Viva El Birdos: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
Around SBN: Spencer Hall's Sports Meme Power Rankings

mulder musings

for the 2d straight start, la russa/duncan left mulder in to work out of a late-inning jam in a close game; for the 2d straight time, mulder justified their confidence in him. last time it was the 8th inning vs houston; with the score tied 1-1 he pitched too carefully to berkman and ensberg, walked them both, then got out of the inning by whiffing jason lane (on a swinging strike) and popping adam everett up. last night it was the 7th inning: he walked wes helms to bring the lead run to the plate in the person of brady clark. mulder got ahead with a strike on the outside corner, then went to 0-2 when clark swung through a sinker. the 1-2 pitch started on the inside corner and broke inside; outstanding pitch, and clark swung and missed again to end the threat.

as well as he has pitched this month -- 2-0, 1.93 era, 1.2 whip -- i continue to hold my breath. two red flags: mulder is striking out fewer guys than ever -- only 10 in 28 july innings -- and his ops against, even in a strong month of pitching, is .728. not to be ungenerous, but that puts him a distant fourth among the cardinals' five starters in july: marquis is at .611, morris .646, carpenter an unbelievable .359. only supps trails mulder in this category, and not by that much -- .754. to put this into context, the league ops for 2005 stands at .740; mulder's not beating that by much, even in a stretch of very strong performances.

don't take this the wrong way; i'm not complaining about the results or trying to beat the guy down. nor am i just stubbornly refusing to admit that i wrote him off prematurely; i freely admit he has righted the ship far more quickly than i predicted he could. but the red flags remain; the likelihood is that he still has some rough road ahead. i say that with full admiration for what he has accomplished this month, for the way he has faced down his problems and made adjustments. mulder was in danger of going into a full tailspin and becoming a drag on the team; he avoided that, which is a credit to his professionalism and guts. so mr mulder, i salute you; as ryan put it over at the diaspora, "if this is mediocrity, I'll take it."

one last bit of information: i haven't seen much written about mulder's day-night split, but it's growing: 10-1 with a 2.14 era under the lights, 1-4 with a 7.40 era under the sun. his ops against is .644 night, .962 day. probably completely random, but still kind of interesting.

0 recs  |  Comment 13 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

Levi
In October, most games are night games!

by levistahl on Jul 21, 2005 10:36 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

his low strikeout rate
still bothers me too, but as long as he keeps getting his groundball ratio up again and stays away from the longballs, I think it'll work for him more than it would for the others. if his next couple of starts go as well as the last couple, that'll be the consistency I'm looking for.

by rockin redbird on Jul 21, 2005 11:01 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

That walk to Helms
To me that looked like one of those unintentional intentional walks.  Duncan had come to talk to Mulder right before that at bat and maybe they thought it would be better to pitch to Clark instead of Helms.

by bailorg on Jul 21, 2005 11:17 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Mulder's not
a strikeout pitcher, so his low K rate doesn't bother me at all.  He admitted (in the P-D) he was trying to make the Brewers hit the ball as quickly as possible, to keep his pitch count low in the heat.  "Here's my sinker, sucker; hit it."  It worked... Eckstein gobbled up numerous weak grounders to short.  Works for me!

by The Ol Goaler on Jul 21, 2005 11:18 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Goaler's right....
Mulder has never been a a strikeout pitcher and with the problems in the bullpen, I would rather him get quick ground ball outs than go for strikeouts.  Keep the pitch count low and let him go longer into the game.
  Interesting side note, the Brewers television crew was complaining that the Cards watered down the infield heavily so that ground balls would slow down on the leftside.  

by Brock20 on Jul 21, 2005 11:26 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

i'm fine with
groundouts instead of strikeouts, but bill james long ago established that you have to make guys miss from time to time or it catches up to you. the threshold figure is about 5 strikeouts per 9 innings; fall below that and the odds of sustained success decrease sharply. that's an empirical fact. mulder's k rate is right on the edge --- 5.1 strikeouts per 9.

by lboros on Jul 21, 2005 11:29 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't recall
where I saw it now, right here I think, but I do remember something about Mulder making an adjustment to the MO summer, after all it is a bit different than the Bay area or the upper midwest where he hails from. Maybe some part of the day/night split (not that summer night's in MO are much cooler than the days).

by VanRam on Jul 21, 2005 11:31 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't think
any of us expect mulder to remake himself as a "strikeout pitcher," but if he could get his ratio up to just 6 per 9, I'd feel even better about him.

by rockin redbird on Jul 21, 2005 12:30 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

As long as
he keeps winning, i don't care if he averages just 1 K per 9 innings. more often than not, he's been getting into the 7th or 8th inning, and that's all that you can ask your starters to do.

by cardsrul on Jul 21, 2005 12:41 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

if he can
buck the odds and sustain success with a low strikeout rate, i won't complain. but i will be nervous when mulder pitches in a big game.

by lboros on Jul 21, 2005 1:01 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

The Day Win
I know I'm chiming in a bit late here, but wasn't the sole day win for Mulder the ten-inning shutout?  If true, that makes the rest of the day starts look even worse...

by Scott on Jul 22, 2005 11:50 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

that's right
take away that 10-inning sho and his era is over 9.00 in day games.

by lboros on Jul 22, 2005 3:59 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

yow...
that's some bad juju--wonder what causes that? the heat? brain, eyes, arm, and hand don't coordinate till a certain time? those kind of stats always freak me out.

by rockin redbird on Jul 23, 2005 4:12 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the Internet's #1 St. Louis Cardinals blog.
Start posting about the Cardinals »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Avatar_small
How to EASILY make tables for Fanposts
1753738656_110919ebe9_o_small
2010 Hot Stove Post #1: CHONE hitter projections

Recent FanPosts

Arch_small
Number 15
Small
Some thoughts on Holliday (and potential replacements)
Small
Ok let me try this again...
Knights-09_small
Disenchanted Blue Jays Fan Looking For A New Team
Painterlance_small
The Holliday Dilemma (Rocks Fan Perpsective)
375830-r1-025-11_011_small
Anybody read Bob Gibson's new book yet?
Flanders_small
Yadi2first
Small
40 Man Question..

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >


Managers

Jack_benny_small DanUpBaby

Editors

Bender1_small azruavatar

Adam1_small chuckb

Kid-a-bear_small the red baron