Is it heresy to suggest that the Astros have at least an even money chance to gain 6 games on the Cardinals over the final month?

Our home/road scheduling advantage has largely evaporated, and their starting pitching is right now the best in baseball.

They have Clemens/Pettitte/Oswalt for 16 of the final 28 games. They could easily win 12 of these. They have Hirsh and Wandy for the other 12. If they win 8 of these, a 15-15 finish for the Cards means a one-game playoff.

Granted, the bats would have to start doing something to win 4 of Wandy's starts, but Hirsh could very well be dominant down the stretch (or he could be terrible, he's their Reyes)...

Also, they have 3 off days in September, while we have 1...