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the goodbye look

i saw the cardinals in person a mere week ago and they looked sharp. they toughed out a 1-0 win on the road vs a contending team -- rolen made a game-saving play with the glove -- and the next day the B-team wore down the rockies and the cardinals won 6-1. when they game ended they came charging off the field, looking like they owned it; i even e-mailed a friend of mine, "i'm encouraged; they have got 'the look.'"

wha' happen?

could it be something as simple as the heat? on the first weekend of the year, recall, they went up to a frigid wrigley field and got swept, and afterward a few guys admitted the freezing temps had taken off the edge; they just didn't feel like playing in that environment. maybe now they don't feel like playing because of the swelter? i'm grasping at straws here; but then, the team seems to be made of straw right about now.

i've seen all i need to of weaver; the experiment failed. he was worth a look, but these early blowouts sap morale, and the cards appear to have reached the limits of theirs. weaver's next turn comes monday in cincinnati, the first game of an important series; the cardinals simply can't afford to send him out there.

common sense dictates that his slot should go to wainwright, but it remains la russa's policy to run other, less competent pitchers out there. fine; he's the manager, it's his call. next best thing might be to move sosa into the rotation; tony's comments in matt leach's pregame notes suggest that they're already inclined to do that: "I think he's proven he could start. It probably has to do with need."

there is need.

other options: the cards could call up brad thompson or tankersley for a start; they could put hancock in there and call up falkenborg for the bullpen. any of those options beats weaver, imho; give him his release and move on.

mulder's slated to make his first rehab start sunday, august 6, for quad cities; his second would fall on friday, august 11, which would make him next available on wednesday, august 16. the cardinals will be playing the reds at home that night; if the rotation continues to stink and mulder's first two rehab starts are successful, i wouldn't be shocked to see mark activated for that game, which falls two weeks from tonight. indeed, joe strauss intimates that's plan A -- and that the odd man out may be anthony reyes, who has a lower era, lower whip, and higher k/w than any of the other 7 starting pitchers the cards have employed this year except carpenter . . . .

. . . . . can't trust those rookies.

how likely is it that mulder can come back and pitch effectively again this season? i made a quick survey of recent playoff teams, looking for an analog -- not a systematic search, just fishing around --- and couldn't find one. kevin brown returned from back and hand injuries to pitch (badly) for the yanks in the 2004 postseason; josh beckett overcame 7 weeks' idlement from pitching-hand blisters in 2003 to win the series mvp. in our own little world, woody williams returned from a long DL stint to pitch well in 2002, and john tudor did likewise in 1987 . . . . but none of these guys had a shoulder injury. so i can't find a hopeful precedent, but my purview is pitifully small; if anybody knows of a case where a pitcher sat for 2 months with a shoulder injury but came back and was effective in that same year, post a comment. i'd like to know how wishful it is to think that mulder might still bail the cardinals out of this mess.

a sign of life from larry bigbie --- he hit a homer, his first at any level so far in 2006. mike parisi pitched 6.1 effective innings for the win, his 7th. mitchell boggs was effective last night too, winning his 9th game for palm beach. he now ranks 6th in that talent-rich league in strikeouts and 15th in era.

i'm out of pocket all day, not back until right before game time; if i don't get a game thread up before 1st pitch, just carry on here. marquis vs cole hamels is the matchup.

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Streakiest Cardinal team in a long time...
We've seen losing streaks of 6 games and more, winning streaks of seven... the see-saw effect can be clearly seen in the Hardball TImes' division graphs: http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/teams/nlcentral/

I agree with your earlier sentiments, that our margin for error in games is gone. But what is behind this incredible, and very un-LaRussa-like, lack of consistency? It'd be interesting to chart some possible related factors, like BABIP against our pitchers, or two-seam fastballs thrown, along these graphs and look for causality.

by taiko on Aug 3, 2006 9:00 AM EDT reply actions  

I'm sure Tony won't let
Wainwright have a shot in the rotation. He's too valuable in the pen you know. Tony just has to have him available to pitch in those close games...

Whatever those are...

"I grew up in Oklahoma, and once you start runnin' out there there ain't nothin' to stop you" - Johnny Leonard Roosevelt "Pepper" Martin

by iron duke75 on Aug 3, 2006 9:01 AM EDT reply actions  

I was at the game last night
it was ugly...

Not only did Weaver blow up early and quickly but I'm not sure he cared...or at least he was so dejected that he didn't know what to do.  He got (kinda) booed of the field and he just seemed to meander to the dugout head down...dejected.

Tyler Johnson came and put out Utley and Howard quickly, rather impressively.

Belliard looked silly in his second, IIRC, at bat against Myers.  I'll give Myers credit, he was sharp last night and the strike zone seemed conducive to pitchers as well.  But if the question was what can fix the cardinals...Belliard just ain't the answer.  I'm not even sure Belliard plays second...more like a VERY shallow RF.

Left when we were down 8-2 in the 7th so I missed some of the late game heroics and misadventures but i agree lboros.  No life.  No passion. No drive.  There was no hard nine last night.  There may have been a hard 3.1 but once Weaver crumbled there didn't seem to be alot of giddyup to the team through the middle innings.  In previous years I would have stayed regardless of the score because we came back in those games...not anymore.

I'm of the philosophy that pitching makes a great team.  I'm ok with our lesser offense if the pitching were better...but it isn't.  I love the cardinals but last night was reallllllly hard to watch.

by azruavatar on Aug 3, 2006 9:05 AM EDT reply actions  

I'm with you
Pitching takes the life out (as you saw last night)of the offense if it is bad, or puts the fire in the team if it is good. Not being a stat guy, I wonder what the team does if they give up a first inning run. What percentage of the time do they end up losing the game. It just seems if the Pitcher is pitching awesome, the team tries harder to give him the win.
"The two most important things in life: good friends and a strong bullpen." -Bob Gibson

by OKCardsfan on Aug 3, 2006 9:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

Booing
I'll agree with the fact that Weaver got booed off of the field last night, and remove the kind of.  I had the good fortune of sitting 6 rows behind the Cardinal dugout last night - the boos were loud down there where he could hear it, other than a smattering of appluase from some people directly behind the dugout.  It actually made me feel kind of bad for him.  He definitely looked dejected coming off of the mound.  (Actually, he looked like that every half inning.  Of course, he also sucked every half inning.)

I'm not trying to open up another debate on the merits/rights of booing, but I wasn't comfortable with it, personally.  Not that he didn't suck, mind you...

by Robb on Aug 3, 2006 9:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

Wins from behind
You can use the win expectancy finder to answer your question for any imagionable situation.

http://www.walkoffbalk.com/

For example - when the home team gives up 1 run with no outs in the 1st inning, they lose 51.3% of the time.  

by Robb on Aug 3, 2006 9:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

Weaver
I think the Weaver experience has failed, I'd prefer if we just released him now and went with a minor-leaguer. I wouldn't mind seein' what Tankersly can do, not long ago he was a pretty highly regarded prospect in the Royals system IIRC. I guess for now we go with a rotation of...

Carp, Soup, Betty, Reyes, ROOKIE CALL UP.

Then IF Mulder regains form he can take that rookie call ups spot. I guess it would be okay if Sosa started too. Our pitchin' staff is just horrendous, it really stinks to have to watch some of these games.

by lopey986 on Aug 3, 2006 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

So really
it's a toss up? That makes me feel a little better. (Hopefully though the second pitch of the game doesn't put us in that predicament.)
"The two most important things in life: good friends and a strong bullpen." -Bob Gibson

by OKCardsfan on Aug 3, 2006 9:36 AM EDT up reply actions  

Release Weaver....
Not to beat a dead horse, although he looked as if he had been literally beaten, Weaver looked horrible last night.  Not just the pitiful pitching performance, but it was his mannerisms.  After the Rollins homer on the second pitch of the game, the life just went out of him.  His shoulders were slumping, jersey crooked, with a defeated look on his face, and several times I saw him looking toward the dugout, almost pleading for them to come get him....in the second inning.  With your pitcher looking like that, it has to be demoralizing for the other players.  I don't know what kind of personality he has, but that attitude of just apparently not wanting to be there needs to go.  It's contagious, and coupled with his performance, he took the wind right out of the team last night.  We need to give him his release and get him out of St. Louis.

by legal dealer on Aug 3, 2006 10:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

Also,
several times the announcers commented on how he was slumping and stalling between pitches.  I really don't think he wants to be there....

by legal dealer on Aug 3, 2006 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Weaver
has always looked like he would rather be anywhere else than on the mound.  Even when he was a highly touted young pitcher with Detroit (remember when the Cards were high on him then and were interested in signing him until the Yankees overpaid him?) he never looked like he enjoyed pitching.  It always looks like he is moping.

Of course, this year, I would be moping too if I had that ERA.

by stlfaninpa on Aug 3, 2006 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

that was one thing
i and i guess everyone else noticed in the first game.  occasionally his pitches look good but he gets frustrated and loses composure really easily.  i think he needs to see a sports psychologist more than anything.  his confidence is completely gone and he looks like he doesnt want to be out there.

by dmb60614 on Aug 3, 2006 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

A Pitcher
that easily loses composure is not one I want come playoff time. at least when Betty gets rocked he stays in for 7 and just keeps firin' away even when he doesn't have his stuff. Weaver was probably ready to leave the game after the first innin'.

by lopey986 on Aug 3, 2006 10:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don't want
a pitcher like that during the regular season, either.  I would imagine that attitude filters out to the other players.  It would be hard to play behind a moper.

If a pitcher shows any emotion, I would prefer it to be anger.  Carpenter sometimes has that look about him - if he gives up a lead off double, he bears down and focuses on getting the next 3 guys out.

by stlfaninpa on Aug 3, 2006 11:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

bad body language voodoo
is the same crap that got Jim Edmonds ridden out of Anaheim on a rail.

by DanUpBaby on Aug 3, 2006 5:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Me too...
...except I was six rows from the roof above the Cardinals dugout, haha...

I wasn't booing, but I didn't really have a huge problem with it.

by whopperman on Aug 3, 2006 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bernies poses a question today
"Is there a leader in this troubled house?"

by bgh on Aug 3, 2006 9:21 AM EDT reply actions  

Leader
Or at least guys like Pujols, Rolen, JED, Carp, Izzy...established veterans like them.

by lopey986 on Aug 3, 2006 9:29 AM EDT up reply actions  

There
Is no Larry Walker, Reggie Sanders, Mike Matheny type on this year's team. The seasoned vets (Scotty, Jimmy, Carp) are not exactly a vocal bunch. The best player on the team is, what, 26? He's never had to be the leader in the clubhouse, just on the field.

The loss of those type of guys can mean a hell of a lot more than what they give you on the field.

Cheers, Alex Fritz

by Alxfritz on Aug 3, 2006 9:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree
Very good point about havin' some vocal vets who are comfortable with being leaders, but at what point do some of these guys say "Hey, I need to step up and lead this time on and off the field"? Maybe they are all just buying into the "Well, we are still in first place and we still compete" attitude that the Org has been preachin' all year.

by lopey986 on Aug 3, 2006 9:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

So what
If you can't get motivated by having the best player in the game looking over your shoulder then it's just not going to happen.  This isn't a group of young guys outside of Duncan/Molina, and they don't really seem like the kind to mope around because there isn't a vocal yet mediocre 35 year old talking to them.

It's not the clubhouse, it's that Suppan, Marquis, Mulder and fifthstarter have sucked badly and then Reyes has been mediocre for whatever reason.  You can't be a great team with one good starter, an inconsistent rookie and 3 other brutal pitchers in the slot.  All non-Chris Carpenters have a combined VORP of 12.7, most of which is eaten up by Reyes' 10.6.  That is why this team is not that good.

A diamond is just a lump of coal that performed well under pressure

by joker24 on Aug 3, 2006 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

You are
in no means wrong.

However, having an "I don't give a fuck" type of guy (Larry Walker!) storming around the clubhouse after Friday's game against the Cubs may have very well breathed some life into them (including the pitching staff.) But could you see anyone on this team doing that?

They are not young cats, but nobody on the team has ever been a leader before and I don't see anyone playing like their pants are on fire (whatever the hell that is supposed to mean)...

I'm hoping someone steps up to the challenge.

(I'm also hoping the pitching doesn't continue to blow goats.)

Cheers, Alex Fritz

by Alxfritz on Aug 3, 2006 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

since the beginning of this year
i've been wondering who would step in as the clubhouse leader.  in the before i found veb, i checked out my share of cards talk and bernie's pressbox, and was basically told i wasn't welcome after asking such a question... obviously, albert can do that, since he's the best player in baseball.

i still don't think he's there.  albert is inspiring to watch, and years ahead of his baseball peers, but he still is something of a monolith: enormous, unescapable reality, but also a bit intimidating and unapproachable.

for the last two years, reggie sanders and larry walker filled that role.  this team seems to lack the cohesiveness that last year's team had.  is it tlr's fault?  yes, somewhat, but the general can't do it all.  he needs sergeant's to do their jobs from within to maintain group morale and strength.

i'm still young in my fandom, and perhaps a little overly hopeful, but i think that this team is far more talented than they've been playing.  the problem is (at times) that they don't seem to be playing together out there.

oh yeah, and the problem is that our starting pitching has never looked worse.

by gthedamned on Aug 3, 2006 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well
one of your points is spot on.

A Captian is only as good as his NCOs.

Meaning you can sit in you office all day and strategize your ass off, but if the leaders of the boots in the mud can't get the job done, the job ain't gettin' done.

We will see soon who the leaders are.

Cheers, Alex Fritz

by Alxfritz on Aug 3, 2006 12:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

cont.
There are managers who are charismatic enough to pull a team out of a funk.  Recall Jim Leyland earlier in the year after that Ugly getaway game by the Tigers.  He called out the team and they responded.

Then there is Dusty Baker who made excuses during the cubs free-fall. We will win when we get D Lee back.  Just wait until we get wood and prior back.  those are the comments that enable losing.  Its OK to lose 'cause we don't have our best players.

TLR usually can get his players to respond.  what's worng with this version?

by Schnake on Aug 3, 2006 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think
The Cardinals org is preachin' the wrong thing. They preach how they want to "compete" and "oh look at the standings we are still in first". That is a crappy attitude.

by lopey986 on Aug 3, 2006 9:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

It is Scott Rolen...
...earlier in the year, he was the one to come to Albert and tell him what he did with the bat flip in Pittsburgh was wrong.

Which is all the more befuddling since we are playing the Phillies, a team that has total and utter contempt for him jumping ship on them.

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 3, 2006 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

I ended up
watching reruns of Law and Order and Dog the Bounty Hunter last night once it got to 5-0, because I knew it was over. That's the kind of attitude this year's team has fostered in me. Wonder if I can get a refund on my Extra Innings package?

by cardsrul on Aug 3, 2006 9:42 AM EDT reply actions  

Extra Innings
I also have the Extra Innings deal, but since I live outside of Philly, the FSN Midwest broadcast was blacked out and I was stuck listening to the homers in the Philly broadcast.  That made the whole experience even worse.  I watched most of the game with the sound muted.  Even the ESPN broadcast was blacked out.

Tonight it will be the same way, so I will probably rent a movie - I will be less likely to throw stuff at the TV.

by stlfaninpa on Aug 3, 2006 9:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

same thing for me
I looked at the 8-2 score and told my girlfriend that i can remember games in the past when being down 8-2 wouldn't have meant a loss. Now, i feel like its hopeless. Even when they came within one run, i didn't have a lot of hope.  I still watched a little bit, but I'm not glued to my tv with anxious expectation anymore.

by effin fisk on Aug 3, 2006 12:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sadly
Sometimes I get that feeling when it's 3-0.  If it's early, it's only going to get worse.  The last few years, 3-0 is just being fair to the other team.

by Cardinal70 on Aug 3, 2006 1:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Comeback
Do you remember the game where they were down big to the Reds in Cincy and came all the way back? I remember watching that game and refusing to turn off the television despite the imploring of my then girlfriend. I was, of course, justified as the Redbirds came all the way back and won the ballgame. Now, I listen on the radio and read simultaneously, turning the station when it gets out of hand because I get to irritable.

by bgh on Aug 3, 2006 1:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Cincy Game
They scored 9 runs in the 9th to win that game...

In all fairness, Danny Graves was pitching and was given his release a week later.

by lopey986 on Aug 3, 2006 2:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

I thought...
...for about 10 minutes that we might see that last night.  And then the bad version of Blooper came in.

by whopperman on Aug 3, 2006 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

I wish...
I could get a refund on the $145 I've spent on tickets -- not to mention two 600-mile roundtrips -- to watch this team not even pretend to play this year.  I'm ok with the first time I came up this year, and not just because they won -- they played.

With Betty pitching tonight, I'm afraid I'll be adding more money to the wasted column.  Maybe Carp can save us Friday.

by whopperman on Aug 3, 2006 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Belliard
He seems to fit right in with the rest of the team in his undisciplined approach at the plate.  That first at bat against Myers was amazing - he swung at the same exact pitch in the same location and missed it all 3 times!  I would have thought he could have made an adjustment after missing the first 2!?!

I get frustrated watching the team constantly expanding the strike zone and/or swinging (a lot of times flailing) at the first pitch.  Off speed pitches really seem to baffle them.  Even Pujols is becoming less disciplined, probably due to trying to do too much.

Sorry to ramble on, but this is my first post and am a bit excited.

by stlfaninpa on Aug 3, 2006 9:42 AM EDT reply actions  

welcome aboard
we're a bit of a sour community as of late.

Where at in PA?

Cheers, Alex Fritz

by Alxfritz on Aug 3, 2006 9:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

Where in PA
West Chester, about 30 miles west of Philadelphia.

And am I getting grief these past couple of days from my co-workers!

by stlfaninpa on Aug 3, 2006 9:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

Gotcha
I've got some good friends up in Lancaster... Nice area. Strange, but nice.

Tell your co-workers that the iggles are looking about as tough as the Cards are this year (the football Cards.)

Cheers, Alex Fritz

by Alxfritz on Aug 3, 2006 9:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

Philly is football country
The good thing about baseball season around here is that the locals don't care about the Phillies.  During the summer, more people call into sports talk radio shows to talk about the Iggles.  So I don't get much flack from Phillies fans usually.

Lancaster is a neat place to visit, but I don't think I would want to live there.  We live about midway between Philly and Lancaster, and the differences are amazing.  Big city to country.  If you are into crafts and home-made stuff.  The food is great, too.

by stlfaninpa on Aug 3, 2006 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Am I
just hallucinating or don't we always go into a funk around this time? I always seem to recall that right after the all-star break we go into a slump, then we get it back together, then we slump in the playoffs. Or is the PCP still in my system? (JK drugs are bad)
"The two most important things in life: good friends and a strong bullpen." -Bob Gibson

by OKCardsfan on Aug 3, 2006 9:45 AM EDT reply actions  

Chris Narveson
has been great at AAA.  He hasn't pitched since July 20 but is due to go tonight.  It seems to me if we tell them to pull after the 4th or 5th he could be ready to take the ball Monday night.

I really thought the Weaver experiment would work.  Boy was I wrong.

by chuckb on Aug 3, 2006 9:51 AM EDT reply actions  

Going thru the motions
You saw a team playing like thet were affected by the heat? I saw a team playing like they were let down by their management and ownership over the weekend.....

by TexasCardinal on Aug 3, 2006 10:26 AM EDT reply actions  

I've changed my mind
If we're going to give up an average of 2 runs/inning, everyone who said we needed a big bat was right.

by sdrone on Aug 3, 2006 10:30 AM EDT reply actions  

Some thoughts after reading recent posts
First post in over a year.

I have seen quite a few "blame the managment/owners" posts on here over the past few days.  There is some merit to these complaints; the second base situation is very frustrating.  But if you look at what's really wrong with this team, its hard to say Jocketty or ownership is to blame.  The team offense, despite its frustrations and inconsistencies, has been roughly as productive as last year's (4.97 runs/game last year, 4.93 this year).  What has really let us down has been the pitching.

In 2004 the Cardinals gave up 4.07 r/g.  In 2005 it was 3.91.  This year it has been nearly a full run more: 4.86.  This is why we are losing games people, not the offense.

And where is this pitching decline coming from?  Part of it comes from the 5th spot in the rotation, of course, and part may be the bullpen as well.  But the bullpen has largely been steady this year (one of the best in the NL) and only so much blame can be put on Ponson and Weaver, bad as they've been.

In my mind, the real problem this year has not been the offense, the bullpen, the first starter, or the fifth starter.  The biggest problem has come from three guys: Mulder, Suppan, and Marquis.  Those three have provided nothing like the stable middle of the rotation that the team has come to expect in recent years.  Mulder concealed an injury until it was bad enough to possibly end his season, and Suppan is just having a bad year.  Marquis apparently can only pitch well when the team is winning, so he has followed those two into the depths.

There is no way to replace 3/5 of your starting rotation in mid-season.  Its just impossible.  It is almost impossible to get ONE good starter in the middle of the season.  Many people have suggested that the team pick up an "ace."  How many teams have overpaid for front-line pitching over the past few years only to have thier investment lost through injury or just poor performance?  Pitchers that come to mind include Randy Johnson, A.J. Burnett, and our own Mark Mulder.  People have distain for "reclaimation projects," but that strategy is exactly what got the Cardinals their ace (Carpenter was an injured league-average pitcher when the Cards signed him), and the better part of a rotation that led them to back-to-back 100 win seasons.  It will take a hell of a lot of failed Weavers and Ponsons to make up for that.

So what should managment have done differently?  Should they have signed Grudz?  As many people have pointed out, they have spent more this year at second base than they would have just signing him.  But as a whole the strategy has been extremely successful.  For two years they got very good production at that position for very little money.  When no one broke through this year, they overspent a bit to get a steady second baseman, but considering the amount they underspent in 04/05 we are still ahead.  Not signing Grudz, like not signing Womack, was a good gamble.  They were playing with house money.

Should Luna have been given the job?  Perhaps.  That's simply a baseball judgment on which people can reasonably disagree.  Some think that Luna is the same player as Belliard, but younger and cheaper.  Others (including, apparently, the Cardinals organization), think that Luna's inconsistent defense and his meltdowns in the minors and spring training justify considerable skepticism regarding his prospects as a long-term solution.

In spite of (or perhaps, because of) managment's failure to sign steady LF and 2B guys, our lineup looks pretty darn good going into the playoffs.  With Duncan and Belliard starting regularly I expect our offense will be better than it was last year (when we were sans Rolen).  Similarly, our bullpen is quite good.  The reason our chances are slim in the playoffs is simple: Mulder, Suppan, and Marquis will probably have to start games.

I'm not sure there's anything managment can do about that.

by Leo on Aug 3, 2006 10:50 AM EDT reply actions  

Suppan
has been pitchin' much better as of late. Hard to blame Mulder when he was pitchin' through an injury which is obviously going to take away from his ability to get batters out.

Betty is just Betty. Can win a game all by himself but he is just as likely to lose the game all by himself.

by lopey986 on Aug 3, 2006 10:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

Mulder
The only thing I blame Mulder for is the fact that it appears he was injured for quite a while before he went on the DL.  I suppose that could be on the organization as well though.

by Leo on Aug 3, 2006 11:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

i actually agree with you...
... on all points. maybe the ownership hasn't been as proactive as they could have been, but if they'd made more trades and signed more people it's no guarantee that the team would be playing any better. Burnett has been a bust... missing several months and then being pretty pedestrian when he has pitched. there really weren't any other strong options in FA or at the trade deadline.

the Mulder trade looks worse and worse every day, but it's tough to criticize management for that too much. everyone on this board keeps talking about a "window" in which to win a World Series. after 2004, StL ownership thought the same way. they took a gamble. unfortunately, it didn't pay off (tho it really hasn't been any worse than Schuerholz's acquisition of Hudson, who has been awful).

i think ownership is trying to put the best team out there that they reasonable can. Abreu wouldn't've have helped this team that much, and would have made it nearly impossible to get the frontline starter that we so desperately need this upcoming offseason.

i kind of like that this team has (mostly) stood pat. i wish they'd done even more - let Reyes start out of Spring, stayed with Luna and played him everyday, use Falkenbourg instead of Sosa, etc. but the ownership is desperately grasping at straws to get affordable pieces that can have a positive effect on the club. hence, Belliard, Ponson, Weaver, and Sosa. those were cheap gambles; if they work, great. if not, no great loss.

they haven't worked out well (so far), but that doesn't mean the ownership isn't trying. the Sosa move, in particular, could be a good one. he is a fairly valuable commodity: cheap reliever who has the stuff to be a late-inning guy. he can also spot start, and we've got him for next year. again, if he is terrible there is no great loss; we're not paying him much and we didn't give up anything to get him. if he performs well, we get something for (almost) nothing.

by kindred on Aug 3, 2006 11:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

Tendancy to Look Outside
Mulder is our cavalry. Any hope to win the NLDS series depends on his coming back and pitching at the No. 3 starter level he did last season. I do not blame him for his shoulder injury; rather, it seems that the Cards could have given him a couple starts off when he had the back problems and started Reyes. There were several concerns voiced at the time of the back injury that if he altered his mechanics to compensate for the back pain, it could lead directly to shoulder problems. If sports columnists and bloggers can expound such concerns, it would seem that baseball managers, front office types, and trainers should as well. (I'm not saying anything bad about bloggers or sports columnists, just that if people outside of the team are worried, professionals probably should have been as well.)

I don't see any reason why Wainwright could not have been transitioned into the rotation. The chances are near nonexistent that he would not be better than Marquis and/or Weaver. Perhaps Marquis could have been spun off into a long reliever. Perhaps not. Even if he could not, Falkenborg seems like a viable bullpen arm to me and capable of filling the void Wainwright left.

While not ideal, it is clear to all that our rotation is horrid so why not alter its complexion primarily from within?

1. Carp
Reyes
Wainwright
Suppan
Narveson/Tankersly

I left off the numbers after Carp because I don't know that there is a No. 2 there and there probably isn't but I have no doubt in my mind that we'd be in more ballgames with that rotation until Mulder's (hopefully triumphant) return.

It just seems to me that the Cardinals' first impulse is to look outside their organization for solutions when perhaps the better or at least equal solution is already in the organization.

by bgh on Aug 3, 2006 11:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

Word.
We need to shake these jokers up.  Perhaps it's time to make it clear to the starters that their jobs are not guaranteed.

by Valatan on Aug 3, 2006 11:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed
However do you think TLR is almost scared of rookie pitching because of what happened with Ankiel? That's why we don't see our star prospect (Wainwright) in the rotation?
"The two most important things in life: good friends and a strong bullpen." -Bob Gibson

by OKCardsfan on Aug 3, 2006 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

What will it take?
I'm beating a dead horse myself, but we've discussed multiple times on threads the need for the Cards to accelerate the transformation of the rotation by shifting the youngsters into it. If Mulder had not gotten injured, I have no doubt in my mind that Reyes would still be in Memphis. I will never wish injury upon a player but it seems that unless one of the horrendously performing veterans gets hurt, we will never see Wainwright in the rotation.

It is evident, as everyone has agreed, that Weaver must go. To me, it seems equally evident that Marquis should not be starting.

The silver lining this season is its obvious similarity to 2003. That offseason was one of transition and that transition produced two consecutive 100-win teams. Hopefully, the bipolar nature of this year's Cards will spur the same type of offseason.

Is it bad that I'm already thinking about next year and we're in first place?

by bgh on Aug 3, 2006 10:56 AM EDT reply actions  

no
just realistic
Cheers, Alex Fritz

by Alxfritz on Aug 3, 2006 11:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree,
we're still in first, yea!  Even after melting down twice, nobody has stepped up and challenged us for the division, although it has tightened up a bit.  But there is a sense of impending doom, sorta like a Cub fan in Februray :P ....all is well now, but....I know it sounds crazy, but since Good Betty tends to show up more often after a win, and our hands down best shot at winning is with Carp on the hill, why not shake up the rotation and put Betty in the 2 slot behind Carp?  I know I'm grasping at superstition here, but aren't all baseball players superstitious?  Just a thought.

by legal dealer on Aug 3, 2006 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

why not?
I agree, it couldn't really hurt at this point.  We have a #1, 3 #4's and a #6 starter (Weaver).  Does it really matter if Marquis pitches after Carp?

I'd be down w/ that move.  It's worth a shot.  

by jschryver138 on Aug 3, 2006 1:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Reyes
I think Reyes would be pitching now regardless of whether Mulder was injured.  He would have taken Ponson's spot.

by Leo on Aug 3, 2006 11:04 AM EDT reply actions  

However
once we got Weaver he probably would've been sent back down. And then if we were to release Weaver now, he would still be down there because they would start Sosa.

by lopey986 on Aug 3, 2006 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

well ...
This is all speculation at this point.  I doubt it would have gone that way, but you may be right.

by Leo on Aug 3, 2006 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

Just a few days ago
TLR was quoted as saying they originally planned on Reyes pitching the entire season in Memphis. They didn't feel he had enough experience and that the reason he is up with the ML Club right now is because of injuries and underperformance by Ponson.

by lopey986 on Aug 3, 2006 11:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

Right ...
The question is whether he they would have gone out and gotten scrap like Weaver if we had only one spot in the rotation to fill instead of two.

by Leo on Aug 3, 2006 11:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

Where is Shea Hillenbrand?
It's about time someone said it:

"This is a sinking ship"

:D

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 3, 2006 11:40 AM EDT reply actions  

I dunno...
...we've sent the women and children ashore.  The captain may be telling people that it's just a little water, but how long will people believe it?  When it's waist deep?  Neck high?  

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 3, 2006 12:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Call me insane
but I saw quite a bit of stuff to be encouraged about in that game--the loss was almost completely on the shoulders of two players--Flores and Weaver--one of which will be gone sooner rather than later.  Tony inexplicably used Flores against a righty in a 1 run game, which enraged me at the time.

Other than that, the offense didn't give up in what was an 8-2 game--they scrapped back and made it 8-7.  Pujols didn't come through in that 7<sup>th</sup> innng AB, but the man can't do everything.  But really, give the offense some credit--they played a decent to good game and got horribly, horribly screwed by the pitching.  There's still a lot to watch this year

That being said, if Reyes goes down when Mulder comes back and Weaver stays in the rotation, I will go absolutely fucking apeshit.  It was insane that Wainwright didn't get Ponson's rotation spot out of spring (not to mention that Ponson was probably better suited to the 'pen than starting anyway), and after his excellent reilef work and the absolute suckitude of the rotation, it's inexplicable that he hasn't been given one lousy damn start yet.  

This season has been too much--if things don't change, I'm on the 'fire tony' bandwagon.  There have just been way too many completely and totally baffling managerial decisions for me to stay quiet anymore.

And please, if you want to respond to this, try to defend some of this insanity--don't just say "he's a hall of fame manager."  So's Tommy LaSorda, but I don't see any teams clamoring to bring him out of retirement.  Hell, Red's still alive, we could put him out there  hall of fame manager.  

Sorry if I come off a little harsh, but, I'm pretty mad at the brain trust at this point of time.  

by Valatan on Aug 3, 2006 11:45 AM EDT reply actions  

The thing i agree with
is that I liked the way the offense battled back last night.  For those who say the team has no heart, I'm not sure I agree.  They could have folded down 8-2 thinking "Here we go again".  But they didn't and the next thing you know, it's 8-7 w/ Pujols representing the go-ahead run at the plate.  That showed some heart.  The pitching was just terrible.  

You're obviously right about Weaver and Flores but Looper was bad, too.  He put Flores in that jam to begin with.  Hancock stunk as well but it hardly mattered at that point.

I'm not on the "Fire Tony" bandwagon as it's the pitchers' job to get people out.  I can't really explain Wainwright in the pen instead of Ponson except to say that, by and large, he's been great out of the pen.  Would he have been very good in the rotation?  Maybe.  Who's to say?

I think when a team slumps, the strange managerial decisions stand out.  When the team plays well, you don't notice them as much.  I'm not critical of starting Ponson.  I still think it was worth a shot and just didn't work out.  I do believe that 2b should have been Luna's job to lose once it was clear that Spivey wasn't going to work out and I can't explain the Miles experiment but the pitching is the reason we're struggling right now.  It's not b/c Miles spent too much time at 2b.

Anyway, you're right about the effort of the offense last night and it may be hard to find something good in last night's game, but that was a bright spot.

by chuckb on Aug 3, 2006 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

I may be wrong,
of course by then I was a few beer into the night, but Flores came in to pitch to Dellucci (sp?), Utely, and Howard, I think.  Johnson had already been used, and they pinch hit Victorino who batted from the right side.  So it was a question of wasting your last lefty on a pinch hitter, and letting a righty face two of the hottest lefthanded bats in the league right now, or let Flores face a cold bench player, and set yourself up with the best chance a getting Utley and Howard out.   By the book, and we know TLR knows the book, it seems like the right move.  Correct me if my timing is wrong, but I think that was the stage when Victorino got the bloop in short right, with the infield drawn in, and Spezio playing second, and though a good effort by Pujols, Spezio, and Jenc diving, the "Ole'" swat of the ball by Jenc at the last second resulted in an rbi triple.  Just one of those times where the ball reallllly doesn't bounce your way.

by legal dealer on Aug 3, 2006 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

pretty sure
you're right.  Flores got put into a bad situation b/c of Looper and then made a bad play on the "hit" by Utley.  That Victorino blooper sealed it I think.

by chuckb on Aug 3, 2006 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Looking back over the game log
that actually does seem right, so the part of that rant pertaining to Tony and last night is rescinded.  But I'm still really frustrated with a lot of what's gone on this year as far as personnel decisions.

by Valatan on Aug 3, 2006 3:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

If Mulder
can get healthy and back to his normal pitching, then starting 5 of carp, mulder, reyes, soup, marquis is not too terrible...at least we can count on not giving up 5 runs in the first 2 damn innings...

by MarcGldstn on Aug 3, 2006 12:01 PM EDT reply actions  

Nah
The first 4, Soup is a great second half pitcher, he was right on with Carp the second half of last year.

by lopey986 on Aug 3, 2006 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Pitching, hitting, etc.
So, who do we blame?  The offense is producing only slightly below last year's production and the pitching is giving up almost one run per game more so it's obviously the pitching, right?

Well, overall, yes.  However, the current slide has certainly been abetted by some key folks having, let's say, mini-slumps.  What was our overall avg. with RISP in Chicago?  Albert's batting under .200 in Wrigley this year.  Rolen has cooled off lately.  JED likewise.

Despite all the complaints about the need for a LF and against Jenc, they are two of the steadiest bats lately.  (I do agree, however, that both are less than ideal defensively.)  When (not if) Albert and Scotty pick it up again things will improve.  That won't solve the problem when we give up 16 runs, but it will help turn some 5-4 losses into 7-5 wins.

by ArkansasTravs on Aug 3, 2006 12:07 PM EDT reply actions  

Edmonds in July:
.276/.373/.655 9 HR, 19 RBI.  I'd hardly call that cooling off.  

by Valatan on Aug 3, 2006 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

Overreliance
I think that you indirectly bring up an interesting point. Reggie Sanders was capable of carrying an offense for two weeks on a hot streak and Grudz was certainly more consistently productive offensively than what we've had. I think that we have constructed an offense that relies too heavily on the MV3 (of which Jimmy is on the decline).

But, to be sure, the overall problems is the starting rotation.

by bgh on Aug 3, 2006 12:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Clarification
When I say "on the decline" with Jimmy, I don't mean that he is horrible. He is still good, just not 2004 good.

by bgh on Aug 3, 2006 12:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

It's amazing
It's amazing how big of an impact Cardinal baseball has on my self-esteem.  I just feel like something is hanging over my head now; a problem I have to deal with.  

I hate this feeling . . .

Bernie has a good article

by Ray Lankford on Aug 3, 2006 12:27 PM EDT reply actions  

I agree fully,
and we're in first place......I just don't get it?!?

by legal dealer on Aug 3, 2006 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Interesting
note on mlbtraderumors about Andruw Jones going on waivers.  He seems to think Astros and Cards will put in bids for Jones.  Now there's a bat I wouldn't mind having

by MarcGldstn on Aug 3, 2006 12:32 PM EDT reply actions  

Jones
Yeah, if you're content on just trying to slug people to death. We already had 8 runs of offense last night and we can see where that got us.
Check out my new Cardinals blog: http://rockinred.blogspot.com

by rockin the red on Aug 3, 2006 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

And man
is that site ever reliable!
Cheers, Alex Fritz

by Alxfritz on Aug 3, 2006 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Doesn't matter anyway
The Braves aren't going to let him go for nothing.

by chuckb on Aug 3, 2006 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

I would think
there are about 10-20 teams that would put in bids for Jones--i.e., every contender that doesn't have three all-star outfielders.

by Valatan on Aug 3, 2006 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

hey just
reporting what i read over there, didn't ask anyone to buy into it

by MarcGldstn on Aug 3, 2006 12:39 PM EDT reply actions  

just
Busting your balls, man
Cheers, Alex Fritz

by Alxfritz on Aug 3, 2006 1:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Now go home
and get your fucking shinebox!!

;-)

"I grew up in Oklahoma, and once you start runnin' out there there ain't nothin' to stop you" - Johnny Leonard Roosevelt "Pepper" Martin

by iron duke75 on Aug 3, 2006 7:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe
It's my remove from being geographically close to St.L, the relative "newness" of my Cardinals' fan-dom (10 years or so), or just a Buddhist mind trick, but...I don't let the team's struggles push me down too far at this point.

Yes, the management's decision making (F/O and TLR/DD) can be questioned, challenged, criticized, etc...Yes, there are players who are not playing up to their expectations/potential, yes, some (most?) of the acquisitions have been a bust...

Wait; jeez, now I'm depressed.  I need a latte...a cold one.

I live in NY, and Los Mets are my second favorite team (saw my first game at 6; Willie Mays souvenir cup day, if I remember correctly).  And even with a 14-game (or so) lead, they still have significant issues, with fans b**ching and moaning about what they lack.  I think The Birds can beat the Mets in the playoffs.  I do feel less hopeful when matching them up against Det, ChiWS, Yankees, RSox...but if they get to October with Albert, JEd, Scott, Carp healthy...anything can happen.  Right now, with the division and league as rough as it is, I think it's a matter of surviving.

Weaver (whom I've had an inexplicable appreciation for, and whom I believe was absolutely RUINED by coming to the Yankees), Ponson, et al are cannon fodder.  The core needs to stay healthy, and they'll have as good a chance as anyone to succeed this post-season.  I'm less germane about 07, 08, 09...

by glennrwordman on Aug 3, 2006 2:52 PM EDT reply actions  

Just remember
All the other warts on this team wouldn't look so bad if our starters didn't post a 4.9 ERA.

by jimstllax on Aug 3, 2006 2:55 PM EDT reply actions  

Pitching
It seems to me that TLR and Duncan have been a very effective team in handling pitchers, because they understand pitching mechanics well and have an excellent "book" on most of the hitters that that the Cards face.  They prefer experienced pitchers, because they feel that the TLR/Duncan "system" works better with pitchers whose mechanics are well established, and whose stuff is a known quantity. Sometimes this succeeds (Carp, Woody Williams), sometimes it doesn't (Ponson, Weaver); but over several seasons the rotation has done relatively well with pitchers whose careers before and/or after the Cards have not been as successful.

To me, that suggests that the front office has dealt for pitchers in the expectation that TLR and Duncan add value to pitchers of moderate talent by skilled coaching and management.

Last night's press conference may be the first acknowledgment that TLR now recognizes that Plan A (wait for Mulder's return while he and Duncan coach Weaver and Sosa up to mediocrity) is no longer viable.

So, what is Plan B?

Whether Mulder comes back soon enough and good enough is anybody's guess (unanswered question: did Mulder successfully conceal his injury from TLR/Duncan, or did they gamble that he could pitch through it?). Marquis's trademark inconsistency is unlikely to change; Suppan's deterioration is unexplained; and Reyes hasn't looked all that sharp since his gem against Chicago.

PS If Belliard can't lay off junk low and outside, he's headed for Junior Spivey land.

by madridbend on Aug 3, 2006 2:55 PM EDT reply actions  

Guess who is starting for the Cubs tonight!
Mateo...yes, that Mateo.  The Juan Mateo the Cards selected in the Rule 5 draft and lost back to the Cubs before the season started.  Just found that interesting.

Wonder if they'd take Jeff Weaver for him?  

by chuckb on Aug 3, 2006 3:17 PM EDT reply actions  

The Cubs rotation
is in worse shape than ours, is it not?  I think Wood and Prior have combined for about a dozen starts so far.  And Prior, recently back from the DL, has been getting knocked around.

by john vb on Aug 3, 2006 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

I looked at
numbers from this year and last and found an interesting stat.

Last year, the rotation posted an opponents batting average of .253 with nobody on & .274 with runners on. This year, .280 without / .281 with. While it's obvious the starters have been worse this year, if they had last year's tendency to get ground balls / DP's, the average would be even higher with runners on. (Don't be fooled by the higher average; it just means that it took 2 at bats to get three outs instead of 3.)

That's not the real interesting stat. The relievers last year also posted a .253 AVG with nobody on, but allowed only a .234 average with runners on. This year, it's just the opposite: .222 nobody on, .266 runners on. And there are some really amazing splits (none on/runners on):

  • Hancock (.168/.247)
  • Looper (.206/.392 - yikes!)
  • Izzy (.250/.139 - backwards)
  • Johnson (.158/.304)
  • Kinney (.267/.118 - backwards)
Don't know for sure if it's a luck issue or a real trend, but Tony might want to rethink his bullpen strategy of who to bring in when. (Anybody remember Russ Springer back in 2003 who, when he was actually healthy, would cruise through a lineup directly out of the bullpen, but would get shelled every time if he sat in the dugout for a half-inning?)

As a whole, I think that the bullpen has been more than adequate. Izzy has corrected his early season control problems, Wainwright has been solid all year, Looper has excelled more than he's struggled, Hancock has outperformed all of our expectations, and the LOOGY's have done well vs. same side batters.

by Solanus on Aug 3, 2006 3:32 PM EDT reply actions  

Continuation foul
Marquis has been particularly nasty as compared to last year.

Last year, his AVG against with nobody on was .252, with a .429 SLG; runner on, it bumped up to a .279 AVG, but down to a .424 SLG. 19 solo HR's, 9 multi-run shots.

This year, with nobody on, .248/.425 (basically the same); runners on, .319/.601 (The Human Torch). 12 solo HR's, 13 multi-run shots.

So what's the problem? Pitching from the stretch? Bullheaded approach? Yadi passing along pitch selection to the hitters because Jason bet him that he couldn't outhit three of the starting pitchers? Although #3 sounds rather sadistic, but in a fun way, I'm gonna have to go with #1, Bob.

by Solanus on Aug 3, 2006 4:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Izzy (.250/.139 - backwards)
...maybe there is something to the idea that he likes to make things...interesting!  :)

by glennrwordman on Aug 3, 2006 3:49 PM EDT reply actions  

Okay
So they were talking about how Livan Hernandez could probably clear waivers on the Yankees/ Blue Jays game today. I don't think he'd be a bad pick-up at all. He's had injury problems, but has post-season experience, and hasn't done too shabby in it either. I think he has a better chance of getting back to himself than Weaver did.

by aet15 on Aug 3, 2006 3:55 PM EDT reply actions  

If I had three wishes
  1. I would call upon the "Running Redbirds" in their prime to return in the powder blues with the exception of Clark and Pendelton (Scotty and Albert are better). Can I keep Eck to play on the bench as a backup to Herr?  
  2. I would be 10 feet tall so I could hold our ownership by their ankles and shake every penny out of their pockets so I could give it all to Walt, telling him to build "The Best Fans in Baseball" the team they deserve.
  3. I would ask for 4 Carp clones with two geneticaly altered to be lefties.
Lonedawg I see the ball, I hit the ball.

by Lonedawg on Aug 3, 2006 4:24 PM EDT reply actions  

No to #2
While I appreciate your willingess to give more money to our General Manager, I don't think we could trust you to not to misuse your newfound power. (I know double negatives are bad, but are triple negatives OK?)

by Solanus on Aug 3, 2006 4:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

I'd keep Clark and Pendleton,
and lose a couple of the "runnin" guys.  Clark played most of his Giants career in the OF, and Pendleton could handle 2nd I'm sure.

by MdRedbirdFreak on Aug 3, 2006 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

You would take
Pendelton over Tommy Herr?  I was refering to Jack Clark not Will Clark.  When I say the "Running Redbirds" I mean Coleman, Ozzie, McGee, Herr, Van Slike, Tuder, Cox, Worrel and Pendelton.

okay I would keep pendelton maybe to play left field.

Lonedawg I see the ball, I hit the ball.

by Lonedawg on Aug 3, 2006 4:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

I loved willie
willie was great,
8 year old me owned a willie action figure that was his favorite non-transformer toy

but

Jim Edmonds is a better player than Willie McGee was.  I think we'd have to move him to left or right

by Valatan on Aug 3, 2006 5:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

For the hell of it
lets pick the All Time Cardinals team position by position. Its more fun than talking about how bad we are playing right now...its such a downer. Only one per position except pitcher pick 3.  

1B- Pujols
2nd- Hornsby
3rd - Rolen/Boyer (pick'em)
SS- Ozzie
LF- Mussial
CF - McGee
RF - Slaughter
C - Joe Torrie

P Gibson, Dean, Carlton

Lonedawg I see the ball, I hit the ball.

by Lonedawg on Aug 3, 2006 4:48 PM EDT reply actions  

My roster would be
1B - Pujols
2B - Hornsby
3B - Rolen (never saw Boyer play)
SS - Ozzie
LF - Musial
CF - Edmonds (As much as I loved watching Willie, I would take Edmonds defense and power)
RF - Slaughter
C - Simmons

P - Gibson, Dean, Carlton, but I want to add a fourth arm to the rotation - John Tudor

Closer - Lee Smith (gotta have a closer these days)

by stlfaninpa on Aug 3, 2006 4:58 PM EDT up reply actions  

I would take
Worrel over Lee...it was just so dominate in the mid 80's.  No one could hit him.  I totaly forgot about Simmons.  He was before my time.  My knowledge of the Cardinals prior to 82 is all from my fathers stories.
Lonedawg I see the ball, I hit the ball.

by Lonedawg on Aug 3, 2006 5:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

The closer
is a tough call.  The Cards have had some good ones:  Sutter, Worrell, Smith, Eckersly and Izzy.  Even Hrabosky wasn't bad in his day - despite his schtick.  I won't include Quisenberry and Henke as they were clearly at the end of their careers.

by stlfaninpa on Aug 3, 2006 5:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

one problem
with your roster is that Torre never played catcher for the Cards. I'd put Simmons at catcher, and either Curt Flood or Jimmy in CF. I'd also replace Carlton with Grover Cleveland Alexander.

by cardsrul on Aug 3, 2006 5:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

according to
this he played 90 games at catcher in 1970. But you're right, most of his time was at 1B or 3B.

by effin fisk on Aug 3, 2006 5:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

hm.
Batting order:
  1. Lankford (LF)
  2. Musial (RF)
  3. Hornsby (2B)
  4. Pujols (1B)
  5. Edmonds (CF)
  6. Rolen (3B)
  7. Simmons (C)
  8. Smith (SS)
  9. Gibson
  10. Dean
  11. Haines
Izzy, Worrell and Smith in the pen.

by DanUpBaby on Aug 3, 2006 5:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

Come on
First off Musial played LF and you couldnt possibly take Lankford over Slaughter.
Lonedawg I see the ball, I hit the ball.

by Lonedawg on Aug 4, 2006 8:13 AM EDT up reply actions  

By career Win Shares
here are the top twenty players in Cardinals history (thru 2005):
  1. Musial
  2. Hornsby
  3. Brock
  4. Gibson
  5. Slaughter
  6. Ozzie
  7. Simmons
  8. Boyer
  9. Flood
  10. Medwick
  11. Lankford
  12. Bottomley
  13. Schoendienst
  14. Jesse Haines (20's starter/reliever, HOFer)
  15. Frisch
  16. Mize
  17. Marion
  18. The Great Albert Pujols
  19. McGee
  20. (tie) Hernandez & Edmonds
Something to chew on, if you're interested.

by Solanus on Aug 3, 2006 5:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thats pretty cool....
is that how many wins they each played in?
It happened on a Sunday afternoon, August 22, 1982.

by Glenn Brummer stole home on Aug 3, 2006 6:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Win Shares
are a statistic Bill James developed. They use a ton of formulas to estimate the number of runs a player contributed on offense, defense, and by pitching, and then estimate the number of win shares that player earned their team. Each win share is one-third of a win, so, say, the 2005 Cardinals had 300 win shares to divide among its players.

by DanUpBaby on Aug 3, 2006 6:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Didn't someone do a diary series on this?
I think it was either last season or during the offseason -- someone (can't remember who) posted a series of diaries listing the best candidates at each position for the "all-time Cards team", and included a poll so the VEB community could vote.  Alas, I'm too lazy right now to search the archives and find it....

by DCRedbird on Aug 3, 2006 6:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

CF
Willie McGee was my favorite player growing up, but Jimmy Edmonds has hit over 200 home runs and driven in over 500 runs in the birds on bat uni. His OBP is superior, as is his Slugging. I don't know how you measure defense.

I know that it was a different era and that is why I'm interested to hear the Jimmy vs. Willie disucssion, especially since Wilie was the CF when I was growing up.

by bgh on Aug 3, 2006 5:08 PM EDT reply actions  

Willie vs. Jimmy
I agree it is hard to measure defense, and I think that McGee was a very good CF.  However, Jimmy has 8 gold gloves (I think).  Willie, at least toward the end of his first stint with the Cardinals, had some mental lapses in the field.  I can't forget the night he dropped a fly ball, then when the inning was over, he threw his mitt into the stands.

As I am typing this, another CF comes to mind that should get some consideration:  Curt Flood.  I never saw him play, but I hear that he was fun to watch.

by stlfaninpa on Aug 3, 2006 5:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Is there something about Cardinal fans that live..
...in St. Louis proper or the area and not having a love affair with Curt Flood?

7 time Gold Glove winner

Flood
85 HR
636 RBIs
.293/.342/.389
.731 OPS

McGee
3 Gold Glove
1 MVP
79 HR
856 RBI
.295/.333/.396
.729 OPS

McGee won the one MVP, but that was the only season he even got MVP votes.  Flood was in the Top 15 in voting numerous times.  In 1968, he was 4th, that's with battling teamate Gibson for votes.

Is the Cardinals organization really THAT bitter about him declining to be traded to a racist team that they refuse to retire his number?

by Hardcore Legend on Aug 3, 2006 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

I had the privilege
of seeing Flood play back in my teenage years. Outside of Mays, he was probably the best CF in the NL at the time.

by cardsrul on Aug 3, 2006 5:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Curt Flood
I saw Curt Flood play many times, and to me he was clearly the Cards' best CF before Edmonds. I'd have taken Curt Flood over Willie McGee, until Edmonds dethroned Flood because of the huge power difference.

by madridbend on Aug 3, 2006 6:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

Alright...
Shutting the computer down before I head to tonight's game.

PLEASE don't let this be another Marquis specialty...

by whopperman on Aug 3, 2006 5:13 PM EDT reply actions  

Official St Louis Site
is listing Cole Hamils as tonight's starter.  I'd never heard of him, so I looked at his last 10 games stats here: http://stlouis.cardinals.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/team/player.jsp?player_id=430935

His start against the braves on 7-24 went 5.1 innings.  He only got 16 outs on the night.  But he struck 12 batters out and walked two.  He lost with 7ER on 6 hits.  That is a crazy line.  anyone know anything about this kid?

by Schnake on Aug 3, 2006 5:20 PM EDT reply actions  

should read....
for the phillies, not the birds. could have been confusing

by Schnake on Aug 3, 2006 5:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Since I live near Philly
I have heard a lot about Hamels.

He is to the Phillies what Reyes is to the Cardinals - the next great pitcher.  He has a plus fastball (mid-90's) and an excellent change-up.  He is still learning how to pitch because he missed a lot of time in the minors with various injuries.

He can be great, or he can be hit hard, depending on location.

He is the type of pitcher who can make the Cardinals look bad, a left-hander with a good change-up.  I hope I am wrong, but I can see a lot of pop-ups tonight off the Cards' bats.

by stlfaninpa on Aug 3, 2006 5:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Rookie lefthander
equals guaranteed loss. It's sad, but true.

by Solanus on Aug 3, 2006 5:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Let me predict the way tonight goes
Marquis gives up two runs in the first, the Cardinals go down weakly in their half, the Phillies threaten in the second and third, break out with four in the fourth and two in the fifth. Chris Duncan or Jim Edmonds will hit a solo home run sometime in the middle of the game, and Tyler Johnson gets pasted in relief for three runs. Final line for Marquis

4.1, 7 ER, 9 H, 4 BB, 1 HBP, 1 K

Eckstein 1-for-4
Taguchi 0-for-4
Pujols 0-for-3, BB
Rolen 1-for-4
Jenc 0-for-3
JED 1-for-3, HR
Belliard 0-for-3
Molina 0-for-3

Phillies 10
Cards 1

by ryanisforever on Aug 3, 2006 5:33 PM EDT reply actions  

Oh
and Utley will hit enough to extend his streak to 78 games.

by ryanisforever on Aug 3, 2006 5:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sorry
I'll try and be more realistic and say that Marquis throws nothing but complete game shutouts.

by ryanisforever on Aug 3, 2006 9:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Theme Song
I figured out how to get the Cards back on track. We either need to reintroduce "The Heat is On" so I can wear my T-shirt again or come up with a better one. Any suggestions?
"The two most important things in life: good friends and a strong bullpen." -Bob Gibson

by OKCardsfan on Aug 3, 2006 5:48 PM EDT reply actions  

Ohh man...
That would make it a "Heck of A Year."

In case you don't know that is the name of the 1985 Cardinals video.  Theme song is the "The Heat is on."  I was -2 years old in '85, but that is still my favorite movie of all time.

"The right-hander is throwing up in the bullpen." -Mike Shannon

by DJ87 on Aug 3, 2006 6:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

I used to alternate
Between that and Ozzie's video almost everyday after school and always on gamedays.

Maybe someone above is right.  What this team needs is a theme song.  

My only vivid memory of Game 7 of the 82 series (I was six) was Celebration playing.  

Loved the Heat is On in 85.  These guys and us fans need a rallying cry.

OC Cards Fan

by OCCardsFan on Aug 3, 2006 7:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ha!
I was actually thinking about that very song on my way home today.

by Valatan on Aug 3, 2006 7:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Newbie
Hi everyone, I've been lurking around here for a little while but figured maybe I could pop my head out of the bubble it's often encased in. I'm kind of a new Cards fan (only...two years, I think). Not sure exactly how I ended up rooting for the Cards - many different circumstances arranging themselves favorably. The stars were in line? I don't know, but I do know that part of the reason is that I'm also a Oakland A's fan and I really loved Mark Mulder when he was on the A's, so I had to follow the team he ended up with. Another reason is Albert, of course. Well, one thing led to another and now, boom...here I am.

I had a chance recently to see the Cards play at Coors Field...there were a LOT of Cards fans there. My sister and I joined the flow of people. I had a sign for Albert "In Pujols We Trust." I held it up all through Tuesday's batting practice and nobody even looked over. :( My sister and I ALMOST got Rolen's autograph, but he ran away before we really got close. Still, we watched Carp pitch a gem and Pujols whack one about a section away from us...very cool. We also hung out above the bullpen and watched Carp warm up. I took some pictures...can I/should I post them here?

It was really, really fun to watch these guys play LIVE (I had never seen them in person before) and they won both games I was at. (I went Wednesday, too). Though, Colorado seems to do weird things to the Cards...they win a lot there and then stumble coming away from a series with the Rockies....go figure.

by Squeaky on Aug 3, 2006 5:54 PM EDT reply actions  

welcome
So the cards are undefeated when you've seen them in person eh?  Is it too much to ask to have to fly into st. lou for tonights game?  

by stltrav09 on Aug 3, 2006 5:56 PM EDT reply actions  

Unfortunately...
I'm stuck in CO. I can only see the Cards when they come here. Very annoying.

by Squeaky on Aug 3, 2006 6:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

colorado dude
I've seen 5 games in Chicago.  Any wins??? you know the answer.  I sacked up and bought tickets to the Giants game in Sept in STL.....Hopefully Barry's head won't block my view of 1/3 of the field.
Copes

by copes on Aug 3, 2006 6:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

I saw Giants vs. Rockies
early in July...Barry. Ugh. The whole stadium booed him every time he came up. It was awesome. I don't generally condone booing for people but...this time, it was sweet.

by Squeaky on Aug 3, 2006 7:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Weaver
He's starting Monday in Cincinnati, Miklasz says.
DCGreg

by DCGreg on Aug 3, 2006 6:10 PM EDT reply actions  

oh good
what will our losing streak be at by then? :)

by effin fisk on Aug 3, 2006 6:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

No one can be worst than Weaver
I really don't think anyone could be worst than Weaver right now. He looks like he is on the slow pitch softball team named the Cardinals.

I think I am so mad right now cause LaRussa is still just in love with Veterans. He refuses to play any young guys not named Duncan/Molina.

I know Tankersly is not the solution but can he really be any worst?

Belliard looks excatly like Juan E in his swings.

by DimitroffVodka on Aug 3, 2006 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

ummmmm Ponson was worse.
"The right-hander is throwing up in the bullpen." -Mike Shannon

by DJ87 on Aug 3, 2006 6:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Good to see that the braintrust
isn't as kneejerk as the fans at Busch last night.

by DanUpBaby on Aug 3, 2006 6:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Weaver
I hope Weaver sole purpose now is to get us through until Mulder is back.  Tony probably doesn't want to risk any of the guys in our shallow bullpen.  

However, in all of Weaver's last three starts I've seen a common theme (no, not just the obvious...he sucks) but he throw balls on his first and second pitch...EVERY FREAKIN TIME!

Of course you're gonna get get rocked when you have average stuff and are always workin from behind.  His curve has decent movement, but he can't through it over the plate.

If Mulder comes back and his "overhand" curve is still 3/4...we're screwed.  I'm glad we didn't deal wainright or reyes, b/c we don't need any more old arms.

Copes

by copes on Aug 3, 2006 6:47 PM EDT reply actions  

tonight's lineups
...in case this becomes the game thread:

Edmonds sits against the lefty Cole Hamels, and Spiezio gets the start in LF.

J. Rollins ss
D. Dellucci rf
C. Utley 2b
R. Howard 1b
P. Burrell lf
A. Rowand cf
C. Coste c
A. Nunez 3b
C. Hamels p

D. Eckstein ss
R. Belliard 2b
A. Pujols 1b
S. Rolen 3b
J. Encarnacion rf
S. Spiezio lf
S. Taguchi cf
G. Bennett c
J. Marquis p

by DCRedbird on Aug 3, 2006 7:06 PM EDT reply actions  

Why
Why Didnt Cruz Jr get the start tonight against the lefty?

by DimitroffVodka on Aug 3, 2006 7:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

huh?
It happened on a Sunday afternoon, August 22, 1982.

by Glenn Brummer stole home on Aug 3, 2006 9:21 PM EDT reply actions  

I was wrong about Weaver
Knew he was a gamble all along, but it didn't pay off. And I have this feeling that we're gonna regret trading Evans for Weaver some day, even though Evans hasn't exactly been playing great since the trade.

But I have a question: Can Weaver be sent to Memphis? I'm assuming not, or that probably would've been brought up already, but if he could then maybe he could work out his problems down there? Probably wouldn't help us any this year, but if he were to turn things around, then maybe we'd have a shot at resigning him for little money? I realize that many will not want to even consider spending anymore time on Weaver, but it wouldn't cost much and I see it as a free opportunity to add another option for next year's rotation.

As for Mulder's injury, it seems like he'd have a better chance of getting back into his groove sooner then most pitchers coming off the DL. I say this because his injury wasn't really all that serious or was it? Seems like he still has a realistic shot at getting back into shape and helping come playoff time to me, but I know that it's not a given too.

by rob is back on Aug 3, 2006 9:43 PM EDT reply actions  

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