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Q+A with met blogger Eric Simon

i traded e-mails this afternoon with eric simon, my SB Nation blog-brother over at Amazin Avenue. he proposed that we exchange 5 questions apiece about our teams in advance of the NLCS. my answers to his questions about the cardinals are up here; below, his answers to my questions about the mets.

In the absence of Duaner Sanchez, what's the hierarchy of set-up men in the Met bullpen? Does Wagner ever get called into a game before the start of the 9th?
Obviously Wagner is the closer, and Willie Randolph has gone so far as to say that he won't be used for more than an inning at a time. In the absence of Filthy Sanchez, Aaron Heilman is the primary setup man and can be counted on to pitch the eighth inning in any close game in which the Mets have the lead. Guillermo Mota has been pitching the seventh, with Pedro Feliciano (lefty) and Chad Bradford (righty) bridging the gap between starter and Mota.

What are your biggest beefs with Willie Randolph?
His in-game management decisions are questionable at times. This was a bigger problem in his first season as manager in 2005, though I think they became magnified by the fact that he was a rookie helmsman and that the Mets were still not a great team. He is still prone to the occasional goofy call, like allowing Guillermo Mota to hit for himself with the bases loaded and two outs in a tight Game 1 of the LDS. His bullpen management was spotty last year, but it's amazing what a dependable relief corps can do for a manager's reputation.

Suppose it's 5-4 late in the game, there are men on 1st and 2nd with two outs, and Pujols is up. A walk pushes the go-ahead run into scoring position and puts the tying run in position to score without a hit (walk, hbp, error, wild pitch, etc). Do you want Randolph to a) go right after Pujols and try to get him out, b) unintentionally-intentionally walk him, or c) stop screwing around and hold up 4 fingers?
I'd give him the pass. The Mets' bullpen does not walk a whole lot of batters (Feliciano's bases-loaded walk in Game 3 of the LDS notwithstanding). Randolph would be second-guessed if Poo collected yet another big hit for the Cards in that situation, so I would definitely take my chances with Rolen or whomever else bats behind The King.

If you're in a situation where you have no choice but to pitch to Pujols --- say, in a tie game with the bases loaded -- which Met reliever (aside from Wagner) do you want on the mound?
I'd say Heilman. Bradford is tough on righties and his underhand delivery can be a bit jarring to hitters, but Heilman is the Mets' #2 guy so I'd lean on him in a situation in which I couldn't use Wagner.

Aside from injuries, what Achilles heel on the Met team makes you most nervous about this series?
Their two biggest weaknesses are the lineup's susceptibility to left-handed pitching and the lack of anything resembling a lights-out starting pitcher. The Cardinals have no left-handed starters so as long as the Mets can score some runs before the bullpen takes over I'm not too worried about that. The rotation is a bigger concern, I think. Tom Glavine is what he is: a soft-tossing, crafty lefty-hander. He'll pitch well enough to keep the team in the game. John Maine has been impressive, but he's still pretty inexperienced and has a tendency to give up the longball. Steve Trachsel can't really be counted on for much at this point, and you never know what you're going to get out of Oliver Perez (maybe a 12-strikeout gem, maybe a seven-walk disaster). It looks like El Duque will be out for the duration of the postseason, and with Pedro already on the shelf the Mets' starting pitching is definitely vulnerable.

thanks to eric for initiating the Q+A exchange; looking forward to a great series.

0 recs  |  Comment 49 comments

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nice post
Thanks for the great job, as always
Play hard, play to win, but make it fun!

by Edmonds is baseball on Oct 9, 2006 5:32 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Good stuff, larry
I'm hoping for a fun series, and it should be a good one. I'm predicting another big series from Belli.

Also, when did that Tweedy ad sneak up on the left there? Are you behind that, lb?

Cheers

by Alxfritz on Oct 9, 2006 6:11 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Blogads are automated
my guess would be that we are talking about alt country stuff enough that the link gods decided that the viewership was made up of alt country superfans.

by Valatan on Oct 9, 2006 8:57 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

some of wilco's people
are huge cardinal fans from back in the day. they check in at VEB from time to time and have noted the appreciation for tupelo / wilco among the readership, so they decided to buy an ad.

by lboros on Oct 9, 2006 10:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Is there a sweeter feeling...
than getting a favorite artist to help pay the rent?

kickass

youneverknow

by meat on Oct 9, 2006 11:33 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's fantastic
I went to a Wilco show at UIUC in Feb. 2004. My brother-in-law is as big of a fan of Wilco as we are of the Cardinals. I called him up moments before they hit the stage and held my phone up so he could listen to the entire three-hour show.

Plenty of rollover minutes, so no worries there.

by 26thMan on Oct 10, 2006 12:33 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

nice
I saw the tweedy benifit show he did for a friend this winter at the abbey in chicago. I don't believe he even got paid for the two hour solo gig (if it was, it was minimal) and was easily one of the best shows i've seen in the past few years.

He played summerteeth/piehold/acuff/new madrid. what more could you ask for???!?!

by lookit55 on Oct 10, 2006 1:29 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That
is awesome.
Cheers

by Alxfritz on Oct 10, 2006 2:03 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Interesting ...
to hear what the Mets fans are thinking and how they sum up their team. Thanks Larry.  I think the opinion that their team is not great against Lefties, will bode well for Tyler Johnsons usage for sure. I also think that assuming that Cliff Floyd will not play is unwise. The Daily News is not known for being as accurate as a paper should be. I bet we see him over the weekend in STL.

by Timbo02 on Oct 9, 2006 6:32 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

The thing about Floyd is that his injury
is the type that is on the brink of a tear.  He's mobility and effectiveness at the plate is going to be limited.  It would almost be better if they had to stick him out there in the outfield and Weaver just kept throwing him curveballs away.  It'll be very difficult for him to generate any power since re-injuring himself and balls hit in the gaps will end up singles without being able to run the bases well.

by Hardcore Legend on Oct 9, 2006 6:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

narvie instead of reyes...?
it could happen, couldn't it?
o8o88o888o

by ilillillli on Oct 9, 2006 6:43 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That would be
An exciting move. TLR made it sound like leaving Narveson off the roster was an easy decision (easier than leaving Sosa off!) due to his inexperience.

by liam on Oct 9, 2006 7:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I wouldn't mind exchanging Thompson
or Looper for Narvie.  The Mets have significantly more potent LH batters in Delgado and Beltran.  

Narveson starting though...not sure I'm keen on that.  That's a tough spot to put the kid in and frankly I'm not sure he's a better option than Weaver/Suppan/Reyes.

Acquire Jason Schmidt!

by azruavatar on Oct 9, 2006 7:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I agree
He'd be a handy long-man against the Mets in case of emergency. Think Reyes might match up well against them in that big park.

by liam on Oct 9, 2006 7:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This kid
worked his ass off to get here. Went through every farm club in America. He's definitely got it upstairs to handle the situation IMHO.
We are the Cardinals, the Mighty Mighty Cardinals!

by OKCardsfan on Oct 9, 2006 9:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I'm sure he's mentally stable
but I'm just as worried about the organization losing trust in him as him overthinking his own game.  I see him as the sixth man for next years rotation or even the 5th.  I'd hate for the team to toss that away on the hope that a rookie lefty can shut down Green, Beltran and Delgado.
Acquire Jason Schmidt!

by azruavatar on Oct 9, 2006 9:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

With TONY?...
no way....hell I think it's still iffy on REYES being the # 4 starter....

by Timbo02 on Oct 9, 2006 6:44 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Goold says
That according to Dunc the LCS starters will likely be:

Game 1 - Weava
Game 2 - Soup
Game 3 - Carp
Game 4 - Marquis or Reyes
...

He (Goold) thinks that Marquis will likely get the nod given his historical "success" against the Mets.  I wouldn't bet against it.

by OCCardsFan on Oct 9, 2006 6:48 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

depressing if true
what else can be said?

by chuckb on Oct 9, 2006 7:04 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Shouldn't that be
Hysterical success? :)

by cardsrul on Oct 9, 2006 7:06 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

numbers don't lie...
2 starts, 12 innings, 9 earned runs.  (suck)sess?
o8o88o888o

by ilillillli on Oct 9, 2006 7:16 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

whoops
also 3 HR's allowed in those 12 acey innings.  niiice.
o8o88o888o

by ilillillli on Oct 9, 2006 7:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Seriously
if Marquis starts just one game, I may quit this team forever.  I'm not kidding.  One start and I'm done.

Who am I kidding?  I'm not going anywhere.  But I officially reserve the right to cuss LaRussa all I want without the threat of punishment when/if he starts Marquis over Reyes. ;)

by Big Red on Oct 9, 2006 7:45 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

IMHO
One of the reasons the Birds look like they care about winning, may be that you-know-who hasn't played. I still think that guy spreads the losing bug like it's ebola or something.

If LaRussa starts him, it may be a sign to the team that TLR is not concerned with attitude, and could really bring us off of a high.

So, if you-know-who starts a game this post-season, I'll join in the gratuitous profanity; provided I'm out of earshot of the wife and kids.

by fuegophil on Oct 9, 2006 8:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Marquis will be happy if
Floyd is off the roster since Floyd burns him everytime

by Hernandez on Oct 9, 2006 8:17 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

In all honesty,
everyone burns Marquis. If Perez starts, I'll put my money on an extra-base hit from him, too.

In other words, if Marqy Marq (aka Betty) goes out there, put one down in the W column for you guys.

I have a serious, serious Adam Wainwright addiction. Is there a 12-step group for loving 6'7" rookie relievers to death?

by Scarlet the Cardinal on Oct 9, 2006 10:23 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why, Tony, Why?
It makes no sense, Why is Marquis even part of the thought of our rotation? He doesn't listen to Duncan or Tony, he doesn't have great stuff, he doesn't compete like a Cardinal. Why? Why? Why?
A walk is a waste of three pitches-Bob Gibson

by orlando card on Oct 9, 2006 8:23 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

MArquis splits
against lefties are better than the Weaves. I'm not sure what Reyes is. Bottomline if TLR thinks it gives the Cards an edge, he will start him.
We are the Cardinals, the Mighty Mighty Cardinals!

by OKCardsfan on Oct 9, 2006 9:10 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Tough call either way
I'm nervous having Marquis, Reyes OR Narveson throw game four. Chances are we'll be up 2-1 or down 2-1...neither situation is one in which you can afford a flameout. That said, I guess game 2 wouldn't be any better. Why did you have to shred Mulder's arm, Tony? Why?! How nice would it be to have that guy healthy and lined up for game 2?

I realize this is all spilled milk, but it only further validates Larry's earlier stance that that May 28 game at San Diego was the turning point of the year.

Here's hoping that game four is the potential clincher! You might call me a dreamer...

"I don't believe what I just saw!" ~ Jack Buck

by itsalemmon1019 on Oct 9, 2006 9:50 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

marquis start
If jason starts. YOu know what I'll do?

Same thing everybody on the board will do. Root for the good start, pray he throws the way he did in his good days, and hope for about 9 runs.

He may be a wreck, but he's OUR wreck.

(Mind you our a**holes will be tighter than they have ever been and I'll start drinking 4 hours before hand - but that's just me)

Cormier? Really? Who new?

by tudor rooter on Oct 9, 2006 10:41 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hockey blogs?
does SB Nation host any NHL blogs? if not, does anyone know where to find a good Blues blog?

by kindred on Oct 9, 2006 10:02 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

no hockey on SB Nation
yet. i don't follow the sport so i can't give you a recommendation; you might try searching for St. Louis Blues over at Deadspin

by lboros on Oct 9, 2006 10:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

thanks LB
for anyone else interested, the best i've found so far is http://bluenoteblog.blogspot.com/

there are some links there a few other sites, including this message board, which looks pretty active: http://www.letsgoblues.com/phpBB/mods/phpbb_fetch_all/examples/portal.php

by kindred on Oct 9, 2006 11:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Wow
I guess La Russa is just conceding the LCS to New York by going with Marquis.

But I can totally see where he's coming from. He really shut them down on his hot streak back in August, and when they needed him to pitch well against Milwaukee during the final series of the season, he stepped up again. The guy's a gamer.

by ryanisforever on Oct 9, 2006 10:57 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

the mets haven't faced carpenter this year
i'm feeling better about this series

by tnek5 on Oct 9, 2006 11:57 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

the cards
hit maine and trachsel really well in august:)

by tnek5 on Oct 10, 2006 12:02 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

well, Pujols did...
... wasn't one of those games the game Pujols had 7 rbis (grand slam and 3-run job) but the team still lost?

by kindred on Oct 10, 2006 12:34 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yes.
I was at that game, and I'll thank you not to remind me!  :)

by glennrwordman on Oct 10, 2006 8:12 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Trax sux
But Maine is better than you give him credit for.  The start against the Cards was his worst and Pujols' 7 rbi came on dingers.  That's the one way to get to Maine - the longball, b/c he challenges hitters.  But if they wind is blowing in, I think the Cards may be in for a long day.

by Nails on Oct 10, 2006 12:50 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

if he was challening hitters
how did he load the bases up?

Any time there are that many runners on, there's a possibility to score.

You can't have 7 RBI's and not have had lots of runners on the bases (unless he hit 7 solo home runs ... which would actually probably look worse for Maine).

by dontEATnachos on Oct 10, 2006 1:44 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

It's not when Carpenter starts
that you should be worried about.  The Cards may win  his start in Game 3.  It's every other game that should give you the shakes.  The Cards cannot contain the Mets lineup.  They'll have to score 5 runs a game to win this series.

by Nails on Oct 10, 2006 12:48 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

As a team that was the frontrunner
each of the last two seasons:

I wouldn't count on that offense to show up when you think it should.

by Hardcore Legend on Oct 10, 2006 1:33 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's true...
but I think a difference (for both teams) may be that the Cards ran into a) the Red Sox with Lowe, Schilling and Pedro in 04 and b) the Astros with Roy, roger and Andy.

This year, I think both the Mets and Cards will be able to tee off.  I expect a high scoring series.

Notice that the series in August, I think the winning team had 7, 8 and 10 runs or something like that.

by Nails on Oct 10, 2006 1:43 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

That's true
and in that series, we were missing both Eckstein and Edmonds, and were still able to average almost 6 runs a game.  

Going against the Mets is that as long as Tony doesn't pull a bonehead move, they won't get to tee off on Mulder and Marquis, two pitchers the Mets scored 14 of their 24 runs off of.

by Hardcore Legend on Oct 10, 2006 2:05 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

This Series
Here's my breakdown.

The Cardinal have a shot when Carpenter starts, which may be once, may be twice.

The Cardinals have a shot when Oliver Perez starts - even if Marquis is the Cardinal starter.  (Although, their odds would be much better with Reyes, on the mound, obviously.)

That gives the Cardinals a (in my opinion) better than 50/50 chance of winning those 3 games.

That leaves them needing to find a way to win 1 of the 4 starts by Weaver/Suppan.  I'd say the odds are very good that, given 4 shots, at least one of those games the Cardinals will get a great start out of Weaver/Suppan.

The Cardinals are still a long shot, in my book, but it's not impossible to imagine them winning this series, and it would not take a TON of luck....just a little.

by Robb on Oct 10, 2006 10:06 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Faulty Logic though...
because Mets fans are probably thinking the exact opposite.  they have a better than 50/50 chance to win any game that Glavine starts (since it won't be against Carpenter) and probably any game that Suppan starts (becuase although he's better than Maine, so is the Mets lineup) ... so they're thinking that as long as they win those games and maybe win one of the two against Carpenter - let's face it - the guy isn't 99 Pedro or 88 Hershiser out there - then there is no problem.

The bottom line is that a series always hinges on three or four huge plays. Whoever gets those going their way will win.

by Nails on Oct 10, 2006 11:23 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

What They're Thinking >>>
This limerick from a good friend of mine who happens to be a Met fan:

Whilst many a Met starter's in bandage,
This need not portend disadvantage:
     For those that ARE healthy
     Make us yet more than wealthy,
And should lead to the Redbirds un-handage.

by Urban Pawnee on Oct 10, 2006 8:26 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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