FanPost

Can the Stros do it? Part II

On Sept. 1 the Stros were 6 games back. I predicted the Cards would finish up 15-15, and, given this, the Stros would need to close with a 20-8 record to tie. They could acheive 20-8 by posting a 12-4 record in games started by Clemens-Oswalt-Pettitte, and an 8-4 record in those started by Wandy-Hirsh-Buchholz-etc...

Well, so far the Cards have gone 9-13, and the Stros 11-10. The Stros are 9-3 in games started by their aces, but have gone just 2-7 in games started by everyone else. In games started by Oswalt they are 5-0.

Looking ahead at their remaining games, they can probably squeeze in two more Oswalt starts if they pitch him on short rest, but Clemens and Pettitte can only go once more each, and Pettitte may not be able to go at all. Hirsh will get another start, and Matt Albers (2 career starts) is slated to start twice more.

The Stros were playing worse than the Cards prior to this disastrous series and their best case scenario appears to be 5-2 over their last 7. The Cards would then have to manage 3-5 to win it.

Bottom line: The Stros had a decent chance to catch the Cards on Sept 1, but not much of one now. The Cards will take the division with 83 pathetic wins.

Fun fact: This is the fourth year in a row Houston has swept a series from the Cardinals in September.

 

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Viva El Birdos

You must be a member of Viva El Birdos to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Viva El Birdos. You should read them.

Join Viva El Birdos

You must be a member of Viva El Birdos to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Viva El Birdos. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker