT up reply actions
Why on earth
That's supposed to be hit
Ok, it's time to begin my season..
Anyone on here remember the comments about that "Edwards" guy we had in CF against the Mets in the NLCS?
I laughted for a while on that one.
Can we now make a defensive substitution for
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 17, 2007 2:53 PM EDT reply actions
Skip better now than later
Why not leave Tyler in
See how he does against some righties, for gosh sake...
fun with words....
so rather than baby dunc....say it ain't SO, tony. say it ain't SO.
SO....anyone think he can hit into 3 double plays in 1 game????
it sucks to be SO-ber right now.
aristocrats or the SO-phisticats. either way, that's a damn funny joke.
i love me some of that hall & oats...say it isn't SO...it isn't SO-A-OOOO....
as my wife likes to say....he is SO not taguchi. (you have to imagine her doing the "snooty rich girl" voice.)
hurts SO good? that john (cougar) mellencamp is full of shit, man.
The problem with this bench (among others)
So, today, the bench consists of:
Spiezio - S
Duncan - L
Skip - L
Kennedy - L
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 17, 2007 3:06 PM EDT reply actions
You are
If So gets a Looper over the infield, it would give us a Reyes of hope. I mean the offense will wax and Wain,right? The game just keeps Rolen along.
I know they are young and talented
This one is on...
Power outage in busch stadium
Home Runs by players not named Duncan or Pujols: 1
They lead the world in hitting into double plays, 18 so far this year.
So to sum up the offense, no power, no speed, low batting average.
by redbird2006in on Apr 17, 2007 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions
The Cardinals' Organ
I think the "intestines" of the lineup is pretty damned apt, considering what we are producing . . .
MY LIVER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Did you see that PBS special
The appendix
Okay...
don the rally caps, amigos....
2 on for scotty-ro.
c'mon boys, let's get this thing turned around, right here, right now.
crap
philosophy
"i hate myself for loving you..."
kind of what i feel like when watching my beloved redbirds scuffle like this.
"i can't break free from the things that you do;
i want to walk but i run back to you;
that's why i hate myself for loving you."
sigh....
giants tomorrow. let the bonds bashing commence.
peace.
crap
the 2007 cardinals are turning me into an exceedingly mean and spiteful person :(
Mean and spiteful
I'm with you on the mean and spiteful
so to stem the flow of my tears
I think of Cubs' fans
who've been also-rans
for pert near one hundred years
by Silent George on Apr 17, 2007 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions
Losing is a Disease...
Ah, but curable! Now I want you to imagine you are on a ship at sea...
gently rocking...
gently rocking...
D.GOOCH
The way the Cards are playing right now ...
i don't know about that
by ortic jones on Apr 17, 2007 10:29 PM EDT up reply actions
Duncan question
That said, I can understand the decision to sit Molina - a catcher's job is tough, give him a day off once in a while. I can also understand sitting Kennedy - Miles has hit lefties better.
What I can't understand is sitting Duncan. I just can't find a good reason not to play him. He's proven he can be patient and hit lefties. He's proven that he can play the defense. Granted it's only been a baker's dozen worth of games, but he's batting over .400! He's been our best (some might say "only") offensive production so far. Opposing managers (Ned Yost, Brewers) states that compared to last year, THIS year they have to worry when he comes up to bat. He can do damage.
So my question: What on earth is TLR's reasoning behind sitting Duncan? I ask, because there's a lot of baseball knowledgeable posters on this board (which is MUCH better than many other boards, so kudos to you all).
I guess that if the answer is just that Dunc is human and needed a day off I'll have to live with it, but... man.
by SmashedAtoms on Apr 17, 2007 5:22 PM EDT reply actions
Sometimes
Just look at the big picture. You know that TLR is. He always does.
Thanks Bob,
Thanks again.
by SmashedAtoms on Apr 18, 2007 9:53 AM EDT up reply actions
2007 Cardinals worst start to title defense
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 17, 2007 6:02 PM EDT reply actions
Cardinals offense = anemic
Injuries and Aging.
by Ankiels Missing Curveball on Apr 17, 2007 6:32 PM EDT up reply actions
talk about killing your bullpen
Wow, they brought in jake peavy as a pinch hitter.
killing the bullpen slowly..
by Rentboy on Apr 17, 2007 9:21 PM EDT reply actions
Title Defense Blues revisited
And the Mets were always there to kick them when they were down in the NL East standings. Great rivalry.
Mets
by cards fan in colo on Apr 17, 2007 10:26 PM EDT up reply actions
I'm not going to say that JRod is the
JRod has a .400+ OBP (in a horribly small sample size). He does not belong in Memphis. It'd be one thing if our bench didn't consist of Taguchi, Wilson, and Schumaker -- but it does. This continues to frustrate me to no end.
Cosign
you hate to say this
by stlcardinalsfang on Apr 17, 2007 11:13 PM EDT reply actions
ok i agree with most of this
by punchinjudy on Apr 17, 2007 11:47 PM EDT up reply actions
Well
by Ray Lankford on Apr 18, 2007 12:00 AM EDT up reply actions
Carlos Lee
I think most people's problem with El Caballo was how many years were needed to get him.
and the fact
i agree,
its sad but true, the Cardinals just don't have the talent to win. I for one want to know how could they let this happened? and what do the Cards do to fix it? and how soon can it be fixed?
umm disagree
Pujols, Rolen, Duncan (maybe -- he's playing a totally offensive position but he's still doing quite well)
average:
Eckstein, Edmonds (maybe -- he's playing a defensive position, if you think that he's done for good he probably isn't average anymore but it's not too hard to be an offensively average CF)
below average:
Yadier, Kennedy, RF tangle
Some of our talent may be old, but I really doubt that Rolen went from last year's .887 OPS to "completly lost the ability to hit". I think you are over-reacting to some small sample sizes.





















