Cardinals re-sign Joel Pineiro/ 2yr
Dear Diary,
Per Joe Strauss
The Cardinals continued to complete their pre-free agency checklist Monday by agreeing to terms with starting pitcher Joel Pineiro on a two-year contract, pending completion of a physical, club and industry sources confirmed.
I agree with this signing. A 2 year deal, as long as we aren't talking $9 M/year is a good risk to take with no arms out there.
With all my love,
HL
XOXOXOXOXO
0 recs |
301 comments
Comments
I like the move but
"Terms of the pending deal were not disclosed as Pineiro traveled to St. Louis to undergo the physical; however, the contract's annual average value is expected to exceed the one-year $4 million contract he signed with the Boston Red Sox last winter."
I think it might be a 9-10M deal. Which probably won't be too bad. Hopefully he pitches the way he did at the end of the season.
by StLHugo on Oct 15, 2007 1:26 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
You've got to be kidding me...
He wasn't so much better with the Cards as lucky. His slugging against was .490. That's not going to translate to a sub-4 era in '08 or even a sub-5.
Cards fans have to demand smarter decision making than this. If Dave Duncan wants Pineiro its time to thank Dave Duncan for his wonderful service to the Cardinal organization and get somebody else to coach.
by guayzimi on Oct 15, 2007 1:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Negative much?
by StLHugo on Oct 15, 2007 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mistake...
Just another bad baseball decision in a long line of them lately. So much for player development ehh.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 1:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree with you on both points
Plus, what a relief to get away from Wells' and Reyes' endless nibbling at the strike zone. After what we've gone through this year with too many wilting pitchers, I'll just be happy to see his him out there attacking the strike zone, pitching quickly, and playing aggressive defense.
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
IT was a Great signing
by nybirdfan on Oct 15, 2007 10:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
at least you have your sense of humor!
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 11:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The over-under...
Anything above $2 million per is a mistake. I'm bracing for 2/10. Yuck...
Can we hire a GM please?
by guayzimi on Oct 15, 2007 1:30 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
hmm
2M per wouldn't even get him talking since he holds a 4M one year player option anyway.
by StLHugo on Oct 15, 2007 1:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I thought that...
by guayzimi on Oct 15, 2007 1:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Dumb, Dumb, Dumb
I'm sure he got at least 7M per. Doesn't bother me so much for this year, but next year when the SP FA market is so great...that 7M is the difference betweed some averagish overpriced starter and lets say Jake Peavy.
We couldn't find someone to post a 5 era for close to the league minimum.
No change in philosophy, same ol' same ol'. I expect Rasmus to be dealt for D Willis or someone like that soon.
Mozeliak has hand cuffed the new GM with 10M invested in players who, best case scenario, are woefully average. You tell me those spots could not have been filled cheaply at nearly the same results. Boy that 10M would be nice to throw at an impact player.
Don't know why I expected anything different. The Good Ole Boy Baseball Network isn't done running this team into the ground quite yet. Bring on Eckstein for 3 years.
Mozeliak should be getting Starbucks and making sure the office is thoroughly stocked with pens, staples, and paper. He shouldn't be signing contract extensions. He is in way over his head.
The most poorly ran team in baseball.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 1:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Amen...
It's one thing to give up on '08, but for this clown Mozeliak to hose the new guy and hobble the team for 2009 is absolutely infuriating.
by guayzimi on Oct 15, 2007 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
"The most poorly ran team in baseball."
by sdrone on Oct 15, 2007 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fine...
Pittsburgh and Kansas City are worse.
Other than that, can you think of a team that is a bigger mess than the St Louis Cardinals? I sure can't.
Hell, Tampa Bay has a much brighter future.
We need some new blood badly. Either we commit to player development or we raise payroll to 150M. We know the latter isn't happening and the former was just lip service so that DeWitt had an excuse to fire Walt.
This team is a cluster fuck.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
thinking seriously
in addition to pittsburgh and kc, i think you have to throw on baltimore, the white sox, the rangers, the nationals, and the reds (dusty BAKER?!?). i think those are all clearly worse.
balancing out the pros and cons, i think that puts the cards up in the next grouping, basically below-average, with teams like toronto, seattle, philly, houston, and san francisco.
but you're right - it's sad to see the team with no real direction right now, and these new contracts aren't helping. i'm optimistic that piniero's deal is for less than looper's. if it is, i'll be sort of "meh" about it - not thrilled, but not that upset. it's annoying, but not infuriating like a $7M/per would be, and i doubt it's really that.
by nycbirdo on Oct 15, 2007 2:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
USS Mariner...
http://ussmariner.com/organizational-rankings/
by guayzimi on Oct 15, 2007 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
26th...
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 3:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
you are completely unreasonable
by azruavatar on Oct 15, 2007 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i'll second that
by TheFranchise9 on Oct 15, 2007 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry...
Don't agree, that's fine.
BTW....It's not an act.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 5:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Seattle is certainly being run worse
They are in much worse shape than the Cardinals.
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Beltre is tradeable..
by guayzimi on Oct 15, 2007 2:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
his ops last year
by willievinceterry on Oct 15, 2007 6:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Seattle...
I disagree.
Care to make a side wager on who wins more games next year? I won't even adjust for leagues.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 2:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Actually...
I think you put us in this category.
We are actually quite similar to BAL, CHI, TEX and CIN. Teams with the means to compete, sizeable payrolls, and solid fan base...but just don't because of poor baseball decisions.
The way the roster is constructed and looks like it's goind to continue to be contructed,it's quite possible we are the worst team in the NL next year...save the Pirates.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 2:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Stop it
by joker24 on Oct 15, 2007 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Great point
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
baseless "what-if"
by azruavatar on Oct 15, 2007 3:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What?
I'm not discounting the success we've had. I'm talking about going forward.
This team is an absolute mess from top to bottom and it's painfully obvious for anyone who cares to look.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How does the past relate to now?
Hello.... many of the players on past successful teams are still on this team and they still can be as or more productive than they have been the last several years.
Yadi remains a defensive gem and has been progressing offensively. Pujols will have more time to heal this off-season than he's had for years. Edmonds showed signs of heating up several times this season even though he was still recovering from surgeries, and now he will have the winter to focus completely on strengthening (rather than recovering). Rolen's shoulder should have much more flexibility than it had when we won the W.S. We have potential power from Duncan and Ankiel. If Eck stays, he hit offensive highs this year (and he has a tested replacement if he's injured or does not re-sign.) And Kennedy, here's hoping he had an off year.
Pitching is a puzzle, but it's been a puzzle for years. On the bright side, Wainwright was one of the three best pitchers in the NL in the last half of the season and both Looper and Pineiro were reliable. The FO has said that they want to get an additional front of the rotation pitcher. And Carpenter should be back sometime after the AS break. In the meantime, we have back of the rotation guys who can fill in. Plus, Mulder may be productive next year. You should look at the Met's pitching (including their bullpen)--it may make you feel better.
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 3:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ha!
Who would they be?
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think you might be happier rooting for
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I might be happier...
Unfortunately, I have no choice.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
re: "I might be happier..."
actually, there is nothing stopping anyone from becoming a fan of the devil rays, royals, marlins, or any other team that specializes in going "young and cheap" and developing a large number of young players at the major league level each year. that is always an alternative.
by willievinceterry on Oct 15, 2007 6:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ehh..
Not for me. I'm a Cardinals fan.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 10:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Um
Albert Pujols - Look at his numbers from 2007. A down year for Albert is on par with a career year for most ball players. He's got from October to April to get healthy again, more time off then he's had in years.
Yadier Molina - One of two bright spots from the 07 team. He's the best defensive catcher in baseball, and if his 06 playoff and 07 regular season offensive improvements hold up he's an All Star catcher for years to come.
Scott Rolen - I'm not entirely optimistic about his healthy return, but I'd be willing to bet he improves drastically from his 07 numbers. Probably not back to career norms, but enough to be a contributer. Possibly the best defensive third baseman ever.
Jim Edmonds - He's a platoon player at this point, but if he can stay healthy in 08 he's bound to put up better numbers than he did in 07. That's a big if, but it's not out of the question.
Adam Wainwright - The other 07 bright spot. Staff ace material, young, cheap. I think he might regress a bit in 08, but he'll still be in the upper tier of NL starters.
Chris Duncan - Another player plagued by injuries in 07. A healthy Chris Duncan is a solid ball player.
And while the starting pitching was downright awful aside from Wainwright and day-time Braden Looper, the bullpen was one of the best in all of baseball. They'll all be back. And for all the flak they get around here, our bench led the NL in pinch hits. The problem there is that they were forced to start far too much because of all the injuries.
You've really got to cut it out with the gloom and doom stuff. It's not THAT bad. We've been spoiled by years of winning seasons and playoff appearances. For all the injuries and PR disasters and things that went wrong in 2007, we were contenders through the end of August. No, we probably won't be a 100-win juggernaut, but a rotation without a Wells and a starting lineup that stays even remotely healthy and we're in the thick of the 08 Central race.
by stl tyler on Oct 15, 2007 4:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
just want to say
- the team has been one of the best in baseball for the last decade
- our predictions and premonitions about next year are just that -- none of it is fact yet, and projections are often wrong
- it's only a game
if one cannot get enjoyment (only anger and frustration) out of following a sports team -- esp. one as successful as the cards -- then why follow them in the first place?
by willievinceterry on Oct 15, 2007 6:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
True, it's a lousy division...
And I would also like to see more WS appearances. 2 in the last 13 years isn't terrible, but it's not great, either
by DiscoJer on Oct 15, 2007 5:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
2 WS appearances in last 13 years
by spants on Oct 15, 2007 7:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree with Spants
You don't think about 95% of the teams and their fans in MLB would dream to have done that? Only the Yankees and Braves can claim to have been as or more successful as the Cardinals during that stretch.
Until he have a drought to where we haven't made the playoffs in 4 or more years, there isn't a whole lot to complain about in my opinion.
That whole Seattle fansite rankings of baseball front offices or whatever is a joke to have the Cardinals near the bottom and yes I realize we don't even have a real GM right now.
by KYCards on Oct 15, 2007 11:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I dug even deeper
I'm not happy with a lot of stuff right now, but I'm confident that DeWitt wants to win. That gives us an advantage over several MLB franchises. So, let's just all take some pills, wash them down with some scotch, and relax.
by spants on Oct 16, 2007 12:49 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
bobbyballgame, I'm going to ask you
Please don't pick on the Royals-they are proceeding with the right kind of changes to get them out of the mess they were in....
by jillsinmo on Oct 15, 2007 11:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I meant to say a youngish veteran to
by jillsinmo on Oct 15, 2007 11:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Who is woefully average?
by reed600 on Oct 15, 2007 1:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Both of them...
7M (I speculate) for Pineiro.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 2:05 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Springer?
by reed600 on Oct 15, 2007 2:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sure did...
I'm sure he established a new level of performance at age 38....wait, are you Mozeliak himself?
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 2:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe I am Mozeliak...
If you estimate $7M for Pineiro, who out there would be a better/cheaper alternative? Kip Wells?
by reed600 on Oct 15, 2007 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
OK
YOu are probably right and that is a terrible strategy.
"If you estimate $7M for Pineiro, who out there would be a better/cheaper alternative? Kip Wells?"
Do I really have to come up with better ways to spend 7M dollars than a replacement level pitcher?
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 2:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
let's wait until the results start coming in
by willievinceterry on Oct 15, 2007 6:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sooo...
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 11:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jason Marquis
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 11:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Unless I'm wrong
I'm certainly not in love with this signing, but let's be a little less dramatic than saying the Cardinals, posting two 100-win seasons and a World Series championship recently, are the worst run team in baseball.
by mtalken on Oct 16, 2007 1:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The plan is to have both him and Franklin start
by tdawg on Oct 15, 2007 2:01 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
This team...
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 2:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If everything goes right?
Pujols goes back to 35/120
Rolen, Edmonds, Duncan stay healthy and produce 20/70+ each.
Ankiel hits 25/80+
Kennedy returns to career norms
SS isn't a complete blackhole
Wainwright and Looper don't regress.
Mulder returns to April/early May 2006
Carpenter is back shortly after the ASB
Pineiro maintains his 2007 starting level
The bullpen doesn't implode.
That would be everything going 'right' and that would be a talented team, most likely capable of winning the NL Central.
Your hyperbole seems to get worse every diary that passes.
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 2:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You know, I actually agree with
by sdrone on Oct 15, 2007 2:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Have to agree....
by wwbd on Oct 15, 2007 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hmmm...
Not very.
As contructed now, and I don't see it being upgraded, this team wins 70-75 games.
Half of those things you are counting on happening are about as unlikely as me sleeping with Scarlett Johanssen.
Rolen, Edmonds healthy?
Mulder pitching effectively ever again?
Carp coming back and being Carp in '08?
Pipe dream roster that has to have everything go right to compete in the worst division in baseball. Terrible.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You didn't say that
I'm just calling you on the 'sky is falling' overstatement. If everything goes right, this is a talented team. Will everything go right? Hell no. But that's not what you said. You believe that if everyone is healthy and plays at expected levels, the Cardinals will be lucky to win 81 games.
I don't buy that for 1 minute.
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fair enough...
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed.
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 2:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You know, Bobby
As for Pineiro, if he's $5 M per and eats 200 innings, this isn't that bad but, you're right, we are basically paying for a replacement level pitcher -- but one that should provide 200 innings. Now, if we add Eckstein, too -- heads should roll.
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 3:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That ain't hyperbole my friend...
Last year the team won 78 games, and its pythagorean record was 71-91. Izzy will get worse before Edmonds or Mulder gets better, we have two replacement level starters and counting locked into the rotation, and there's not much help on the horizon.
by guayzimi on Oct 15, 2007 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
the post has nothing to do
by azruavatar on Oct 15, 2007 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If the team won...
by guayzimi on Oct 15, 2007 3:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
that's still not what Dave at USSMariner
by azruavatar on Oct 15, 2007 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think we have a misunderstanding...
The rankings had nothing to do with the second paragraph of my post
by guayzimi on Oct 15, 2007 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ahh I see.
by azruavatar on Oct 15, 2007 6:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just because
This organization has its warts, to be sure, but it's not in the bottom 3rd in MLB. My guess is that ranking done by USS Mariner was a reaction to Walt's being fired. Most of the reaction around the country was negative and the idea is that the owner doesn't know what he's doing or he's too meddlesome if he's firing a great, stand--up, GM like Jocketty. To me, it was the right move, assuming Mozeliak isn't hired on and a sign of progress, not regress.
You like Antonetti. Me, too. If DeWitt hires him or Woodfork, this organization will be improving, though most will see it as a step backward.
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hyperbole..
As for the USS Mariner rankings, the Cardinals weren't punished for firing Jocketty. They received a low score in part bacause of what the front office, with Jocketty, became.
by guayzimi on Oct 15, 2007 3:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Disagree...
Couldn't disagree more. This organization is at least that bad and trending downward.
As for your earlier comment. Yes, I do overstate things from time to time. I'm so emotionally invested in this team, as many of us are, that when blatantly stupid baseball decisions are made it sends me into a state of outrage. Some of the statments I made were pure emotion.
However, with a 71-91 pythagorean record last year and the moves that Mozeliak has made so far...I wouldn't call 70 wins out of the question.
If they go into this season with the roster as it sits now...it may be likely.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 3:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks for playing homie
Wow, thanks for being the world's biggest drama queen.
Jocketty hasn't done much in years and he was holding everything back. Hopefully they will get a good GM and one that wants to build up the farm system and one that wants to win instead of doing nothing at all.
However, unlike you, I am waiting to see who they choose and how they go forward. I am not going to have some silly emotional knee jerk reaction (ie. see your post with no good logic.)
>Some of the statments I made were pure emotion.
Well thank God they were based on pure emotion and are not based on any facts. Facts is what it is all about, emotion is meaningless.
by Docwiz on Oct 15, 2007 10:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Man, if a front office that won a WS the
by sdrone on Oct 15, 2007 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Let's see where the money comes in...
Anything over 8 and this deal is no good.
by WiscCard on Oct 15, 2007 2:15 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
13 million
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/7336974
by strainer1 on Oct 15, 2007 2:34 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Unbelievable...
by guayzimi on Oct 15, 2007 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
At least it is no worse than Mulder's
by Zubin on Oct 15, 2007 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
hire a gm
by erik on Oct 15, 2007 2:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was most bothered
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 3:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
OK, that sucks
Isn't the point of getting a new GM allowing him to do something to put his stamp on the team? What's the point of spending so much of the (little) money he has to work with this year before he even shows up?
And if the Cards want to retain so much of the team that Walt put together, what did he do that got him fired? Not refill the water cooler when it was his turn?
by tdawg on Oct 15, 2007 2:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Walt was fired because he did not play
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 2:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Also
The whole change in philosophy thing was/is a complete farce.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just plugged Pineiro's contract into
This also depends on whether they attempt to trade Reyes, Looper, Duncan, Schumaker.
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 2:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Btw, I'm betting we don't get
by sdrone on Oct 15, 2007 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
* vomit *
by jeff abs on Oct 15, 2007 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ugh
by azruavatar on Oct 15, 2007 3:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No,
by azruavatar on Oct 15, 2007 3:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
My daughter loves this book
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 3:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That article
This isn't a great contract, but not the end of the world. He compares favorably to Jeff Suppan heading into his age 29 season—better peripherals and about the same demonstrated innings-eating skills. He's not a great pitcher, but is a good-to-decent 3 or 4 if he can simply maintain the skill level he showed after coming over.
I'd wait to see how the contract is structured before throwing a hissy-fit—if it's something like $5M and $8M, it would be a great deal if he puts up 04/05-Suppan production next year and the next GM trades him next offseason if Boggs or Garcia are ready to step in.
by liam on Oct 15, 2007 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
OK, I like the deal, then
I don't see a problem here.
by liam on Oct 15, 2007 6:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not so sure...
'09 is where the Cardinals should be focusing their efforts...great FA class, help from the farm etc.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 10:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree
The Pineiro deal, while not the end of the world, isn't a good one, but it could be better if the 7.5M and 5M were shifted, because it would at least open up 2.5M more to potentially throw at a better pitcher or shortstop for the 2009 season, when it seems like there's a better free agent crop coming up, in addition to some of our top prospects probably being ready to contribute and even out the roster(both age-wise and salary-wise).
by mtalken on Oct 16, 2007 1:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
piniero's heist...
by MrPlow on Oct 15, 2007 4:57 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Here is good reminder of Pineiro's talents
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=1713128
If Duncan thinks he's found a way to rectify certain bad habits he's picked up since that time and can get him back to his earlier form, then I'm all for signing him.
Anyway, who would you put in his place? He's not bumping anyone on our pitching staff who is better. And I'll bet that other people who offer his potential upsides (and a big upside is that we already know he works effectively with Duncan) will get caught up in a bidding war and will be out of our reach.
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 2:56 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Ahh...
If he can turn chicken shit into chicken salad then why do you have to give 2yrs/13M for the chicken shit. It can be had much cheaper.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
now that's a damned good point
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
no, no, no.
for duncan's powers to take effect, the pitcher in question must have been good at some point several years ago, and then fallen on hard times, due to injury, flaw in mechanics, walking pnumonia, etc. also, the pitcher must come along with several other similar pitchers, on whom the magic does not work, and who we will all ignore.
also, you only get three wishes from the oquendo leprechaun if you rub his head COUNTER-clockwise. a clockwise rub means so taguchi kicks you in the balls.
by nycbirdo on Oct 15, 2007 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Brad Thompson
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 3:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How many pitches does Thompson have?
It just amazes me that people on this site never give up on Reyes-always waiting patiently for him to "recover" his old form, and all the while refusing to admit that any other pitcher could do the same.
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 3:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
you don't have to bet $13m on reyes
by lboros on Oct 15, 2007 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Weaver may have been OK if he stayed here
And what about Duncan's many successes? The list is much longer on that side. We wouldn't have won as much as we have since TLR came to St. Louis if Duncan wasn't the pitching coach. I just think there is an almost pathological dislike for Duncan because Reyes did not succeed.
If Duncan feels confident that he's ALREADY FIXED the problem, as TLR has said in interviews, then he doesn't think of this as a Wellsian kind of experiment. Anyway, we know Wells couldn't make adjustments that Duncan suggested to him and Duncan has made it clear that Pineiro has easily made his suggested adjustments. They shouldn't be equate at all.
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
not piling anything on anyone
i've given duncan full credit for his successes. if pineiro turns out to be a success, i'll credit dunc for that too.
i still wouldn't bet $13.5m on this particular player. lotta downside risk.
by lboros on Oct 15, 2007 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
what the hell does Reyes
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 5:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
not better
but there doesn't have to be someone better for this to be an awful deal. piniero isn't likely to be markedly better than brad thompson next year. even assuming thompson doesn't have more upside than piniero (which i'm actually perfectly willing to grant at this point; i've been successfully un-sold on thompson), thompson still would have given roughly the same performance and cost about $12M less over two years. that plus ryan over eckstein is $20M+ in savings over two years.
by nycbirdo on Oct 15, 2007 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pineiro prior to 2004 was much better
For all of those in hysteria right now, maybe you should go back and watch our last Mets game and listen to Keith Hernandez' glowing descriptions of the quality of Pineiro's pitches. They did say that they thought he was the best pitcher the Mets had faced all year.
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
We didn't sign Pineiro
by azruavatar on Oct 15, 2007 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
well then
by rocKStark5 on Oct 15, 2007 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
and I'm sure your assessment
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Was he???
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Mets won that game
by SleepyCA on Oct 15, 2007 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You miss the point every time
by azruavatar on Oct 15, 2007 6:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Have you ever heard the term
I was responding to the chicken little calls about the sky is falling, which of course is based on solid evidence and has nothing to do with speculation....
And yea, what could I be thinking? How could I rely on remarks by random people, like TLR and Dave Duncan, which I've already mentioned repeatedly? Trusting their assessments must be bad/wrong/ingorant and must MEAN NOTHING because they are looking at a small sample size and comparing it to Joel's past performances. Give it a rest with all the "every times" and "means nothings" and "hasn't ever been decent in 3 years" (I thought he played well enough for us) and other random absolutes you toss about.
BTW, I mistakenly said that it was Keith Hernandez who was positively analyzing Pineiro's pitches during the Mets' game. It was actually Ron Darling, another one of Duncan's "reclamation projects.
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 8:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Tony and Dave aren't infallible
And give it a rest with the unsupported suppositions. You inevitably arrive at grandiose conclusions with no supporting evidence other than something someone said sometime. That's literally what your argument is reduced to -- because a few people have randomly said that Pineiro is going to be good you fall in line.
How many times to you hear respected people come out and trash someone's pitching ability? Never. But you don't think that there aren't plenty of other people that could anecdotally remark on Pineiro's stuff or pitches and say that they thought they a pitcher was crap? Because that seems fallacious to me.
My so called "absolutes" are based on statistical studies with evidence. If you don't like those types of things (you know, things like research and odds and facts) then go play in neverneverland where pitchers magically return to a skillset they haven't exhibited in years. Your condescension towards statistics is annoying, especially for someone who purported them self as an academic.
by azruavatar on Oct 15, 2007 10:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
They didn't know Wells
Your "absolutes" are not always based on statistical studies. You make over the top statements from time to time, like you are making now, which do not seem to be carefully considered, well organized, or adequately documented.
You also sometimes seem adverse to reading other posts attentively--taking out of them what you want rather than what they actually say. I never claimed Duncan is infallible. I said he makes mistakes and isn't perfect. But he still is gifted and has had success with many reclamation projects.
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 10:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
AZ
There IS an anectdotal factor here, not just a statistical one. I think everyone will agree that Pineiro does have some quality pitches. I don't know if he was tipping them (as Dunc suggested) or what, but the facts about him remain.
- He's healthy (better than 40% of our staff)
- He's probably going to stay healthy.
- He has the ability to throw some quality pitches.
- He threw well after coming over to the Cards.
With the team backed into a corner on SP's, we really had no choice, and he was the youngest, healthiest pitcher we could have gotten for that kind of cash.
by Eckstreem on Oct 16, 2007 9:21 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The pineiro deal
by azruavatar on Oct 16, 2007 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There hasn't been a single pitching
by azruavatar on Oct 15, 2007 3:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yea, I happen to think we have a better
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 3:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Apparently Duncan was also the only one
by azruavatar on Oct 15, 2007 6:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You said someplace you would get along well
Yes, I believe Dunc is especially gifted at spotting discarded pitchers who can be "repaired." He makes mistakes, He's not perfect. But I think there are not a lot of coaches who can do what he does as well as he does.
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 8:55 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
ok
by azruavatar on Oct 15, 2007 10:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not taking a stance one way or another
He said they fixed the flaw and Pineiro went the next 10 starts with a 3.68 ERA, a 5.8 K/9, a 9.6 H/9 and a 1.5 BB/9. Nothing to spectacular, but servicable.
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 3:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
apropos of nothing
but if it were to continue? i mean, 3.68 era, k/bb of almost 4? that's not "serviceable." that's "better than wainwright."
but. it's not going to continue.
by nycbirdo on Oct 15, 2007 3:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hopefully
by plh903 on Oct 16, 2007 1:07 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Many of his stats were all off from what I've read
It doesn't fully mean he's capable of posting a sub 4.0 ERA, but it doesn't mean he's NOT capable of posting a sub 4.0 ERA either.
by mtalken on Oct 16, 2007 1:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Walk Rate...
His strand rate was abnormally high.
Both if they revert back to the mean.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 16, 2007 2:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Very bad...
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 16, 2007 2:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's what TLR said was the problem
And wow...what a lot of hostility towards Duncan. You'd think he never gave us any winning pitchers in the past. He doesn't have to be a miracle worker to have successes. We don't live in a black and white world like that--people can be successful and not be perfect, you know. More hyperbole... on and on it goes....
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 3:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
11 starts
by erik on Oct 15, 2007 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I never said it was
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
TLR said that Duncan felt this way
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 4:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
both of these are bad arguments.
- the "i guess we won't know until we see him next year" argument would be fine if this deal were for 1.3 instead of 13. but 13 million over two years should buy a lot more than "wait and see." that's pretty much why people are upset.
- true, dewitt can spend the money how he wants. but if he spends it unwisely, the cards won't be as good. and we think this was unwise. are we not allowed to say that? we're fans, just like you; every one of these moves will have a direct impact on our happiness in the future. why shouldn't we voice our opinions?
by nycbirdo on Oct 15, 2007 7:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
What bothers me the most
Hopefully one of the other candidates will bring it up. To me, this is showing how eminently UNqualified Mozeliak is but it may give the impression that he's qualified.
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 3:13 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Mo...
(We need to get younger and more athletic at SS, 3B, 2B...well, virtually every position on the field)
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 3:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
that's a lot easier to do
by SleepyCA on Oct 15, 2007 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
(also)
Right now we have no guarantees that anyone fitting that description available is available; a blockbuster trade is a possibility, but it involves more risk than an FA signing, and going into trade negotiations with too weak of a position is just begging to be Muldered.
by SleepyCA on Oct 15, 2007 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
yes, but
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 5:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How?
We didn't trade any talent, and we didn't lose draft picks by signing someone else's FA. All we did was commit a little too much money to a pitcher already under our control. That will limit our ability to sign a big-name FA, perhaps, but it's only a 2 year deal and a lot of money comes off the books after 2008 (~$40M, unless they extend edmonds/looper/mulder/izzy/speez/springer). 2 years from now, Garcia or Walters or whoever else is ready can take his place if he isn't worth extending.
by SleepyCA on Oct 15, 2007 6:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How?
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 10:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i have to believe
On the bright side, we've potentially filled a rotation spot without sacrificing any prospects, which could fit into DeWitt's comments regarding a new direction for the franchise. Money is just money, and there are no awards for finishing second with an efficient payroll...
by SleepyCA on Oct 15, 2007 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's a very important point
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 3:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i mean,
by nycbirdo on Oct 15, 2007 7:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i keep hearing this repeated
Mo probably paid too much, but what we bought was a "slightly below average pitcher with potential", not a "replacement level" pitcher, and all he cost us was money, which is a renewable resource.
by SleepyCA on Oct 15, 2007 8:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
the marginal difference between a replacement
by azruavatar on Oct 15, 2007 8:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i've been struggling with this
Also, what metric do you think should be used monetarily value a pitchers contribution? $xM/PRAR or $xM/VORP etc?
by SleepyCA on Oct 15, 2007 10:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Set your replacement
No need for BP's retarded replacement level then.
by plh903 on Oct 16, 2007 1:10 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
in-house
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 16, 2007 1:17 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Money hyperbole aside:
by plh903 on Oct 16, 2007 1:29 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah?
His Zips are based on bouncing from the bullpen to the starting rotation. I'd be interested to see who they rate if he is strictly used as a starter.
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 16, 2007 2:25 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You can ask Dan
Since it looks like the bulk of his innings are as a starter, I imagine you'd see similar numbers.
by plh903 on Oct 16, 2007 2:39 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
the hyperbole part is pretty damn funny
by nycardfan on Oct 16, 2007 1:46 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
denominator should be
by nycbirdo on Oct 16, 2007 1:18 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
what would you use?
by nycbirdo on Oct 16, 2007 2:27 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't really like
Oh, and to use Kip Wells as an e.g., in 2007 BP has his production at +17 PRAR and a 1.6 WARP3 -- which according to MORP is probably worth some stupid amount of money. So anyway, that's proprietary, and it's a "50/50 pitching and fielding split, with 6.11 being the RL RA" if I'm reading it correctly.
So if you are basing how much someone should be paid, and are using WARP, it tells you that a guaranteed 5.70 ERA has some value. Something like $3M-4M probably according to MORP. 17 runs worse than that (we'll pretend like you can just add those on to Kip's ERA) is a 6.66 ERA. Woo hoo!
If I were to figure out wins between him and Brad Thomspon, I'd just use the runs against numbers for the ZiPS -- or when PECOTA comes out, VORP would work for me.
by plh903 on Oct 16, 2007 2:57 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Money is NOT
Working with a budget is a zero-sum game -- if we use some of it, it precludes us from using it again on someone else. I realize it's not YOUR money that is being spent here. Perhaps that's your argument? But it doesn't mean that there is an unlimited amount that ownership will spend. Spending it on Pineiro precludes us from spending it on someone better!
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 10:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Of course you can get it back
If he's crap and has no trade value, then ya...he is sunk cost.
But if this signing frees the Cardinals up to move Braden Looper for something (same cost) they've replaced Looper with a pitcher they believe can be successful, costs the same (this year) and will still get a return from someone for Looper.
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 10:50 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
If Looper could've been traded
It is conceivable that the Pineiro signing will set off a chain reaction, whereby Lohse, and Silva, and Livan, and Fogg and others all become vastly overpaid. Perhaps, then, Looper and the $5.5 M still owed to him makes him become much more palatable to other teams, thus making them more likely to trade for him. But that's reaching quite a bit for now.
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 11:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
by "renewable" i mean...
We have to do something about our pitching. 2007 was a miserable year. WJ left Mo holding a terrible hand; he's going to have to dig us out of the hole WJ put us in, and letting available talent walk away is not the way to do it. We're GOING to have to overpay some players to get back on our feet.
For those saying the free agent pool after next season is going to be so much better -- wait until mid-2008, and I think we'll find a lot of those exciting free agents safely tucked away with long-term deals and unavailable.
by SleepyCA on Oct 15, 2007 11:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Overpaying
It is OK to overpay for some free agents -- top-notch free agents, not those that are a handful of runs better than Brad Thompson. Signing Joel Pineiro to a backloaded, overpaid contract doesn't put the Cards back on their feet. It stunts their growth.
by chuckb on Oct 16, 2007 12:39 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Stunts their growth
I just don't see how Joel Pineiro sets the team backwards. Buying out Anthony Reyes arbitration, that would stunt the teams growth. Overpaying (we assume before seeing the contracts the FA pitchers get this year) for Joel Pineiro is a sideways move.
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 16, 2007 12:43 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
your right
Screw losing, imho.
by SleepyCA on Oct 16, 2007 1:34 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd rather...
I'd gladly sacrifice '08...if it meant we don't have to be mired in 75-80 win seasons for the next five years.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 16, 2007 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Take it easy, Champ.
No wonder agents love Mozeliak!
What a horrible contract at 2 years and $13 million. I am scared for what Eckstein will get. How about the 4 years and 40 million the Cards wouldn't pony up for Edgar back in 2004?
by JMedwick on Oct 15, 2007 3:35 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Pinero
Who do all you negative people think we should get? Our system has no pitcher better than Joel. He is not blocking a singler arm at this point. I think the deal seems reasonable.
Livan Hernandez and Josh Fogg will be so over priced it will not be funny. Fogg more so because he has never really done anything either.
What pitchers do you guys want?
by ICbirdfan on Oct 15, 2007 3:51 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Anthony Reyes
What about Brad Thompson?
Or maybe Wellemeyer?
Or even Franklin?
Seems to me like saving at least 9 million over 2 seasons makes alot more sense.
by JMedwick on Oct 15, 2007 3:56 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Anthony Reyes has trouble mimic-ing
If Anthony Reyes or Brad Thompson outpitch Joel Pineiro, isn't that a problem we'd like to have?
The money is Bill DeWitt's and if Joel Pineiro for 2 years and $13 M keeps us from getting Josh Fogg or Livan Hernandez...Yippee!!!
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Reyes
The Cards have so many ordinary arms they just need to stock pile them. They learned this year there is no such thing as too much pitching.
This deal does not seem that bad.
Jason Marquis signed for more last year.
This is about league average people.
by ICbirdfan on Oct 15, 2007 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
why should we stockpile arms
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 4:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes and No...
I see what you are saying, but if that happens it just means we are stuck with another player that noone wants with a contract that noone wants.
Also, that depends on just how bad Pineiro pitches. It's quite possible that Thompson and Reyes throw up an ERA of about 5 and still outpitch Joel.
I don't think that would have anyone jumping up and down out of joy.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't get it...
He hasn't been above replacement level since 2003...yes 2003.
6.5M is a reasonable price to pay, but not for such a gamble.
You can roll the dice, but why pay 6.5M for it. You can find a replacement level pitcher for the league minimum.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Known quantity vs other FA
They obviously think he's better than replacement level. We'll see.
by meat on Oct 15, 2007 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i don't know where you are getting your numbers
year PRAR3
2000 2
2001 27
2002 65
2003 63
2004 37
2005 24
2006 9
2007 29
by SleepyCA on Oct 15, 2007 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
According to BP...
It all depends on the metric.
He's been a bad pitcher since for over 3 years now.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 4:52 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
still not following
Where are you getting your VORP numbers, btw? The "VORP for pitchers" statistic selection is unusable due to the slowness of BP's server, but the specific claim you are making now -- "cumulative 5 VORP since 2004" doesn't mesh with the WARP3 values (10.3 cumulative for 2004-2006) on the DT card.
Are you just pulling this stuff out of your arse and pretending the stats are real? If so, that's a Very Bad Thing imho.
by SleepyCA on Oct 15, 2007 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
OK, stat selection worked
The VORP for 2004-2007 is 22, according to BP.
YEAR VORP WARP3
2004 18.4 3.3
2005 2.3 2.2
2006 -14.4 0.9
2007 12.7 0.7
2007 3.0 2.1
by SleepyCA on Oct 15, 2007 5:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ok...
Here you go....
www.baseballprospectus.com/pecota/pineijo01.php
Look at the VORP on this page.
Cumulative since the end of 2003....5.6 or about 5.
Link good enough for you? My goodness.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Whatever...
No need for the superior attitude.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 5:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
i posted that before you apologized
by SleepyCA on Oct 15, 2007 6:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
"i posted that before you apologized"
As for the negativity...well, if there were something to be positive about then you probably wouldn't see it. I don't think too many people were bemoaning a WS championship.
However, when a 78 win team (with no GM, a luke warm roster, and a manager who lives in the past) is doing everything possible to retain the same roster...well, you see what you get.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 11:02 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Actually...
Anyway, I wasn't just "pulling stats out of my ass"
I think, while arguing semantics, my original point has been lost.
-----He's been a bad, bad, bad, bad pitcher since the end of the 2003 season save 11 starts with the Cardinals where he was tolerable at best------
Therefore, the contract he received is ill-advised, short-sighted and foolish....regardless if his VORP is 5 or 9. Neither of those numbers, over a 3 year time period, are anywhere close to resembling a good pitcher.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
In Pineiro's Defense
by Jonathan23 on Oct 15, 2007 3:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
but there's a reason he gave up more HRs
by lboros on Oct 15, 2007 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hate to play
by Jonathan23 on Oct 15, 2007 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
it's possible
by lboros on Oct 15, 2007 4:32 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
This Whole Thing
I've said several times that this staff is made up of a #2, borderline ace (Wainwright), and a whole bunch of 4s and 5s. Add Mr. Piniero to the list. I certainly hope he's more like Dave Stewart, Woody Williams, or Todd Stottlemyre than Kip Wells or Brett Tomko. I'll admit he's got some good stuff...But three years of stinking scares me.
by redbirdnation8206 on Oct 15, 2007 3:56 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Problem
There is no other option really. It's not like we have studs at the minor league level who we could just throw into the fire. We are stuck, and we need people to eat innings.
Now I don't think Kip Wells or Anthony Reyes will eat innings. They had plenty of chances last year and did nothing with the opportunity.
by ICbirdfan on Oct 15, 2007 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pineiro ...
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
This quote
Those strikes don't do a lot of good when they get crushed for a home run.
by ryanisforever on Oct 15, 2007 4:01 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Have you bothered to count up how many games
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fuck.
by Alxfritz on Oct 15, 2007 4:11 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
best post in the thread
by lboros on Oct 15, 2007 4:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Right. Hope Luhnow reads that keen assessment.
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 4:35 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Still need a frontline starter
Who are they going to get? They've got atleast $14 M left to play with. AJ Burnett for $12 M?
That would leave them $2 M to get an OF bat or a SS.
Does Looper become a priority to trade and clear his $5.5 M? That buys them $7 M for a SS.
Rotation
Burnett
Wainwright
Pineiro
Mulder
Thompson
Ugh. Who knows.
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 4:25 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Thinking about it
Curt Schilling - $13 M (07)
Tom Glavine - $11 M (07)
Double Ugh.
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why won't someone give us a discount?
Glavine is rumored to be going to the Braves for a discount.
For whatever a rumor's worth.
by stl tyler on Oct 15, 2007 4:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Players tend to give discounts to teams
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 4:37 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
carpenter gave a discount
by willievinceterry on Oct 15, 2007 6:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I am surprised to see that Schilling is
by jillsinmo on Oct 15, 2007 9:49 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm from Missouri
by sdrone on Oct 15, 2007 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
amen brother
by sdesserman on Oct 15, 2007 5:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was all for bringing back Piniero
As soon as the talks got over 9M it should have been "Well kid, have fun with free agency."
As a question for someone who is a better statistician than me, how well would Piniero have to perform over the next two seasons to be worth 13M dollars?
I wanted to bring back Jo-el, but I certainly didn't think it would take that much. I'm holding my ire in for now, but if we re-sign Eckstein I'm going to be ticked.
by stl tyler on Oct 15, 2007 4:30 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
How bad did they want him?
They probably overpaid for 1 less year.
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 4:33 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
This signing shows 2 flaws
1)they have no minor league starters who can be counted on to contribute in 2008
2)Tony LaRussa is still in charge of the major league roster
Another scary thought I heard from the interim GM this week...he is counting on Mark Mulder to be ready for opening day.
by lefty fan on Oct 15, 2007 4:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That's worse than the Piniero signing
by stl tyler on Oct 15, 2007 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think he meant 'ready' for their 8 am
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 4:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
#1
Jamie Garcia- may be out all of 2008 with elbow injury.
Adam Ottavio- really wild! He hits 98 MPH and throws mid 90's when worrying about control. Has stuff to be a top line pitcher if he gains some control. I guess his mechanics are kind of bad.
Tyler Herron- Just started pitching after high school. Never seen as a top of the rotation guy but could develope.
The Cards pitching situation is not good at the minor league level.
Pitching is getting more expensive every year so if you can't develope it you have to buy it. That is why people who argue the $$ of the Pinerio signing are not thinking. The cost of pitching will be more next year as well, the price never just stops or goes down. So if you can't develope it you have to trade or buy. The Cardinals do not have the system to trade at this point.
by ICbirdfan on Oct 15, 2007 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ugghhhh
Wow...just, wow.
It amazes me that every time I read a piece of news about the Cards it leaves me shaking my head in disgust/disbelief.
Also, you make a good point. Tony is in charge of this roster, especially with Mozeliak. I'm sure Tony called him today to lay out the terms of an Eckstein extension. Not to mention contracts for So and Miles.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
flaws
indeed, what a massive flaw to have one of the top three winningest managers in history in charge of the team.
by willievinceterry on Oct 15, 2007 7:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Tony...
Yes, it is a huge flaw to have him contructing our roster and here's why...
- The game has changed. With the salaries these players are getting paid you can't afford to make mistakes.
- This team does not have the budget to field proven veterans at every position.
- Tony will not commit to a young player..no matter the situation. The only time one gets to play is when Tony is forced into it. I shutter to think what would have happened had Bobby Bonilla not gotten hurt in ST.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 11:08 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm not a HUGE LaRussa supporter
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 11:14 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Me too...
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 16, 2007 12:23 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Priorities??738
- HIRE A REAL GM!!! If you want Mozeliak making moves, remove the "interim" from his title, but if you don't want him handling the big kid tasks, get someone else in here!!
- Once the GM is hired, handle the LaRussa and Duncan situation. It's simple. LaRussa likes the GM, he probably stays. He doesn't, he goes. And no matter what anyone else says, Duncan will do whatever LaRussa does.
- Start your off-season resignings, trades, signings, etc. But get your front office and manager situation fixed first. Piniero is ultimately Duncan's "project". What if Duncan isn't here next season? Wait, what's that flushing sound??? 13 million down the toilet. Who knows what Joel will do the next two seasons, but I'd sure like to be certain that his "mentor" is going to be in that dugout with him in '08 and '09. If not, I hope we have a clause in his contract that voids the entire thing if LaRussa and Duncan bolt town.
Here are some #s since 2003 (thru 2007) for two pitchers, the same age:
ERA W-L IP Salary
Pitcher A 4.96 44-51 804 2008:6 mil 2009:7 mil
Pticher B 4.47 52-49 860 2008:11 mil 2009:11 mil
Pitcher C 4.83 48-45 738 2008:7.7 mil 2009:8.5 mil
By now I'm sure you figured out that pitcher A is Pineiro. But look how he stacks up to other pitchers his age and caliber. I am, like I said, withholding judgement for now. However, I did find this information interesting.
Oh, by the way. Pitcher B was Gil Meche (who is also signed with KC in '10 and '11 for 12 mil each year), and pitcher C was Adam Eaton (who has a mutual option in Philly for '10 at 9 mil).
by joecardsfan on Oct 15, 2007 4:36 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I'll agree it's not the worst contract ever
Shows what I know, I guess. Some very, very bad pitchers are going to get some very, very good deals this year.
by stl tyler on Oct 15, 2007 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Duncan is under contract
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pineiro is the definition of AAA flotsam
CAN WE HIRE A GM PLZ K THX
by JI on Oct 15, 2007 4:40 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Pinero's biggest prblem
Be shocked if he posts and ERA below 5.
by JI on Oct 15, 2007 4:42 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Piniero was juicing?
I wonder what pitch f/x says about his breaking pitches bite.
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It is in Seattle.
by JI on Oct 15, 2007 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
that's not a story, it's baseless blog speculation
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 4:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
The authors of USSM and LL
by JI on Oct 15, 2007 5:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nonsense
by liam on Oct 15, 2007 6:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nope.
by JI on Oct 15, 2007 9:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You mean like Pujols' power drain
And I just spent the last 30 minutes looking for anything other than that joking article finding Pineiro linked to steroids.
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 9:31 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
thanks for spending time doing that research
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 9:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
There are more exchanges like this.
by JI on Oct 15, 2007 10:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Uh, they explained
by Hardcore Legend on Oct 15, 2007 10:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
No
As for Pineiro: sucked, added a bunch of velocity out of nowhere, was awesome, lost said velocity, and has sucked since.
by JI on Oct 16, 2007 2:43 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
To my point earlier
The guys at LL are good writers who make a lot of jokes, many of them great (like the Weaver shift).
And you've got Pineiro's history all wrong. He had a promising minor league career. He struggled a bit in his first call-up. He dominated in his rookie year and was great his next two. After that, he started to struggle due to gopheritis (2004) then peripherals trending in the wrong direction (2005-2006).
It's speculative joking. Ain't no contacts within the Mariners organization that would talk about current or former players using steroids.
by liam on Oct 16, 2007 3:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Apologies for the tone
Pineiro injured his elbow in 2004. His strikeout rate dropped off after that but came back some last year. I'd blame the injury before tagging him a cheater.
by liam on Oct 16, 2007 4:10 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Believe me
http://minors.baseball-reference.com/players.cgi?pid=26337
by JI on Oct 16, 2007 12:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I hate baseless juicing rumors
by nycardfan on Oct 15, 2007 4:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
see post above yours
If you have a better idea please show it with stats like above.
This deal is not that bad. Just wait you will see worse moves by other teams. Pitching is not that deep anymore, so an ERA in the 4's with past success is going to get you $$$$
by ICbirdfan on Oct 15, 2007 4:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
You can get dozens of pitchers ust like Piniero
by JI on Oct 15, 2007 5:54 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
the mike hampton
by sdesserman on Oct 15, 2007 6:00 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Flushing $13m down the shitter
by JI on Oct 15, 2007 9:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's not a bad deal
So Baltimore's signing Jamie Walker to a bad contract last offseason wasn't really bad b/c Houston signed Carlos Lee to a horrible contract?
Nope. Bad is bad, and this is it. There will be worse, to be sure, but it doesn't make this one shine any brighter.
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 10:40 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think what was meant is
Now please don't think I am saying this is a great signing or that I think Piniero is necessarily worth 13 mil over two years. But who is that would be worth it? Also, compared to all the other FA pitchers signed last year, and that will sign this year, 2 years is delightful as opposed to 3, 4, 5, or in Barry Zito's case 23 years. Let's wait and see how this pans out before we say it's horrible.
We all agree it's not what we necessarily wanted, but if he pitches 200+ innings, has an ERA around 4-4.5, and keeps us in ball games, we'll be saying how great it is that he only costs $6.5 mil/yr. Now if he tanks, it will affirm our first thoughts, but I'm holding off judgement until May/June '08.
by joecardsfan on Oct 16, 2007 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wow
by aet15 on Oct 15, 2007 4:52 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Well...
Looks like nearly 85% of people on this board disagree.
Baseball is just better here. People here tend to question conventional wisdom and come to some really good conclusions.
You almost never see anybody touting W/L records here.
VEB...home of the knowledgable fan.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 5:22 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Ohh...
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It probably shouldn't
He already gave Springer too much money. Now he's given Pineiro too much money. And he's negotiating w/ Eckstein. There should be no negotiation. We should offer him arbitration and say "Thanks for the memories!" Mozeliak seems to be going in the opposite direction from where we need to be going and the fact that he's going there so quickly tells me DeWitt needs to speed up the process of selecting a GM -- unless he's already selected one!
by chuckb on Oct 15, 2007 6:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think you are right...
Why else would he allow him to go all willy-nilly if he wasn't being given the job.
Very disappointing. The Cardinals will be the last team to change and we will all pay for it.
by bobbyballgame1 on Oct 15, 2007 11:12 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know why...
We heard several days ago the cardinals were trying to negotiate a multi year deal with piniero.
When a team wants to negotiate a multi year deal to retain a crappy player it works 100% of the time. No way with Piniero's #'s or recent history would he be bold enough to test the market and allow the Cardinals to possibly retain him.
So I was mourning this resigning several days ago. It was already a done deal. And, based upon the ludicrous contracts handed out last year I figured 14 million was in the ballpark. 13.5 actually seems like a victory. That's 500,000 dollars more we can give to make sure Gary Bennett doesn't slip away.
To me this was good news. Multi can mean an awful lot of things. The smallest thing it can mean is 2. So in two years we can look forward to this contract and kennedys being off the books.
The signing and the overpaying was a done deal. Mo was just giving us something to look forward to in two years.
by bretsyboo on Oct 15, 2007 5:56 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Costs of signing Pinerio:
1. Does the Pinerio signing preclude us from a better free agent that we would have been able to afford without him?
-opinion: No for 2008, Maybe for 2009. Anyone that has seen the free agent list for 2008 can't think that we'd get someone as good or better for 5 million. Remember, just because we have money in the budget to spend, doesn't mean there is some magical player out there to spend it on. Even if there was such player, they would have to then agree to sign with the Cardinals (I doubt Glavine/Schilling would come here unless we offered them crazy money) and that signing would have to fit in a budget (i.e. no crazy Suppan signings). So in essence, we didn't spend our money (Dewitt spent his), and in 2008 Pinerio will be better (however marginally) than our alternatives. It's difficult to say about 2009, and the detractors have a very valid point with this one. But, none of us know the budget for 2009 (or the free agents for that matter, players can still sign with their teams ala Mark Buehrle), but I expect contracts to go up, possibly making this deal a (relative) bargain. Gulp
2. Is Pinerio blocking someone that needs development IN THE MAJOR LEAGUES for 2008 or 2009?
-opinion- we are bereft of starting pitcher talent in AAA. Reyes could possibly turn things around, but there are still 2 spots open in the rotation (and Reyes would probably need to earn a 5th spot, once he found his missing velocity).
3. Who does Pinerio replace from the 2007 team? Will he be better than that person in 2008?
-opinion- He was better than all but Wainright in 2007, so I would say yes to this. He would seem to provide some stability to a position where we had very little. While people seem to disagree on what he will provide, most people think he will at least be league averagish innings eater. (Which I still contend that his 5 mil salary will be a bargain at the end of the year for a LAIE)
You may not agree with me in my opinions, but I think these are valuable questions to ask when evaluating the signing.
Remember, every year everyone picks out 10 players they think the Cardinals should pick up. Invariably 9 of them fail to perform or get picked for MUCH higher than what they were expected to go for (or both). One of these players performs so well that the "expert fan" says, 'SEE, we should have signed him!' It would be interesting to see what everyone said last year (Giles, Schmidt, Meche, etc.) and compare them to performance. Hell, even Burnett (who I'd love to have), hasn't performed up to his contract so far due to (surprise!) injury.
If you really want to evaluate what the Cardinals do this offseason, pick out who you would take over them (and for how much). See how close you come to what they actually get, then see how they perform this year. Invariably you will get some right and some wrong (but probably mostly wrong). I think you'd be surprised how things are different in the "imperfect" world.
by MRCARD on Oct 15, 2007 6:15 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
We did what you suggest at the end
It was fun, if a little humbling.
by liam on Oct 15, 2007 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I won't be mad at this Pinerio signing..as long as
- LaRussa & Duncan are back for next season. Because yeah I think Pinerio can be our 2008 version of Jeff Suppan as long as Duncan is keeping his eye on Joel.
- If DeWitt is serious about getting a "front line" starter later this winter. If that is just "talk" then I will be pissed. But if they are truely going to get a sure thing 13-15 game winner then signing Joel as a 4th or 5th starter I can live with even with the price tag.
by KYCards on Oct 15, 2007 6:30 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
This is a terrible signign
by mojowo11 on Oct 15, 2007 6:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
optimism...
- It's only two years: we're not getting locked into a 3 or 4 year deal, which marginal pitchers have been getting (Batista, Marquis, Eaton, Meche, etc.).
- It's two years: After next year, we lose Mulder and Looper. We don't have any guarantees that anyone from the farm system will be MLB-ready by then. We don't know what to expect from Carp in '09. Basically, past '08 all we've got for sure is Wainwright. This provides some level of certainty. So we get some stability for '09 without having to go beyond that.
- It's only $6.5mn/year: The average annual value is less than Marquis', or any of the marginal FAs signed last year. It will certainly be less than what Lohse or Silva is going to get. Like this signing or not, it is definitely below-market. Hell, Jeff Weaver was DFA last year, reclaimed by the Cards, pitched worse than Piniero (at least until the playoffs) and got $8mn this year. Assuming the Lohse/Silva types can get something like 3/$24 or 4/$32 (or more), this deal is substantially cheaper in both dollars and years than any other option.
- It's worth it: I think it's probably reasonable to expect Piniero to provide 180+ innings @ ~ 4.50 - 5.00 ERA. In other words, it's reasonable to expect Piniero to match Looper's level of production from this year. In '08, Looper will be making about the same as Piniero (since both deals are backloaded). If we're fine with Looper, why wouldn't we be fine with Piniero?
- We didn't sacrifice prospects: The only other real options were to trade for a Contreras-type, who might not be any better, will have a higher salary, and will cost us prospects. By signing Piniero, we can afford to keep our prospects. This is consistent with the player-development philosophy that DeWitt (outwardly) espouses. Also, by not signing a Silva/Lohse type, we won't be giving up any draft picks.
- There wasn't another option: Going into '08, our rotation options are (roughly in order of desirability) Wainwright, Looper, Reyes, Thompson, Mulder, Franklin, Maroth. Past Wainwright, the chances of any one of those guys completely washing out is pretty high. Adding as many possibly-average options as possible seems wise, when you don't have any proven commodities.
by kindred on Oct 15, 2007 6:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs


