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Possible Trades

 With the current status of the team, a lot of us have been talking about trading for impact players.  We have two "needs" - outfield bat and power pitcher.  I wanted to take and early season look at who was available and who could be counted on come October.  When eliminating players from the trade pool there were three factors - contending teams, division opponents, and arbitration eligible players. Walt may be able to pull of a trade within the division, but that seems unlikely.  Disclaimer - I know not all these players are available, I just wanted to look at what the Cards could do.

On one side of the coin - we "need" an outfield bat to shore up the lineup.  To find a big bat lets first look at the available leaders in OPS:  
Vernon Wells (.994)
Casey Blake (.963)
Bobby Abreu (.956)
Alfonzo Soriano (.950)
Pat Burrell (.946)
I stopped there since everyone else was below .900.  Also if teams like ARI (Green, Gonzalez, Byrnes) or TEX (Matthews, Jr., Mench, Wilkerson) would hit hard times some of their players could become available.  Looking through that list I would eliminate Abreu and Burrell for their contracts after this season, sorry but I don't want Soriano, which leaves Wells and Blake.  Wells could be a decent replacement of Edmonds in CF.  Another possibility would be to find a high OBP player for the #2 hole: Ichiro Suzuki (.387) is about the only person not mentioned earlier.  So this brings us to Wells, Blake and Suzuki as possible outfielder upgrades.  

On the other side of the coin - we "need" a power pitcher to give us that 1-2(-3?) punch for the postseason.  I know there is debate about the need for this power pitcher and what actually defines a power pitcher but I believe in the need.  The first stat I looked at was K/9 with 6.5 being the cutoff (since the Cards really lack there):
Johan Santana (9.56)
Jake Peavy (9.35)
?Cory Lidle? (8.14)
Gil Meche (7.38)
Ted Lilly (7.29)
John Lackey (7.22)
John Smoltz (6.93)
Kelvim Escobar (6.90)
Cliff Lee (6.89)
Jason Schmidt (6.86)
Dan Haren (6.81)
Barry Zito (6.72)
Before I kid myself eliminate Santana, Lidle & Meche (career years), Peavy (only $2.5MM, what a deal), Smoltz, Haren and Zito.  Comparing the remaining 5 and looking at other "power" stats:

           Lilly   Lackey  Escobar  Lee      Schmidt
K/9     7.29    7.22    6.90       6.89      6.86
H/9     9.31    7.09    10.42     11.06    6.41
BB/9   5.43    3.11    1.76       2.73      2.81
K/BB   1.34    2.34    3.92       2.53     2.44
WHIP  1.64    1.13    1.35       1.53      1.03
G/F     1.02    0.87    1.21       0.43     0.67

Looking at these numbers, Escobar really looks appealing since he is in the AL (minus that H/9 - his BABIP in `06 is .340 with a .313 career).  Lilly is the only other GB pitcher (barely) which Duncan likes.  I don't see Lilly or Lackey as power pitchers, but that may be just me.  Then again I have heard about some Reyes kid in the system who can't get a decent chance, but without getting into that debate to much, I'd go with Escobar or Schmidt.  

Well I think I have convinced myself into Vernon Wells and Kelvin Escobar as the best options for the Cards.  The only other question would be what does it take to get them?  I'll let you all decide that.  

Poll
Who should they get?
Different P - comment
1 votes
Vernon Wells
29 votes
Casey Blake
3 votes
Ichiro Suzuki
14 votes
Kelvim Escobar
2 votes
Jason Schmidt
16 votes
Different OF - comment
11 votes

76 votes | Poll has closed

0 recs  |  Comment 6 comments

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Comments

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the real problem here
is that i don't think that we have the guns to really make a trade thats going to help us more than hert us.  what it's going to take to get any out fielder (Wells, Suzuki, Greene, Soriano, ect.)  is going to cost more than what i think it'll be worth.  any of those guyes above, is going to be $10 a year, plus the loss of a strating pitcher+pitching prospects.  

 

~Fox~

by pujols5 on Jun 1, 2006 1:33 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Without examining each one seperately
I agree. I'd be happy with most of those names, but I think they would take more than I'd be willing to give up in return. Perhaps that's because I prefer to look at this season as somewhat of a rebuilding year, despite that we have the best record in the NL. I don't feel comfortable with our team in the playoffs, but as long as they have the best record in the NL, why not let them see what they can do and try to improve for next year?

This especially stands if Edmonds is unable to return this year.

by rob is back on Jun 1, 2006 1:49 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

even if jimmy is able
is he worth it? the team holds a $10m option on him; based on his performance this spring, is he a $10m player?

by lboros on Jun 1, 2006 10:12 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I meant this year
If he's unable to return this year, then that just gives me more reason to consider this season as a rebuilding year to make adjustments, such as finding a replacement CF for next year.

As for whether it would be worth picking up his option, I'd have to say probably not, but if he returns from the DL in good shape, then I can say that I wouldn't mind seeing him given another year in St. Louis. He's always been one of my favorites, so I won't deny that I'm biased when it comes to Edmonds. It's hard for me to imagine anyone else patroling centerfield for St. Louis and I worry that we're gonna really miss his defense when he's gone if we're unable to sign a sufficient replacement in the meantime.

by rob is back on Jun 1, 2006 11:08 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Edmonds
Edmonds is really only going to cost $7 mil next year since he has a $3mil buy out that is a sunk cost.  I don't think there is any question about the cards picking up his option unless he has a serious injury. They are just waiting to make sure he doesn't hurt himself during the season. I don't think you can find a player like him any cheaper than $7mil. They are paying Encarnarcion $5mil per year.

by endlessticketscom on Jun 1, 2006 11:10 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

boy i don't know
a 37-year-old player coming off a) a bad injury, and b) two years of declining performance . . . . i wouldn't pay $7m for that.

by lboros on Jun 1, 2006 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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