December 6 Hot Stove Diary
Update [2007-12-6 9:27:28 by lboros]: joecardsfan, i apologize for hijacking your diary, but it gibes perfectly with an idea i had intended to roll out today --- a daily hot-stove / rumor diary. erik manning proposed a version of this idea yesterday, and i think it's a good one --- it will prevent the proliferation of redundant diaries, as well as the impulsive tossoffs that aren't really worthy of a separate thread. so please put all news, links, opinions, etc etc related to the winter meetings and the off-season marketplace in this thread, or in today's main thread. if you've got non-hot-stove subjects you want to discuss, the diaries are open for those.
let's try this for a few days and see if it improves the discussion and promotes harmony.
[end update]
First off, let me say I apologize if I am starting a diary that is already covered by other VEBers. But it seems to me that most of the diaries have been on trade rumors and the feud from "The Hills"...er, LaRussa and Rolen. So I was hoping to start a catch-all Free Agency discussion diary. That being said, although it is not my favorite source, mlbtraderumors.com, had some good discussion pieces taken from STLtoday, but in a consolidated form. Here is the link, and then my initial thought:
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2007/12/cardinals-turn.html
I am really glad that we will (HOPEFULLY!!) not pursue Lohse and Silva. Quite honestly they are only getting this much interest for two reasons: the rising inflated cost of starting pitching, and a weak FA class. Let's hope neither of these two clowns gets signed, especially for 10 mil+ for 4 or more years.
I wouldn't mind signing Colon, but for an incentive laden one year deal. His injury concerns are too risky to sign him long term.
Livan would be OK if the price is right. He's reliable, eats innings, and you know what you are getting. I wouldn't even necessarily be opposed to a 2 yr contract, if the price is right.
Josh Fogg would be a decent option, again if the price is right. I believe that he would be a cheapest of the lot.
I really hope they are not interested in Benson. Too many injuries, too much baggage.
I like Rowand, but not for the years or the money. I hope they pass.
Have at it VEB!!!
0 recs |
81 comments
Comments
and our first piece of news
another correct, albeit low-impact, decision by mozeliak.
by lboros on Dec 6, 2007 9:16 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
I really like
by joecardsfan on Dec 6, 2007 9:19 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I have zero problems
Did Mo really want to get rid of all of Scotty's remaining salary, minus the signing bonus % only? After LB crunched the numbers, it sure seems a little ridiculous to expect anything in return, player-wise.
by silent_bob on Dec 6, 2007 10:05 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Good move.
by Zubin on Dec 6, 2007 10:19 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Bedard & Tejada
by joecardsfan on Dec 6, 2007 9:27 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
If
On the other hand, I don't think the Cardinals have anywhere near what it would take to get Bedard. Baltimore is going to ask for the moon for him, and rightly so. The guy is going to be competing for Cy Young awards for quite a while. If they didn't have so many holes to fill, Bedard would really be an ideal piece to build around. Unfortunately, the Orioles need too large a quantity of players right now to not consider moving Bedard. Again though, what some of the other teams could offer, compared to the Cards? Unless the Cardinals suddenly decided that they really do want to move Colby Rasmus, as well as Jaime Garcia and Anderson, they just don't have enough.
Just my two cents, for whatever that's worth.
by the red baron on Dec 6, 2007 9:40 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
In agreement
by joecardsfan on Dec 6, 2007 9:47 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
As for Bedard, I agree that there isn't much hope for getting him. The O's seem to be puting his name out there as an alternative to Johan, but are asking for the same moon. Its a wise move for a team that is likely several players away from being good. If they land a decent everyday-type player and a few prospects it could send them in the right direction.
by redbirdnation8206 on Dec 6, 2007 10:36 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Obviously I would love it
by jnangle472 on Dec 6, 2007 9:46 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Here ya go
I wouldn't necessarily say we are in hot pursuit, but we are definitely sniffing around.
by joecardsfan on Dec 6, 2007 9:50 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Also Strauss mentioned it on the radio yesterday..
by joecardsfan on Dec 6, 2007 9:52 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
What about...
Ottavino's the fifth-best prospect in the system, and there have been signs that he's going to struggle, Anthony-Reyes-like, with the two-seam approach.
Bottom line, in my opinion, Bedard's young enough that I don't mind giving away these prospects for him. As long as Mo & co. would commit the necessary dollars to re-sign him, that would make El Birdos set up very nicely for '09.
by Jhusk on Dec 6, 2007 3:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
An idea to get Bedard AND Tejada
Anthony Reyes
Jamie Garcia
B. Anderson
Tyler Johnson
Why wouldn't that work for them?
by RonGant on Dec 6, 2007 3:01 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
rule 5
by cm1000 on Dec 6, 2007 9:31 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
cm1000
by lboros on Dec 6, 2007 9:42 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
yeesh
by stlcardinalsfang on Dec 6, 2007 10:03 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Remember these?
When the micro machine man posts, it's a special occasion.
by silent_bob on Dec 6, 2007 10:20 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Periods?
by redbirdnation8206 on Dec 6, 2007 10:38 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I know this won't be a popular one
Ugh.
by Hardcore Legend on Dec 6, 2007 9:56 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
No joke
Does anyone know if we made an offer?
by cardzfan24 on Dec 6, 2007 10:18 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
disagree
huge signing bonus
18 million annually
no incentive-laden clauses...
I would agree with you ...
if the cards could have signed him for less (maybe 12-15 mill gauranteed), with incentives that led up to 18 million. and without the no-trade clause.
by _pistol_ on Dec 6, 2007 10:21 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It would be hard to justify...
by bobbyballgame1 on Dec 6, 2007 1:23 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
that would be a perfect contract...
by kindred on Dec 6, 2007 7:35 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Say a player is s crappy is like saying
by Red Blazer on Dec 6, 2007 10:01 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
ok will slow down
by cm1000 on Dec 6, 2007 10:03 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Lincecum
The Giants just lost their left fielder, and so need someone to man it. They also need a bat with some power in it. Enter Chris Duncan. Now, I know that Duncan doesn't have the kind of value that an Alex Rios does. However, he's further away from being expensive, so I think he does bring something to the table. Duncan alone won't get it done though, so we add another position player, which is the real weakness of the Giants' system right now. How about a Mark Hamilton? He has a ton of power from the left side, (lots of splashes) and I don't know that the GMen look at Lance Niekro as really being a long term solution there. I could be wrong on that point, though.
The Cardinals could also offer a Jon Jay, or a Jose Martinez, or even Joe Mather. If the Giants want a pitcher to help offset the loss of Lincecum, what about Mitchell Boggs? I think Boggs could be productive, but Lincecum is on another planet entirely. So, would Duncan and Boggs be enough to get it done? I personally think that those two together are worth more than Alex Rios.
Or, if the Giants are really looking to build a positional core, what if the Cards offered Molina? I know I'll get blasted for this one, but they offer Molina, try to finagle a lower level prospect to go along with Lincecum, then bring up Bryan Anderson to play in the majors, rather than developing him further in the system. He could play half the time, LaRue could take the other half, just so that Bryan could get acclimated a little more gradually. I'm not sure if I like this idea myself; I worry that Anderson would be overmatched and end up flopping due to being rushed, but I do like it better than contemplating the inclusion of Anderson in such a deal.
Other players to consider in this type of scenario:
Luis De La Cruz
Allen Craig
P.J. Walters
Tyler Greene (?)
Kenny Maiques
Jason Motte
I'm not sure if I would be happy about parting with any of those guys, but for a player of Lincecum's calibre, I would do it. Thoughts?
by the red baron on Dec 6, 2007 10:03 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
You leave PJ Walters
by Hardcore Legend on Dec 6, 2007 10:06 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
posted by jnangle
http://stlouis.cardinals.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20071205&content_id=2319347&vkey=news_ stl&fext=.jsp&c_id=stl
If you'd like to avoid reading that article, I'll summarize it for you. Basically all is says is that the Cardinals #1 priority this offseason is starting pitching (shocker).
Anybody who has been following the offseason has noticed that the Giants are very willing to trade rookie stud pitcher Tim Lincecum - a huge piece that any team would love having. The Giants are said to be mulling over an offer from the Blue Jays that would send Alex Rios to San Fransisco in a swap:
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/alex_rios/index.html
I know I sound like a broken record, because in virtually every post I write I argue for trading Chris Duncan, but I thought I would make my case AGAIN, one last time, just for the heck of it.
Duncan is younger than Rios, and while he has not yet emerged as having the same tools in the field as Rios, Duncan has at least equal power and also could slide in at 1st base, a position that the Giants don't have an entrenched guy at. Additionally I would be willing to throw in a guy like Mark Hamilton, PJ Walters or Bryan Anderson - a solid prospect of their choice, but with the understanding that Rasmus, Perez, Garcia, Kozma and maybe Ottavino cannot be the prospect to go along with Duncan.
People have argued with me that Duncan's offense means too much to us, but I firmly believe that he is our best trade chip because his production is easily the most replacable because we have several decent outfield bats who could fill the hole for us. While I wouldn't want Ludwick to be starting for us, he is at least a solid outfielder with good power. Plus I believe having Lincecum and pairing him with Wainwright would give us our 1-2 punch for years to come (I personally believe that Carpenter won't be able to bounce back to his old self, but thats a discussion for another diary I guess).
I wouldn't believe that the Giants would ever go for this, but I also wouldn't believe they would ever consider trading Lincecum for Rios in the first place either. This seems a golden opportunity for us, and one that we should take full advantage of.
I'd love some feedback from you guys. I know the organization is hesitant to trade Duncan, but wouldn't this deal just be too good to pass on? Am I over valuing Lincecum? Do you guys think that we should trade Duncan for a young SP like I do, or am I wrong in that? Do I sound like an idiot? Love to hear your thoughts, let me know.
by lboros on Dec 6, 2007 10:11 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Check out these numbers
GP HR SLG. OPS+
Rios 161 24 .498 122
Duncan 127 21 .480 115
If Rios can net Lincecum, why can't Duncan and a prospect?? I understand that Rios is a better fielder, but as lboros stated, Duncan could also end up playing 1B for a team like the Giants. While, I too, like Duncan, he is our best trade chip. He is cheap, under team control, young, but most importantly in our case, more replaceable than a dominant Cy Young-caliber pitcher.
I'm on board lboros.
Sidenote: What's Rios' contract situation??
by joecardsfan on Dec 6, 2007 10:33 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Preach it brother
by OCCardsFan on Dec 6, 2007 11:00 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Little Duncan
Pitching needs always trump hitting needs especially if the hitter in question cannot field and has liked peaked in terms of hitting.
Dunc's value seems higher to us because the water around him (Edmonds & Rolen) have sunk so low.
I don't think even the Giants are dumb enough to make that trade but I would be shopping the hell out of Dunc if I were Mo.....especially to American League teams needing LH DH
by Hinkster on Dec 6, 2007 12:34 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Lincecum
I would move Duncan if it were for Lincecum. I don't see the Giants trading him - though I know that's what the reports are saying. Maybe they don't like his small size...he has been compared fairly often to Roy Oswalt.
by Toddius396 on Dec 6, 2007 5:13 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
DUNK for Lincecum?
by gdm426 on Dec 7, 2007 2:30 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I agree...
by Red Blazer on Dec 6, 2007 12:02 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
list of pitchers
- lincecum
- Bedard
- Santana
- Burnett
by ridgesee on Dec 6, 2007 12:47 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Lincecum
The thing I find surprising is that the Giants are shopping him instead of Cain. I think that the two are equal stuff wise, but I worry about Cain's durability (more so than Lincecum). If I were the Giants I would make Lincecum untouchable. On the other hand, maybe they just see him as their best opportunity to fix that dreadful lineup they have. Its possible that maybe I missed something and Cain is out there too, but I hadn't heard anything.
by redbirdnation8206 on Dec 6, 2007 10:45 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I thought the Giants were interested in Rolen too,
We'd probably have to eat some of Rolen's salary, but that would be worth it.
Could we even get something else in return (like Rolen's replacement)?
by bobtheking on Dec 6, 2007 1:56 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
It would be okay
by cm1000 on Dec 6, 2007 10:20 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
nice.
He travels with pet turtle. That oughta sync well with tony's love for pets.
by _pistol_ on Dec 6, 2007 10:33 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
That's the one guy I would have wanted
It's like Mo is inside my head! Awesome!
Let's try it again.....I'm thinking of a 3B prospect...plays for Dodgers...plus a AAA reliever who put up cartoon numbers in 2006 and 2007...
by siddfynch on Dec 6, 2007 10:38 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I would trade a year off of the end of my life
by redbirdnation8206 on Dec 6, 2007 10:59 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Sweet!!!
by the red baron on Dec 6, 2007 10:40 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
brian barton ... more drama
one scout from a National League club said. "But this past year, it was almost like he'd earned this elite status and you saw him have this lackadaisical approach to the game that wasn't there before. Where he was playing with chips on both shoulders with something to prove initially, that part of his game was replaced by some sort of false bravado. He's really tough to get a handle on, but the tools are very real."
Just the kind of young player that clashes with TLR. Tony just isn't the guy for the place this club finds itself and I'm disappointed that management was so blind to this fact. The only consolation is that he's on a 2 year deal.
by jjray on Dec 6, 2007 10:36 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
He's got tools
What's not to like? The guy was injured last year...I love the get.
Here's some BA info:
Early Rule 5 Draft preview
by silent_bob on Dec 6, 2007 10:46 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
I'm confused
by Hardcore Legend on Dec 6, 2007 10:56 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
if that lackadaisical notion is true
also, we now have barton, barden and braden on the roster. this could confusing.
by _pistol_ on Dec 6, 2007 10:49 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Hey pistol
by Calhoun on Dec 6, 2007 11:48 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe
This pick sounds like a good one...Seems like his minor league numbers indicate some potential. Since he was a Rule 5 pick he has to be on the opening day roster or he's gone, right?
by redbirdnation8206 on Dec 6, 2007 10:55 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Cesar, you suck again!
Fuck.
by Hardcore Legend on Dec 6, 2007 11:04 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
there is this guy
by El Hombre on Dec 6, 2007 5:05 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
This doesn't jibe
by siddfynch on Dec 6, 2007 11:43 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
He's an astronaut
by Hardcore Legend on Dec 6, 2007 11:44 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
The kid sees to be wicked smart.
by Red Blazer on Dec 6, 2007 12:09 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Adding to the family
From the Rolen article at stltoday:
The Cardinals are also believed close to signing former Oakland A's lefthanded reliever Ron Flores to a minor-league contract. Flores, 28, is the younger brother of Cardinals reliever Randy Flores. The younger Flores made 17 appearances last season for the A's.
So if they acquire him, we can add him to the distinguished Cardinals nepotism list which includes:
C. Dunc
C. McKay
W. Pujols
M. Pagnozzi
I'm sure there are more. Not to say that C. Dunc and this guy are in anyway bad players, I just find it odd that the Cards end up with so many relatives in the organization.
by OCCardsFan on Dec 6, 2007 11:08 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
The weird thing is I joked last year
Then I realized I didn't want ANY Flores' on the roster.
by Hardcore Legend on Dec 6, 2007 11:11 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Larry
I think the Hot Stove suggestion of your's/Erik's is a great idea. Thank you for hearing our concerns and finding a balance.
by RedbirdRay on Dec 6, 2007 11:12 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
credit to erik
i consider this an experiment, but i hope it does work ---- will be listening to feedback, so let me know how it's working for ya.
by lboros on Dec 6, 2007 2:19 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
We got the WRONG Pirates backup IF
by Hardcore Legend on Dec 6, 2007 11:18 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Rolen and Duncan
I am also with Tony on this (though admittedly don't know the behind the scenes stuff). Make him play. I don't think he would be a cancer in the way that some other players become distractions in the clubhouse. I would expect him to be a professional, and I think he would live up to that label.
2 interesting things that I haven't seen brought up, that I wouldn't mind seeing...
- Ducan offer for Bay. Not sure it is enough, but it is a good starting point, and close I would think. Pirates get a power hitting LH under team control for 4 more years (I think). Cards get Bay at a reasonable salary 2 yrs/13.5 mil and an RH bat to balance out the OF lineup. I would take the proven entity that is Bay over the injury-proness and possible platoon player that Duncan is - even though Duncan has been more than I ever could have hoped for or expected, to date.
- Prior to signing Cesar, did Mo ever talk a Rolen for Furcal deal with the Dodgers? That would seem to make some sense for both squads. We have/had a need for a SS and a leadoff hitter to replace Eck (coupled with clearing the clubhouse of a possible cancer situation), and Furcal is in the last year of his deal (I believe), and the Dodgers have interest in Scotty.
by Mills on Dec 6, 2007 11:21 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Aim lower
The Pirates discussed a deal with St. Louis last month that would have sent shortstop Jack Wilson to the Cardinals for outfielder Chris Duncan, but that is no longer in play. Wilson probably will not be traded this offseason.
That's how little the Pirates think of Chris Duncan.
by Hardcore Legend on Dec 6, 2007 11:25 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
That's typical Pirates stuff
by redbirdnation8206 on Dec 6, 2007 3:37 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
In case no one realized it yet
So, at any given time, the average fan could be confused when someone says "Flores is coming in from the pen" or "we've got Barton/Barden coming off the bench".
by Hardcore Legend on Dec 6, 2007 11:35 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
not bad...
by kindred on Dec 6, 2007 7:42 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
need to find a way
by SleepyCA on Dec 6, 2007 9:04 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
rule 5 has to be on the roster
by cm1000 on Dec 6, 2007 12:05 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
You would think that would be the case?
by Red Blazer on Dec 6, 2007 12:12 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
mlbtraderumors.com...
by stlcardinalsfang on Dec 6, 2007 12:43 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
What is wrong with Jorge Cantu?
Yet another player I'd rather have than Cesar Izturis.
by Hardcore Legend on Dec 6, 2007 12:45 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Cantu
by jjray on Dec 6, 2007 1:02 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
winter meetings blog
http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/blog/index?name=winter_meetings
the cubs are looking to add dave littlefield to their organization as an advisor. love the sound of that!
the brewers might non-tender kevin mench. too bad our outfield is so crowded.
morgan ensberg might be non-tendered as well.
by FutureMan on Dec 6, 2007 1:35 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
The Astros = Miguel Tejada
How in the world couldn't we match that deal? Outside of Rasmus and Anderson, we have nothing that could match up to that to entice the Orioles?
by Hardcore Legend on Dec 6, 2007 2:23 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Ok, maybe not
by Hardcore Legend on Dec 6, 2007 3:05 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
value for value...
wouldn't it make sense to trade upside for upside and look for a kemp/duncan trade. can't act like i understand the inner depths of colleti's mind but he certainly seems to have a stamp on mr. kemp and is just waiting on a destination. figure we can get a right handed power bat to offset the lefthanded heaviness we currently our rocking. duncan may hit more homers right now, but i think kemp is the real deal and was just buried out in LA. OPS around 900 with only 10 homers in 300ab's, and OPS+ of 125. duncan also raked to the tune of OPS+ of 115, for comparison. the dodgers could use any power bat not to mention a cheap lefty one to support andruw and kent. i think that is the purest type of trade out their. value for value.
then, if that seems palatable perhaps then you take the next step and try something more exotic. do a rolen/reyes for laroche/pitching prospect (no way we're going to get billingsley or kershaw). i don't think i can even objectively gauge what the market is anymore to think if we'd eat salary in that deal or not but i'd love to see what numbers were tossed around.
go get kemp mo.
by trip mcneely2 on Dec 6, 2007 6:14 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Problem is...
plus, i really think the Cards should get pitching back if they're going to trade Duncan.
by kindred on Dec 6, 2007 7:46 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
maybe they
by aet15 on Dec 7, 2007 1:34 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs

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