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Around SBN: Vinny Magalhaes Claims Ebay Sale of M-1 Challenge Belt

the so must go on

what to make of so taguchi? his batting averages by month: .370, .151, .333, .242, and -- after his 4-for-5, 3-rbi performance last night -- .460 thus far in august. it adds up to a .303 average and .801 ops for the season, excellent numbers off the bench -- but i still can't decide if i think he's any good or not. i make him as a slightly shorter, slower version of willie mcgee -- same wiry build, same short quick stroke at the plate, same good range and reliable glove and accurate arm afield. same career line, too: here they are per 600 plate appearances:

ab r h 2b 3b hr rbi bb sb/att avg obp slg ops
mcgee 567 75 167 26 7 6 63 33 26/35 .295 .333 .396 .729
taguchi 562 80 167 33 6 14 87 35 18/22 .297 .339 .451 .790

these numbers actually make taguchi look a lot better than mcgee, but i suspect they'd come out roughly equal if you adjusted the figures to reflect a) the changes to busch stadium between the 1980s and 2000s, and b) the difference in run-scoring context between the two eras. another caveat: altho the lines are per 600 plate appearances, taguchi doesn't even have 600 plate appearances -- last night's game brought his career total up to 566, or roughly one season's worth.

any player who, in one season, put up numbers like the ones on so's line above would have to be considered a damn good player. so why don't i feel that way about taguchi? in large part, i think, it's because i haven't gotten over the awful first impression he made, when he came to camp in 2002 and was obviously overmatched. i still think of him as swinging a toothpick up there, even though he has hit 7 dingers this year in 264 at-bats.

to help myself re-imagine this player, i have compared his performance this season to those of a few well-regarded outfielders, chosen somewhat arbitrarily. all the comparison players seem (to me, anyway) to have overlapping skill sets with gooch; in each case i adjusted taguchi's plate appearances upward to equal those of the "control" player. here's so vs carl crawford:

ab r h 2b 3b hr rbi bb sb/att avg obp slg ops
crawford 2005 501 73 144 23 12 12 64 19 34/39 .287 .316 .453 .779
taguchi 2005 494 62 150 32 4 13 73 26 17/19 .303 .339 .462 .801

yikes. i didn't realize crawford was such a hacker; he even makes taguchi look patient. now look at so vs brady clark:

ab r h 2b 3b hr rbi bb sb/att avg obp slg ops
clark 2005 473 76 147 24 0 9 40 34 9/20 .311 .372 .419 .791
taguchi 2005 494 62 150 32 4 13 73 26 17/19 .303 .339 .462 .801

this next one's very entertaining, but so misleading i'll state all the caveats and disclaimers up front: we're looking at a very limited set of plate appearances, the numbers aren't ballpark-adjusted, taguchi's at-bats have been hand-picked to some degree by his manager to maximize his value, the player under comparison is having an off-year . . . . . ok? with those qualifications duly stipulated to, let us now enjoy the comparison between taguchi and his famous former teammate:

ab r h 2b 3b hr rbi bb sb/att avg obp slg ops
ichiro 2005 493 84 152 13 10 11 47 33 27/33 .308 .351 .442 .793
taguchi 2005 502 63 152 32 4 14 74 27 17/19 .303 .339 .462 .801

not bad, eh? here's one last pairing, perhaps the most apt of all: taguchi vs luis gonzalez. toss out gonzalez's flukey (ahem) 57-homer year and the sudden (cough) power increase after 1999. look instead at the player he was up through age 30. that's essentially the player we have in taguchi. and coming off the bench, that's a hell of a player. their lines this season:

ab r h 2b 3b hr rbi bb sb/att avg obp slg ops
gonzalez 2005 440 68 123 28 0 17 65 58 4/5 .280 .369 .462 .821
taguchi 2005 479 60 145 31 2 13 71 25 16/18 .303 .339 .462 .801

anybody convinced yet the we have a crawford, a clark, an ichiro, a gonzalez sitting on our bench? ok, me neither; i still can't get over my subjective impression of taguchi as a toothpick-swinger. but i love it when the guy gives the lie to that perception. keep proving me wrong, so.

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I'm impressed with Taguchi
Nice work!

Call me stupid, but I've always thought that Taguchi was better than most people seem to think. Having said that, many times I've come to the conclusion that I give him too much credit, but then he always seems to later prove himself to be worthy of my high evaluation at a later date.

Right now I do think he's better than people realize and he seems to be improving consistently. What puzzles me is just how good can he become? I don't have an answer to that, but I still don't think he's reached his potential. However, he doesn't have that much time at his age either.

by rob is back on Aug 17, 2005 8:29 AM EDT reply actions  

What's Not to Like?
I've been a Taguchi fan since he came off the boat. I read early on that he was a line-drive hitter prone to hitting doubles, and it seems to me that he's always lived up that that billing. IMHO, if you can't hit the long ball, hitting a double ain't a bad fallback. Plus, his defense is rock solid.

One more point: Gooch's numbers have shot up since he's been given a regular position in the starting line-up. Coincidence? Or is it possible that what we are seeing now is the "real" Taguchi, not the guy whose rhythm is messed-up by getting only sporatic play. One that topic, there's this from LaRussa:

"He's playing so well. Everything -- defense, getting a lot of key hits, he starts rallies. The first inning, he got the hit that set up the rally, and then he's driving in runs. We were saying, kind of kidding at first, but Larry is going to have to play real well to get him out of that lineup."
So says, The Dude

by Titus Pullo on Aug 17, 2005 9:14 AM EDT reply actions  

gonzales or no...
I'm just glad that for once the numbers actually back my good feelings about a player--I'm still not quite over the shock of Eck's numbers from yesterday.

by rockin redbird on Aug 17, 2005 11:57 AM EDT reply actions  

If I'm TLR,
when Walker comes back, I platoon the two in RF. He has about 6 guys, counting Gooch, who can play LF till Reggie gets back.

by cardsrul on Aug 17, 2005 2:53 PM EDT reply actions  

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