FanPost

Pujols... The new Mr. October

I was checking out a recent diary on Albert's regular-season rankings, and it got me thinking about where he's at in terms of his post-season accomplishments. Mainly due to his age, he hasn't cracked any of baseball-reference's top ten categories, which are, not surprisingly, dominated by recent Yankees.

He's pretty close though, and if you take into account his age, he projects to be at the top of a number of categories when his career comes to an end.

He has a number of factors going for him. He reached the bigs at a young age. He plays in the era of expanded playoffs, both in terms of teams and games. He plays for a team that is consistently competitive. He performs at the same high level in October as he does during the regular season.

So to project where he'll end up when his career ends, I made the following assumptions:

  • He'll play 12 more years
  • His teams we'll make the playoffs 6 times
  • His teams we'll have the same middling success in future Octobers as they have had in the past
  • His performance will be about the same
  • These assumptions result in the following numbers for Albert and where that would rank today:
  • 28 Home Runs, 1st (Bernie Williams currently leads with 22)
  • 82 RBIs, 1st (Bernie has 80)
  • 111 games, 4th
  • 376 abs, 4th
  • 77 runs, 3rd
  • 127 hits, 3rd
  • 19 doubles, 2nd
  • 55 walks, 4th
  • 271 total bases, 1st (Bernie, 223)
  • Obviously, the past isn't always a good predictor of the future. That said, I think he's got a good chance to surpass these projections, especially if the Cards, or whatever team he plays for in the future, can consistently get past the divisional round.
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