let the dog days commence
let's begin with some good news: trey hearne added another good performance to his resume last night, holding the lansing lugnuts (love that name) to 1 unearned run in 7 innings. he departed trailing 1-0, though, and stood to take a very tough loss; then, with two out in the top of the 9th, mark hamilton singled home the tying run to get hearne off the hook; bryan anderson followed with another rbi single to put QC ahead, and tyler greene reached on an error that plated two more runs. the win went to chris perez; hearne lowered his era to 2.32, 5th in the midwest league.
as for the parent club . . . . lot of frustrated cardinal fans out there. during the game thread last night there were even people lashing out at pujols, which -- insofar as he is the only thing separating this team from a .450 winning percentage -- i can't understand; even babe ruth had his .250 weeks. since the all-star break, albert has a .339 / .431 / .645 line and leads st louis in rbi (he's 2d in runs); the cardinals as a whole, though, are dead last in the league in post-all-star batting (.243), next-to-last in slugging (the astros are worse), and 13th in the league in scoring. taking the season as a whole, they now rank 7th in league in runs scored, 10th in slg, and 10th in HR. . . . if you just absolutely have to have someone to blame these things on, blame rolen and eckstein. scotty hasn't homered since july 9, has only 3 extra-base hits since the break, and is hitting .233 in that span; eck is hitting .221 with 0 extra base hits, 0 rbi, and 2 walks.
there are your scapegoats; have at 'em, folks.
eckstein clearly hasn't been the same since his concussion back in mid-june, but the funny thing is that he had an almost identical slump last season without benefit of a head injury. see for yourself:
| g | ab | r | h | xbh | rbi | avg | obp | slg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 6/20 thru 8/1 |
35 | 154 | 16 | 38 | 3 | 2 | .247 | .293 | .266 |
| 2005 6/20 thru 8/1 |
34 | 142 | 14 | 30 | 8 | 11 | .211 | .280 | .296 |
last year eckstein followed this 34-game slump with a 34-game tear in which he batted .338 / .389 / .517, scored 23 runs and knocked in 21. i wouldn't bet on him getting quite that hot again this season, for a couple of reasons. the main one is strikeouts: he's whiffed 19 times during the above-named slump, nearly twice his career whiff rate. a disproportionate slice of eckstein's value derives from simply putting the ball in play, hitting em where they ain't; if he don't hit 'em, he can't ain't em. the other big concern is david's utter lack of extra-base pop; he's obviously not making very hard contact. these things ebb and flow, and i do think the hits will start falling in for eckstein eventually; but there's definite cause for concern.
as for rolen, they obviously need more out of him, but i can't fault the guy; he's out there grinding, just like all of the other cardinals. indeed, i have a difficult time faulting any of these players; most of the regulars are at or above their career norms offensively, and they have weathered some serious adversity to remain in 1st place all summer. my frustration lies primarily with the ownership -- that, and not on the field, is where i perceive the lack of effort.
for whatever reason, i'm not particularly bent out of shape over this little skid. we've already seen much worse, and we already know the team lacks the top-to-bottom excellence required to play consistently good baseball and run away with the division again; guess i adjusted my expectations two months ago. the cards are still on track for 92 to 93 wins, which is about where most of the know-it-alls projected them during spring training; i didn't see any pundit predicting another 100-win season. so they are about where they "should" be -- grinding it out in august, still playing meaningful games.
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Eck
amen
See, here is where the Luna trade hurts. Not because it brought Belliard--I actually liked that. Its that I saw Luna as the SS of the future after Eck left. Now maybe Hector would never be able to handle it defensively. Who knows?
But this is why I really struggle to watch Eckstein. Unless hes hitting around .310 and walking more, hes a very bad offensive player. No other way to put it folks. He can hustle and dive till the cows come home but he aint squeezing any base hits or runs out of those utters.
Since he doesnt run and doesnt hit for any extra base power he basically gets to first base a few times. I know it wont happen but put Belliard in that spot and Eck 8th. At least Ronnie can hit the ball to the outfield occasionally.
BTW, let me also go on record that Jorge Sosa will do well in STL. I know, I know--it makes no sense and many feel hes awful. But I just like the arm and feel this place is good for him.
Waddle on.
agree fully
I also think Sosa will be a good middle-long reliever, but not a starter.
Has anyone noticed
by El Schweenador on Aug 2, 2006 10:15 AM EDT up reply actions
Eck will be
by Lonedawg on Aug 2, 2006 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions
Well that's interesting.
How weird
It's not weird if
nope
by Lonedawg on Aug 2, 2006 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions
erm
by Birds on the Matt on Aug 2, 2006 4:37 PM EDT up reply actions
Very interesting that he played
by MdRedbirdFreak on Aug 2, 2006 3:13 PM EDT up reply actions
But it's sure out there
by ArkansasTravs on Aug 2, 2006 8:20 PM EDT up reply actions
Wow, that comparision
supposedly
Huh?
Unfortunately, it looks to me more like Eck is suffering the consequences of a head injury, and even mild concussions have potentially serious lingering effects.
So, our backup at short is Miles? Ugh.
just a reference
ashley drane
In the year 2000...(Conan reference)
If I remember the same article,
didn't see that article, but
Eck's wife
I think I'd stay at home too... ;-)
Eck's beaning
Alright Weaver...
(Viva el Prime Seat Club -- $17.35 for a ticket, morning of game, in section 445!?!)
Oh yeah...Betty and Carp, you too.
Lansing Lugnuts
Talent and the Dog Days of Summer
That said--I love the guy.
This is what scares me to death
by El Schweenador on Aug 2, 2006 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions
Yeah, we've still got a couple of
Honestly
Who's manning SS
by MdRedbirdFreak on Aug 2, 2006 3:15 PM EDT up reply actions
John Nelson
Swings for the fences every time -- gets it about once every five or six games. Doesn't walk much, strikes out a ton. Not terrible with the glove, but not good either. Not a MLB player.
Juan Encarnacion
'06 Line
377 AB/.286 BA/.318 OBP/.475 SLG/.793 OPS
15 HR/57 RBI
Juan's batting average is 17 points above his career average, 1 point behind his average for last season, and three behind his career best mark. His OBP is one point better than his career mark, although it is 29 points behind last year's career best. What he is lacking in walks, he has made up for with power. His .475 slugging percentage will easily be a career high and has directly led to a his only being three points off of last year's career-best .796 OPS. Encarnacion already had 15 HR and, barring injury, should easily surpass his previous career best of 19 HR.
Wait, what?
This season vs. full length of the contract
His VORP is 9.5. To put this in perspective, Jacque Jones has a VORP of 11.4; David Delluci, 11.9; Jay Gibbons, 10.2. That said, Brian Giles is at 8.2 and was the only other alternative that was perceived to be demonstrably better and available on the free agent market during the Hot Stove.
I find the signing troubling for the cost to the club over the full length of a contract that is too long. He will see a significant increase in salary next season that, barring a major offensive production increase, will make his numbers lacking when compared with what the Cards are paying him.
The signing is not the complete bust that seemed possible at the beginning of the year. This season, we are getting what we paid for but there are two years left during which he will be a paid employee of the St. Louis Cardinals and I worry that his offensive output will not justify his salary next year or the next. On one thing, I believe we can all agree, Juan should not be classified as a "core" player a la Pujols, Rolen, Edmonds, and Carp.
I am not
by DimitroffVodka on Aug 2, 2006 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions
Fanning the heat
I know there aren't too many guys without holes in there swing, but not 2 of them so big like him.
Another thing...
My point here is, the guys in front of him need to get on base! Granted, he had some chances in the Cubs series, but it seems like he's coming up lately with NO ONE on base. A few months ago, it seemed like it was almost a guarantee for Eck to lead off the game with a hit!
(I appologize for not having correct figures)
Love the minor league info
That said, I'm actually a little relieved to see the correlation between Eckstein last year and Eckstein this year. I'm not surprised he's not walking -- why would anyone walk someone who has almost 0 chance of getting an extra base hit. That lack of pop really hurts b/c not only does it mean he'll draw fewer walks, but he'll also get fewer hits b/c the OF plays so shallow against him.
It seems to me that last year, much more than this year (or maybe the slump is too fresh in my memory), he was able to turn on a pitch inside and drive it down the LF line. He had 8 (I think) HR's last year and was slugging at a much higher rate than this year. When was the last time anyone saw him turn on an inside pitch and hit it in the LF corner? Maybe it's the concussion, maybe it's just a slump, but I wonder as he gets a little older, his bat slows down just a little bit and, what used to be double in the corner is now off the fists for an easy out. Hope I'm wrong.
Keep up the good work and let's have tomorrow's "leadoff" post be something good about Weaver, Pujols, Eckstein, Rolen, etc.
I don't fault
I agree with lboros in that my frustration is directed more toward management and ownership. All of the pieces to take a step forward from last year are not present despite the ability to do so. We balked in the offseason to pick up anyone of value so we could go for someone with some impact during the trading deadline and then when the time comes, we get no noticeable improvement. Also, even with the guys already on the payroll that could make meaningful contributions (Wainwright, Reyes), TLR holds them back until they buy into his genius-ness. It's just frustrating. I will say I'm less frustrated now than the 8 game losing streak. Maybe by middle of September I'll have complete apathy.
Just a disclaimer re: Pujols
i'd second that
well
He has a .353 OPB this year and had an .837 OPS last year. Not saying hes a world beater but I would prefer him over J-Rod.
I thought about this too
I don't think this would work out. I'd rather wait on a better player.
I'll take him
by El Schweenador on Aug 2, 2006 11:42 AM EDT up reply actions
Bring back
huh
I suppose
Ozzie was upset too
good for Ozzie
not only that
Who?
What BETTER player are we goin' to find at this stage of the season? Shawn Green? Considerin' he has a hefty contract that last through next year and includes an option for 2008, I'll pass.
Honestly, Jose Cruz Jr. and his .350 OBP sure would be nice to have out in left to platoon with Duncan. (I am not convinced Duncan can sustain this success, but I sure hope he can.)
Not a big Cruz fan
Cruz's #'s, though awful overall, are pretty good vs. LHP. His OPS is .942 vs. LHP. The only problem is who do we drop from the roster if we add Cruz? He's definitely better than JRod vs. lefties but I like having JRod on the bench to pinch hit. Cruz is basically useless vs. RHP and, late in the game, that's who he'd face. I guess we'd still have Duncan and Speizio on the bench and we could always use Taguchi vs. either lefties or righties but I'm really cautious about bringing a guy in who you just can't use against RHP.
BTW, Taguchi will never be dropped. He's our backup CF and one of our best defensive OF's. Certainly better than Duncan, JRod, or Speizio and probably Cruz as well. If we add Cruz, either Duncan or JRod gets sent down.
J-Rod
I think it would be a smart pick-up to add Cruz. I don't feel comfortable havin' Duncan and J-Rod in left in the playoffs...Duncan and Cruz would be a much better option, imo.
They said
But Varitek is out for awhile now cause of his knee. Here comes Javy Lopez to the Sox.
by DimitroffVodka on Aug 2, 2006 12:40 PM EDT up reply actions
Yankees....
Not if the Yankees
I'm tired....
by Ankiels Missing Curveball on Aug 2, 2006 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions
Backup SS
.225 avg (eww), .307 obp, .427 slg (better), .734 OPS(decent for a SS), LEADS Memphis with 18 HR.
He can't be worse than Miles. Doesn't hit for average, but as a lot of power for a SS. I don't know about his defense.
Bring up Greene
by Ankiels Missing Curveball on Aug 2, 2006 1:26 PM EDT up reply actions
Green
wasn't even AA...
da bullpen
by sjoshi on Aug 2, 2006 12:49 PM EDT reply actions
The Bullpen can be awesome
Weaver better start pumping that Slider tonight or he needs to be gone. He is absoutely horrible and I predict he goes 3ip w/ 6ER.
this gem
The staff of Stephen A. Smith's "Quite Frankly" should have known better than to e-mail potential members of the studio audience, telling them it would be acceptable to boo Cubs manager Dusty Baker, a scheduled guest on the show. Baker withdrew from the show when he heard about the e-mail. Also, Smith complaining to the media that the show isn't getting sufficient support from ESPN sounds a little whiny to me.
by sjoshi on Aug 2, 2006 1:17 PM EDT reply actions
If Smith
QUITE FRANKLY
He claims he had nothin' to do with it, some interns tried to pull it off. I mean, the show is pretty sad, they just go around to blogs online and try to give away tickets to the blogwriters because no one will come to the show. I'm beginnin' to think they may actually put Berman and Stu Scott and other ESPN personalities in the crowd in disguise to make it look like people are actually there watchin' the show.
Sosa last night....
by Ankiels Missing Curveball on Aug 2, 2006 1:29 PM EDT reply actions
Looked to me
BTW Burrell was 0-10 (0-11 now) with 1 walk in the last 2 years against sosa, so it may have been more than just a confidence booster.
Thanks...
by Ankiels Missing Curveball on Aug 2, 2006 1:56 PM EDT up reply actions
Sink or swim
Cruz for Taguchi
Respectfully, STRONGLY disagree. Taguchi has been nowhere near as competent this year with the glove as years past. He has thrown to the wrong base several times that I've witnessed, and his arm strength is below average. He is merely adequate at the plate.
Ask yourself this: if a guy (Luna) who is under the team's control for three more years can be replaced with a rental deemed an upgrade (Belliard), then why not Taguchi, who is gone after this year anyway? Cruz would be better than Taguchi from the right side, and his defense is better, IMO. It would be pretty silly if Cruz is there for the cheap and they don't get him because Tony has a man-crush on Taguchi.
As for a backup CF, Cruz can serve as your backup until September when Schumaker is called up. And in the playoffs you should hardly need anybody to spell JimEd.
Unless somebody needs him more than we do and pays an exorbitant ransom, go get Jose Cruz, Jr.
meat
So Taguchi
Didn't Juan
Taguchi
You're right that Cruz could serve as a backup to Edmonds but LaRussa trusts Taguchi and LaRussa tends to stick with the guys he trusts.
I'm not saying necessarily that the Cards should stick w/ Taguchi over Rodriguez, but I think they would. Also, there's not a lot of difference between Duncan and Rodriguez. Taguchi is a different sort of player -- RH, can play CF, can bunt and handle the bat, a little speed. There's no doubt in my mind that if we add an OF, the Cards will stick w/ Taguchi.
I personally like J-Rod
If we send J-Rod to the minors than I say we just trade him so at least he can get playing time for another team.
I would think...
Belliard
Now why...
Granted Belliard is 5 years younger, but all we're talking about is a 2-3 year contract with either of these guys...
To Be FA 2nd Baseman
Who knows?
I was pounding the "Re-sign Grudz" drum this offseason pretty loudly, and am with you in sentiment.
by bgh on Aug 2, 2006 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions
about resigning belliard
Ehh
I thought...
by Ankiels Missing Curveball on Aug 2, 2006 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions
A seat is a seat
Invest
by TNFan32 on Aug 2, 2006 4:17 PM EDT reply actions
Belliard
"I'm a baseball player. I [b]was[/b] happy here and I think I [b]can[/b] be happy there," Belliard told Cleveland reporters [b]after[/b] being informed of the deal Sunday.
That sounds like a guy who has thoughts of returning to Cleveland. Now, that was right after the trade and he might find that he can be happy in StL, too. The good news is that he is sure to be a Type A free agent. If we offer him arby and he accepts we'll probably pay him 4.5M. Not bad, not great. If he declines, we'd get a couple draft picks from his short stay here. If he has a good stretch run, he could really find himself in demand. BTW, I don't think the FA class of 2B is that bad. The real good news is that it's a huge group, which should help us find a cheap short term solution for cheap:
Alfonso Soriano
Mark DeRosa
Luis Castillo
Ronnie Belliard
Craig Counsell
Ray Durham
Adam Kennedy
Mark Loretta
Todd Walker
Craig Biggio
Jerry Hairston
...couple others
http://www.mlb4u.com/freeagency.php?order=position
I think we should be get what we need from [i]one[/i] of those guys for <=3 million.
meat
can you say counsell?
by sjoshi on Aug 2, 2006 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions
d'oh
meat
you used the right tags
Belliard's Swing
by Birds on the Bat on Aug 2, 2006 8:33 PM EDT reply actions



















