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wainwright joins the rotation

it's more or less official: wainwright's in the rotation. derrick goold has the scoop in this morning's post-dispatch:

"I think that Adam Wainwright could be as good as any pitcher who was in the free agent market," Jocketty said. "He has the capabilities of that. . . . As we see Izzy progressing more and more we feel more comfortable taking Adam out of that (closer) role. That's why you get Adam to condition to be a starter, and we get to spring training and see which way we go with it."
this is a smart, straightforward use of the organization's resources (though the wild-eyed izzy haters won't like it). it's also uncharacteristically smart, straightforward pr by the cardinals; eliminates some guesswork, quiets some speculation, mutes some hysteria, and facilitates the setting of realistic expectations. as danup put it not long ago, st louis acquired its fourth starter not from the free-agent market or via trade, but from the bullpen --- and (if the projections are to be trusted) he's a better bet than most of the free-agent "talent" available this off-season. that leaves the cards with just one hole to fill. for now, brad thompson projects as the guy to fill it; i'm not wild about him, but he still represents an improvement over jason marquis. let's put that rotation alongside last year's, with actual and projected era figures:
2006 2007
carp 3.09 ~3.25 carp
suppan 4.12 ~5.00 wells
mulder/weaver 5.60 ~4.50 wainwright
marquis 6.02 ~4.75 reyes
ponson/reyes 5.14 ~5.25 thompson

first of all, those are pretty conservative era estimates for 2007. for wells, i used his ZIPS projection; for wainwright, i'm assuming he's a run and a half worse than he was as a reliever last year; and for brad thompson, i'm allowing an increase of 2 full runs over his career big-league era. i'm even projecting that carpenter takes a step backward. nevertheless, if we rough out those estimates over a full season's worth of work, these five starters figure to be about 30 runs better than last year's group; if the two kids progress and keep their eras in the range of 4.00, and/or if wells clicks with duncan, we could be looking at a 50-run bump. so it's not at all unrealistic to project this rotation as 3 to 5 wins better than the one the cards fielded last year. to put it in era terms: last year's rotation compiled an aggregate 4.79 era. these 5 guys project to have an era in the 4.30 to 4.50 range. for comparison's sake, the 2004 starting rotation (which anchored a 105-win team) had an aggregate era of 4.08.

one thing to like about this projected rotation: it can strike people out. the top 4 guys all have career k rates north of 6.5 per 9 innings. the big concern is the workload --- we don't know whether the bottom 4 guys can handle 180 innings apiece. but reyes threw 170+ innings last year without incident; wainwright has topped 150 innings four times in the minors. additional replacement-level arms will undoubtedly be brought aboard for insurance (i would still like to see them take a shot at john thomson), and a jon lieber or kris benson might shake free in a trade either before or during the season. but if these are the five guys the cards end up with, i think they will still compete. a rotation built around those five starters should be good enough to get the team into the mid- to high 80s in wins.

is there room for improvement? you betcha --- tons of it. but the cards are wise to stay patient and wait until they can get a pitcher who would really improve the team, rather than make a panicky acquisition (eg, a badly overpriced suppan or weaver) that kinda sorta looks like an improvement on paper. the pitchers who truly might have made the cards better either are committed to the west coast (jason schmidt, randy wolf, greg maddux) or are just flat-out too expensive (barry zito). given those players' unavailability, the team has made the reasonable decision to improve from within. to repeat myself from one week ago:

for more than a year the cardinals have been saying, in word and deed, that they're going to make a greater commitment to player development in the future --- promote from within, trust the young players who come up through the ranks, win or lose with'm. might as well get started on that project right now.
last season, as the rotation disintegrated, a lot of us were frustrated by the organization's reluctance to turn to reyes and wainwright. well, the cards are turning to them now; i'm looking forward to finding out what they can do.

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Names vs performance
I would like to have gotten Randy Wolf or Jason Schmidt, even if that meant overpaying by a lot. Sometimes you have to overpay to get exactly what you want, and Jocketty may have been willing to do that for Schmidt. But it still didn't happen.

The rush to get the "next best" pitcher available has been comical, and I agree that the "no names" we can put out there may be much better as well as much cheaper.

Weaver would have to be crazy not to get back on board after the make-over Duncan gave him. And I see him getting better. But Suppan is unlikely to be any better than he was last year--excellent when he's on, but extremely vulnerable when he's pitching in a hitter's park or doesn't have his best command. And over the next three years, he's likely to slide slowly down hill just as Woody Williams did.

by Fred McTaggart on Dec 14, 2006 8:35 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Man we were bad in 2006
I never realized how bad our starting pitching was in 2006.

I still feel we HAVE to sign one more guy. I just don't see anyone in this rotation having long outings after Carpenter very often. I mean that is why Suppan was nice. He threw in a couple 7 or 8 innings pitching performances in during the season. Groundballer's can be more efficient wow strike out pitchers need more pitches so by the 6th they are hitting 100 pitches. Even if they are pitching good.

The one nice thing about watching young guys from your organization pitch. Even if they fail it is still enjoyable. Its like a Dad watching his kid pitch. Thats why I am happy to see the Cardinals finally take a step in the right direction and focusing on holding on to talent. It just takes patience.

I was looking at BP and they were saying the market is up 47% from last year in terms of baseball contracts. So any big deals from last year seem rather cheap about now. The increase is from higher revenue across of all MLB from various sources.

It made me think if you were smart enough to predict this trend of higher revenue than predicted higher spending. Than a higher rate of inflation and invested heavy last year. You could be viewed as awfully smart the next year. The Jays GM instantly came to my mind.

by DimitroffVodka on Dec 14, 2006 8:39 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

One more guy
I agree that we need one more starter, but I think carefully selecting among the scrap-heapers is better than taking an $8M flyer on a replacement level guy.

by Zubin on Dec 14, 2006 9:22 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Brad Penny
I'm interested to see what LA would want for Brad Penny.  I think he'd slot in nicely as the #2 if we fail to re-sign Weaver.  His #'s are pretty good and he made $5.5 million last year.  
"I only am who I am because I was born that way. I have a gift and I'm trying to not be selfish about it, but to use it, OK? Jealousy will get you nowhere!"

by I Bleed Cardinal Red on Dec 14, 2006 8:50 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Lucky penny
When larry asked who we could aquire to bump us into the top quarter of the league in terms of rotation, this was the guy I was thinking.  I bet we could get him for some major league bullpen help and Rasmus.  I don't know if I want to give that up, but I bet that would start the talks...

by BigJawnMize on Dec 14, 2006 10:03 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

penny
i am also interested in what they are asking.  if jason jennings can get someone like hirsh, penny is probably out of the cardinals price range.  i usually support trading prospects for vets, but i really dont want to trade rasmus.

by the way, penny makes $7.5MM in 2007, $8.5MM in 2008, and there is an $8.75MM club option for 2009 ($2MM buyout).  not a bad contract.

by dmb60614 on Dec 14, 2006 10:12 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

you are right
I wasn't thinking about the jennings deal.  I bet it would take Rasmus, Ottavino, and one of the young bullpen arms to get him.

by BigJawnMize on Dec 14, 2006 10:18 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Penny
I recall the Dodgers being fed up with Penny and all his outbursts last season. Since the Dodgers already signed Schmidt and Wolf, maybe they're looking to dump Penny? It's at least worth asking about.
Cards fan in Denver

by Futility Infielder on Dec 14, 2006 1:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No. 2 guy
Yeah, I don't think Weaver is really a No. 2 guy, and it's too much to expect Wainwright to step into that role right away. On the other hand, it was too much to expect him to be the closer for the entire post-season.

by Fred McTaggart on Dec 14, 2006 12:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Yesterday
In Valatan's post about RickAnk. There was a comment posted that quoted Tony, and the quote was about the possiblity of Weaver returning. Plus a push was being made for Mulder. Today our rotation is beining filled with AW and Brad Tompson. I liked yesterday better.

 I wouldn't mind AW in the rotation.  Hopefully the Looper/Thompson suggestions are just a bridge that will take us to Mulder at the end of June.

by nybirdfan on Dec 14, 2006 9:05 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

I'm with ya...
I'm hugely on the Mulder train...let's face it, we gave up quite a bit to get this guy from the A's 2 yrs ago.  Why not take a chance on him returning to form?  Dude, when he's on...he's on.  Plus, he's still fairly young.  I say he should be a priority.  I like him and AW to fill out the rotation.

I'd like this to be our midseason rot.

  1. Carp
  2. Mulder
  3. AW
  4. Reyes
  5. Wells
I'm still not crazy about wells.  I'm too lazy to look up statistics but didn't we torch that guy when we played him in Pittsburgh?!  Duncan project assumptions aside...I'm not counting on this guy to be good at all next year.  

by jose smokeindo on Dec 14, 2006 11:11 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Plus he's a lefty
If Mulder comes back from surgery as Carpenter did...watch out. When he's good, he's good.

by Fred McTaggart on Dec 14, 2006 12:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Mulder is done...
...rotator cuffs don't heal well.  Mind you that Carps injury was a long shot for him to come back from, but it was still a different injury.

by BigJawnMize on Dec 14, 2006 4:38 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

If I had my druthers
I'd like to add an insurance arm as a long-reliever/sometime starter and also add another arm for the bullpen.  As you mentioned, Mr. Borowsky, John Thomson would be excellent in the role and Brad Thompson would be the long reliever/mop up guy.

I'm also curious about what it would take to sign Claussen, given his non-tender and current medical state.

2006 World Champs! Inconceivable! You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.

by BozCardsFanSF on Dec 14, 2006 9:05 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

What the heck was I talking about
Besides Thomson, I would really, really, really like to have Joel Piniero.  Always seemed to have great stuff, just had injury problems and then seemed to fall apart.  If you can get him cheap, I say go for it.  I'm concerned that he might be in a Mulder-like spot (i.e. declining peripherals) with some history of injury.  Risky, but could be a good addition.
2006 World Champs! Inconceivable! You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means.

by BozCardsFanSF on Dec 14, 2006 9:34 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Mixed feelings
Although plenty of evidence to state otherwise, I'm having a hard time seeing the current rotation as being even one game better than last season's which included such fantastic fizzles as Mulder, Marquis and Ponson. Just a gut feeling type of thing that says, "this can't be good."  

Yet, I do agree Cards have been prudent to be patient and can only hope they are able to somehow swing a deal for one more quality pitcher during the season. I'm still hoping Mulder is resigned for a mid-season booster shot as I feel he'll come back OK and finish season strong. Again, nothing more than a gut feeling.

And while I sure would have preferred Walt had made a Freddy Garcia type of deal as the Phillies did, I do advocate emphasis on player development and promotion from within the Cards system. There is nothing better than a good-to-great farm system annually turning out talent. I like to see more money spent there on best in the business scouts, coaches, etc.

Baily

by Baily on Dec 14, 2006 9:05 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Great Move.
It's a move I wanted to happen last spring and I'm glad it's happening now.  Wainwright is more useful as a starter and if Izzy goes down he'll be back to his role as closer.  The team will also have a ton of money to spend to acquire a big name starter at the trade deadline, if need be.

Logically, given the status of this overhyped and inflated market, promoting from within is the best move to play.

Bench Juan Encarnacion!

by STLCardinalsFan on Dec 14, 2006 9:29 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

how do you know he is more useful as a starter
isn't the common logic that any guy is gonna have better stuff when he's just going for one or two innings; stretch him out over six or so and the stuff changes. any thoughts on this.

i'm a little worried AW is gonna struggle as a starter in 07

Evident The Wash.

by brock on Dec 14, 2006 2:36 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

AW
He has the talent to be an SP3+ on the big league level, he has been a highly touted prospect in this regard.

There's only one way to find out, and we'd be remiss not to do so with a $9mm closer on board.

by plh903 on Dec 14, 2006 5:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Nah.
His stuff will change over 6-7 innings but he'll make the adjustment in Spring Training.  It's not like he's a career one inning bullpen guy who isn't used to pitching long stretches in ballgames.  I'm confident he'll have a solid season and will be a contributor to the club for years to come.
Bench Juan Encarnacion!

by STLCardinalsFan on Dec 15, 2006 5:15 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

alright...
so we are going with this rotation. I can live with that, I'm not satisfied with it but I'll take the patient approach. A solid number 2 guy would make this rotation look completely different, IMO.

If that number 2 guy is not going to be had, then where do we possibly get this 100 million payroll? I think the attention should be turned to improving the outfield. I am somewhat intrigued by Trot Nixon. I think his attitude along with defense would be great for this team. I am somewhat expecting a slump from Duncan, not to say that he was a fluke, but teams will learn to pitch to him.

"Forget about the curveball Ricky...Give him the heater!!"

by BleacherBum on Dec 14, 2006 9:34 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Amen
The outfield needs some attention. Nixon would be a big plus. I agree about Duncan.

by nybirdfan on Dec 14, 2006 12:03 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Duncan
Pitchers had plenty of chance to adjust to him last season. I think he's for real. But I would like to see another impact bat to hit behind Albert. Rolen's better at No. 5 and Edmonds, let's face it, is sliding downhill.

by Fred McTaggart on Dec 14, 2006 12:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

100 MILLION
I don't understand why everyone insists on us hitting 1oo million with the payroll.  I don't want to commit years and money to the outfield right now.  IMO, we should keep payroll down so we have the ability to trade later for a salary dump pitcher, a walk year pitcher or even better get a REAL #2 starter next offseason and look great going into 08.  We look alright now, as we've seen AW & AR may be as good as almost any pricey free agent pitcher this offseason.  I just don't see the need to go spend that money unless you find a great outfield player interested in a one year contract.

by CARPSDAMAN on Dec 14, 2006 3:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

repeats of last year
last offseason all we kept hearing was what we missed out on and then when all was said and done, walt vowed to make a deal at the deadline... well that deal never did come to light (unless you count the belliard for luna trade, which i still dont like)

i just hope that this year we can actually make something happen and actually IMPROVE THE TEAM, it seems like we have done nothing but go downhill since that mulder trade

i love what walt j. has done for the team in the past, but its simply a case of "what have you done for me lately"

i worry sometimes, but worrying all year last year brought us a championship... oh the irony

by Dankston on Dec 14, 2006 9:40 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

apology
i would like to apologize for the way my comments sounded yesterday. i didn't mean them as a personal attack on valatan, who i think is a very good writer. it was simply meant to be an observation but obviously it was insulting and got a little out of hand and i appologize for that to valatan and the rest of veb.

by jojo5492 on Dec 14, 2006 9:58 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

no worries
the written word can be misleading sometimes without body langauge and emphasis. It's cool by me.

by airhad on Dec 14, 2006 2:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

No problem jojo
it's mostly just been a nightmare of a week.  Have a nice holiday

by Valatan on Dec 15, 2006 3:01 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Pujols and Carpenter
It's funny how much hand wringing we do, myself included, over who is going to fill our rotation or will we get another bat.  Next season's outcome will depend on the continued greatness of Pujols and Carpenter.  That fact alone makes me look forward to opening day.  Whether our other starter is Thompson, Suppan, or Weaver it's not going to matter without numbers 5 or 29.

by lefty fan on Dec 14, 2006 10:03 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Play a hard nine...
...as a theory takes a solid 25 man roster.  We had holes last year, and Pujols/Carp really help cover those holes.  You are right that Carp is going to really help make-up for whoever is our 5th stater, but the way I look at it is lets take some risk for a chance for reward.  If we can get someone to fill that 5th starter spot that will out perform the league average for 5th staters we come out ahead.    

by BigJawnMize on Dec 14, 2006 10:10 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

We got into the playoffs in 2006 as a gift
83 wins playing in arguably the easiest division in baseball.   You can't expect that to happen again.

Wells - ERA the past few years:
2002 - 3.5
2003 - 3.2
2004 - 4.5
2005 - 5.1
2006 - 6.5!

This is our #2 starter for next year.  

The next 3 starters have combined for 19 starts in their careers.  (0, 1, and 18)

Now, you can put your rose colored glasses on if you want, but this next season is looking like a huge gamble that these guys can actually do the job.

by redbird2006in on Dec 14, 2006 11:06 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

it is a gamble
point well taken. but locking up jeff weaver for four years is a gamble, too --- a much more expensive one.

there are no rose-colored glasses here; we're suggesting that the cards can muster 85 to 90 wins with these five starters, which ain't exactly pie-in-sky optimism. but is jeff weaver --- he of the 5.86 era last season -- gonna make them a 95-win team? is supps? would ted lilly or adam eaton or miguel batista?

they do need to upgrade, and i'd be surprised if there isn't another low-impact acquisition or two. but i don't think we'll look back in four years and say: "damn! think how many more championships could we have won if we had only signed vicente padilla!"

aj burnett? now that may be another story . . .  

by lboros on Dec 14, 2006 12:21 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'd be much
more comfortable about this season with somebody like Penny or Weaver aboard, but if not I still think it worthwhile to risk missing playoffs for a year to give Reyes and Wainwright a chance to get a season's worth of experience and go after some "name" next off-season if those two just don't quite step up. If they (or just one) really grows into his true potential we'll be damn happy campers come 08. There will always be chances to overpay a "name," but having two kids with the high potential for the upside Reyes and Wainwright represent isn't something that happens often. If a good deal for Penny or Weaver can be worked out, do it. If w're talking more bloated contracts we'll be sorry for later, forget it. As you say, there will be chances during the season to pick up somebody as well. Hell, even the dominant teams of the 40's, 60's, and 80's didn't make postseason EVERY year of their respective decades (and yes, I know those were different systems and different times--but the point is the same). I say roll the dice and see what the young guys can or can't do. Winning it all this year has bought the club the trust and patience a rebuilding year requires in my book. Who knows? We may be sitting atop the pile again come October anyway. The Reds and Brewers look to be the toughest competitors, and well, they haven't proven squat yet either. Milwaukee didn't get within spitting distance of us last year--and while the Reds did, they flamed out in the stretch. The Cubs are better, but 25 games better? Nada. Astros? Without Pettite or Clemens they look to be worse. I think we'll still be in the mix and that's all I look for. If we end the season in 3rd or 4th place, then I'll be right with the clamoring crowd for some overspending on "names" next year. But I say let the young guns have their chance this year. It may prove to be the wisest move the Birds have made in years.  

by rockin redbird on Dec 14, 2006 10:09 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Hear, hear!
I agree, for me, it just isn't about 2007.  It's about building for the last years of this decade.  I'm prepared to watch our boys take their knocks in 07 as a necessary step to making AW and AR into anchors for the next great Cardinal rotation.

by MdRedbirdFreak on Dec 14, 2006 11:50 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i nearly agree with you
about the central, but i think the cubs underachieved last year. they'll probably underachieve again, but i think they were a bit better (remember d.lee)than their 65 wins or so. in fact, i think they look pretty scary. if they start hot, it could get nasty.
Evident The Wash.

by brock on Dec 14, 2006 2:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

It's just so damn easy
to overestimate the Cubs.  But who knows, you may be right.  I guess my point is that I don't care if we finish 3rd in 2007. The point is that any true commitment to youth must go along with a willingness to take a short-term step backwards in order to build more for the long term.  And if we don't have the guts to give AW and AR a shot now to become solid ML starters, then we aren't really serious about emphasizing player development.  And I desperately hope that Jocketty and the owners ARE serious about that.

by MdRedbirdFreak on Dec 14, 2006 3:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The Cubs
must have Prior regain his 03 form if they are become a real contender. Otherwise, their rotation is no better (and perhaps could be worse, depending how Reyes and Wainwright pan out) than ours. They have Zambrano, and that's about it. Hill may turn into their Reyes, but we'll see. Lilly and Marquis are going to give up longballs like crazy. Miller probably won't make it through the whole season. That leaves them with all their eggs in the Prior basket AGAIN. He may be decent this year, but I just don't see him stepping back into his "Ace" shoes again. If I'm wrong they will be tough, but y'know, we're talking Cubs here. When I read stuff like they are paying Betty 7M for 3 years because he "durable" and that they intend to bat Soriano leadoff, I get a lot less nervous about their chances. They're still the same ole Cubbies--their trials have taught them very little about constructing a winning team.

by rockin redbird on Dec 14, 2006 3:43 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Thompson
I wondered during his 1st season about using him as a starter.  I'm not convinced but his repertoire isn't that different from Marquis' and he has a much better head on his shoulders.  Still, I'd like to see us add 1 more proven starter.

That said, I think it can accurately be said that we have acquired a starting pitcher.  It's where Wainwright belongs and where he will thrive.  He'll at least be as good as Suppan in '07.  If you're inclined to panic, we're really only 1 starter down.

Finally, I can't help but think there's going to be a market correction this year.  With so many pitchers on the free agent market, I think if Suppan or Weaver wait too long, their options will seriously diminish.  They may end up competing against one another.  If so, that $10 M price tag may fall to $8.5 in order to avoid ending up in KC.  One may fall into our laps!

by chuckb on Dec 14, 2006 10:10 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

OMG
they traded Snelling for him!

I bet Seattle fans are in uproar.

by RedbirdRay on Dec 14, 2006 10:44 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Rotoworld
Made a comment like: Someone stop Bavasi before he does any more damage!

Makes one appreciate Mr. Jockety that much more when you see some of the bonehead plays made by other GMs... sometimes with a half decade or more of consequences to the team.

by punditmoi on Dec 14, 2006 11:04 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Glad I'm not a Mariners fan....
I just visited the Mariners site for SB Nation.  If you guys have some time, just read some of the comments that are posted on that site.  It's kind of like coming home after a rough day at work and watching Jerry Springer.  In other words, after doing it, you'll feel like your situation isn't all that bad after all.  
"What was my favorite championship? The next one." - Tom Brady

by Hot in Herr on Dec 14, 2006 5:34 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Reyes and Wainwright
I don't understand why everyone is suddenly all for Wainwright. Everything I read is how great he is. Last year at this time, everyone wanted to trade him for a bat. Reyes was the greatest thing ever. Now everyone puts Reyes in the back end of the rotation and thinks Wainwright is suddenly a number 2. Reyes was always the better prospect and he is the one with ML starting experience. Maybe I'm wrong, but I think Reyes has more potential. I think he could have done much better this year had it not been for shuttling between here and Memphis a million times and the whole 2 seam experiment.

by Carps on Dec 14, 2006 10:52 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Last year
at this time we hadn't yet witnessed Wainwright on the mound for the last couple outs of the NLCS and World Series. Bit different perspective, no? I do agree that Reyes should benefit a great deal from stability. I think they're both gonna be great--hope they prove me right :-)

by rockin redbird on Dec 14, 2006 11:04 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

That's true
But, I still think Reyes showed more promise starting games by shutting down the White Sox early in the season and of course game one of the world series. Wainwright did a good job, but he wasn't starting games.

by Carps on Dec 14, 2006 11:11 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Oh well,
I guess I'm just being dumb, but I feel like Reyes just doesn't get the credit he deserves anymore. I think he deserves more credit than Wainwright. That's all.

by Carps on Dec 14, 2006 11:15 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

you're not dumb
i share your impression to some extent. i gave reyes a little love in this post, and have another post about him on tap for tomorrow.

by lboros on Dec 14, 2006 11:45 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Can't wait!
I wear one of my 'flat hats' everytime he pitches and will wear one tomorrow in honor of the venue.

by RedbirdRay on Dec 14, 2006 11:50 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I look forward to it.
Good to see someone give him the love I think the guy deserves.

by Carps on Dec 14, 2006 1:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Not dumb
at all. I agree with you--just wanted to point out that our view of Wainwright has changed a great deal since last year at this time. Yes, Reyes has shown what he can do as a ML starter and Wainwright hasn't, thus Reyes should be granted the #2 spot unless somebody like Penny or Weaver comes aboard or unless Wainwright ends up looking way better in ST. But no, your premise is NOT dumb.

by rockin redbird on Dec 14, 2006 11:48 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree
Wainwright wasn't as "lights out" as everyone portrays him though. In fact, I think a healthy Izzy does as good a job as he did. Plus, Wainwright did do a good job of putting tying and possibly winning runs on before he finished the game.

by Carps on Dec 14, 2006 1:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Good point but...
man can Wainright bend a nice curveball!  Did you see that this year at all?  I'm all for Reyes and Wainright giving eachother some healthy competition this year though.  If you remember, friendly clubhouse competition is what made the '04 team so great.
  It will be sad watching Suppan go to another team for one reason (besides his pitching skills)...  His attitude.  I really think his laid back & humorous demeanor helped gel the rotation together.  He was great for all...the fans, the clubhouse & the media.  Here's to you and a nice bloated contract Suppan!  We're gonna miss ya buddy!

by jose smokeindo on Dec 14, 2006 11:33 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Reyes and Wainwright
remind me of what the Cardinals had in the late 1960s with Steve Carlton and Nellie Briles. Unfortunately, they traded both away before they reacher their full potential.

by Fred McTaggart on Dec 14, 2006 12:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

you do have a valid point though...
seriously, Reyes probably deserves to be higher in the rotation than AW just based on experience alone.

by jose smokeindo on Dec 14, 2006 11:36 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Wainwright...
I agree that Reyes should be getting more love, but these would be my counterpoints:
  1.  Wainwright WAS at one time a better prospect that Reyes through Baseball America (so those that are saying Reyes has always been a better "prospect" are mistaken.
  2.  Wainwright DID actually pitch better than Reyes (and Ponson for that matter) when they were having the battle for the number 5 spot in the rotation in spring traininglast year. (I know, small sample size, but it DOES show you he has the ability to start and start well).  As we all know, the kid does well under pressure.
  3.  That beutiful curveball is an outstanding outpitch, I don't think Reyes quite has the same advantage with his.  Reyes' outpitch is also a pitch that gets HAMMERED when he's off (high fastball).
  4.  Wainwright has show the ability to keep the ball down more (and in the park more often as well).
"It takes pitching, hitting and defense. Any two can win. All three make you unbeatable". Joe Garagiola

by MRCARD on Dec 14, 2006 1:02 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

but
AW has been out of the pen, which means he has been less exposed than reyes in my opinion. i'm interested to see what his stuff is like for 6 or 7 innings.
Evident The Wash.

by brock on Dec 14, 2006 2:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

AND
Getting Wainwright and his 1.667 OPS 3AB every fifth games can't hurt, either! Reyes has a puny .120 OBA and SLG!

-- I kid, I kid...

by liam on Dec 14, 2006 6:12 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Wainwright & Consistency
I am a big fan of Win Probability Added and the "truths" you can pull out of the data. In one particular analysis, Adam the Wagonmaker was our most consistently good player last year.

Cards Best 15 was a sum of their WPA contributions over 15 team games. Bench players & relief pitchers had to accumulate at least 8 appearances over that time, and starting pitchers were measured over 4 consecutive starts.

Using this measurement, here are the best and worst stretches for certain players:

Pujols   234.7 / - 43.4
Rolen    120.3 / -109.1
Spiezio  111.6 / - 39.9
Brekky   101.9 / -104.5
Bennett   97.5 / - 39.0
Duncan    93.6 / - 56.9
Miles     72.8 / - 65.7
Wilson    68.5 / - 37.7
Eckstein  58.6 / - 71.8
Edmonds   54.8 / - 68.0
Taguchi   53.4 / - 48.7
Molina    33.7 / - 75.5
Luna      42.2 / - 89.4
Belliard  -3.2 / -112.4

Carp     152.2 / - 38.4
Suppan   111.6 / - 56.7
Reyes     83.7 / - 58.0
Marquis   70.8 / - 88.5
Mulder    58.3 / -153.8
Ponson    53.0 / - 60.7
Weaver    27.1 / - 52.9
Izzy     129.4 / -129.3
Looper    86.4 / - 92.3
Adam WW   70.0 / - 15.6
Hancock   64.1 / - 35.4
Flores    53.8 / - 43.9
Johnson   24.5 / - 57.3

What this means is that, even when WW was having his worst performances, he was barely hurting the team overall; that his worst individual games were in the middle of a sea of consistency. (That particular 8-appearance stretch was bookended with a 6/10 implosion against the Brewers - a game I attended in MIL - and the 6/30 Royals thunder-dump at B3.)

Oh, the burden of stupid people.

by Solanus on Dec 14, 2006 2:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Rebuilding with less pain
Making Wainwright and Reyes fixtures in the rotation for 2007 serves a key goal of building this franchise's competitive ability for the future--without having to be abysmal like the Tigers were.  The wise spending on the "core" players ensures that, even while the next wave of talent is developed, the Cardinals will remain competitive, at least within their own division.

Don't get your dobbers down--this team won't be like the 2003 Tigers or the 2007 Washington Nationals.  Even without a "true" No. 2 starter, this team is a LONG way from rock bottom.

by blove121 on Dec 14, 2006 11:10 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Advertisement choice...
Not that I'm complaining about a half naked woman, but why am I seeing an ad for bras on a Cardinals fan site?

by redbird2006in on Dec 14, 2006 11:43 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

women like the cards too
but seriously . . . . SB Nation (of which VEB is an affiliate) signed an omnibus ad deal a few weeks back with a large online broker, and as a result all kinds of commercials show up on the site.

by lboros on Dec 14, 2006 11:48 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

tis the season...
...that many men fumble around in lingerie stores.  If there ever was an opportunity to buy a gift certificate, this is it.  

Crazy to have bra ads on VEB?  Yes, but the target group for the adervertising might not be so far off.

by BigJawnMize on Dec 14, 2006 11:53 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Four Words...
Victoria's Secret Gift Card...
Bench Juan Encarnacion!

by STLCardinalsFan on Dec 14, 2006 1:13 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed...
But it is better to give them as Thanksgving presents, so your significant other has time to prepare for christmas....

by BigJawnMize on Dec 14, 2006 1:58 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

that's right, lboros
not only are women cards fans, but they read VEB as well. i never post on here because i have no idea what i'm talking about, but i enjoy learning a lot on this site. keep up the good work. :)

by cardgirl on Dec 14, 2006 2:35 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

thanks for reading cardgirl
as a poster named Laura once put it: "there are a lot of women on the site; we're just quieter."

by lboros on Dec 14, 2006 2:53 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Lingerie ads.
How come I'm not seeing it?  Also, lbo, could you bring back the ads for the women's volleyball league?  

by Archaeopteryx on Dec 14, 2006 12:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Me neither
I'm jealous. All I'm getting is a dude in Kiss makeup for something called "Almost Guys." A nice lingerie ad would be...well, nice, comparitively :-)

by rockin redbird on Dec 14, 2006 12:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm seeing...
... that one too. I think that's got to be one of the most unfortunate choices for a title I've ever seen.

by punditmoi on Dec 14, 2006 2:24 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Stuff you'd rather not know?
Tigers GM Dave Dombrowski told WXYT-AM on Wednesday the team had concluded Joel Zumaya's wrist/forearm troubles at the end of the season came from playing the Playstation 2 game "Guitar Hero," not anything pitching related.

It's only the beginning; just wait until next year when all of the Wii-related injuries begin to strike. The Tigers asked Zumaya to stop playing the video game, and he complied. Zumaya was pain-free during the World Series and should be 100 percent next year.

Source: Detroit Free Press

by Urban Pawnee on Dec 14, 2006 11:57 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

Guitar Hero
That smells like BS.  I've played my fair share of guitar hero and have had no wrist or forearm problems.  But if it's true, it hilarious.

by mdarshan on Dec 14, 2006 12:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

nah
When I first got Guitar Hero I could definitely tell I had a sore wrist.

Plus, every time I go to the gym, I can always tell I suck a lot more at the game.

This totally cracks me up. Is there anyone whose can't be affected by Guitar Hero?

by dontEATnachos on Dec 14, 2006 5:32 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Guitar Hero...
Somebody needs to tell LaRussa about this.  Tyler Johnson may be in trouble...
"It takes pitching, hitting and defense. Any two can win. All three make you unbeatable". Joe Garagiola

by MRCARD on Dec 14, 2006 12:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Carlos Zambrano
had a similar incident a year or so ago with forearm tendonitis...which was attributed to chatting too much with his brother online.

by RedbirdRay on Dec 14, 2006 3:15 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Carlos Zambrano
had a similar incident a year or so ago with forearm tendonitis...which was attributed to chatting too much with his brother online.

by RedbirdRay on Dec 14, 2006 3:15 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm scared of Izzy...
I really hope he comes back as a healthy dominant closer like he used to be. I like Izzy alot because he never made excuses for blowing games, and he always faced the media like a man. I just hope he doesn't blow another  10 games this year.
Miller sucks.

by Ankiels Missing Curveball on Dec 14, 2006 12:23 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

He's a brave guy and says all the right things ...
but, I wouldn't be surprised that, even with his hip surgery, there's nothing left in the tank, or else the hip takes a long, long time to heal and his mechanics are still whack.

by Urban Pawnee on Dec 14, 2006 12:30 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

pitching and outfield help
Why can't people understand how good Suppan has been for us? I don't understand why some people think that he will all of the sudden suck next year. With what he has done for us in years past and mostly what he did for us in the NLCS last year, why not overpay to retain his services?

He is good, not great, but good. Weigh these options and tell me your answer: Looper/Thompson, overpaying for an average outside arm that we are not sure of the product we are getting, or overpay for Suppan and know exactly what to expect. My vote goes for Suppan  and hopefully others feel that way.

As for the outfield, why did or does everyone expect Enc to be all that great? His numbers last year were right around his average which is the same as the league average for right fielders. We got what we paid for out of him. I wouldn't mind a Trot Nixon, but that means getting rid of Enc and if we do that, I want someone that will help the team this year, not prospects.

Play hard, play to win, but make it fun!

by Edmonds is baseball on Dec 14, 2006 12:30 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Ed
Bringing in Nixon would not mean that JuanE would have to go. I think we'd end up with a four man outfield. JRod would be the odd man out. Suppan is a solid pitcher and I would like to have him back. He is to damn expensive. 4y 40mil. I'd pay him 3y 27mil. I do believe AW can put up the numbers that Sup did last year.

by nybirdfan on Dec 14, 2006 1:10 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

encarnacion
Was a lot better than his numbers last season.  He had an awful April, but then got red hot about the middle of May, when he learned to lay off the low-and-outside-breaking pitch.  He then played very well in June and July.  His swing developed a hitch and I think he was playing in pain for the last month or two of the season, and the surgery he had yesterday bears that out.  

He could easily put up .300/.350/.515 numbers next year if he comes to spring training in shape instead of sitting on his arse for a month at the WBC, and if he stays healthy (though he led the team in games played, his numbers would have looked a LOT better if he had gone on the DL in August).

Splits:                 BA/OBP/SLG
Apr                    .222/.245/.333     
May                   .260/.299/.510    
June                   .367/.385/.551    
July                     .302/.344/.512    
Aug                     .283/.308/.384    
Sept/Oct           .238/.330/.375

Or his arm might not recover from his surgery and he could put up .230/.330/.375 numbers the whole season, in which case we'll be lucky to limp to the wild card.   

"...in winter, when there's no baseball... I stare out the window and wait for spring." -Rogers Hornsby

by SleepyCA on Dec 14, 2006 1:18 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Actually, I think only one commenter
said Suppan "sucked." He has been quite valuable, though I think at heart we all know he is not a true No. 2 and is at best a No. 3.

Remember, in 2004 he was probably the No. 5 man.

Reversion to the mean just seems probable. You have the walk-year factor thrown in as well. I'm not sure you want to throw $10 MM a year at Soupcan for a guy who's simply above league average.

Power pitching, as Larry has pointed out, is one of IIRC four factors that influence a team's ability to win in the postseason. That is what the Cardinals will get from Reyes and Wainwright, and perhaps a bit from Weaver if he re-signs. It's reason for some optimism, I think.

by Red in Chicago on Dec 14, 2006 12:38 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

That was me.
Listen, I'm going to reiterate that Suppan sucks.  I'm also going to repost below the "retort" stats that Mr. Clean posted:

       2004  2005  2006  04-06
IP:    188   194   190   191
W:     16    16    12    15
L:     9     10    7     9
H:     192   206   207   202
SO/BB: 1.7   1.8   1.5   1.7
ERA:   4.17  3.57  4.12  3.95
WHIP:  1.37  1.39  1.45  1.40

OK.  To review.  A 1.40 ERA over three years is atrocious.  Ditto a 1.66 K/BB ratio.  Ditto a 5.16 K/9 rate.  A .272 cumulative BAA?  Pretty bad.  A 3.09 BB/9 rate?  Decent.  Merely decent.

But you know what's really scary about those numbers?  Those were his PEAK YEARS.

Here's the thing.  A (barely) sub-4.00 ERA makes Suppan look like he didn't suck.  But that's an illusion, folks.  His supporting numbers were truly bad.  

If you didn't notice, the Cardinals put a lot of emphasis on only signing players who can pull their weight defensively.  Rolen, Edmonds, and Pujols are Gold Glovers.  Best at their positions in the league, or at least they have been for a good chunk of the time Suppan's been here.

Add to this that the now-departed Grudz was a Gold Glover this year.  Add to this the fact that the Cardinals accept Molina's (and Matheny's) complete uselessness on offense because of their defensive skill.  See also, in this vein: Juan Encarnacion, So Taguchi, Aaron Miles, David Eckstein...  the list goes on an on.

What I'm saying is that the perenially outstanding Cardinals defense, combined with the great baseball atmosphere in STL, has a way of making just about any pitcher look a lot better than he really is.  (See: Scott Schoeneweis, Darren Oliver, Kent Bottenfield, and so many other retread, soft-tossing scrubs we've made look good since the early 90s).  

You'd almost HAVE to be an obese alcoholic not to raise your game here (see: Sidney Ponson), and even if you are, you're likely to do a lot better here than you will in, say, Texas (see: Vicente Padilla).

This is the reason why the Cardinals don't ever sign strikeout pitchers.  It's not that they don't "value" strikeouts, as some have suggested on these boards.  It's that strikeouts are expensive, and with their defense as good as it is, they refuse to overpay for them.  Their MO is to get just about any warm body they can who doesn't have an absolutely irreparable control problem (see: Ankiel), get them to pitch to the strike zone, even without good stuff, and force hiters to put the ball in play, where, more likely than not, it's going to find an outstanding defender to gobble it up.

This does NOT mean that Jeff Suppan is good.  And it does NOT mean that GOOD pitchers will also pitch better in STL, just like BAD pitchers will.  The fact that Suppan's ERA was under 4.00 is misleading, and the fact that so many of you all out there accept this as meaning that, gee, guess he was pretty good after all--Walt was right again!--gives him the public support he needs to keep on bargain shopping, even though he's got the fattest annual revenue stream this side of New York and Boston.

I'm sick of this crap.  Sign Weaver.

I also noticed yesterday that someone wrote, in response to my encouragement to sign Weaver, something like "Well they wouldn't give Burnett 5 years, so what makes you think they'd give Weaver 4?"  

Well  here's the thing: they DIDN'T GET Burnett.  What needs to be understood is that the Cardinals are not gauging the market correctly.  Another way of saying it is that they are CHEAP, year after year, in such a way that players feel disrespected by their offers, and we keep getting chumps like Kip Wells on the roster.

Give Weaver his four years.  Give him his $8-$9 per.  That's the going rate.  Deal with it. I'm all for putting Reyes and Wainwright in the rotation.  But Thompson?  LOOPER?  That we are even being forced, as fans, to confront these possibilities, after how many (?) seasons of 3 million+ attendance and a huge WS financial windfall, is disgraceful.

I'm not saying that Kip Wells isn't a good sign.  Great things were said about him coming up, as they were with Weaver.  STL has a way of working its magic, year after year, for the above-stated reasons.  But if they can make Wells look like a decent major league starter, just imagine what they could do with Weaver...

"Enamored" takes the preposition "of," not "with."

by MKDCardinal on Dec 14, 2006 3:08 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I agree
I'm not a bif fan of Suppan. I mean he seems like a great guy for the club house, but no thanks. I'd rather have Weaver.

by Carps on Dec 14, 2006 4:48 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i see your overall point...
... but i think you might be over-stating the case. Suppan does not "suck". he is an average pitcher on one of the best teams in a bad division in the worse league. these combine to make him look pretty decent (lotta wins, always pitching in the playoffs, etc.).

in 2003 (the year before he came to StL), he was the BoSox's version of Marquis: pretty awful during the regular year and left off of the playoff roster. and this was before the BoSox had Schilling and Arroyo and Wells. they were starting John Burkett over Suppan, for Pete's sake.

he has "won" some big games in the playoffs, but mostly because he was able to hold the Cardinals in the game until the offense finally pushed 3-4 runs across the board. and that's his M.O.: Suppan will keep you in games. he won't dominate, or win games single-handedly like a 10-12 million/year pitcher should do.

if Suppan stays in the NL, signing with the someone like the Pads (if they don't get Wells), he'll be fine. if he goes back to the AL (Toronto?), he'll get shelled. full on shelled. like he historically has.

i appreciate his past contributions to the Cardinals. but no way should his salary more than double over last season.

by kindred on Dec 14, 2006 5:45 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

And now for rebuttal of the rebuttal....
C'mon, MKDCardinal...stop mincing words and tell us what you REALLY think!  ;-)

I think those of us who are agreeing to disagree with you here are simply trying to make one point:

  1. You say "Suppan sucks!"
  2. We say, "No, Suppan is pretty average."
BUT nearly all of us seem to agree that $10M/yr for Suppan's numbers (however you may "judge" them) seems a bit overpriced.

Ergo, it might be more appropriate (or less inflammatory) to frame your position around the dollars involved.  One suggested example:  "Spending $10M/yr for an average pitcher like Suppan would suck!"

I won't bother to debunk your slightly disingenuous argument about being able to completely discount Soup's solid ERA because of our defense, despite the fact that defense is already fairly well factored in to ERA (hint: that's the EARNED Runs part...after all, lots of errors behind him wouldn't affect his ERA much at all), but it's hardly worthwhile since ERA is far from the best indicator of performance, and I don't see anyone here holding up Suppan as worthy of consideration solely because of his ERA.

What I would like to comment on, however is this:

You keep using emotion-laden words like "sucks", "atrocious", and "truly bad", but those are really just subjective assessments.  Your argument might be a little more persuasive if you backed it up with something other than your (very clearly articulated) Suppan-hate.

For instance, you claim his Cardinals (3-year) 1.40 WHIP is "atrocious".  Yet in an earlier post touting Weaver as the far superior signing, you hold up his remarkably similar WHIP and proudly proclaim: "Weaver, on the other hand, is good.  His career WHIP is 1.34".

Dude, 0.06 WHIP is an awfully thin threshold between "atrocious" and "good".  So if 1.40 is "atrocious" and 1.34 is "good", then I'm guessing that the Rockies' Jeff Francis with his 1.29 WHIP last year must be "freakin' awesome OMFG!!!11!"

See what I did there?  I held up a single stat in a vacuum and then mixed in some subjective adjectives in an extreme way to try and make a point.

I did something similar in my (now admittedly) "lopsided analysis" of some of JuanCar's numbers recently, and got properly called out for it by the discerning members of this forum.  I'm still not a fan of Juan or his performance, but my posted analysis was indeed less than complete, and I learned my lesson.

My point is that several of Suppan's stats taken by themselves are far from compelling, but when his overall performance as a Cardinal is taken as a whole, he is clearly a very consistent/solid/"average" pitcher who will typically give you plenty of "quality starts" and lots of innings.

Now if you want to say that the dude isn't worth $10M/year, a lot of us might agree with you.  But when you say that the "dude sucks", we're probably going to scrunch up our faces a little and go "well...."

But on the plus side...we all definitely know where you stand on Weaver vs. Suppan!  ;-)

There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who understand binary, and those who don't.

by Mr Clean on Dec 15, 2006 12:05 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I feel you
I get a little worked up about this, and part of the point was to stir up the sh*t a little bit and get the blood flowing.  Blog forums are so darned civil sometimes it takes some of the fun out of it.  I like a little piss and vinegar with my sports talk.  No offense intended to anybody.  

Now, I'll admit it.  While pitching for the Cardinals, Jeff Suppan was a very average pitcher.  There.  However, I must note that Soup had thrown nearly 1300 major league innings before he donned a Cardinal uni, and let me tell you: they weren't pretty.  They weren't even average.

And as far as the WHIP argument goes, yeah, I'd say a .06 difference in WHIP is actually pretty substantial.  And I'd also agree that any WHIP below 1.30 is pretty damn good.  

Between 1.30-1.35 is merely good.  1.35-1.39 is decidedly aight, average, on the very fringes of belonging on a competitive team's roster, and 1.40+ is basically throwing junk.  So I'll grant you that "atrocious" may have a slight exaggeration.  He was right on the borderline of atrocity.  Is that so outrageous?

I'll just note again that Suppan's career WHIP is 1.42 [cough].  And we're not talking about a rookie here.

You're right, though; the argument w/r/t ERA was arguably disingenous.  However, as far as defense goes, I'm not talking about errors here, as much as I'm talking about range.  I.e. Making plays that other players wouldn't even be able to fail in attempting to make.

But I wasn't just picking out random statistics.  The adjectives might have been strong, but I was using a series of statistics (K/BB, K/9, BB/9, HR/9, BAA) that most people who are well-versed in sabermetrics will agree are the most accurate in evaluating past and future pitching success.  You know how variable and unreliable ERA and Wins are.

Saying Suppan was good because he had a 4.00-ish ERA is a lot like saying that Edmonds sucks because his BA was .250.  Those are the half-truths...

"Enamored" takes the preposition "of," not "with."

by MKDCardinal on Dec 15, 2006 1:52 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

PS
.06 WHIP is the difference between Jake Peavy and Jeff Francis.

Now it's just one stat.  But...

"Enamored" takes the preposition "of," not "with."

by MKDCardinal on Dec 15, 2006 1:55 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Tell me about it...
I had a tough time finding a starter with a WHIP in the 1.28/1.29 range to use for my example that wasn't also an ace or near ace-level pitcher.

*innocent grin*

];->

There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who understand binary, and those who don't.

by Mr Clean on Dec 15, 2006 11:22 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

PPS
Only 15 qualified NL starters had WHIPs below 1.30 last year.  Guess how many teams in the NL?  These are the ones we call "aces".
"Enamored" takes the preposition "of," not "with."

by MKDCardinal on Dec 15, 2006 1:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Absolutely true...
But again, you obviously need to weigh that WHIP with the pitcher's other characteristics.

For example, Soup is a ground ball pitcher who also doesn't give up a lot of homeruns...which means that a lot of his walks turn into double plays...in fact, he was clearly above average in DPs in 2006.  So (one might argue) the fact that his WHIP is only average might be compensated by the fact that many of his walks or hits turn into DPs.  Etc.

Anyway.

I think we've done a good job of presenting each of our positions.

Personally, I'd be happy with either a Suppan OR a Weaver signing at this point.  Weaver has more risk (see his stint with the Angels), but he also has much more upside potential (his turnaround under Duncan, and his "stuff").  On the other hand, Suppan is a less "risky" choice since you pretty much know exactly what you'll get every start, but he doesn't have the potential to be a "legitimate" #2 like Weaver could turn into.

Now whether or not we can afford to sign either one remains to be seen...

There are 10 types of people in the world. Those who understand binary, and those who don't.

by Mr Clean on Dec 15, 2006 11:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Who is our #2 starter?
"one thing to like about this projected rotation: it can strike people out. the top 4 guys all have career k rates north of 6.5 per 9 innings. the big concern is the workload --- we don't know whether the bottom 4 guys can handle 180 innings apiece. but reyes threw 170+ innings last year without incident."  

My problem with this statement:

Young strikeout pitchers throw more pitches and less innings.  The Cards will run the risk of taxing their bullpen AT LEAST 2/5 of the time with Reyes and Waino in there.  I'm not as concerned about their DURability as I am with their ABILITY to get deeper into games.

I'm ok with these two in the rotation, but to me, its imperative that we have 2 innings-eaters at the top of the rotation, like we've had for the last 4-5 years.  Which, as of now, we don't.  

This is where signing Jeff Weaver comes in. I'm not saying that Weaver is a sure-fire legit #2, or that he can give us 6+ good innings every start, given his recent history, but at least he is durable.  We have to sign one more pitcher who can go out and average over 5 2/3 innings a start.  

If he's not asking for a 4 year deal, I think that we should take the chance on a long-term Duncan miracle man in Weaver.

by silent_bob on Dec 14, 2006 12:42 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Mulder
I would love to have Mulder back and I hope it does come back. The only problem I see with this is if he won't be back until June or July, what do we do before his return? If we try and throw Thompson or Looper, I think we may be 3rd or 4th in the central when Mulder gets back.

Well then maybe Narvie. To me, that's a lot better then Thompson/Looper. But what if Narvie is on fire when Mulder comes back? Say he has a record of 7-2.

That would be an awesome "tough" situation to be in.

I still want Wainer in the pen and Mulder and Suppan back, but the way things are going, that is going to remain a wish.

With Mulder we will be searching for 2 starter again next year because he will only sign a 1 year deal and Wells will be a free agent.

With Suppan, we can lock him up for 2 or 3 years and focus on adding to the rotation, not trying to replace.

Play hard, play to win, but make it fun!

by Edmonds is baseball on Dec 14, 2006 12:57 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Mulder
was not happy with the D-backs first offer. No money disclosed but apparrently it was a five year offer. http://www.azcentral.com/sports/diamondbacks/articles/1214dbacks1214.html

by nybirdfan on Dec 14, 2006 1:20 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

5 Years??
WOW.  That is a hefty risk for someone they have 0 idea if he'll ever get back to even league average form.
What ever happened to Mulder wanting to come back to St. Louis to prove the trade wasn't a waste?  I believe the best thing for all parties is for him to come back for a one to two year incentive laden deal in St. Louis.  He can prove to himself he wasn't a wasted trade and put himself in a better position as a free agent after that.  
If he came back in July and pitched 3 old Mulder months, I'm sure the Cards would agressively re up his contract.  They have the payroll for it and him in vintage form in that #2 starter that the Cardinals have pursued for at least 3 offseasons.
"Baseball is the only field of endeavor where a man can succeed three times out of ten and be considered a good performer." - Ted Williams

by WiscCard on Dec 14, 2006 1:49 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Put yourself in his shoes
If the Cards are offering less money and less years and the other teams are willing to gamble 4+ yrs and more money - what would you do? He's getting married, he's thinking about his family, etc.

Wow. Now that I think about it, I doubt he'll re-sign with us. Crap.

by airhad on Dec 14, 2006 2:16 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

it is a risk...
... but if Mulder wasn't happy with it, then it probably means that it wasn't a lot of money, was heavily back-loaded, and had a lot of incentives. for Mulder, that doesn't make sense; if he's going to take an incentive-based contract, it'd have to be for a short number of years, so he can cash in when he starts pitching well again.

on the other hand, signing Mulder for one years makes no sense, because he won't be ready to pitch until June, at the earliest. at that point, you won't know what you're going to get. a modest base + decent incentives over 2-3 years makes more sense for both parties.

i don't think the Cards have a chance at him. honestly, i'm not sure they really want him that badly. i don't think i do either.

by kindred on Dec 14, 2006 2:29 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I think he's gone...
Sounds like the Rangers really laid out the red carpet for him on his visit there the other day. I mentioned Months ago on this site that Arizona would be the #1 preference for him and his fiance' / wife as they were building a new home there.  Looks like they will need to sweeten the pot a bit for that to happen now...but I wouldn't be surprised to see him go to Texas at this point. We have seen too many times how anxious the Rangers brass are to spend big gob's of money.

by Timbo02 on Dec 14, 2006 2:37 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

This is exactly
the Schmidt deal. Get another team to up the ante never intending to go there, to get the team you want to go to to up the offer even more. Watch.
Here Comes the King! Here Comes the Big #1! Budweiser Beer the King is Second to None!

by OKCardsfan on Dec 14, 2006 2:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i remember that post timbo
and it looks like you got some good information.

by lboros on Dec 14, 2006 2:54 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

i really think he's coming back
he's not my 1st choice but I can't see him wanting a 5 year deal.  Nor do I think that he would think that going to Texas would be a very good deal.  He needs a short-term deal where he can salvage his career and become a free agent in about 2 years and hit the jackpot.  A low $ 1st couple of years w/ team options is probably exactly the opposite of what he wants.  

If we do a 2 year deal or 1 + an option w/ incentives, that seems like what he would want the most -- a good defense and relatively homer-free ballpark (Texas and Arizona are homer havens) and a chance to win a bunch of games w/ a relatively low ERA.

by chuckb on Dec 14, 2006 8:25 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

last starter
What is the word on Weaver.  Does it look like we'll sign him or is he going to go.  He knows he's not worth a damn without Duncan so I think he'll stay.  Did anyone catch that clip on the Midwest sports report last night of La Russa showing that Barry Zito thing where it was a joke but Zito agreed to pitch for the Red Birds.  I know it was a joke but it proves that La Russa and Zito are at least on good terms and talking.  Does anyone have any thoughts on Weaver or possibly zito??
"And that's a winner. A World Series winner for the Cardinals."

by Bird Watcher on Dec 14, 2006 1:43 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

i dunno if anyone has mentioned it, but...
what about Chris Narveson?  He seems like a better candidate for the rotation than Babyface Thompson.  He looked decent in his starts last year.  Why not give him a shot and put Thompson in the long relief role.  That is if we do not aquire anyone else.
"The right-hander is throwing up in the bullpen." -Mike Shannon

by DJ87 on Dec 14, 2006 1:55 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Bernie mentioned last night
that right now he's not being considered a candidate for the rotation.  If we trade a lefty in some deal for a pitcher or a replacement for Duncan in left (if he's traded for a pitcher), I could see him being a candidate for a LOOGY.

by chuckb on Dec 14, 2006 8:27 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Somebody would have to go
Narv would seem to be a good fit for a "swing" spot--long relief & spot start--but there's no room for him as of right now.

You have Flores, Rincon and Ty Johnson from the left side of the bullpen and Springer, Kinney and Izzy from the right. That leaves Looper and Thompson to battle it out for a starting spot. Maybe Narv gets a shot at starting in ST and may the best man win. Likely, though, he starts the season in Memphis and hopes for a call-up.

Baily

by Baily on Dec 14, 2006 11:15 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

December afternoon musings....
Stepping back to look at the big picture for the Cards and us fans, it actually feels pretty good.
  • We're the reigning World Champs (how 'bout that for a Christmas present!)
  • The core of our team is the cream of the NL
  • Our everyday team is pretty well set with the exception of one starter
  • We still have money to spend
  • We haven't traded away any of our prospects
  • Our lineup has upside with the youngsters growing into their potential (Reyes, Wainwright, Duncan, Molina, TJ, Flores, Kinney, Thompson, etc.)
  • Walt's patience will offer plenty of salary dump/trade opportunities over the winter, through spring training, and into the season
Processing Walt's commitment to player development, which appears to be real.....I wonder if the Mulder trade pushed him over the edge?  Despite the questioning of the trade in many camps, it was a bold roll of the dice by Jocketty to win now.  Hard to question the motivation there.  We can debate if it paid off or not - making the NLCS and winning the WS since the trade looks awfully good, but could we have done the same with Haren/Calero/Barton in our camp?  But as things played out, I wonder if Jocketty just decided that he wasn't going to do that any more - that he'd go ahead and bite the bullet and just refuse to trade prospects unless the trade is a true steal for the Cards.  If this is the case, I like it.

The current and future economics of baseball will dictate that player development will be the key.  Only teams with truly deep pockets like the Yankees/Red Sox will be able to afford fielding teams with mostly/completely veterans.  Look at the prices that average players are commanding in the FA market this winter!  For the Cardinals, staying competitive means more and more growing our own.

Maybe the Mulder trade could do for us what the Kazmir/Zambrano trade did for the Mets - change the organizational mindset for the better.  While everyone in NY dreams of having Kazmir on today's team, if they still had Kazmir they would also still have Duquette as GM and might not have Beltran, Delgado, etc. and as strong a team over all.  The Mets got a lot smarter after that trade - and maybe our guys have gotten smarter, too.

All this means that hot stove conversations will be frustrating and our Christmas lists for players like Schmidt, Zito, etc. won't be fulfilled.  But I have a feeling that if we do this right, we have a great shot at being there year-in and year-out, which is a lot of fun.

Sorry for the long post - GO CARDS!

by wildman on Dec 14, 2006 2:17 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

even the Yankees...
... traded away Sheffield for prospects. they know they've got Melky Cabrera ready. they've developed Cano, Jeter, Posada, Wang, Rivera.

player development has always been incredibly important. it's magnified now, but i think all the talk of it lately is partially an overreaction to the booming market. i mean, even the Royals are spending a fortune on middling talent. teams aren't going to back away from signing marquee FAs. sure, the Mets developed Wright and Lee, but in recent years they've spent heavily on Pedro, Glavine, Beltran, Delgado, Lo Duca, Floyd, K. Matsui, Green, Wagner, etc. and that spending resulted in a 9th inning chance for Beltran to send them to the World Series.

The Tigers spent a lot to bring in Pudge, Rogers, Ordonez to complement their youth movement. This stuff isn't going to all-of-sudden stop. and teams that spend the most in FA are still going to have the best chance to compete for World Championships. you can't really get there on player development alone.

by kindred on Dec 14, 2006 2:40 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed
Hence the importance of locking up key veterans like Pujols, Carpenter, Rolen, Edmonds, etc.  The challenge will be getting the balance right - and spending the big bucks in very targeted ways on the right guys.

I do think it's interesting that with all the rumors over the past two years about trading away Reyes, Wainwright, Duncan, even Rasmus that it hasn't happened.  Doesn't mean it won't, but it just feels like we are more committed to the young guys than we used to be.  And I like that.

by wildman on Dec 14, 2006 2:44 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I need help!
I know the rotation is a point of concern for everybody. I was thinking what makes a pitching coach great? Why is Mazzone and Duncan considered awesome? Now I attempted to look up some numbers for things and i didn't know where to look. Can anybody pull up say average ERA of a team under Duncan? Furthermore could it be done for every pitching coach in the central? I guess what I was thinking is that there might be a correlation between pitching coaches and performance. Now I realize you can't throw five Marquis out there and expect to win, but if the avg ERA's are say within a run, could you expect more out of a Duncan team than say a Rothschild team? Have I made this anymore confusing?
Here Comes the King! Here Comes the Big #1! Budweiser Beer the King is Second to None!

by OKCardsfan on Dec 14, 2006 2:47 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I think
You're underestimating your ability to make it more confusing!

j/k

Oh, the burden of stupid people.

by Solanus on Dec 14, 2006 3:11 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

it would seem to me
that your suggested 'teams coached by' comparison is potentially flawed.  e.g.  a chris carpenter or roy oswalt is going to make any pitching coach appear genius, while a jason marquiz or jose lima is likely to make any pitching coach look like a moron.  did we see the real mazzone this year in baltimore with the 5.35 era or was the real mazzone in atlanta with smoltz, maddux and glavine?

 i'm not even sure that comparing the results of the same pitcher under different pitching coaches would be valid, but it might give you a better idea.

by sdesserman on Dec 14, 2006 4:56 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

I'm sorry
but it's just ugly to see Wells as our "number two." But then I realized that we really don't need a dominant number two until the playoffs. I think what I like about spending pattern this offseason is that we'll actually have money for the trading deadline if one of our pitchers DOES fall apart. I'm sure better talent will be available then, then right now.
Acquire Barry Zito!

by aet15 on Dec 14, 2006 3:15 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Weaver (Response to Response)
That was me.
Listen, I'm going to reiterate that Suppan sucks.  I'm also going to repost below the "retort" stats that Mr. Clean posted:

       2004  2005  2006  04-06
IP:    188   194   190   191
W:     16    16    12    15
L:     9     10    7     9
H:     192   206   207   202
SO/BB: 1.7   1.8   1.5   1.7
ERA:   4.17  3.57  4.12  3.95
WHIP:  1.37  1.39  1.45  1.40

OK.  To review.  A 1.40 ERA over three years is atrocious.  Ditto a 1.66 K/BB ratio.  Ditto a 5.16 K/9 rate.  A .272 cumulative BAA?  Pretty bad.  A 3.09 BB/9 rate?  Decent.  Merely decent.

But you know what's really scary about those numbers?  Those were his PEAK YEARS.

Here's the thing.  A (barely) sub-4.00 ERA makes Suppan look like he didn't suck.  But that's an illusion, folks.  His supporting numbers were truly bad.  

If you didn't notice, the Cardinals put a lot of emphasis on only signing players who can pull their weight defensively.  Rolen, Edmonds, and Pujols are Gold Glovers.  Best at their positions in the league, or at least they have been for a good chunk of the time Suppan's been here.

Add to this that the now-departed Grudz was a Gold Glover this year.  Add to this the fact that the Cardinals accept Molina's (and Matheny's) complete uselessness on offense because of their defensive skill.  See also, in this vein: Juan Encarnacion, So Taguchi, Aaron Miles, David Eckstein...  the list goes on an on.

What I'm saying is that the perenially outstanding Cardinals defense, combined with the great baseball atmosphere in STL, has a way of making just about any pitcher look a lot better than he really is.  (See: Scott Schoeneweis, Darren Oliver, Kent Bottenfield, and so many other retread, soft-tossing scrubs we've made look good since the early 90s).  

You'd almost HAVE to be an obese alcoholic not to raise your game here (see: Sidney Ponson), and even if you are, you're likely to do a lot better here than you will in, say, Texas (see: Vicente Padilla).

This is the reason why the Cardinals don't ever sign strikeout pitchers.  It's not that they don't "value" strikeouts, as some have suggested on these boards.  It's that strikeouts are expensive, and with their defense as good as it is, they refuse to overpay for them.  Their MO is to get just about any warm body they can who doesn't have an absolutely irreparable control problem (see: Ankiel), get them to pitch to the strike zone, even without good stuff, and force hiters to put the ball in play, where, more likely than not, it's going to find an outstanding defender to gobble it up.

This does NOT mean that Jeff Suppan is good.  And it does NOT mean that GOOD pitchers will also pitch better in STL, just like BAD pitchers will.  The fact that Suppan's ERA was under 4.00 is misleading, and the fact that so many of you all out there accept this as meaning that, gee, guess he was pretty good after all--Walt was right again!--gives him the public support he needs to keep on bargain shopping, even though he's got the fattest annual revenue stream this side of New York and Boston.

I'm sick of this crap.  Sign Weaver.

I also noticed yesterday that someone wrote, in response to my encouragement to sign Weaver, something like "Well they wouldn't give Burnett 5 years, so what makes you think they'd give Weaver 4?"  

Well  here's the thing: they DIDN'T GET Burnett.  What needs to be understood is that the Cardinals are not gauging the market correctly.  Another way of saying it is that they are CHEAP, year after year, in such a way that players feel disrespected by their offers, and we keep getting chumps like Kip Wells on the roster.

Give Weaver his four years.  Give him his $8-$9 per.  That's the going rate.  Deal with it. I'm all for putting Reyes and Wainwright in the rotation.  But Thompson?  LOOPER?  That we are even being forced, as fans, to confront these possibilities, after how many (?) seasons of 3 million+ attendance and a huge WS financial windfall, is disgraceful.

I'm not saying that Kip Wells isn't a good sign.  Great things were said about him coming up, as they were with Weaver.  STL has a way of working its magic, year after year, for the above-stated reasons.  But if they can make Wells look like a decent major league starter, just imagine what they could do with Weaver...

"Enamored" takes the preposition "of," not "with."

by MKDCardinal on Dec 14, 2006 3:21 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Suppan
Agree with your comments about pitchers in StL, Cards commitment to defense, desire to sign Weaver (I like a shorter contract or lower $$ for 4 years) - but I think you're wrong about Suppan.

The guy doesn't have the greatest stuff around and in many respects looks like an average guy.  But his W-L record and postseason performance says he knows how to pitch and how to win.  He's gone 44-26 during the regular season for us, eating up a lot of innings at an ERA of around 4.00.  My brothers and I joke about how every time Suppan pitches it's going to be 6 innings and 3-4 runs.  But his postseason numbers across all three years are definitely above average - a lot of stud pitchers don't look this good in the postseason:  in 9 starts he is 3-3 with an ERA of 3.00, pitching 54 innings and providing 6 quality starts (not counting the 2005 NLCS against Houston when he went 5 innings giving up just 1 earned run).  And there are those two huge NLCS game 7 performances.....

Suppan has been an important contributor to our success the last three years and I hate to see him leave.  A separate point is what it will cost to keep him.  I agree with us letting him go for the numbers that are out there for him.  It's too bad, because (to your point) he is a perfect pitcher for StL and will do his best work with the "birds on the bat".

by wildman on Dec 14, 2006 3:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

FIP
You're right, Suppan does take a lot of help from his defense, but he's not a terrible pitcher in his own right. fielding-independent ERAs for two pitchers over the last three years:

4.65 -- 3.66
4.48 -- 4.41
4.68 -- 5.29

Suppan and Weaver, obviously, and I didn't include Weaver's 6.90 FIP with Anaheim. Either neither one sucks or they both do; Weaver hasn't been able to keep the ball in the park--which was once his best skill--since that 2004 season in LA, which explains the big jump.

That said, taking advantage of defense isn't something that all pitchers can do equally. Since Suppan allows more balls in play than a strikeout pitcher, he'll derive more advantage from a good defense. Now that he wants a ton of money it's not a good idea to resign him, but it was an astute move from Jocketty in the first place because it played to the team's advantages.

by DanUpBaby on Dec 14, 2006 3:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

One of Jocketty's best moves
He doesn't get enough credit for that one.  44 wins, 572 innings at an ERA of roughly 4.00 for $10mm total?  Awesome deal.

by wildman on Dec 14, 2006 3:50 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Weaver
Sorry, but I am highly unconvinced Weaver is the answer.  I just don't completely get how people are enamored with Weaver, but absolutely hated Marquis.

I posted on this before.

They have both been durable .500 pitchers, tho Marquis has overall been on better teams and logged a few fewer innings.  Their ERA is similar as has been their WHIP.  The big difference I see is that Weaver is much more inclined to strike someone out and that Marquis is much better at handling left-handed hitting.  Marquis' 3year left/right OPS is 782/805.  Weaver's is 897/639.  This of course explains the similar results despite Weaver's additional strike outs.  Here is Weaver's 3 year l/r split:

And here is a comparison of Weaver and Marquis:

by Zubin on Dec 14, 2006 4:06 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

not to ignore your numbers
but, i'd suggest the differing attitudes around marquis and weaver are, at least in part

...well...

attitudinal.  weaver's body language in his first couple of starts was pathetic.  it was as if he didn't want to pitch, let alone in a redbird uni.  as his performance improved, so did his attitude.  he embraced the team, the city, the success.

on the other hand, as marquis' performance went in the shitter, so did his (well documented) attitude.  atl shipped him to us in part because he wouldn't work with mazzone to improve.  

it's also a question of (with apologies to miss jackson) "what have you done for me lately?"  most of us were pleased when marquis was left off the roster for the last two rounds of the playoffs with good reason.  weaver, otoh, had a couple of his best performances in a cardinal uniform in the postseason.  

by sdesserman on Dec 14, 2006 4:46 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Respectfully, I disagree
I have no doubt that Marquis (and Weaver) want to win.  These guys are professionals and stand to profit tremendously if they suceed.  Not everybody wears their heart on their sleeve- and I think most everyone here should be mature enough to recognize that.

And by all acounts Marquis is a competitive guy that likes all aspects of the game.  The only knock against Marquis is that he is hard headed and, as you point out, doesn't accept coaching.  He seems to think he has better stuff than he actually does.  (For the record, that's why Marquis in Chicago with the even harder-headed Pinella scares me.  I think Marquis may finally listen to his coaches...)

I know Weaver is coming off a great month or so, but that seems to be a horrific way to judge the guy.

by Zubin on Dec 14, 2006 5:59 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

it's not a post I'm enamored with, but
I tried to sum up my argument for Suppan's non-suckiness here.

by DanUpBaby on Dec 15, 2006 4:12 AM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Pitchers
Suppan is a good pitcher. I know we get people here who overachieve because of the great Cardinal defense and having the Albert/Rolen/Edmonds caliper offense. But do you really think that is the only reason Suppan was as good as he has been the last 3 years?

 15-9 with a 3.95 ERA? Why does that look so bad to you? I will take it. His 4.00 ERA might be an illusion, the same as Marquis' 6.02 (or whatever it was) was blowm up because TLR left him in there to chew up innings. Either way, his ERA is under 4.00 with 15 wins a season. How many wins did Carp get last year? I think 15 with a 3.09 ERA and 8 losses. I'll take what Suppan can give us.

Play hard, play to win, but make it fun!

by Edmonds is baseball on Dec 14, 2006 4:47 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Side by side
I know this is bold, but I think a comparison of Carp's 2006 and Suppan's average over the last 3 years will do him justice.

Carp 2006
15-8, 3.09 ERA, 3rd in the cy young voting

Suppan average(2004,2005,2006)
15-9, 3.95 ERA, not as dominate as Carp, but still produces for us.

Believe me, i would take Carp on 3 days rest over a full rested Suppan every day of the week. But how is this guy not a good #2 behind Carp?

Play hard, play to win, but make it fun!

by Edmonds is baseball on Dec 14, 2006 4:52 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

You're right
It's so bold as to be not very smart.  

That Wins and ERA an make Jeff Suppan even come close to resembling Chris Carpenter is the best evidence that they are, at bottom, the most misleading and irrelevant statistics one can use in evaluating a pitcher.

PS: You mean not as "dominant" as Carpenter.

"Enamored" takes the preposition "of," not "with."

by MKDCardinal on Dec 14, 2006 10:33 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Walter
I'm sure this has been posted (but not by me so I haven't read it... ΓΌ ) but we are really fortunate to have such a good GM. I didn't like the Gant signing from the moment I heard it, was excited about his worst deal (Mulder, et al) until it played out, and was indifferent about JuanE and Weaver. But, I clearly remember the 70s (blah) and the 90s (yuk) before the new ownership took over and I will take Walt's leadership any day of the week. The Cardinals are consistently competitive and, as we all saw in October (finally), all you have to do is get in the playoffs and then anything can happen.

My vote for St. Louisan of the year: Walter J. The side by side list of good moves/bad moves is heavily weighted to the sunny side.

by Pokey Joe on Dec 14, 2006 5:33 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

yeah, what's the deal
about us not being able to win in the odd numbered decades anyway (at least since the '30's)???

by dabirds on Dec 14, 2006 6:31 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

Carmen Cali Era is Over
Just saw that he signed with the Twinkies. Too bad he never managed to put it together for us.

by liam on Dec 14, 2006 7:32 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

I know
he had good stuff.

by Toddius396 on Dec 14, 2006 7:42 PM EST up reply actions   0 recs

The Showdown for ages
ESPN's page 2 has Boras vs Borat.

Figured you guys would get a laugh, I did.

by viva el rojo pajaro 42 on Dec 14, 2006 10:59 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Batista to Seattle
Sorry if someone already linked this; 3 yrs, 25 mil for a 36 year old with a lifetime 68-79 record, coming off a season where he had a career high of 11(!) freaking wins and a 4.58 era? Unbelievable.

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news;_ylt=AqrYJdjzkkOnfICUHpa3OWQRvLYF?slug=ap-mariners-batista&prov =ap&type=lgns

Cheers

by Alxfritz on Dec 15, 2006 7:24 AM EST reply actions   0 recs

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