half nelson

espn is reporting that st louis has signed jeff nelson (as posted by willie mcgee modeling co in this morning's thread -- thanks wmmc). another economy signing for the mysteriously cash-strapped cardinals. now 39 years old, once a very tough setup man for mariano rivera and the yankees, nelson is much diminished in his dotage but can still get right-handed hitters out. here's his line against them going back to 2002:

ab h 2b hr bb so avg obp slg
371 81 7 8 49 123 .218 .316 .307

overall nelson has thrown 161 innings in that span with a 4.08 era and 10.0 strikeouts per 9. he has always walked a lot of batters, but his totals have been higher than ever the last two years -- 6.1 walks per 9 innings. i checked to see whether that figure might be inflated by a large number of intentional walks; he hasn't issued an ibb since 2003. so presumably he has become a nibbler, relying less on the nasty bite of his slider and more on pinpoint location. he is not an extreme groundball pitcher, like his ROOGY counterpart braden looper -- gb/fb ratio is 0.80, which means he gets 4 out of every 9 batted-ball outs on the ground.

here are recent his totals for win-expectancy added, courtesy baseball prospectus:

2005 -0.241
2004 0.595
2003 -1.160
2002 1.246

whatever. nelson signed a minor-league deal that will pay him $800K if he makes the opening-day squad. at that price he might be a decent pickup -- nelson still has his uses, albeit limited, and will be paid commensurately. he's also very, very tough on members of opposition grounds crews.

you might want to prepare for a lot of long endgames this year. here's the formula for a typical victorious outing:

  • starter goes 6+
  • rincon / flores / looper / nelson come on for 1 to 3 batters apiece and get some of them out
  • is'hausen gets the last 3-4 outs
and then we all go pound the budweiser.
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Viva El Birdos

You must be a member of Viva El Birdos to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Viva El Birdos. You should read them.

Join Viva El Birdos

You must be a member of Viva El Birdos to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Viva El Birdos. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker