4/15/07 Game 11 Open Thread
Last night's game was more of the same ol' same ol'. The hitters yet again could not come through when it mattered. It's become a reoccurring theme, WPA tells the grim story of these first 10 games.
Here is the Cardinal WPA as a team-
(Sorry if the fonts are a bit small, had trouble with some formatting. If you have Firefox, just hit control++)
Despite the hiccups of Thompson and Springer, the bullpen has done their job. The starters so far have done their job. The hitting has been turdriffic. Here's the culprits:
That's pretty damning. Chris Duncan has been the offense so far. Aside from Dunc, only Aaron Miles, Gary Bennett and So Taguchi who have positive WPA values. (Adam Wainwright has a positive .08, I suppose I could've mentioned him.) Everyone else is in the red, with the main drags being Preston Wilson, Albert Pujols, Jim Edmonds, Scott Rolen and Adam Kennedy. It's time to get it going boys. Another way to slice it a stat called Batting Runs Above Average (BRAA). BRAA is similar to WPA but it takes the situational stuff out of the way, aside from base runners. It calculates all of the hitter's deeds, regardless of what they did for the team's chances to win in that game, and throws them together to give you a total number of runs that the hitter has created. Looking at that should be telling. Here's the positive contributors-
Pujols is in the positive there...barely. And here's the stragglers-
The BRAA data is not including last night's game. Cumulative BRAA going into the game was negative 18.44. Yikes. Kennedy has gotten off on the wrong foot for sure, and Jim Edmonds and Preston Wilson are following close behind in the suck fest. Sorry for getting down and nerdy there, I just thought some of my fellow geeks here would enjoy the visual aids. Bottom line: Slumps happen. The offense just is garbage now, some of which is bad luck, most of it is just plain suckiness. It's time for the bats to wake up, and that isn't an easy task to do against Ben Sheets. I'm sure the Brewers will load their lineup with lefties to face Looper, love to see him shut'em down to get Sackmann of our backs. :-)
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Tony doesn't see a problem
The early problems at the plate don't have manager Tony La Russa worried. He said he doesn't think his team is struggling that much at the plate.
"You look at it that way, I look at it as a team that just won four in a row," La Russa said. "I don't think we need to shake anything up, I just think we have to keep playing."
This rotation is going to have combat fatigue from trying to hold the opponent to 1.5 runs per game for the rest of the season with this 'non-struggling' offense.
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 2:33 AM EDT reply actions
Pujols went 0 for 4 last night
Edmonds has been a lot scarier-looking to me.
Yep.
by STLCardinalsFan on Apr 15, 2007 7:15 AM EDT up reply actions
But he's still not really driving the ball
As for Jimmy, I don't know. He didn't hardly have a spring so he's 3 weeks behind everyone and 37 -- maybe that's it. But last night I felt like Spiezio had a better chance of hitting one in the gaps or out of the park than Edmonds and, if that feeling persists, that's scary!
Gotta hand it to Tony
The guy's stubbornness is the stuff of legend.
i love
IMO last night's game came down to preston wilson's ego swinging at ball 4, and popping it up to the left fielder in the 8th inning. If he had taken that pitch it would have loaded the bases and the tying run would have scored on aaron miles' bloop single. J-rod, where art thou...
Skip's 9th inning 3-pitch-at-bat was something, wasn't it?
Schumaker
He pretty much used up every last bit of credit and/or consideration he earned in Spring Training.
I was keen on giving him a shot in April since he did so well in March, but that's pretty much gone now. I'd much rather see JRod in those scenarios.
I said the exact same thing
Well...
by STLCardinalsFan on Apr 15, 2007 7:13 AM EDT up reply actions
Is that kind of like
Today we'll see an offensive eruption....
GO CARDS!!!!
WPA
by mikedallas23 @ Viva El Birdos on Apr 15, 2007 8:26 AM EDT up reply actions
Is WPA
Yeah, gotta say
WPA
http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/the-one-about-win-probability/
Duncan.
Bottom line: Slumps happen. The offense just is garbage now, some of which is bad luck, most of it is just plain suckiness.It's time for the bats to wake up, and that isn't an easy task to do against Ben Sheets.
I don't need wacky formulas to tell me that ;) I watch the games =p
by STLCardinalsFan on Apr 15, 2007 7:12 AM EDT reply actions
FWIW
Hardly.
by STLCardinalsFan on Apr 15, 2007 12:58 PM EDT up reply actions
No need to call him 'son'
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions
No Need
by STLCardinalsFan on Apr 15, 2007 1:12 PM EDT up reply actions
Offensive
Check...
by STLCardinalsFan on Apr 15, 2007 1:45 PM EDT up reply actions
I challenged you.
Makes me very skeptical of your "I don't need stats, I watch the games" comment. Seems your memory lacks credibility.
Bill James: The ultimate Stat geek
33 homers
90 RBIs
.273 BA
.351 OBP
.511 SLG.
So, your statement wasn't accurate. Stat geeks did peg Duncan to have a good 2007 season.
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions
Wrong.
by STLCardinalsFan on Apr 15, 2007 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions
STLCardinalsfan
a) don't salt your argument with personal insults or taunts, and
b) have some facts to back up what you say.
otherwise, you're pretty much wasting everybody's time.
go back and read this post --- you might have missed it, since it predates your joining VEB. our community of readers projected duncan to hit 26 homers and slug over .500; i don't know what "stat geeks" you're holding yourself superior to, but you can't be referring to the readers hereabouts.
I'll settle this
I am the one and maybe only who thought we should trade Lil' Dunc. I said 'He was playing over his head last year and we should trade him while his value is high...' I continued, 'That he proved he could hit grooved fast balls, and he will not see them anymore no matter who he hits infront of.' I also said that he would not improve in the outfield. My most harsh comment was that 'He will be sent to Memphis by June cause of his struggles, and be replaced by Jrod.' I always prefenced my remarks by saying, 'I hope I am wrong for his sake and the teams.'
I do take offense to being refered to as a stat geek. 'Cause I probablely refer to stats less than any other blogger here.
I am very pleased that so far Dunc has made me out to be an idiot. Though when he went 0-12 I was starting to think I was right.
Dave, can I take it back or is it too late.
once again
by bennythejet on Apr 15, 2007 7:59 AM EDT reply actions
Schu knew he was an out going in to the box
Strange to note that Dunc is presently our leading hitter, and a year ago many posters here thought he had no business on this team, and was only up by some reward as a coach's son.
But schu appears to have as much chance of making it in the bigs as Gall or Luna. We do have other prospects, that do have better odds of sticking. Bring'em on.
by Birds on the Bat on Apr 15, 2007 10:07 AM EDT up reply actions
Anybody catch Schmidt's start last night?
re:Schmidt
i watched pieces of his last two starts
but I still think that the Cardinals were in the right to try and sign him. He'll turn it around. I have faith in Schmidt.
I'll be curious
Well, maybe, but I think it's more
A columnist int he Trib talked about playing in cold weather. Frankly, highly paid or not, it would annoy the crap out of me. I'd hate it. Heck, they put wet sand in our indoor volleyball court; it's cold and I find THAT annoying.
One good thing
Is there any way...
How about Reyes for Milledge straight up? Two weeks ago I would've said no way, but now I'm convinced LaDuncan can pull a starter out of their hat any time they want.
That'd probably do it
Yeah...
With Carpenter down...
Well
Personally, I'd hate to see Reyes in a Mets uniform.
If everyone were right, everyone would be rich...
A good GM doens't care about what's popular "now". Good GMs take risks. And this would be somewhat a risk that could be one of the greatest trades ever for the Cardinals. But, if the majority think a 25 year old starter with a 90 mph fastball is more imporant than a 22 year old 5 tool outfielder when we're playing Preston Wilson, So Taguchi, Skip Schumacher and SCOTT SPIEZIO!!!!! in the corners, then I guess I'm the one who doesn't get it.
by Big Red on Apr 15, 2007 1:33 PM EDT up reply actions
As a Schmidt owner last season...
lineups
weeks 2b
hardy ss
fielder 1b
hall cf
estrada c
jenkins lf
hart rf
graffanino 3b
sheets p
cards
eck ss
dunc lf
AP 1b
rolen 3b
jed cf
p-dub rf
kennedy 2b
molina c
looper p
courtesy Yahoo
john rodriguez for right field!
by stlcardinalsfang on Apr 15, 2007 1:47 PM EDT reply actions
With Looper pitching
lineups
R WEEKS
J HARDY
P FIELDER
B HALL
J ESTRADA
G JENKINS
C HART
T GRAFFANINO
B SHEETS
ST. LOUIS Starting Lineup --
D ECKSTEIN
C DUNCAN
A PUJOLS
S ROLEN
J EDMONDS
P WILSON
A KENNEDY
Y MOLINA
B LOOPER
anyone in town watching the KSDK pregame show?
by stlcardinalsfang on Apr 15, 2007 1:53 PM EDT reply actions
Okay, this is completely off topic
I will attempt to add a link to it for all of you that don't get the comic in your local paper
Oh, and GO CARDS!
http://www.comics.com/comics/getfuzzy/
by RosevilleRedbird on Apr 15, 2007 2:07 PM EDT reply actions
that is GREAT!
by stlcardinalsfang on Apr 15, 2007 2:11 PM EDT up reply actions
Get Fuzzy
I think of Get Fuzzy
It's getting out of hand.
We've gotta put these people back in their place pronto.
oh baby
Should Albert change his # to 42?
Not sure
confidence
by ChiTown CardFan on Apr 15, 2007 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions
Rolen was at the warning track
by BozCardsFanSF on Apr 15, 2007 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions
Yeah
Not too shabby.
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions
This must be what it was like
Another K by Wilson.
by saladdin69 on Apr 15, 2007 2:45 PM EDT reply actions
Pujols was ahead of that pitch
I'd have to go back and look, but it still looked like he pulled a pitch that was away.
Step in the right direction, though.
Just don't want to see him only hit dingers on Sundays.
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 2:47 PM EDT reply actions
yeah
Tough to be too critical though...
gameday
by longhornscardinals on Apr 15, 2007 2:47 PM EDT reply actions
Seeems that in the 1st inning
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions
agreed
by BozCardsFanSF on Apr 15, 2007 2:58 PM EDT up reply actions
Hart 2, Duncan 1
Don't fool yourself
by saladdin69 on Apr 15, 2007 3:06 PM EDT reply actions
Man no breaks
preston got one
Holy cow....
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 15, 2007 3:28 PM EDT reply actions
what did he do?
loop tops the ball to third...
by gentry13 on Apr 15, 2007 3:31 PM EDT up reply actions
Pujols
Nice work Yadi
Atta boy Yadi
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 15, 2007 3:42 PM EDT reply actions
Best part of havings runners on 1st
by Birds on the Bat on Apr 15, 2007 3:42 PM EDT reply actions
I don't care who you are
forget stealing
yadi's arm
by lastplacecubs on Apr 15, 2007 3:42 PM EDT reply actions
BABY DUNC!
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 15, 2007 3:44 PM EDT reply actions
DUNCAN DONUTS
Ba-Dunc-a-Dunc
workouts
And Larry Walker
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 3:54 PM EDT up reply actions
Gameday
483 feet
by mikedallas23 @ Viva El Birdos on Apr 15, 2007 3:51 PM EDT reply actions
Ball hit the bullpen scoreboard
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 3:55 PM EDT up reply actions
Loop-de-Loop through six
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 15, 2007 3:54 PM EDT reply actions
Another Quality Start
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 3:55 PM EDT up reply actions
BB
Am I Hallucenating
Extend the lead!
Is it time yet
yes
well
C'mon boys
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 15, 2007 4:02 PM EDT reply actions
Why would...
This Yost makes me appreciate LaRussa big time.
everyday should be sunday
by stlcardinalsfang on Apr 15, 2007 4:06 PM EDT reply actions
Good jeebus
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 15, 2007 4:06 PM EDT reply actions
come on Pujols
1 for 4
Not great but in fantasy land, 4 RBIs is gravy.
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions
i know...
it may have been an out
Rolen popout
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 15, 2007 4:10 PM EDT reply actions
Duncan is at the Rogers Hornsby Line
pujols
Struggling
Chris Duncan gets to bat again
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 4:15 PM EDT reply actions
23 K's thru 7 1/2 at Wrigley
by Birds on the Bat on Apr 15, 2007 4:17 PM EDT reply actions
yeesh
of course, the Pittsburgh series went pretty well last time even without the runs.
It appears that once every week
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 15, 2007 4:26 PM EDT reply actions
skip!
Bases loaded for Duncan
If they bring in a LHP, wonder if TLR will pinchhit for Duncan just because he can say 'what else can the kid do'.
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 4:30 PM EDT reply actions
bases loaded
Nice Poke schu
by Birds on the Bat on Apr 15, 2007 4:30 PM EDT reply actions
gotta leave duncan in there
by stlcardinalsfang on Apr 15, 2007 4:31 PM EDT reply actions
Duncan
squeezed
re:albert
ya, even with the homerun albert isnt looking like albert quite yet.
on a positive note, edmonds appears to be getting his timing back and is raking but getting no breaks.
last 5 hit game by a cardinal was renteria in 2004 the tv people said. go dunc!!!
by Rentboy on Apr 15, 2007 4:32 PM EDT reply actions
Edmonds swing in the 7th
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions
dang it
If Skip was an Astro
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 4:33 PM EDT reply actions
Damn
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 15, 2007 4:34 PM EDT reply actions
Over/under on years that Fielder
4
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 4:42 PM EDT reply actions
So...
Cubs
now if Zambrano went down on the other hand...
you would think it's the cubs
eckstein
nice play to save thompson
by Rentboy on Apr 15, 2007 4:45 PM EDT reply actions
Yeah, yeah...let's see him do it on a Monday
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 4:49 PM EDT reply actions
Pujols
Devil Rays
Another note about this team: Has everybody seen Akinori Iwamura play yet? He's the Japanese 3B hitting almost .400 w/ an OBP over .500. He just led off the top of the 9th w/ a tie game. Quickly fell behind on Nathan 0-2. He took a pitch out of the zone, fouled a fastball back that was at his eyes, took another out of the zone, and finished it off w/ a double down the line off a breaking ball that was going to hit the dirt.
He had over 100 HR in Japan over the last 3 years while batting over .300. Fantasy baseball stud
by lastplacecubs on Apr 15, 2007 4:52 PM EDT reply actions
yes he is
by jojo5492 on Apr 15, 2007 4:53 PM EDT up reply actions
i got him
by lastplacecubs on Apr 15, 2007 4:57 PM EDT up reply actions
"Jackie Robinson first negro...er, American
That was almost a disasterous sentence by the Brewers announcer, based on the culture's current climate.
by Hardcore Legend on Apr 15, 2007 4:53 PM EDT reply actions
Albert!
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 15, 2007 4:53 PM EDT reply actions
both alberts homeruns were
by Rentboy on Apr 15, 2007 5:01 PM EDT reply actions
Not a fastball
Ya think they're reaching a bit?
"Come out to Busch Stadium and watch the Redbirds battle the division-rival Pittsburgh Pirates in a two-game series to close out the homestand. Don't miss Albert Pujols and the rest of your Cardinals in this important divisional battle!"
Important divisional battle? Pirates? Does not compute.
by Scarlet the Cardinal on Apr 15, 2007 5:12 PM EDT reply actions
to add on
ha!
by stlcardinalsfang on Apr 15, 2007 6:15 PM EDT up reply actions
yes curvey
meat pitch!!
by Rentboy on Apr 15, 2007 5:27 PM EDT reply actions
That's what
by Toddius396 on Apr 15, 2007 7:35 PM EDT up reply actions
Pujols and the Cardinals Offense
by Chicago Cardinals on Apr 15, 2007 8:32 PM EDT reply actions
Not sure who saw it
I went back and read what you posted
by viva el rojo pajaro 42 on Apr 15, 2007 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions
haha
by punchinjudy on Apr 16, 2007 12:11 AM EDT up reply actions

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