Pujols (Should Be) NL MVP
At least according to Joe Sheehan at Baseball Prospectus, who details (free content) just what a great year Albert had.
Albert was about the fifth most valuable player according to pure offensive metrics, but his defense puts him in a different class. Adding in the MVP he should have won last year, this makes three, right?
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that was an excellent read
Pujols didn't get in the Top 5 this year
the BBWAA should lose their votes. Enough stupidity.
by Hardcore Legend on Nov 20, 2007 2:21 PM EST reply actions
He was actually 9th
What a freaking disgrace.
by Hardcore Legend on Nov 20, 2007 2:23 PM EST up reply actions
What hurt him as much as anything
The Cards' pewtrid performance didn't help him either.
people who were
David wright
miggy cabrera
albert pujols
chipper jones
chase utley
me
prince fielder
matt holliday
carlos beltran
hanley ramirez
ryan howard
this should be called the joe morgan winner of the day award instead
Ridiculous
Doesn't this happen...
Joe Strauss
He's right. It is their award, and they have their reasons for voting the way they do. Does it always make sense? Of course not, but if you're looking for fair and balanced opinions here, you'll be sorely disappointed.
9th is a disgrace
i voted holliday in the sb awards, but after reading sheehan's argument for pujols i'd flip flop, even at the risk of looking like a total homer.
Not to out myself as a total BP fanboy but . . .
I think the point about Jimmy Rollins providing the writers (voters) with good copy is a good one.
wow, joe sheehan
It's hard to vote for an amazing player on a team
At last something I can agree with.
by MikeG on Nov 20, 2007 4:26 PM EST up reply actions
I think
As for Rollins. Great player but I still think Utley is better...and that's the point.
Whoa there!
If the numbers can't tell you that Rollins didn't deserve it, what can? The numbers tell you that Utley was better so if you insist on going w/ a hometown guy, select him. He'd have made a better choice.
I don't insist on a home-town guy
by MikeG on Nov 21, 2007 11:00 AM EST up reply actions
david wright had power speed defense
since you disdain the stat-heavy approach, what criterion would you propose to distinguish among rollins pujols holliday and wright, other than "i live in philly and everybody in philly knows who the mvp is?"
no single criterion will do
by MikeG on Nov 21, 2007 3:49 PM EST up reply actions
As for speed, who gives a damn?
Fielding +/- PMR
Utley +22 106
Rollins +7 103
Utley's a very good defender. As for "ability to ignite rallies" -- Utley's OBP was .410 to Rollins' .344. That's a huge disparity, though you may find a stat that measures one's ability to get on base as being "dubious." Still, OBP is pretty highly regarded throughout baseball and is a pretty good indicator of one's "ability to ignite rallies."
Additionally, Utley's VORP was 68.8 to Rollins' 66.1. His WARP1 was 9.3 to Rollins' 9.2. This means that Utley was better than Rollins DESPITE missing all that time due to injury. Let's face it, if you're not the best player on your team, and not the most productive even when playing a month more than the other guy, you're not the most valuable in the league.
Too bad you find stats to be bland. To each his own, I guess. But they're a much better criterion to use than some some beer league Philly blogger.
Do the other major sports...
controversy
Why don't the sabermetricians get together and actually GIVE THE AWARDS??? I realize they can't give the MVP - that is taken. The press, as quoted above, give their awards - why couldn't some other organization do the same? Find out which award is more respected in ten years.
Makes me sad
Pujols not the MVP. That's fine. I wasn't going to buy your paper anyway.
Mac not in the HOF. That's fine. I have no plans on visiting the Hall anytime soon.
So good job writers of voting for the fans who don't know what's going on and will only read the headlines of the sports section...before moving on to the Calendar section for that all important Hanna Montana concert review.
That's the way I am
last year's MVP award
What I find amazing...
Well, in 2007 Rollins made the third most outs of any hitter in the past 25 years. Number one was Juan Samuel in 1984 with 531 outs, then Jose Reyes in 2005 with 528, and third was Rollins with 527.
He also had the most
That's largely a function of batting first for a good offense in a hitter's park, of course. Which is also part of the reason he got the chance to make so many outs.
It's easier to just look at his OBP and say that .344 is pretty freaking underwhelming for an MVP.
Depending on whether he's a plus defensive SS like a couple of metrics think he is, I don't think he's as an egregious choice as everyone is making him out to be, but the writers definitely got this one wrong.
Stop traffic.
"pretty underwhelming"
My thoughts
He's AP. He had a "pedestrian" year by his standards. We, including the media, take him for granted - we do not know how good he is or was until he leaves and we are dealing with a Hee Sop Choi (curse him to hell) type replacement. He had a "pedestrian" year because he was unprotected for the most part in a less than intimidating lineup, where the leadoff hitter was neck and neck with catcher to see who could have the higher OBP. Also, his April wasn't the best and that didn't get him early headlines like last year.
And, although I love to see pitchers wet themselves when AP is up, he wasn't the MVP. The 2007 version of the BOB would have probably had the close to the same, record with an average 1st baseman. I don't think AP was the difference maker he was in the past because of the lack of protection - i.e., Rolen is now a singles hitter, JED was AWOL, and Dunc - well, he had that "sports hernia" (probably from doing the splits on the bar at Coyote Ugly :))
Last year, Pujols should have won. Hands down. And he should have hit in the all-star game.
I also think that Rollins added value to a Phillies team from a leadership, enthusiasm point of view. But I don't think the writers know or care about that. Rollins is a great player, no doubt, but MVP? Naah.
To me, the most valuable player this year should have been the 10th man - the fans in each league. We're the ones who pay $8 for a beer, and $30 for seats that require oxygen. We put up with Kip Wells, Mike Maroth, and all the other stiffs because it's baseball. We're the ones who buy the hats, the jerseys, and the other crap that pays their salaries.
Can you tell that I think these awards are stupid?
..go figure!!!!!!
Never mind that he didnt have Utley, Howard, Pat the Bat and Rowand in the lineup for protection. Or starting pitching for 2/3rds of the season. Never mind that his team DID win the WS in 06' when he was short haired.
The writers want to turn the awards into a "reality show" where the unexpected, unpredictable and more shock-worthy unfavored player is unearthed due to their great insight and informed genuis.
Then the sabermetrics blog sites appear to have less cred supporting other players for the awards.
No doubt Rollins had a very un-Rollins kinda year, but I figured 4 players in front of him prior to the vote, minimum of 3.
by cardschinmusic on Nov 21, 2007 3:59 AM EST up reply actions
Rollins
Rollins was not the best shortstop. (Ramirez and Tulo were both better)
Rollins was not the best player on the Phillies (Utley was, and cases can be made for Rowand and Howard)
Rollins received a BS Gold Glove. (Jack Wilson or Tulowitski should have won.)
I am a Jimmy Rollins fan, however, much of his statistics that made his case came from a freakish number of at-bats and playing in a star-studded lineup in an extreme hitters' park. Good player yes, want him on my team, absofreakinlutely, but MVP???
Albert was pushed down the list thanks to these to the team missing the playoffs. (Why does this only count some years? (Sosa won over McGwire because the Cubs made the playoffs that year, but when Howard wins on a team that doesn't make the playoffs, it is OK???) I am sure that Rollins' team making the playoffs was a key to beating out Wright, Fielder, and Pujols.
Coors Field vs. Citizens Bank Park
I really do not get too worked up over post season awards. Are Albert Pujols, Alex Rodriguez, and Barry Bonds the best hitters in the game with a few guys very close behind? Yes... Stuff happens and these guys don't win awards every year. I think Albert will be plenty of chances to get singled out as being a great ball player.
Ok lets say Rollins and Holliday are in the battle for MVP since both made the play-offs. I don't agree with this argument but it makes it easy at time.
In my opinion Jimmy Rollins excelled while playing a position 10 times harder than LF. Come on Jimmy Rollins is a good player, put up good numbers, and was definitely important to his team. Could the Philles have made the play-offs with Abraham Nunez playing 162 games at SS?
People need to step back and realize Rollis had a good year, and get over it.
You're right
Anyway I am somewhat glad that holliday didn't win it; he's the most overrated player in the game, in my opinion, a product of his home park who would be a great, but not elite, player anywhere else. The rockies really need to trade him instead of extending him because he's not nearly as good as he is currently perceived as being.
Still, the consecutive victory streak that culminated in holliday knocking himself unconscious to score the run that put them in the playoffs was one of the most cinema-like baseball endings I have ever seen (it would have been even better if the ump had gotten the call right)...
Pujols
I agree that Holliday should not have won. See everyone on here was saying how Rollins was a bad choice, so I got the idea people like Holliday better. My point is Rollins plays a way more challenging postion as LF is basically the position anyone can play. Also it must be noted that Holliday was the 25th best LF in baseball and he is behind some butchers.
I think Holliday may be a bit overrated as well. Good time for him to sign a contract!!!
Coors Field
Pujols
Congratulations to Rollins! If the writers keep voting the way they have the last two years, all MVP's will come from hitter friendly ballparks and all Cy Youngs will come from pitcher friendly parks. At least it should be a while before a team has both again.
Holliday?
Holliday: .340 avg, .405 OBP, .607 SLG, .1.012 OPS
Hollidays avg was almost as high as Rollins OBP. Hell, one could argue that Rollins wasn't even the best shortstop in his division (Ramirez). He seems like a nice guy though.....
Matt Holliday
how about this line
OPS 0.838
And this from a gold glove caliber shortstop (though he didn't win it - he probably should have).
This being rookie shortstop Tulowitski. If defense is important, he has a strong a claim as anyone for NL MVP. Short stop is probably defensively the most demanding position.
Yes, it's interesting
"So we ask again - who's the greater statistical standout, Holliday - a superb-hitting left fielder - or the player setting new offensive precedents at the most demanding position on the field? My vote - the majority vote - goes to the player who's asked to lead on both sides of the ball.
Defensively, 2007 was J-Roll at his very best. Flashing an arm that was better than ever, Jimmy took the field in all 162 games, backing up his pre-season boast that the Phillies, not the Mets, were the team to beat. And he made sure the Mets remembered it. He smoked the Mets. Smoked 'em.
Here's another argument that holds little water: "Rollins has better players around him." They gutted out the loss of Chase Utley, they overcame Ryan Howard's trip to the DL, they endured through the worst pitching staff in the league, yet there's no doubt they would have been sitting home in October if Jimmy had missed even a single, solitary game.
This was Jimmy's team."
Posted by J. Weitzel
by MikeG on Nov 20, 2007 6:20 PM EST reply actions
"or the player setting new...
Hanley Ramirez? oh.
Really, it's fun to make things up
"Defensively, 2007 was J-Roll at his very best."
he's been better defensively in the past according to RZR, but I forgot that you don't like statistics. Let's just follow our gut reaction over the course of a players entire career. Certainly we can know when he's having his best year without any data points.
"backing up his pre-season boast that the Phillies, not the Mets, were the team to beat."
This might be my favorite quote because up until the last day of the season, it seemed like the Mets were the team to beat. The Phillies beat them but they were in the rearview mirror for a long time.
"they endured through the worst pitching staff in the league
Wrong. Factually incorrect. Fourth worst by ERA in the NL; Washington beats them out in FIP.
"there's no doubt they would have been sitting home in October if Jimmy had missed even a single, solitary game"
No evidence or even clear conjecture as to why Rollins playing everyday is the difference. When your team wins the division by 1 game, there are a myriad of reasons why they could have lost it all. But what the hell, let's just assign this random unprovable postulate to support our debatable opinion. Sure thing.
"So we ask again - who's the greater statistical standout, Holliday - a superb-hitting left fielder - or the player setting new offensive precedents at the most demanding position on the field?"
I take it back, he starts off with the best. Let's ask who is the greater statistical standout and then not use any statistics to validate our conclusion. We can quote some esoteric combination of stats that Rollins did for the first time in history but there's no attempt to evaluate either on a statistical level. Whether this is ignorance on the part of the writer or just pandering to the base or being lazy, there's no follow through on this question. It's disingenuous to ask that question and conclude with Rollins being deserving without ever really making an attempt to connect the two.
Not only is this writing a poor reason to validate your opinion that Rollins was an MVP but it's an incoherent mess when it comes to the writing itself. There's no comparison between players. There's no real analysis. There's just a laundry list of things that Rollins did and then the conclusion that he's the best.
Makes you wonder
Maybe Albert should have boasted, as soon as Carpenter was hurt, that the Cards would remain competitive (in the weak NL Central) well into September and win 5-7 more games than they should considering the aging, injury-prone, mediocre talent that exists on his team because he'll lead the NL in WARP and all defensive metrics, and finish in the top 6 in VORP, WPA, and RC/27. Maybe that boast alone would have ushered him to a 2nd MVP!
All that dude
Tell him to stop by and I'll tell him the positional adjustments.
I think
They all try to "be the guy" that's one step a head...the guy that sees something no one else sees...when nobody else sees it because it doesn't exist.
The moron writers that voted for Ordonez in the most lopsided AL MVP vote in history and didn't put Pujols higher than 3 need start at the job that best serves their skill sets....serving my kids happy meals.
It's not a secret ballot
Philadelphia perspective
Ah yes, the people who boo Santa Claus and throw batteries at opposing players. They actually have a judge and jail in the stadium...no kidding! A city that believes the world revolves around Cheesesteaks. (Although, they may be right about the Cheesesteak thing...Mmmmm...revolving Cheesesteaks.)
There are some definite Philly points made in here.
- Extra points for being a prophet: He made a bold prediction and it held up. (about beating out the Mets) OK, only thing is that athletes in the northeast corridor are so full of BS predictions that I am sure you can find 15 guys on the Mets who made the same prediction about their team and I doubt Rollins predicted Philly's snappy playoff demise.
- Jimmy "flashed an arm that was better than ever" Wow, that statement is so full of substance that I can't begin to break it down.
Here's an argument that holds water. Rollins' supporting cast's games played: Howard 144, Utley 132, Rowand 161, Burrell 155. (Oh, and I think if you check out the numbers on these other 4, you will find that they were kind of good this year.)I hate to tell you, but Philly didn't suffer much DL time compared to other teams in the league. By the way, after Pujols, Aaron Miles was second in games played with 133 on the Cards. The Cards next 4 best run producers: Rolen 112, Edmonds 117, Encarnacion 78, Duncan 127. And several of these "games" on these guys were pinch-hitting appearances and games played while severly injured.
If Rollins missed one game, they wouldn't have made the playoffs...seriously? Didn't this guy make something like 527 outs during the season? And they lost alot of the games he played in??? HMMM, I guess if he sat out during some of those losses it would have damaged the team during some of their other wins.
Rant over...time for a nap.
Sorry
This was Jimmy's team? Like Shaq's team or Kobe's team? Whose team was it last year? Everybody said it was Howard's team last year. Did he sell it to Jimmy? Whose team will it be next year? I thought it was Chase's team, but I wasn't in on the paperwork.
Anyway, fun stuff. Congrats to Jimmy Rollins. I wish he was on the Cardinals. And note to Jimmy, lay off the Mets, I hear they cause cancer in laboratory rats.
i'm just shocked Albert
good thing Albert doesn't really care about personal awards. otherwise he'd demand a trade to the east coast so the writers would stop ignoring his greatness.
I think Albert does care about personal awards
Not that I mind at all, I like his pursuit of such things because it benefits the team, but Albert is a Type-A hyper competitive guy. To say he is all about team success and is not about personal glory would be wrong.
I think he's
JRoll
Rollins is the third best player on his team behind Utley and Howard. Utley is a pretty damn good 2nd baseman and a great hitter, and would have won this award IMO if he hadn't have had the bad luck of getting hurt (which should factor in to the equation, even if it isn't the players fault).
Ramirez had a much better year at the dish than Rollins, so he wasn't the best hitting SS. And Tulo was one of the best defensive players in baseball all season, so Rollins isn't the best defensive SS either. So if he isn't the best SS offensively or defensively, then how the hell is he the most valuable overall? Makes no damn sense.
Honestly, this year there were so many guys who had decent cases pockmarked with holes that they might as well have burned the damn thing, or perhaps split it 26 ways or something. I mean the leaders in all the stats are so freaking scattered that who the hell knows. Chipper was first in OPS and RC/27, Fielder was first in home runs and first among qualifiers in SLG., Pujols was the best defender according to several sources(at the easist position, but still a remarkable feat). Then you get into the subjective stuff saying that Holliday was the bat behind the Rock's massive surge, but DWright was a monster too in the late part of the season even though his pitching staff went in the tank. For the first time in forever I honestly have no damn idea who should have won! All I know is is that I can think of about 8 guys just off the top of my head who were more deserving than Rollins, despite his fantastic season.
by redbirdnation8206 on Nov 21, 2007 1:47 AM EST reply actions

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